Vox (PfE)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 16.9% 15.0–19.5% 14.5–20.6% 14.1–21.3% 13.3–22.5%
6–10 October 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 16.6% 15.0–18.2% 14.6–18.7% 14.3–19.1% 13.6–20.0%
3–9 October 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 18.4% 16.9–20.1% 16.5–20.5% 16.1–20.9% 15.4–21.7%
1–7 October 2025 CIS 17.7% 16.9–18.5% 16.7–18.7% 16.5–18.9% 16.2–19.3%
1–4 October 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 16.1% 14.7–17.7% 14.3–18.1% 13.9–18.5% 13.3–19.3%
17 September–1 October 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 15.9% 15.0–16.9% 14.7–17.2% 14.5–17.5% 14.0–17.9%
25–30 September 2025 Opina 360
Antena 3		 20.6% 19.2–22.2% 18.8–22.6% 18.4–23.0% 17.7–23.8%
26–28 September 2025 40dB
Prisa		 16.7% 15.7–17.8% 15.4–18.1% 15.1–18.4% 14.6–18.9%
15–19 September 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 16.3% 14.9–17.8% 14.5–18.2% 14.2–18.6% 13.6–19.3%
10–15 September 2025 DYM
Henneo		 15.7% 14.4–17.3% 14.0–17.7% 13.6–18.1% 13.0–18.9%
8–12 September 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 15.2% 13.9–16.7% 13.5–17.1% 13.2–17.4% 12.6–18.2%
10–11 September 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 17.2% 15.8–18.8% 15.4–19.3% 15.0–19.7% 14.4–20.5%
5–11 September 2025 GAD3
ABC		 17.9% 16.4–19.5% 16.0–20.0% 15.6–20.4% 14.9–21.2%
3–9 September 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 16.0% 14.6–17.6% 14.2–18.0% 13.9–18.4% 13.2–19.2%
1–6 September 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 15.4% 14.0–16.9% 13.6–17.4% 13.3–17.8% 12.7–18.5%
1–6 September 2025 CIS 17.3% 16.6–18.1% 16.3–18.3% 16.2–18.5% 15.8–18.9%
2–5 September 2025 Demoscopia y Servicios
esRadio		 16.7% 15.9–17.6% 15.6–17.9% 15.4–18.1% 15.0–18.5%
29 August–1 September 2025 40dB
Prisa		 17.4% 16.3–18.5% 16.0–18.9% 15.8–19.1% 15.3–19.7%
26–29 August 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 16.1% 14.7–17.6% 14.4–18.0% 14.0–18.4% 13.4–19.1%
20–28 August 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 15.1% 14.0–16.2% 13.7–16.6% 13.5–16.8% 13.0–17.4%
21–30 July 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 14.8% 13.9–15.8% 13.6–16.1% 13.4–16.4% 13.0–16.8%
21–24 July 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 16.0% 14.6–17.5% 14.3–17.9% 13.9–18.3% 13.3–19.0%
14–18 July 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 15.4% 14.0–16.9% 13.6–17.4% 13.3–17.8% 12.7–18.5%
11–14 July 2025 DYM
Henneo		 14.6% 13.2–16.1% 12.9–16.6% 12.5–16.9% 11.9–17.7%
10–14 July 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 14.3% 13.0–15.7% 12.6–16.1% 12.3–16.5% 11.7–17.2%
9–10 July 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 15.6% 14.2–17.1% 13.8–17.6% 13.4–18.0% 12.8–18.7%
1–7 July 2025 CIS 18.9% 18.1–19.7% 17.9–19.9% 17.7–20.1% 17.3–20.5%
30 June–4 July 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 14.2% 12.0–17.2% 11.4–18.0% 10.8–18.8% 9.8–20.2%
27–30 June 2025 40dB
Prisa		 15.2% 14.2–16.3% 13.9–16.6% 13.7–16.8% 13.2–17.4%
20–27 June 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 13.9% 12.9–15.0% 12.6–15.3% 12.4–15.5% 11.9–16.0%
18–21 June 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 14.0% 12.8–15.4% 12.4–15.8% 12.1–16.1% 11.5–16.8%
19–21 June 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 14.8% 13.4–16.3% 13.1–16.8% 12.7–17.1% 12.1–17.9%
18–20 June 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 15.8% 14.4–17.4% 14.0–17.8% 13.7–18.2% 13.0–19.0%
16–20 June 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 14.1% 11.7–16.9% 11.1–17.7% 10.5–18.4% 9.5–19.8%
17 June 2025 DYM
Henneo		 13.6% 12.3–15.1% 12.0–15.5% 11.7–15.9% 11.1–16.6%
9–13 June 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 13.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 June 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 16.0% 14.6–17.5% 14.2–18.0% 13.8–18.4% 13.2–19.1%
2–7 June 2025 CIS 13.2% 12.5–13.9% 12.3–14.1% 12.2–14.3% 11.9–14.6%
27–29 May 2025 GAD3
ABC		 14.9% 13.5–16.4% 13.1–16.8% 12.8–17.2% 12.2–17.9%
21 April–28 May 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 13.5% 13.0–14.0% 12.8–14.2% 12.7–14.3% 12.5–14.6%
23–26 May 2025 40dB
Prisa		 13.9% 12.9–14.9% 12.7–15.2% 12.5–15.5% 12.0–16.0%
23–25 May 2025 40dB
Prisa		 13.9% 12.9–14.9% 12.7–15.2% 12.5–15.5% 12.0–16.0%
21–23 May 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.2% 11.3–16.9%
20–23 May 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 14.5% 13.2–16.0% 12.8–16.4% 12.5–16.8% 11.8–17.6%
19–22 May 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 13.5% 12.5–14.6% 12.3–14.9% 12.0–15.2% 11.6–15.7%
15–21 May 2025 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		 14.1% 13.1–15.2% 12.9–15.4% 12.6–15.7% 12.2–16.2%
14–19 May 2025 DYM
Henneo		 12.3% 11.1–13.7% 10.7–14.1% 10.5–14.4% 9.9–15.1%
5–8 May 2025 CIS 13.7% 13.0–14.4% 12.8–14.6% 12.7–14.8% 12.3–15.2%
28 April–6 May 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 13.5% 12.3–15.0% 11.9–15.3% 11.6–15.7% 11.1–16.4%
24–27 April 2025 40dB
Prisa		 13.4% 12.5–14.4% 12.2–14.7% 12.0–15.0% 11.5–15.5%
23–25 April 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 14.3% 12.9–15.8% 12.6–16.2% 12.3–16.6% 11.6–17.3%
21–25 April 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.8–15.4% 11.5–15.8% 10.9–16.5%
14–17 April 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 14.1% 12.8–15.6% 12.4–16.0% 12.1–16.4% 11.5–17.1%
4–15 April 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 12.6% 11.6–13.6% 11.4–13.9% 11.1–14.2% 10.7–14.7%
9–15 April 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 14.6% 13.2–16.1% 12.9–16.6% 12.5–16.9% 11.9–17.7%
1–8 April 2025 CIS 15.2% 14.5–15.9% 14.3–16.2% 14.1–16.3% 13.8–16.7%
28–31 March 2025 40dB
Prisa		 14.1% 13.1–15.2% 12.9–15.4% 12.6–15.7% 12.2–16.2%
27–28 March 2025 Data10
OKDiario		 13.9% 12.8–15.2% 12.5–15.5% 12.3–15.8% 11.8–16.4%
19–21 March 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 14.1% 12.8–15.6% 12.4–16.0% 12.1–16.4% 11.5–17.1%
19–21 March 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 13.9% 12.9–15.0% 12.7–15.3% 12.4–15.6% 12.0–16.1%
14–21 March 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 14.0% 12.7–15.4% 12.4–15.8% 12.1–16.2% 11.5–16.9%
12–16 March 2025 DYM
Henneo		 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.4–13.8% 10.1–14.2% 9.6–14.9%
24 February–7 March 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 12.9% 12.1–13.7% 11.9–14.0% 11.7–14.2% 11.3–14.6%
3–7 March 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 14.5% 13.4–15.8% 13.1–16.1% 12.8–16.4% 12.3–17.0%
28 February–7 March 2025 CIS 11.7% 11.1–12.4% 10.9–12.6% 10.7–12.7% 10.4–13.1%
3–6 March 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 14.6% 13.2–16.1% 12.9–16.6% 12.5–16.9% 11.9–17.7%
24–28 February 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 14.7% 13.3–16.2% 13.0–16.7% 12.6–17.0% 12.0–17.8%
21–24 February 2025 40dB
Prisa		 14.1% 13.1–15.2% 12.9–15.4% 12.6–15.7% 12.2–16.2%
19–21 February 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 14.2% 12.9–15.7% 12.5–16.1% 12.2–16.5% 11.6–17.2%
12–17 February 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 14.2% 12.9–15.6% 12.5–16.0% 12.2–16.4% 11.7–17.1%
12–14 February 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 14.3% 13.3–15.4% 13.0–15.7% 12.8–16.0% 12.3–16.5%
4–7 February 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 14.3% 13.0–15.8% 12.6–16.2% 12.3–16.6% 11.6–17.4%
31 January–6 February 2025 CIS 13.3% 12.6–14.0% 12.5–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.0–14.7%
24–31 January 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 13.1% 12.2–14.1% 12.0–14.3% 11.8–14.6% 11.4–15.0%
28–31 January 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 14.3% 13.0–15.8% 12.6–16.2% 12.3–16.6% 11.6–17.4%
24–27 January 2025 40dB
Prisa		 14.2% 13.2–15.3% 13.0–15.5% 12.7–15.8% 12.3–16.3%
22–24 January 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 15.5% 14.1–17.0% 13.7–17.5% 13.4–17.9% 12.7–18.6%
16–23 January 2025 GAD3
ABC		 14.2% 12.9–15.7% 12.5–16.1% 12.2–16.5% 11.6–17.2%
16–20 January 2025 DYM
Henneo		 12.9% 11.6–14.4% 11.3–14.8% 11.0–15.1% 10.4–15.9%
7–11 January 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 14.3% 13.0–15.7% 12.6–16.1% 12.3–16.5% 11.7–17.2%
31 December 2024–3 January 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 12.0–16.3% 11.4–17.0%
26–30 December 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 14.9% 13.5–16.4% 13.1–16.8% 12.8–17.2% 12.2–18.0%
26–30 December 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 14.1% 13.3–15.0% 13.1–15.2% 12.9–15.4% 12.5–15.8%
20–27 December 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.2% 11.3–16.9%
13–26 December 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 12.4% 11.6–13.3% 11.3–13.5% 11.2–13.8% 10.8–14.2%
20–26 December 2024 40dB
Prisa		 13.8% 12.8–14.8% 12.6–15.1% 12.3–15.4% 11.9–15.9%
10–12 December 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 13.2% 11.9–14.7% 11.6–15.1% 11.2–15.5% 10.7–16.2%
5–11 December 2024 Sondaxe
La Voz de Galicia		 14.3% 13.0–15.7% 12.7–16.1% 12.4–16.5% 11.8–17.2%
25 November–4 December 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 11.9% 11.0–12.9% 10.8–13.2% 10.5–13.4% 10.1–13.9%
2–4 December 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 14.9% 13.5–16.4% 13.1–16.9% 12.8–17.2% 12.2–18.0%
25–29 November 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.8–15.4% 11.5–15.8% 10.9–16.5%
25–27 November 2024 40dB
Prisa		 13.1% 12.2–14.1% 11.9–14.4% 11.7–14.7% 11.2–15.2%
22–24 November 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 13.5% 12.3–14.9% 12.0–15.2% 11.7–15.6% 11.2–16.2%
20–22 November 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 14.6% 13.4–15.9% 13.0–16.3% 12.8–16.6% 12.2–17.3%
18–22 November 2024 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		 14.5% 13.3–15.9% 12.9–16.3% 12.6–16.7% 12.0–17.3%
7–15 November 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 12.4% 11.2–13.7% 10.8–14.1% 10.5–14.4% 10.0–15.1%
11–14 November 2024 GAD3
Mediaset		 15.6% 14.3–17.2% 13.9–17.6% 13.5–18.0% 12.9–18.7%
8–11 November 2024 DYM
Henneo		 12.6% 11.4–14.0% 11.0–14.4% 10.7–14.8% 10.1–15.5%
5–8 November 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 12.5% 11.2–13.9% 10.9–14.3% 10.6–14.7% 10.0–15.4%
24–31 October 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 10.5% 9.6–11.5% 9.4–11.8% 9.2–12.0% 8.8–12.5%
21–24 October 2024 GAD3
ABC		 12.9% 11.6–14.3% 11.2–14.7% 10.9–15.1% 10.4–15.8%
16–18 October 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 10.6% 9.4–11.9% 9.1–12.3% 8.8–12.6% 8.3–13.3%
16–18 October 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 11.2% 10.4–12.1% 10.2–12.4% 10.0–12.6% 9.6–13.0%
16–18 October 2024 DYM
Henneo		 11.2% 10.0–12.6% 9.7–13.0% 9.4–13.3% 8.8–14.0%
8–11 October 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 11.4% 10.2–12.8% 9.9–13.2% 9.6–13.5% 9.0–14.2%
4–9 October 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 10.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–27 September 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 9.5% 8.7–10.4% 8.4–10.7% 8.2–10.9% 7.9–11.3%
25–27 September 2024 40dB
Prisa		 10.5% 9.7–11.4% 9.4–11.7% 9.2–11.9% 8.8–12.4%
23–26 September 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 13.0% 11.8–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.3% 10.5–16.0%
16–20 September 2024 Invymark
laSexta		 10.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–19 September 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
1–13 September 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 10.5% 9.3–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.7–12.5% 8.2–13.2%
3–6 September 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 11.3% 10.1–12.7% 9.8–13.1% 9.5–13.4% 8.9–14.1%
2–6 September 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 10.4% 9.3–11.6% 9.0–12.0% 8.7–12.3% 8.2–12.9%
2–6 September 2024 CIS 13.1% 12.4–13.8% 12.3–14.0% 12.1–14.2% 11.8–14.5%
26–31 August 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 11.1% 10.3–12.0% 10.1–12.2% 9.9–12.4% 9.5–12.9%
22–29 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 9.6% 8.9–10.4% 8.7–10.7% 8.5–10.9% 8.1–11.3%
20–23 August 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 9.6% 8.3–11.2% 7.9–11.7% 7.6–12.1% 7.0–13.0%
19–23 August 2024 40dB
Prisa		 10.6% 9.8–11.5% 9.5–11.8% 9.3–12.0% 8.9–12.5%
1–9 August 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 10.4% 9.0–12.1% 8.6–12.6% 8.3–13.0% 7.7–13.9%
5–8 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 9.9% 9.1–10.8% 8.9–11.0% 8.7–11.2% 8.3–11.7%
22 July 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 10.8% 9.3–12.5% 8.9–13.0% 8.6–13.4% 8.0–14.3%
18–20 July 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 11.2% 10.1–12.4% 9.8–12.8% 9.5–13.1% 9.0–13.7%
12–18 July 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 9.0% 8.3–9.8% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6%
1–10 July 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 10.5% 9.1–12.2% 8.7–12.7% 8.4–13.1% 7.7–14.0%
1–4 July 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 11.3% 10.1–12.7% 9.8–13.1% 9.5–13.4% 8.9–14.1%
1–4 July 2024 CIS 12.2% 11.6–12.9% 11.4–13.1% 11.2–13.3% 10.9–13.6%
21–28 June 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 10.9% 10.0–11.8% 9.8–12.1% 9.6–12.3% 9.2–12.8%
25–27 June 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 9.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 June 2024 40dB
Prisa		 10.4% 9.6–11.3% 9.3–11.6% 9.1–11.8% 8.7–12.3%
11–15 June 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 10.3% 8.9–12.0% 8.5–12.4% 8.2–12.8% 7.5–13.7%
10–14 June 2024 Invymark
laSexta		 11.1% 9.0–13.6% 8.4–14.4% 7.9–15.1% 7.1–16.4%
1–11 June 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 11.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vox (PfE).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0.1% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0.7% 99.9%  
13.5–14.5% 4% 99.2%  
14.5–15.5% 14% 95%  
15.5–16.5% 23% 81%  
16.5–17.5% 23% 58% Median
17.5–18.5% 17% 35%  
18.5–19.5% 8% 18%  
19.5–20.5% 5% 10%  
20.5–21.5% 3% 5%  
21.5–22.5% 1.5% 2%  
22.5–23.5% 0.4% 0.5%  
23.5–24.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 12 10–14 9–14 9–14 9–15
6–10 October 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 10 10–11 10–12 10–13 9–13
3–9 October 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 13 12–14 11–14 11–14 10–15
1–7 October 2025 CIS 13 12–13 12–13 12–13 11–14
1–4 October 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 11 9–12 9–12 9–12 9–13
17 September–1 October 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 11 10–12 10–12 10–12 9–12
25–30 September 2025 Opina 360
Antena 3		 14 13–15 13–15 12–15 12–17
26–28 September 2025 40dB
Prisa		 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 10–13
15–19 September 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 11 10–12 10–12 10–13 9–13
10–15 September 2025 DYM
Henneo		 11 10–12 10–12 9–13 9–13
8–12 September 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 10 9–11 9–12 9–12 9–12
10–11 September 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 12 11–13 11–13 10–14 10–14
5–11 September 2025 GAD3
ABC		 12 11–14 11–14 11–14 10–14
3–9 September 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 10 10–11 9–12 9–13 8–13
1–6 September 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 10 10–12 10–12 9–12 8–12
1–6 September 2025 CIS 12 12–13 11–13 11–13 11–13
2–5 September 2025 Demoscopia y Servicios
esRadio		 11 11–12 10–12 10–12 10–12
29 August–1 September 2025 40dB
Prisa		 12 12–13 11–13 11–14 11–14
26–29 August 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 11 10–12 9–12 9–13 9–13
20–28 August 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 11 10–11 9–12 9–12 8–12
21–30 July 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 10 9–10 9–11 9–11 9–12
21–24 July 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 10 9–12 9–12 9–12 9–14
14–18 July 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 10 9–11 9–11 9–12 8–12
11–14 July 2025 DYM
Henneo		 10 9–11 9–12 9–12 8–12
10–14 July 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 10 8–11 8–11 7–11 7–12
9–10 July 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 11 10–12 9–12 9–12 9–13
1–7 July 2025 CIS 13 13–14 13–14 13–14 12–14
30 June–4 July 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 10 8–11 7–12 7–13 6–14
27–30 June 2025 40dB
Prisa		 11 10–11 10–12 10–12 9–12
20–27 June 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 9 9–10 9–11 8–11 8–11
18–21 June 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 10 9–10 9–10 8–11 7–11
19–21 June 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 9 9–11 9–11 9–11 8–13
18–20 June 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 11 10–12 10–12 9–13 9–13
16–20 June 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 9 8–11 7–12 7–12 6–13
17 June 2025 DYM
Henneo		 10 9–11 8–11 8–11 8–12
9–13 June 2025 Invymark
laSexta		          
10–12 June 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 11 10–12 10–13 10–13 9–13
2–7 June 2025 CIS 9 9 9–10 8–10 8–10
27–29 May 2025 GAD3
ABC		 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 8–12
21 April–28 May 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 9 9 9 8–9 8–10
23–26 May 2025 40dB
Prisa		 10 9–10 9–11 9–11 8–11
23–25 May 2025 40dB
Prisa		 10 9–10 9–11 9–11 8–11
21–23 May 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 10 9–11 8–11 8–11 8–12
20–23 May 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 10 9–10 9–11 9–12 8–12
19–22 May 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 9 9–10 8–10 8–10 8–10
15–21 May 2025 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		 9 9–10 9–10 8–10 8–11
14–19 May 2025 DYM
Henneo		 8 8–9 7–10 7–10 7–10
5–8 May 2025 CIS 10 9–10 9–11 9–11 8–11
28 April–6 May 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 7–10
24–27 April 2025 40dB
Prisa		 9 9–10 8–10 8–11 8–11
23–25 April 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 10 9–11 9–11 8–11 8–12
21–25 April 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 9 7–10 7–10 7–11 7–11
14–17 April 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 9 9–10 8–10 8–10 8–11
4–15 April 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 8 8 8–9 7–9 7–10
9–15 April 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 10 8–11 8–11 8–11 8–12
1–8 April 2025 CIS 11 10–11 10–11 10–12 10–12
28–31 March 2025 40dB
Prisa		 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 8–11
27–28 March 2025 Data10
OKDiario		 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 8–12
19–21 March 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 10 9–11 8–11 8–11 8–12
19–21 March 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 9 9–10 9–10 9–10 8–10
14–21 March 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 9 9–10 9–10 8–10 8–11
12–16 March 2025 DYM
Henneo		 8 7–9 7–10 7–10 6–10
24 February–7 March 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 8 8–9 8–9 8–9 7–10
3–7 March 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 9 8–10 8–10 8–11 8–11
28 February–7 March 2025 CIS 8 7–8 7–8 7–8 7–9
3–6 March 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 10 9–11 9–11 9–12 8–12
24–28 February 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 8–12
21–24 February 2025 40dB
Prisa		 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 9–11
19–21 February 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 10 9–11 8–11 8–11 8–12
12–17 February 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 10 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–11
12–14 February 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 9 9–10 9–10 8–10 8–11
4–7 February 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 10 9–10 8–10 8–11 8–12
31 January–6 February 2025 CIS 9 8–9 8–10 8–10 8–10
24–31 January 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 7–10
28–31 January 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 9 9–10 9–11 8–11 8–11
24–27 January 2025 40dB
Prisa		 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 9–12
22–24 January 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 11 10–12 9–12 9–12 9–13
16–23 January 2025 GAD3
ABC		 10 9–10 8–10 8–11 8–11
16–20 January 2025 DYM
Henneo		 9 8–10 8–10 7–10 7–11
7–11 January 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 10 9–10 8–10 8–11 8–11
31 December 2024–3 January 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 10 9–11 8–11 8–11 8–12
26–30 December 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 10 9–11 9–11 9–12 8–12
26–30 December 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 9 9–10 9–10 9–10 8–10
20–27 December 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 9 8–11 8–11 8–11 7–12
13–26 December 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 9 8–9 8–9 8–9 7–9
20–26 December 2024 40dB
Prisa		 10 9–10 9–11 9–11 8–11
10–12 December 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 8 7–9 7–10 6–10 6–11
5–11 December 2024 Sondaxe
La Voz de Galicia		 10 9–10 9–10 9–10 8–11
25 November–4 December 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 8 7–8 7–8 7–9 7–9
2–4 December 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 10 9–11 9–11 9–12 8–12
25–29 November 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 7–11
25–27 November 2024 40dB
Prisa		 9 9–10 8–10 8–10 8–11
22–24 November 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 10 8–10 8–10 7–10 7–10
20–22 November 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 8–12
18–22 November 2024 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		 9 9–11 8–11 8–12 8–12
7–15 November 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 8 8–9 7–9 7–9 7–10
11–14 November 2024 GAD3
Mediaset		 11 10–12 10–12 9–13 9–13
8–11 November 2024 DYM
Henneo		 9 8–10 8–10 7–10 7–11
5–8 November 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 8 8–9 7–9 7–9 6–10
24–31 October 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 7 6–8 6–8 6–8 6–8
21–24 October 2024 GAD3
ABC		 9 8–10 7–10 7–10 7–11
16–18 October 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 7 6–8 6–8 6–9 5–9
16–18 October 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 8 7–8 7–8 7–8 6–9
16–18 October 2024 DYM
Henneo		 8 7–9 7–9 6–9 6–10
8–11 October 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 8 7–8 7–9 6–9 6–9
4–9 October 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
20–27 September 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 7 6–7 6–7 5–7 5–7
25–27 September 2024 40dB
Prisa		 7 7–8 6–8 6–8 6–9
23–26 September 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 9 8–10 8–10 7–10 7–11
16–20 September 2024 Invymark
laSexta		          
18–19 September 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 7 6–8 6–8 5–8 5–9
1–13 September 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 7 6–8 6–8 6–8 5–9
3–6 September 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 8 7–8 7–8 6–8 5–9
2–6 September 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 6 6–7 6–7 6–8 5–8
2–6 September 2024 CIS 9 8–9 8–9 8–10 8–10
26–31 August 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 8 7–8 7–8 6–8 6–8
22–29 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 6 6–7 5–8 5–8 5–8
20–23 August 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 6 6 6 5–7 5–8
19–23 August 2024 40dB
Prisa		 7 7–8 6–8 6–8 6–9
1–9 August 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 7 6–8 6–9 5–9 5–9
5–8 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 7 6–7 6–7 5–7 5–8
22 July 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 7 6–8 6–9 6–9 5–10
18–20 July 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 7 7–8 6–8 6–8 6–9
12–18 July 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 6 5–6 5–6 5–7 5–7
1–10 July 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 7 6–8 6–8 5–9 5–9
1–4 July 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 7 7–8 7–8 6–8 6–9
1–4 July 2024 CIS 8 8–9 7–9 7–9 7–9
21–28 June 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 7 7 7 7 6–8
25–27 June 2024 Target Point
El Debate		          
21–24 June 2024 40dB
Prisa		 7 6–8 6–8 6–8 6–8
11–15 June 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 7 5–7 5–8 5–8 5–8
10–14 June 2024 Invymark
laSexta		 7 6–9 5–10 5–10 4–11
1–11 June 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vox (PfE).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 6% 100%  
10 18% 94%  
11 23% 77%  
12 27% 54% Median
13 16% 26%  
14 9% 10%  
15 1.1% 1.2%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%