Vox (PfE)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 13.8% 11.9–15.8% 11.5–16.3% 11.2–16.8% 10.6–17.7%
10–12 December 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli
13.2% 11.9–14.7% 11.6–15.1% 11.2–15.5% 10.7–16.2%
5–11 December 2024 Sondaxe
La Voz de Galicia
14.3% 13.0–15.7% 12.7–16.1% 12.4–16.5% 11.8–17.2%
25 November–4 December 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo
11.9% 11.0–12.9% 10.8–13.2% 10.5–13.4% 10.1–13.9%
2–4 December 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica
14.9% 13.5–16.4% 13.1–16.9% 12.8–17.2% 12.2–18.0%
25–29 November 2024 NC Report
La Razón
13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.8–15.4% 11.5–15.8% 10.9–16.5%
25–27 November 2024 40dB
Prisa
13.1% 12.2–14.1% 11.9–14.4% 11.7–14.7% 11.2–15.2%
22–24 November 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español
13.5% 12.3–14.9% 12.0–15.2% 11.7–15.6% 11.2–16.2%
20–22 November 2024 Target Point
El Debate
14.6% 13.4–15.9% 13.0–16.3% 12.8–16.6% 12.2–17.3%
18–22 November 2024 Ipsos
La Vanguardia
14.5% 13.3–15.9% 12.9–16.3% 12.6–16.7% 12.0–17.3%
7–15 November 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero
12.4% 11.2–13.7% 10.8–14.1% 10.5–14.4% 10.0–15.1%
11–14 November 2024 GAD3
Mediaset
15.6% 14.3–17.2% 13.9–17.6% 13.5–18.0% 12.9–18.7%
8–11 November 2024 DYM
Henneo
12.6% 11.4–14.0% 11.0–14.4% 10.7–14.8% 10.1–15.5%
5–8 November 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli
12.5% 11.2–13.9% 10.9–14.3% 10.6–14.7% 10.0–15.4%
24–31 October 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo
10.5% 9.6–11.5% 9.4–11.8% 9.2–12.0% 8.8–12.5%
21–24 October 2024 GAD3
ABC
12.9% 11.6–14.3% 11.2–14.7% 10.9–15.1% 10.4–15.8%
16–18 October 2024 Target Point
El Debate
10.6% 9.4–11.9% 9.1–12.3% 8.8–12.6% 8.3–13.3%
16–18 October 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español
11.2% 10.4–12.1% 10.2–12.4% 10.0–12.6% 9.6–13.0%
16–18 October 2024 DYM
Henneo
11.2% 10.0–12.6% 9.7–13.0% 9.4–13.3% 8.8–14.0%
8–11 October 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli
11.4% 10.2–12.8% 9.9–13.2% 9.6–13.5% 9.0–14.2%
4–9 October 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero
10.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–27 September 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo
9.5% 8.7–10.4% 8.4–10.7% 8.2–10.9% 7.9–11.3%
25–27 September 2024 40dB
Prisa
10.5% 9.7–11.4% 9.4–11.7% 9.2–11.9% 8.8–12.4%
23–26 September 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica
13.0% 11.8–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.3% 10.5–16.0%
16–20 September 2024 InvyMark
laSexta
10.9% 9.8–12.2% 9.5–12.5% 9.3–12.8% 8.8–13.4%
18–19 September 2024 Target Point
El Debate
10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
1–13 September 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es
10.5% 9.3–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.7–12.5% 8.2–13.2%
3–6 September 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli
11.3% 10.1–12.7% 9.8–13.1% 9.5–13.4% 8.9–14.1%
2–6 September 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero
10.4% 9.3–11.6% 9.0–12.0% 8.7–12.3% 8.2–12.9%
2–6 September 2024 CIS 13.1% 12.4–13.8% 12.3–14.0% 12.1–14.2% 11.8–14.5%
26–31 August 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español
11.1% 10.3–12.0% 10.1–12.2% 9.9–12.4% 9.5–12.9%
22–29 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo
9.6% 8.9–10.4% 8.7–10.7% 8.5–10.9% 8.1–11.3%
20–23 August 2024 NC Report
La Razón
9.6% 8.3–11.2% 7.9–11.7% 7.6–12.1% 7.0–13.0%
19–23 August 2024 40dB
Prisa
10.6% 9.8–11.5% 9.5–11.8% 9.3–12.0% 8.9–12.5%
1–9 August 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es
10.4% 9.0–12.1% 8.6–12.6% 8.3–13.0% 7.7–13.9%
5–8 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo
9.9% 9.1–10.8% 8.9–11.0% 8.7–11.2% 8.3–11.7%
22 July 2024 Target Point
El Debate
10.8% 9.3–12.5% 8.9–13.0% 8.6–13.4% 8.0–14.3%
18–20 July 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español
11.2% 10.1–12.4% 9.8–12.8% 9.5–13.1% 9.0–13.7%
12–18 July 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo
9.0% 8.3–9.8% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6%
1–10 July 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es
10.5% 9.1–12.2% 8.7–12.7% 8.4–13.1% 7.7–14.0%
1–4 July 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli
11.3% 10.1–12.7% 9.8–13.1% 9.5–13.4% 8.9–14.1%
1–4 July 2024 CIS 12.2% 11.6–12.9% 11.4–13.1% 11.2–13.3% 10.9–13.6%
21–28 June 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo
10.9% 10.0–11.8% 9.8–12.1% 9.6–12.3% 9.2–12.8%
25–27 June 2024 Target Point
El Debate
9.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 June 2024 40dB
Prisa
10.4% 9.6–11.3% 9.3–11.6% 9.1–11.8% 8.7–12.3%
11–15 June 2024 NC Report
La Razón
10.3% 8.9–12.0% 8.5–12.4% 8.2–12.8% 7.5–13.7%
10–14 June 2024 Invymark
laSexta
11.0% 9.0–13.6% 8.4–14.4% 7.9–15.1% 7.1–16.4%
1–11 June 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es
11.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vox (PfE).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0.5% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 5% 99.5%  
11.5–12.5% 15% 95%  
12.5–13.5% 23% 80%  
13.5–14.5% 25% 56% Median
14.5–15.5% 18% 31%  
15.5–16.5% 9% 13%  
16.5–17.5% 3% 4%  
17.5–18.5% 0.6% 0.7%  
18.5–19.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 9 8–11 7–11 7–12 7–12
10–12 December 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli
8 7–9 7–10 6–10 6–11
5–11 December 2024 Sondaxe
La Voz de Galicia
10 9–10 9–10 9–10 8–11
25 November–4 December 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo
8 7–8 7–8 7–9 7–9
2–4 December 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica
10 9–11 9–11 9–12 8–12
25–29 November 2024 NC Report
La Razón
9 8–10 8–10 8–10 7–11
25–27 November 2024 40dB
Prisa
9 9–10 8–10 8–10 8–11
22–24 November 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español
10 8–10 8–10 7–10 7–10
20–22 November 2024 Target Point
El Debate
10 9–11 9–11 9–11 8–12
18–22 November 2024 Ipsos
La Vanguardia
9 9–11 8–11 8–12 8–12
7–15 November 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero
8 8–9 7–9 7–9 7–10
11–14 November 2024 GAD3
Mediaset
11 10–12 10–12 9–13 9–13
8–11 November 2024 DYM
Henneo
9 8–10 8–10 7–10 7–11
5–8 November 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli
8 8–9 7–9 7–9 6–10
24–31 October 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo
7 6–8 6–8 6–8 6–8
21–24 October 2024 GAD3
ABC
9 8–10 7–10 7–10 7–11
16–18 October 2024 Target Point
El Debate
7 6–8 6–8 6–9 5–9
16–18 October 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español
8 7–8 7–8 7–8 6–9
16–18 October 2024 DYM
Henneo
8 7–9 7–9 6–9 6–10
8–11 October 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli
8 7–8 7–9 6–9 6–9
4–9 October 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero
         
20–27 September 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo
7 6–7 6–7 5–7 5–7
25–27 September 2024 40dB
Prisa
7 7–8 6–8 6–8 6–9
23–26 September 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica
9 8–10 8–10 7–10 7–11
16–20 September 2024 InvyMark
laSexta
8 7–9 7–9 6–9 6–10
18–19 September 2024 Target Point
El Debate
7 6–8 6–8 5–8 5–9
1–13 September 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es
7 6–8 6–8 6–8 5–9
3–6 September 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli
8 7–8 7–8 6–8 5–9
2–6 September 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero
6 6–7 6–7 6–8 5–8
2–6 September 2024 CIS 9 8–9 8–9 8–10 8–10
26–31 August 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español
8 7–8 7–8 6–8 6–8
22–29 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo
6 6–7 5–8 5–8 5–8
20–23 August 2024 NC Report
La Razón
6 6 6 5–7 5–8
19–23 August 2024 40dB
Prisa
7 7–8 6–8 6–8 6–9
1–9 August 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es
7 6–8 6–9 5–9 5–9
5–8 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo
7 6–7 6–7 5–7 5–8
22 July 2024 Target Point
El Debate
7 6–8 6–9 6–9 5–10
18–20 July 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español
7 7–8 6–8 6–8 6–9
12–18 July 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo
6 5–6 5–6 5–7 5–7
1–10 July 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es
7 6–8 6–8 5–9 5–9
1–4 July 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli
7 7–8 7–8 6–8 6–9
1–4 July 2024 CIS 8 8–9 7–9 7–9 7–9
21–28 June 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo
7 7 7 7 6–8
25–27 June 2024 Target Point
El Debate
         
21–24 June 2024 40dB
Prisa
7 6–8 6–8 6–8 6–8
11–15 June 2024 NC Report
La Razón
7 5–7 5–8 5–8 5–8
10–14 June 2024 Invymark
laSexta
7 6–9 5–10 5–10 4–11
1–11 June 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es
         

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vox (PfE).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.3% 100%  
7 8% 99.7%  
8 24% 92%  
9 23% 68% Median
10 32% 45%  
11 10% 13%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%