Vox (PfE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 13.8% | 11.9–15.8% | 11.5–16.3% | 11.2–16.8% | 10.6–17.7% |
10–12 December 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
13.2% | 11.9–14.7% | 11.6–15.1% | 11.2–15.5% | 10.7–16.2% |
5–11 December 2024 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
14.3% | 13.0–15.7% | 12.7–16.1% | 12.4–16.5% | 11.8–17.2% |
25 November–4 December 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
11.9% | 11.0–12.9% | 10.8–13.2% | 10.5–13.4% | 10.1–13.9% |
2–4 December 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
14.9% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.1–16.9% | 12.8–17.2% | 12.2–18.0% |
25–29 November 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.8–15.4% | 11.5–15.8% | 10.9–16.5% |
25–27 November 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
13.1% | 12.2–14.1% | 11.9–14.4% | 11.7–14.7% | 11.2–15.2% |
22–24 November 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
13.5% | 12.3–14.9% | 12.0–15.2% | 11.7–15.6% | 11.2–16.2% |
20–22 November 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
14.6% | 13.4–15.9% | 13.0–16.3% | 12.8–16.6% | 12.2–17.3% |
18–22 November 2024 | Ipsos La Vanguardia |
14.5% | 13.3–15.9% | 12.9–16.3% | 12.6–16.7% | 12.0–17.3% |
7–15 November 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
12.4% | 11.2–13.7% | 10.8–14.1% | 10.5–14.4% | 10.0–15.1% |
11–14 November 2024 | GAD3 Mediaset |
15.6% | 14.3–17.2% | 13.9–17.6% | 13.5–18.0% | 12.9–18.7% |
8–11 November 2024 | DYM Henneo |
12.6% | 11.4–14.0% | 11.0–14.4% | 10.7–14.8% | 10.1–15.5% |
5–8 November 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
12.5% | 11.2–13.9% | 10.9–14.3% | 10.6–14.7% | 10.0–15.4% |
24–31 October 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
10.5% | 9.6–11.5% | 9.4–11.8% | 9.2–12.0% | 8.8–12.5% |
21–24 October 2024 | GAD3 ABC |
12.9% | 11.6–14.3% | 11.2–14.7% | 10.9–15.1% | 10.4–15.8% |
16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
10.6% | 9.4–11.9% | 9.1–12.3% | 8.8–12.6% | 8.3–13.3% |
16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
11.2% | 10.4–12.1% | 10.2–12.4% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.6–13.0% |
16–18 October 2024 | DYM Henneo |
11.2% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.4–13.3% | 8.8–14.0% |
8–11 October 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.2% | 9.6–13.5% | 9.0–14.2% |
4–9 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
10.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20–27 September 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
9.5% | 8.7–10.4% | 8.4–10.7% | 8.2–10.9% | 7.9–11.3% |
25–27 September 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
10.5% | 9.7–11.4% | 9.4–11.7% | 9.2–11.9% | 8.8–12.4% |
23–26 September 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
13.0% | 11.8–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.0% |
16–20 September 2024 | InvyMark laSexta |
10.9% | 9.8–12.2% | 9.5–12.5% | 9.3–12.8% | 8.8–13.4% |
18–19 September 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
1–13 September 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
10.5% | 9.3–11.8% | 9.0–12.2% | 8.7–12.5% | 8.2–13.2% |
3–6 September 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
11.3% | 10.1–12.7% | 9.8–13.1% | 9.5–13.4% | 8.9–14.1% |
2–6 September 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
10.4% | 9.3–11.6% | 9.0–12.0% | 8.7–12.3% | 8.2–12.9% |
2–6 September 2024 | CIS | 13.1% | 12.4–13.8% | 12.3–14.0% | 12.1–14.2% | 11.8–14.5% |
26–31 August 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
11.1% | 10.3–12.0% | 10.1–12.2% | 9.9–12.4% | 9.5–12.9% |
22–29 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
9.6% | 8.9–10.4% | 8.7–10.7% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.1–11.3% |
20–23 August 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
9.6% | 8.3–11.2% | 7.9–11.7% | 7.6–12.1% | 7.0–13.0% |
19–23 August 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
10.6% | 9.8–11.5% | 9.5–11.8% | 9.3–12.0% | 8.9–12.5% |
1–9 August 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
10.4% | 9.0–12.1% | 8.6–12.6% | 8.3–13.0% | 7.7–13.9% |
5–8 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
9.9% | 9.1–10.8% | 8.9–11.0% | 8.7–11.2% | 8.3–11.7% |
22 July 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
10.8% | 9.3–12.5% | 8.9–13.0% | 8.6–13.4% | 8.0–14.3% |
18–20 July 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
11.2% | 10.1–12.4% | 9.8–12.8% | 9.5–13.1% | 9.0–13.7% |
12–18 July 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
9.0% | 8.3–9.8% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.6% |
1–10 July 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
10.5% | 9.1–12.2% | 8.7–12.7% | 8.4–13.1% | 7.7–14.0% |
1–4 July 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
11.3% | 10.1–12.7% | 9.8–13.1% | 9.5–13.4% | 8.9–14.1% |
1–4 July 2024 | CIS | 12.2% | 11.6–12.9% | 11.4–13.1% | 11.2–13.3% | 10.9–13.6% |
21–28 June 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
10.9% | 10.0–11.8% | 9.8–12.1% | 9.6–12.3% | 9.2–12.8% |
25–27 June 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
9.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–24 June 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
10.4% | 9.6–11.3% | 9.3–11.6% | 9.1–11.8% | 8.7–12.3% |
11–15 June 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
10.3% | 8.9–12.0% | 8.5–12.4% | 8.2–12.8% | 7.5–13.7% |
10–14 June 2024 | Invymark laSexta |
11.0% | 9.0–13.6% | 8.4–14.4% | 7.9–15.1% | 7.1–16.4% |
1–11 June 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vox (PfE).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 5% | 99.5% | |
11.5–12.5% | 15% | 95% | |
12.5–13.5% | 23% | 80% | |
13.5–14.5% | 25% | 56% | Median |
14.5–15.5% | 18% | 31% | |
15.5–16.5% | 9% | 13% | |
16.5–17.5% | 3% | 4% | |
17.5–18.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
18.5–19.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 |
10–12 December 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 |
5–11 December 2024 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–11 |
25 November–4 December 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
2–4 December 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 8–12 |
25–29 November 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–11 |
25–27 November 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
9 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 |
22–24 November 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 |
20–22 November 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–12 |
18–22 November 2024 | Ipsos La Vanguardia |
9 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 8–12 |
7–15 November 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–10 |
11–14 November 2024 | GAD3 Mediaset |
11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 |
8–11 November 2024 | DYM Henneo |
9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
5–8 November 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–10 |
24–31 October 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
21–24 October 2024 | GAD3 ABC |
9 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 |
16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–9 |
16–18 October 2024 | DYM Henneo |
8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 |
8–11 October 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
4–9 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
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20–27 September 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
25–27 September 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
7 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
23–26 September 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
16–20 September 2024 | InvyMark laSexta |
8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 |
18–19 September 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 |
1–13 September 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 |
3–6 September 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 |
2–6 September 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
2–6 September 2024 | CIS | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
26–31 August 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
22–29 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
6 | 6–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
20–23 August 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
6 | 6 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
19–23 August 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
7 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
1–9 August 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
7 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
5–8 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
22 July 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
7 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–10 |
18–20 July 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
7 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
12–18 July 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
1–10 July 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
1–4 July 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
1–4 July 2024 | CIS | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
21–28 June 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6–8 |
25–27 June 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
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21–24 June 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
11–15 June 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
10–14 June 2024 | Invymark laSexta |
7 | 6–9 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 4–11 |
1–11 June 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vox (PfE).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 0% | 100% | |
4 | 0% | 100% | |
5 | 0% | 100% | |
6 | 0.3% | 100% | |
7 | 8% | 99.7% | |
8 | 24% | 92% | |
9 | 23% | 68% | Median |
10 | 32% | 45% | |
11 | 10% | 13% | |
12 | 3% | 3% | |
13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
14 | 0% | 0% |