Podemos (GUE/NGL)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 4.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.6% | 2.5–5.9% | 2.2–6.4% |
10–12 December 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
5–11 December 2024 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
25 November–4 December 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
2–4 December 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
25–29 November 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
25–27 November 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
2.8% | 2.4–3.3% | 2.3–3.5% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.0–3.9% |
22–24 November 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
3.6% | 3.0–4.4% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.7–4.8% | 2.4–5.2% |
20–22 November 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
4.7% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.8–5.8% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.4–6.4% |
18–22 November 2024 | Ipsos La Vanguardia |
3.4% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.5–4.6% | 2.2–5.0% |
7–15 November 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.0% |
11–14 November 2024 | GAD3 Mediaset |
4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
8–11 November 2024 | DYM Henneo |
4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–7.0% |
5–8 November 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
24–31 October 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
4.9% | 4.3–5.6% | 4.1–5.8% | 4.0–6.0% | 3.7–6.4% |
21–24 October 2024 | GAD3 ABC |
3.3% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.1% |
16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
3.1% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.8% |
16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
3.4% | 2.9–3.9% | 2.8–4.1% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.5–4.5% |
16–18 October 2024 | DYM Henneo |
2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
8–11 October 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
4–9 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
3.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20–27 September 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
3.4% | 2.9–4.0% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.7–4.3% | 2.5–4.6% |
25–27 September 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
2.7% | 2.3–3.2% | 2.2–3.4% | 2.1–3.5% | 1.9–3.8% |
23–26 September 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
16–20 September 2024 | InvyMark laSexta |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–19 September 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.3% |
1–13 September 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
3.4% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.1% |
3–6 September 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.5% |
2–6 September 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.3–4.4% | 2.0–4.8% |
2–6 September 2024 | CIS | 3.6% | 3.2–4.0% | 3.1–4.1% | 3.1–4.2% | 2.9–4.4% |
26–31 August 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
4.6% | 4.1–5.2% | 3.9–5.4% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% |
22–29 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–4.0% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% |
20–23 August 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
3.5% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.9% | 2.3–5.2% | 2.0–5.8% |
19–23 August 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
2.7% | 2.3–3.2% | 2.2–3.4% | 2.1–3.5% | 1.9–3.8% |
1–9 August 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
3.0% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.6% | 1.6–5.1% |
5–8 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
3.4% | 2.9–3.9% | 2.8–4.1% | 2.7–4.3% | 2.5–4.5% |
22 July 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
4.8% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.6–6.5% | 3.4–6.8% | 3.0–7.5% |
18–20 July 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
3.7% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.9–4.7% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.5–5.3% |
12–18 July 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
3.6% | 3.2–4.1% | 3.0–4.3% | 3.0–4.4% | 2.8–4.7% |
1–10 July 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
2.7% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–4.0% | 1.7–4.2% | 1.4–4.8% |
1–4 July 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
1–4 July 2024 | CIS | 4.0% | 3.6–4.4% | 3.5–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.2–4.9% |
21–28 June 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
3.4% | 2.9–4.0% | 2.8–4.1% | 2.7–4.3% | 2.5–4.6% |
25–27 June 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
4.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–24 June 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
11–15 June 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
3.5% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.5–5.0% | 2.4–5.2% | 2.0–5.8% |
10–14 June 2024 | Invymark laSexta |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–11 June 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
3.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Podemos (GUE/NGL).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 3% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 26% | 97% | |
3.5–4.5% | 40% | 71% | Median |
4.5–5.5% | 26% | 31% | |
5.5–6.5% | 5% | 6% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
10–12 December 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 |
5–11 December 2024 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
25 November–4 December 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
2–4 December 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
25–29 November 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
25–27 November 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
22–24 November 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 |
20–22 November 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
18–22 November 2024 | Ipsos La Vanguardia |
2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
7–15 November 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
11–14 November 2024 | GAD3 Mediaset |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 |
8–11 November 2024 | DYM Henneo |
3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
5–8 November 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
24–31 October 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
21–24 October 2024 | GAD3 ABC |
2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
16–18 October 2024 | DYM Henneo |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
8–11 October 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
4–9 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
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20–27 September 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
25–27 September 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
23–26 September 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
16–20 September 2024 | InvyMark laSexta |
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18–19 September 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
1–13 September 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
3–6 September 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
2–6 September 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
2–6 September 2024 | CIS | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
26–31 August 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
22–29 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
20–23 August 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
19–23 August 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
1–9 August 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
5–8 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
22 July 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
18–20 July 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
12–18 July 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
1–10 July 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 |
1–4 July 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
1–4 July 2024 | CIS | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
21–28 June 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
25–27 June 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
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21–24 June 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
11–15 June 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–4 |
10–14 June 2024 | Invymark laSexta |
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1–11 June 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Podemos (GUE/NGL).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 5% | 100% | |
2 | 50% | 95% | Median |
3 | 43% | 45% | |
4 | 3% | 3% | |
5 | 0% | 0% |