Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 4.1% | 3.2–5.4% | 3.0–5.9% | 2.8–6.2% | 2.5–6.8% |
11–14 November 2024 | GAD3 Mediaset |
3.7% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
8–11 November 2024 | DYM Henneo |
4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
5–8 November 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
24–31 October 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
3.4% | 2.9–4.0% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.5–4.7% |
21–24 October 2024 | GAD3 ABC |
5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
22 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
4.2% | 3.3–5.5% | 3.0–5.9% | 2.8–6.2% | 2.4–6.9% |
16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.4% |
16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
4.1% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.5–4.9% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.1–5.3% |
16–18 October 2024 | DYM Henneo |
4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.6–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
8–11 October 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
20–27 September 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.1% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.2–5.6% |
25–27 September 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
3.8% | 3.3–4.4% | 3.2–4.6% | 3.0–4.7% | 2.8–5.0% |
23–26 September 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
16–20 September 2024 | InvyMark laSexta |
3.8% | 3.1–4.6% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.0% | 2.5–5.4% |
18–19 September 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
1–13 September 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
4.6% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.1–6.5% |
3–6 September 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
2–6 September 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.3–5.7% | 3.0–6.2% |
2–6 September 2024 | CIS | 4.8% | 4.4–5.3% | 4.3–5.4% | 4.2–5.5% | 4.0–5.8% |
26–31 August 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
3.8% | 3.3–4.3% | 3.2–4.5% | 3.1–4.6% | 2.9–4.9% |
22–29 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
4.2% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.6–4.9% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.2–5.4% |
20–23 August 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
3.7% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.5–5.4% | 2.1–6.0% |
19–23 August 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
3.8% | 3.3–4.4% | 3.2–4.6% | 3.0–4.7% | 2.8–5.0% |
1–9 August 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
4.8% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.6–6.5% | 3.4–6.8% | 3.0–7.4% |
5–8 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.2–4.8% | 2.9–5.1% |
22 July 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
3.6% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.4–5.3% | 2.1–5.9% |
18–20 July 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
4.6% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.7–5.7% | 3.5–5.9% | 3.2–6.4% |
12–18 July 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
4.3% | 3.8–4.8% | 3.6–5.0% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% |
1–10 July 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
5.3% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.8–7.4% | 3.4–8.0% |
1–4 July 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
1–4 July 2024 | CIS | 4.1% | 3.7–4.5% | 3.6–4.6% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.3–5.0% |
25–28 June 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
3.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–28 June 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
4.1% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.3–5.1% | 3.1–5.4% |
21–24 June 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
3.6% | 3.2–4.3% | 3.0–4.4% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.9% |
11–15 June 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
3.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.3% | 2.6–5.6% | 2.3–6.2% |
10–14 June 2024 | Invymark laSexta |
5.3% | 4.0–7.4% | 3.6–8.0% | 3.3–8.5% | 2.8–9.6% |
1–11 June 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
5.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 23% | 99.3% | |
3.5–4.5% | 45% | 76% | Median |
4.5–5.5% | 23% | 31% | |
5.5–6.5% | 8% | 9% | |
6.5–7.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–4 |
11–14 November 2024 | GAD3 Mediaset |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
8–11 November 2024 | DYM Henneo |
3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
5–8 November 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
24–31 October 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
21–24 October 2024 | GAD3 ABC |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
22 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
2 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–4 |
16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
16–18 October 2024 | DYM Henneo |
3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
8–11 October 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 |
20–27 September 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
25–27 September 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
23–26 September 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
16–20 September 2024 | InvyMark laSexta |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 |
18–19 September 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 1–4 |
1–13 September 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
3–6 September 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 |
2–6 September 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 |
2–6 September 2024 | CIS | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
26–31 August 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
22–29 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
20–23 August 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
19–23 August 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
1–9 August 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
5–8 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
22 July 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
18–20 July 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
12–18 July 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
1–10 July 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
1–4 July 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
1–4 July 2024 | CIS | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
25–28 June 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
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21–28 June 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
21–24 June 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
11–15 June 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
10–14 June 2024 | Invymark laSexta |
3 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 1–6 |
1–11 June 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Movimiento Sumar–Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 1.4% | 100% | |
2 | 48% | 98.6% | |
3 | 40% | 51% | Median |
4 | 10% | 11% | |
5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
6 | 0% | 0% |