Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 27.0% 24.6–30.7% 23.9–31.6% 23.3–32.1% 22.1–32.8%
1–11 June 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 26.4% 25.1–27.7% 24.8–28.0% 24.5–28.4% 23.9–29.0%
1–4 June 2026 CIS 31.5% 30.6–32.5% 30.3–32.7% 30.1–33.0% 29.6–33.4%
28 May–1 June 2026 40dB
Prisa		 27.7% 26.4–29.0% 26.1–29.4% 25.8–29.7% 25.2–30.3%
28–30 May 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		 25.9% 24.3–27.6% 23.9–28.1% 23.5–28.5% 22.8–29.3%
25–29 May 2026 Invymark
laSexta		 27.8% 26.2–29.5% 25.8–30.0% 25.4–30.5% 24.6–31.3%
27–28 May 2026 Target Point
El Debate		 25.4% 23.7–27.3% 23.2–27.8% 22.8–28.2% 22.0–29.1%
26–28 May 2026 GAD3
ABC		 26.8% 25.1–28.7% 24.6–29.2% 24.2–29.6% 23.4–30.5%
25–27 May 2026 NC Report
La Razón		 25.0% 22.9–27.4% 22.3–28.0% 21.8–28.6% 20.8–29.7%
20–22 May 2026 DYM
Henneo		 27.7% 25.9–29.5% 25.4–30.0% 25.0–30.5% 24.2–31.4%
4–18 May 2026 CIS 36.2% 35.2–37.2% 35.0–37.5% 34.7–37.7% 34.3–38.2%
24–29 April 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 28.4% 26.7–30.1% 26.3–30.6% 25.9–31.0% 25.1–31.8%
24–27 April 2026 40dB
Prisa		 28.4% 27.1–29.7% 26.8–30.1% 26.5–30.4% 25.9–31.1%
22–26 April 2026 Ateneo del Dato 27.5% 26.2–28.8% 25.9–29.2% 25.6–29.5% 25.0–30.1%
21–25 April 2026 More in Common 28.0% 26.9–29.2% 26.6–29.5% 26.3–29.8% 25.7–30.3%
15–18 April 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		 27.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–10 April 2026 CIS 36.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–9 April 2026 NC Report
La Razón		 26.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23 March–8 April 2026 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		 28.4% 26.6–30.2% 26.1–30.7% 25.7–31.2% 24.9–32.0%
16–31 March 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 27.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 March 2026 Target Point
El Debate		 27.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–25 March 2026 40dB
Prisa		 28.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–23 March 2026 DYM
Henneo		 27.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–21 March 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		 26.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–6 March 2026 CIS 31.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–27 February 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 26.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–23 February 2026 40dB
Prisa		 27.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–22 February 2026 Ateneo del Dato
elDiario.es		 27.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–19 February 2026 Target Point
El Debate		 25.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–13 February 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		 25.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–13 February 2026 NC Report
La Razón		 25.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10 February 2026 Data10
Okdiario		 26.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–6 February 2026 CIS 32.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 January–2 February 2026 40dB
Prisa		 27.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 January 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 26.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–25 January 2026 DYM
Henneo		 27.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–18 January 2026 DYM
Henneo		 27.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–15 January 2026 Target Point
El Debate		 26.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–15 January 2026 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 26.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–10 January 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		 25.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–10 January 2026 CIS 31.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–9 January 2026 NC Report
La Razón		 26.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 December 2025–5 January 2026 40dB
Prisa		 27.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–29 December 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 26.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–19 December 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 27.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 December 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 26.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 November–5 December 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 27.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–5 December 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 27.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–5 December 2025 CIS 31.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 November–1 December 2025 40dB
Prisa		 27.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–21 November 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 28.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–19 November 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 28.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–14 November 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 27.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–14 November 2025 DYM
Henneo		 27.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–12 November 2025 CIS 32.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–8 November 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 27.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 October–6 November 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 27.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–6 November 2025 Cluster17
Agenda Pública		 28.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 October–4 November 2025 Opina 360
Telecinco		 28.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 October–4 November 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 26.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 October 2025 40dB
Prisa		 28.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–10 October 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 26.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–9 October 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 27.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–7 October 2025 CIS 34.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–4 October 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 26.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17 September–1 October 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 27.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–30 September 2025 Opina 360
Antena 3		 30.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–28 September 2025 40dB
Prisa		 29.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–19 September 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 28.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–15 September 2025 DYM
Henneo		 26.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–12 September 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 26.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 September 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 27.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–11 September 2025 GAD3
ABC		 26.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–9 September 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 25.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–6 September 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 25.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–6 September 2025 CIS 32.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–5 September 2025 Demoscopia y Servicios
esRadio		 26.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 August–1 September 2025 40dB
Prisa		 27.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 August 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 26.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–28 August 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 27.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–30 July 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 26.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 July 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 25.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–18 July 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 25.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–14 July 2025 DYM
Henneo		 26.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–14 July 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 25.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–10 July 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 26.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–7 July 2025 CIS 27.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 June–4 July 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 29.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–30 June 2025 40dB
Prisa		 27.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–27 June 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 26.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 June 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 26.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–21 June 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 25.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–20 June 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 26.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–20 June 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 29.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17 June 2025 DYM
Henneo		 26.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–13 June 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 30.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 June 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 27.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–7 June 2025 CIS 34.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–29 May 2025 GAD3
ABC		 27.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21 April–28 May 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 28.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–26 May 2025 40dB
Prisa		 29.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–25 May 2025 40dB
Prisa		 29.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–23 May 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 28.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–23 May 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 27.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–22 May 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 29.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–21 May 2025 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		 30.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–19 May 2025 DYM
Henneo		 28.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–8 May 2025 CIS 32.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 April–6 May 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 28.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–27 April 2025 40dB
Prisa		 29.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–25 April 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 28.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–25 April 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 29.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–17 April 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 28.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–15 April 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 27.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 April 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 27.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–8 April 2025 CIS 32.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–31 March 2025 40dB
Prisa		 29.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–28 March 2025 Data10
OKDiario		 28.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–21 March 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 30.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–21 March 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 28.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–21 March 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 28.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–16 March 2025 DYM
Henneo		 29.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24 February–7 March 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 27.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–7 March 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 28.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 February–7 March 2025 CIS 35.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–6 March 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 27.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 February 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 27.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 February 2025 40dB
Prisa		 29.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–21 February 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 29.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–17 February 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 27.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–14 February 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 27.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 February 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 27.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 January–6 February 2025 CIS 33.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–31 January 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 27.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–31 January 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 27.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–27 January 2025 40dB
Prisa		 28.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–24 January 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 28.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–23 January 2025 GAD3
ABC		 27.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–20 January 2025 DYM
Henneo		 28.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–11 January 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 28.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 December 2024–3 January 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 28.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 December 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 28.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 December 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 28.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–27 December 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 28.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–26 December 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 27.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–26 December 2024 40dB
Prisa		 29.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 December 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 28.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–11 December 2024 Sondaxe
La Voz de Galicia		 28.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25 November–4 December 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 27.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–4 December 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 28.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–29 November 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 28.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 November 2024 40dB
Prisa		 29.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–24 November 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 26.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–22 November 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 28.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–22 November 2024 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		 28.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–15 November 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 28.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–14 November 2024 GAD3
Mediaset		 27.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 November 2024 DYM
Henneo		 28.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–8 November 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 28.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–31 October 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 28.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 October 2024 GAD3
ABC		 28.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–18 October 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 29.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–18 October 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 28.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–18 October 2024 DYM
Henneo		 28.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 October 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 28.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 October 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 29.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–27 September 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 28.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 September 2024 40dB
Prisa		 29.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–26 September 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 27.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–20 September 2024 Invymark
laSexta		 30.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–19 September 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 30.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–13 September 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 30.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–6 September 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 29.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–6 September 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 29.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–6 September 2024 CIS 33.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–31 August 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 29.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–29 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 28.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–23 August 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 28.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–23 August 2024 40dB
Prisa		 30.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–9 August 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 30.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–8 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 28.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 July 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 30.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–20 July 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 29.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–18 July 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 29.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–10 July 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 31.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–4 July 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 29.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–4 July 2024 CIS 32.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–28 June 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 30.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 June 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 29.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 June 2024 40dB
Prisa		 31.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–15 June 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 29.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–14 June 2024 Invymark
laSexta		 31.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–11 June 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 30.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0.2% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0.7% 99.8%  
22.5–23.5% 2% 99.0%  
23.5–24.5% 6% 97%  
24.5–25.5% 12% 90%  
25.5–26.5% 19% 78%  
26.5–27.5% 21% 59% Median
27.5–28.5% 16% 37%  
28.5–29.5% 8% 22%  
29.5–30.5% 3% 14%  
30.5–31.5% 5% 11%  
31.5–32.5% 5% 5%  
32.5–33.5% 0.9% 0.9%  
33.5–34.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 19 17–22 16–22 16–23 15–23
1–11 June 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 19 18–19 17–19 17–20 17–20
1–4 June 2026 CIS 22 21–23 21–23 21–23 21–24
28 May–1 June 2026 40dB
Prisa		 20 19–21 18–21 18–21 18–22
28–30 May 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		 17 17–19 17–19 16–19 15–20
25–29 May 2026 Invymark
laSexta		 19 18–20 18–21 18–21 17–22
27–28 May 2026 Target Point
El Debate		 18 17–20 17–20 16–20 16–21
26–28 May 2026 GAD3
ABC		 18 16–20 15–21 15–21 15–21
25–27 May 2026 NC Report
La Razón		 17 15–18 15–19 14–20 14–21
20–22 May 2026 DYM
Henneo		 19 18–21 18–21 18–21 17–22
4–18 May 2026 CIS 26 25–26 25–27 24–27 24–27
24–29 April 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 19 18–21 18–21 18–21 17–21
24–27 April 2026 40dB
Prisa		 20 19–21 19–21 19–22 18–22
22–26 April 2026 Ateneo del Dato 19 18–20 18–20 18–21 17–21
21–25 April 2026 More in Common 20 19–20 19–21 18–21 18–21
15–18 April 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
6–10 April 2026 CIS          
6–9 April 2026 NC Report
La Razón		          
23 March–8 April 2026 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		 19 18–22 18–22 17–22 17–22
16–31 March 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
24–26 March 2026 Target Point
El Debate		          
24–25 March 2026 40dB
Prisa		          
19–23 March 2026 DYM
Henneo		          
19–21 March 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
2–6 March 2026 CIS          
23–27 February 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
20–23 February 2026 40dB
Prisa		          
18–22 February 2026 Ateneo del Dato
elDiario.es		          
17–19 February 2026 Target Point
El Debate		          
11–13 February 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
10–13 February 2026 NC Report
La Razón		          
10 February 2026 Data10
Okdiario		          
2–6 February 2026 CIS          
30 January–2 February 2026 40dB
Prisa		          
26–30 January 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
22–25 January 2026 DYM
Henneo		          
14–18 January 2026 DYM
Henneo		          
13–15 January 2026 Target Point
El Debate		          
12–15 January 2026 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		          
7–10 January 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
5–10 January 2026 CIS          
5–9 January 2026 NC Report
La Razón		          
29 December 2025–5 January 2026 40dB
Prisa		          
22–29 December 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
15–19 December 2025 Invymark
laSexta		          
5–7 December 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
26 November–5 December 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
1–5 December 2025 Invymark
laSexta		          
1–5 December 2025 CIS          
27 November–1 December 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
17–21 November 2025 Invymark
laSexta		          
17–19 November 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
11–14 November 2025 NC Report
La Razón		          
12–14 November 2025 DYM
Henneo		          
3–12 November 2025 CIS          
6–8 November 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
30 October–6 November 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
4–6 November 2025 Cluster17
Agenda Pública		          
31 October–4 November 2025 Opina 360
Telecinco		          
28 October–4 November 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		          
24–26 October 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
6–10 October 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
3–9 October 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		          
1–7 October 2025 CIS          
1–4 October 2025 NC Report
La Razón		          
17 September–1 October 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
25–30 September 2025 Opina 360
Antena 3		          
26–28 September 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
15–19 September 2025 Invymark
laSexta		          
10–15 September 2025 DYM
Henneo		          
8–12 September 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
10–11 September 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
5–11 September 2025 GAD3
ABC		          
3–9 September 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		          
1–6 September 2025 NC Report
La Razón		          
1–6 September 2025 CIS          
2–5 September 2025 Demoscopia y Servicios
esRadio		          
29 August–1 September 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
26–29 August 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
20–28 August 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
21–30 July 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
21–24 July 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
14–18 July 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		          
11–14 July 2025 DYM
Henneo		          
10–14 July 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
9–10 July 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
1–7 July 2025 CIS          
30 June–4 July 2025 Invymark
laSexta		          
27–30 June 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
20–27 June 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
18–21 June 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
19–21 June 2025 NC Report
La Razón		          
18–20 June 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
16–20 June 2025 Invymark
laSexta		          
17 June 2025 DYM
Henneo		          
9–13 June 2025 Invymark
laSexta		          
10–12 June 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		          
2–7 June 2025 CIS          
27–29 May 2025 GAD3
ABC		          
21 April–28 May 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
23–26 May 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
23–25 May 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
21–23 May 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
20–23 May 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		          
19–22 May 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
15–21 May 2025 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		          
14–19 May 2025 DYM
Henneo		          
5–8 May 2025 CIS          
28 April–6 May 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
24–27 April 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
23–25 April 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
21–25 April 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
14–17 April 2025 NC Report
La Razón		          
4–15 April 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
9–15 April 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		          
1–8 April 2025 CIS          
28–31 March 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
27–28 March 2025 Data10
OKDiario		          
19–21 March 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
19–21 March 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
14–21 March 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
12–16 March 2025 DYM
Henneo		          
24 February–7 March 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
3–7 March 2025 NC Report
La Razón		          
28 February–7 March 2025 CIS          
3–6 March 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		          
24–28 February 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		          
21–24 February 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
19–21 February 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
12–17 February 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
12–14 February 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
4–7 February 2025 NC Report
La Razón		          
31 January–6 February 2025 CIS          
24–31 January 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
28–31 January 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		          
24–27 January 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
22–24 January 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
16–23 January 2025 GAD3
ABC		          
16–20 January 2025 DYM
Henneo		          
7–11 January 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
31 December 2024–3 January 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		          
26–30 December 2024 Target Point
El Debate		          
26–30 December 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
20–27 December 2024 NC Report
La Razón		          
13–26 December 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
20–26 December 2024 40dB
Prisa		          
10–12 December 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		          
5–11 December 2024 Sondaxe
La Voz de Galicia		          
25 November–4 December 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
2–4 December 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		          
25–29 November 2024 NC Report
La Razón		          
25–27 November 2024 40dB
Prisa		          
22–24 November 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
20–22 November 2024 Target Point
El Debate		          
18–22 November 2024 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		          
7–15 November 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
11–14 November 2024 GAD3
Mediaset		          
8–11 November 2024 DYM
Henneo		          
5–8 November 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		          
24–31 October 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
21–24 October 2024 GAD3
ABC		          
16–18 October 2024 Target Point
El Debate		          
16–18 October 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
16–18 October 2024 DYM
Henneo		          
8–11 October 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		          
4–9 October 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
20–27 September 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
25–27 September 2024 40dB
Prisa		          
23–26 September 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		          
16–20 September 2024 Invymark
laSexta		          
18–19 September 2024 Target Point
El Debate		          
1–13 September 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		          
3–6 September 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		          
2–6 September 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
2–6 September 2024 CIS          
26–31 August 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
22–29 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
20–23 August 2024 NC Report
La Razón		          
19–23 August 2024 40dB
Prisa		          
1–9 August 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		          
5–8 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
22 July 2024 Target Point
El Debate		          
18–20 July 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
12–18 July 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
1–10 July 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		          
1–4 July 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		          
1–4 July 2024 CIS          
21–28 June 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
25–27 June 2024 Target Point
El Debate		          
21–24 June 2024 40dB
Prisa		          
11–15 June 2024 NC Report
La Razón		          
10–14 June 2024 Invymark
laSexta		          
1–11 June 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.3% 100%  
15 2% 99.7%  
16 5% 98%  
17 13% 93%  
18 22% 79%  
19 26% 57% Median
20 15% 32%  
21 6% 16%  
22 6% 10%  
23 4% 4%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%