Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 28.4% | 26.7–30.4% | 26.2–31.1% | 25.7–31.7% | 24.8–33.1% |
11–14 November 2024 | GAD3 Mediaset |
27.7% | 26.0–29.5% | 25.5–30.1% | 25.1–30.5% | 24.2–31.4% |
8–11 November 2024 | DYM Henneo |
28.2% | 26.4–30.0% | 25.9–30.6% | 25.5–31.0% | 24.7–31.9% |
5–8 November 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
28.5% | 26.7–30.4% | 26.2–30.9% | 25.8–31.4% | 25.0–32.3% |
24–31 October 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
28.2% | 26.8–29.6% | 26.5–30.0% | 26.2–30.3% | 25.5–31.0% |
21–24 October 2024 | GAD3 ABC |
28.2% | 26.4–30.1% | 25.9–30.6% | 25.5–31.0% | 24.7–31.9% |
22 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
29.3% | 26.8–31.8% | 26.2–32.6% | 25.6–33.2% | 24.5–34.5% |
16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
29.2% | 27.4–31.1% | 26.9–31.6% | 26.5–32.1% | 25.7–33.0% |
16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
28.3% | 27.1–29.6% | 26.8–29.9% | 26.5–30.2% | 25.9–30.8% |
16–18 October 2024 | DYM Henneo |
28.8% | 27.0–30.7% | 26.5–31.2% | 26.1–31.7% | 25.2–32.6% |
8–11 October 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
28.9% | 27.1–30.8% | 26.6–31.3% | 26.2–31.8% | 25.3–32.7% |
20–27 September 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
28.7% | 27.4–30.1% | 27.0–30.5% | 26.7–30.8% | 26.1–31.4% |
25–27 September 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
29.7% | 28.4–31.0% | 28.0–31.4% | 27.7–31.7% | 27.1–32.4% |
23–26 September 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
27.0% | 25.2–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
16–20 September 2024 | InvyMark laSexta |
30.1% | 28.4–31.8% | 28.0–32.3% | 27.5–32.8% | 26.8–33.6% |
18–19 September 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
30.3% | 28.5–32.2% | 27.9–32.7% | 27.5–33.2% | 26.6–34.1% |
1–13 September 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
30.6% | 28.8–32.5% | 28.3–33.0% | 27.9–33.5% | 27.0–34.4% |
3–6 September 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
29.2% | 27.4–31.1% | 26.9–31.6% | 26.5–32.1% | 25.6–33.0% |
2–6 September 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
29.6% | 27.9–31.5% | 27.4–32.0% | 27.0–32.4% | 26.2–33.3% |
2–6 September 2024 | CIS | 33.0% | 32.1–34.0% | 31.8–34.2% | 31.6–34.5% | 31.1–34.9% |
26–31 August 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
29.1% | 27.9–30.3% | 27.6–30.7% | 27.3–31.0% | 26.7–31.6% |
22–29 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
28.8% | 27.6–30.0% | 27.3–30.3% | 27.0–30.7% | 26.4–31.2% |
20–23 August 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
28.7% | 26.5–31.0% | 25.9–31.7% | 25.4–32.3% | 24.3–33.4% |
19–23 August 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
30.5% | 29.2–31.9% | 28.8–32.2% | 28.5–32.6% | 27.9–33.2% |
1–9 August 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
30.5% | 28.3–32.9% | 27.6–33.6% | 27.1–34.2% | 26.0–35.4% |
5–8 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
28.9% | 27.6–30.2% | 27.3–30.5% | 27.0–30.9% | 26.4–31.5% |
22 July 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
30.7% | 28.5–33.2% | 27.8–33.8% | 27.3–34.4% | 26.2–35.6% |
18–20 July 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
29.3% | 27.7–31.1% | 27.2–31.6% | 26.8–32.0% | 26.0–32.8% |
12–18 July 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
29.9% | 28.7–31.1% | 28.4–31.4% | 28.1–31.7% | 27.6–32.3% |
1–10 July 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
31.7% | 29.4–34.1% | 28.7–34.8% | 28.2–35.4% | 27.1–36.6% |
1–4 July 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
29.9% | 28.1–31.8% | 27.6–32.3% | 27.1–32.8% | 26.3–33.7% |
1–4 July 2024 | CIS | 32.9% | 31.9–33.9% | 31.7–34.1% | 31.4–34.4% | 31.0–34.8% |
25–28 June 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–28 June 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
30.0% | 28.7–31.3% | 28.3–31.7% | 28.0–32.1% | 27.4–32.7% |
21–24 June 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
31.2% | 29.9–32.6% | 29.5–32.9% | 29.2–33.3% | 28.6–33.9% |
11–15 June 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
29.8% | 27.5–32.1% | 26.9–32.8% | 26.4–33.4% | 25.3–34.5% |
10–14 June 2024 | Invymark laSexta |
31.7% | 28.4–35.3% | 27.5–36.3% | 26.7–37.1% | 25.1–38.9% |
1–11 June 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
23.5–24.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
24.5–25.5% | 2% | 99.7% | |
25.5–26.5% | 6% | 98% | |
26.5–27.5% | 17% | 92% | |
27.5–28.5% | 27% | 74% | Median |
28.5–29.5% | 25% | 47% | |
29.5–30.5% | 13% | 22% | |
30.5–31.5% | 6% | 9% | |
31.5–32.5% | 2% | 3% | |
32.5–33.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
33.5–34.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
34.5–35.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
35.5–36.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 20 | 19–21 | 18–22 | 18–22 | 17–23 |
11–14 November 2024 | GAD3 Mediaset |
20 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–22 | 17–22 |
8–11 November 2024 | DYM Henneo |
20 | 19–21 | 18–22 | 18–22 | 17–23 |
5–8 November 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
19 | 19–21 | 19–21 | 18–21 | 17–22 |
24–31 October 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
19 | 19–20 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 18–21 |
21–24 October 2024 | GAD3 ABC |
19 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 16–22 |
22 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
20 | 19–22 | 18–22 | 17–23 | 17–23 |
16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
20 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 18–22 | 18–23 |
16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
20 | 19–20 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 18–21 |
16–18 October 2024 | DYM Henneo |
20 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 18–22 | 18–23 |
8–11 October 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
19 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 17–22 |
20–27 September 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
20 | 19–21 | 19–21 | 19–21 | 18–21 |
25–27 September 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
21 | 20–22 | 20–22 | 20–23 | 19–23 |
23–26 September 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 |
16–20 September 2024 | InvyMark laSexta |
22 | 21–23 | 21–24 | 20–24 | 20–25 |
18–19 September 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
21 | 20–22 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–24 |
1–13 September 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
22 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 20–24 | 19–24 |
3–6 September 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
20 | 19–21 | 18–22 | 18–22 | 17–23 |
2–6 September 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
20 | 19–20 | 18–20 | 18–21 | 18–22 |
2–6 September 2024 | CIS | 24 | 23–24 | 22–24 | 22–24 | 22–24 |
26–31 August 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
20 | 20 | 19–20 | 19–21 | 18–22 |
22–29 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
20 | 18–20 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 17–21 |
20–23 August 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
20 | 20 | 19–20 | 18–21 | 18–22 |
19–23 August 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
22 | 21–23 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 20–24 |
1–9 August 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
21 | 20–23 | 19–23 | 19–24 | 18–25 |
5–8 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
19 | 19–21 | 19–21 | 19–21 | 18–22 |
22 July 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
21 | 20–23 | 19–23 | 19–24 | 18–25 |
18–20 July 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
20 | 20–21 | 19–21 | 18–21 | 18–22 |
12–18 July 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
20 | 20–21 | 20–21 | 19–21 | 19–23 |
1–10 July 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
22 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 19–25 |
1–4 July 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
20 | 19–21 | 19–21 | 18–22 | 18–22 |
1–4 July 2024 | CIS | 22 | 22–23 | 22–24 | 22–24 | 21–24 |
25–28 June 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
|||||
21–28 June 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
22 | 22 | 22 | 21–22 | 19–23 |
21–24 June 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
22 | 21–23 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 20–24 |
11–15 June 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
19 | 19–21 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–23 |
10–14 June 2024 | Invymark laSexta |
22 | 19–24 | 19–25 | 18–25 | 17–27 |
1–11 June 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 0% | 100% | |
4 | 0% | 100% | |
5 | 0% | 100% | |
6 | 0% | 100% | |
7 | 0% | 100% | |
8 | 0% | 100% | |
9 | 0% | 100% | |
10 | 0% | 100% | |
11 | 0% | 100% | |
12 | 0% | 100% | |
13 | 0% | 100% | |
14 | 0% | 100% | |
15 | 0% | 100% | |
16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
17 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
18 | 5% | 99.1% | |
19 | 37% | 94% | |
20 | 36% | 57% | Median |
21 | 16% | 21% | |
22 | 5% | 5% | |
23 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
25 | 0% | 0% |