Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 2.4% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.5–3.8% | 1.3–4.3% |
10–12 December 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
5–11 December 2024 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.1% | 1.9–4.5% |
25 November–4 December 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2.4% | 2.0–2.9% | 1.9–3.0% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% |
2–4 December 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
25–29 November 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
25–27 November 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
1.9% | 1.6–2.4% | 1.5–2.5% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.2–2.8% |
22–24 November 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
2.6% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.6–4.0% |
20–22 November 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
2.1% | 1.7–2.8% | 1.6–2.9% | 1.5–3.1% | 1.3–3.4% |
18–22 November 2024 | Ipsos La Vanguardia |
2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.5–3.2% | 1.3–3.6% |
7–15 November 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.5–3.2% | 1.3–3.6% |
11–14 November 2024 | GAD3 Mediaset |
2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
8–11 November 2024 | DYM Henneo |
2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
5–8 November 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
24–31 October 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2.1% | 1.7–2.6% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.5–2.9% | 1.4–3.1% |
21–24 October 2024 | GAD3 ABC |
3.2% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.1–5.0% |
16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
3.2% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–5.0% |
16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
2.5% | 2.1–3.0% | 2.0–3.1% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.5% |
16–18 October 2024 | DYM Henneo |
2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
8–11 October 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.6–4.2% |
4–9 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
2.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20–27 September 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2.6% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.8–3.7% |
25–27 September 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
2.3% | 1.9–2.8% | 1.8–2.9% | 1.7–3.1% | 1.6–3.3% |
23–26 September 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
16–20 September 2024 | InvyMark laSexta |
2.3% | 1.8–2.9% | 1.7–3.1% | 1.6–3.3% | 1.4–3.6% |
18–19 September 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.5–4.2% |
1–13 September 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 2.0–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
3–6 September 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% |
2–6 September 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.6–4.1% |
2–6 September 2024 | CIS | 3.0% | 2.7–3.4% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.3–3.7% |
26–31 August 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
2.3% | 2.0–2.8% | 1.9–2.9% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.3% |
22–29 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2.6% | 2.2–3.1% | 2.1–3.2% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.6% |
20–23 August 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
2.3% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.5–3.5% | 1.4–3.7% | 1.2–4.3% |
19–23 August 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
2.3% | 1.9–2.8% | 1.8–2.9% | 1.7–3.1% | 1.6–3.3% |
1–9 August 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
3.0% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.6% | 1.6–5.1% |
5–8 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2.4% | 2.0–2.9% | 1.9–3.0% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.6–3.4% |
22 July 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
2.2% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.4% | 1.3–3.6% | 1.1–4.1% |
18–20 July 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
2.8% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 2.0–3.9% | 1.8–4.3% |
12–18 July 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2.6% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.1–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 1.9–3.6% |
1–10 July 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
3.3% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.7% | 2.2–5.0% | 1.8–5.6% |
1–4 July 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
1–4 July 2024 | CIS | 2.5% | 2.2–2.9% | 2.1–3.0% | 2.1–3.1% | 1.9–3.2% |
21–28 June 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2.5% | 2.1–3.0% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.9–3.3% | 1.8–3.6% |
25–27 June 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
2.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–24 June 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
2.2% | 1.9–2.7% | 1.8–2.9% | 1.7–3.0% | 1.5–3.3% |
11–15 June 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
2.5% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.0% | 1.3–4.5% |
10–14 June 2024 | Invymark laSexta |
3.3% | 2.3–5.1% | 2.1–5.6% | 1.8–6.0% | 1.4–7.0% |
1–11 June 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
3.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 3% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 58% | 97% | Median |
2.5–3.5% | 35% | 39% | |
3.5–4.5% | 4% | 5% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
10–12 December 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
5–11 December 2024 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
25 November–4 December 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
2–4 December 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
25–29 November 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
25–27 November 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
22–24 November 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
20–22 November 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
18–22 November 2024 | Ipsos La Vanguardia |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
7–15 November 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
11–14 November 2024 | GAD3 Mediaset |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
8–11 November 2024 | DYM Henneo |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
5–8 November 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
24–31 October 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
21–24 October 2024 | GAD3 ABC |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
16–18 October 2024 | DYM Henneo |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
8–11 October 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
4–9 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
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20–27 September 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
25–27 September 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
23–26 September 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 |
16–20 September 2024 | InvyMark laSexta |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
18–19 September 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
1–13 September 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
3–6 September 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
2–6 September 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
2–6 September 2024 | CIS | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
26–31 August 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
22–29 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
20–23 August 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
19–23 August 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
1–9 August 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
5–8 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
22 July 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
18–20 July 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
12–18 July 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
1–10 July 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
1–4 July 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
1–4 July 2024 | CIS | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
21–28 June 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
25–27 June 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
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21–24 June 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
11–15 June 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
10–14 June 2024 | Invymark laSexta |
2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
1–11 June 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 73% | 99.0% | Median |
2 | 25% | 26% | |
3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
4 | 0% | 0% |