Partido Popular (EPP)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 35.2% 33.1–37.4% 32.4–38.1% 31.8–38.8% 30.6–40.1%
22 October 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 35.6% 33.1–38.3% 32.4–39.1% 31.7–39.8% 30.5–41.1%
16–18 October 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 35.2% 33.3–37.2% 32.8–37.7% 32.3–38.2% 31.4–39.1%
16–18 October 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 35.2% 33.9–36.5% 33.5–36.9% 33.2–37.2% 32.6–37.8%
16–18 October 2024 DYM
Henneo		 36.9% 35.0–38.9% 34.4–39.5% 34.0–39.9% 33.0–40.9%
8–11 October 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 35.2% 33.3–37.2% 32.8–37.7% 32.3–38.2% 31.4–39.2%
20–27 September 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 35.5% 34.1–36.9% 33.7–37.3% 33.4–37.7% 32.7–38.4%
25–27 September 2024 40dB
Prisa		 34.6% 33.2–36.0% 32.9–36.4% 32.5–36.7% 31.9–37.4%
23–26 September 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 33.3% 31.4–35.2% 30.9–35.8% 30.4–36.2% 29.5–37.2%
16–20 September 2024 InvyMark
laSexta		 37.1% 35.3–38.9% 34.8–39.4% 34.4–39.9% 33.5–40.7%
18–19 September 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 34.6% 32.7–36.5% 32.1–37.1% 31.7–37.6% 30.8–38.5%
1–13 September 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 33.5% 31.7–35.5% 31.2–36.0% 30.7–36.5% 29.8–37.4%
3–6 September 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 34.9% 33.0–36.9% 32.5–37.4% 32.0–37.9% 31.1–38.9%
2–6 September 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 35.5% 33.7–37.4% 33.2–38.0% 32.8–38.4% 31.9–39.3%
2–6 September 2024 CIS 28.5% 27.6–29.4% 27.3–29.7% 27.1–29.9% 26.7–30.4%
26–31 August 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 34.0% 32.7–35.3% 32.4–35.6% 32.1–36.0% 31.5–36.6%
22–29 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 35.4% 34.2–36.7% 33.8–37.1% 33.5–37.4% 32.9–38.0%
20–23 August 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 35.4% 33.1–37.9% 32.4–38.6% 31.8–39.2% 30.7–40.3%
19–23 August 2024 40dB
Prisa		 34.0% 32.6–35.4% 32.3–35.8% 31.9–36.1% 31.3–36.8%
1–9 August 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 33.5% 31.2–35.9% 30.5–36.6% 29.9–37.2% 28.9–38.4%
5–8 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 35.3% 34.0–36.7% 33.6–37.0% 33.3–37.4% 32.6–38.0%
22 July 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 34.0% 31.7–36.5% 31.0–37.2% 30.4–37.8% 29.3–39.0%
18–20 July 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 34.4% 32.7–36.2% 32.2–36.7% 31.8–37.2% 31.0–38.0%
12–18 July 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 34.8% 33.6–36.0% 33.2–36.4% 33.0–36.7% 32.4–37.3%
1–10 July 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 33.5% 31.2–36.0% 30.5–36.7% 30.0–37.3% 28.9–38.5%
1–4 July 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 34.6% 32.7–36.6% 32.2–37.1% 31.7–37.6% 30.8–38.6%
1–4 July 2024 CIS 30.2% 29.3–31.1% 29.0–31.4% 28.8–31.6% 28.3–32.1%
25–28 June 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 34.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–28 June 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 33.8% 32.4–35.2% 32.1–35.6% 31.7–35.9% 31.1–36.6%
21–24 June 2024 40dB
Prisa		 33.3% 32.0–34.7% 31.6–35.1% 31.3–35.4% 30.6–36.1%
11–15 June 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 34.4% 32.0–36.8% 31.4–37.5% 30.8–38.1% 29.7–39.3%
10–14 June 2024 Invymark
laSexta		 38.7% 35.2–42.4% 34.2–43.4% 33.3–44.3% 31.7–46.1%
1–11 June 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 33.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partido Popular (EPP).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 100%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 100%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 100%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 100%  
26.5–27.5% 0% 100%  
27.5–28.5% 0% 100%  
28.5–29.5% 0.1% 100%  
29.5–30.5% 0.4% 99.9%  
30.5–31.5% 1.5% 99.5%  
31.5–32.5% 4% 98%  
32.5–33.5% 9% 94%  
33.5–34.5% 19% 85%  
34.5–35.5% 25% 66% Median
35.5–36.5% 21% 41%  
36.5–37.5% 12% 20%  
37.5–38.5% 5% 9%  
38.5–39.5% 2% 3%  
39.5–40.5% 0.7% 1.0%  
40.5–41.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
41.5–42.5% 0% 0%  
42.5–43.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 24 23–26 22–27 22–27 21–28
22 October 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 24 22–25 22–26 20–27 20–28
16–18 October 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 25 23–26 23–26 23–27 22–27
16–18 October 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 25 23–25 23–25 23–26 22–26
16–18 October 2024 DYM
Henneo		 26 25–28 24–28 24–28 23–29
8–11 October 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 24 23–25 22–25 22–26 21–26
20–27 September 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 24 23–25 23–26 23–26 23–26
25–27 September 2024 40dB
Prisa		 25 24–26 23–26 23–26 23–27
23–26 September 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 23 22–24 21–25 21–25 20–26
16–20 September 2024 InvyMark
laSexta		 27 26–29 26–29 25–29 25–30
18–19 September 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 24 23–26 22–26 22–26 21–27
1–13 September 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 24 22–25 22–25 22–26 21–26
3–6 September 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 24 22–24 21–25 21–26 21–26
2–6 September 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 24 23–25 23–25 22–26 22–26
2–6 September 2024 CIS 20 19–20 19–20 19–21 19–21
26–31 August 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 22 22–23 22–24 22–24 21–25
22–29 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 25 24–25 24–25 24–26 23–26
20–23 August 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 25 22–25 22–25 22–26 22–27
19–23 August 2024 40dB
Prisa		 24 23–25 23–26 23–26 22–26
1–9 August 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 24 22–25 21–26 21–26 20–27
5–8 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 25 23–27 23–27 22–27 22–27
22 July 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 24 22–25 21–26 21–26 20–27
18–20 July 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 24 22–24 21–25 21–25 21–25
12–18 July 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 24 24–25 23–25 23–25 23–25
1–10 July 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 23 22–25 21–26 21–26 20–27
1–4 July 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 23 23–25 22–25 22–25 21–26
1–4 July 2024 CIS 21 20–22 20–22 20–22 20–22
25–28 June 2024 Target Point
El Debate		          
21–28 June 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 23 23 23 23–24 21–25
21–24 June 2024 40dB
Prisa		 24 23–25 23–25 22–25 22–26
11–15 June 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 22 22–24 22–24 22–25 20–26
10–14 June 2024 Invymark
laSexta		 26 24–29 23–30 23–30 22–31
1–11 June 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partido Popular (EPP).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.5% 100%  
21 1.4% 99.5%  
22 8% 98%  
23 19% 90%  
24 28% 72% Median
25 28% 44%  
26 10% 16%  
27 4% 6%  
28 1.2% 1.4%  
29 0.2% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%