Partido Popular (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 33.8% | 31.2–36.1% | 30.4–36.8% | 29.8–37.3% | 28.7–38.4% |
| 10–12 December 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
34.9% | 33.0–36.9% | 32.5–37.4% | 32.0–37.9% | 31.1–38.9% |
| 5–11 December 2024 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
32.6% | 30.8–34.4% | 30.3–34.9% | 29.9–35.4% | 29.1–36.3% |
| 25 November–4 December 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
34.8% | 33.5–36.2% | 33.1–36.6% | 32.8–36.9% | 32.1–37.6% |
| 2–4 December 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
31.1% | 29.2–33.0% | 28.7–33.5% | 28.3–34.0% | 27.4–34.9% |
| 25–29 November 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
35.5% | 33.6–37.5% | 33.1–38.0% | 32.6–38.5% | 31.7–39.5% |
| 25–27 November 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
33.3% | 32.0–34.7% | 31.6–35.1% | 31.3–35.4% | 30.6–36.1% |
| 22–24 November 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
34.8% | 33.1–36.6% | 32.6–37.1% | 32.2–37.5% | 31.4–38.4% |
| 20–22 November 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
32.2% | 30.6–33.9% | 30.1–34.4% | 29.8–34.8% | 29.0–35.7% |
| 18–22 November 2024 | Ipsos La Vanguardia |
33.8% | 32.1–35.6% | 31.6–36.1% | 31.1–36.5% | 30.3–37.4% |
| 7–15 November 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
34.9% | 33.1–36.8% | 32.6–37.3% | 32.1–37.8% | 31.3–38.7% |
| 11–14 November 2024 | GAD3 Mediaset |
32.5% | 30.7–34.4% | 30.2–35.0% | 29.7–35.5% | 28.9–36.4% |
| 8–11 November 2024 | DYM Henneo |
33.1% | 31.2–35.0% | 30.7–35.6% | 30.3–36.1% | 29.4–37.0% |
| 5–8 November 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
35.3% | 33.4–37.3% | 32.9–37.8% | 32.4–38.3% | 31.5–39.3% |
| 24–31 October 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
35.9% | 34.4–37.4% | 34.0–37.8% | 33.7–38.1% | 33.0–38.8% |
| 21–24 October 2024 | GAD3 ABC |
34.1% | 32.2–36.0% | 31.7–36.6% | 31.2–37.1% | 30.3–38.0% |
| 16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
35.2% | 33.3–37.2% | 32.8–37.7% | 32.3–38.2% | 31.4–39.1% |
| 16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
35.2% | 33.9–36.5% | 33.5–36.9% | 33.2–37.2% | 32.6–37.8% |
| 16–18 October 2024 | DYM Henneo |
36.9% | 35.0–38.9% | 34.4–39.5% | 34.0–39.9% | 33.0–40.9% |
| 8–11 October 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
35.2% | 33.3–37.2% | 32.8–37.7% | 32.3–38.2% | 31.4–39.2% |
| 4–9 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
35.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–27 September 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
35.5% | 34.1–36.9% | 33.7–37.3% | 33.4–37.7% | 32.7–38.4% |
| 25–27 September 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
34.6% | 33.2–36.0% | 32.9–36.4% | 32.5–36.7% | 31.9–37.4% |
| 23–26 September 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
33.3% | 31.4–35.2% | 30.9–35.8% | 30.4–36.2% | 29.5–37.2% |
| 16–20 September 2024 | InvyMark laSexta |
37.1% | 35.3–38.9% | 34.8–39.4% | 34.4–39.9% | 33.5–40.7% |
| 18–19 September 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
34.6% | 32.7–36.5% | 32.1–37.1% | 31.7–37.6% | 30.8–38.5% |
| 1–13 September 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
33.5% | 31.7–35.5% | 31.2–36.0% | 30.7–36.5% | 29.8–37.4% |
| 3–6 September 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
34.9% | 33.0–36.9% | 32.5–37.4% | 32.0–37.9% | 31.1–38.9% |
| 2–6 September 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
35.5% | 33.7–37.4% | 33.2–38.0% | 32.8–38.4% | 31.9–39.3% |
| 2–6 September 2024 | CIS | 28.5% | 27.6–29.4% | 27.3–29.7% | 27.1–29.9% | 26.7–30.4% |
| 26–31 August 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
34.0% | 32.7–35.3% | 32.4–35.6% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.5–36.6% |
| 22–29 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
35.4% | 34.2–36.7% | 33.8–37.1% | 33.5–37.4% | 32.9–38.0% |
| 20–23 August 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
35.4% | 33.1–37.9% | 32.4–38.6% | 31.8–39.2% | 30.7–40.3% |
| 19–23 August 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
34.0% | 32.6–35.4% | 32.3–35.8% | 31.9–36.1% | 31.3–36.8% |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
33.5% | 31.2–35.9% | 30.5–36.6% | 29.9–37.2% | 28.9–38.4% |
| 5–8 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
35.3% | 34.0–36.7% | 33.6–37.0% | 33.3–37.4% | 32.6–38.0% |
| 22 July 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
34.0% | 31.7–36.5% | 31.0–37.2% | 30.4–37.8% | 29.3–39.0% |
| 18–20 July 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
34.4% | 32.7–36.2% | 32.2–36.7% | 31.8–37.2% | 31.0–38.0% |
| 12–18 July 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
34.8% | 33.6–36.0% | 33.2–36.4% | 33.0–36.7% | 32.4–37.3% |
| 1–10 July 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
33.5% | 31.2–36.0% | 30.5–36.7% | 30.0–37.3% | 28.9–38.5% |
| 1–4 July 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
34.6% | 32.7–36.6% | 32.2–37.1% | 31.7–37.6% | 30.8–38.6% |
| 1–4 July 2024 | CIS | 30.2% | 29.3–31.1% | 29.0–31.4% | 28.8–31.6% | 28.3–32.1% |
| 21–28 June 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
33.8% | 32.4–35.2% | 32.1–35.6% | 31.7–35.9% | 31.1–36.6% |
| 25–27 June 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
34.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 June 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
33.3% | 32.0–34.7% | 31.6–35.1% | 31.3–35.4% | 30.6–36.1% |
| 11–15 June 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
34.4% | 32.0–36.8% | 31.4–37.5% | 30.8–38.1% | 29.7–39.3% |
| 10–14 June 2024 | Invymark laSexta |
38.7% | 35.2–42.4% | 34.2–43.4% | 33.3–44.3% | 31.7–46.1% |
| 1–11 June 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
33.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partido Popular (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 4% | 98% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 8% | 94% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 14% | 86% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 18% | 72% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 20% | 54% | Median |
| 34.5–35.5% | 17% | 34% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 11% | 17% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 23 | 22–25 | 21–25 | 21–26 | 20–27 |
| 10–12 December 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
24 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 21–25 | 20–26 |
| 5–11 December 2024 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
23 | 23–24 | 22–24 | 21–24 | 21–24 |
| 25 November–4 December 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
25 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 22–25 | 22–25 |
| 2–4 December 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
22 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 20–24 | 19–24 |
| 25–29 November 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
24 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 22–27 |
| 25–27 November 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
24 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 23–26 | 22–26 |
| 22–24 November 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
23 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 22–26 |
| 20–22 November 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
23 | 22–24 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 21–25 |
| 18–22 November 2024 | Ipsos La Vanguardia |
23 | 22–24 | 22–25 | 21–25 | 21–26 |
| 7–15 November 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
23 | 23–25 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 21–27 |
| 11–14 November 2024 | GAD3 Mediaset |
23 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 21–25 | 21–26 |
| 8–11 November 2024 | DYM Henneo |
24 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 21–26 |
| 5–8 November 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
24 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 22–26 |
| 24–31 October 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
25 | 24–26 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 23–26 |
| 21–24 October 2024 | GAD3 ABC |
23 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 21–26 | 20–26 |
| 16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
25 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 23–27 | 22–27 |
| 16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
25 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 23–26 | 22–26 |
| 16–18 October 2024 | DYM Henneo |
26 | 25–28 | 24–28 | 24–28 | 23–29 |
| 8–11 October 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
24 | 23–25 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 21–26 |
| 4–9 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
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| 20–27 September 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
24 | 23–25 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 23–26 |
| 25–27 September 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
25 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 23–27 |
| 23–26 September 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
23 | 22–24 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 20–26 |
| 16–20 September 2024 | InvyMark laSexta |
27 | 26–29 | 26–29 | 25–29 | 25–30 |
| 18–19 September 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
24 | 23–26 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 21–27 |
| 1–13 September 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
24 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 21–26 |
| 3–6 September 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
24 | 22–24 | 21–25 | 21–26 | 21–26 |
| 2–6 September 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
24 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 22–26 | 22–26 |
| 2–6 September 2024 | CIS | 20 | 19–20 | 19–20 | 19–21 | 19–21 |
| 26–31 August 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
22 | 22–23 | 22–24 | 22–24 | 21–25 |
| 22–29 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
25 | 24–25 | 24–25 | 24–26 | 23–26 |
| 20–23 August 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
25 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 22–27 |
| 19–23 August 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
24 | 23–25 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 22–26 |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
24 | 22–25 | 21–26 | 21–26 | 20–27 |
| 5–8 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
25 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 22–27 | 22–27 |
| 22 July 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
24 | 22–25 | 21–26 | 21–26 | 20–27 |
| 18–20 July 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
24 | 22–24 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 21–25 |
| 12–18 July 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
24 | 24–25 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 23–25 |
| 1–10 July 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
23 | 22–25 | 21–26 | 21–26 | 20–27 |
| 1–4 July 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
23 | 23–25 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 21–26 |
| 1–4 July 2024 | CIS | 21 | 20–22 | 20–22 | 20–22 | 20–22 |
| 21–28 June 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
23 | 23 | 23 | 23–24 | 21–25 |
| 25–27 June 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
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| 21–24 June 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
24 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 22–25 | 22–26 |
| 11–15 June 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
22 | 22–24 | 22–24 | 22–25 | 20–26 |
| 10–14 June 2024 | Invymark laSexta |
26 | 24–29 | 23–30 | 23–30 | 22–31 |
| 1–11 June 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partido Popular (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 20 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 5% | 98.5% | |
| 22 | 18% | 94% | |
| 23 | 32% | 75% | Median |
| 24 | 27% | 43% | |
| 25 | 13% | 17% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |