Partido Popular (EPP)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 32.9% 28.0–35.5% 27.0–36.3% 26.6–36.9% 25.9–38.3%
1–11 June 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 32.6% 31.3–34.0% 30.9–34.4% 30.6–34.7% 29.9–35.4%
1–4 June 2026 CIS 27.1% 26.2–28.0% 26.0–28.3% 25.8–28.5% 25.3–29.0%
28 May–1 June 2026 40dB
Prisa		 32.4% 31.1–33.8% 30.7–34.2% 30.4–34.5% 29.8–35.1%
28–30 May 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		 33.9% 32.2–35.7% 31.7–36.2% 31.3–36.7% 30.5–37.5%
25–29 May 2026 Invymark
laSexta		 33.1% 31.4–34.9% 30.9–35.4% 30.5–35.8% 29.7–36.7%
27–28 May 2026 Target Point
El Debate		 31.2% 29.4–33.1% 28.8–33.7% 28.4–34.1% 27.5–35.1%
26–28 May 2026 GAD3
ABC		 33.1% 31.3–35.1% 30.7–35.6% 30.3–36.1% 29.4–37.0%
25–27 May 2026 NC Report
La Razón		 34.7% 32.3–37.2% 31.6–37.9% 31.0–38.5% 29.9–39.7%
20–22 May 2026 DYM
Henneo		 34.8% 32.9–36.7% 32.4–37.3% 31.9–37.8% 31.0–38.7%
4–18 May 2026 CIS 24.9% 24.0–25.8% 23.8–26.0% 23.6–26.3% 23.2–26.7%
24–29 April 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 32.3% 30.6–34.0% 30.1–34.6% 29.7–35.0% 28.9–35.8%
24–27 April 2026 40dB
Prisa		 31.3% 30.0–32.7% 29.6–33.0% 29.3–33.4% 28.7–34.0%
22–26 April 2026 Ateneo del Dato 31.7% 30.4–33.1% 30.0–33.4% 29.7–33.8% 29.1–34.4%
21–25 April 2026 More in Common 31.1% 29.9–32.3% 29.6–32.6% 29.3–32.9% 28.8–33.5%
15–18 April 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		 31.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–10 April 2026 CIS 23.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–9 April 2026 NC Report
La Razón		 32.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23 March–8 April 2026 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		 30.9% 29.1–32.8% 28.6–33.3% 28.2–33.8% 27.4–34.7%
16–31 March 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 32.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 March 2026 Target Point
El Debate		 31.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–25 March 2026 40dB
Prisa		 31.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–23 March 2026 DYM
Henneo		 34.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–21 March 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		 31.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–6 March 2026 CIS 23.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–27 February 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 31.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–23 February 2026 40dB
Prisa		 30.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–22 February 2026 Ateneo del Dato
elDiario.es		 29.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–19 February 2026 Target Point
El Debate		 30.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–13 February 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		 32.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–13 February 2026 NC Report
La Razón		 33.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10 February 2026 Data10
Okdiario		 31.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–6 February 2026 CIS 22.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 January–2 February 2026 40dB
Prisa		 31.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 January 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 32.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–25 January 2026 DYM
Henneo		 34.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–18 January 2026 DYM
Henneo		 33.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–15 January 2026 Target Point
El Debate		 30.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–15 January 2026 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 30.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–10 January 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		 32.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–10 January 2026 CIS 23.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–9 January 2026 NC Report
La Razón		 33.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 December 2025–5 January 2026 40dB
Prisa		 31.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–29 December 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 32.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–19 December 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 33.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 December 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 33.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 November–5 December 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 33.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–5 December 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 33.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–5 December 2025 CIS 22.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 November–1 December 2025 40dB
Prisa		 31.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–21 November 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 33.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–19 November 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 29.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–14 November 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 33.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–14 November 2025 DYM
Henneo		 33.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–12 November 2025 CIS 22.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–8 November 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 33.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 October–6 November 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 33.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–6 November 2025 Cluster17
Agenda Pública		 31.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 October–4 November 2025 Opina 360
Telecinco		 28.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 October–4 November 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 33.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 October 2025 40dB
Prisa		 30.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–10 October 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 34.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–9 October 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 29.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–7 October 2025 CIS 19.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–4 October 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 34.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17 September–1 October 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 33.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–30 September 2025 Opina 360
Antena 3		 27.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–28 September 2025 40dB
Prisa		 30.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–19 September 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 36.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–15 September 2025 DYM
Henneo		 35.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–12 September 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 34.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 September 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 31.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–11 September 2025 GAD3
ABC		 32.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–9 September 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 34.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–6 September 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 35.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–6 September 2025 CIS 23.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–5 September 2025 Demoscopia y Servicios
esRadio		 35.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 August–1 September 2025 40dB
Prisa		 30.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 August 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 34.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–28 August 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 34.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–30 July 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 34.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 July 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 35.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–18 July 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 35.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–14 July 2025 DYM
Henneo		 36.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–14 July 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 35.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–10 July 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 34.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–7 July 2025 CIS 26.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 June–4 July 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 36.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–30 June 2025 40dB
Prisa		 33.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–27 June 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 34.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 June 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 35.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–21 June 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 35.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–20 June 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 34.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–20 June 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 36.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17 June 2025 DYM
Henneo		 36.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–13 June 2025 Invymark
laSexta		 35.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 June 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 30.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–7 June 2025 CIS 27.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–29 May 2025 GAD3
ABC		 33.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21 April–28 May 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 34.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–26 May 2025 40dB
Prisa		 32.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–25 May 2025 40dB
Prisa		 32.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–23 May 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 33.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–23 May 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 34.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–22 May 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 34.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–21 May 2025 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		 34.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–19 May 2025 DYM
Henneo		 35.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–8 May 2025 CIS 29.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 April–6 May 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 34.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–27 April 2025 40dB
Prisa		 33.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–25 April 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 33.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–25 April 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 34.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–17 April 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 34.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–15 April 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 33.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 April 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		 34.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–8 April 2025 CIS 26.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–31 March 2025 40dB
Prisa		 32.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–28 March 2025 Data10
OKDiario		 35.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–21 March 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 33.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–21 March 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 34.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–21 March 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 34.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–16 March 2025 DYM
Henneo		 35.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24 February–7 March 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 33.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–7 March 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 34.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 February–7 March 2025 CIS 29.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–6 March 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 32.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 February 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 34.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 February 2025 40dB
Prisa		 32.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–21 February 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 33.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–17 February 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 34.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–14 February 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		 33.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 February 2025 NC Report
La Razón		 34.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 January–6 February 2025 CIS 28.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–31 January 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 33.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–31 January 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 34.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–27 January 2025 40dB
Prisa		 32.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–24 January 2025 Target Point
El Debate		 33.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–23 January 2025 GAD3
ABC		 34.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–20 January 2025 DYM
Henneo		 34.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–11 January 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 34.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 December 2024–3 January 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 34.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 December 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 32.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 December 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 33.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–27 December 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 35.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–26 December 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 34.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–26 December 2024 40dB
Prisa		 33.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 December 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 34.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–11 December 2024 Sondaxe
La Voz de Galicia		 32.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25 November–4 December 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 34.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–4 December 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 31.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–29 November 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 35.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 November 2024 40dB
Prisa		 33.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–24 November 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 34.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–22 November 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 32.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–22 November 2024 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		 33.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–15 November 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 34.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–14 November 2024 GAD3
Mediaset		 32.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 November 2024 DYM
Henneo		 33.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–8 November 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 35.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–31 October 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 35.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 October 2024 GAD3
ABC		 34.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–18 October 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 35.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–18 October 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 35.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–18 October 2024 DYM
Henneo		 36.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 October 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 35.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 October 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 35.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–27 September 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 35.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 September 2024 40dB
Prisa		 34.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–26 September 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 33.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–20 September 2024 Invymark
laSexta		 37.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–19 September 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 34.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–13 September 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 33.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–6 September 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 34.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–6 September 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 35.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–6 September 2024 CIS 28.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–31 August 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 34.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–29 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 35.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–23 August 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 35.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–23 August 2024 40dB
Prisa		 34.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–9 August 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 33.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–8 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 35.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 July 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 34.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–20 July 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 34.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–18 July 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 34.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–10 July 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 33.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–4 July 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 34.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–4 July 2024 CIS 30.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–28 June 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 33.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 June 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 34.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 June 2024 40dB
Prisa		 33.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–15 June 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 34.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–14 June 2024 Invymark
laSexta		 38.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–11 June 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 33.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partido Popular (EPP).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 100%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 100%  
24.5–25.5% 0.1% 100%  
25.5–26.5% 2% 99.9%  
26.5–27.5% 6% 98%  
27.5–28.5% 3% 92%  
28.5–29.5% 1.5% 89%  
29.5–30.5% 4% 87%  
30.5–31.5% 9% 84%  
31.5–32.5% 18% 74%  
32.5–33.5% 20% 57% Median
33.5–34.5% 16% 37%  
34.5–35.5% 11% 20%  
35.5–36.5% 6% 10%  
36.5–37.5% 3% 4%  
37.5–38.5% 0.9% 1.2%  
38.5–39.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
39.5–40.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
40.5–41.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 23 20–25 19–26 19–26 18–27
1–11 June 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 23 22–23 22–25 22–25 21–25
1–4 June 2026 CIS 19 19–20 18–20 18–20 18–21
28 May–1 June 2026 40dB
Prisa		 23 22–24 22–24 22–24 21–25
28–30 May 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		 24 22–25 22–26 21–26 21–26
25–29 May 2026 Invymark
laSexta		 23 22–24 22–25 21–25 21–26
27–28 May 2026 Target Point
El Debate		 23 21–24 21–24 21–25 20–25
26–28 May 2026 GAD3
ABC		 23 20–24 20–25 20–27 20–27
25–27 May 2026 NC Report
La Razón		 23 21–26 21–26 21–27 20–27
20–22 May 2026 DYM
Henneo		 25 23–26 23–26 22–27 22–27
4–18 May 2026 CIS 17 17–18 16–18 16–18 16–19
24–29 April 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 22 20–23 20–23 20–24 20–24
24–27 April 2026 40dB
Prisa		 22 21–23 21–24 21–24 20–24
22–26 April 2026 Ateneo del Dato 22 21–23 21–23 21–24 20–24
21–25 April 2026 More in Common 22 21–23 21–23 21–23 20–24
15–18 April 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
6–10 April 2026 CIS          
6–9 April 2026 NC Report
La Razón		          
23 March–8 April 2026 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		 22 20–23 20–23 19–23 19–24
16–31 March 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
24–26 March 2026 Target Point
El Debate		          
24–25 March 2026 40dB
Prisa		          
19–23 March 2026 DYM
Henneo		          
19–21 March 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
2–6 March 2026 CIS          
23–27 February 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
20–23 February 2026 40dB
Prisa		          
18–22 February 2026 Ateneo del Dato
elDiario.es		          
17–19 February 2026 Target Point
El Debate		          
11–13 February 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
10–13 February 2026 NC Report
La Razón		          
10 February 2026 Data10
Okdiario		          
2–6 February 2026 CIS          
30 January–2 February 2026 40dB
Prisa		          
26–30 January 2026 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
22–25 January 2026 DYM
Henneo		          
14–18 January 2026 DYM
Henneo		          
13–15 January 2026 Target Point
El Debate		          
12–15 January 2026 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		          
7–10 January 2026 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
5–10 January 2026 CIS          
5–9 January 2026 NC Report
La Razón		          
29 December 2025–5 January 2026 40dB
Prisa		          
22–29 December 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
15–19 December 2025 Invymark
laSexta		          
5–7 December 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
26 November–5 December 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
1–5 December 2025 Invymark
laSexta		          
1–5 December 2025 CIS          
27 November–1 December 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
17–21 November 2025 Invymark
laSexta		          
17–19 November 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
11–14 November 2025 NC Report
La Razón		          
12–14 November 2025 DYM
Henneo		          
3–12 November 2025 CIS          
6–8 November 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
30 October–6 November 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
4–6 November 2025 Cluster17
Agenda Pública		          
31 October–4 November 2025 Opina 360
Telecinco		          
28 October–4 November 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		          
24–26 October 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
6–10 October 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
3–9 October 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		          
1–7 October 2025 CIS          
1–4 October 2025 NC Report
La Razón		          
17 September–1 October 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
25–30 September 2025 Opina 360
Antena 3		          
26–28 September 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
15–19 September 2025 Invymark
laSexta		          
10–15 September 2025 DYM
Henneo		          
8–12 September 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
10–11 September 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
5–11 September 2025 GAD3
ABC		          
3–9 September 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		          
1–6 September 2025 NC Report
La Razón		          
1–6 September 2025 CIS          
2–5 September 2025 Demoscopia y Servicios
esRadio		          
29 August–1 September 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
26–29 August 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
20–28 August 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
21–30 July 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
21–24 July 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
14–18 July 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		          
11–14 July 2025 DYM
Henneo		          
10–14 July 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
9–10 July 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
1–7 July 2025 CIS          
30 June–4 July 2025 Invymark
laSexta		          
27–30 June 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
20–27 June 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
18–21 June 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
19–21 June 2025 NC Report
La Razón		          
18–20 June 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
16–20 June 2025 Invymark
laSexta		          
17 June 2025 DYM
Henneo		          
9–13 June 2025 Invymark
laSexta		          
10–12 June 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		          
2–7 June 2025 CIS          
27–29 May 2025 GAD3
ABC		          
21 April–28 May 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
23–26 May 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
23–25 May 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
21–23 May 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
20–23 May 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		          
19–22 May 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
15–21 May 2025 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		          
14–19 May 2025 DYM
Henneo		          
5–8 May 2025 CIS          
28 April–6 May 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
24–27 April 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
23–25 April 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
21–25 April 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
14–17 April 2025 NC Report
La Razón		          
4–15 April 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
9–15 April 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
Vozpópuli		          
1–8 April 2025 CIS          
28–31 March 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
27–28 March 2025 Data10
OKDiario		          
19–21 March 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
19–21 March 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
14–21 March 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
12–16 March 2025 DYM
Henneo		          
24 February–7 March 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
3–7 March 2025 NC Report
La Razón		          
28 February–7 March 2025 CIS          
3–6 March 2025 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		          
24–28 February 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		          
21–24 February 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
19–21 February 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
12–17 February 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
12–14 February 2025 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
4–7 February 2025 NC Report
La Razón		          
31 January–6 February 2025 CIS          
24–31 January 2025 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
28–31 January 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		          
24–27 January 2025 40dB
Prisa		          
22–24 January 2025 Target Point
El Debate		          
16–23 January 2025 GAD3
ABC		          
16–20 January 2025 DYM
Henneo		          
7–11 January 2025 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
31 December 2024–3 January 2025 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		          
26–30 December 2024 Target Point
El Debate		          
26–30 December 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
20–27 December 2024 NC Report
La Razón		          
13–26 December 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
20–26 December 2024 40dB
Prisa		          
10–12 December 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		          
5–11 December 2024 Sondaxe
La Voz de Galicia		          
25 November–4 December 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
2–4 December 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		          
25–29 November 2024 NC Report
La Razón		          
25–27 November 2024 40dB
Prisa		          
22–24 November 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
20–22 November 2024 Target Point
El Debate		          
18–22 November 2024 Ipsos
La Vanguardia		          
7–15 November 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
11–14 November 2024 GAD3
Mediaset		          
8–11 November 2024 DYM
Henneo		          
5–8 November 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		          
24–31 October 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
21–24 October 2024 GAD3
ABC		          
16–18 October 2024 Target Point
El Debate		          
16–18 October 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
16–18 October 2024 DYM
Henneo		          
8–11 October 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		          
4–9 October 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
20–27 September 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
25–27 September 2024 40dB
Prisa		          
23–26 September 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		          
16–20 September 2024 Invymark
laSexta		          
18–19 September 2024 Target Point
El Debate		          
1–13 September 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		          
3–6 September 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		          
2–6 September 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		          
2–6 September 2024 CIS          
26–31 August 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
22–29 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
20–23 August 2024 NC Report
La Razón		          
19–23 August 2024 40dB
Prisa		          
1–9 August 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		          
5–8 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
22 July 2024 Target Point
El Debate		          
18–20 July 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
12–18 July 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
1–10 July 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		          
1–4 July 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		          
1–4 July 2024 CIS          
21–28 June 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
25–27 June 2024 Target Point
El Debate		          
21–24 June 2024 40dB
Prisa		          
11–15 June 2024 NC Report
La Razón		          
10–14 June 2024 Invymark
laSexta		          
1–11 June 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partido Popular (EPP).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.8% 100%  
19 5% 99.2%  
20 7% 94%  
21 5% 87%  
22 19% 82%  
23 30% 63% Median
24 18% 33%  
25 10% 15%  
26 4% 5%  
27 0.9% 1.0%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%