Opinion Poll by NC Report for La Razón, 25–27 May 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0.0% 34.7% 32.3–37.2% 31.6–37.9% 31.0–38.5% 29.9–39.7%
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0.0% 25.0% 22.9–27.4% 22.3–28.0% 21.8–28.6% 20.8–29.7%
Vox (PfE) 0.0% 18.0% 16.1–20.1% 15.6–20.7% 15.2–21.2% 14.3–22.2%
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.5% 2.7–4.7% 2.5–5.0% 2.3–5.3% 2.0–5.9%
Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.5% 2.7–4.7% 2.5–5.0% 2.3–5.3% 2.0–5.9%
Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.8% 1.9–4.1% 1.7–4.3% 1.4–4.9%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.9% 1.2–3.1% 1.1–3.3% 0.9–3.8%
Junts per Catalunya (NI) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.7% 0.9–2.9% 0.7–3.4%
Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.7% 0.6–3.2%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) 0.0% 1.0% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.9% 0.4–2.1% 0.3–2.5%
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7% 0.4–1.9% 0.2–2.3%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.0% 0.1–1.2% 0.0–1.5%
Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.8% 0.0–0.9% 0.0–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0 23 21–26 21–26 21–27 20–27
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0 17 15–18 15–19 14–20 14–21
Vox (PfE) 0 12 11–13 10–14 10–14 9–15
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–3 1–4 1–4 1–4
Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–4
Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–3 1–3 1–3 0–4
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Junts per Catalunya (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 100%  
20 1.3% 99.9%  
21 9% 98.6%  
22 27% 89%  
23 36% 63% Median
24 6% 27%  
25 4% 20%  
26 14% 17%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.3% 0.3%  
29 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.2% 100%  
14 3% 99.7%  
15 8% 97%  
16 22% 89%  
17 26% 67% Median
18 35% 42%  
19 4% 7%  
20 3% 3%  
21 0.8% 0.8%  
22 0% 0%  

Vox (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 2% 100%  
10 5% 98%  
11 35% 93%  
12 25% 58% Median
13 27% 33%  
14 4% 6%  
15 1.4% 2%  
16 0.5% 0.5%  
17 0% 0%  

Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 15% 100%  
2 43% 85% Median
3 34% 42%  
4 8% 8%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Podemos (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Podemos (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 20% 100%  
2 44% 80% Median
3 34% 36%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 41% 98%  
2 47% 57% Median
3 10% 10%  
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100% Last Result
1 58% 78% Median
2 20% 20%  
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100% Last Result
1 53% 57% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100% Last Result
1 63% 64% Median
2 1.3% 1.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Last Result, Median
1 20% 20%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 22%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.8% 0.8%  
2 0% 0%  

Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0 23 0% 21–26 21–26 21–27 20–27
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0 17 0% 15–18 15–19 14–20 14–21
Vox (PfE) 0 12 0% 11–13 10–14 10–14 9–15
Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 100%  
20 1.3% 99.9%  
21 9% 98.6%  
22 27% 89%  
23 36% 63% Median
24 6% 27%  
25 4% 20%  
26 14% 17%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.3% 0.3%  
29 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.2% 100%  
14 3% 99.7%  
15 8% 97%  
16 22% 89%  
17 26% 67% Median
18 35% 42%  
19 4% 7%  
20 3% 3%  
21 0.8% 0.8%  
22 0% 0%  

Vox (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 2% 100%  
10 5% 98%  
11 35% 93%  
12 25% 58% Median
13 27% 33%  
14 4% 6%  
15 1.4% 2%  
16 0.5% 0.5%  
17 0% 0%  

Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations