Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 1.5% | 1.1–4.1% | 1.0–4.7% | 0.9–5.1% | 0.8–5.7% |
10–12 December 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
5–11 December 2024 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 1.0–2.4% | 0.8–2.8% |
25 November–4 December 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
1.3% | 1.0–1.7% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% |
2–4 December 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
25–29 November 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
25–27 November 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
22–24 November 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
1.3% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.7–2.4% |
20–22 November 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–22 November 2024 | Ipsos La Vanguardia |
1.4% | 1.0–1.9% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.7–2.5% |
7–15 November 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
1.5% | 1.2–2.1% | 1.1–2.3% | 1.0–2.5% | 0.8–2.8% |
11–14 November 2024 | GAD3 Mediaset |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–11 November 2024 | DYM Henneo |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–8 November 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.7% |
24–31 October 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
1.4% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.0–1.9% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.3% |
21–24 October 2024 | GAD3 ABC |
1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.6% |
16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
1.4% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.0–1.9% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% |
16–18 October 2024 | DYM Henneo |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–11 October 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
4–9 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
1.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20–27 September 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
1.3% | 1.0–1.7% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% |
25–27 September 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
23–26 September 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–20 September 2024 | InvyMark laSexta |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–19 September 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–13 September 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–6 September 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
2–6 September 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
1.5% | 1.2–2.1% | 1.1–2.3% | 1.0–2.5% | 0.8–2.8% |
2–6 September 2024 | CIS | 1.1% | 0.9–1.3% | 0.9–1.4% | 0.8–1.5% | 0.7–1.6% |
26–31 August 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
1.4% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.0–1.9% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% |
22–29 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
1.4% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.0–1.9% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% |
20–23 August 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
1.5% | 1.1–2.3% | 0.9–2.6% | 0.8–2.8% | 0.7–3.2% |
19–23 August 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–9 August 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–8 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
1.4% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.0–1.9% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.8–2.2% |
22 July 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–20 July 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.4% | 0.8–2.7% |
12–18 July 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
1.4% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.0–1.9% | 0.9–2.1% |
1–10 July 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–4 July 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.7% |
1–4 July 2024 | CIS | 1.2% | 1.0–1.5% | 0.9–1.5% | 0.9–1.6% | 0.8–1.7% |
21–28 June 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
1.4% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.1–2.0% | 1.0–2.1% | 0.9–2.3% |
25–27 June 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–24 June 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–15 June 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
1.7% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.8% | 0.9–3.0% | 0.7–3.5% |
10–14 June 2024 | Invymark laSexta |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–11 June 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 51% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 34% | 49% | Median |
2.5–3.5% | 2% | 15% | |
3.5–4.5% | 7% | 13% | |
4.5–5.5% | 5% | 6% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
10–12 December 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–4 |
5–11 December 2024 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
25 November–4 December 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
2–4 December 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
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25–29 November 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
25–27 November 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
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22–24 November 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
20–22 November 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
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18–22 November 2024 | Ipsos La Vanguardia |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
7–15 November 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
11–14 November 2024 | GAD3 Mediaset |
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8–11 November 2024 | DYM Henneo |
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5–8 November 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
24–31 October 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
21–24 October 2024 | GAD3 ABC |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
16–18 October 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
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16–18 October 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
16–18 October 2024 | DYM Henneo |
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8–11 October 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
4–9 October 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
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20–27 September 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
25–27 September 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
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23–26 September 2024 | GESOP Prensa Ibérica |
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16–20 September 2024 | InvyMark laSexta |
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18–19 September 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
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1–13 September 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
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3–6 September 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
2–6 September 2024 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
2–6 September 2024 | CIS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
26–31 August 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
22–29 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
20–23 August 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
19–23 August 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
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1–9 August 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
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5–8 August 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
22 July 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
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18–20 July 2024 | SocioMétrica El Español |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
12–18 July 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
1–10 July 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
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1–4 July 2024 | Hamalgama Métrica VozPópuli |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
1–4 July 2024 | CIS | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
21–28 June 2024 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
25–27 June 2024 | Target Point El Debate |
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21–24 June 2024 | 40dB Prisa |
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11–15 June 2024 | NC Report La Razón |
0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
10–14 June 2024 | Invymark laSexta |
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1–11 June 2024 | Simple Lógica elDiario.es |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 33% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 53% | 67% | Median |
2 | 4% | 14% | |
3 | 10% | 11% | |
4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
5 | 0% | 0% |