Opinion Poll by More in Common, 24–28 June 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Popular (EPP) | 0.0% | 31.3% | 29.8–32.9% | 29.4–33.3% | 29.1–33.7% | 28.3–34.4% |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) | 0.0% | 25.7% | 24.3–27.1% | 23.9–27.6% | 23.6–27.9% | 22.9–28.6% |
| Vox (PfE) | 0.0% | 17.1% | 15.9–18.4% | 15.6–18.8% | 15.3–19.1% | 14.8–19.7% |
| Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 4.7% | 4.0–5.4% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.4–6.2% |
| Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 3.5% | 3.0–4.2% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.5–4.9% |
| Podemos (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.8–4.0% | 2.6–4.2% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.7% |
| Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.8–2.8% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Popular (EPP) | 0 | 22 | 21–23 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 20–24 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) | 0 | 18 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
| Vox (PfE) | 0 | 12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–14 |
| Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| Podemos (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Partido Popular (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 17% | 98% | |
| 22 | 42% | 81% | Median |
| 23 | 31% | 39% | |
| 24 | 7% | 8% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 19% | 98% | |
| 18 | 44% | 80% | Median |
| 19 | 30% | 35% | |
| 20 | 5% | 5% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Vox (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 24% | 98% | |
| 12 | 52% | 74% | Median |
| 13 | 20% | 22% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 69% | 96% | Median |
| 4 | 27% | 27% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 70% | 99.0% | Median |
| 3 | 29% | 30% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Podemos (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Podemos (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 85% | 91% | Median |
| 3 | 6% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Se Acabó La Fiesta (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 90% | 99.6% | Median |
| 2 | 10% | 10% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Popular (EPP) | 0 | 22 | 0% | 21–23 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 20–24 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) | 0 | 18 | 0% | 17–19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
| Vox (PfE) | 0 | 12 | 0% | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–14 |
Partido Popular (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 17% | 98% | |
| 22 | 42% | 81% | Median |
| 23 | 31% | 39% | |
| 24 | 7% | 8% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 19% | 98% | |
| 18 | 44% | 80% | Median |
| 19 | 30% | 35% | |
| 20 | 5% | 5% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Vox (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 24% | 98% | |
| 12 | 52% | 74% | Median |
| 13 | 20% | 22% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: More in Common
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 24–28 June 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1542
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.61%