Opinion Poll by NC Report for La Razón, 1–3 September 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0.0% 34.5% 32.1–37.0% 31.5–37.7% 30.9–38.3% 29.8–39.6%
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0.0% 24.9% 22.8–27.2% 22.1–27.9% 21.6–28.4% 20.7–29.6%
Vox (PfE) 0.0% 18.3% 16.4–20.4% 15.9–21.0% 15.5–21.5% 14.6–22.6%
Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.4% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.8% 2.2–5.1% 1.9–5.7%
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.2% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–4.9% 1.8–5.5%
Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.7% 1.5–3.9% 1.2–4.5%
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.9% 1.2–3.1% 1.1–3.3% 0.9–3.8%
Junts per Catalunya (NI) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.7% 0.9–2.9% 0.7–3.4%
Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.7% 0.6–3.2%
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) 0.0% 1.0% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.9% 0.4–2.1% 0.3–2.5%
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7% 0.4–1.9% 0.2–2.3%
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.0% 0.1–1.2% 0.0–1.5%
Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.8% 0.0–0.9% 0.0–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0 23 22–25 21–25 21–26 20–26
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0 18 15–18 14–19 14–19 14–20
Vox (PfE) 0 13 11–14 11–14 10–14 10–15
Podemos (GUE/NGL) 0 2 2–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) 0 2 2–3 1–3 1–4 1–4
Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–3
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Junts per Catalunya (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.7% 99.9%  
21 4% 99.2%  
22 41% 95%  
23 23% 54% Median
24 17% 31%  
25 10% 14%  
26 3% 3%  
27 0.3% 0.5%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.3% 100%  
14 5% 99.7%  
15 13% 95%  
16 11% 82%  
17 18% 70%  
18 44% 52% Median
19 7% 8%  
20 1.2% 1.5%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Vox (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.4% 100%  
10 4% 99.6%  
11 12% 96%  
12 22% 84%  
13 49% 62% Median
14 12% 14%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Podemos (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Podemos (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 8% 100%  
2 76% 92% Median
3 16% 16%  
4 0.3% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 10% 100%  
2 45% 90% Median
3 43% 46%  
4 3% 3%  
5 0% 0%  

Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100% Last Result
1 51% 99.2% Median
2 47% 48%  
3 1.4% 1.5%  
4 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100% Last Result
1 77% 86% Median
2 9% 9%  
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 53% 100% Last Result, Median
1 38% 47%  
2 9% 9%  
3 0% 0%  

Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100% Last Result
1 51% 54% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 11%  
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Last Result, Median
1 21% 21%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.2% 1.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Unión del Pueblo Navarro (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partido Popular (EPP) 0 23 0% 22–25 21–25 21–26 20–26
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 0 18 0% 15–18 14–19 14–19 14–20
Vox (PfE) 0 13 0% 11–14 11–14 10–14 10–15

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.7% 99.9%  
21 4% 99.2%  
22 41% 95%  
23 23% 54% Median
24 17% 31%  
25 10% 14%  
26 3% 3%  
27 0.3% 0.5%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.3% 100%  
14 5% 99.7%  
15 13% 95%  
16 11% 82%  
17 18% 70%  
18 44% 52% Median
19 7% 8%  
20 1.2% 1.5%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Vox (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.4% 100%  
10 4% 99.6%  
11 12% 96%  
12 22% 84%  
13 49% 62% Median
14 12% 14%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations