Opinion Poll by NC Report for La Razón, 2–5 November 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Popular (EPP) | 0.0% | 33.0% | 30.7–35.4% | 30.0–36.1% | 29.4–36.7% | 28.3–37.9% |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) | 0.0% | 25.7% | 23.5–28.0% | 22.9–28.6% | 22.4–29.2% | 21.4–30.3% |
| Vox (PfE) | 0.0% | 19.3% | 17.4–21.4% | 16.9–22.0% | 16.4–22.5% | 15.5–23.6% |
| Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.8–5.4% | 2.7–5.7% | 2.3–6.3% |
| Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.6% | 1.6–5.1% |
| Podemos (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.8% | 1.2–4.3% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.9% | 1.3–3.2% | 1.2–3.4% | 1.0–3.9% |
| Junts per Catalunya (NI) | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.1–3.2% | 0.9–3.7% |
| Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.8–2.4% | 0.7–2.6% | 0.6–3.1% |
| Adelante Andalucía (*) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.8–2.0% | 0.7–2.2% | 0.6–2.4% | 0.5–2.9% |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.0% | 0.3–2.4% |
| Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.8% | 0.2–2.2% |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% | 0.1–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Popular (EPP) | 0 | 23 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 20–25 | 19–26 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) | 0 | 17 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 14–21 |
| Vox (PfE) | 0 | 13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Podemos (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Junts per Catalunya (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Adelante Andalucía (*) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
Partido Popular (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Popular (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 20 | 18% | 98% | |
| 21 | 11% | 80% | |
| 22 | 11% | 69% | |
| 23 | 45% | 58% | Median |
| 24 | 10% | 13% | |
| 25 | 2% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 5% | 98% | |
| 16 | 38% | 93% | |
| 17 | 24% | 56% | Median |
| 18 | 18% | 32% | |
| 19 | 10% | 13% | |
| 20 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Vox (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 12% | 98% | |
| 12 | 33% | 87% | |
| 13 | 23% | 54% | Median |
| 14 | 26% | 30% | |
| 15 | 3% | 4% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimiento Sumar–Izquierda Unida (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 42% | 96% | |
| 3 | 45% | 54% | Median |
| 4 | 9% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Més–Compromís–Más País–Chunta (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 28% | 100% | |
| 2 | 59% | 72% | Median |
| 3 | 12% | 13% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Podemos (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Podemos (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 74% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 22% | 23% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 76% | 87% | Median |
| 2 | 10% | 10% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 77% | 87% | Median |
| 2 | 10% | 10% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euskal Herria Bildu (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 48% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 49% | 52% | Median |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Adelante Andalucía (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Adelante Andalucía (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 40% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 56% | 60% | Median |
| 2 | 5% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea/Partido Nacionalista Vasco (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 81% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 19% | 19% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bloque Nacionalista Galego–Nós Candidatura Galega (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 93% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 7% | 7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Coalición Canaria–Partido Nacionalista Canario (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partido Popular (EPP) | 0 | 23 | 0% | 20–24 | 20–24 | 20–25 | 19–26 |
| Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) | 0 | 17 | 0% | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 14–21 |
| Vox (PfE) | 0 | 13 | 0% | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
Partido Popular (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 20 | 18% | 98% | |
| 21 | 11% | 80% | |
| 22 | 11% | 69% | |
| 23 | 45% | 58% | Median |
| 24 | 10% | 13% | |
| 25 | 2% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 5% | 98% | |
| 16 | 38% | 93% | |
| 17 | 24% | 56% | Median |
| 18 | 18% | 32% | |
| 19 | 10% | 13% | |
| 20 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Vox (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 12% | 98% | |
| 12 | 33% | 87% | |
| 13 | 23% | 54% | Median |
| 14 | 26% | 30% | |
| 15 | 3% | 4% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: NC Report
- Commissioner(s): La Razón
- Fieldwork period: 2–5 November 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 643
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.64%