Opinion Poll by SCB, 29 October–27 November 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 30.6% | 29.7–31.4% | 29.5–31.7% | 29.3–31.9% | 28.9–32.3% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 19.2% | 18.5–20.0% | 18.3–20.2% | 18.1–20.4% | 17.8–20.8% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 18.3% | 17.6–19.1% | 17.4–19.3% | 17.3–19.5% | 16.9–19.8% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1–9.2% | 8.0–9.3% | 7.8–9.5% | 7.6–9.7% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9–9.0% | 7.8–9.1% | 7.7–9.2% | 7.4–9.5% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9–5.8% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9–4.7% | 3.8–4.8% | 3.7–4.9% | 3.6–5.1% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7–4.4% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 111 | 106–115 | 105–117 | 104–118 | 102–121 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 69 | 66–73 | 65–74 | 64–75 | 63–78 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 66 | 63–70 | 62–71 | 62–72 | 60–74 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 31 | 29–33 | 28–34 | 28–35 | 27–36 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 30 | 28–33 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 27–35 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 19 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 16–23 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 16 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–18 | 0–19 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–17 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 104 | 2% | 98% | |
| 105 | 3% | 96% | |
| 106 | 8% | 93% | |
| 107 | 5% | 85% | |
| 108 | 8% | 80% | |
| 109 | 12% | 72% | |
| 110 | 6% | 60% | |
| 111 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 112 | 12% | 46% | |
| 113 | 10% | 33% | |
| 114 | 6% | 23% | |
| 115 | 8% | 18% | |
| 116 | 4% | 10% | |
| 117 | 2% | 6% | |
| 118 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 121 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 4% | 97% | |
| 66 | 5% | 93% | |
| 67 | 14% | 89% | |
| 68 | 13% | 75% | |
| 69 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 70 | 11% | 47% | Last Result |
| 71 | 15% | 36% | |
| 72 | 9% | 21% | |
| 73 | 5% | 12% | |
| 74 | 3% | 7% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 62 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 63 | 5% | 93% | |
| 64 | 9% | 88% | |
| 65 | 15% | 79% | |
| 66 | 18% | 64% | Median |
| 67 | 11% | 46% | |
| 68 | 7% | 35% | |
| 69 | 12% | 28% | |
| 70 | 8% | 16% | |
| 71 | 5% | 8% | |
| 72 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 6% | 98.9% | |
| 29 | 6% | 93% | |
| 30 | 16% | 88% | |
| 31 | 24% | 72% | Last Result, Median |
| 32 | 26% | 48% | |
| 33 | 13% | 22% | |
| 34 | 5% | 9% | |
| 35 | 3% | 4% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 27 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 8% | 97% | Last Result |
| 29 | 20% | 89% | |
| 30 | 24% | 69% | Median |
| 31 | 17% | 45% | |
| 32 | 15% | 27% | |
| 33 | 9% | 13% | |
| 34 | 2% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 6% | 98.7% | |
| 18 | 23% | 93% | |
| 19 | 29% | 69% | Median |
| 20 | 21% | 40% | |
| 21 | 15% | 19% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 88% | |
| 2 | 0% | 88% | |
| 3 | 0% | 88% | |
| 4 | 0% | 88% | |
| 5 | 0% | 88% | |
| 6 | 0% | 88% | |
| 7 | 0% | 88% | |
| 8 | 0% | 88% | |
| 9 | 0% | 88% | |
| 10 | 0% | 88% | |
| 11 | 0% | 88% | |
| 12 | 0% | 88% | |
| 13 | 0% | 88% | |
| 14 | 4% | 88% | |
| 15 | 30% | 84% | |
| 16 | 35% | 54% | Median |
| 17 | 12% | 18% | |
| 18 | 6% | 6% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 52% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 48% | |
| 2 | 0% | 48% | |
| 3 | 0% | 48% | |
| 4 | 0% | 48% | |
| 5 | 0% | 48% | |
| 6 | 0% | 48% | |
| 7 | 0% | 48% | |
| 8 | 0% | 48% | |
| 9 | 0% | 48% | |
| 10 | 0% | 48% | |
| 11 | 0% | 48% | |
| 12 | 0% | 48% | |
| 13 | 0% | 48% | |
| 14 | 13% | 48% | |
| 15 | 23% | 35% | |
| 16 | 9% | 11% | Last Result |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 213 | 100% | 204–218 | 203–221 | 202–226 | 200–228 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 194 | 100% | 188–200 | 185–201 | 183–202 | 179–204 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 181 | 84% | 173–187 | 172–189 | 171–192 | 169–196 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 163 | 0.4% | 157–170 | 154–171 | 151–172 | 147–174 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 155 | 0% | 149–161 | 148–164 | 147–166 | 145–170 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 149 | 0% | 142–155 | 140–158 | 139–160 | 137–164 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 141 | 0% | 136–147 | 134–149 | 133–150 | 132–153 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 136 | 0% | 131–142 | 129–143 | 129–145 | 127–149 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 135 | 0% | 128–139 | 124–140 | 121–142 | 118–144 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 121 | 0% | 115–125 | 113–128 | 113–129 | 112–133 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 117 | 0% | 111–125 | 109–127 | 109–129 | 107–132 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 115 | 0% | 108–120 | 105–121 | 101–122 | 99–124 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 101 | 0% | 96–105 | 95–107 | 94–109 | 93–112 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 198 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 201 | 2% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 202 | 2% | 98% | |
| 203 | 3% | 96% | |
| 204 | 6% | 93% | |
| 205 | 8% | 87% | |
| 206 | 2% | 79% | |
| 207 | 8% | 77% | |
| 208 | 6% | 68% | |
| 209 | 3% | 62% | |
| 210 | 2% | 59% | |
| 211 | 2% | 57% | Median |
| 212 | 4% | 55% | |
| 213 | 8% | 51% | |
| 214 | 12% | 43% | |
| 215 | 7% | 32% | |
| 216 | 7% | 25% | |
| 217 | 3% | 18% | |
| 218 | 6% | 15% | |
| 219 | 2% | 9% | |
| 220 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 221 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 222 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 223 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 224 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 225 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 226 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 227 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 228 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 230 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 232 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 181 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 182 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 184 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 185 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 186 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 187 | 2% | 94% | |
| 188 | 3% | 92% | Median |
| 189 | 5% | 89% | |
| 190 | 9% | 84% | |
| 191 | 9% | 74% | |
| 192 | 6% | 65% | |
| 193 | 9% | 60% | |
| 194 | 4% | 50% | |
| 195 | 8% | 46% | Last Result |
| 196 | 7% | 38% | |
| 197 | 8% | 31% | |
| 198 | 8% | 24% | |
| 199 | 4% | 16% | |
| 200 | 6% | 13% | |
| 201 | 3% | 6% | |
| 202 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 203 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 204 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 170 | 1.1% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 172 | 3% | 97% | |
| 173 | 6% | 95% | |
| 174 | 4% | 88% | |
| 175 | 5% | 84% | Majority |
| 176 | 8% | 79% | |
| 177 | 6% | 70% | |
| 178 | 3% | 64% | |
| 179 | 4% | 61% | |
| 180 | 5% | 57% | Median |
| 181 | 9% | 52% | |
| 182 | 6% | 43% | |
| 183 | 11% | 37% | |
| 184 | 8% | 26% | |
| 185 | 4% | 18% | |
| 186 | 4% | 14% | |
| 187 | 2% | 10% | |
| 188 | 2% | 8% | |
| 189 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 190 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 191 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 192 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 193 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 194 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 196 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 145 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 149 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 151 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 152 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 153 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 154 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 155 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 156 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 157 | 2% | 92% | |
| 158 | 6% | 90% | Median |
| 159 | 8% | 83% | |
| 160 | 8% | 76% | |
| 161 | 9% | 67% | |
| 162 | 7% | 58% | |
| 163 | 4% | 51% | |
| 164 | 5% | 47% | |
| 165 | 4% | 42% | |
| 166 | 4% | 38% | |
| 167 | 7% | 34% | Last Result |
| 168 | 4% | 27% | |
| 169 | 9% | 22% | |
| 170 | 4% | 13% | |
| 171 | 5% | 9% | |
| 172 | 2% | 4% | |
| 173 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 174 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 175 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 148 | 3% | 97% | |
| 149 | 6% | 94% | |
| 150 | 4% | 87% | |
| 151 | 8% | 84% | |
| 152 | 8% | 76% | |
| 153 | 7% | 69% | |
| 154 | 8% | 62% | Last Result, Median |
| 155 | 4% | 54% | |
| 156 | 9% | 50% | |
| 157 | 6% | 40% | |
| 158 | 9% | 35% | |
| 159 | 9% | 26% | |
| 160 | 5% | 16% | |
| 161 | 3% | 11% | |
| 162 | 2% | 8% | |
| 163 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 164 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 165 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 166 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 167 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 170 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 139 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 140 | 2% | 96% | |
| 141 | 3% | 94% | Median |
| 142 | 8% | 91% | |
| 143 | 4% | 83% | |
| 144 | 6% | 79% | Last Result |
| 145 | 9% | 73% | |
| 146 | 7% | 64% | |
| 147 | 4% | 57% | |
| 148 | 3% | 53% | |
| 149 | 5% | 50% | |
| 150 | 7% | 45% | |
| 151 | 6% | 38% | |
| 152 | 10% | 33% | |
| 153 | 6% | 23% | |
| 154 | 5% | 17% | |
| 155 | 3% | 12% | |
| 156 | 2% | 10% | |
| 157 | 2% | 7% | |
| 158 | 2% | 6% | |
| 159 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 160 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 133 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 134 | 4% | 97% | |
| 135 | 2% | 93% | |
| 136 | 7% | 91% | |
| 137 | 7% | 84% | |
| 138 | 10% | 77% | |
| 139 | 8% | 67% | |
| 140 | 4% | 60% | |
| 141 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 142 | 9% | 49% | |
| 143 | 5% | 40% | |
| 144 | 8% | 35% | |
| 145 | 9% | 27% | |
| 146 | 7% | 18% | |
| 147 | 3% | 11% | |
| 148 | 2% | 8% | |
| 149 | 3% | 5% | |
| 150 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 153 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 127 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 128 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 129 | 3% | 98% | |
| 130 | 3% | 95% | |
| 131 | 7% | 92% | |
| 132 | 4% | 85% | Last Result |
| 133 | 11% | 81% | |
| 134 | 10% | 69% | |
| 135 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 136 | 4% | 50% | |
| 137 | 7% | 46% | |
| 138 | 8% | 39% | |
| 139 | 13% | 31% | |
| 140 | 4% | 18% | |
| 141 | 3% | 13% | |
| 142 | 4% | 10% | |
| 143 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 144 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 145 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 147 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 149 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 123 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 124 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 126 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 127 | 2% | 93% | |
| 128 | 3% | 91% | |
| 129 | 5% | 88% | |
| 130 | 4% | 83% | |
| 131 | 8% | 79% | |
| 132 | 4% | 70% | |
| 133 | 8% | 66% | |
| 134 | 7% | 58% | |
| 135 | 6% | 51% | Median |
| 136 | 7% | 45% | |
| 137 | 11% | 38% | |
| 138 | 11% | 27% | |
| 139 | 6% | 16% | |
| 140 | 5% | 10% | |
| 141 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 142 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 143 | 1.0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 144 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 113 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 114 | 3% | 95% | |
| 115 | 4% | 91% | |
| 116 | 10% | 87% | |
| 117 | 5% | 78% | |
| 118 | 7% | 73% | |
| 119 | 7% | 66% | Median |
| 120 | 7% | 59% | |
| 121 | 18% | 52% | |
| 122 | 13% | 34% | |
| 123 | 7% | 20% | Last Result |
| 124 | 3% | 14% | |
| 125 | 2% | 11% | |
| 126 | 1.5% | 9% | |
| 127 | 2% | 7% | |
| 128 | 3% | 5% | |
| 129 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 108 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 109 | 4% | 98% | |
| 110 | 2% | 94% | |
| 111 | 6% | 93% | Median |
| 112 | 10% | 87% | |
| 113 | 8% | 77% | |
| 114 | 5% | 69% | |
| 115 | 7% | 64% | |
| 116 | 4% | 56% | Last Result |
| 117 | 2% | 52% | |
| 118 | 2% | 50% | |
| 119 | 2% | 48% | |
| 120 | 5% | 46% | |
| 121 | 8% | 41% | |
| 122 | 4% | 33% | |
| 123 | 11% | 29% | |
| 124 | 3% | 18% | |
| 125 | 5% | 15% | |
| 126 | 3% | 10% | |
| 127 | 2% | 7% | |
| 128 | 2% | 5% | |
| 129 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 130 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 132 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 101 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 104 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 105 | 2% | 95% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 107 | 2% | 92% | |
| 108 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 109 | 2% | 90% | |
| 110 | 3% | 88% | |
| 111 | 7% | 85% | |
| 112 | 3% | 79% | |
| 113 | 8% | 75% | |
| 114 | 9% | 67% | |
| 115 | 9% | 58% | |
| 116 | 7% | 49% | Median |
| 117 | 13% | 43% | |
| 118 | 6% | 29% | |
| 119 | 8% | 23% | |
| 120 | 7% | 15% | |
| 121 | 4% | 8% | Last Result |
| 122 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 123 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 124 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 95 | 4% | 97% | |
| 96 | 5% | 93% | |
| 97 | 4% | 88% | |
| 98 | 10% | 84% | |
| 99 | 9% | 74% | |
| 100 | 12% | 65% | Median |
| 101 | 12% | 53% | Last Result |
| 102 | 11% | 41% | |
| 103 | 11% | 30% | |
| 104 | 5% | 19% | |
| 105 | 5% | 13% | |
| 106 | 2% | 9% | |
| 107 | 2% | 6% | |
| 108 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 109 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 110 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SCB
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 29 October–27 November 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 4721
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.82%