Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Summary

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) S M SD C V KD L MP
9 September 2018 General Election 28.3%
100
19.8%
70
17.5%
62
8.6%
31
8.0%
28
6.3%
22
5.5%
20
4.4%
16
N/A Poll Average 27–32%
95–113
15–20%
53–71
18–23%
64–81
6–9%
21–32
6–9%
22–32
4–7%
15–25
4–7%
0–24
4–8%
0–28
6–9 September 2022 SKOP 27–31%
94–108
15–18%
52–63
18–21%
62–74
6–9%
23–31
7–9%
24–32
5–7%
18–25
5–7%
18–25
6–9%
22–30
6–9 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
27–31%
96–113
17–20%
59–72
19–23%
69–83
7–9%
25–33
6–9%
23–31
4–6%
0–21
3–5%
0–18
5–7%
17–25
1–9 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
28–31%
97–111
17–20%
60–72
19–22%
66–78
7–9%
24–32
6–8%
21–28
4–6%
16–22
4–6%
14–21
4–6%
16–22
6–8 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
27–31%
95–109
15–18%
52–63
19–22%
67–79
6–8%
20–27
7–9%
24–32
5–7%
18–25
5–7%
18–25
5–7%
19–26
6–8 September 2022 Novus
SVT
28–33%
98–116
15–19%
54–68
19–23%
67–83
6–8%
20–30
7–9%
23–33
5–7%
17–25
4–6%
15–23
4–6%
0–20
9 September 2018 General Election 28.3%
100
19.8%
70
17.5%
62
8.6%
31
8.0%
28
6.3%
22
5.5%
20
4.4%
16

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 29.2% 27.8–30.8% 27.4–31.3% 27.0–31.8% 26.4–32.7%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 17.3% 15.6–19.1% 15.3–19.5% 15.0–19.8% 14.5–20.5%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 20.6% 19.1–22.0% 18.6–22.4% 18.3–22.7% 17.6–23.5%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 7.5% 6.4–8.5% 6.2–8.8% 6.0–9.0% 5.6–9.4%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 7.6% 6.7–8.6% 6.5–8.8% 6.3–9.1% 5.9–9.5%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 5.7% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.0% 4.0–7.4%
Liberalerna 5.5% 5.3% 4.2–6.4% 3.9–6.7% 3.7–6.9% 3.4–7.3%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 5.9% 4.5–7.5% 4.2–7.8% 3.9–8.1% 3.5–8.7%

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24.5–25.5% 0% 100%  
25.5–26.5% 0.7% 100%  
26.5–27.5% 6% 99.2%  
27.5–28.5% 21% 93% Last Result
28.5–29.5% 34% 72% Median
29.5–30.5% 25% 39%  
30.5–31.5% 10% 14%  
31.5–32.5% 3% 3%  
32.5–33.5% 0.5% 0.6%  
33.5–34.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
34.5–35.5% 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0.6% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 8% 99.4%  
15.5–16.5% 23% 92%  
16.5–17.5% 25% 68% Median
17.5–18.5% 23% 44%  
18.5–19.5% 16% 21%  
19.5–20.5% 4% 5% Last Result
20.5–21.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0.4% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 4% 99.5% Last Result
18.5–19.5% 14% 96%  
19.5–20.5% 30% 82%  
20.5–21.5% 33% 52% Median
21.5–22.5% 15% 19%  
22.5–23.5% 3% 4%  
23.5–24.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0.4% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 13% 99.6%  
6.5–7.5% 38% 87%  
7.5–8.5% 40% 48% Median
8.5–9.5% 8% 9% Last Result
9.5–10.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4.5–5.5% 0.1% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 7% 99.9%  
6.5–7.5% 39% 93%  
7.5–8.5% 44% 54% Last Result, Median
8.5–9.5% 10% 10%  
9.5–10.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 6% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 37% 94%  
5.5–6.5% 46% 57% Last Result, Median
6.5–7.5% 10% 11%  
7.5–8.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 1.0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 20% 99.0%  
4.5–5.5% 38% 79% Last Result, Median
5.5–6.5% 34% 41%  
6.5–7.5% 7% 7%  
7.5–8.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0.5% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 11% 99.5% Last Result
4.5–5.5% 28% 88%  
5.5–6.5% 32% 61% Median
6.5–7.5% 20% 29%  
7.5–8.5% 8% 9%  
8.5–9.5% 0.7% 0.7%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 103 98–109 97–112 95–113 93–116
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 61 55–68 54–69 53–71 51–73
Sverigedemokraterna 62 73 67–79 66–80 64–81 62–84
Centerpartiet 31 27 23–30 22–31 21–32 20–34
Vänsterpartiet 28 27 23–30 23–31 22–32 21–34
Kristdemokraterna 22 20 17–23 16–24 15–25 0–26
Liberalerna 20 19 15–22 0–23 0–24 0–26
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 21 16–26 14–28 0–28 0–30

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.2% 99.9%  
93 0.3% 99.7%  
94 0.6% 99.4%  
95 2% 98.8%  
96 2% 97%  
97 3% 95%  
98 5% 93%  
99 7% 88%  
100 6% 81% Last Result
101 9% 75%  
102 8% 66%  
103 9% 58% Median
104 10% 49%  
105 10% 39%  
106 7% 30%  
107 5% 23%  
108 5% 18%  
109 4% 13%  
110 2% 9%  
111 2% 7%  
112 2% 5%  
113 1.3% 3%  
114 0.9% 2%  
115 0.4% 1.2%  
116 0.2% 0.7%  
117 0.2% 0.5%  
118 0.1% 0.3%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.2% 99.9%  
51 0.5% 99.6%  
52 2% 99.2%  
53 2% 98%  
54 4% 96%  
55 4% 91%  
56 6% 87%  
57 8% 81%  
58 8% 74%  
59 8% 66%  
60 5% 58%  
61 5% 53% Median
62 6% 48%  
63 7% 42%  
64 5% 35%  
65 8% 31%  
66 4% 23%  
67 8% 19%  
68 3% 11%  
69 4% 8%  
70 2% 4% Last Result
71 1.3% 3%  
72 0.7% 1.4%  
73 0.3% 0.7%  
74 0.2% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.5% 99.6% Last Result
63 0.7% 99.1%  
64 1.2% 98%  
65 2% 97%  
66 2% 96%  
67 4% 93%  
68 6% 89%  
69 7% 84%  
70 7% 77%  
71 8% 70%  
72 10% 61%  
73 9% 51% Median
74 10% 42%  
75 7% 32%  
76 5% 25%  
77 5% 20%  
78 4% 14%  
79 4% 11%  
80 4% 7%  
81 0.9% 3%  
82 0.9% 2%  
83 0.7% 1.4%  
84 0.3% 0.8%  
85 0.2% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.3% 99.9%  
20 1.4% 99.7%  
21 3% 98%  
22 5% 96%  
23 7% 91%  
24 9% 83%  
25 11% 74%  
26 12% 64%  
27 14% 51% Median
28 10% 37%  
29 11% 27%  
30 7% 16%  
31 4% 8% Last Result
32 2% 4%  
33 1.0% 1.5%  
34 0.3% 0.5%  
35 0.2% 0.2%  
36 0% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.3% 99.9%  
21 0.8% 99.7%  
22 3% 98.9%  
23 6% 96%  
24 8% 90%  
25 10% 82%  
26 14% 71%  
27 17% 57% Median
28 13% 40% Last Result
29 12% 28%  
30 8% 15%  
31 4% 8%  
32 2% 4%  
33 1.2% 2%  
34 0.4% 0.5%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100%  
1 0% 99.3%  
2 0% 99.3%  
3 0% 99.3%  
4 0% 99.3%  
5 0% 99.3%  
6 0% 99.3%  
7 0% 99.3%  
8 0% 99.3%  
9 0% 99.3%  
10 0% 99.3%  
11 0% 99.3%  
12 0% 99.3%  
13 0% 99.3%  
14 0.2% 99.3%  
15 2% 99.1%  
16 5% 97%  
17 8% 92%  
18 11% 84%  
19 14% 73%  
20 16% 58% Median
21 17% 42%  
22 11% 25% Last Result
23 6% 14%  
24 4% 7%  
25 3% 4%  
26 0.7% 1.0%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 0% 93%  
9 0% 93%  
10 0% 93%  
11 0% 93%  
12 0% 93%  
13 0% 93%  
14 2% 93%  
15 7% 92%  
16 10% 85%  
17 11% 75%  
18 12% 64%  
19 10% 52% Median
20 13% 42% Last Result
21 12% 29%  
22 7% 17%  
23 5% 10%  
24 3% 4%  
25 1.4% 2%  
26 0.4% 0.5%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 0% 96%  
9 0% 96%  
10 0% 96%  
11 0% 96%  
12 0% 96%  
13 0% 96%  
14 1.1% 96%  
15 4% 95%  
16 6% 91% Last Result
17 6% 85%  
18 6% 79%  
19 11% 73%  
20 9% 62%  
21 9% 53% Median
22 9% 44%  
23 7% 35%  
24 8% 28%  
25 8% 20%  
26 3% 12%  
27 2% 9%  
28 4% 6%  
29 2% 2%  
30 0.5% 0.9%  
31 0.1% 0.4%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna 195 195 100% 187–203 184–206 182–207 178–210
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 191 99.7% 181–201 179–204 177–206 175–211
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 175 177 69% 170–184 168–187 166–188 161–192
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 174 172 31% 165–179 162–181 161–183 157–188
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna 167 169 14% 160–175 157–178 155–180 151–182
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 165 8% 156–174 154–176 153–178 150–182
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna 154 154 0% 146–162 143–165 142–167 139–171
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 151 0% 144–157 141–159 140–161 135–164
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 147 151 0% 144–157 141–159 137–161 133–165
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna 132 134 0% 124–143 123–146 121–148 118–152
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 130 0% 124–137 123–139 122–141 120–146
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 126 0% 118–132 116–134 114–135 109–138
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 124 0% 118–130 115–131 111–133 107–136
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 108 0% 100–115 98–117 97–119 95–121
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 106 0% 98–112 97–114 96–116 92–118
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 103 0% 98–109 97–112 95–113 93–116
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 112 99 0% 93–105 87–106 84–107 81–110
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 87 0% 79–97 77–98 76–100 74–102
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 92 81 0% 76–87 74–89 73–90 69–92

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
175 0% 100% Majority
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.1% 99.8%  
178 0.2% 99.7%  
179 0.3% 99.5%  
180 0.5% 99.2%  
181 0.4% 98.6%  
182 1.1% 98%  
183 0.7% 97%  
184 2% 96%  
185 2% 95%  
186 2% 93%  
187 4% 92%  
188 3% 88%  
189 4% 84%  
190 6% 81%  
191 5% 75%  
192 4% 70%  
193 6% 65%  
194 6% 60%  
195 7% 54% Last Result
196 5% 47%  
197 5% 42% Median
198 5% 37%  
199 6% 32%  
200 4% 26%  
201 4% 22%  
202 6% 18%  
203 4% 12%  
204 1.3% 8%  
205 1.1% 7%  
206 2% 6%  
207 2% 4%  
208 1.2% 2%  
209 0.4% 1.2%  
210 0.4% 0.7%  
211 0.1% 0.4%  
212 0.1% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
172 0% 100%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.2% 99.9%  
175 0.3% 99.7% Majority
176 1.1% 99.4%  
177 1.1% 98%  
178 1.3% 97%  
179 2% 96%  
180 3% 93%  
181 2% 91%  
182 4% 89%  
183 3% 85%  
184 5% 82%  
185 4% 78%  
186 4% 73%  
187 8% 70%  
188 3% 62%  
189 2% 59%  
190 3% 57%  
191 4% 53% Median
192 4% 50%  
193 4% 45%  
194 3% 41%  
195 4% 38%  
196 4% 34%  
197 5% 30%  
198 4% 25%  
199 5% 20%  
200 3% 15%  
201 2% 12% Last Result
202 3% 10%  
203 1.2% 7%  
204 1.3% 6%  
205 2% 5%  
206 0.6% 3%  
207 0.8% 2%  
208 0.4% 2%  
209 0.4% 1.2%  
210 0.2% 0.8%  
211 0.2% 0.6%  
212 0.2% 0.4%  
213 0.1% 0.3%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0.1% 100%  
159 0.1% 99.9%  
160 0.2% 99.8%  
161 0.2% 99.6%  
162 0.2% 99.4%  
163 0.2% 99.2%  
164 0.3% 99.1%  
165 0.4% 98.7%  
166 0.9% 98%  
167 2% 97%  
168 1.1% 96%  
169 2% 95%  
170 3% 93%  
171 3% 89%  
172 6% 86%  
173 5% 81%  
174 7% 76%  
175 7% 69% Last Result, Majority
176 6% 62%  
177 7% 57%  
178 7% 50% Median
179 9% 43%  
180 5% 34%  
181 6% 29%  
182 5% 23%  
183 5% 17%  
184 4% 13%  
185 2% 9%  
186 1.3% 7%  
187 2% 5%  
188 1.0% 3%  
189 0.8% 2%  
190 0.4% 2%  
191 0.4% 1.1%  
192 0.3% 0.7%  
193 0.2% 0.4%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0.1% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.8%  
156 0.2% 99.7%  
157 0.3% 99.6%  
158 0.4% 99.3%  
159 0.4% 98.9%  
160 0.8% 98%  
161 1.0% 98%  
162 2% 97%  
163 1.3% 95%  
164 2% 93%  
165 4% 91%  
166 5% 87%  
167 5% 83%  
168 6% 77%  
169 5% 71%  
170 9% 66%  
171 7% 57%  
172 7% 50%  
173 6% 43% Median
174 7% 38% Last Result
175 7% 31% Majority
176 5% 24%  
177 6% 19%  
178 3% 14%  
179 3% 11%  
180 2% 7%  
181 1.1% 5%  
182 2% 4%  
183 0.9% 3%  
184 0.4% 2%  
185 0.3% 1.3%  
186 0.2% 0.9%  
187 0.2% 0.8%  
188 0.2% 0.6%  
189 0.2% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0.1% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0% 100%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.1% 99.8%  
150 0.2% 99.7%  
151 0.3% 99.5%  
152 0.3% 99.2%  
153 0.4% 98.9%  
154 0.8% 98%  
155 0.9% 98%  
156 2% 97%  
157 1.5% 95%  
158 2% 94%  
159 1.4% 92%  
160 2% 91%  
161 2% 88%  
162 3% 86%  
163 3% 83%  
164 5% 80%  
165 5% 75%  
166 6% 70%  
167 7% 65% Last Result
168 7% 57%  
169 6% 50%  
170 6% 44% Median
171 8% 38%  
172 6% 30%  
173 5% 24%  
174 5% 19%  
175 4% 14% Majority
176 2% 10%  
177 2% 8%  
178 1.4% 6%  
179 2% 5%  
180 0.8% 3%  
181 1.1% 2%  
182 0.3% 0.7%  
183 0.2% 0.4%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0.1% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0.1% 100%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.2% 99.8%  
150 0.3% 99.6%  
151 0.6% 99.3%  
152 0.9% 98.7%  
153 2% 98%  
154 2% 96%  
155 3% 94%  
156 3% 91%  
157 3% 88%  
158 6% 85%  
159 4% 79%  
160 5% 76%  
161 4% 70%  
162 6% 66%  
163 5% 60%  
164 5% 55% Median
165 6% 51%  
166 3% 45%  
167 5% 42%  
168 5% 37%  
169 4% 32%  
170 6% 28% Last Result
171 4% 22%  
172 4% 17%  
173 3% 13%  
174 2% 10%  
175 2% 8% Majority
176 2% 6%  
177 1.3% 4%  
178 0.7% 3%  
179 0.5% 2%  
180 0.3% 1.5%  
181 0.4% 1.1%  
182 0.4% 0.7%  
183 0.1% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.3%  
185 0% 0.2%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.8%  
139 0.4% 99.6%  
140 0.4% 99.3%  
141 1.2% 98.8%  
142 2% 98%  
143 2% 96%  
144 1.1% 94%  
145 1.3% 93%  
146 4% 92%  
147 6% 88%  
148 4% 82%  
149 4% 78%  
150 6% 74%  
151 5% 68%  
152 5% 63%  
153 5% 58%  
154 7% 53% Last Result, Median
155 6% 46%  
156 6% 40%  
157 4% 35%  
158 5% 30%  
159 6% 25%  
160 4% 19%  
161 3% 16%  
162 4% 12%  
163 2% 8%  
164 2% 7%  
165 2% 5%  
166 0.7% 4%  
167 1.1% 3%  
168 0.4% 2%  
169 0.5% 1.4%  
170 0.3% 0.8%  
171 0.2% 0.5%  
172 0.1% 0.3%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0% Majority

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0.1% 100%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.8%  
134 0.1% 99.7%  
135 0.2% 99.6%  
136 0.1% 99.4%  
137 0.2% 99.3%  
138 0.5% 99.1%  
139 0.9% 98.6%  
140 1.2% 98%  
141 2% 96%  
142 1.2% 95%  
143 3% 94%  
144 3% 91% Last Result
145 3% 88%  
146 6% 84%  
147 7% 79%  
148 6% 72%  
149 6% 66%  
150 8% 60%  
151 6% 53% Median
152 6% 47%  
153 5% 41%  
154 8% 35%  
155 7% 27%  
156 5% 21%  
157 6% 15%  
158 2% 9%  
159 3% 7%  
160 2% 4%  
161 1.0% 3%  
162 0.6% 2%  
163 0.4% 1.0%  
164 0.2% 0.5%  
165 0.2% 0.3%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0.1% 100%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0.1% 99.9%  
131 0.1% 99.8%  
132 0.1% 99.7%  
133 0.1% 99.5%  
134 0.3% 99.4%  
135 0.4% 99.2%  
136 0.8% 98.8%  
137 0.8% 98%  
138 0.5% 97%  
139 0.6% 97%  
140 0.6% 96%  
141 0.9% 96%  
142 2% 95%  
143 2% 93%  
144 3% 90%  
145 4% 87%  
146 4% 84%  
147 7% 80% Last Result
148 6% 73%  
149 8% 67%  
150 9% 59%  
151 7% 51% Median
152 9% 43%  
153 7% 34%  
154 5% 28%  
155 6% 22%  
156 5% 16%  
157 3% 12%  
158 2% 8%  
159 2% 6%  
160 1.5% 4%  
161 1.0% 3%  
162 0.6% 2%  
163 0.4% 1.3%  
164 0.3% 0.9%  
165 0.3% 0.6%  
166 0.1% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
115 0% 100%  
116 0.1% 99.9%  
117 0.2% 99.8%  
118 0.3% 99.6%  
119 0.3% 99.3%  
120 1.2% 99.0%  
121 0.9% 98%  
122 2% 97%  
123 2% 95%  
124 3% 93%  
125 2% 90%  
126 4% 88%  
127 5% 83%  
128 4% 79%  
129 5% 75%  
130 5% 70%  
131 4% 66%  
132 4% 62% Last Result
133 4% 57%  
134 4% 53% Median
135 5% 49%  
136 5% 44%  
137 5% 39%  
138 5% 34%  
139 5% 29%  
140 5% 24%  
141 4% 19%  
142 4% 15%  
143 2% 11%  
144 2% 9%  
145 1.4% 7%  
146 2% 6%  
147 1.1% 4%  
148 1.1% 3%  
149 0.5% 2%  
150 0.7% 1.4%  
151 0.2% 0.7%  
152 0.3% 0.6%  
153 0.1% 0.3%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0.1% 100%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.3% 99.8%  
120 0.5% 99.5%  
121 1.0% 99.0%  
122 2% 98%  
123 2% 96%  
124 5% 94%  
125 4% 89%  
126 6% 85%  
127 8% 79%  
128 8% 71% Last Result
129 8% 63%  
130 9% 55% Median
131 8% 46%  
132 8% 39%  
133 7% 30%  
134 4% 24%  
135 5% 20%  
136 3% 15%  
137 2% 11%  
138 2% 9%  
139 3% 7%  
140 1.4% 5%  
141 1.3% 3%  
142 0.5% 2%  
143 0.3% 1.5%  
144 0.2% 1.2%  
145 0.5% 1.0%  
146 0.2% 0.5%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0.1% 99.7%  
109 0.2% 99.7%  
110 0.2% 99.5%  
111 0.3% 99.3%  
112 0.3% 99.0%  
113 1.0% 98.7%  
114 0.8% 98%  
115 0.9% 97%  
116 2% 96%  
117 2% 94%  
118 3% 93%  
119 3% 90%  
120 5% 86%  
121 6% 81%  
122 4% 75%  
123 6% 71%  
124 5% 65%  
125 7% 60%  
126 6% 53%  
127 8% 47% Median
128 8% 39%  
129 8% 31%  
130 6% 22%  
131 5% 17%  
132 3% 12%  
133 3% 9%  
134 3% 6%  
135 1.2% 3%  
136 0.8% 2%  
137 0.5% 1.0%  
138 0.2% 0.5%  
139 0.2% 0.3%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0% Last Result

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.7%  
107 0.2% 99.6%  
108 0.3% 99.4%  
109 0.6% 99.1%  
110 0.5% 98%  
111 0.7% 98%  
112 0.3% 97%  
113 0.5% 97%  
114 0.8% 96%  
115 0.8% 96%  
116 1.5% 95% Last Result
117 2% 93%  
118 2% 91%  
119 5% 89%  
120 5% 84%  
121 7% 79%  
122 8% 72%  
123 7% 64%  
124 9% 57% Median
125 8% 48%  
126 8% 40%  
127 9% 32%  
128 6% 22%  
129 6% 17%  
130 3% 10%  
131 2% 7%  
132 2% 5%  
133 1.2% 3%  
134 0.7% 2%  
135 0.5% 1.1%  
136 0.2% 0.6%  
137 0.2% 0.3%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.8%  
95 0.5% 99.7%  
96 0.8% 99.2%  
97 1.2% 98%  
98 3% 97%  
99 3% 95%  
100 3% 91%  
101 5% 88%  
102 4% 83%  
103 5% 79%  
104 6% 74%  
105 6% 68%  
106 4% 62%  
107 7% 58%  
108 7% 52% Median
109 5% 45%  
110 6% 40%  
111 5% 34%  
112 7% 28%  
113 5% 22%  
114 4% 17%  
115 3% 13%  
116 4% 9%  
117 2% 6%  
118 1.3% 4%  
119 1.2% 3%  
120 0.5% 1.4%  
121 0.5% 0.9%  
122 0.2% 0.4%  
123 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.8%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.6%  
92 0.3% 99.5%  
93 0.3% 99.3%  
94 0.5% 98.9%  
95 0.7% 98%  
96 2% 98%  
97 3% 96%  
98 5% 93%  
99 4% 88%  
100 5% 84%  
101 5% 79%  
102 6% 74%  
103 5% 68%  
104 6% 64%  
105 6% 58%  
106 6% 52%  
107 7% 46% Median
108 6% 39%  
109 7% 33%  
110 5% 26%  
111 6% 21%  
112 5% 15%  
113 3% 10%  
114 3% 7%  
115 1.5% 4%  
116 1.2% 3%  
117 0.7% 2%  
118 0.5% 0.9%  
119 0.1% 0.4%  
120 0.1% 0.2%  
121 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
122 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.2% 99.9%  
93 0.3% 99.7%  
94 0.6% 99.4%  
95 2% 98.8%  
96 2% 97%  
97 3% 95%  
98 5% 93%  
99 7% 88%  
100 6% 81% Last Result
101 9% 75%  
102 8% 66%  
103 9% 58% Median
104 10% 49%  
105 10% 39%  
106 7% 30%  
107 5% 23%  
108 5% 18%  
109 4% 13%  
110 2% 9%  
111 2% 7%  
112 2% 5%  
113 1.3% 3%  
114 0.9% 2%  
115 0.4% 1.2%  
116 0.2% 0.7%  
117 0.2% 0.5%  
118 0.1% 0.3%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.1% 99.7%  
80 0.1% 99.7%  
81 0.3% 99.5%  
82 0.7% 99.3%  
83 0.7% 98.6%  
84 0.6% 98%  
85 1.1% 97%  
86 0.5% 96%  
87 0.8% 96%  
88 0.4% 95%  
89 0.8% 94%  
90 0.8% 94%  
91 0.8% 93%  
92 1.2% 92%  
93 1.4% 91%  
94 3% 89%  
95 4% 86%  
96 7% 82%  
97 9% 76%  
98 12% 66%  
99 8% 55%  
100 7% 47% Median
101 8% 40%  
102 6% 32%  
103 7% 26%  
104 6% 20%  
105 5% 14%  
106 4% 8%  
107 2% 5%  
108 0.9% 2%  
109 0.6% 1.4%  
110 0.3% 0.8%  
111 0.2% 0.4%  
112 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.3% 99.7%  
75 0.7% 99.4%  
76 2% 98.7%  
77 2% 97%  
78 3% 95%  
79 3% 92%  
80 4% 89%  
81 4% 84%  
82 6% 80%  
83 5% 74%  
84 5% 69%  
85 5% 64%  
86 5% 59%  
87 5% 55%  
88 4% 50% Median
89 4% 46%  
90 4% 42%  
91 4% 38%  
92 5% 34%  
93 4% 29%  
94 5% 24%  
95 4% 19%  
96 5% 15%  
97 3% 10%  
98 2% 7%  
99 2% 5%  
100 1.1% 3%  
101 0.7% 2% Last Result
102 0.5% 0.9%  
103 0.1% 0.4%  
104 0.1% 0.3%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 0.1% 99.7%  
69 0.1% 99.6%  
70 0.2% 99.4%  
71 0.4% 99.3%  
72 0.7% 98.9%  
73 2% 98%  
74 2% 96%  
75 3% 94%  
76 5% 91%  
77 7% 85%  
78 8% 78%  
79 8% 70%  
80 9% 63%  
81 7% 54% Median
82 7% 47%  
83 8% 39%  
84 7% 31%  
85 6% 24%  
86 6% 18%  
87 5% 12%  
88 3% 8%  
89 2% 5%  
90 1.3% 3%  
91 0.8% 2%  
92 0.5% 0.9% Last Result
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Technical Information