Centerpartiet

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 8.6% (General Election of 9 September 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 7.5% 6.4–8.5% 6.2–8.8% 6.0–9.0% 5.6–9.4%
6–9 September 2022 SKOP 7.6% 6.9–8.4% 6.7–8.7% 6.5–8.9% 6.2–9.3%
6–9 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% 7.2–8.8% 7.0–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.5–9.7%
1–9 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
7.9% 7.2–8.7% 7.1–8.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.5%
6–8 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.6% 6.0–7.3% 5.8–7.5% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0%
5–8 September 2022 SKOP 7.2% 6.4–8.1% 6.2–8.4% 6.1–8.6% 5.7–9.0%
6–8 September 2022 Novus
SVT
7.1% 6.3–8.0% 6.1–8.3% 5.9–8.5% 5.5–8.9%
5–7 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 September 2022 SKOP 6.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 September 2022 Novus
SVT
7.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–6 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.1% 6.4–7.8% 6.2–8.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.6%
3–6 September 2022 SKOP 7.0% 6.2–7.9% 5.9–8.2% 5.7–8.4% 5.4–8.9%
4–6 September 2022 Novus
SVT
8.6% 7.7–9.6% 7.5–9.9% 7.3–10.1% 6.9–10.6%
1–6 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.6% 6.8–8.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.4–8.9% 6.1–9.4%
3–5 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.7% 7.0–8.5% 6.8–8.8% 6.6–9.0% 6.3–9.4%
2–5 September 2022 SKOP 7.4% 6.5–8.5% 6.2–8.8% 6.0–9.1% 5.6–9.6%
3–5 September 2022 Novus
SVT
8.8% 7.9–9.8% 7.7–10.1% 7.5–10.3% 7.1–10.9%
2–4 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
8.2% 7.4–9.0% 7.2–9.3% 7.0–9.5% 6.7–9.9%
1 August–4 September 2022 SKOP 7.5% 6.5–8.5% 6.3–8.9% 6.1–9.1% 5.7–9.7%
2–4 September 2022 Novus
SVT
8.8% 7.9–9.8% 7.7–10.1% 7.5–10.3% 7.1–10.9%
31 August–4 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
8.1% 7.4–8.9% 7.2–9.1% 7.0–9.3% 6.7–9.7%
1–3 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.6% 6.8–8.4% 6.6–8.7% 6.4–8.9% 6.1–9.3%
31 August–3 September 2022 SKOP 8.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–3 September 2022 Novus
SVT
7.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–2 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.8% 7.0–8.6% 6.8–8.9% 6.6–9.1% 6.3–9.5%
30 August–2 September 2022 SKOP 8.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–2 September 2022 Novus
SVT
6.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 August–1 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 August–1 September 2022 SKOP 8.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 August–1 September 2022 Novus
SVT
6.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–31 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.3% 6.6–8.1% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.5% 5.9–8.9%
28–31 August 2022 SKOP 8.3% 7.3–9.4% 7.1–9.7% 6.9–10.0% 6.4–10.6%
29–31 August 2022 Novus
SVT
6.8% 6.0–7.7% 5.8–8.0% 5.6–8.2% 5.3–8.7%
28–30 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–30 August 2022 SKOP 6.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–30 August 2022 Novus
SVT
7.3% 6.5–8.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.7–9.2%
26–30 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.1% 5.3–7.0% 5.1–7.3% 4.9–7.6% 4.6–8.0%
27–29 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.6% 5.9–7.4% 5.7–7.6% 5.6–7.8% 5.3–8.2%
26–29 August 2022 SKOP 7.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–29 August 2022 Novus
SVT
7.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–29 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
7.5% 6.8–8.3% 6.6–8.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.1%
26–28 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.4% 5.7–7.2% 5.6–7.4% 5.4–7.6% 5.1–8.0%
24–28 August 2022 SKOP 8.2% 7.3–9.3% 7.1–9.6% 6.9–9.8% 6.5–10.3%
26–28 August 2022 Novus
SVT
8.0% 7.2–9.0% 6.9–9.3% 6.7–9.5% 6.3–10.0%
25–27 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–27 August 2022 SKOP 7.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 August 2022 Novus
SVT
7.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–26 August 2022 SKOP 7.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 August 2022 Novus
SVT
5.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–25 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.8% 5.2–6.5% 5.0–6.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.2%
21–25 August 2022 SKOP 7.0% 6.1–7.9% 5.9–8.2% 5.7–8.5% 5.3–8.9%
23–25 August 2022 Novus
SVT
5.6% 4.9–6.4% 4.7–6.7% 4.5–6.9% 4.2–7.3%
22–24 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.7% 5.1–6.3% 5.0–6.5% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0%
20–24 August 2022 SKOP 6.1% 5.3–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.8–7.7% 4.5–8.2%
22–24 August 2022 Novus
SVT
6.5% 5.8–7.4% 5.6–7.7% 5.4–7.9% 5.0–8.4%
16–24 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.9% 6.1–7.7% 5.9–8.0% 5.7–8.2% 5.4–8.6%
21–23 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.2–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.8–7.5%
19–23 August 2022 SKOP 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.3–8.2% 4.9–8.8%
21–23 August 2022 Novus
SVT
6.9% 6.2–7.8% 5.9–8.1% 5.7–8.3% 5.4–8.8%
20–22 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.1% 5.5–6.8% 5.3–7.0% 5.2–7.2% 4.9–7.5%
20–22 August 2022 Novus
SVT
7.2% 6.4–8.1% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.6% 5.6–9.1%
19–21 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 August 2022 SKOP 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.1% 7.1–10.4% 6.6–11.0%
19–21 August 2022 Novus
SVT
6.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–21 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
6.8% 6.2–7.5% 6.0–7.7% 5.8–7.9% 5.5–8.3%
18–20 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.1% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.8%
17–19 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.6–7.6%
16–18 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.1% 5.4–7.0% 5.2–7.2% 5.1–7.4% 4.8–7.8%
15–17 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.0% 5.4–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.8–7.5%
14–16 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.3% 5.6–7.0% 5.4–7.2% 5.3–7.4% 5.0–7.8%
6–16 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
7.5% 6.8–8.3% 6.6–8.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.1%
13–15 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.9% 5.2–6.6% 5.1–6.8% 4.9–7.0% 4.6–7.4%
12–14 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.7% 5.1–6.4% 4.9–6.6% 4.7–6.8% 4.5–7.2%
8–14 August 2022 Novus
SVT
6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.5%
11–13 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.3% 4.7–6.0% 4.5–6.2% 4.4–6.4% 4.1–6.7%
10–12 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.3% 4.7–6.0% 4.5–6.2% 4.4–6.4% 4.1–6.8%
9–11 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.3% 4.7–6.0% 4.5–6.2% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.8%
1–7 August 2022 Novus
SVT
6.8% 6.1–7.6% 5.9–7.8% 5.8–8.0% 5.4–8.4%
24 July–2 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
7.2% 6.6–8.0% 6.4–8.2% 6.2–8.4% 5.9–8.7%
8–11 July 2022 SKOP 6.2% 5.4–7.3% 5.1–7.7% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.5%
22–30 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
7.1% 6.4–7.9% 6.2–8.1% 6.1–8.3% 5.8–8.7%
6–26 June 2022 Novus
SVT
5.4% 4.9–6.0% 4.7–6.1% 4.6–6.3% 4.4–6.6%
7–19 June 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.6%
6–16 June 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.0% 5.7–6.3% 5.6–6.4% 5.5–6.5% 5.4–6.7%
31 May–9 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
7.7% 7.0–8.5% 6.8–8.7% 6.6–8.9% 6.3–9.3%
9 May–5 June 2022 Novus
SVT
5.9% 5.4–6.4% 5.3–6.6% 5.2–6.7% 5.0–7.0%
28 April–25 May 2022 SCB 6.7% 6.4–7.1% 6.3–7.2% 6.2–7.2% 6.1–7.4%
10–22 May 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
2–12 May 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.3% 5.9–6.7% 5.8–6.8% 5.7–6.9% 5.6–7.1%
4–10 May 2022 Infostat 5.9% 5.2–6.7% 5.0–7.0% 4.9–7.1% 4.6–7.6%
26 April–4 May 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
7.8% 7.1–8.6% 7.0–8.9% 6.8–9.1% 6.5–9.5%
4 April–1 May 2022 Novus
SVT
6.9% 6.4–7.5% 6.2–7.6% 6.1–7.8% 5.9–8.1%
12–26 April 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
11–21 April 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.1% 6.7–7.5% 6.6–7.6% 6.5–7.7% 6.4–7.9%
6–14 April 2022 SKOP 7.4% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.9% 5.9–9.2% 5.5–9.7%
29 March–5 April 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.1–9.0% 6.9–9.2% 6.6–9.6%
7 March–3 April 2022 Novus
SVT
6.8% 6.3–7.3% 6.2–7.5% 6.1–7.6% 5.8–7.9%
15–27 March 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.0% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.3% 5.4–8.8%
7–17 March 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.0% 6.6–7.4% 6.5–7.5% 6.4–7.6% 6.2–7.8%
1–9 March 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
7.5% 6.8–8.3% 6.6–8.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.1–9.1%
31 January–27 February 2022 Novus
SVT
6.8% 6.2–7.5% 6.0–7.7% 5.9–7.8% 5.6–8.2%
8–20 February 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.9–8.3% 5.5–8.8%
7–17 February 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.9% 6.5–7.3% 6.4–7.4% 6.3–7.5% 6.1–7.8%
11–14 February 2022 SKOP 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.4–9.7%
1–8 February 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
7.9% 7.2–8.6% 7.1–8.9% 6.9–9.0% 6.6–9.4%
3–30 January 2022 Novus
SVT
7.4% 6.9–8.0% 6.7–8.2% 6.6–8.3% 6.4–8.6%
11–24 January 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.1% 5.0–7.3% 4.7–7.7%
10–20 January 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.0% 6.6–7.4% 6.5–7.5% 6.4–7.6% 6.2–7.8%
28 December 2021–5 January 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
8.3% 7.6–9.1% 7.4–9.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9%
6 December 2021–2 January 2022 Novus
SVT
6.7% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.7% 5.7–7.9% 5.4–8.3%
7–20 December 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.9–8.4% 5.5–8.8%
6–16 December 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.0% 6.6–7.4% 6.5–7.6% 6.4–7.7% 6.2–7.9%
30 November–8 December 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
8.5% 7.8–9.3% 7.6–9.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.1–10.1%
8 November–5 December 2021 Novus
SVT
7.5% 7.0–8.0% 6.8–8.2% 6.7–8.3% 6.5–8.6%
28 October–25 November 2021 SCB 8.4% 8.0–8.8% 7.9–8.9% 7.8–9.0% 7.7–9.2%
9–22 November 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.1% 7.3–9.0% 7.1–9.3% 6.9–9.5% 6.5–10.0%
8–18 November 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
8.1% 7.7–8.6% 7.5–8.7% 7.4–8.9% 7.2–9.1%
5–11 November 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
9.7% 9.0–10.5% 8.7–10.8% 8.6–11.0% 8.2–11.4%
4–31 October 2021 Novus
SVT
8.5% 7.9–9.1% 7.8–9.3% 7.6–9.4% 7.4–9.8%
12–25 October 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–9.9%
15–17 October 2021 SKOP 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.1% 7.8–11.5% 7.3–12.1%
4–14 October 2021 Sifo 8.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 September–6 October 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
9.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 August–3 October 2021 Novus
SVT
8.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–26 September 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–16 September 2021 Sifo 8.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–11 September 2021 SKOP 9.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–8 September 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
9.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–29 August 2021 Novus
SVT
8.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–23 August 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–18 August 2021 Sifo 8.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–5 August 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
10.1% 9.4–10.9% 9.1–11.2% 9.0–11.4% 8.6–11.8%
19–26 July 2021 Novus
SVT
8.9% 8.2–9.7% 8.0–9.9% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.5%
19–23 July 2021 SKOP 8.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.6–11.2%
29 June–7 July 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
10.4% 9.7–11.1% 9.6–11.3% 9.4–11.5% 9.1–11.9%
23–28 June 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
10.6% 9.8–11.5% 9.6–11.8% 9.4–12.0% 9.0–12.4%
21–27 June 2021 Novus
SVT
7.8% 7.2–8.6% 7.0–8.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.4%
8–20 June 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
10.0% 9.1–11.1% 8.8–11.4% 8.6–11.6% 8.2–12.1%
7–17 June 2021 Sifo 9.9% 9.4–10.4% 9.3–10.5% 9.2–10.7% 9.0–10.9%
3 May–6 June 2021 Novus
SVT
9.4% 8.9–10.0% 8.7–10.1% 8.6–10.3% 8.4–10.5%
26 May–2 June 2021 Demoskop 10.7% 10.0–11.5% 9.8–11.7% 9.6–11.9% 9.3–12.3%
28 April–27 May 2021 SCB 9.5% 9.1–9.9% 9.0–10.0% 8.9–10.1% 8.7–10.3%
11–23 May 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.9% 8.0–9.9% 7.8–10.2% 7.6–10.4% 7.2–10.9%
3–13 May 2021 Sifo 9.3% 8.9–9.7% 8.8–9.8% 8.7–9.9% 8.5–10.1%
28 April–5 May 2021 Demoskop 11.8% 11.0–12.7% 10.8–12.9% 10.6–13.1% 10.3–13.5%
5 April–2 May 2021 Novus
SVT
8.4% 7.9–9.1% 7.7–9.2% 7.6–9.4% 7.3–9.7%
13–25 April 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.5–10.7%
5–15 April 2021 Sifo 8.9% 8.5–9.4% 8.3–9.5% 8.2–9.6% 8.0–9.8%
30 March–7 April 2021 Demoskop 9.8% 9.1–10.6% 8.9–10.8% 8.7–11.0% 8.4–11.4%
1 March–4 April 2021 Novus
SVT
8.4% 7.9–8.9% 7.8–9.1% 7.7–9.2% 7.4–9.5%
9–21 March 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.3–11.1%
1–11 March 2021 Sifo 8.8% 8.4–9.2% 8.3–9.4% 8.2–9.5% 8.0–9.7%
26 February–3 March 2021 Demoskop 9.9% 9.1–10.7% 8.9–11.0% 8.7–11.2% 8.4–11.6%
1–28 February 2021 Novus
SVT
8.3% 7.7–8.9% 7.6–9.1% 7.5–9.2% 7.2–9.5%
19–23 February 2021 SKOP 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
9–21 February 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.3–11.1%
1–11 February 2021 Sifo 8.1% 7.7–8.6% 7.6–8.7% 7.5–8.8% 7.3–9.0%
26 January–3 February 2021 Demoskop 9.6% 8.8–10.5% 8.6–10.7% 8.4–10.9% 8.1–11.4%
11–31 January 2021 Novus
SVT
8.5% 7.8–9.2% 7.7–9.4% 7.5–9.6% 7.2–9.9%
13–25 January 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% 7.1–8.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.7–9.4% 6.3–9.9%
11–21 January 2021 Sifo 8.1% 7.7–8.5% 7.6–8.7% 7.5–8.8% 7.3–9.0%
29 December 2020–11 January 2021 Demoskop 9.2% 8.4–10.1% 8.2–10.3% 8.0–10.5% 7.7–11.0%
7 December 2020–10 January 2021 Novus
SVT
8.3% 7.6–9.0% 7.5–9.2% 7.3–9.4% 7.0–9.7%
1–13 December 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.8%
30 November–10 December 2020 Sifo 7.7% 7.3–8.1% 7.2–8.2% 7.1–8.3% 6.9–8.5%
9 November–6 December 2020 Novus
SVT
8.2% 7.7–8.8% 7.5–9.0% 7.4–9.1% 7.1–9.4%
30 November–3 December 2020 SKOP 8.5% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.4% 6.4–11.0%
26 November–2 December 2020 Demoskop 9.4% 8.6–10.2% 8.4–10.5% 8.3–10.7% 7.9–11.1%
2–26 November 2020 SCB 7.6% 7.1–8.1% 7.0–8.3% 6.9–8.4% 6.6–8.6%
10–22 November 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.3–11.1%
2–11 November 2020 Sifo 7.6% 6.8–8.6% 6.6–8.8% 6.4–9.1% 6.0–9.5%
12 October–8 November 2020 Novus
SVT
8.6% 8.0–9.2% 7.9–9.4% 7.7–9.5% 7.5–9.8%
27 October–4 November 2020 Demoskop 9.2% 8.4–10.0% 8.2–10.3% 8.0–10.5% 7.7–10.9%
23–26 October 2020 SKOP 9.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.7–10.7% 7.5–11.1% 7.0–11.7%
13–25 October 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.3–11.1%
5–15 October 2020 Sifo 7.7% 7.3–8.1% 7.2–8.2% 7.1–8.3% 6.9–8.6%
14 September–11 October 2020 Novus
SVT
8.4% 7.8–9.0% 7.7–9.2% 7.6–9.3% 7.3–9.6%
1–7 October 2020 Demoskop 9.4% 8.7–10.2% 8.5–10.4% 8.4–10.6% 8.0–10.9%
8–21 September 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.3% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–10.0%
7–17 September 2020 Sifo 8.2% 7.7–8.7% 7.6–8.9% 7.5–9.0% 7.2–9.2%
24 August–13 September 2020 Novus
SVT
7.8% 7.2–8.4% 7.0–8.6% 6.9–8.8% 6.6–9.1%
25 August–1 September 2020 Demoskop 9.2% 8.5–10.0% 8.3–10.3% 8.1–10.5% 7.8–10.9%
3–23 August 2020 Novus
SVT
7.6% 7.1–8.2% 6.9–8.4% 6.8–8.5% 6.6–8.8%
11–23 August 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.9%
10–20 August 2020 Sifo 7.8% 7.3–8.3% 7.2–8.4% 7.1–8.5% 6.9–8.7%
28 July–4 August 2020 Demoskop 8.8% 8.1–9.5% 7.9–9.8% 7.8–9.9% 7.5–10.3%
23–28 July 2020 SKOP 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
30 June–7 July 2020 Demoskop 8.4% 7.7–9.2% 7.5–9.4% 7.3–9.6% 7.0–10.0%
25 May–21 June 2020 Novus
SVT
7.8% 7.3–8.4% 7.1–8.6% 7.0–8.7% 6.7–9.0%
12–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.9%
1–11 June 2020 Sifo 7.0% 6.6–7.4% 6.5–7.5% 6.4–7.6% 6.3–7.8%
26 May–3 June 2020 Demoskop 9.7% 8.9–10.5% 8.7–10.7% 8.6–10.9% 8.2–11.3%
31 May–2 June 2020 SKOP 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.8%
29 April–27 May 2020 SCB 6.0% 5.7–6.3% 5.6–6.4% 5.5–6.5% 5.4–6.7%
27 April–24 May 2020 Novus
SVT
8.1% 7.6–8.7% 7.4–8.9% 7.3–9.0% 7.0–9.3%
12–24 May 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.9% 6.2–7.8% 5.9–8.1% 5.8–8.3% 5.4–8.8%
4–14 May 2020 Sifo 7.2% 6.8–7.6% 6.7–7.7% 6.6–7.8% 6.4–8.0%
30 April–8 May 2020 SKOP 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
28 April–5 May 2020 Demoskop 10.0% 9.3–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.8–11.3% 8.5–11.7%
14–26 April 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.8%
30 March–19 April 2020 Novus
SVT
7.7% 7.2–8.3% 7.0–8.5% 6.9–8.6% 6.7–8.9%
30 March–8 April 2020 Sifo 6.9% 6.5–7.3% 6.4–7.4% 6.3–7.5% 6.2–7.7%
25 March–1 April 2020 Demoskop 10.0% 9.2–10.8% 9.0–11.1% 8.9–11.2% 8.5–11.6%
24 February–22 March 2020 Novus
SVT
8.1% 7.6–8.7% 7.4–8.9% 7.3–9.0% 7.0–9.3%
10–20 March 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.9–8.4% 5.5–8.8%
2–12 March 2020 Sifo 8.4% 8.0–8.8% 7.9–8.9% 7.8–9.0% 7.6–9.2%
25 February–3 March 2020 Demoskop 9.4% 8.7–10.2% 8.5–10.5% 8.3–10.7% 7.9–11.1%
11–23 February 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.3% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–10.0%
27 January–16 February 2020 Novus
SVT
8.1% 7.5–8.8% 7.3–9.0% 7.2–9.1% 6.9–9.4%
3–13 February 2020 Sifo 8.1% 7.7–8.5% 7.6–8.6% 7.5–8.7% 7.3–8.9%
25 January–5 February 2020 Demoskop 8.9% 8.1–9.7% 7.9–10.0% 7.8–10.2% 7.4–10.6%
14–27 January 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.9% 8.0–9.9% 7.8–10.2% 7.6–10.4% 7.2–10.9%
7–26 January 2020 Novus
SVT
8.7% 8.2–9.3% 8.0–9.4% 7.9–9.6% 7.7–9.8%
14–24 January 2020 SKOP 9.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.3% 7.9–11.6% 7.4–12.2%
6–16 January 2020 Sifo 8.5% 8.1–8.9% 8.0–9.0% 7.9–9.1% 7.7–9.3%
30 December 2019–7 January 2020 Demoskop 9.5% 8.7–10.4% 8.5–10.6% 8.3–10.9% 8.0–11.3%
18 November–15 December 2019 Novus
SVT
8.3% 7.8–8.9% 7.6–9.1% 7.5–9.2% 7.2–9.5%
3–15 December 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–9.9%
2–12 December 2019 Sifo 8.0% 7.6–8.4% 7.5–8.5% 7.4–8.6% 7.3–8.8%
26 November–4 December 2019 Demoskop 9.6% 8.8–10.5% 8.6–10.7% 8.4–11.0% 8.1–11.4%
28 October–26 November 2019 SCB 7.3% 6.8–7.8% 6.7–8.0% 6.6–8.1% 6.4–8.3%
11–24 November 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.9% 7.1–8.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.7–9.4% 6.3–9.9%
21 October–17 November 2019 Novus
SVT
7.8% 7.2–8.4% 7.1–8.6% 7.0–8.7% 6.7–9.0%
4–14 November 2019 Sifo 8.3% 7.9–8.7% 7.8–8.8% 7.7–8.9% 7.5–9.1%
4–13 November 2019 Demoskop 7.7% 7.0–8.5% 6.8–8.8% 6.6–9.0% 6.3–9.4%
8–21 October 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.3% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–10.0%
23 September–20 October 2019 Novus
SVT
8.5% 7.9–9.1% 7.8–9.3% 7.6–9.4% 7.4–9.7%
7–17 October 2019 Sifo 8.6% 8.2–9.0% 8.1–9.1% 8.0–9.2% 7.8–9.4%
8–14 October 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
10.1% 9.3–11.0% 9.1–11.2% 8.9–11.4% 8.5–11.9%
24 September–1 October 2019 Demoskop 8.3% 7.5–9.2% 7.2–9.5% 7.0–9.7% 6.7–10.2%
20–25 September 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
9.9% 9.1–10.8% 8.9–11.1% 8.7–11.3% 8.3–11.7%
10–23 September 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.8–10.3% 7.7–10.5% 7.2–11.0%
26 August–22 September 2019 Novus
SVT
8.0% 7.4–8.6% 7.3–8.8% 7.2–8.9% 6.9–9.2%
2–12 September 2019 Sifo 8.6% 8.2–9.0% 8.1–9.1% 8.0–9.2% 7.8–9.4%
27 August–3 September 2019 Demoskop 8.4% 7.6–9.4% 7.4–9.7% 7.2–9.9% 6.8–10.4%
22–28 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
9.4% 8.6–10.3% 8.4–10.5% 8.2–10.7% 7.8–11.2%
5–25 August 2019 Novus
SVT
9.4% 8.7–10.2% 8.5–10.4% 8.3–10.6% 8.0–11.0%
13–25 August 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% 7.1–9.0% 6.9–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.3–10.0%
6–15 August 2019 Sifo 8.8% 8.3–9.3% 8.2–9.4% 8.1–9.5% 7.9–9.8%
1–8 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
10.3% 9.5–11.2% 9.3–11.5% 9.1–11.7% 8.7–12.1%
25 June–16 July 2019 SKOP 9.5% 8.5–10.8% 8.2–11.2% 7.9–11.5% 7.4–12.1%
24 June–1 July 2019 Demoskop 9.3% 8.5–10.3% 8.2–10.6% 8.0–10.9% 7.6–11.4%
17–24 June 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
9.4% 8.6–10.3% 8.4–10.5% 8.2–10.7% 7.8–11.2%
3–23 June 2019 Novus
SVT
10.1% 9.4–10.9% 9.2–11.1% 9.0–11.3% 8.7–11.7%
4–18 June 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
9.0% 8.2–10.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.7–10.5% 7.3–11.0%
3–13 June 2019 Sifo 8.8% 8.4–9.2% 8.3–9.3% 8.2–9.4% 8.1–9.6%
27 May–3 June 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
8.9% 8.1–9.9% 7.8–10.2% 7.6–10.4% 7.2–10.9%
6 May–2 June 2019 Novus
SVT
8.7% 8.1–9.3% 8.0–9.5% 7.8–9.7% 7.6–10.0%
29 April–28 May 2019 SCB 6.9% 6.6–7.3% 6.5–7.4% 6.4–7.4% 6.2–7.6%
21–28 May 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
10.1% 9.3–11.0% 9.1–11.2% 8.9–11.5% 8.5–11.9%
6–21 May 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
9.0% 8.2–9.8% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.5–10.7%
6–16 May 2019 Sifo 8.2% 7.8–8.6% 7.7–8.7% 7.7–8.8% 7.5–8.9%
10–15 May 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.6% 7.0–8.3% 6.8–8.5% 6.7–8.6% 6.4–9.0%
29 April–7 May 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
9.1% 8.2–10.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.8–10.6% 7.4–11.1%
8 April–5 May 2019 Novus
SVT
8.8% 8.2–9.5% 8.0–9.7% 7.9–9.8% 7.6–10.1%
22–29 April 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
9.3% 8.5–10.2% 8.3–10.4% 8.1–10.6% 7.8–11.0%
9–22 April 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.1% 7.2–9.1% 7.0–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.4–10.1%
1–11 April 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.5% 7.1–7.9% 7.0–8.0% 7.0–8.1% 6.8–8.3%
26 March–3 April 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
8.2% 7.4–9.2% 7.2–9.4% 7.0–9.7% 6.6–10.2%
4–31 March 2019 Novus
SVT
8.2% 7.7–8.8% 7.5–9.0% 7.4–9.1% 7.1–9.4%
23–28 March 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
9.1% 8.4–9.8% 8.3–10.0% 8.1–10.2% 7.8–10.5%
7–27 March 2019 SKOP 9.5% 8.6–10.5% 8.3–10.8% 8.1–11.1% 7.7–11.6%
12–25 March 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% 7.1–8.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.7–9.4% 6.3–9.9%
3–14 March 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
8.3% 7.9–8.7% 7.8–8.8% 7.7–8.9% 7.6–9.1%
26 February–5 March 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
7.5% 6.7–8.4% 6.5–8.7% 6.3–8.9% 6.0–9.4%
4 February–3 March 2019 Novus
SVT
7.3% 6.8–7.9% 6.6–8.1% 6.5–8.2% 6.3–8.5%
7–20 February 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% 7.1–8.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.3–10.0%
11–18 February 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
9.7% 8.9–10.6% 8.7–10.8% 8.5–11.0% 8.1–11.4%
4–14 February 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.7% 7.3–8.1% 7.2–8.2% 7.1–8.3% 7.0–8.5%
29 January–5 February 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
8.5% 7.6–9.4% 7.4–9.7% 7.2–10.0% 6.8–10.4%
14 January–3 February 2019 Novus
SVT
7.5% 6.9–8.1% 6.7–8.3% 6.6–8.5% 6.3–8.8%
16–23 January 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
8.3% 7.5–9.1% 7.3–9.3% 7.2–9.6% 6.8–10.0%
10–20 January 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% 7.2–8.9% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.4% 6.4–9.9%
14–17 January 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.9% 6.4–7.4% 6.3–7.6% 6.2–7.7% 6.0–8.0%
3–17 January 2019 SKOP 8.3% 7.4–9.5% 7.1–9.8% 6.8–10.1% 6.4–10.7%
2–13 January 2019 Novus
SVT
7.6% 6.9–8.4% 6.8–8.6% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.1%
2–8 January 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
6.9% 6.1–7.8% 5.9–8.0% 5.7–8.2% 5.4–8.7%
19–26 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
8.4% 7.7–9.2% 7.5–9.4% 7.3–9.6% 7.0–10.0%
12 November–16 December 2018 Novus
SVT
8.6% 8.1–9.1% 8.0–9.3% 7.9–9.4% 7.7–9.6%
5–16 December 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.9–8.4% 5.5–8.9%
3–13 December 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.7% 7.3–8.1% 7.2–8.2% 7.1–8.3% 7.0–8.5%
4–12 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
9.0% 8.2–9.8% 8.0–10.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.5–10.7%
27 November–4 December 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
8.4% 7.6–9.4% 7.3–9.6% 7.1–9.9% 6.8–10.3%
29 October–27 November 2018 SCB 8.6% 8.1–9.2% 8.0–9.3% 7.8–9.5% 7.6–9.7%
8–19 November 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
10.1% 9.2–11.2% 8.9–11.5% 8.7–11.8% 8.3–12.3%
14–19 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
9.2% 8.5–10.0% 8.3–10.2% 8.1–10.4% 7.8–10.8%
5–15 November 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
9.0% 8.6–9.4% 8.5–9.5% 8.4–9.6% 8.2–9.8%
15 October–11 November 2018 Novus
SVT
8.9% 8.4–9.4% 8.2–9.6% 8.1–9.7% 7.9–10.0%
26 October–6 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
9.8% 9.1–10.7% 8.8–10.9% 8.6–11.2% 8.3–11.6%
30 October–6 November 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
8.8% 7.9–9.8% 7.7–10.0% 7.5–10.3% 7.1–10.8%
16–24 October 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
9.2% 8.3–10.2% 8.1–10.5% 7.8–10.7% 7.4–11.2%
8–18 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
9.1% 8.7–9.5% 8.6–9.6% 8.5–9.7% 8.3–9.9%
1–8 October 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
8.7% 7.9–9.6% 7.6–9.9% 7.5–10.1% 7.1–10.5%
1–4 October 2018 Novus
SVT
8.4% 7.7–9.2% 7.5–9.4% 7.3–9.6% 7.0–10.0%
24 September–2 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
8.8% 8.4–9.2% 8.3–9.3% 8.2–9.4% 8.0–9.6%
25 September–2 October 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
8.7% 7.9–9.7% 7.6–10.0% 7.4–10.2% 7.1–10.7%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Centerpartiet.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0.4% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 13% 99.6%  
6.5–7.5% 38% 87%  
7.5–8.5% 40% 48% Median
8.5–9.5% 8% 9% Last Result
9.5–10.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 31 seats (General Election of 9 September 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 27 23–30 22–31 21–32 20–34
6–9 September 2022 SKOP 27 24–30 24–30 23–31 22–33
6–9 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
29 26–32 25–32 25–33 23–35
1–9 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
28 25–30 25–31 24–32 23–33
6–8 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
23 21–26 20–26 20–27 19–28
5–8 September 2022 SKOP 26 23–29 22–29 21–30 20–31
6–8 September 2022 Novus
SVT
25 22–28 21–29 20–30 20–32
5–7 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
4–7 September 2022 SKOP          
5–7 September 2022 Novus
SVT
         
4–6 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
25 22–27 22–28 21–29 20–30
3–6 September 2022 SKOP 25 22–27 21–29 20–30 19–31
4–6 September 2022 Novus
SVT
31 28–34 26–35 26–36 24–38
1–6 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
27 24–30 24–31 23–32 22–34
3–5 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
27 25–30 24–31 23–32 22–33
2–5 September 2022 SKOP 26 23–30 22–31 21–32 20–34
3–5 September 2022 Novus
SVT
31 28–35 28–36 26–37 25–38
2–4 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
29 26–32 25–33 25–33 24–35
1 August–4 September 2022 SKOP 26 23–30 22–31 21–32 20–35
2–4 September 2022 Novus
SVT
31 28–35 27–36 27–37 25–39
31 August–4 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
29 26–32 25–33 25–33 24–35
1–3 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
27 24–30 24–31 23–32 22–33
31 August–3 September 2022 SKOP          
1–3 September 2022 Novus
SVT
         
31 August–2 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
28 25–31 24–32 23–32 22–34
30 August–2 September 2022 SKOP          
31 August–2 September 2022 Novus
SVT
         
30 August–1 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
29 August–1 September 2022 SKOP          
30 August–1 September 2022 Novus
SVT
         
29–31 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
26 23–29 23–30 22–30 21–31
28–31 August 2022 SKOP 29 26–33 25–34 24–35 23–37
29–31 August 2022 Novus
SVT
24 20–28 20–29 19–29 18–31
28–30 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
27–30 August 2022 SKOP          
28–30 August 2022 Novus
SVT
26 23–29 22–30 21–31 20–32
26–30 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
22 19–25 18–26 17–27 16–28
27–29 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
24 21–25 20–27 20–28 19–29
26–29 August 2022 SKOP          
27–29 August 2022 Novus
SVT
         
21–29 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
27 24–29 24–30 23–31 22–32
26–28 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
23 20–25 20–26 19–27 18–28
24–28 August 2022 SKOP 29 26–32 25–33 24–34 23–36
26–28 August 2022 Novus
SVT
28 25–32 25–33 24–34 23–36
25–27 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
23–27 August 2022 SKOP          
25–27 August 2022 Novus
SVT
         
24–26 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
22–26 August 2022 SKOP          
24–26 August 2022 Novus
SVT
         
23–25 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
21 18–23 18–24 17–24 16–25
21–25 August 2022 SKOP 25 22–28 21–29 20–30 19–32
23–25 August 2022 Novus
SVT
20 17–23 17–24 16–24 15–26
22–24 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
20 18–23 18–23 17–24 16–25
20–24 August 2022 SKOP 21 18–25 18–26 17–27 16–29
22–24 August 2022 Novus
SVT
23 20–26 19–27 19–28 18–29
16–24 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
25 22–28 21–28 21–29 19–31
21–23 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 19–24 19–25 18–25 17–27
19–23 August 2022 SKOP 24 20–27 19–28 18–28 17–31
21–23 August 2022 Novus
SVT
24 21–28 21–28 20–29 19–31
20–22 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 19–24 19–25 18–26 17–27
20–22 August 2022 Novus
SVT
25 23–28 22–29 21–30 20–31
19–21 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
18–21 August 2022 SKOP 31 27–34 26–36 25–37 23–39
19–21 August 2022 Novus
SVT
         
16–21 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
24 22–27 21–28 21–28 20–30
18–20 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 19–25 19–26 18–26 17–28
17–19 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
21 19–24 18–25 18–26 17–27
16–18 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 19–25 19–26 18–26 17–28
15–17 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
21 19–24 19–25 18–26 17–27
14–16 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 20–25 19–26 19–27 18–28
6–16 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
27 24–29 23–30 23–31 22–32
13–15 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
21 19–24 18–24 18–25 16–26
12–14 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
21 18–23 18–24 17–24 16–26
8–14 August 2022 Novus
SVT
22 19–24 19–25 18–25 17–27
11–13 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
19 17–21 16–22 16–23 15–24
10–12 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
19 17–22 16–22 15–23 15–24
9–11 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
19 17–22 16–23 15–23 15–24
1–7 August 2022 Novus
SVT
24 22–27 21–28 21–28 19–30
24 July–2 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
25 23–28 22–29 22–29 21–31
8–11 July 2022 SKOP 23 19–26 18–28 18–29 16–31
22–30 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
25 23–28 22–29 21–30 21–31
6–26 June 2022 Novus
SVT
20 18–22 17–23 17–23 16–24
7–19 June 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
19 16–21 15–22 15–23 0–24
6–16 June 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 21–23 21–24 20–24 20–25
31 May–9 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
28 25–31 25–32 24–33 23–35
9 May–5 June 2022 Novus
SVT
22 21–24 20–25 20–25 19–26
28 April–25 May 2022 SCB 26 25–27 24–27 24–28 23–28
10–22 May 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
19 17–22 16–23 15–24 0–25
2–12 May 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
24 22–25 22–26 22–26 21–27
4–10 May 2022 Infostat 22 20–26 19–26 18–27 17–29
26 April–4 May 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
30 27–32 26–33 26–34 24–35
4 April–1 May 2022 Novus
SVT
26 24–28 23–29 23–29 22–30
12–26 April 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
22 20–26 19–26 18–27 17–29
11–21 April 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
27 25–28 25–29 24–29 24–29
6–14 April 2022 SKOP 28 24–32 23–33 22–34 20–36
29 March–5 April 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
30 27–32 27–34 26–34 25–36
7 March–3 April 2022 Novus
SVT
25 24–27 23–28 23–29 22–30
15–27 March 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
26 23–28 22–30 21–30 20–32
7–17 March 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
26 25–28 24–28 24–29 23–29
1–9 March 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
28 25–31 25–32 24–32 23–34
31 January–27 February 2022 Novus
SVT
25 23–28 22–29 22–29 21–30
8–20 February 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
26 24–30 23–31 22–31 21–33
7–17 February 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
26 25–28 24–28 24–29 23–29
11–14 February 2022 SKOP 28 24–32 23–33 22–34 21–37
1–8 February 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
30 27–32 27–33 26–34 25–35
3–30 January 2022 Novus
SVT
28 26–30 25–31 25–31 24–32
11–24 January 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
22 20–25 19–26 18–27 17–29
10–20 January 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
27 25–28 25–29 24–29 24–30
28 December 2021–5 January 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
32 29–35 28–35 28–36 26–37
6 December 2021–2 January 2022 Novus
SVT
25 22–28 22–29 21–29 20–31
7–20 December 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
26 23–30 22–31 22–32 20–33
6–16 December 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
26 25–28 24–28 24–29 23–30
30 November–8 December 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
32 29–35 29–36 28–36 26–37
8 November–5 December 2021 Novus
SVT
28 26–31 26–31 25–32 24–33
28 October–25 November 2021 SCB 31 30–33 29–33 29–34 28–35
9–22 November 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
30 27–33 26–34 25–35 24–37
8–18 November 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
30 29–32 28–33 28–34 27–34
5–11 November 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
37 34–40 33–41 32–41 31–43
4–31 October 2021 Novus
SVT
31 29–34 28–34 28–35 27–36
12–25 October 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
29 26–33 26–34 25–35 23–37
15–17 October 2021 SKOP 36 32–41 30–42 29–43 27–46
4–14 October 2021 Sifo          
29 September–6 October 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
         
30 August–3 October 2021 Novus
SVT
         
14–26 September 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
         
6–16 September 2021 Sifo          
3–11 September 2021 SKOP          
31 August–8 September 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
         
2–29 August 2021 Novus
SVT
         
10–23 August 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
         
9–18 August 2021 Sifo          
2–5 August 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
38 34–41 33–41 33–42 32–44
19–26 July 2021 Novus
SVT
33 30–36 30–37 29–38 28–39
19–23 July 2021 SKOP 33 29–38 27–39 27–41 25–43
29 June–7 July 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
39 36–42 36–43 35–44 34–45
23–28 June 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
39 37–43 36–44 35–45 33–46
21–27 June 2021 Novus
SVT
29 27–32 26–33 25–34 24–35
8–20 June 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
37 34–41 33–42 32–43 31–45
7–17 June 2021 Sifo 37 35–39 35–39 34–40 34–41
3 May–6 June 2021 Novus
SVT
34 32–36 32–37 31–37 30–39
26 May–2 June 2021 Demoskop 40 38–43 36–44 36–45 34–47
28 April–27 May 2021 SCB 36 34–37 34–38 34–38 32–39
11–23 May 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
33 30–37 29–38 28–39 27–41
3–13 May 2021 Sifo 35 33–37 33–37 32–37 31–38
28 April–5 May 2021 Demoskop 44 41–47 40–48 39–49 38–51
5 April–2 May 2021 Novus
SVT
31 29–34 28–34 28–35 27–36
13–25 April 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
33 31–37 30–37 29–38 27–40
5–15 April 2021 Sifo 33 31–35 31–35 30–36 30–36
30 March–7 April 2021 Demoskop 37 34–40 33–41 33–42 32–43
1 March–4 April 2021 Novus
SVT
31 29–33 28–34 28–34 27–35
9–21 March 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
35 31–37 29–39 29–40 26–43
1–11 March 2021 Sifo 32 31–34 30–35 30–35 29–36
26 February–3 March 2021 Demoskop 37 35–41 34–41 33–42 32–44
1–28 February 2021 Novus
SVT
31 29–34 28–34 28–35 26–36
19–23 February 2021 SKOP 37 33–42 31–44 31–45 29–47
9–21 February 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
33 30–37 29–38 28–39 27–41
1–11 February 2021 Sifo 31 29–33 28–33 28–33 27–34
26 January–3 February 2021 Demoskop 36 33–40 33–41 32–41 30–43
11–31 January 2021 Novus
SVT
31 29–34 28–35 28–36 26–37
13–25 January 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
30 27–33 26–34 25–35 23–37
11–21 January 2021 Sifo 31 29–33 28–33 28–33 27–34
29 December 2020–11 January 2021 Demoskop 33 31–37 30–38 29–38 28–40
7 December 2020–10 January 2021 Novus
SVT
31 28–33 27–34 27–35 26–36
1–13 December 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
25 22–28 21–29 21–31 19–32
30 November–10 December 2020 Sifo 29 28–31 27–31 27–32 26–32
9 November–6 December 2020 Novus
SVT
30 28–33 28–34 27–34 26–35
30 November–3 December 2020 SKOP 32 27–36 26–37 25–38 23–41
26 November–2 December 2020 Demoskop 35 33–38 31–39 31–40 30–42
2–26 November 2020 SCB 28 26–30 26–31 25–31 24–32
10–22 November 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
34 30–36 30–38 29–40 26–41
2–11 November 2020 Sifo 28 25–32 24–33 23–33 22–35
12 October–8 November 2020 Novus
SVT
32 30–34 29–35 29–36 27–37
27 October–4 November 2020 Demoskop 35 32–38 31–39 30–40 29–41
23–26 October 2020 SKOP 35 30–39 29–40 28–41 26–43
13–25 October 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
32 29–36 29–37 28–38 25–39
5–15 October 2020 Sifo 28 27–30 27–30 26–31 25–32
14 September–11 October 2020 Novus
SVT
31 29–33 28–34 28–34 27–35
1–7 October 2020 Demoskop 36 33–39 32–39 32–40 30–42
8–21 September 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
30 27–33 26–34 25–36 24–37
7–17 September 2020 Sifo 31 29–33 28–34 28–34 27–35
24 August–13 September 2020 Novus
SVT
29 27–31 26–32 25–33 24–34
25 August–1 September 2020 Demoskop 35 32–38 31–39 31–39 29–41
3–23 August 2020 Novus
SVT
28 26–31 26–32 25–32 24–33
11–23 August 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
26 23–29 22–31 22–31 20–33
10–20 August 2020 Sifo 29 27–31 26–31 26–32 25–33
28 July–4 August 2020 Demoskop 34 31–37 30–38 30–38 29–40
23–28 July 2020 SKOP 30 26–34 25–36 24–37 22–40
30 June–7 July 2020 Demoskop 31 28–34 28–35 27–36 26–38
25 May–21 June 2020 Novus
SVT
29 27–31 27–32 26–33 25–34
12–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
26 23–30 22–31 22–32 20–33
1–11 June 2020 Sifo 27 25–28 25–28 25–29 24–30
26 May–3 June 2020 Demoskop 36 33–39 32–40 32–41 30–42
31 May–2 June 2020 SKOP 25 21–29 20–30 19–31 18–33
29 April–27 May 2020 SCB 22 21–23 21–24 20–24 20–25
27 April–24 May 2020 Novus
SVT
30 28–32 27–33 27–33 26–35
12–24 May 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
26 23–29 22–30 21–31 20–33
4–14 May 2020 Sifo 27 26–29 25–29 25–29 24–30
30 April–8 May 2020 SKOP 26 22–29 21–31 21–32 19–34
28 April–5 May 2020 Demoskop 37 35–40 34–41 33–42 31–43
14–26 April 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
26 23–29 22–30 21–31 20–33
30 March–19 April 2020 Novus
SVT
29 27–31 26–32 26–32 25–34
30 March–8 April 2020 Sifo 26 24–28 24–28 24–28 23–29
25 March–1 April 2020 Demoskop 37 34–40 33–41 33–42 31–44
24 February–22 March 2020 Novus
SVT
30 27–32 27–32 26–33 25–34
10–20 March 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
25 23–28 22–28 21–29 20–32
2–12 March 2020 Sifo 31 29–32 29–33 28–34 28–34
25 February–3 March 2020 Demoskop 35 32–38 31–39 31–40 29–42
11–23 February 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
29 25–32 25–33 24–35 23–36
27 January–16 February 2020 Novus
SVT
30 27–32 26–33 26–33 25–35
3–13 February 2020 Sifo 29 27–30 27–31 27–31 26–32
25 January–5 February 2020 Demoskop 33 30–36 29–37 29–38 27–40
14–27 January 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
33 29–37 28–38 28–39 26–41
7–26 January 2020 Novus
SVT
32 30–34 29–34 29–35 28–36
14–24 January 2020 SKOP 35 31–40 30–42 29–43 27–45
6–16 January 2020 Sifo 31 29–33 29–33 28–34 28–34
30 December 2019–7 January 2020 Demoskop 35 32–38 32–39 31–40 29–41
18 November–15 December 2019 Novus
SVT
30 28–33 28–33 27–34 26–35
3–15 December 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
29 25–32 24–32 24–33 23–35
2–12 December 2019 Sifo 29 27–30 27–31 27–31 26–32
26 November–4 December 2019 Demoskop 35 32–38 31–39 30–40 29–42
28 October–26 November 2019 SCB 26 24–28 24–29 24–29 23–30
11–24 November 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
29 26–32 25–33 24–34 23–36
21 October–17 November 2019 Novus
SVT
29 27–31 26–31 26–32 25–33
4–14 November 2019 Sifo 30 29–32 29–32 28–33 28–33
4–13 November 2019 Demoskop 28 25–32 25–32 24–33 23–34
8–21 October 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
29 26–32 25–34 24–35 23–36
23 September–20 October 2019 Novus
SVT
31 29–33 29–34 28–35 27–36
7–17 October 2019 Sifo 31 29–33 29–33 28–34 28–34
8–14 October 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
38 34–41 33–42 33–43 31–44
24 September–1 October 2019 Demoskop 30 27–33 26–35 26–36 24–37
20–25 September 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
37 34–41 33–41 32–42 31–44
10–23 September 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
32 28–35 28–36 27–37 25–39
26 August–22 September 2019 Novus
SVT
29 27–31 27–32 26–33 25–34
2–12 September 2019 Sifo 31 29–32 29–33 29–33 28–34
27 August–3 September 2019 Demoskop 30 27–33 26–34 26–35 24–37
22–28 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
34 31–38 30–39 29–40 28–42
5–25 August 2019 Novus
SVT
34 32–37 31–38 30–39 29–40
13–25 August 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
29 25–32 25–33 24–33 22–35
6–15 August 2019 Sifo 32 30–34 30–34 29–35 29–36
1–8 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
39 35–42 35–44 34–44 32–46
25 June–16 July 2019 SKOP 34 30–38 29–40 28–41 26–43
24 June–1 July 2019 Demoskop 34 30–38 30–39 29–39 27–41
17–24 June 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
34 32–38 31–39 30–39 29–41
3–23 June 2019 Novus
SVT
37 34–40 33–40 33–41 32–43
4–18 June 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
32 29–36 28–36 27–37 26–39
3–13 June 2019 Sifo 32 31–34 30–34 30–35 29–35
27 May–3 June 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
32 29–36 28–37 27–38 26–40
6 May–2 June 2019 Novus
SVT
31 29–34 28–34 28–35 27–36
29 April–28 May 2019 SCB 25 24–27 23–27 23–27 23–28
21–28 May 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
37 34–41 33–42 33–43 31–44
6–21 May 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
33 30–36 29–37 28–37 27–39
6–16 May 2019 Sifo 30 29–32 28–32 28–32 27–33
10–15 May 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
28 25–30 25–31 24–32 23–33
29 April–7 May 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
33 30–37 29–38 29–39 27–41
8 April–5 May 2019 Novus
SVT
32 30–35 29–35 29–36 28–37
22–29 April 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
34 31–37 31–38 30–39 29–41
9–22 April 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
30 26–33 25–35 24–36 23–37
1–11 April 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
28 26–29 26–29 25–30 25–30
26 March–3 April 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
30 27–34 26–35 25–36 24–37
4–31 March 2019 Novus
SVT
31 29–33 28–34 27–35 26–36
23–28 March 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
34 31–36 30–37 30–38 29–39
7–27 March 2019 SKOP 36 33–39 31–40 30–41 28–42
12–25 March 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
29 26–33 25–33 24–35 23–36
3–14 March 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
32 30–33 29–34 29–34 28–35
26 February–5 March 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
28 25–31 24–32 23–33 22–35
4 February–3 March 2019 Novus
SVT
27 25–30 25–30 24–31 23–32
7–20 February 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
29 26–33 25–34 24–35 23–37
11–18 February 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
36 33–39 33–40 32–41 30–42
4–14 February 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
28 27–30 26–30 26–31 25–31
29 January–5 February 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
32 29–36 28–37 27–38 26–39
14 January–3 February 2019 Novus
SVT
28 26–31 25–31 25–32 24–33
16–23 January 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
31 28–35 27–35 27–36 25–37
10–20 January 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
29 26–32 25–33 24–34 23–36
14–17 January 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
26 24–28 23–28 23–29 22–30
3–17 January 2019 SKOP 30 26–34 25–35 24–36 23–38
2–13 January 2019 Novus
SVT
29 26–31 25–32 24–33 23–34
2–8 January 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
25 22–28 22–29 21–30 20–32
19–26 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
31 29–34 28–35 27–36 26–37
12 November–16 December 2018 Novus
SVT
32 30–34 29–35 28–35 28–36
5–16 December 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
26 23–29 22–30 21–30 20–33
3–13 December 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
28 26–30 26–30 26–31 25–31
4–12 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
34 31–37 30–38 29–39 28–40
27 November–4 December 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
30 27–34 27–35 26–36 24–38
29 October–27 November 2018 SCB 31 29–33 28–34 28–35 27–36
8–19 November 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
37 33–40 32–42 31–42 29–45
14–19 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
34 32–38 31–39 30–40 29–41
5–15 November 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
32 31–34 30–34 30–35 29–36
15 October–11 November 2018 Novus
SVT
33 30–35 30–35 30–36 29–37
26 October–6 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
37 33–40 32–41 31–42 30–44
30 October–6 November 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
32 29–36 28–37 27–38 26–40
16–24 October 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
33 29–36 29–37 28–38 26–40
8–18 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
32 31–34 30–35 30–35 30–36
1–8 October 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
31 28–34 27–35 27–36 25–38
1–4 October 2018 Novus
SVT
30 27–33 27–34 26–35 25–36
24 September–2 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
31 30–33 29–33 29–34 28–34
25 September–2 October 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
32 29–36 28–37 27–38 26–39

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Centerpartiet.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.3% 99.9%  
20 1.4% 99.7%  
21 3% 98%  
22 5% 96%  
23 7% 91%  
24 9% 83%  
25 11% 74%  
26 12% 64%  
27 14% 51% Median
28 10% 37%  
29 11% 27%  
30 7% 16%  
31 4% 8% Last Result
32 2% 4%  
33 1.0% 1.5%  
34 0.3% 0.5%  
35 0.2% 0.2%  
36 0% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%