Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 28.3% (General Election of 9 September 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 29.2% 27.8–30.8% 27.4–31.3% 27.0–31.8% 26.4–32.7%
6–9 September 2022 SKOP 28.6% 27.3–29.9% 26.9–30.3% 26.6–30.6% 26.0–31.3%
6–9 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 28.8% 27.5–30.1% 27.2–30.5% 26.9–30.8% 26.3–31.5%
1–9 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 29.5% 28.3–30.8% 28.0–31.1% 27.7–31.4% 27.1–32.0%
6–8 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 29.1% 27.9–30.3% 27.5–30.6% 27.3–30.9% 26.7–31.5%
5–8 September 2022 SKOP 28.1% 26.6–29.5% 26.2–29.9% 25.9–30.3% 25.3–31.0%
6–8 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 30.3% 28.8–31.8% 28.3–32.3% 28.0–32.6% 27.3–33.4%
5–7 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 29.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 September 2022 SKOP 26.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 28.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–6 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 30.1% 28.9–31.4% 28.6–31.8% 28.3–32.1% 27.7–32.7%
3–6 September 2022 SKOP 27.9% 26.4–29.5% 26.0–29.9% 25.6–30.3% 24.9–31.0%
4–6 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 27.8% 26.4–29.3% 25.9–29.8% 25.6–30.1% 24.9–30.9%
1–6 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 28.4% 27.0–29.8% 26.6–30.2% 26.3–30.6% 25.7–31.2%
3–5 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 30.0% 28.7–31.4% 28.3–31.7% 28.0–32.1% 27.4–32.7%
2–5 September 2022 SKOP 27.6% 26.0–29.4% 25.5–29.9% 25.1–30.3% 24.3–31.2%
3–5 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 28.7% 27.3–30.3% 26.9–30.7% 26.5–31.1% 25.8–31.8%
2–4 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 29.4% 28.0–30.7% 27.7–31.1% 27.4–31.4% 26.7–32.1%
1 August–4 September 2022 SKOP 30.0% 28.3–31.8% 27.8–32.3% 27.4–32.7% 26.6–33.6%
2–4 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 28.9% 27.5–30.5% 27.0–30.9% 26.7–31.3% 26.0–32.0%
31 August–4 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 29.2% 28.0–30.5% 27.6–30.9% 27.3–31.2% 26.8–31.8%
1–3 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 28.5% 27.2–29.9% 26.8–30.3% 26.5–30.6% 25.8–31.3%
31 August–3 September 2022 SKOP 31.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–3 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 29.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–2 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 28.5% 27.2–29.8% 26.8–30.2% 26.5–30.6% 25.9–31.2%
30 August–2 September 2022 SKOP 31.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–2 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 28.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 August–1 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 29.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 August–1 September 2022 SKOP 30.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 August–1 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 26.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–31 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 29.7% 28.4–31.0% 28.0–31.4% 27.7–31.7% 27.1–32.4%
28–31 August 2022 SKOP 28.6% 27.0–30.4% 26.5–30.9% 26.1–31.3% 25.4–32.1%
29–31 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 26.6% 25.2–28.1% 24.8–28.5% 24.4–28.9% 23.7–29.6%
28–30 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 31.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–30 August 2022 SKOP 27.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–30 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 28.3% 26.8–29.8% 26.4–30.2% 26.0–30.6% 25.3–31.4%
26–30 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 28.3% 26.7–30.0% 26.3–30.4% 25.9–30.8% 25.1–31.6%
27–29 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 30.3% 29.0–31.7% 28.7–32.1% 28.3–32.4% 27.7–33.0%
26–29 August 2022 SKOP 26.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–29 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 29.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–29 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 29.6% 28.4–30.9% 28.0–31.2% 27.7–31.6% 27.2–32.2%
26–28 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 30.9% 29.6–32.3% 29.2–32.7% 28.9–33.0% 28.2–33.7%
24–28 August 2022 SKOP 27.2% 25.7–28.8% 25.3–29.3% 24.9–29.6% 24.2–30.4%
26–28 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 30.3% 28.8–31.8% 28.3–32.3% 28.0–32.6% 27.3–33.4%
25–27 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 31.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–27 August 2022 SKOP 28.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 30.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 31.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–26 August 2022 SKOP 27.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 29.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–25 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 31.2% 29.9–32.5% 29.6–32.8% 29.3–33.2% 28.7–33.8%
21–25 August 2022 SKOP 28.4% 26.9–30.1% 26.5–30.5% 26.1–30.9% 25.3–31.7%
23–25 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 27.9% 26.5–29.5% 26.1–29.9% 25.7–30.3% 25.0–31.0%
22–24 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 30.5% 29.3–31.7% 29.0–32.1% 28.7–32.4% 28.2–33.0%
20–24 August 2022 SKOP 28.0% 26.3–29.8% 25.8–30.3% 25.4–30.7% 24.6–31.6%
22–24 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 27.5% 26.1–29.1% 25.7–29.5% 25.3–29.9% 24.6–30.6%
16–24 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 30.4% 28.9–31.9% 28.5–32.3% 28.2–32.6% 27.5–33.4%
21–23 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 30.2% 28.9–31.5% 28.6–31.8% 28.3–32.1% 27.7–32.8%
19–23 August 2022 SKOP 28.8% 27.1–30.6% 26.7–31.2% 26.2–31.6% 25.4–32.5%
21–23 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 28.2% 26.7–29.7% 26.3–30.2% 26.0–30.5% 25.3–31.3%
20–22 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 30.2% 29.0–31.5% 28.6–31.9% 28.3–32.2% 27.7–32.8%
20–22 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 28.5% 27.0–30.0% 26.6–30.4% 26.2–30.8% 25.5–31.6%
19–21 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 31.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 August 2022 SKOP 27.8% 26.1–29.5% 25.6–30.0% 25.2–30.5% 24.4–31.3%
19–21 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 27.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–21 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 28.9% 27.7–30.1% 27.3–30.5% 27.0–30.8% 26.5–31.4%
18–20 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 32.5% 31.0–34.0% 30.6–34.4% 30.2–34.8% 29.5–35.6%
17–19 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 32.2% 30.8–33.7% 30.4–34.1% 30.0–34.5% 29.4–35.2%
16–18 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 32.7% 31.3–34.2% 30.9–34.6% 30.5–35.0% 29.8–35.7%
15–17 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 31.2% 29.9–32.5% 29.6–32.9% 29.2–33.2% 28.7–33.9%
14–16 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 29.6% 28.3–31.0% 28.0–31.3% 27.7–31.7% 27.1–32.3%
6–16 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 29.6% 28.3–30.8% 28.0–31.2% 27.7–31.5% 27.1–32.1%
13–15 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 29.9% 28.6–31.3% 28.3–31.7% 28.0–32.0% 27.3–32.7%
12–14 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 29.9% 28.6–31.2% 28.2–31.6% 27.9–32.0% 27.3–32.6%
8–14 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 28.5% 27.2–29.8% 26.9–30.2% 26.6–30.5% 26.0–31.1%
11–13 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 31.7% 30.3–33.1% 29.9–33.5% 29.6–33.8% 29.0–34.5%
10–12 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 31.1% 29.8–32.5% 29.4–32.9% 29.1–33.2% 28.4–33.9%
9–11 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 31.2% 29.8–32.6% 29.4–33.0% 29.1–33.4% 28.4–34.1%
1–7 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 30.6% 29.2–32.0% 28.9–32.4% 28.5–32.7% 27.9–33.4%
24 July–2 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 28.7% 27.5–30.0% 27.2–30.3% 26.9–30.6% 26.3–31.2%
8–11 July 2022 SKOP 31.5% 29.7–33.4% 29.2–34.0% 28.7–34.5% 27.9–35.4%
22–30 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 30.3% 29.1–31.6% 28.7–32.0% 28.4–32.3% 27.8–32.9%
6–26 June 2022 Novus
SVT		 31.7% 30.6–32.9% 30.3–33.2% 30.0–33.5% 29.5–34.0%
7–19 June 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 31.0% 29.6–32.5% 29.2–32.9% 28.8–33.3% 28.1–34.0%
6–16 June 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 33.7% 33.0–34.3% 32.8–34.5% 32.7–34.7% 32.4–35.0%
31 May–9 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 30.9% 29.6–32.2% 29.3–32.6% 29.0–32.9% 28.4–33.6%
9 May–5 June 2022 Novus
SVT		 30.2% 29.3–31.2% 29.0–31.5% 28.8–31.7% 28.3–32.2%
28 April–25 May 2022 SCB 33.3% 32.7–34.0% 32.5–34.2% 32.4–34.3% 32.1–34.6%
10–22 May 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 32.0% 30.5–33.5% 30.1–34.0% 29.7–34.4% 29.0–35.1%
2–12 May 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 32.6% 31.9–33.3% 31.7–33.5% 31.5–33.7% 31.2–34.1%
4–10 May 2022 Infostat 27.7% 26.3–29.1% 25.9–29.5% 25.6–29.9% 25.0–30.6%
26 April–4 May 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 31.1% 29.8–32.4% 29.4–32.7% 29.1–33.1% 28.5–33.7%
4 April–1 May 2022 Novus
SVT		 31.8% 30.8–32.8% 30.5–33.1% 30.3–33.4% 29.8–33.9%
12–26 April 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 30.0% 28.5–31.5% 28.1–31.9% 27.8–32.3% 27.1–33.1%
11–21 April 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 33.0% 32.3–33.7% 32.1–33.9% 32.0–34.1% 31.6–34.4%
6–14 April 2022 SKOP 34.7% 32.8–36.7% 32.3–37.3% 31.8–37.7% 30.9–38.7%
29 March–5 April 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 31.5% 30.3–32.8% 29.9–33.2% 29.6–33.5% 29.0–34.1%
7 March–3 April 2022 Novus
SVT		 32.0% 31.1–33.0% 30.8–33.2% 30.6–33.5% 30.1–33.9%
15–27 March 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 32.9% 31.4–34.5% 31.0–34.9% 30.6–35.3% 29.9–36.0%
7–17 March 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 32.8% 32.1–33.6% 31.9–33.8% 31.7–33.9% 31.4–34.3%
1–9 March 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 32.4% 31.1–33.7% 30.8–34.1% 30.5–34.4% 29.9–35.1%
31 January–27 February 2022 Novus
SVT		 32.0% 30.8–33.2% 30.5–33.5% 30.2–33.8% 29.6–34.4%
8–20 February 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 29.0% 27.6–30.4% 27.2–30.8% 26.8–31.2% 26.2–31.9%
7–17 February 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 29.5% 28.8–30.3% 28.6–30.5% 28.4–30.7% 28.0–31.1%
11–14 February 2022 SKOP 31.4% 29.6–33.3% 29.1–33.9% 28.6–34.3% 27.7–35.3%
1–8 February 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 28.2% 27.0–29.4% 26.7–29.7% 26.4–30.0% 25.9–30.6%
3–30 January 2022 Novus
SVT		 29.3% 28.3–30.3% 28.1–30.6% 27.9–30.8% 27.4–31.3%
11–24 January 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 31.0% 29.6–32.5% 29.2–32.9% 28.8–33.3% 28.2–34.0%
10–20 January 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 31.1% 30.4–31.8% 30.2–32.0% 30.0–32.2% 29.6–32.6%
28 December 2021–5 January 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 29.2% 28.0–30.4% 27.7–30.7% 27.4–31.0% 26.9–31.6%
6 December 2021–2 January 2022 Novus
SVT		 31.3% 30.0–32.6% 29.6–33.0% 29.3–33.3% 28.7–34.0%
7–20 December 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 29.0% 27.5–30.5% 27.1–30.9% 26.8–31.3% 26.1–32.0%
6–16 December 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 31.1% 30.3–31.9% 30.1–32.1% 29.9–32.3% 29.6–32.6%
30 November–8 December 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 29.1% 27.9–30.3% 27.6–30.6% 27.3–30.9% 26.7–31.5%
8 November–5 December 2021 Novus
SVT		 29.3% 28.4–30.2% 28.2–30.5% 27.9–30.7% 27.5–31.1%
28 October–25 November 2021 SCB 29.1% 28.5–29.7% 28.3–29.9% 28.2–30.0% 27.9–30.3%
9–22 November 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 25.2% 23.9–26.7% 23.5–27.1% 23.2–27.4% 22.5–28.1%
8–18 November 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 28.9% 28.2–29.7% 28.0–29.9% 27.8–30.1% 27.4–30.5%
5–11 November 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 27.0% 25.8–28.2% 25.5–28.5% 25.2–28.8% 24.7–29.4%
4–31 October 2021 Novus
SVT		 25.6% 24.7–26.6% 24.4–26.8% 24.2–27.1% 23.8–27.5%
12–25 October 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 26.0% 24.6–27.5% 24.2–27.9% 23.9–28.3% 23.3–29.0%
15–17 October 2021 SKOP 24.3% 22.7–26.1% 22.2–26.6% 21.8–27.1% 21.0–28.0%
4–14 October 2021 Sifo 26.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 September–6 October 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 26.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 August–3 October 2021 Novus
SVT		 26.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–26 September 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 25.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–16 September 2021 Sifo 26.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–11 September 2021 SKOP 25.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–8 September 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 26.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–29 August 2021 Novus
SVT		 25.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–23 August 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 25.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–18 August 2021 Sifo 24.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–5 August 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 24.6% 23.5–25.8% 23.2–26.1% 22.9–26.4% 22.4–26.9%
19–26 July 2021 Novus
SVT		 23.8% 22.7–24.9% 22.4–25.2% 22.1–25.5% 21.6–26.1%
19–23 July 2021 SKOP 27.1% 25.4–29.0% 24.9–29.5% 24.5–30.0% 23.7–30.9%
29 June–7 July 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 25.2% 24.2–26.2% 24.0–26.5% 23.7–26.7% 23.3–27.2%
23–28 June 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 23.4% 22.3–24.6% 21.9–25.0% 21.7–25.3% 21.1–25.8%
21–27 June 2021 Novus
SVT		 25.4% 24.3–26.6% 24.0–26.9% 23.7–27.2% 23.2–27.8%
8–20 June 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 24.0% 22.6–25.4% 22.2–25.8% 21.9–26.2% 21.3–26.9%
7–17 June 2021 Sifo 25.8% 25.1–26.5% 24.9–26.7% 24.8–26.9% 24.4–27.2%
3 May–6 June 2021 Novus
SVT		 26.1% 25.3–26.9% 25.1–27.1% 24.9–27.3% 24.5–27.7%
26 May–2 June 2021 Demoskop 24.1% 23.1–25.2% 22.8–25.5% 22.6–25.8% 22.1–26.3%
28 April–27 May 2021 SCB 28.2% 27.6–28.8% 27.4–29.0% 27.3–29.1% 27.0–29.4%
11–23 May 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 25.7% 24.3–27.2% 23.9–27.6% 23.6–28.0% 22.9–28.7%
3–13 May 2021 Sifo 26.9% 26.3–27.5% 26.1–27.7% 26.0–27.8% 25.7–28.1%
28 April–5 May 2021 Demoskop 25.4% 24.3–26.5% 24.0–26.8% 23.8–27.1% 23.3–27.6%
5 April–2 May 2021 Novus
SVT		 27.6% 26.6–28.6% 26.4–28.8% 26.2–29.1% 25.7–29.5%
13–25 April 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 26.0% 24.8–27.3% 24.4–27.6% 24.1–27.9% 23.5–28.5%
5–15 April 2021 Sifo 27.8% 27.1–28.5% 26.9–28.7% 26.7–28.9% 26.4–29.2%
30 March–7 April 2021 Demoskop 25.4% 24.3–26.5% 24.0–26.8% 23.8–27.1% 23.3–27.6%
1 March–4 April 2021 Novus
SVT		 27.6% 26.8–28.4% 26.6–28.7% 26.4–28.9% 26.0–29.3%
9–21 March 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 27.0% 25.6–28.5% 25.2–28.9% 24.8–29.3% 24.2–30.0%
1–11 March 2021 Sifo 27.2% 26.6–27.9% 26.4–28.0% 26.2–28.2% 25.9–28.5%
26 February–3 March 2021 Demoskop 24.2% 23.1–25.4% 22.8–25.8% 22.5–26.0% 22.0–26.6%
1–28 February 2021 Novus
SVT		 27.0% 26.1–27.9% 25.8–28.2% 25.6–28.4% 25.1–28.9%
19–23 February 2021 SKOP 27.4% 25.6–29.3% 25.1–29.8% 24.7–30.3% 23.9–31.2%
9–21 February 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 27.0% 25.5–28.5% 25.1–28.9% 24.8–29.3% 24.1–30.0%
1–11 February 2021 Sifo 27.6% 26.9–28.3% 26.7–28.5% 26.5–28.7% 26.2–29.0%
26 January–3 February 2021 Demoskop 24.7% 23.5–25.9% 23.2–26.2% 22.9–26.5% 22.4–27.1%
11–31 January 2021 Novus
SVT		 26.9% 25.9–28.0% 25.6–28.3% 25.3–28.6% 24.8–29.1%
13–25 January 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 27.0% 25.5–28.5% 25.1–28.9% 24.8–29.3% 24.1–30.0%
11–21 January 2021 Sifo 27.6% 26.9–28.3% 26.7–28.5% 26.5–28.6% 26.2–29.0%
29 December 2020–11 January 2021 Demoskop 23.0% 21.8–24.2% 21.5–24.5% 21.2–24.8% 20.7–25.4%
7 December 2020–10 January 2021 Novus
SVT		 28.5% 27.4–29.6% 27.1–30.0% 26.8–30.2% 26.3–30.8%
1–13 December 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 26.0% 24.6–27.5% 24.2–27.9% 23.9–28.3% 23.2–29.0%
30 November–10 December 2020 Sifo 27.8% 27.1–28.5% 26.9–28.7% 26.7–28.8% 26.4–29.1%
9 November–6 December 2020 Novus
SVT		 28.0% 27.1–29.0% 26.8–29.2% 26.6–29.5% 26.2–29.9%
30 November–3 December 2020 SKOP 26.1% 24.4–27.9% 23.9–28.5% 23.5–28.9% 22.7–29.8%
26 November–2 December 2020 Demoskop 25.0% 23.8–26.2% 23.5–26.5% 23.2–26.8% 22.7–27.4%
2–26 November 2020 SCB 29.4% 28.5–30.2% 28.3–30.5% 28.1–30.7% 27.7–31.1%
10–22 November 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 26.0% 24.6–27.5% 24.1–27.9% 23.8–28.3% 23.1–29.0%
2–11 November 2020 Sifo 27.0% 25.6–28.5% 25.2–28.9% 24.8–29.3% 24.2–30.0%
12 October–8 November 2020 Novus
SVT		 26.4% 25.5–27.3% 25.2–27.6% 25.0–27.8% 24.6–28.3%
27 October–4 November 2020 Demoskop 24.0% 22.8–25.2% 22.5–25.5% 22.2–25.8% 21.7–26.4%
23–26 October 2020 SKOP 26.0% 24.3–27.8% 23.8–28.4% 23.4–28.8% 22.6–29.7%
13–25 October 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 25.0% 23.6–26.5% 23.2–26.9% 22.9–27.3% 22.2–28.0%
5–15 October 2020 Sifo 26.4% 25.7–27.1% 25.6–27.3% 25.4–27.4% 25.1–27.8%
14 September–11 October 2020 Novus
SVT		 26.5% 25.6–27.4% 25.4–27.7% 25.1–27.9% 24.7–28.4%
1–7 October 2020 Demoskop 25.0% 23.9–26.1% 23.6–26.4% 23.4–26.7% 22.9–27.2%
8–21 September 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 26.0% 24.6–27.5% 24.2–27.9% 23.8–28.2% 23.2–29.0%
7–17 September 2020 Sifo 27.5% 26.7–28.3% 26.5–28.6% 26.3–28.8% 25.9–29.2%
24 August–13 September 2020 Novus
SVT		 27.0% 26.0–28.0% 25.7–28.3% 25.5–28.6% 25.0–29.1%
25 August–1 September 2020 Demoskop 26.1% 25.0–27.3% 24.7–27.6% 24.4–27.9% 23.9–28.5%
3–23 August 2020 Novus
SVT		 28.3% 27.4–29.3% 27.1–29.5% 26.9–29.8% 26.5–30.2%
11–23 August 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 27.0% 25.6–28.5% 25.2–28.9% 24.8–29.3% 24.1–30.0%
10–20 August 2020 Sifo 27.8% 27.0–28.5% 26.8–28.8% 26.6–29.0% 26.2–29.3%
28 July–4 August 2020 Demoskop 27.3% 26.2–28.4% 25.9–28.7% 25.6–29.0% 25.1–29.5%
23–28 July 2020 SKOP 28.2% 26.4–30.1% 26.0–30.6% 25.5–31.1% 24.7–32.0%
30 June–7 July 2020 Demoskop 28.5% 27.3–29.7% 26.9–30.1% 26.6–30.4% 26.1–31.0%
25 May–21 June 2020 Novus
SVT		 30.6% 29.6–31.6% 29.4–31.8% 29.1–32.1% 28.7–32.6%
12–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 31.0% 29.5–32.5% 29.1–33.0% 28.7–33.4% 28.0–34.1%
1–11 June 2020 Sifo 30.0% 29.3–30.7% 29.1–30.9% 29.0–31.0% 28.7–31.4%
26 May–3 June 2020 Demoskop 27.8% 26.6–29.0% 26.3–29.3% 26.0–29.6% 25.5–30.2%
31 May–2 June 2020 SKOP 31.3% 29.5–33.2% 29.0–33.8% 28.5–34.2% 27.6–35.2%
29 April–27 May 2020 SCB 33.7% 33.1–34.3% 32.9–34.5% 32.7–34.7% 32.4–35.0%
27 April–24 May 2020 Novus
SVT		 31.5% 30.5–32.4% 30.3–32.7% 30.1–33.0% 29.6–33.4%
12–24 May 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 30.7% 29.2–32.3% 28.8–32.7% 28.5–33.1% 27.8–33.8%
4–14 May 2020 Sifo 31.6% 30.9–32.3% 30.7–32.5% 30.5–32.7% 30.2–33.0%
30 April–8 May 2020 SKOP 32.6% 30.7–34.5% 30.2–35.1% 29.8–35.5% 28.9–36.5%
28 April–5 May 2020 Demoskop 30.1% 28.9–31.3% 28.5–31.7% 28.2–32.0% 27.7–32.6%
14–26 April 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 29.0% 27.6–30.5% 27.1–31.0% 26.8–31.3% 26.1–32.1%
30 March–19 April 2020 Novus
SVT		 30.4% 29.5–31.4% 29.2–31.7% 29.0–31.9% 28.5–32.4%
30 March–8 April 2020 Sifo 30.6% 29.9–31.4% 29.7–31.6% 29.5–31.7% 29.2–32.1%
25 March–1 April 2020 Demoskop 27.9% 26.7–29.1% 26.4–29.4% 26.1–29.7% 25.6–30.3%
24 February–22 March 2020 Novus
SVT		 25.6% 24.7–26.6% 24.4–26.8% 24.2–27.0% 23.8–27.5%
10–20 March 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 25.0% 23.6–26.4% 23.2–26.9% 22.9–27.2% 22.3–27.9%
2–12 March 2020 Sifo 23.8% 23.2–24.4% 23.0–24.6% 22.8–24.7% 22.6–25.0%
25 February–3 March 2020 Demoskop 22.6% 21.5–23.8% 21.2–24.1% 21.0–24.4% 20.4–24.9%
11–23 February 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 22.0% 20.7–23.4% 20.3–23.8% 20.0–24.2% 19.4–24.9%
27 January–16 February 2020 Novus
SVT		 23.2% 22.3–24.2% 22.0–24.5% 21.7–24.7% 21.3–25.2%
3–13 February 2020 Sifo 23.6% 23.0–24.2% 22.8–24.4% 22.7–24.5% 22.4–24.8%
25 January–5 February 2020 Demoskop 24.7% 23.5–26.0% 23.2–26.3% 22.9–26.6% 22.4–27.2%
14–27 January 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 22.8% 21.4–24.2% 21.1–24.6% 20.7–25.0% 20.1–25.7%
7–26 January 2020 Novus
SVT		 24.2% 23.4–25.0% 23.2–25.3% 23.0–25.5% 22.6–25.9%
14–24 January 2020 SKOP 23.1% 21.4–24.9% 21.0–25.4% 20.6–25.8% 19.8–26.7%
6–16 January 2020 Sifo 23.5% 22.9–24.1% 22.7–24.3% 22.6–24.5% 22.3–24.8%
30 December 2019–7 January 2020 Demoskop 23.4% 22.2–24.6% 21.9–25.0% 21.6–25.3% 21.1–25.8%
18 November–15 December 2019 Novus
SVT		 23.7% 22.9–24.6% 22.6–24.8% 22.4–25.1% 22.0–25.5%
3–15 December 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 25.0% 23.6–26.4% 23.2–26.9% 22.9–27.2% 22.3–27.9%
2–12 December 2019 Sifo 24.6% 24.0–25.3% 23.9–25.4% 23.7–25.6% 23.4–25.9%
26 November–4 December 2019 Demoskop 24.3% 23.1–25.5% 22.8–25.9% 22.5–26.2% 21.9–26.8%
28 October–26 November 2019 SCB 26.3% 25.5–27.2% 25.3–27.4% 25.1–27.6% 24.7–28.0%
11–24 November 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 24.8% 23.4–26.2% 23.0–26.6% 22.7–27.0% 22.0–27.7%
21 October–17 November 2019 Novus
SVT		 26.0% 25.1–27.0% 24.8–27.2% 24.6–27.5% 24.2–27.9%
4–14 November 2019 Sifo 24.4% 23.7–25.0% 23.6–25.1% 23.4–25.3% 23.1–25.6%
4–13 November 2019 Demoskop 22.2% 21.1–23.4% 20.7–23.8% 20.5–24.1% 19.9–24.7%
8–21 October 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 24.0% 22.7–25.5% 22.3–25.9% 22.0–26.2% 21.3–26.9%
23 September–20 October 2019 Novus
SVT		 25.7% 24.8–26.7% 24.6–26.9% 24.4–27.2% 23.9–27.6%
7–17 October 2019 Sifo 25.5% 24.8–26.1% 24.6–26.3% 24.5–26.4% 24.2–26.8%
8–14 October 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 24.7% 23.5–26.0% 23.2–26.3% 22.9–26.6% 22.4–27.2%
24 September–1 October 2019 Demoskop 23.1% 21.8–24.5% 21.4–24.9% 21.1–25.3% 20.5–25.9%
20–25 September 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 24.0% 22.8–25.2% 22.5–25.6% 22.2–25.9% 21.7–26.5%
10–23 September 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 26.0% 24.6–27.5% 24.2–27.9% 23.9–28.3% 23.2–29.0%
26 August–22 September 2019 Novus
SVT		 24.7% 23.7–25.6% 23.5–25.8% 23.3–26.1% 22.9–26.5%
2–12 September 2019 Sifo 25.8% 25.2–26.4% 25.0–26.6% 24.9–26.7% 24.6–27.0%
27 August–3 September 2019 Demoskop 24.1% 22.8–25.6% 22.4–26.0% 22.1–26.3% 21.5–27.0%
22–28 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 25.5% 24.2–26.7% 23.9–27.1% 23.6–27.4% 23.0–28.0%
5–25 August 2019 Novus
SVT		 26.3% 25.2–27.4% 24.9–27.8% 24.7–28.0% 24.2–28.6%
13–25 August 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 26.0% 24.6–27.5% 24.2–27.9% 23.9–28.3% 23.2–29.0%
6–15 August 2019 Sifo 26.8% 26.1–27.5% 25.9–27.7% 25.7–27.9% 25.3–28.2%
1–8 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 25.6% 24.4–26.9% 24.1–27.3% 23.8–27.6% 23.2–28.2%
25 June–16 July 2019 SKOP 25.6% 23.9–27.4% 23.4–27.9% 23.0–28.3% 22.2–29.2%
24 June–1 July 2019 Demoskop 25.9% 24.6–27.4% 24.2–27.8% 23.8–28.1% 23.2–28.8%
17–24 June 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 25.4% 24.2–26.6% 23.8–27.0% 23.5–27.3% 23.0–27.9%
3–23 June 2019 Novus
SVT		 26.7% 25.6–27.8% 25.3–28.1% 25.1–28.4% 24.6–28.9%
4–18 June 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 25.0% 23.7–26.4% 23.3–26.9% 23.0–27.2% 22.3–27.9%
3–13 June 2019 Sifo 26.5% 25.9–27.1% 25.7–27.3% 25.6–27.4% 25.3–27.7%
27 May–3 June 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 27.1% 25.7–28.5% 25.3–28.9% 25.0–29.3% 24.3–30.0%
6 May–2 June 2019 Novus
SVT		 25.9% 25.0–26.9% 24.7–27.1% 24.5–27.4% 24.1–27.8%
29 April–28 May 2019 SCB 27.6% 27.0–28.2% 26.8–28.4% 26.7–28.5% 26.4–28.8%
21–28 May 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 26.1% 24.9–27.4% 24.6–27.7% 24.3–28.0% 23.7–28.6%
6–21 May 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 26.0% 24.8–27.2% 24.4–27.6% 24.2–27.9% 23.6–28.5%
6–16 May 2019 Sifo 27.0% 26.4–27.6% 26.3–27.8% 26.1–27.9% 25.8–28.2%
10–15 May 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 21.9% 20.9–22.9% 20.6–23.2% 20.4–23.4% 19.9–23.9%
29 April–7 May 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 26.6% 25.2–28.0% 24.8–28.4% 24.5–28.8% 23.8–29.5%
8 April–5 May 2019 Novus
SVT		 26.4% 25.5–27.4% 25.2–27.7% 25.0–27.9% 24.5–28.4%
22–29 April 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 25.6% 24.4–26.8% 24.1–27.2% 23.8–27.5% 23.2–28.1%
9–22 April 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 27.3% 25.8–28.8% 25.4–29.2% 25.0–29.6% 24.4–30.3%
1–11 April 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 27.3% 26.7–27.9% 26.5–28.1% 26.4–28.3% 26.0–28.6%
26 March–3 April 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 25.4% 24.0–26.8% 23.6–27.2% 23.3–27.6% 22.7–28.3%
4–31 March 2019 Novus
SVT		 27.2% 26.3–28.2% 26.0–28.4% 25.8–28.7% 25.3–29.1%
23–28 March 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 26.5% 25.5–27.6% 25.2–27.9% 25.0–28.1% 24.5–28.6%
7–27 March 2019 SKOP 28.7% 27.2–30.2% 26.8–30.6% 26.4–31.0% 25.8–31.8%
12–25 March 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 27.0% 25.6–28.5% 25.2–28.9% 24.8–29.3% 24.2–30.0%
3–14 March 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 27.4% 26.8–28.0% 26.6–28.2% 26.5–28.3% 26.2–28.6%
26 February–5 March 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 25.8% 24.4–27.3% 24.1–27.7% 23.7–28.0% 23.1–28.7%
4 February–3 March 2019 Novus
SVT		 28.2% 27.3–29.2% 27.0–29.4% 26.8–29.7% 26.3–30.1%
7–20 February 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 28.0% 26.5–29.5% 26.1–29.9% 25.8–30.3% 25.1–31.1%
11–18 February 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 27.0% 25.8–28.3% 25.5–28.7% 25.2–29.0% 24.6–29.6%
4–14 February 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 28.4% 27.8–29.1% 27.6–29.2% 27.4–29.4% 27.1–29.7%
29 January–5 February 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 27.9% 26.5–29.4% 26.1–29.8% 25.8–30.2% 25.1–30.9%
14 January–3 February 2019 Novus
SVT		 29.0% 28.0–30.1% 27.7–30.4% 27.4–30.7% 26.9–31.2%
16–23 January 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 28.2% 26.9–29.5% 26.6–29.9% 26.3–30.2% 25.7–30.8%
10–20 January 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 30.0% 28.6–31.5% 28.2–32.0% 27.8–32.3% 27.1–33.1%
14–17 January 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 29.3% 28.4–30.2% 28.2–30.4% 27.9–30.7% 27.5–31.1%
3–17 January 2019 SKOP 30.2% 28.5–32.0% 28.0–32.5% 27.6–33.0% 26.8–33.8%
2–13 January 2019 Novus
SVT		 31.8% 30.6–33.1% 30.2–33.4% 29.9–33.7% 29.4–34.3%
2–8 January 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 30.2% 28.8–31.7% 28.4–32.2% 28.0–32.5% 27.4–33.3%
19–26 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 29.8% 28.6–31.0% 28.2–31.4% 27.9–31.7% 27.4–32.3%
12 November–16 December 2018 Novus
SVT		 30.0% 29.2–30.8% 29.0–31.0% 28.8–31.2% 28.4–31.6%
5–16 December 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 32.0% 30.5–33.6% 30.1–34.0% 29.7–34.4% 29.0–35.1%
3–13 December 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 29.7% 29.1–30.3% 28.9–30.5% 28.7–30.7% 28.4–31.0%
4–12 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 29.4% 28.1–30.6% 27.8–31.0% 27.5–31.3% 26.9–31.9%
27 November–4 December 2018 Demoskop
Expressen		 28.4% 27.0–29.9% 26.6–30.3% 26.2–30.7% 25.6–31.4%
29 October–27 November 2018 SCB 30.6% 29.7–31.4% 29.5–31.7% 29.3–31.9% 28.9–32.3%
8–19 November 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 28.3% 26.8–29.8% 26.4–30.2% 26.1–30.6% 25.4–31.3%
14–19 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 29.3% 28.2–30.5% 27.8–30.9% 27.5–31.2% 27.0–31.8%
5–15 November 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 29.0% 28.4–29.6% 28.2–29.8% 28.0–29.9% 27.8–30.2%
15 October–11 November 2018 Novus
SVT		 29.8% 29.0–30.7% 28.7–30.9% 28.5–31.1% 28.2–31.5%
26 October–6 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 29.4% 28.2–30.7% 27.9–31.1% 27.6–31.4% 27.0–32.0%
30 October–6 November 2018 Demoskop
Expressen		 29.1% 27.7–30.6% 27.3–31.0% 27.0–31.4% 26.3–32.1%
16–24 October 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 28.6% 27.2–30.1% 26.7–30.5% 26.4–30.9% 25.7–31.6%
8–18 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 29.4% 28.7–30.0% 28.6–30.2% 28.4–30.3% 28.1–30.7%
1–8 October 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 29.7% 28.3–31.1% 27.9–31.5% 27.6–31.9% 26.9–32.5%
1–4 October 2018 Novus
SVT		 28.3% 27.1–29.6% 26.8–29.9% 26.5–30.2% 25.9–30.8%
24 September–2 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 28.5% 27.9–29.2% 27.7–29.4% 27.5–29.5% 27.3–29.8%
25 September–2 October 2018 Demoskop
Expressen		 30.6% 29.1–32.1% 28.7–32.5% 28.4–32.9% 27.7–33.6%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24.5–25.5% 0% 100%  
25.5–26.5% 0.7% 100%  
26.5–27.5% 6% 99.2%  
27.5–28.5% 21% 93% Last Result
28.5–29.5% 34% 72% Median
29.5–30.5% 25% 39%  
30.5–31.5% 10% 14%  
31.5–32.5% 3% 3%  
32.5–33.5% 0.5% 0.6%  
33.5–34.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
34.5–35.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 100 seats (General Election of 9 September 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 103 98–109 97–112 95–113 93–116
6–9 September 2022 SKOP 101 96–105 95–107 94–108 92–110
6–9 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 103 98–108 96–111 96–113 93–115
1–9 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 104 100–108 98–109 97–111 96–113
6–8 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 102 98–107 97–108 95–109 94–111
5–8 September 2022 SKOP 98 93–103 92–105 91–106 89–108
6–8 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 108 101–113 100–115 98–116 96–120
5–7 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		          
4–7 September 2022 SKOP          
5–7 September 2022 Novus
SVT		          
4–6 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 106 101–110 100–111 99–112 97–115
3–6 September 2022 SKOP 98 93–103 91–105 90–107 87–109
4–6 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 98 93–104 91–105 90–107 88–111
1–6 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 101 96–107 95–109 93–111 91–113
3–5 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 106 101–111 100–112 99–113 96–116
2–5 September 2022 SKOP 97 91–103 90–105 88–106 85–110
3–5 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 101 96–108 94–109 93–111 91–114
2–4 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 103 99–108 98–110 97–111 94–114
1 August–4 September 2022 SKOP 106 99–112 97–113 96–115 93–119
2–4 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 102 97–109 95–111 94–112 92–115
31 August–4 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 104 99–109 97–111 96–112 94–115
1–3 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 101 97–106 95–108 94–109 92–112
31 August–3 September 2022 SKOP          
1–3 September 2022 Novus
SVT		          
31 August–2 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 101 96–106 95–107 94–109 92–112
30 August–2 September 2022 SKOP          
31 August–2 September 2022 Novus
SVT		          
30 August–1 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		          
29 August–1 September 2022 SKOP          
30 August–1 September 2022 Novus
SVT		          
29–31 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 105 100–110 100–112 98–113 96–116
28–31 August 2022 SKOP 101 95–107 94–109 92–110 89–114
29–31 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 93 88–99 87–100 86–102 83–104
28–30 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		          
27–30 August 2022 SKOP          
28–30 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 100 94–105 92–106 91–107 89–110
26–30 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 100 94–106 92–109 91–110 89–113
27–29 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 107 102–111 101–113 100–114 98–117
26–29 August 2022 SKOP          
27–29 August 2022 Novus
SVT		          
21–29 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 105 100–110 99–111 98–112 96–115
26–28 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 109 104–114 103–115 102–117 100–120
24–28 August 2022 SKOP 95 90–101 89–102 87–104 85–106
26–28 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 107 102–114 100–116 99–118 96–121
25–27 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		          
23–27 August 2022 SKOP          
25–27 August 2022 Novus
SVT		          
24–26 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		          
22–26 August 2022 SKOP          
24–26 August 2022 Novus
SVT		          
23–25 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 110 106–115 105–117 104–118 102–120
21–25 August 2022 SKOP 101 95–106 93–108 92–109 89–112
23–25 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 99 93–104 92–106 91–107 88–110
22–24 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 109 104–113 103–115 102–116 100–119
20–24 August 2022 SKOP 99 92–105 91–107 89–109 87–111
22–24 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 97 92–103 90–104 89–106 87–108
16–24 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 109 103–114 102–116 100–117 98–121
21–23 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 108 104–113 102–115 101–116 99–119
19–23 August 2022 SKOP 104 94–112 92–113 91–115 88–119
21–23 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 99 93–105 92–106 91–108 89–112
20–22 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 108 104–112 102–114 101–115 99–117
20–22 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 100 96–106 95–107 93–108 91–111
19–21 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		          
18–21 August 2022 SKOP 98 92–104 90–106 89–108 86–112
19–21 August 2022 Novus
SVT		          
16–21 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 103 98–109 97–111 96–112 94–114
18–20 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 116 111–121 110–122 108–124 105–126
17–19 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 115 110–120 109–122 108–123 105–126
16–18 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 117 111–122 110–124 109–125 107–127
15–17 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 112 107–116 106–117 105–119 102–121
14–16 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 106 101–110 100–112 98–113 97–115
6–16 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 105 100–109 99–110 98–112 96–114
13–15 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 106 102–111 101–113 100–114 98–116
12–14 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 107 102–112 101–113 100–114 98–117
8–14 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 101 96–107 95–108 94–109 92–112
11–13 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 114 109–120 107–121 106–122 104–125
10–12 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 111 106–117 104–119 104–120 101–123
9–11 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 111 107–117 105–119 104–120 101–123
1–7 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 108 104–113 102–114 101–116 99–119
24 July–2 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 101 96–106 96–107 95–108 93–110
8–11 July 2022 SKOP 114 107–121 105–123 103–125 100–128
22–30 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 107 103–112 101–113 100–115 98–118
6–26 June 2022 Novus
SVT		 116 112–121 111–122 110–123 107–125
7–19 June 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 113 108–119 107–121 106–123 103–126
6–16 June 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 124 121–127 121–128 120–129 119–132
31 May–9 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 113 106–119 104–121 103–123 101–127
9 May–5 June 2022 Novus
SVT		 115 111–118 110–120 109–121 106–122
28 April–25 May 2022 SCB 127 125–130 124–131 124–131 122–132
10–22 May 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 122 117–129 115–130 113–132 110–136
2–12 May 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 124 121–127 119–128 118–128 116–130
4–10 May 2022 Infostat 105 98–111 97–112 95–114 92–117
26 April–4 May 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 117 112–122 110–123 109–125 107–127
4 April–1 May 2022 Novus
SVT		 120 116–124 115–125 114–126 112–127
12–26 April 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 112 105–118 104–120 102–122 100–125
11–21 April 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 124 121–126 120–127 120–128 119–129
6–14 April 2022 SKOP 130 122–137 121–139 119–141 115–144
29 March–5 April 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 119 113–122 111–125 109–125 106–127
7 March–3 April 2022 Novus
SVT		 120 117–123 116–125 114–125 112–127
15–27 March 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 121 115–127 113–128 112–130 109–132
7–17 March 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 123 120–125 119–126 118–127 117–128
1–9 March 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 121 116–126 115–127 114–128 112–131
31 January–27 February 2022 Novus
SVT		 119 115–124 113–125 112–126 110–129
8–20 February 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 110 104–115 102–117 101–118 99–121
7–17 February 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 112 109–115 108–115 107–116 105–118
11–14 February 2022 SKOP 119 111–127 109–129 107–131 104–135
1–8 February 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 105 102–110 101–111 99–112 97–115
3–30 January 2022 Novus
SVT		 110 107–114 105–116 104–116 102–118
11–24 January 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 114 107–120 107–123 105–124 102–128
10–20 January 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 118 115–121 115–122 113–123 112–126
28 December 2021–5 January 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 110 106–115 105–116 104–117 102–120
6 December 2021–2 January 2022 Novus
SVT		 117 112–122 110–124 108–125 105–127
7–20 December 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 108 101–115 100–118 99–119 96–121
6–16 December 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 117 114–120 114–121 113–121 112–123
30 November–8 December 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 108 104–113 103–114 101–115 100–117
8 November–5 December 2021 Novus
SVT		 111 107–114 105–116 103–116 102–118
28 October–25 November 2021 SCB 108 104–111 104–112 103–112 102–114
9–22 November 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 93 88–100 86–101 85–102 82–104
8–18 November 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 109 106–112 105–113 103–114 101–116
5–11 November 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 101 96–106 95–107 94–109 92–111
4–31 October 2021 Novus
SVT		 94 90–98 89–100 88–101 86–104
12–25 October 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 95 89–102 88–104 87–106 83–109
15–17 October 2021 SKOP 92 84–100 83–101 81–103 77–108
4–14 October 2021 Sifo          
29 September–6 October 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		          
30 August–3 October 2021 Novus
SVT		          
14–26 September 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		          
6–16 September 2021 Sifo          
3–11 September 2021 SKOP          
31 August–8 September 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		          
2–29 August 2021 Novus
SVT		          
10–23 August 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		          
9–18 August 2021 Sifo          
2–5 August 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 92 87–97 86–97 84–98 83–99
19–26 July 2021 Novus
SVT		 88 83–94 81–95 80–96 78–99
19–23 July 2021 SKOP 103 96–111 94–113 92–116 89–120
29 June–7 July 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 94 90–99 89–100 88–101 86–103
23–28 June 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 89 84–93 82–93 81–94 78–96
21–27 June 2021 Novus
SVT		 94 91–99 89–100 88–101 85–105
8–20 June 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 90 84–95 83–97 82–98 80–100
7–17 June 2021 Sifo 96 94–99 93–100 93–101 91–102
3 May–6 June 2021 Novus
SVT		 95 92–100 91–101 90–102 89–103
26 May–2 June 2021 Demoskop 92 87–96 86–97 85–98 82–101
28 April–27 May 2021 SCB 106 102–108 101–109 100–110 99–111
11–23 May 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 96 90–103 89–104 87–105 85–109
3–13 May 2021 Sifo 100 97–104 96–105 95–106 94–106
28 April–5 May 2021 Demoskop 94 89–99 88–101 87–102 85–104
5 April–2 May 2021 Novus
SVT		 102 97–107 96–107 96–109 94–110
13–25 April 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 98 92–104 91–105 89–106 87–108
5–15 April 2021 Sifo 102 99–108 98–108 98–108 97–109
30 March–7 April 2021 Demoskop 97 92–101 90–102 89–103 87–105
1 March–4 April 2021 Novus
SVT		 101 98–106 97–108 97–108 95–111
9–21 March 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 103 94–109 93–109 92–111 88–117
1–11 March 2021 Sifo 100 97–104 96–105 96–107 95–108
26 February–3 March 2021 Demoskop 92 87–96 86–97 85–98 83–101
1–28 February 2021 Novus
SVT		 100 96–106 95–107 94–109 92–111
19–23 February 2021 SKOP 100 94–109 92–112 91–114 87–118
9–21 February 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 99 94–106 92–108 90–110 88–113
1–11 February 2021 Sifo 105 102–108 100–111 100–112 98–113
26 January–3 February 2021 Demoskop 93 89–98 87–100 86–100 84–103
11–31 January 2021 Novus
SVT		 98 94–104 93–105 92–107 91–109
13–25 January 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 101 95–107 93–109 91–111 89–113
11–21 January 2021 Sifo 105 101–108 100–109 99–109 97–110
29 December 2020–11 January 2021 Demoskop 84 79–88 78–89 77–90 75–93
7 December 2020–10 January 2021 Novus
SVT		 106 101–111 99–113 98–114 96–116
1–13 December 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 94 89–100 87–101 86–101 83–105
30 November–10 December 2020 Sifo 106 102–108 101–109 100–109 98–111
9 November–6 December 2020 Novus
SVT		 104 100–108 99–109 98–110 96–113
30 November–3 December 2020 SKOP 97 89–103 87–106 85–108 82–111
26 November–2 December 2020 Demoskop 94 89–99 88–100 86–101 84–103
2–26 November 2020 SCB 108 104–113 103–114 103–115 101–117
10–22 November 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 96 90–103 88–104 87–105 84–109
2–11 November 2020 Sifo 101 92–108 90–109 89–111 87–112
12 October–8 November 2020 Novus
SVT		 99 94–103 92–104 92–105 90–107
27 October–4 November 2020 Demoskop 91 86–95 85–96 84–98 81–100
23–26 October 2020 SKOP 98 91–105 89–107 87–109 84–112
13–25 October 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 91 85–95 83–97 82–99 80–101
5–15 October 2020 Sifo 97 94–100 94–102 93–103 92–105
14 September–11 October 2020 Novus
SVT		 96 93–100 92–101 91–102 89–103
1–7 October 2020 Demoskop 95 90–99 89–100 88–101 86–104
8–21 September 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 96 90–102 88–105 87–106 84–110
7–17 September 2020 Sifo 104 99–108 99–109 97–109 95–111
24 August–13 September 2020 Novus
SVT		 99 96–104 95–106 93–108 92–109
25 August–1 September 2020 Demoskop 99 95–103 93–105 92–106 90–108
3–23 August 2020 Novus
SVT		 106 102–111 100–112 99–113 98–114
11–23 August 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 101 94–107 93–109 92–110 89–114
10–20 August 2020 Sifo 102 99–107 98–108 97–109 95–110
28 July–4 August 2020 Demoskop 104 100–109 99–110 98–111 95–113
23–28 July 2020 SKOP 104 97–112 96–114 94–116 90–120
30 June–7 July 2020 Demoskop 106 101–112 99–113 99–115 96–118
25 May–21 June 2020 Novus
SVT		 116 112–119 111–120 110–121 107–122
12–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 115 109–122 107–125 106–126 103–129
1–11 June 2020 Sifo 114 111–116 111–117 110–118 108–119
26 May–3 June 2020 Demoskop 103 98–108 96–110 95–111 93–113
31 May–2 June 2020 SKOP 116 108–123 106–126 104–128 100–132
29 April–27 May 2020 SCB 124 121–129 120–130 120–131 118–132
27 April–24 May 2020 Novus
SVT		 116 111–122 111–123 110–124 108–126
12–24 May 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 114 107–120 105–121 103–123 101–126
4–14 May 2020 Sifo 121 114–123 113–124 113–125 111–125
30 April–8 May 2020 SKOP 120 112–128 110–131 109–132 105–137
28 April–5 May 2020 Demoskop 112 108–117 106–118 105–119 102–121
14–26 April 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 106 99–114 98–115 96–118 94–121
30 March–19 April 2020 Novus
SVT		 114 109–118 108–119 106–120 105–122
30 March–8 April 2020 Sifo 116 111–119 110–120 109–120 107–122
25 March–1 April 2020 Demoskop 104 97–109 96–110 94–111 93–113
24 February–22 March 2020 Novus
SVT		 93 89–97 88–98 86–100 86–101
10–20 March 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 86 82–91 82–92 82–95 79–99
2–12 March 2020 Sifo 87 83–91 82–92 82–94 80–95
25 February–3 March 2020 Demoskop 83 79–89 78–91 77–91 75–93
11–23 February 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 79 74–84 73–86 71–87 69–90
27 January–16 February 2020 Novus
SVT		 84 80–88 79–90 78–91 76–95
3–13 February 2020 Sifo 84 81–87 81–88 80–89 79–91
25 January–5 February 2020 Demoskop 92 87–98 86–99 85–101 83–103
14–27 January 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 83 77–90 75–92 75–94 72–97
7–26 January 2020 Novus
SVT		 89 86–92 85–93 84–94 82–96
14–24 January 2020 SKOP 85 77–92 76–94 74–96 72–99
6–16 January 2020 Sifo 86 82–89 81–90 81–90 80–91
30 December 2019–7 January 2020 Demoskop 86 81–90 80–91 79–93 77–96
18 November–15 December 2019 Novus
SVT		 87 84–90 83–91 82–92 79–93
3–15 December 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 88 83–93 82–95 81–96 78–99
2–12 December 2019 Sifo 88 85–93 84–93 84–93 83–95
26 November–4 December 2019 Demoskop 88 83–94 81–95 79–96 78–100
28 October–26 November 2019 SCB 94 91–99 90–100 89–101 87–103
11–24 November 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 92 86–97 84–98 83–100 81–103
21 October–17 November 2019 Novus
SVT		 96 92–99 91–100 90–101 88–103
4–14 November 2019 Sifo 90 87–92 86–93 86–93 84–94
4–13 November 2019 Demoskop 80 77–85 75–88 74–90 72–91
8–21 October 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 88 81–92 80–94 78–96 76–99
23 September–20 October 2019 Novus
SVT		 94 90–98 89–99 88–100 86–101
7–17 October 2019 Sifo 92 89–95 88–97 87–97 86–99
8–14 October 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 91 86–96 85–97 84–99 81–101
24 September–1 October 2019 Demoskop 84 79–89 77–91 76–93 74–96
20–25 September 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 89 85–95 83–96 81–98 79–101
10–23 September 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 92 87–97 85–99 84–100 82–103
26 August–22 September 2019 Novus
SVT		 90 86–93 85–95 85–96 82–98
2–12 September 2019 Sifo 92 90–95 89–96 88–97 87–98
27 August–3 September 2019 Demoskop 86 82–91 80–92 79–93 78–96
22–28 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 93 88–99 86–101 85–104 82–105
5–25 August 2019 Novus
SVT		 96 92–100 90–102 89–103 87–105
13–25 August 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 93 87–98 86–99 85–101 82–103
6–15 August 2019 Sifo 98 94–101 93–102 92–102 91–103
1–8 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 97 90–102 89–103 87–105 85–107
25 June–16 July 2019 SKOP 91 85–97 83–99 81–101 78–104
24 June–1 July 2019 Demoskop 94 89–100 87–101 86–103 83–106
17–24 June 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 94 88–98 87–99 86–101 83–103
3–23 June 2019 Novus
SVT		 97 93–102 91–103 90–104 88–106
4–18 June 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 89 84–94 83–95 82–97 79–100
3–13 June 2019 Sifo 97 94–100 94–100 93–101 91–102
27 May–3 June 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 98 91–104 90–106 89–107 87–110
6 May–2 June 2019 Novus
SVT		 93 89–97 88–98 87–99 85–102
29 April–28 May 2019 SCB 101 98–104 98–104 97–105 95–106
21–28 May 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 97 92–102 91–104 90–105 88–107
6–21 May 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 94 89–99 87–101 86–103 85–105
6–16 May 2019 Sifo 99 96–101 95–102 94–103 92–104
10–15 May 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 80 76–84 75–85 74–87 72–88
29 April–7 May 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 98 92–104 91–106 90–107 87–111
8 April–5 May 2019 Novus
SVT		 97 93–101 92–102 91–102 89–105
22–29 April 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 94 88–100 87–102 86–103 83–105
9–22 April 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 98 92–105 91–106 90–108 88–113
1–11 April 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 100 98–102 97–103 97–104 95–105
26 March–3 April 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 92 87–98 85–101 84–103 81–106
4–31 March 2019 Novus
SVT		 102 98–107 97–108 96–109 93–110
23–28 March 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 97 93–102 92–104 91–105 89–107
7–27 March 2019 SKOP 107 100–114 98–114 97–116 94–118
12–25 March 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 99 93–106 91–108 89–109 86–112
3–14 March 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 104 100–106 98–107 98–108 97–109
26 February–5 March 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 96 90–101 89–103 88–105 85–108
4 February–3 March 2019 Novus
SVT		 105 101–110 100–111 99–112 96–114
7–20 February 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 102 94–109 93–112 91–113 89–116
11–18 February 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 104 98–108 97–109 95–110 92–112
4–14 February 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 104 100–107 99–109 98–110 97–112
29 January–5 February 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 106 100–111 98–113 97–114 94–117
14 January–3 February 2019 Novus
SVT		 109 105–113 104–114 103–115 100–117
16–23 January 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 105 99–110 98–112 97–113 94–116
10–20 January 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 109 103–115 101–117 100–118 97–122
14–17 January 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 109 104–114 104–115 102–116 99–117
3–17 January 2019 SKOP 115 108–121 106–122 103–124 98–127
2–13 January 2019 Novus
SVT		 119 113–125 111–127 110–128 107–130
2–8 January 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 111 105–117 103–119 101–121 99–124
19–26 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 109 105–116 103–117 102–119 100–121
12 November–16 December 2018 Novus
SVT		 111 105–119 102–119 102–120 101–120
5–16 December 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 116 110–123 108–125 106–128 103–132
3–13 December 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 108 103–114 102–115 102–115 101–118
4–12 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 111 106–116 104–118 102–119 99–120
27 November–4 December 2018 Demoskop
Expressen		 103 96–110 94–112 93–115 90–118
29 October–27 November 2018 SCB 111 106–115 105–117 104–118 102–121
8–19 November 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 102 95–109 94–111 93–114 90–116
14–19 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 110 104–116 102–117 101–118 99–121
5–15 November 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 103 101–108 100–108 99–109 98–111
15 October–11 November 2018 Novus
SVT		 109 105–113 104–115 103–116 101–119
26 October–6 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 108 103–115 101–117 99–118 97–120
30 October–6 November 2018 Demoskop
Expressen		 107 100–113 98–116 97–118 94–122
16–24 October 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 101 96–107 94–109 93–111 91–113
8–18 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 105 102–109 101–110 101–111 99–112
1–8 October 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 106 101–112 100–114 98–116 95–120
1–4 October 2018 Novus
SVT		 101 96–106 95–108 94–109 92–113
24 September–2 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 101 99–104 99–106 98–107 97–108
25 September–2 October 2018 Demoskop
Expressen		 114 105–119 103–121 101–122 99–124

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.2% 99.9%  
93 0.3% 99.7%  
94 0.6% 99.4%  
95 2% 98.8%  
96 2% 97%  
97 3% 95%  
98 5% 93%  
99 7% 88%  
100 6% 81% Last Result
101 9% 75%  
102 8% 66%  
103 9% 58% Median
104 10% 49%  
105 10% 39%  
106 7% 30%  
107 5% 23%  
108 5% 18%  
109 4% 13%  
110 2% 9%  
111 2% 7%  
112 2% 5%  
113 1.3% 3%  
114 0.9% 2%  
115 0.4% 1.2%  
116 0.2% 0.7%  
117 0.2% 0.5%  
118 0.1% 0.3%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%