Miljöpartiet de gröna

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 4.4% (General Election of 9 September 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 5.9% 4.5–7.5% 4.2–7.8% 3.9–8.1% 3.5–8.7%
6–9 September 2022 SKOP 7.4% 6.7–8.2% 6.5–8.5% 6.3–8.7% 6.0–9.1%
6–9 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.8% 5.2–6.6% 5.0–6.8% 4.9–7.0% 4.6–7.3%
1–9 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
5.3% 4.7–5.9% 4.6–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.2–6.6%
6–8 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.4% 5.8–7.1% 5.6–7.3% 5.5–7.5% 5.2–7.8%
5–8 September 2022 SKOP 7.9% 7.1–8.8% 6.9–9.1% 6.7–9.3% 6.3–9.8%
6–8 September 2022 Novus
SVT
4.5% 3.8–5.2% 3.7–5.5% 3.5–5.6% 3.2–6.0%
5–7 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 September 2022 SKOP 7.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 September 2022 Novus
SVT
5.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–6 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.8% 5.2–6.5% 5.0–6.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.2%
3–6 September 2022 SKOP 7.5% 6.6–8.4% 6.4–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 5.8–9.5%
4–6 September 2022 Novus
SVT
5.7% 5.0–6.6% 4.8–6.8% 4.7–7.0% 4.3–7.5%
1–6 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.3% 4.7–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.1–6.9%
3–5 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.7% 5.1–6.4% 4.9–6.6% 4.8–6.8% 4.5–7.2%
2–5 September 2022 SKOP 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.9–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.2–10.4%
3–5 September 2022 Novus
SVT
5.6% 4.9–6.4% 4.7–6.7% 4.5–6.9% 4.2–7.3%
2–4 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.1% 4.5–5.8% 4.3–6.0% 4.2–6.2% 3.9–6.5%
1 August–4 September 2022 SKOP 7.8% 6.9–8.9% 6.6–9.2% 6.4–9.5% 6.0–10.1%
2–4 September 2022 Novus
SVT
5.5% 4.8–6.4% 4.6–6.6% 4.5–6.8% 4.2–7.2%
31 August–4 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
4.3% 3.8–4.9% 3.6–5.1% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.5%
1–3 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.8% 4.2–5.5% 4.0–5.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.6–6.2%
31 August–3 September 2022 SKOP 7.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–3 September 2022 Novus
SVT
4.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–2 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.8% 4.2–5.5% 4.1–5.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.7–6.2%
30 August–2 September 2022 SKOP 6.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–2 September 2022 Novus
SVT
5.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 August–1 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 August–1 September 2022 SKOP 5.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 August–1 September 2022 Novus
SVT
5.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–31 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.8% 4.2–5.5% 4.1–5.7% 3.9–5.8% 3.7–6.2%
28–31 August 2022 SKOP 5.8% 5.0–6.7% 4.8–7.0% 4.6–7.3% 4.2–7.7%
29–31 August 2022 Novus
SVT
5.9% 5.2–6.7% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.2% 4.5–7.6%
28–30 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–30 August 2022 SKOP 5.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–30 August 2022 Novus
SVT
5.9% 5.2–6.8% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.5–7.7%
26–30 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.7% 5.0–6.6% 4.7–6.9% 4.6–7.1% 4.2–7.6%
27–29 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.2% 4.6–5.9% 4.4–6.1% 4.3–6.3% 4.0–6.6%
26–29 August 2022 SKOP 5.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–29 August 2022 Novus
SVT
5.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–29 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
5.3% 4.7–5.9% 4.6–6.1% 4.4–6.3% 4.2–6.6%
26–28 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.3% 4.7–6.0% 4.5–6.2% 4.4–6.4% 4.1–6.7%
24–28 August 2022 SKOP 5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.4–6.4% 4.2–6.6% 3.9–7.0%
26–28 August 2022 Novus
SVT
5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
25–27 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–27 August 2022 SKOP 5.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 August 2022 Novus
SVT
4.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–26 August 2022 SKOP 5.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 August 2022 Novus
SVT
4.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–25 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.7% 5.1–6.4% 4.9–6.6% 4.8–6.8% 4.5–7.1%
21–25 August 2022 SKOP 4.9% 4.2–5.7% 4.0–5.9% 3.8–6.2% 3.5–6.6%
23–25 August 2022 Novus
SVT
4.8% 4.2–5.6% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.0% 3.5–6.4%
22–24 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.3% 4.8–6.0% 4.6–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6%
20–24 August 2022 SKOP 5.5% 4.8–6.5% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.1% 4.0–7.5%
22–24 August 2022 Novus
SVT
4.7% 4.1–5.5% 3.9–5.7% 3.8–5.9% 3.5–6.3%
16–24 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.3–5.7% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.1% 3.7–6.5%
21–23 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.7% 4.2–5.3% 4.0–5.5% 3.9–5.7% 3.6–6.0%
19–23 August 2022 SKOP 5.8% 5.0–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.6–7.3% 4.2–7.8%
21–23 August 2022 Novus
SVT
4.8% 4.2–5.6% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.0% 3.5–6.4%
20–22 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.5% 4.9–6.2% 4.8–6.4% 4.6–6.6% 4.4–6.9%
20–22 August 2022 Novus
SVT
4.9% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–6.0% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
19–21 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 August 2022 SKOP 5.9% 5.1–6.9% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.4% 4.3–7.9%
19–21 August 2022 Novus
SVT
5.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–21 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
4.8% 4.3–5.5% 4.1–5.6% 4.0–5.8% 3.7–6.1%
18–20 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.5% 4.9–6.3% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.8% 4.2–7.2%
17–19 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.1% 4.5–5.9% 4.3–6.1% 4.2–6.3% 3.9–6.6%
16–18 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.0–6.9%
15–17 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.5% 4.9–6.2% 4.7–6.4% 4.6–6.6% 4.3–6.9%
14–16 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.4% 4.8–6.1% 4.6–6.3% 4.5–6.5% 4.2–6.8%
6–16 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
5.2% 4.6–5.9% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.2% 4.1–6.6%
13–15 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.6% 5.0–6.3% 4.8–6.5% 4.6–6.7% 4.4–7.0%
12–14 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.6% 5.0–6.3% 4.8–6.5% 4.6–6.7% 4.4–7.1%
8–14 August 2022 Novus
SVT
4.5% 4.0–5.2% 3.8–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.4–5.8%
11–13 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.5% 3.9–5.2% 3.8–5.4% 3.7–5.5% 3.4–5.9%
10–12 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.5% 3.9–5.2% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.5% 3.4–5.9%
9–11 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.6% 4.0–5.3% 3.9–5.5% 3.7–5.7% 3.5–6.1%
1–7 August 2022 Novus
SVT
5.2% 4.6–5.9% 4.4–6.1% 4.3–6.3% 4.0–6.6%
24 July–2 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
4.8% 4.3–5.4% 4.1–5.6% 4.0–5.8% 3.7–6.1%
8–11 July 2022 SKOP 3.6% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.4%
22–30 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
4.9% 4.3–5.5% 4.2–5.7% 4.1–5.9% 3.8–6.2%
6–26 June 2022 Novus
SVT
3.5% 3.1–4.0% 3.0–4.1% 2.9–4.2% 2.7–4.5%
7–19 June 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.3%
6–16 June 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
3.4% 3.2–3.7% 3.1–3.7% 3.0–3.8% 2.9–3.9%
31 May–9 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
3.9% 3.4–4.5% 3.3–4.7% 3.2–4.8% 2.9–5.1%
9 May–5 June 2022 Novus
SVT
3.3% 3.0–3.7% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–3.9% 2.6–4.1%
28 April–25 May 2022 SCB 3.3% 3.1–3.6% 3.0–3.6% 3.0–3.7% 2.9–3.8%
10–22 May 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.0–4.3%
2–12 May 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
2.7% 2.5–3.0% 2.4–3.0% 2.3–3.1% 2.2–3.2%
4–10 May 2022 Infostat 3.7% 3.2–4.4% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1%
26 April–4 May 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
3.0% 2.5–3.5% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
4 April–1 May 2022 Novus
SVT
3.3% 2.9–3.7% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–3.9% 2.6–4.2%
12–26 April 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
11–21 April 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
2.9% 2.7–3.2% 2.6–3.2% 2.5–3.3% 2.4–3.4%
6–14 April 2022 SKOP 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
29 March–5 April 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
3.5% 3.0–4.1% 2.9–4.2% 2.8–4.4% 2.6–4.6%
7 March–3 April 2022 Novus
SVT
3.3% 2.9–3.7% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–3.9% 2.6–4.1%
15–27 March 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.0–4.3%
7–17 March 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
2.7% 2.5–3.0% 2.4–3.0% 2.3–3.1% 2.2–3.2%
1–9 March 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
2.9% 2.5–3.4% 2.4–3.6% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–4.0%
31 January–27 February 2022 Novus
SVT
3.2% 2.8–3.7% 2.7–3.8% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.2%
8–20 February 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
7–17 February 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
3.6% 3.3–3.9% 3.2–4.0% 3.1–4.1% 3.0–4.3%
11–14 February 2022 SKOP 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
1–8 February 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
2.8% 2.4–3.3% 2.3–3.4% 2.2–3.5% 2.0–3.8%
3–30 January 2022 Novus
SVT
3.5% 3.1–3.9% 3.0–4.1% 3.0–4.2% 2.8–4.4%
11–24 January 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
10–20 January 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
3.0% 2.7–3.3% 2.7–3.4% 2.6–3.4% 2.5–3.6%
28 December 2021–5 January 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
2.8% 2.4–3.3% 2.3–3.4% 2.2–3.5% 2.0–3.8%
6 December 2021–2 January 2022 Novus
SVT
3.4% 2.9–4.0% 2.8–4.2% 2.7–4.3% 2.5–4.6%
7–20 December 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.4%
6–16 December 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
3.2% 2.9–3.5% 2.9–3.6% 2.8–3.7% 2.7–3.8%
30 November–8 December 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–4.0% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4%
8 November–5 December 2021 Novus
SVT
3.7% 3.4–4.1% 3.3–4.2% 3.2–4.3% 3.0–4.5%
28 October–25 November 2021 SCB 3.9% 3.6–4.2% 3.6–4.3% 3.5–4.3% 3.4–4.5%
9–22 November 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.5–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
8–18 November 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
3.6% 3.3–3.9% 3.2–4.1% 3.2–4.1% 3.0–4.3%
5–11 November 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
3.4% 3.0–3.9% 2.8–4.1% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.5%
4–31 October 2021 Novus
SVT
4.8% 4.4–5.3% 4.3–5.4% 4.2–5.6% 4.0–5.8%
12–25 October 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.6%
15–17 October 2021 SKOP 4.4% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.6% 3.3–5.8% 2.9–6.3%
4–14 October 2021 Sifo 3.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 September–6 October 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 August–3 October 2021 Novus
SVT
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–26 September 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–16 September 2021 Sifo 4.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–11 September 2021 SKOP 3.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–8 September 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
3.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–29 August 2021 Novus
SVT
4.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–23 August 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–18 August 2021 Sifo 4.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–5 August 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
3.5% 3.0–4.0% 2.9–4.2% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.6%
19–26 July 2021 Novus
SVT
3.8% 3.3–4.3% 3.2–4.5% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.9%
19–23 July 2021 SKOP 3.7% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%
29 June–7 July 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
3.5% 3.1–3.9% 3.0–4.1% 2.9–4.2% 2.7–4.4%
23–28 June 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
3.3% 2.9–3.9% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.2% 2.4–4.4%
21–27 June 2021 Novus
SVT
3.5% 3.0–4.0% 2.9–4.2% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.6%
8–20 June 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.3–3.8% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.3%
7–17 June 2021 Sifo 3.5% 3.2–3.8% 3.1–3.9% 3.1–4.0% 3.0–4.1%
3 May–6 June 2021 Novus
SVT
4.2% 3.9–4.6% 3.7–4.7% 3.7–4.8% 3.5–5.0%
26 May–2 June 2021 Demoskop 3.5% 3.1–4.0% 2.9–4.1% 2.9–4.2% 2.7–4.5%
28 April–27 May 2021 SCB 3.8% 3.6–4.1% 3.5–4.1% 3.4–4.2% 3.3–4.3%
11–23 May 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
3.9% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.8–5.4%
3–13 May 2021 Sifo 4.0% 3.7–4.3% 3.7–4.4% 3.6–4.4% 3.5–4.6%
28 April–5 May 2021 Demoskop 4.1% 3.7–4.7% 3.5–4.8% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2%
5 April–2 May 2021 Novus
SVT
4.0% 3.6–4.5% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9%
13–25 April 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–4.9% 3.0–5.2%
5–15 April 2021 Sifo 4.3% 4.0–4.6% 3.9–4.7% 3.8–4.8% 3.7–5.0%
30 March–7 April 2021 Demoskop 3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.0% 2.5–4.3%
1 March–4 April 2021 Novus
SVT
4.5% 4.1–4.9% 4.1–5.0% 4.0–5.1% 3.8–5.3%
9–21 March 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
1–11 March 2021 Sifo 4.2% 3.9–4.5% 3.8–4.6% 3.8–4.7% 3.6–4.8%
26 February–3 March 2021 Demoskop 3.1% 2.7–3.6% 2.6–3.8% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2%
1–28 February 2021 Novus
SVT
4.4% 4.0–4.8% 3.9–5.0% 3.8–5.1% 3.6–5.3%
19–23 February 2021 SKOP 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
9–21 February 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.8–5.5%
1–11 February 2021 Sifo 3.6% 3.3–3.9% 3.2–4.0% 3.2–4.1% 3.0–4.2%
26 January–3 February 2021 Demoskop 3.5% 3.0–4.0% 2.9–4.2% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.6%
11–31 January 2021 Novus
SVT
4.1% 3.6–4.6% 3.5–4.8% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.1%
13–25 January 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
11–21 January 2021 Sifo 3.7% 3.4–4.0% 3.3–4.1% 3.3–4.2% 3.1–4.3%
29 December 2020–11 January 2021 Demoskop 5.0% 4.5–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.0% 3.9–6.4%
7 December 2020–10 January 2021 Novus
SVT
4.0% 3.6–4.5% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1%
1–13 December 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.1% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
30 November–10 December 2020 Sifo 3.7% 3.4–4.0% 3.4–4.1% 3.3–4.2% 3.2–4.3%
9 November–6 December 2020 Novus
SVT
4.1% 3.7–4.5% 3.6–4.7% 3.5–4.8% 3.3–5.0%
30 November–3 December 2020 SKOP 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.9%
26 November–2 December 2020 Demoskop 3.6% 3.1–4.2% 3.0–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.7–4.7%
2–26 November 2020 SCB 4.2% 3.8–4.6% 3.7–4.7% 3.7–4.8% 3.5–5.0%
10–22 November 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.8–5.5%
2–11 November 2020 Sifo 4.2% 3.6–5.0% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.7%
12 October–8 November 2020 Novus
SVT
3.9% 3.5–4.4% 3.4–4.5% 3.3–4.6% 3.2–4.8%
27 October–4 November 2020 Demoskop 3.4% 3.0–4.0% 2.8–4.1% 2.7–4.3% 2.5–4.5%
23–26 October 2020 SKOP 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%
13–25 October 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
5–15 October 2020 Sifo 4.3% 4.0–4.6% 3.9–4.7% 3.9–4.8% 3.7–5.0%
14 September–11 October 2020 Novus
SVT
5.2% 4.8–5.7% 4.6–5.8% 4.5–6.0% 4.3–6.2%
1–7 October 2020 Demoskop 3.5% 3.1–4.0% 3.0–4.1% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.5%
8–21 September 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
7–17 September 2020 Sifo 3.8% 3.5–4.2% 3.4–4.3% 3.3–4.4% 3.2–4.6%
24 August–13 September 2020 Novus
SVT
4.3% 3.9–4.8% 3.7–5.0% 3.6–5.1% 3.4–5.3%
25 August–1 September 2020 Demoskop 3.2% 2.8–3.7% 2.7–3.9% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3%
3–23 August 2020 Novus
SVT
3.8% 3.4–4.3% 3.3–4.4% 3.2–4.5% 3.1–4.7%
11–23 August 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
10–20 August 2020 Sifo 3.6% 3.3–3.9% 3.2–4.0% 3.1–4.1% 3.0–4.3%
28 July–4 August 2020 Demoskop 3.4% 3.0–3.9% 2.9–4.0% 2.8–4.2% 2.6–4.4%
23–28 July 2020 SKOP 3.4% 2.7–4.2% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.1–5.1%
30 June–7 July 2020 Demoskop 4.1% 3.6–4.7% 3.5–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.3%
25 May–21 June 2020 Novus
SVT
3.4% 3.0–3.8% 3.0–3.9% 2.9–4.0% 2.7–4.3%
12–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.3%
1–11 June 2020 Sifo 3.5% 3.2–3.8% 3.2–3.9% 3.1–3.9% 3.0–4.1%
26 May–3 June 2020 Demoskop 3.9% 3.4–4.5% 3.3–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0%
31 May–2 June 2020 SKOP 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.8–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%
29 April–27 May 2020 SCB 4.1% 3.8–4.4% 3.8–4.5% 3.7–4.5% 3.6–4.7%
27 April–24 May 2020 Novus
SVT
4.1% 3.7–4.5% 3.6–4.7% 3.5–4.8% 3.4–5.0%
12–24 May 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
4–14 May 2020 Sifo 3.9% 3.6–4.2% 3.5–4.3% 3.5–4.4% 3.3–4.5%
30 April–8 May 2020 SKOP 2.6% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
28 April–5 May 2020 Demoskop 3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.7–4.0% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4%
14–26 April 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
30 March–19 April 2020 Novus
SVT
3.8% 3.4–4.2% 3.3–4.4% 3.2–4.5% 3.1–4.7%
30 March–8 April 2020 Sifo 3.5% 3.2–3.8% 3.2–3.9% 3.1–4.0% 3.0–4.1%
25 March–1 April 2020 Demoskop 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1%
24 February–22 March 2020 Novus
SVT
4.5% 4.1–5.0% 4.0–5.1% 3.9–5.2% 3.7–5.4%
10–20 March 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
2–12 March 2020 Sifo 4.0% 3.7–4.3% 3.6–4.4% 3.6–4.5% 3.4–4.6%
25 February–3 March 2020 Demoskop 3.1% 2.7–3.6% 2.6–3.8% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1%
11–23 February 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
27 January–16 February 2020 Novus
SVT
4.5% 4.0–5.0% 3.9–5.2% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.5%
3–13 February 2020 Sifo 4.2% 3.9–4.5% 3.8–4.6% 3.8–4.6% 3.6–4.8%
25 January–5 February 2020 Demoskop 3.8% 3.3–4.4% 3.2–4.6% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–5.0%
14–27 January 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
7–26 January 2020 Novus
SVT
4.6% 4.2–5.0% 4.1–5.2% 4.0–5.3% 3.8–5.5%
14–24 January 2020 SKOP 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–5.9%
6–16 January 2020 Sifo 4.5% 4.2–4.8% 4.1–4.9% 4.1–5.0% 3.9–5.2%
30 December 2019–7 January 2020 Demoskop 4.8% 4.2–5.4% 4.1–5.6% 3.9–5.8% 3.7–6.1%
18 November–15 December 2019 Novus
SVT
5.0% 4.6–5.5% 4.5–5.6% 4.4–5.7% 4.2–6.0%
3–15 December 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.6%
2–12 December 2019 Sifo 4.7% 4.4–5.0% 4.3–5.1% 4.3–5.2% 4.1–5.3%
26 November–4 December 2019 Demoskop 4.4% 3.8–5.0% 3.7–5.2% 3.6–5.3% 3.3–5.7%
28 October–26 November 2019 SCB 5.1% 4.7–5.5% 4.6–5.7% 4.5–5.8% 4.3–6.0%
11–24 November 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
21 October–17 November 2019 Novus
SVT
4.8% 4.4–5.3% 4.3–5.4% 4.1–5.6% 3.9–5.8%
4–14 November 2019 Sifo 4.7% 4.4–5.0% 4.3–5.1% 4.2–5.2% 4.1–5.3%
4–13 November 2019 Demoskop 4.8% 4.2–5.5% 4.1–5.6% 3.9–5.8% 3.7–6.1%
8–21 October 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
23 September–20 October 2019 Novus
SVT
5.0% 4.6–5.5% 4.4–5.6% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–6.0%
7–17 October 2019 Sifo 5.1% 4.8–5.5% 4.7–5.5% 4.6–5.6% 4.5–5.8%
8–14 October 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
4.2% 3.7–4.8% 3.6–5.0% 3.4–5.2% 3.2–5.5%
24 September–1 October 2019 Demoskop 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.6%
20–25 September 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
4.2% 3.7–4.8% 3.5–5.0% 3.4–5.2% 3.2–5.5%
10–23 September 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
26 August–22 September 2019 Novus
SVT
5.0% 4.5–5.5% 4.4–5.6% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–6.0%
2–12 September 2019 Sifo 5.1% 4.8–5.4% 4.7–5.5% 4.6–5.6% 4.5–5.7%
27 August–3 September 2019 Demoskop 4.9% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.5%
22–28 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
4.2% 3.7–4.9% 3.5–5.0% 3.4–5.2% 3.2–5.5%
5–25 August 2019 Novus
SVT
5.6% 5.1–6.2% 4.9–6.4% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–6.9%
13–25 August 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.8%
6–15 August 2019 Sifo 4.9% 4.6–5.3% 4.5–5.4% 4.4–5.5% 4.2–5.6%
1–8 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
3.6% 3.1–4.2% 3.0–4.4% 2.9–4.5% 2.7–4.8%
25 June–16 July 2019 SKOP 4.7% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.9% 3.6–6.1% 3.2–6.6%
24 June–1 July 2019 Demoskop 5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.0–6.9%
17–24 June 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.0% 3.9–6.4%
3–23 June 2019 Novus
SVT
5.9% 5.3–6.5% 5.2–6.7% 5.1–6.9% 4.8–7.2%
4–18 June 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.6%
3–13 June 2019 Sifo 4.9% 4.6–5.2% 4.5–5.3% 4.5–5.4% 4.3–5.5%
27 May–3 June 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
5.1% 4.4–5.9% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.8–6.7%
6 May–2 June 2019 Novus
SVT
5.5% 5.0–6.0% 4.9–6.2% 4.8–6.3% 4.6–6.5%
29 April–28 May 2019 SCB 5.7% 5.4–6.0% 5.3–6.1% 5.2–6.2% 5.1–6.4%
21–28 May 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
4.4% 3.9–5.1% 3.7–5.2% 3.6–5.4% 3.4–5.7%
6–21 May 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–4.9% 3.0–5.2%
6–16 May 2019 Sifo 4.5% 4.2–4.8% 4.2–4.9% 4.1–4.9% 4.0–5.1%
10–15 May 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
9.6% 8.9–10.3% 8.7–10.5% 8.6–10.7% 8.2–11.1%
29 April–7 May 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
4.3% 3.7–5.1% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.8%
8 April–5 May 2019 Novus
SVT
4.6% 4.2–5.1% 4.1–5.3% 3.9–5.4% 3.7–5.6%
22–29 April 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
3.9% 3.4–4.5% 3.2–4.6% 3.1–4.8% 2.9–5.1%
9–22 April 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.5%
1–11 April 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.6% 4.3–4.9% 4.2–5.0% 4.2–5.1% 4.0–5.2%
26 March–3 April 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
4.5% 3.9–5.3% 3.7–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.3–6.0%
4–31 March 2019 Novus
SVT
3.5% 3.1–3.9% 3.0–4.0% 2.9–4.1% 2.8–4.4%
23–28 March 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
4.2% 3.7–4.7% 3.6–4.9% 3.5–5.0% 3.3–5.2%
7–27 March 2019 SKOP 3.1% 2.6–3.8% 2.5–4.0% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.5%
12–25 March 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
3–14 March 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
3.8% 3.6–4.1% 3.5–4.1% 3.4–4.2% 3.3–4.4%
26 February–5 March 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
4.1% 3.5–4.8% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5%
4 February–3 March 2019 Novus
SVT
4.0% 3.6–4.4% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9%
7–20 February 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
11–18 February 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
3.4% 3.0–4.0% 2.8–4.1% 2.7–4.3% 2.5–4.6%
4–14 February 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.3% 4.0–4.6% 3.9–4.7% 3.9–4.8% 3.7–4.9%
29 January–5 February 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
3.2% 2.7–3.8% 2.5–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.5%
14 January–3 February 2019 Novus
SVT
3.4% 3.0–3.9% 2.9–4.0% 2.8–4.1% 2.7–4.4%
16–23 January 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
3.8% 3.3–4.4% 3.2–4.5% 3.0–4.7% 2.8–5.0%
10–20 January 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
14–17 January 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
3.9% 3.5–4.3% 3.4–4.4% 3.4–4.5% 3.2–4.7%
3–17 January 2019 SKOP 3.1% 2.6–3.9% 2.4–4.1% 2.3–4.3% 2.0–4.7%
2–13 January 2019 Novus
SVT
3.9% 3.4–4.5% 3.3–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0%
2–8 January 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
3.8% 3.2–4.5% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.2%
19–26 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
4.2% 3.7–4.8% 3.6–5.0% 3.5–5.1% 3.2–5.4%
12 November–16 December 2018 Novus
SVT
4.0% 3.7–4.4% 3.6–4.5% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.8%
5–16 December 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.4%
3–13 December 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.2% 3.9–4.5% 3.9–4.6% 3.8–4.6% 3.7–4.8%
4–12 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
3.7% 3.2–4.3% 3.1–4.4% 3.0–4.6% 2.8–4.9%
27 November–4 December 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
4.1% 3.5–4.8% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5%
29 October–27 November 2018 SCB 4.0% 3.7–4.4% 3.6–4.5% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8%
8–19 November 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.1% 3.5–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 2.9–5.6%
14–19 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
3.5% 3.1–4.1% 3.0–4.2% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.6%
5–15 November 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.1% 3.8–4.4% 3.8–4.5% 3.7–4.5% 3.6–4.7%
15 October–11 November 2018 Novus
SVT
4.3% 3.9–4.7% 3.8–4.8% 3.8–4.9% 3.6–5.1%
26 October–6 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
3.8% 3.3–4.4% 3.2–4.5% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–5.0%
30 October–6 November 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
4.2% 3.6–4.9% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.3% 3.1–5.7%
16–24 October 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.8% 4.2–5.6% 4.0–5.8% 3.9–6.0% 3.6–6.4%
8–18 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.1% 3.8–4.4% 3.8–4.5% 3.7–4.5% 3.6–4.7%
1–8 October 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
4.3% 3.7–5.0% 3.6–5.2% 3.5–5.4% 3.2–5.7%
1–4 October 2018 Novus
SVT
4.4% 3.9–5.0% 3.7–5.2% 3.6–5.4% 3.4–5.7%
24 September–2 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.3% 4.0–4.6% 3.9–4.7% 3.9–4.8% 3.7–4.9%
25 September–2 October 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
3.5% 3.0–4.2% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.9%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Miljöpartiet de gröna.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0.5% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 11% 99.5% Last Result
4.5–5.5% 28% 88%  
5.5–6.5% 32% 61% Median
6.5–7.5% 20% 29%  
7.5–8.5% 8% 9%  
8.5–9.5% 0.7% 0.7%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 16 seats (General Election of 9 September 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 21 16–26 14–28 0–28 0–30
6–9 September 2022 SKOP 26 24–29 23–29 22–30 21–32
6–9 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
21 19–24 18–24 17–25 16–26
1–9 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
19 17–21 16–21 16–22 15–24
6–8 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
23 20–25 20–26 19–26 18–28
5–8 September 2022 SKOP 28 25–31 24–32 24–32 22–34
6–8 September 2022 Novus
SVT
16 0–18 0–19 0–20 0–21
5–7 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
4–7 September 2022 SKOP          
5–7 September 2022 Novus
SVT
         
4–6 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
20 18–23 18–24 17–24 16–25
3–6 September 2022 SKOP 26 23–30 22–31 22–32 20–33
4–6 September 2022 Novus
SVT
20 18–23 17–24 16–25 15–26
1–6 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
19 17–22 16–23 16–23 14–25
3–5 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
20 18–23 17–23 17–24 16–25
2–5 September 2022 SKOP 29 25–33 24–34 23–35 22–37
3–5 September 2022 Novus
SVT
20 17–23 17–24 16–24 15–26
2–4 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
18 16–20 15–21 15–22 0–23
1 August–4 September 2022 SKOP 27 24–32 23–32 22–33 21–35
2–4 September 2022 Novus
SVT
20 17–22 17–23 16–24 15–26
31 August–4 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
15 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–19
1–3 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
17 15–20 14–20 0–21 0–22
31 August–3 September 2022 SKOP          
1–3 September 2022 Novus
SVT
         
31 August–2 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
17 15–20 14–20 0–21 0–22
30 August–2 September 2022 SKOP          
31 August–2 September 2022 Novus
SVT
         
30 August–1 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
29 August–1 September 2022 SKOP          
30 August–1 September 2022 Novus
SVT
         
29–31 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
17 15–19 14–20 0–21 0–22
28–31 August 2022 SKOP 21 18–23 17–24 16–25 15–28
29–31 August 2022 Novus
SVT
21 18–24 17–25 17–26 15–27
28–30 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
27–30 August 2022 SKOP          
28–30 August 2022 Novus
SVT
21 18–24 18–25 17–26 16–27
26–30 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
21 18–24 17–24 16–25 15–27
27–29 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
18 16–21 16–21 15–22 14–23
26–29 August 2022 SKOP          
27–29 August 2022 Novus
SVT
         
21–29 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
19 17–21 16–22 16–22 15–23
26–28 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
19 17–21 16–22 16–22 15–24
24–28 August 2022 SKOP 19 16–21 16–22 15–23 0–24
26–28 August 2022 Novus
SVT
18 15–21 15–21 0–22 0–24
25–27 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
23–27 August 2022 SKOP          
25–27 August 2022 Novus
SVT
         
24–26 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
22–26 August 2022 SKOP          
24–26 August 2022 Novus
SVT
         
23–25 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
20 18–23 17–23 17–24 16–25
21–25 August 2022 SKOP 17 14–20 14–21 0–22 0–23
23–25 August 2022 Novus
SVT
17 15–19 0–20 0–21 0–23
22–24 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
19 17–21 17–22 16–22 15–23
20–24 August 2022 SKOP 20 17–23 16–24 16–25 0–27
22–24 August 2022 Novus
SVT
17 14–19 0–20 0–21 0–22
16–24 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
18 16–20 15–21 14–22 0–23
21–23 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
17 15–19 0–20 0–20 0–21
19–23 August 2022 SKOP 21 18–24 17–25 16–26 15–28
21–23 August 2022 Novus
SVT
17 15–20 0–20 0–21 0–22
20–22 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
20 18–22 17–23 16–23 16–25
20–22 August 2022 Novus
SVT
17 15–20 14–21 0–22 0–23
19–21 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
18–21 August 2022 SKOP 21 18–24 17–25 16–26 15–28
19–21 August 2022 Novus
SVT
         
16–21 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
17 15–20 15–20 14–21 0–22
18–20 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
20 17–22 16–23 16–24 15–26
17–19 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
19 16–21 16–21 15–22 0–24
16–18 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
19 17–22 16–22 15–23 14–24
15–17 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
20 18–22 17–23 17–23 16–25
14–16 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
19 17–22 17–22 16–23 15–24
6–16 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
19 16–20 16–21 15–22 14–23
13–15 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
20 18–22 17–23 17–24 16–25
12–14 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
20 18–23 17–23 16–24 16–25
8–14 August 2022 Novus
SVT
16 0–18 0–19 0–19 0–21
11–13 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
16 0–18 0–19 0–20 0–21
10–12 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
16 0–18 0–19 0–20 0–21
9–11 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
17 0–19 0–20 0–20 0–21
1–7 August 2022 Novus
SVT
19 17–21 16–22 15–22 0–23
24 July–2 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
17 15–19 15–20 0–20 0–21
8–11 July 2022 SKOP 0 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–19
22–30 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
17 15–19 15–20 14–21 0–22
6–26 June 2022 Novus
SVT
0 0 0–14 0–15 0–16
7–19 June 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0 0 0 0–15
6–16 June 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
0 0 0 0 0
31 May–9 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
0 0–16 0–16 0–17 0–18
9 May–5 June 2022 Novus
SVT
0 0 0 0 0–15
28 April–25 May 2022 SCB 0 0 0 0 0
10–22 May 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0 0 0 0–16
2–12 May 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
0 0 0 0 0
4–10 May 2022 Infostat 0 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–19
26 April–4 May 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
0 0 0 0 0–15
4 April–1 May 2022 Novus
SVT
0 0 0 0 0–15
12–26 April 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
15 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
11–21 April 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
0 0 0 0 0
6–14 April 2022 SKOP 0 0 0 0–15 0–16
29 March–5 April 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
0 0–14 0–15 0–16 0–17
7 March–3 April 2022 Novus
SVT
0 0 0 0 0–15
15–27 March 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0 0 0 0–15
7–17 March 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
0 0 0 0 0
1–9 March 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
0 0 0 0 0
31 January–27 February 2022 Novus
SVT
0 0 0 0 0–15
8–20 February 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0 0 0 0–16
7–17 February 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
0 0 0–15 0–15 0–16
11–14 February 2022 SKOP 0 0 0–15 0–16 0–18
1–8 February 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
0 0 0 0 0
3–30 January 2022 Novus
SVT
0 0 0–15 0–15 0–16
11–24 January 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0 0 0 0–15
10–20 January 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
0 0 0 0 0
28 December 2021–5 January 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
0 0 0 0 0
6 December 2021–2 January 2022 Novus
SVT
0 0 0–15 0–16 0–17
7–20 December 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
15 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
6–16 December 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
0 0 0 0 0
30 November–8 December 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
0 0 0 0–15 0–16
8 November–5 December 2021 Novus
SVT
0 0–15 0–15 0–16 0–17
28 October–25 November 2021 SCB 0 0–15 0–15 0–16 0–16
9–22 November 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
15 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
8–18 November 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
0 0 0–15 0–15 0–15
5–11 November 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
0 0 0–15 0–15 0–16
4–31 October 2021 Novus
SVT
17 16–19 16–20 15–20 0–21
12–25 October 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
19 16–21 15–22 15–23 0–24
15–17 October 2021 SKOP 17 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–23
4–14 October 2021 Sifo          
29 September–6 October 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
         
30 August–3 October 2021 Novus
SVT
         
14–26 September 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
         
6–16 September 2021 Sifo          
3–11 September 2021 SKOP          
31 August–8 September 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
         
2–29 August 2021 Novus
SVT
         
10–23 August 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
         
9–18 August 2021 Sifo          
2–5 August 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
0 0 0–15 0–16 0–17
19–26 July 2021 Novus
SVT
0 0–15 0–16 0–17 0–18
19–23 July 2021 SKOP 0 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
29 June–7 July 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
0 0 0–15 0–15 0–16
23–28 June 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
0 0 0–15 0–15 0–16
21–27 June 2021 Novus
SVT
0 0–14 0–15 0–16 0–17
8–20 June 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0 0 0 0–15
7–17 June 2021 Sifo 0 0 0 0 0–15
3 May–6 June 2021 Novus
SVT
15 0–17 0–17 0–17 0–18
26 May–2 June 2021 Demoskop 0 0 0–15 0–16 0–17
28 April–27 May 2021 SCB 0 0–15 0–15 0–15 0–16
11–23 May 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–20
3–13 May 2021 Sifo 15 0–16 0–16 0–16 0–17
28 April–5 May 2021 Demoskop 15 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–19
5 April–2 May 2021 Novus
SVT
15 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–18
13–25 April 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0–16 0–17 0–18 0–19
5–15 April 2021 Sifo 16 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–18
30 March–7 April 2021 Demoskop 0 0 0 0–15 0–16
1 March–4 April 2021 Novus
SVT
17 15–18 15–19 15–19 0–20
9–21 March 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0–18 0–18 0–18 0–20
1–11 March 2021 Sifo 15 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–18
26 February–3 March 2021 Demoskop 0 0 0 0 0–15
1–28 February 2021 Novus
SVT
16 0–18 0–19 0–19 0–20
19–23 February 2021 SKOP 15 0–18 0–19 0–20 0–22
9–21 February 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
15 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–20
1–11 February 2021 Sifo 0 0 0 0–15 0–15
26 January–3 February 2021 Demoskop 0 0–15 0–15 0–16 0–17
11–31 January 2021 Novus
SVT
15 0–17 0–17 0–18 0–19
13–25 January 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
15 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
11–21 January 2021 Sifo 0 0–15 0–15 0–15 0–16
29 December 2020–11 January 2021 Demoskop 18 16–21 16–22 15–22 0–23
7 December 2020–10 January 2021 Novus
SVT
0 0–17 0–17 0–18 0–18
1–13 December 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
17 16–21 16–21 15–22 0–23
30 November–10 December 2020 Sifo 0 0 0–15 0–15 0–16
9 November–6 December 2020 Novus
SVT
15 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–18
30 November–3 December 2020 SKOP 0 0–18 0–19 0–20 0–21
26 November–2 December 2020 Demoskop 0 0–15 0–16 0–16 0–17
2–26 November 2020 SCB 15 0–17 0–17 0–18 0–18
10–22 November 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
15 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–20
2–11 November 2020 Sifo 15 0–19 0–19 0–20 0–21
12 October–8 November 2020 Novus
SVT
0 0–16 0–16 0–17 0–18
27 October–4 November 2020 Demoskop 0 0–15 0–15 0–15 0–17
23–26 October 2020 SKOP 0 0 0–15 0–16 0–17
13–25 October 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
18 16–20 15–21 14–22 0–24
5–15 October 2020 Sifo 16 15–17 0–17 0–18 0–18
14 September–11 October 2020 Novus
SVT
19 17–21 17–21 16–22 16–22
1–7 October 2020 Demoskop 0 0 0–15 0–16 0–17
8–21 September 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
7–17 September 2020 Sifo 0 0–15 0–16 0–16 0–17
24 August–13 September 2020 Novus
SVT
16 0–18 0–18 0–19 0–20
25 August–1 September 2020 Demoskop 0 0 0 0–15 0–16
3–23 August 2020 Novus
SVT
0 0–15 0–16 0–16 0–17
11–23 August 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
15 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
10–20 August 2020 Sifo 0 0 0–14 0–15 0–15
28 July–4 August 2020 Demoskop 0 0 0–15 0–15 0–16
23–28 July 2020 SKOP 0 0–15 0–16 0–17 0–18
30 June–7 July 2020 Demoskop 15 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–19
25 May–21 June 2020 Novus
SVT
0 0 0 0–15 0–16
12–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0 0 0 0–16
1–11 June 2020 Sifo 0 0 0 0 0–15
26 May–3 June 2020 Demoskop 0 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–18
31 May–2 June 2020 SKOP 0 0–17 0–17 0–18 0–20
29 April–27 May 2020 SCB 15 0–16 0–16 0–17 0–17
27 April–24 May 2020 Novus
SVT
15 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–18
12–24 May 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
15 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–20
4–14 May 2020 Sifo 0 0–15 0–16 0–16 0–17
30 April–8 May 2020 SKOP 0 0 0 0 0–14
28 April–5 May 2020 Demoskop 0 0 0 0–15 0–16
14–26 April 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
15 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
30 March–19 April 2020 Novus
SVT
0 0–15 0–16 0–16 0–17
30 March–8 April 2020 Sifo 0 0 0 0 0–15
25 March–1 April 2020 Demoskop 15 0–17 0–17 0–18 0–19
24 February–22 March 2020 Novus
SVT
16 15–17 15–18 14–19 0–20
10–20 March 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
14 0–17 0–17 0–17 0–19
2–12 March 2020 Sifo 14 0–15 0–16 0–16 0–17
25 February–3 March 2020 Demoskop 0 0 0 0 0–15
11–23 February 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
18 16–21 15–22 14–22 0–24
27 January–16 February 2020 Novus
SVT
16 15–18 0–19 0–19 0–20
3–13 February 2020 Sifo 15 0–16 0–16 0–16 0–17
25 January–5 February 2020 Demoskop 0 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–18
14–27 January 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
14 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–20
7–26 January 2020 Novus
SVT
17 16–19 15–19 14–19 0–20
14–24 January 2020 SKOP 15 0–18 0–19 0–20 0–21
6–16 January 2020 Sifo 16 15–18 15–18 15–18 0–19
30 December 2019–7 January 2020 Demoskop 18 16–20 15–20 15–21 0–22
18 November–15 December 2019 Novus
SVT
18 17–20 16–20 16–21 15–22
3–15 December 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
18 15–20 15–21 14–22 0–23
2–12 December 2019 Sifo 17 16–18 15–18 15–19 15–19
26 November–4 December 2019 Demoskop 16 0–18 0–19 0–19 0–21
28 October–26 November 2019 SCB 18 17–20 16–21 16–21 15–22
11–24 November 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
18 15–21 15–21 0–22 0–24
21 October–17 November 2019 Novus
SVT
18 16–20 16–20 15–20 0–21
4–14 November 2019 Sifo 17 16–18 16–19 16–19 15–19
4–13 November 2019 Demoskop 18 15–20 15–21 0–21 0–22
8–21 October 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
18 16–21 15–22 0–22 0–24
23 September–20 October 2019 Novus
SVT
18 17–20 16–21 16–21 15–22
7–17 October 2019 Sifo 19 17–20 17–20 17–21 16–21
8–14 October 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
15 0–18 0–18 0–19 0–20
24 September–1 October 2019 Demoskop 18 16–21 15–22 15–22 0–24
20–25 September 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
16 0–18 0–18 0–19 0–20
10–23 September 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
18 15–20 14–21 14–22 0–23
26 August–22 September 2019 Novus
SVT
18 16–20 16–21 16–21 15–22
2–12 September 2019 Sifo 18 17–20 17–20 17–20 16–21
27 August–3 September 2019 Demoskop 18 15–20 15–21 0–21 0–22
22–28 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
15 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–20
5–25 August 2019 Novus
SVT
20 19–23 18–23 17–24 16–25
13–25 August 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
21 19–24 18–25 18–26 16–27
6–15 August 2019 Sifo 18 17–19 16–20 16–20 15–20
1–8 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
0 0–15 0–16 0–16 0–17
25 June–16 July 2019 SKOP 17 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–23
24 June–1 July 2019 Demoskop 19 17–22 16–23 16–24 14–25
17–24 June 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
18 16–21 16–22 15–22 0–23
3–23 June 2019 Novus
SVT
22 20–23 19–24 18–25 17–26
4–18 June 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
18 16–20 15–21 15–22 0–23
3–13 June 2019 Sifo 18 17–19 17–19 16–20 16–20
27 May–3 June 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
19 16–21 15–22 14–23 0–25
6 May–2 June 2019 Novus
SVT
20 18–22 18–22 17–23 16–24
29 April–28 May 2019 SCB 21 20–22 19–22 19–23 19–23
21–28 May 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
16 0–19 0–19 0–20 0–21
6–21 May 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–19
6–16 May 2019 Sifo 17 15–17 15–18 15–18 0–19
10–15 May 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
35 32–37 32–39 31–40 30–40
29 April–7 May 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
16 0–18 0–19 0–20 0–21
8 April–5 May 2019 Novus
SVT
17 15–19 15–19 0–20 0–21
22–29 April 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
0 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–19
9–22 April 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
15 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
1–11 April 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
17 16–18 15–18 15–19 15–19
26 March–3 April 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
17 0–19 0–20 0–20 0–22
4–31 March 2019 Novus
SVT
0 0 0–15 0–15 0–16
23–28 March 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
16 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–19
7–27 March 2019 SKOP 0 0 0 0–15 0–16
12–25 March 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
14 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–20
3–14 March 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
0 0–15 0–15 0–15 0–16
26 February–5 March 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
15 0–18 0–18 0–19 0–20
4 February–3 March 2019 Novus
SVT
15 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–18
7–20 February 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
15 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–20
11–18 February 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
0 0–15 0–15 0–16 0–17
4–14 February 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
16 14–17 0–17 0–18 0–18
29 January–5 February 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
0 0 0 0–14 0–16
14 January–3 February 2019 Novus
SVT
0 0 0 0–15 0–16
16–23 January 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
0 0–16 0–16 0–17 0–18
10–20 January 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
14 0–17 0–17 0–18 0–19
14–17 January 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
0 0–16 0–16 0–17 0–17
3–17 January 2019 SKOP 0 0 0–14 0–16 0–17
2–13 January 2019 Novus
SVT
0 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–18
2–8 January 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
0 0–16 0–16 0–17 0–19
19–26 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
15 0–18 0–18 0–18 0–20
12 November–16 December 2018 Novus
SVT
14 0–16 0–16 0–17 0–17
5–16 December 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0–16 0–17 0–18 0–20
3–13 December 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
15 0–16 0–16 0–17 0–17
4–12 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
0 0–16 0–16 0–17 0–18
27 November–4 December 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
15 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
29 October–27 November 2018 SCB 0 0–16 0–16 0–16 0–17
8–19 November 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
15 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–20
14–19 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
0 0–15 0–15 0–16 0–17
5–15 November 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
15 0–15 0–16 0–16 0–16
15 October–11 November 2018 Novus
SVT
16 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–18
26 October–6 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
0 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–18
30 October–6 November 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
15 0–18 0–19 0–20 0–21
16–24 October 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
17 14–20 0–21 0–22 0–23
8–18 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
15 0–15 0–16 0–16 0–17
1–8 October 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
15 0–18 0–18 0–19 0–20
1–4 October 2018 Novus
SVT
16 0–18 0–18 0–19 0–20
24 September–2 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
15 0–16 0–17 0–17 0–17
25 September–2 October 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
0 0–15 0–15 0–16 0–17

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Miljöpartiet de gröna.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 0% 96%  
9 0% 96%  
10 0% 96%  
11 0% 96%  
12 0% 96%  
13 0% 96%  
14 1.1% 96%  
15 4% 95%  
16 6% 91% Last Result
17 6% 85%  
18 6% 79%  
19 11% 73%  
20 9% 62%  
21 9% 53% Median
22 9% 44%  
23 7% 35%  
24 8% 28%  
25 8% 20%  
26 3% 12%  
27 2% 9%  
28 4% 6%  
29 2% 2%  
30 0.5% 0.9%  
31 0.1% 0.4%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%