Sverigedemokraterna

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 17.5% (General Election of 9 September 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 20.6% 19.1–22.0% 18.6–22.4% 18.3–22.7% 17.6–23.5%
6–9 September 2022 SKOP 19.3% 18.2–20.5% 17.8–20.8% 17.6–21.1% 17.0–21.7%
6–9 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 21.0% 19.8–22.2% 19.5–22.5% 19.3–22.8% 18.7–23.4%
1–9 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 20.5% 19.5–21.6% 19.2–21.9% 18.9–22.2% 18.4–22.7%
6–8 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 20.7% 19.7–21.8% 19.4–22.2% 19.1–22.4% 18.7–23.0%
5–8 September 2022 SKOP 19.4% 18.2–20.7% 17.9–21.1% 17.6–21.4% 17.0–22.1%
6–8 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 21.2% 19.9–22.6% 19.5–23.0% 19.2–23.4% 18.6–24.0%
5–7 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 20.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 September 2022 SKOP 19.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 20.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–6 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 21.0% 20.0–22.2% 19.6–22.5% 19.4–22.8% 18.9–23.3%
3–6 September 2022 SKOP 19.7% 18.4–21.1% 18.0–21.5% 17.7–21.9% 17.1–22.6%
4–6 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 20.6% 19.3–22.0% 18.9–22.4% 18.6–22.7% 18.0–23.4%
1–6 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 20.4% 19.2–21.7% 18.9–22.1% 18.6–22.4% 18.0–23.0%
3–5 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 20.0% 18.9–21.2% 18.6–21.5% 18.3–21.8% 17.8–22.4%
2–5 September 2022 SKOP 18.5% 17.1–20.1% 16.7–20.5% 16.4–20.9% 15.7–21.7%
3–5 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 19.9% 18.7–21.3% 18.3–21.7% 18.0–22.0% 17.4–22.7%
2–4 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.6% 18.4–20.8% 18.1–21.1% 17.9–21.4% 17.3–22.0%
1 August–4 September 2022 SKOP 18.8% 17.4–20.3% 17.0–20.8% 16.6–21.2% 16.0–21.9%
2–4 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 20.0% 18.7–21.4% 18.4–21.8% 18.0–22.1% 17.5–22.8%
31 August–4 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 20.5% 19.4–21.6% 19.1–21.9% 18.8–22.2% 18.3–22.8%
1–3 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.4% 18.2–20.6% 17.9–21.0% 17.6–21.3% 17.1–21.9%
31 August–3 September 2022 SKOP 18.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–3 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 19.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–2 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 20.1% 19.0–21.3% 18.6–21.7% 18.4–22.0% 17.8–22.6%
30 August–2 September 2022 SKOP 18.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–2 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 20.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 August–1 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 20.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 August–1 September 2022 SKOP 18.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 August–1 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 20.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–31 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 20.6% 19.4–21.8% 19.1–22.1% 18.9–22.4% 18.3–23.0%
28–31 August 2022 SKOP 18.8% 17.4–20.3% 17.0–20.8% 16.7–21.2% 16.0–21.9%
29–31 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 20.0% 18.7–21.4% 18.4–21.8% 18.0–22.1% 17.5–22.8%
28–30 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–30 August 2022 SKOP 19.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–30 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 19.6% 18.3–21.0% 18.0–21.4% 17.7–21.7% 17.1–22.4%
26–30 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 22.2% 20.8–23.7% 20.3–24.2% 20.0–24.6% 19.3–25.3%
27–29 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 20.9% 19.7–22.1% 19.4–22.4% 19.1–22.7% 18.6–23.3%
26–29 August 2022 SKOP 18.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–29 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 20.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–29 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 20.6% 19.5–21.7% 19.2–22.0% 18.9–22.3% 18.4–22.9%
26–28 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.4% 18.3–20.6% 18.0–20.9% 17.7–21.2% 17.2–21.8%
24–28 August 2022 SKOP 18.6% 17.3–20.0% 16.9–20.4% 16.6–20.8% 16.0–21.5%
26–28 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 20.6% 19.3–22.0% 18.9–22.4% 18.6–22.7% 18.0–23.4%
25–27 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–27 August 2022 SKOP 18.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 21.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–26 August 2022 SKOP 18.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 22.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–25 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.8% 18.7–20.9% 18.4–21.2% 18.2–21.5% 17.7–22.1%
21–25 August 2022 SKOP 18.6% 17.3–20.0% 16.9–20.4% 16.6–20.7% 16.0–21.4%
23–25 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 22.8% 21.4–24.2% 21.1–24.6% 20.7–25.0% 20.1–25.7%
22–24 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 20.3% 19.3–21.4% 19.0–21.7% 18.8–22.0% 18.3–22.5%
20–24 August 2022 SKOP 18.8% 17.3–20.4% 16.9–20.8% 16.6–21.2% 15.9–22.0%
22–24 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 22.4% 21.1–23.8% 20.7–24.2% 20.4–24.6% 19.7–25.3%
16–24 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 20.7% 19.4–22.0% 19.1–22.4% 18.8–22.7% 18.2–23.4%
21–23 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.2% 18.1–20.3% 17.8–20.6% 17.6–20.9% 17.1–21.4%
19–23 August 2022 SKOP 18.0% 16.6–19.6% 16.2–20.0% 15.8–20.4% 15.2–21.1%
21–23 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 22.0% 20.7–23.4% 20.3–23.8% 20.0–24.2% 19.3–24.9%
20–22 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.0% 18.0–20.1% 17.7–20.4% 17.4–20.7% 16.9–21.2%
20–22 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 21.4% 20.1–22.8% 19.7–23.2% 19.4–23.5% 18.8–24.2%
19–21 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 18.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 August 2022 SKOP 19.3% 17.8–20.9% 17.4–21.3% 17.0–21.7% 16.4–22.5%
19–21 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 21.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–21 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 18.7% 17.7–19.8% 17.4–20.1% 17.1–20.4% 16.7–20.9%
18–20 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 16.8% 15.6–18.0% 15.3–18.4% 15.0–18.7% 14.5–19.3%
17–19 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 16.9% 15.8–18.1% 15.5–18.4% 15.2–18.7% 14.7–19.3%
16–18 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 16.1% 15.0–17.3% 14.7–17.7% 14.4–18.0% 13.9–18.5%
15–17 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 17.1% 16.1–18.2% 15.8–18.5% 15.6–18.8% 15.1–19.3%
14–16 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 17.4% 16.4–18.6% 16.1–18.9% 15.8–19.2% 15.3–19.7%
6–16 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 18.4% 17.3–19.5% 17.1–19.8% 16.8–20.1% 16.3–20.6%
13–15 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 17.6% 16.5–18.7% 16.2–19.1% 16.0–19.3% 15.5–19.9%
12–14 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 16.9% 15.8–18.0% 15.5–18.4% 15.3–18.6% 14.8–19.2%
8–14 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 18.8% 17.7–20.0% 17.5–20.3% 17.2–20.6% 16.7–21.1%
11–13 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 17.4% 16.3–18.6% 16.0–18.9% 15.8–19.2% 15.3–19.8%
10–12 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 17.3% 16.2–18.5% 15.9–18.8% 15.7–19.1% 15.2–19.6%
9–11 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 16.5% 15.4–17.6% 15.1–18.0% 14.8–18.3% 14.3–18.9%
1–7 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 18.6% 17.5–19.8% 17.2–20.1% 16.9–20.4% 16.4–21.0%
24 July–2 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 17.7% 16.7–18.8% 16.4–19.1% 16.2–19.4% 15.7–19.9%
8–11 July 2022 SKOP 16.6% 15.1–18.1% 14.7–18.6% 14.4–19.0% 13.7–19.8%
22–30 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 16.3% 15.3–17.4% 15.0–17.6% 14.8–17.9% 14.3–18.4%
6–26 June 2022 Novus
SVT		 17.4% 16.5–18.4% 16.3–18.6% 16.0–18.9% 15.6–19.3%
7–19 June 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 19.0% 17.8–20.3% 17.5–20.7% 17.2–21.0% 16.6–21.6%
6–16 June 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 17.4% 16.9–17.9% 16.7–18.1% 16.6–18.2% 16.4–18.4%
31 May–9 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 16.9% 15.9–18.0% 15.6–18.3% 15.3–18.5% 14.9–19.1%
9 May–5 June 2022 Novus
SVT		 18.0% 17.2–18.8% 17.0–19.1% 16.8–19.3% 16.4–19.7%
28 April–25 May 2022 SCB 17.0% 16.5–17.5% 16.4–17.7% 16.3–17.8% 16.0–18.0%
10–22 May 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 18.0% 16.8–19.3% 16.4–19.6% 16.1–20.0% 15.6–20.6%
2–12 May 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 18.1% 17.5–18.7% 17.3–18.9% 17.2–19.0% 16.9–19.3%
4–10 May 2022 Infostat 21.0% 19.8–22.3% 19.4–22.7% 19.1–23.0% 18.5–23.7%
26 April–4 May 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 16.8% 15.8–17.9% 15.5–18.2% 15.3–18.5% 14.8–19.0%
4 April–1 May 2022 Novus
SVT		 17.9% 17.1–18.8% 16.9–19.0% 16.7–19.2% 16.3–19.6%
12–26 April 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 18.0% 16.8–19.3% 16.5–19.7% 16.2–20.0% 15.6–20.7%
11–21 April 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 18.2% 17.6–18.8% 17.5–18.9% 17.3–19.1% 17.1–19.4%
6–14 April 2022 SKOP 15.6% 14.2–17.2% 13.8–17.6% 13.5–18.0% 12.9–18.8%
29 March–5 April 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 17.0% 16.0–18.1% 15.7–18.4% 15.5–18.6% 15.0–19.2%
7 March–3 April 2022 Novus
SVT		 18.7% 17.9–19.5% 17.7–19.8% 17.5–20.0% 17.1–20.3%
15–27 March 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 18.9% 17.7–20.3% 17.4–20.6% 17.1–21.0% 16.5–21.6%
7–17 March 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 18.6% 18.0–19.2% 17.9–19.4% 17.7–19.6% 17.4–19.9%
1–9 March 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 17.5% 16.5–18.6% 16.2–18.9% 16.0–19.2% 15.5–19.7%
31 January–27 February 2022 Novus
SVT		 19.4% 18.4–20.4% 18.1–20.7% 17.8–21.0% 17.4–21.5%
8–20 February 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 20.0% 18.8–21.3% 18.4–21.7% 18.1–22.0% 17.6–22.6%
7–17 February 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.3% 18.6–19.9% 18.4–20.1% 18.3–20.3% 18.0–20.6%
11–14 February 2022 SKOP 19.0% 17.4–20.6% 17.0–21.1% 16.7–21.5% 16.0–22.3%
1–8 February 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 19.2% 18.2–20.2% 17.9–20.5% 17.7–20.8% 17.2–21.3%
3–30 January 2022 Novus
SVT		 19.8% 19.0–20.7% 18.7–20.9% 18.5–21.1% 18.2–21.5%
11–24 January 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 18.0% 16.8–19.3% 16.5–19.6% 16.2–19.9% 15.7–20.6%
10–20 January 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.2% 18.6–19.8% 18.4–20.0% 18.3–20.2% 18.0–20.5%
28 December 2021–5 January 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 17.8% 16.8–18.8% 16.6–19.1% 16.3–19.4% 15.9–19.9%
6 December 2021–2 January 2022 Novus
SVT		 20.1% 19.0–21.3% 18.7–21.6% 18.4–21.9% 17.9–22.5%
7–20 December 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 20.0% 18.7–21.3% 18.4–21.7% 18.1–22.0% 17.5–22.7%
6–16 December 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.7% 19.1–20.4% 18.9–20.6% 18.7–20.7% 18.4–21.0%
30 November–8 December 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 18.7% 17.7–19.7% 17.4–20.0% 17.2–20.3% 16.7–20.8%
8 November–5 December 2021 Novus
SVT		 19.0% 18.2–19.8% 18.0–20.0% 17.8–20.2% 17.5–20.6%
28 October–25 November 2021 SCB 18.6% 18.1–19.1% 17.9–19.3% 17.8–19.4% 17.6–19.7%
9–22 November 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 20.2% 18.9–21.5% 18.6–21.9% 18.3–22.2% 17.7–22.9%
8–18 November 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 20.3% 19.6–21.0% 19.4–21.2% 19.3–21.4% 19.0–21.7%
5–11 November 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 18.7% 17.7–19.8% 17.4–20.1% 17.2–20.3% 16.7–20.9%
4–31 October 2021 Novus
SVT		 19.1% 18.3–20.0% 18.0–20.2% 17.8–20.4% 17.5–20.8%
12–25 October 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 20.0% 18.7–21.3% 18.4–21.7% 18.1–22.0% 17.5–22.7%
15–17 October 2021 SKOP 19.9% 18.3–21.6% 17.9–22.0% 17.5–22.5% 16.8–23.3%
4–14 October 2021 Sifo 19.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 September–6 October 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 20.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 August–3 October 2021 Novus
SVT		 19.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–26 September 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 21.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–16 September 2021 Sifo 19.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–11 September 2021 SKOP 18.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–8 September 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 20.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–29 August 2021 Novus
SVT		 19.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–23 August 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 20.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–18 August 2021 Sifo 20.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–5 August 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 19.9% 18.9–21.0% 18.6–21.3% 18.3–21.5% 17.9–22.1%
19–26 July 2021 Novus
SVT		 21.6% 20.6–22.7% 20.3–23.0% 20.0–23.3% 19.5–23.8%
19–23 July 2021 SKOP 19.4% 17.9–21.1% 17.5–21.6% 17.1–22.0% 16.4–22.8%
29 June–7 July 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 19.3% 18.4–20.2% 18.2–20.5% 18.0–20.7% 17.6–21.2%
23–28 June 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 18.2% 17.2–19.3% 16.9–19.6% 16.6–19.9% 16.1–20.4%
21–27 June 2021 Novus
SVT		 21.3% 20.3–22.4% 20.0–22.7% 19.7–23.0% 19.2–23.5%
8–20 June 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 19.0% 17.8–20.3% 17.4–20.7% 17.1–21.0% 16.6–21.7%
7–17 June 2021 Sifo 20.2% 19.6–20.9% 19.4–21.0% 19.2–21.2% 18.9–21.5%
3 May–6 June 2021 Novus
SVT		 19.2% 18.5–20.0% 18.3–20.2% 18.1–20.3% 17.8–20.7%
26 May–2 June 2021 Demoskop 19.2% 18.2–20.2% 17.9–20.4% 17.7–20.7% 17.3–21.2%
28 April–27 May 2021 SCB 18.9% 18.4–19.4% 18.2–19.6% 18.1–19.7% 17.8–20.0%
11–23 May 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 19.8% 18.6–21.2% 18.2–21.6% 17.9–21.9% 17.3–22.6%
3–13 May 2021 Sifo 18.8% 18.3–19.3% 18.1–19.5% 18.0–19.6% 17.7–19.9%
28 April–5 May 2021 Demoskop 19.0% 18.1–20.0% 17.8–20.3% 17.6–20.6% 17.1–21.0%
5 April–2 May 2021 Novus
SVT		 18.1% 17.3–19.0% 17.1–19.2% 16.9–19.4% 16.6–19.8%
13–25 April 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 19.0% 17.9–20.1% 17.6–20.5% 17.3–20.7% 16.8–21.3%
5–15 April 2021 Sifo 18.9% 18.3–19.5% 18.1–19.7% 18.0–19.8% 17.7–20.1%
30 March–7 April 2021 Demoskop 19.2% 18.2–20.2% 18.0–20.5% 17.7–20.8% 17.3–21.2%
1 March–4 April 2021 Novus
SVT		 18.7% 18.0–19.4% 17.8–19.6% 17.6–19.8% 17.3–20.2%
9–21 March 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 20.0% 18.7–21.4% 18.4–21.7% 18.1–22.1% 17.5–22.7%
1–11 March 2021 Sifo 18.4% 17.8–19.0% 17.7–19.1% 17.5–19.3% 17.3–19.6%
26 February–3 March 2021 Demoskop 18.2% 17.2–19.3% 16.9–19.6% 16.7–19.9% 16.2–20.4%
1–28 February 2021 Novus
SVT		 17.9% 17.1–18.7% 16.9–19.0% 16.7–19.2% 16.3–19.6%
19–23 February 2021 SKOP 15.5% 14.1–17.1% 13.7–17.5% 13.4–17.9% 12.7–18.7%
9–21 February 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 19.0% 17.7–20.3% 17.4–20.7% 17.1–21.1% 16.5–21.7%
1–11 February 2021 Sifo 18.8% 18.2–19.4% 18.0–19.6% 17.9–19.8% 17.6–20.1%
26 January–3 February 2021 Demoskop 18.3% 17.3–19.4% 17.0–19.7% 16.7–20.0% 16.3–20.5%
11–31 January 2021 Novus
SVT		 18.1% 17.2–19.1% 17.0–19.3% 16.8–19.6% 16.3–20.0%
13–25 January 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 19.0% 17.8–20.3% 17.4–20.7% 17.1–21.1% 16.5–21.7%
11–21 January 2021 Sifo 18.6% 18.0–19.2% 17.8–19.4% 17.7–19.5% 17.4–19.8%
29 December 2020–11 January 2021 Demoskop 19.5% 18.4–20.6% 18.1–21.0% 17.8–21.2% 17.3–21.8%
7 December 2020–10 January 2021 Novus
SVT		 19.4% 18.5–20.4% 18.2–20.7% 18.0–20.9% 17.5–21.4%
1–13 December 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 20.0% 18.7–21.4% 18.4–21.7% 18.0–22.1% 17.5–22.7%
30 November–10 December 2020 Sifo 18.9% 18.3–19.5% 18.1–19.7% 18.0–19.8% 17.7–20.1%
9 November–6 December 2020 Novus
SVT		 18.5% 17.7–19.3% 17.5–19.6% 17.3–19.8% 16.9–20.2%
30 November–3 December 2020 SKOP 18.2% 16.7–19.9% 16.3–20.3% 16.0–20.7% 15.3–21.6%
26 November–2 December 2020 Demoskop 19.6% 18.5–20.7% 18.2–21.0% 18.0–21.3% 17.5–21.8%
2–26 November 2020 SCB 17.6% 16.9–18.3% 16.7–18.5% 16.5–18.7% 16.2–19.1%
10–22 November 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 20.0% 18.7–21.4% 18.3–21.8% 18.0–22.1% 17.4–22.8%
2–11 November 2020 Sifo 19.9% 18.6–21.3% 18.3–21.7% 18.0–22.0% 17.4–22.6%
12 October–8 November 2020 Novus
SVT		 19.4% 18.6–20.3% 18.4–20.5% 18.2–20.7% 17.8–21.1%
27 October–4 November 2020 Demoskop 19.9% 18.8–21.0% 18.5–21.3% 18.2–21.6% 17.7–22.1%
23–26 October 2020 SKOP 17.8% 16.3–19.4% 15.9–19.9% 15.5–20.3% 14.9–21.1%
13–25 October 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 20.0% 18.7–21.4% 18.3–21.8% 18.0–22.1% 17.4–22.8%
5–15 October 2020 Sifo 20.2% 19.6–20.8% 19.4–21.0% 19.3–21.1% 19.0–21.4%
14 September–11 October 2020 Novus
SVT		 19.2% 18.4–20.0% 18.2–20.3% 18.0–20.5% 17.6–20.9%
1–7 October 2020 Demoskop 19.9% 18.9–20.9% 18.7–21.2% 18.4–21.5% 18.0–21.9%
8–21 September 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 20.0% 18.7–21.4% 18.4–21.7% 18.0–22.1% 17.5–22.7%
7–17 September 2020 Sifo 19.8% 19.1–20.5% 18.9–20.8% 18.7–20.9% 18.4–21.3%
24 August–13 September 2020 Novus
SVT		 19.6% 18.7–20.5% 18.4–20.8% 18.2–21.0% 17.8–21.5%
25 August–1 September 2020 Demoskop 21.6% 20.5–22.7% 20.2–23.0% 20.0–23.3% 19.5–23.9%
3–23 August 2020 Novus
SVT		 19.4% 18.6–20.3% 18.4–20.5% 18.2–20.7% 17.8–21.1%
11–23 August 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 21.0% 19.7–22.4% 19.3–22.8% 19.0–23.1% 18.4–23.8%
10–20 August 2020 Sifo 19.7% 19.0–20.4% 18.8–20.6% 18.7–20.7% 18.3–21.1%
28 July–4 August 2020 Demoskop 20.5% 19.5–21.6% 19.3–21.8% 19.0–22.1% 18.6–22.6%
23–28 July 2020 SKOP 17.9% 16.4–19.6% 16.0–20.0% 15.7–20.4% 15.0–21.2%
30 June–7 July 2020 Demoskop 19.7% 18.6–20.8% 18.3–21.1% 18.1–21.4% 17.6–21.9%
25 May–21 June 2020 Novus
SVT		 18.4% 17.6–19.2% 17.4–19.5% 17.2–19.7% 16.8–20.1%
12–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 20.0% 18.7–21.4% 18.4–21.7% 18.0–22.1% 17.4–22.8%
1–11 June 2020 Sifo 18.9% 18.3–19.5% 18.2–19.7% 18.0–19.8% 17.8–20.1%
26 May–3 June 2020 Demoskop 19.3% 18.3–20.3% 18.0–20.7% 17.8–20.9% 17.3–21.4%
31 May–2 June 2020 SKOP 17.0% 15.5–18.6% 15.2–19.1% 14.8–19.4% 14.1–20.2%
29 April–27 May 2020 SCB 17.1% 16.6–17.6% 16.5–17.8% 16.3–17.9% 16.1–18.1%
27 April–24 May 2020 Novus
SVT		 18.0% 17.2–18.8% 17.0–19.0% 16.8–19.2% 16.5–19.6%
12–24 May 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 19.8% 18.5–21.2% 18.2–21.6% 17.9–21.9% 17.3–22.5%
4–14 May 2020 Sifo 18.8% 18.3–19.4% 18.1–19.6% 18.0–19.8% 17.7–20.0%
30 April–8 May 2020 SKOP 16.3% 14.9–17.9% 14.5–18.3% 14.1–18.7% 13.5–19.5%
28 April–5 May 2020 Demoskop 18.8% 17.8–19.9% 17.5–20.2% 17.3–20.5% 16.8–21.0%
14–26 April 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 21.0% 19.7–22.4% 19.3–22.8% 19.0–23.1% 18.4–23.8%
30 March–19 April 2020 Novus
SVT		 19.7% 18.9–20.5% 18.7–20.8% 18.5–21.0% 18.1–21.4%
30 March–8 April 2020 Sifo 19.5% 18.9–20.1% 18.7–20.3% 18.6–20.5% 18.3–20.8%
25 March–1 April 2020 Demoskop 20.8% 19.8–21.9% 19.5–22.2% 19.2–22.5% 18.7–23.0%
24 February–22 March 2020 Novus
SVT		 22.0% 21.1–22.9% 20.9–23.1% 20.7–23.4% 20.3–23.8%
10–20 March 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 22.0% 20.7–23.4% 20.3–23.8% 20.0–24.1% 19.4–24.8%
2–12 March 2020 Sifo 22.2% 21.6–22.8% 21.4–23.0% 21.3–23.1% 21.0–23.4%
25 February–3 March 2020 Demoskop 22.1% 21.0–23.2% 20.7–23.6% 20.5–23.8% 20.0–24.4%
11–23 February 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 23.0% 21.7–24.4% 21.3–24.8% 21.0–25.2% 20.3–25.9%
27 January–16 February 2020 Novus
SVT		 23.9% 22.9–24.9% 22.6–25.2% 22.4–25.4% 22.0–25.9%
3–13 February 2020 Sifo 23.3% 22.7–23.9% 22.5–24.1% 22.4–24.2% 22.1–24.5%
25 January–5 February 2020 Demoskop 23.5% 22.4–24.7% 22.0–25.1% 21.8–25.4% 21.2–25.9%
14–27 January 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 23.8% 22.4–25.2% 22.0–25.6% 21.7–26.0% 21.0–26.7%
7–26 January 2020 Novus
SVT		 22.6% 21.8–23.4% 21.6–23.7% 21.4–23.9% 21.0–24.3%
14–24 January 2020 SKOP 23.3% 21.6–25.1% 21.2–25.6% 20.8–26.0% 20.0–26.9%
6–16 January 2020 Sifo 23.8% 23.2–24.4% 23.0–24.6% 22.9–24.8% 22.6–25.1%
30 December 2019–7 January 2020 Demoskop 24.5% 23.3–25.7% 23.0–26.1% 22.7–26.4% 22.1–27.0%
18 November–15 December 2019 Novus
SVT		 24.0% 23.2–24.9% 22.9–25.1% 22.7–25.4% 22.3–25.8%
3–15 December 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 24.0% 22.6–25.4% 22.3–25.8% 21.9–26.2% 21.3–26.9%
2–12 December 2019 Sifo 24.4% 23.8–25.0% 23.6–25.2% 23.5–25.4% 23.2–25.7%
26 November–4 December 2019 Demoskop 25.4% 24.2–26.7% 23.9–27.0% 23.6–27.3% 23.0–27.9%
28 October–26 November 2019 SCB 22.6% 21.8–23.4% 21.6–23.6% 21.4–23.8% 21.0–24.2%
11–24 November 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 24.8% 23.4–26.2% 23.0–26.6% 22.7–27.0% 22.0–27.7%
21 October–17 November 2019 Novus
SVT		 21.5% 20.6–22.4% 20.4–22.6% 20.2–22.9% 19.8–23.3%
4–14 November 2019 Sifo 22.9% 22.4–23.6% 22.2–23.7% 22.0–23.9% 21.8–24.2%
4–13 November 2019 Demoskop 24.0% 22.8–25.3% 22.5–25.6% 22.2–25.9% 21.7–26.5%
8–21 October 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 23.0% 21.7–24.4% 21.3–24.8% 21.0–25.2% 20.4–25.8%
23 September–20 October 2019 Novus
SVT		 20.7% 19.8–21.5% 19.6–21.8% 19.4–22.0% 19.0–22.4%
7–17 October 2019 Sifo 21.0% 20.4–21.6% 20.2–21.7% 20.1–21.9% 19.8–22.2%
8–14 October 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 22.6% 21.5–23.8% 21.2–24.1% 20.9–24.4% 20.3–25.0%
24 September–1 October 2019 Demoskop 22.9% 21.6–24.3% 21.2–24.7% 20.9–25.0% 20.3–25.7%
20–25 September 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 22.3% 21.1–23.5% 20.8–23.8% 20.5–24.1% 20.0–24.7%
10–23 September 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 19.0% 17.8–20.3% 17.4–20.7% 17.1–21.0% 16.5–21.7%
26 August–22 September 2019 Novus
SVT		 20.7% 19.8–21.6% 19.6–21.8% 19.4–22.0% 19.0–22.4%
2–12 September 2019 Sifo 20.2% 19.6–20.7% 19.5–20.9% 19.4–21.0% 19.1–21.3%
27 August–3 September 2019 Demoskop 21.5% 20.3–22.9% 19.9–23.3% 19.6–23.6% 19.0–24.3%
22–28 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 21.0% 19.9–22.2% 19.5–22.5% 19.3–22.8% 18.7–23.4%
5–25 August 2019 Novus
SVT		 18.4% 17.4–19.4% 17.2–19.7% 16.9–19.9% 16.5–20.4%
13–25 August 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 19.0% 17.8–20.4% 17.4–20.7% 17.1–21.1% 16.5–21.7%
6–15 August 2019 Sifo 18.2% 17.6–18.8% 17.4–19.0% 17.2–19.2% 16.9–19.5%
1–8 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 19.7% 18.6–20.9% 18.3–21.2% 18.0–21.5% 17.5–22.0%
25 June–16 July 2019 SKOP 18.0% 16.6–19.6% 16.2–20.1% 15.8–20.5% 15.2–21.3%
24 June–1 July 2019 Demoskop 19.6% 18.4–20.9% 18.0–21.3% 17.7–21.6% 17.1–22.3%
17–24 June 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 19.4% 18.3–20.5% 18.0–20.9% 17.7–21.1% 17.2–21.7%
3–23 June 2019 Novus
SVT		 16.7% 15.8–17.7% 15.6–17.9% 15.4–18.2% 14.9–18.6%
4–18 June 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 19.0% 17.8–20.3% 17.5–20.7% 17.2–21.0% 16.6–21.6%
3–13 June 2019 Sifo 18.1% 17.6–18.6% 17.4–18.8% 17.3–18.9% 17.1–19.2%
27 May–3 June 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 19.9% 18.7–21.2% 18.3–21.6% 18.0–21.9% 17.4–22.6%
6 May–2 June 2019 Novus
SVT		 17.6% 16.8–18.4% 16.6–18.7% 16.4–18.9% 16.0–19.3%
29 April–28 May 2019 SCB 17.1% 16.6–17.6% 16.5–17.8% 16.3–17.9% 16.1–18.2%
21–28 May 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 18.4% 17.4–19.5% 17.1–19.8% 16.8–20.1% 16.3–20.6%
6–21 May 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 17.0% 16.0–18.1% 15.7–18.4% 15.4–18.6% 15.0–19.2%
6–16 May 2019 Sifo 18.1% 17.6–18.6% 17.5–18.8% 17.3–18.9% 17.1–19.1%
10–15 May 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.9% 18.9–20.9% 18.7–21.1% 18.5–21.4% 18.0–21.9%
29 April–7 May 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 19.2% 18.0–20.5% 17.7–20.9% 17.4–21.2% 16.8–21.9%
8 April–5 May 2019 Novus
SVT		 17.8% 17.0–18.7% 16.8–18.9% 16.6–19.1% 16.2–19.6%
22–29 April 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 18.6% 17.6–19.8% 17.3–20.1% 17.0–20.3% 16.5–20.9%
9–22 April 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 17.2% 16.0–18.5% 15.6–18.8% 15.3–19.2% 14.8–19.8%
1–11 April 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 18.9% 18.4–19.5% 18.2–19.6% 18.1–19.8% 17.8–20.0%
26 March–3 April 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 18.0% 16.8–19.3% 16.5–19.6% 16.2–20.0% 15.7–20.6%
4–31 March 2019 Novus
SVT		 18.1% 17.3–18.9% 17.1–19.2% 16.9–19.4% 16.5–19.8%
23–28 March 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 18.2% 17.3–19.2% 17.1–19.4% 16.9–19.7% 16.5–20.1%
7–27 March 2019 SKOP 16.5% 15.3–17.8% 15.0–18.1% 14.7–18.5% 14.1–19.1%
12–25 March 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 19.0% 17.8–20.4% 17.4–20.8% 17.1–21.1% 16.6–21.7%
3–14 March 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.1% 18.6–19.6% 18.4–19.8% 18.3–19.9% 18.0–20.2%
26 February–5 March 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 19.4% 18.2–20.7% 17.9–21.1% 17.6–21.4% 17.0–22.1%
4 February–3 March 2019 Novus
SVT		 19.3% 18.5–20.1% 18.2–20.4% 18.0–20.6% 17.7–21.0%
7–20 February 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 19.0% 17.8–20.4% 17.4–20.8% 17.1–21.1% 16.5–21.7%
11–18 February 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 19.5% 18.4–20.6% 18.1–20.9% 17.8–21.2% 17.3–21.8%
4–14 February 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.2% 18.6–19.8% 18.5–19.9% 18.4–20.1% 18.1–20.3%
29 January–5 February 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 19.4% 18.2–20.7% 17.8–21.1% 17.5–21.4% 16.9–22.0%
14 January–3 February 2019 Novus
SVT		 21.2% 20.3–22.2% 20.0–22.5% 19.8–22.7% 19.4–23.2%
16–23 January 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 18.4% 17.3–19.5% 17.0–19.8% 16.8–20.1% 16.3–20.7%
10–20 January 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 18.0% 16.8–19.3% 16.5–19.7% 16.2–20.0% 15.6–20.6%
14–17 January 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.9% 19.1–20.7% 18.9–20.9% 18.7–21.1% 18.4–21.5%
3–17 January 2019 SKOP 16.9% 15.6–18.5% 15.2–18.9% 14.8–19.3% 14.2–20.0%
2–13 January 2019 Novus
SVT		 19.2% 18.2–20.3% 17.9–20.6% 17.7–20.9% 17.2–21.4%
2–8 January 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 19.5% 18.3–20.8% 17.9–21.2% 17.6–21.5% 17.1–22.2%
19–26 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 18.8% 17.8–19.9% 17.5–20.2% 17.2–20.4% 16.8–21.0%
12 November–16 December 2018 Novus
SVT		 19.8% 19.1–20.5% 18.9–20.7% 18.7–20.9% 18.4–21.2%
5–16 December 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 18.0% 16.8–19.3% 16.5–19.7% 16.2–20.0% 15.6–20.7%
3–13 December 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 20.0% 19.4–20.6% 19.3–20.7% 19.2–20.9% 18.9–21.1%
4–12 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 19.4% 18.4–20.5% 18.0–20.8% 17.8–21.1% 17.3–21.6%
27 November–4 December 2018 Demoskop
Expressen		 20.7% 19.5–22.1% 19.1–22.5% 18.8–22.8% 18.2–23.4%
29 October–27 November 2018 SCB 18.3% 17.6–19.1% 17.4–19.3% 17.3–19.5% 16.9–19.8%
8–19 November 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 20.0% 18.7–21.4% 18.4–21.7% 18.0–22.1% 17.5–22.7%
14–19 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 18.8% 17.8–19.9% 17.5–20.2% 17.3–20.4% 16.8–20.9%
5–15 November 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 19.3% 18.8–19.8% 18.6–20.0% 18.5–20.1% 18.2–20.4%
15 October–11 November 2018 Novus
SVT		 19.2% 18.5–19.9% 18.3–20.1% 18.1–20.3% 17.8–20.7%
26 October–6 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 18.9% 17.9–20.0% 17.6–20.4% 17.3–20.6% 16.8–21.2%
30 October–6 November 2018 Demoskop
Expressen		 21.1% 19.8–22.5% 19.5–22.8% 19.2–23.2% 18.6–23.8%
16–24 October 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 18.8% 17.5–20.1% 17.2–20.5% 16.9–20.8% 16.3–21.4%
8–18 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 18.6% 18.0–19.1% 17.9–19.3% 17.8–19.4% 17.5–19.7%
1–8 October 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 17.9% 16.7–19.1% 16.4–19.4% 16.1–19.7% 15.6–20.3%
1–4 October 2018 Novus
SVT		 18.8% 17.8–19.9% 17.5–20.2% 17.2–20.5% 16.8–21.0%
24 September–2 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 18.3% 17.8–18.9% 17.6–19.0% 17.5–19.2% 17.2–19.4%
25 September–2 October 2018 Demoskop
Expressen		 18.0% 16.8–19.3% 16.5–19.6% 16.2–20.0% 15.7–20.6%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Sverigedemokraterna.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0.4% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 4% 99.5% Last Result
18.5–19.5% 14% 96%  
19.5–20.5% 30% 82%  
20.5–21.5% 33% 52% Median
21.5–22.5% 15% 19%  
22.5–23.5% 3% 4%  
23.5–24.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 62 seats (General Election of 9 September 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 73 67–79 66–80 64–81 62–84
6–9 September 2022 SKOP 68 64–72 63–73 62–74 60–76
6–9 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 75 71–80 69–81 69–83 66–86
1–9 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 72 68–76 67–78 66–78 65–80
6–8 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 73 69–77 68–78 67–79 65–81
5–8 September 2022 SKOP 68 64–73 63–74 61–75 60–77
6–8 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 75 70–80 68–82 67–83 65–86
5–7 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		          
4–7 September 2022 SKOP          
5–7 September 2022 Novus
SVT		          
4–6 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 74 70–78 69–79 68–80 66–82
3–6 September 2022 SKOP 69 64–74 63–75 62–77 60–79
4–6 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 73 68–78 67–79 65–80 64–83
1–6 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 73 68–78 67–79 66–81 63–84
3–5 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 70 67–75 65–76 64–77 63–79
2–5 September 2022 SKOP 65 60–71 59–72 58–74 55–76
3–5 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 71 65–76 65–78 63–79 61–81
2–4 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 69 65–74 64–74 63–76 61–78
1 August–4 September 2022 SKOP 66 61–71 59–73 58–74 56–78
2–4 September 2022 Novus
SVT		 71 66–76 65–77 64–79 62–81
31 August–4 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 72 68–77 67–78 66–80 65–82
1–3 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 68 65–74 63–75 63–75 60–78
31 August–3 September 2022 SKOP          
1–3 September 2022 Novus
SVT		          
31 August–2 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 71 67–76 66–77 65–78 63–81
30 August–2 September 2022 SKOP          
31 August–2 September 2022 Novus
SVT		          
30 August–1 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		          
29 August–1 September 2022 SKOP          
30 August–1 September 2022 Novus
SVT		          
29–31 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 73 69–77 68–79 67–79 65–82
28–31 August 2022 SKOP 66 61–72 60–73 59–75 57–77
29–31 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 70 65–76 64–77 63–78 61–82
28–30 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		          
27–30 August 2022 SKOP          
28–30 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 69 64–73 63–75 62–76 60–79
26–30 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 79 73–84 72–86 70–87 68–90
27–29 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 74 70–77 69–79 68–80 65–82
26–29 August 2022 SKOP          
27–29 August 2022 Novus
SVT		          
21–29 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 73 69–77 67–78 67–79 65–81
26–28 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 69 64–73 63–74 62–75 61–77
24–28 August 2022 SKOP 66 61–70 59–71 59–72 56–75
26–28 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 74 68–79 68–80 66–82 64–84
25–27 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		          
23–27 August 2022 SKOP          
25–27 August 2022 Novus
SVT		          
24–26 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		          
22–26 August 2022 SKOP          
24–26 August 2022 Novus
SVT		          
23–25 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 70 66–74 65–75 64–76 63–78
21–25 August 2022 SKOP 66 61–71 59–72 59–73 56–76
23–25 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 80 76–85 74–87 73–88 71–92
22–24 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 72 69–76 68–78 67–78 65–80
20–24 August 2022 SKOP 66 61–71 60–73 58–74 56–77
22–24 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 79 74–84 73–86 71–87 69–89
16–24 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 73 69–78 68–80 67–82 65–85
21–23 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 69 65–72 64–74 63–75 61–77
19–23 August 2022 SKOP 64 59–70 57–71 56–73 54–76
21–23 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 77 73–82 71–84 70–86 68–88
20–22 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 68 64–72 63–73 62–74 61–75
20–22 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 76 70–78 69–79 69–82 68–85
19–21 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		          
18–21 August 2022 SKOP 68 63–74 62–75 60–77 58–80
19–21 August 2022 Novus
SVT		          
16–21 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 67 63–71 61–73 61–74 59–76
18–20 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 59 56–64 55–65 54–66 52–69
17–19 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 60 57–65 55–66 54–67 53–69
16–18 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 58 54–62 52–63 52–64 49–66
15–17 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 61 57–65 57–66 55–67 54–69
14–16 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 62 59–66 57–67 56–68 55–70
6–16 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 65 62–69 60–70 59–71 58–73
13–15 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 63 59–67 58–68 57–69 55–71
12–14 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 61 57–65 56–66 55–67 53–69
8–14 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 67 63–71 62–72 61–73 59–76
11–13 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 63 58–67 58–68 57–70 55–72
10–12 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 62 58–66 57–68 56–69 54–71
9–11 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 59 55–64 54–64 53–66 51–68
1–7 August 2022 Novus
SVT		 66 62–70 61–71 60–72 58–75
24 July–2 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 63 58–66 57–67 57–68 56–70
8–11 July 2022 SKOP 60 54–65 53–67 51–69 49–72
22–30 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 58 54–62 53–63 53–63 51–65
6–26 June 2022 Novus
SVT		 64 60–68 60–68 59–69 57–71
7–19 June 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 70 65–74 64–75 63–77 61–80
6–16 June 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 64 62–66 62–67 61–67 60–69
31 May–9 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 61 57–66 56–68 55–69 53–71
9 May–5 June 2022 Novus
SVT		 69 66–72 65–73 64–73 62–75
28 April–25 May 2022 SCB 65 63–67 63–67 62–68 61–69
10–22 May 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 69 64–74 63–75 62–77 60–80
2–12 May 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 69 66–72 65–72 65–72 63–73
4–10 May 2022 Infostat 80 74–85 72–86 71–88 69–90
26 April–4 May 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 63 59–67 58–68 57–69 56–71
4 April–1 May 2022 Novus
SVT		 68 64–71 64–72 63–73 61–74
12–26 April 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 67 62–73 61–74 60–76 58–78
11–21 April 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 68 66–71 65–71 65–72 64–72
6–14 April 2022 SKOP 58 53–64 52–65 51–67 48–70
29 March–5 April 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 64 59–68 59–69 58–70 56–71
7 March–3 April 2022 Novus
SVT		 70 67–73 66–74 66–75 64–76
15–27 March 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 70 65–75 64–76 63–77 61–80
7–17 March 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 69 67–72 67–73 66–73 65–74
1–9 March 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 66 61–70 61–71 60–72 58–73
31 January–27 February 2022 Novus
SVT		 72 69–76 67–77 66–78 65–80
8–20 February 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 75 71–80 70–82 69–83 66–86
7–17 February 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 73 70–76 69–76 69–77 67–78
11–14 February 2022 SKOP 71 66–78 65–80 63–82 60–85
1–8 February 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 72 68–76 67–77 66–78 65–80
3–30 January 2022 Novus
SVT		 75 71–78 70–79 69–80 68–81
11–24 January 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 66 61–71 61–73 60–74 58–77
10–20 January 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 73 70–75 70–76 69–77 68–79
28 December 2021–5 January 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 68 64–72 62–72 62–73 60–75
6 December 2021–2 January 2022 Novus
SVT		 75 71–80 70–81 68–82 66–84
7–20 December 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 75 69–80 68–82 67–83 64–86
6–16 December 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 74 71–76 71–77 70–78 70–79
30 November–8 December 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 71 66–74 65–75 64–76 62–78
8 November–5 December 2021 Novus
SVT		 72 68–75 67–76 67–77 64–78
28 October–25 November 2021 SCB 70 66–72 65–72 65–73 64–74
9–22 November 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 75 70–80 68–82 67–83 65–85
8–18 November 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 76 74–79 73–80 72–81 70–82
5–11 November 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 71 66–75 65–75 64–76 62–78
4–31 October 2021 Novus
SVT		 70 67–74 66–75 65–76 64–78
12–25 October 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 74 67–78 66–80 66–82 64–86
15–17 October 2021 SKOP 76 68–82 66–83 65–86 62–90
4–14 October 2021 Sifo          
29 September–6 October 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		          
30 August–3 October 2021 Novus
SVT		          
14–26 September 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		          
6–16 September 2021 Sifo          
3–11 September 2021 SKOP          
31 August–8 September 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		          
2–29 August 2021 Novus
SVT		          
10–23 August 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		          
9–18 August 2021 Sifo          
2–5 August 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 74 70–78 69–79 68–80 65–82
19–26 July 2021 Novus
SVT		 80 76–85 74–86 73–88 71–90
19–23 July 2021 SKOP 74 68–80 66–82 64–85 62–88
29 June–7 July 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 73 69–76 68–77 67–78 65–80
23–28 June 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet		 68 64–73 63–74 62–75 60–77
21–27 June 2021 Novus
SVT		 80 76–84 74–85 73–86 72–88
8–20 June 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 71 67–76 65–77 64–78 62–81
7–17 June 2021 Sifo 76 74–78 73–79 72–79 71–81
3 May–6 June 2021 Novus
SVT		 70 67–73 66–74 66–75 65–77
26 May–2 June 2021 Demoskop 73 69–77 68–77 67–79 65–82
28 April–27 May 2021 SCB 71 69–73 68–74 67–74 66–75
11–23 May 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 74 69–80 68–81 66–83 64–85
3–13 May 2021 Sifo 70 67–73 67–73 66–74 65–75
28 April–5 May 2021 Demoskop 70 67–74 65–76 64–77 63–79
5 April–2 May 2021 Novus
SVT		 67 64–71 63–72 62–72 61–74
13–25 April 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 71 67–76 65–78 64–79 62–81
5–15 April 2021 Sifo 70 66–73 66–73 66–73 64–75
30 March–7 April 2021 Demoskop 73 69–77 68–78 67–79 65–81
1 March–4 April 2021 Novus
SVT		 69 66–72 65–73 65–74 63–76
9–21 March 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 76 68–79 67–82 66–83 64–85
1–11 March 2021 Sifo 67 65–70 65–72 64–72 63–74
26 February–3 March 2021 Demoskop 69 66–73 64–74 63–75 62–77
1–28 February 2021 Novus
SVT		 67 63–71 62–72 61–73 60–75
19–23 February 2021 SKOP 57 52–63 50–64 48–67 46–70
9–21 February 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 69 65–75 63–77 63–78 60–81
1–11 February 2021 Sifo 72 68–75 68–75 67–76 66–77
26 January–3 February 2021 Demoskop 69 65–73 64–75 63–75 61–78
11–31 January 2021 Novus
SVT		 66 63–71 62–72 61–73 59–75
13–25 January 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 71 66–77 65–78 63–80 61–82
11–21 January 2021 Sifo 70 68–73 67–74 66–74 65–75
29 December 2020–11 January 2021 Demoskop 71 67–75 66–76 65–77 63–79
7 December 2020–10 January 2021 Novus
SVT		 72 68–77 67–78 66–78 64–81
1–13 December 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 70 67–77 67–79 66–80 65–82
30 November–10 December 2020 Sifo 72 69–74 68–75 67–75 66–76
9 November–6 December 2020 Novus
SVT		 68 66–72 65–73 64–74 62–76
30 November–3 December 2020 SKOP 67 61–74 60–75 58–77 56–79
26 November–2 December 2020 Demoskop 74 70–78 68–79 67–80 65–82
2–26 November 2020 SCB 65 62–68 61–69 61–69 59–71
10–22 November 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 74 69–79 67–81 66–83 63–85
2–11 November 2020 Sifo 74 68–79 67–80 66–81 64–84
12 October–8 November 2020 Novus
SVT		 72 69–76 68–77 67–78 65–79
27 October–4 November 2020 Demoskop 75 71–79 69–81 68–82 66–84
23–26 October 2020 SKOP 67 61–72 60–75 58–77 55–79
13–25 October 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 71 66–78 65–78 64–79 61–82
5–15 October 2020 Sifo 74 72–77 71–78 71–79 70–81
14 September–11 October 2020 Novus
SVT		 70 67–73 66–74 65–75 64–76
1–7 October 2020 Demoskop 76 72–80 70–81 69–82 68–84
8–21 September 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 74 69–80 67–81 66–83 64–86
7–17 September 2020 Sifo 75 71–78 70–79 69–80 68–81
24 August–13 September 2020 Novus
SVT		 72 69–76 68–78 67–78 65–81
25 August–1 September 2020 Demoskop 82 78–86 77–87 76–88 73–90
3–23 August 2020 Novus
SVT		 73 69–77 68–78 67–79 65–80
11–23 August 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 78 73–84 71–85 70–87 68–90
10–20 August 2020 Sifo 73 69–76 69–77 68–78 66–79
28 July–4 August 2020 Demoskop 79 75–83 73–84 73–85 71–86
23–28 July 2020 SKOP 66 60–73 59–75 58–77 55–80
30 June–7 July 2020 Demoskop 74 69–78 68–80 67–81 65–83
25 May–21 June 2020 Novus
SVT		 69 66–72 65–73 64–74 63–75
12–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 75 69–80 68–82 66–84 64–86
1–11 June 2020 Sifo 72 70–74 69–75 68–75 67–76
26 May–3 June 2020 Demoskop 72 67–76 66–77 65–79 63–80
31 May–2 June 2020 SKOP 63 57–70 55–71 54–73 52–76
29 April–27 May 2020 SCB 63 61–66 60–67 60–67 59–68
27 April–24 May 2020 Novus
SVT		 67 63–70 62–72 61–72 60–73
12–24 May 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 72 69–79 66–80 65–81 63–84
4–14 May 2020 Sifo 71 68–74 68–74 67–75 66–76
30 April–8 May 2020 SKOP 61 55–66 53–68 52–69 50–72
28 April–5 May 2020 Demoskop 70 66–74 65–75 64–76 62–78
14–26 April 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 77 71–83 70–84 68–86 66–89
30 March–19 April 2020 Novus
SVT		 74 70–77 69–78 68–79 66–81
30 March–8 April 2020 Sifo 74 70–76 70–77 69–77 67–79
25 March–1 April 2020 Demoskop 76 71–81 70–83 69–84 68–86
24 February–22 March 2020 Novus
SVT		 80 76–84 75–85 74–86 73–88
10–20 March 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 78 74–83 72–85 70–86 68–88
2–12 March 2020 Sifo 81 78–84 77–86 76–87 75–89
25 February–3 March 2020 Demoskop 82 77–87 76–88 75–89 73–92
11–23 February 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 82 77–88 76–90 74–91 71–94
27 January–16 February 2020 Novus
SVT		 86 82–91 81–93 80–94 78–96
3–13 February 2020 Sifo 83 80–86 80–87 79–88 78–91
25 January–5 February 2020 Demoskop 87 83–93 82–94 80–95 78–98
14–27 January 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 87 81–94 79–96 78–97 75–100
7–26 January 2020 Novus
SVT		 83 80–86 79–87 78–88 77–90
14–24 January 2020 SKOP 85 78–93 76–94 75–97 71–101
6–16 January 2020 Sifo 86 83–89 82–90 82–91 80–94
30 December 2019–7 January 2020 Demoskop 90 85–94 84–95 83–97 81–99
18 November–15 December 2019 Novus
SVT		 88 85–91 84–92 83–93 81–94
3–15 December 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 84 80–90 78–91 77–92 75–95
2–12 December 2019 Sifo 88 85–91 84–92 83–93 82–94
26 November–4 December 2019 Demoskop 92 87–98 85–99 84–101 82–104
28 October–26 November 2019 SCB 81 78–85 77–86 76–87 75–88
11–24 November 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 90 85–96 84–97 83–99 80–102
21 October–17 November 2019 Novus
SVT		 79 75–83 75–83 74–84 72–86
4–14 November 2019 Sifo 84 82–87 81–87 81–88 79–89
4–13 November 2019 Demoskop 87 82–93 81–94 80–96 78–99
8–21 October 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 83 78–89 76–91 75–92 73–95
23 September–20 October 2019 Novus
SVT		 76 72–79 71–80 70–81 69–82
7–17 October 2019 Sifo 75 73–78 72–79 71–80 70–81
8–14 October 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 83 79–88 77–90 76–91 75–94
24 September–1 October 2019 Demoskop 83 78–89 77–90 75–92 73–94
20–25 September 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 83 78–88 77–90 76–92 73–94
10–23 September 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 67 63–72 61–73 60–74 58–77
26 August–22 September 2019 Novus
SVT		 76 72–80 72–80 71–81 69–82
2–12 September 2019 Sifo 72 70–74 69–75 69–76 68–77
27 August–3 September 2019 Demoskop 77 72–82 71–83 70–85 68–87
22–28 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 77 71–83 71–84 70–85 67–88
5–25 August 2019 Novus
SVT		 67 63–71 62–72 62–73 59–75
13–25 August 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 68 63–72 62–73 61–74 59–77
6–15 August 2019 Sifo 66 64–69 63–70 62–70 61–71
1–8 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 75 70–78 68–79 67–81 64–84
25 June–16 July 2019 SKOP 64 59–70 57–71 56–72 53–75
24 June–1 July 2019 Demoskop 71 66–76 65–77 63–79 61–81
17–24 June 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 71 67–75 66–77 65–78 62–80
3–23 June 2019 Novus
SVT		 61 58–65 57–66 56–67 54–68
4–18 June 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 68 63–72 62–73 61–75 59–77
3–13 June 2019 Sifo 67 64–68 63–69 62–69 62–70
27 May–3 June 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 72 67–77 67–80 66–81 62–83
6 May–2 June 2019 Novus
SVT		 63 60–67 59–68 58–69 57–70
29 April–28 May 2019 SCB 63 60–65 60–65 59–66 58–67
21–28 May 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 68 64–73 63–74 62–75 60–77
6–21 May 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 62 57–65 56–67 56–68 54–71
6–16 May 2019 Sifo 67 64–69 63–70 62–70 61–71
10–15 May 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 72 68–76 67–77 67–78 65–80
29 April–7 May 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 71 66–76 65–77 64–78 61–82
8 April–5 May 2019 Novus
SVT		 65 62–68 61–70 60–70 59–72
22–29 April 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 68 64–73 63–75 62–76 60–78
9–22 April 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 63 58–68 57–69 56–71 53–73
1–11 April 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 69 67–71 66–72 66–72 65–74
26 March–3 April 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 65 61–71 60–72 59–74 56–76
4–31 March 2019 Novus
SVT		 69 65–72 64–73 63–74 61–75
23–28 March 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 67 64–71 63–72 62–73 60–75
7–27 March 2019 SKOP 61 56–66 55–68 54–69 52–71
12–25 March 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 70 64–75 63–77 62–78 60–81
3–14 March 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 72 70–75 69–75 68–76 67–77
26 February–5 March 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 72 68–77 66–79 65–81 62–83
4 February–3 March 2019 Novus
SVT		 72 68–76 68–78 66–78 65–80
7–20 February 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 69 63–75 62–76 61–78 59–81
11–18 February 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 73 69–77 68–79 67–80 64–82
4–14 February 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 70 67–73 66–74 66–75 65–76
29 January–5 February 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 73 69–78 67–80 66–81 63–83
14 January–3 February 2019 Novus
SVT		 80 76–83 75–84 74–85 72–87
16–23 January 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 68 64–73 63–75 62–76 60–78
10–20 January 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 65 61–70 59–72 58–73 56–75
14–17 January 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 75 71–77 70–80 68–80 67–81
3–17 January 2019 SKOP 63 57–68 56–70 54–71 52–74
2–13 January 2019 Novus
SVT		 72 67–77 66–78 65–79 63–81
2–8 January 2019 Demoskop
Expressen		 71 66–77 65–79 64–80 62–83
19–26 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 69 65–74 64–74 63–76 62–78
12 November–16 December 2018 Novus
SVT		 73 69–77 67–79 67–80 65–81
5–16 December 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 66 60–71 60–72 58–74 56–77
3–13 December 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 72 69–76 69–77 68–78 67–80
4–12 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 73 69–78 67–79 66–80 64–82
27 November–4 December 2018 Demoskop
Expressen		 75 69–80 68–82 66–83 64–86
29 October–27 November 2018 SCB 66 63–70 62–71 62–72 60–74
8–19 November 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 72 67–79 65–81 64–82 62–85
14–19 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 70 65–76 65–77 64–77 62–80
5–15 November 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 69 67–72 66–72 66–73 65–74
15 October–11 November 2018 Novus
SVT		 71 68–74 66–75 65–76 64–77
26 October–6 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 70 66–75 64–77 63–78 61–81
30 October–6 November 2018 Demoskop
Expressen		 78 72–83 70–85 69–86 66–89
16–24 October 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter		 66 62–72 61–73 59–74 57–77
8–18 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 66 64–69 63–70 63–71 62–72
1–8 October 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet		 63 60–68 58–70 58–71 55–74
1–4 October 2018 Novus
SVT		 67 63–71 62–72 61–74 59–76
24 September–2 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet		 65 63–67 62–68 62–69 61–71
25 September–2 October 2018 Demoskop
Expressen		 66 61–71 59–72 59–74 57–76

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Sverigedemokraterna.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.5% 99.6% Last Result
63 0.7% 99.1%  
64 1.2% 98%  
65 2% 97%  
66 2% 96%  
67 4% 93%  
68 6% 89%  
69 7% 84%  
70 7% 77%  
71 8% 70%  
72 10% 61%  
73 9% 51% Median
74 10% 42%  
75 7% 32%  
76 5% 25%  
77 5% 20%  
78 4% 14%  
79 4% 11%  
80 4% 7%  
81 0.9% 3%  
82 0.9% 2%  
83 0.7% 1.4%  
84 0.3% 0.8%  
85 0.2% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%