Kristdemokraterna

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 6.3% (General Election of 9 September 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 5.7% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.0% 4.0–7.4%
6–9 September 2022 SKOP 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.5%
6–9 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.8% 4.3–5.5% 4.1–5.7% 4.0–5.9% 3.7–6.2%
1–9 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
5.3% 4.7–5.9% 4.6–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.2–6.6%
6–8 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.1% 5.5–6.8% 5.3–7.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.5%
5–8 September 2022 SKOP 7.2% 6.4–8.1% 6.2–8.4% 6.1–8.6% 5.7–9.0%
6–8 September 2022 Novus
SVT
5.9% 5.2–6.7% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.2% 4.5–7.6%
5–7 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 September 2022 SKOP 6.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 September 2022 Novus
SVT
5.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–6 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.2% 5.6–6.9% 5.4–7.1% 5.3–7.3% 5.0–7.6%
3–6 September 2022 SKOP 6.3% 5.5–7.2% 5.3–7.4% 5.1–7.7% 4.8–8.1%
4–6 September 2022 Novus
SVT
5.9% 5.2–6.8% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.5–7.7%
1–6 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.2% 5.5–7.0% 5.3–7.2% 5.1–7.4% 4.8–7.8%
3–5 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.5% 4.9–6.2% 4.7–6.4% 4.6–6.6% 4.3–7.0%
2–5 September 2022 SKOP 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.5% 4.4–8.0%
3–5 September 2022 Novus
SVT
6.1% 5.4–7.0% 5.2–7.3% 5.0–7.5% 4.7–7.9%
2–4 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.2% 5.5–7.0% 5.3–7.2% 5.2–7.3% 4.9–7.7%
1 August–4 September 2022 SKOP 5.9% 5.1–6.9% 4.9–7.2% 4.7–7.4% 4.3–7.9%
2–4 September 2022 Novus
SVT
6.6% 5.8–7.5% 5.6–7.8% 5.4–8.0% 5.1–8.4%
31 August–4 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
5.3% 4.7–6.0% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.3% 4.2–6.7%
1–3 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.2% 5.5–7.0% 5.3–7.2% 5.2–7.4% 4.9–7.8%
31 August–3 September 2022 SKOP 5.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–3 September 2022 Novus
SVT
6.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–2 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.6% 5.9–7.4% 5.7–7.6% 5.6–7.8% 5.3–8.2%
30 August–2 September 2022 SKOP 5.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–2 September 2022 Novus
SVT
7.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 August–1 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 August–1 September 2022 SKOP 5.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 August–1 September 2022 Novus
SVT
7.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–31 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.7% 5.1–6.4% 4.9–6.6% 4.8–6.8% 4.5–7.2%
28–31 August 2022 SKOP 6.1% 5.3–7.1% 5.1–7.4% 4.9–7.6% 4.5–8.1%
29–31 August 2022 Novus
SVT
7.2% 6.4–8.1% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.6% 5.6–9.1%
28–30 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–30 August 2022 SKOP 6.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–30 August 2022 Novus
SVT
6.6% 5.8–7.5% 5.6–7.8% 5.4–8.0% 5.1–8.4%
26–30 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.1% 5.3–7.0% 5.1–7.3% 4.9–7.6% 4.6–8.0%
27–29 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.3% 4.7–6.0% 4.5–6.2% 4.4–6.4% 4.1–6.7%
26–29 August 2022 SKOP 6.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–29 August 2022 Novus
SVT
6.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–29 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
5.4% 4.8–6.1% 4.7–6.3% 4.5–6.4% 4.3–6.8%
26–28 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4%
24–28 August 2022 SKOP 6.7% 5.9–7.6% 5.6–7.9% 5.5–8.1% 5.1–8.6%
26–28 August 2022 Novus
SVT
6.4% 5.7–7.3% 5.4–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 4.9–8.2%
25–27 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–27 August 2022 SKOP 6.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 August 2022 Novus
SVT
5.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–26 August 2022 SKOP 5.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 August 2022 Novus
SVT
6.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–25 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.8% 5.2–6.5% 5.0–6.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.2%
21–25 August 2022 SKOP 6.2% 5.4–7.1% 5.2–7.4% 5.0–7.7% 4.7–8.1%
23–25 August 2022 Novus
SVT
6.1% 5.4–7.0% 5.2–7.3% 5.0–7.5% 4.7–7.9%
22–24 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.6% 5.0–6.2% 4.9–6.4% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–6.9%
20–24 August 2022 SKOP 6.4% 5.5–7.4% 5.3–7.7% 5.1–7.9% 4.7–8.5%
22–24 August 2022 Novus
SVT
5.5% 4.8–6.4% 4.6–6.6% 4.5–6.8% 4.2–7.2%
16–24 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.5% 4.8–6.3% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.8% 4.2–7.1%
21–23 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.3% 5.7–7.0% 5.5–7.2% 5.3–7.4% 5.1–7.7%
19–23 August 2022 SKOP 4.9% 4.1–5.8% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.3% 3.4–6.8%
21–23 August 2022 Novus
SVT
5.1% 4.4–5.9% 4.2–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.8–6.7%
20–22 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.7% 6.1–7.4% 5.9–7.7% 5.7–7.8% 5.4–8.2%
20–22 August 2022 Novus
SVT
5.2% 4.5–6.0% 4.3–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 3.9–6.9%
19–21 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 August 2022 SKOP 4.9% 4.1–5.8% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.3% 3.4–6.8%
19–21 August 2022 Novus
SVT
6.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–21 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
6.4% 5.8–7.1% 5.6–7.3% 5.4–7.5% 5.2–7.8%
18–20 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.8% 5.1–6.6% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.0% 4.4–7.4%
17–19 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.6–7.6%
16–18 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.1% 5.0–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
15–17 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.6% 5.0–6.3% 4.8–6.5% 4.7–6.7% 4.4–7.0%
14–16 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.9% 5.3–6.6% 5.1–6.8% 4.9–7.0% 4.6–7.4%
6–16 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
5.8% 5.2–6.5% 5.0–6.7% 4.9–6.9% 4.6–7.2%
13–15 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.2% 5.5–6.9% 5.3–7.1% 5.2–7.3% 4.9–7.7%
12–14 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.5% 5.8–7.3% 5.6–7.5% 5.5–7.7% 5.2–8.1%
8–14 August 2022 Novus
SVT
5.6% 5.0–6.3% 4.8–6.5% 4.7–6.7% 4.4–7.1%
11–13 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.8% 6.1–7.6% 5.9–7.8% 5.7–8.0% 5.4–8.4%
10–12 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.7% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.7% 5.7–7.9% 5.4–8.3%
9–11 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.1% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.3% 4.7–7.7%
1–7 August 2022 Novus
SVT
6.3% 5.6–7.1% 5.4–7.3% 5.3–7.5% 5.0–7.9%
24 July–2 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
6.9% 6.2–7.6% 6.1–7.8% 5.9–8.0% 5.6–8.4%
8–11 July 2022 SKOP 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
22–30 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
6.1% 5.5–6.8% 5.3–7.0% 5.2–7.2% 4.9–7.6%
6–26 June 2022 Novus
SVT
6.7% 6.1–7.3% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.7% 5.6–8.0%
7–19 June 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
6–16 June 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.3% 6.0–6.6% 5.9–6.7% 5.8–6.8% 5.7–7.0%
31 May–9 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
5.7% 5.1–6.4% 4.9–6.6% 4.8–6.8% 4.5–7.1%
9 May–5 June 2022 Novus
SVT
6.3% 5.8–6.8% 5.7–7.0% 5.6–7.1% 5.3–7.4%
28 April–25 May 2022 SCB 5.2% 4.9–5.5% 4.8–5.6% 4.8–5.7% 4.6–5.8%
10–22 May 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
2–12 May 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.6% 5.3–6.0% 5.2–6.1% 5.1–6.2% 4.9–6.4%
4–10 May 2022 Infostat 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.2% 4.6–7.6%
26 April–4 May 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
6.9% 6.2–7.6% 6.0–7.8% 5.9–8.0% 5.6–8.4%
4 April–1 May 2022 Novus
SVT
5.9% 5.4–6.4% 5.3–6.6% 5.2–6.7% 4.9–7.0%
12–26 April 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
11–21 April 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.9% 4.6–5.2% 4.5–5.3% 4.4–5.4% 4.3–5.6%
6–14 April 2022 SKOP 5.8% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
29 March–5 April 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
5.4% 4.8–6.1% 4.7–6.3% 4.5–6.4% 4.3–6.8%
7 March–3 April 2022 Novus
SVT
5.7% 5.2–6.2% 5.1–6.3% 5.0–6.5% 4.8–6.7%
15–27 March 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
7–17 March 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.9% 4.6–5.3% 4.5–5.3% 4.4–5.4% 4.3–5.6%
1–9 March 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
6.5% 5.9–7.2% 5.7–7.4% 5.5–7.6% 5.2–8.0%
31 January–27 February 2022 Novus
SVT
5.1% 4.6–5.7% 4.4–5.9% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4%
8–20 February 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5%
7–17 February 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.3% 4.9–5.7% 4.8–5.8% 4.8–5.9% 4.6–6.1%
11–14 February 2022 SKOP 4.2% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
1–8 February 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
5.6% 5.0–6.2% 4.9–6.4% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–6.9%
3–30 January 2022 Novus
SVT
5.4% 5.0–5.9% 4.8–6.1% 4.7–6.2% 4.5–6.4%
11–24 January 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.1% 5.0–7.3% 4.7–7.7%
10–20 January 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.4% 4.1–4.7% 4.0–4.8% 3.9–4.9% 3.8–5.1%
28 December 2021–5 January 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
5.4% 4.9–6.1% 4.7–6.2% 4.6–6.4% 4.3–6.7%
6 December 2021–2 January 2022 Novus
SVT
5.6% 5.0–6.3% 4.8–6.5% 4.7–6.7% 4.4–7.1%
7–20 December 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
6–16 December 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
5.2% 4.8–5.6% 4.7–5.7% 4.7–5.8% 4.5–6.0%
30 November–8 December 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.4%
8 November–5 December 2021 Novus
SVT
4.7% 4.3–5.2% 4.2–5.3% 4.1–5.4% 3.9–5.6%
28 October–25 November 2021 SCB 4.6% 4.3–4.9% 4.3–5.0% 4.2–5.1% 4.1–5.2%
9–22 November 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 5.0–7.3% 4.7–7.7%
8–18 November 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
4.6% 4.3–5.0% 4.2–5.1% 4.1–5.2% 3.9–5.4%
5–11 November 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
5.3% 4.7–5.9% 4.6–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.2–6.6%
4–31 October 2021 Novus
SVT
4.1% 3.7–4.6% 3.6–4.7% 3.5–4.8% 3.3–5.0%
12–25 October 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
15–17 October 2021 SKOP 3.7% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%
4–14 October 2021 Sifo 5.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 September–6 October 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
5.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 August–3 October 2021 Novus
SVT
4.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–26 September 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–16 September 2021 Sifo 4.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–11 September 2021 SKOP 5.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–8 September 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
5.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–29 August 2021 Novus
SVT
4.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–23 August 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–18 August 2021 Sifo 4.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–5 August 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
5.4% 4.9–6.1% 4.7–6.2% 4.6–6.4% 4.3–6.7%
19–26 July 2021 Novus
SVT
4.5% 4.0–5.1% 3.9–5.3% 3.8–5.4% 3.5–5.7%
19–23 July 2021 SKOP 3.5% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.2%
29 June–7 July 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
6.1% 5.6–6.7% 5.4–6.8% 5.3–7.0% 5.1–7.3%
23–28 June 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
6.8% 6.1–7.5% 6.0–7.8% 5.8–8.0% 5.5–8.3%
21–27 June 2021 Novus
SVT
5.0% 4.5–5.6% 4.3–5.8% 4.2–5.9% 3.9–6.2%
8–20 June 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
7–17 June 2021 Sifo 5.1% 4.8–5.5% 4.7–5.6% 4.6–5.7% 4.4–5.8%
3 May–6 June 2021 Novus
SVT
5.3% 4.9–5.7% 4.8–5.9% 4.7–6.0% 4.5–6.2%
26 May–2 June 2021 Demoskop 5.6% 5.1–6.2% 4.9–6.4% 4.8–6.5% 4.6–6.8%
28 April–27 May 2021 SCB 4.5% 4.2–4.8% 4.1–4.9% 4.1–4.9% 4.0–5.1%
11–23 May 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
3–13 May 2021 Sifo 5.2% 4.9–5.5% 4.8–5.6% 4.8–5.7% 4.6–5.8%
28 April–5 May 2021 Demoskop 5.2% 4.7–5.8% 4.5–6.0% 4.4–6.1% 4.2–6.4%
5 April–2 May 2021 Novus
SVT
5.3% 4.9–5.8% 4.7–6.0% 4.6–6.1% 4.4–6.3%
13–25 April 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4%
5–15 April 2021 Sifo 4.8% 4.5–5.2% 4.4–5.3% 4.3–5.3% 4.2–5.5%
30 March–7 April 2021 Demoskop 5.2% 4.7–5.8% 4.5–6.0% 4.4–6.1% 4.2–6.4%
1 March–4 April 2021 Novus
SVT
4.2% 3.9–4.6% 3.8–4.7% 3.7–4.8% 3.5–5.0%
9–21 March 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
1–11 March 2021 Sifo 4.4% 4.1–4.7% 4.0–4.8% 3.9–4.9% 3.8–5.0%
26 February–3 March 2021 Demoskop 5.8% 5.2–6.5% 5.0–6.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.2%
1–28 February 2021 Novus
SVT
4.1% 3.7–4.5% 3.6–4.7% 3.5–4.8% 3.3–5.0%
19–23 February 2021 SKOP 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.6–5.9% 3.5–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
9–21 February 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
1–11 February 2021 Sifo 4.3% 4.0–4.6% 3.9–4.7% 3.8–4.8% 3.7–5.0%
26 January–3 February 2021 Demoskop 6.5% 5.9–7.2% 5.7–7.4% 5.5–7.6% 5.2–8.0%
11–31 January 2021 Novus
SVT
4.7% 4.2–5.3% 4.1–5.4% 4.0–5.5% 3.8–5.8%
13–25 January 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.1% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
11–21 January 2021 Sifo 4.9% 4.6–5.2% 4.5–5.3% 4.4–5.4% 4.3–5.6%
29 December 2020–11 January 2021 Demoskop 5.9% 5.3–6.6% 5.1–6.8% 4.9–7.0% 4.7–7.3%
7 December 2020–10 January 2021 Novus
SVT
4.6% 4.1–5.2% 4.0–5.3% 3.9–5.5% 3.7–5.7%
1–13 December 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.1% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
30 November–10 December 2020 Sifo 5.4% 5.1–5.7% 5.0–5.9% 4.9–5.9% 4.7–6.1%
9 November–6 December 2020 Novus
SVT
5.4% 5.0–5.9% 4.8–6.1% 4.7–6.2% 4.5–6.4%
30 November–3 December 2020 SKOP 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.7%
26 November–2 December 2020 Demoskop 5.7% 5.1–6.4% 5.0–6.6% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.1%
2–26 November 2020 SCB 5.4% 5.0–5.9% 4.9–6.0% 4.8–6.1% 4.6–6.3%
10–22 November 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
2–11 November 2020 Sifo 5.7% 5.0–6.6% 4.8–6.8% 4.7–7.0% 4.4–7.4%
12 October–8 November 2020 Novus
SVT
5.0% 4.6–5.5% 4.4–5.6% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–6.0%
27 October–4 November 2020 Demoskop 6.9% 6.2–7.7% 6.1–7.9% 5.9–8.0% 5.6–8.4%
23–26 October 2020 SKOP 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
13–25 October 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.8%
5–15 October 2020 Sifo 5.9% 5.6–6.3% 5.5–6.4% 5.4–6.5% 5.2–6.7%
14 September–11 October 2020 Novus
SVT
5.7% 5.2–6.2% 5.1–6.4% 5.0–6.5% 4.8–6.7%
1–7 October 2020 Demoskop 6.7% 6.1–7.3% 5.9–7.5% 5.8–7.7% 5.5–8.0%
8–21 September 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.4–8.8%
7–17 September 2020 Sifo 6.2% 5.8–6.7% 5.7–6.8% 5.6–6.9% 5.4–7.1%
24 August–13 September 2020 Novus
SVT
5.7% 5.2–6.3% 5.1–6.4% 4.9–6.6% 4.7–6.9%
25 August–1 September 2020 Demoskop 5.3% 4.7–5.9% 4.6–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.2–6.6%
3–23 August 2020 Novus
SVT
5.8% 5.3–6.3% 5.2–6.5% 5.1–6.6% 4.9–6.9%
11–23 August 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.8%
10–20 August 2020 Sifo 6.4% 6.0–6.8% 5.9–7.0% 5.8–7.1% 5.6–7.3%
28 July–4 August 2020 Demoskop 5.6% 5.0–6.2% 4.9–6.4% 4.8–6.5% 4.5–6.8%
23–28 July 2020 SKOP 5.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
30 June–7 July 2020 Demoskop 5.7% 5.1–6.4% 5.0–6.6% 4.8–6.8% 4.5–7.1%
25 May–21 June 2020 Novus
SVT
5.7% 5.2–6.2% 5.1–6.4% 5.0–6.5% 4.8–6.7%
12–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.9%
1–11 June 2020 Sifo 6.8% 6.4–7.2% 6.3–7.3% 6.2–7.4% 6.1–7.6%
26 May–3 June 2020 Demoskop 6.5% 5.9–7.2% 5.7–7.4% 5.6–7.5% 5.3–7.9%
31 May–2 June 2020 SKOP 5.8% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
29 April–27 May 2020 SCB 6.4% 6.1–6.7% 6.0–6.8% 5.9–6.9% 5.8–7.1%
27 April–24 May 2020 Novus
SVT
5.5% 5.1–6.0% 4.9–6.1% 4.8–6.3% 4.6–6.5%
12–24 May 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.9% 5.2–6.8% 5.0–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.5–7.7%
4–14 May 2020 Sifo 6.1% 5.7–6.5% 5.6–6.6% 5.5–6.7% 5.4–6.8%
30 April–8 May 2020 SKOP 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.6–7.3%
28 April–5 May 2020 Demoskop 6.5% 5.9–7.2% 5.7–7.4% 5.5–7.6% 5.3–7.9%
14–26 April 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.8%
30 March–19 April 2020 Novus
SVT
6.1% 5.6–6.6% 5.5–6.8% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.2%
30 March–8 April 2020 Sifo 5.9% 5.5–6.3% 5.5–6.4% 5.4–6.5% 5.2–6.7%
25 March–1 April 2020 Demoskop 6.7% 6.1–7.4% 5.9–7.6% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1%
24 February–22 March 2020 Novus
SVT
6.5% 6.0–7.1% 5.9–7.2% 5.7–7.3% 5.5–7.6%
10–20 March 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
2–12 March 2020 Sifo 6.8% 6.4–7.2% 6.3–7.3% 6.2–7.4% 6.1–7.6%
25 February–3 March 2020 Demoskop 7.5% 6.8–8.2% 6.6–8.4% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–9.0%
11–23 February 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.3% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–10.0%
27 January–16 February 2020 Novus
SVT
5.9% 5.4–6.5% 5.2–6.7% 5.1–6.8% 4.9–7.1%
3–13 February 2020 Sifo 6.1% 5.8–6.5% 5.7–6.6% 5.6–6.6% 5.4–6.8%
25 January–5 February 2020 Demoskop 6.3% 5.7–7.0% 5.5–7.2% 5.3–7.4% 5.0–7.8%
14–27 January 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.9% 6.2–7.8% 5.9–8.1% 5.8–8.3% 5.4–8.8%
7–26 January 2020 Novus
SVT
6.1% 5.7–6.6% 5.5–6.7% 5.4–6.8% 5.2–7.1%
14–24 January 2020 SKOP 6.7% 5.8–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.3–8.5% 4.9–9.0%
6–16 January 2020 Sifo 6.6% 6.2–7.0% 6.1–7.1% 6.1–7.2% 5.9–7.4%
30 December 2019–7 January 2020 Demoskop 5.9% 5.3–6.6% 5.1–6.8% 5.0–7.0% 4.7–7.4%
18 November–15 December 2019 Novus
SVT
6.2% 5.7–6.7% 5.6–6.9% 5.5–7.0% 5.3–7.3%
3–15 December 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
2–12 December 2019 Sifo 6.0% 5.7–6.4% 5.6–6.5% 5.5–6.5% 5.3–6.7%
26 November–4 December 2019 Demoskop 5.9% 5.3–6.6% 5.1–6.8% 5.0–7.0% 4.7–7.4%
28 October–26 November 2019 SCB 6.6% 6.2–7.1% 6.0–7.2% 5.9–7.4% 5.7–7.6%
11–24 November 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.9% 7.1–8.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.7–9.4% 6.3–9.9%
21 October–17 November 2019 Novus
SVT
7.1% 6.6–7.7% 6.4–7.8% 6.3–8.0% 6.1–8.3%
4–14 November 2019 Sifo 7.9% 7.5–8.3% 7.4–8.4% 7.3–8.5% 7.1–8.7%
4–13 November 2019 Demoskop 7.6% 6.9–8.4% 6.7–8.7% 6.5–8.9% 6.2–9.3%
8–21 October 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.3% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–10.0%
23 September–20 October 2019 Novus
SVT
7.0% 6.5–7.6% 6.3–7.7% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.1%
7–17 October 2019 Sifo 6.9% 6.5–7.2% 6.4–7.3% 6.3–7.4% 6.1–7.6%
8–14 October 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
6.5% 5.9–7.3% 5.7–7.5% 5.5–7.7% 5.2–8.0%
24 September–1 October 2019 Demoskop 6.6% 5.9–7.5% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–7.9% 5.2–8.4%
20–25 September 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.2–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.8–7.5%
10–23 September 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.9–8.4% 5.5–8.9%
26 August–22 September 2019 Novus
SVT
6.8% 6.3–7.3% 6.1–7.5% 6.0–7.6% 5.8–7.9%
2–12 September 2019 Sifo 7.3% 7.0–7.7% 6.9–7.8% 6.8–7.9% 6.6–8.0%
27 August–3 September 2019 Demoskop 6.5% 5.8–7.4% 5.6–7.6% 5.4–7.8% 5.1–8.3%
22–28 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
7.7% 7.0–8.5% 6.8–8.7% 6.6–8.9% 6.3–9.4%
5–25 August 2019 Novus
SVT
7.2% 6.6–7.9% 6.4–8.1% 6.3–8.3% 6.0–8.6%
13–25 August 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.9%
6–15 August 2019 Sifo 8.4% 8.0–8.9% 7.8–9.0% 7.7–9.1% 7.5–9.3%
1–8 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
7.3% 6.6–8.1% 6.4–8.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.0–8.9%
25 June–16 July 2019 SKOP 9.2% 8.1–10.4% 7.8–10.8% 7.6–11.1% 7.1–11.7%
24 June–1 July 2019 Demoskop 8.0% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–9.9%
17–24 June 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.1–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.7–8.6%
3–23 June 2019 Novus
SVT
7.7% 7.1–8.4% 6.9–8.6% 6.7–8.7% 6.4–9.1%
4–18 June 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% 7.2–8.9% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.4% 6.4–9.9%
3–13 June 2019 Sifo 9.5% 9.1–9.9% 9.0–10.0% 8.9–10.1% 8.7–10.3%
27 May–3 June 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
7.5% 6.7–8.4% 6.5–8.7% 6.3–8.9% 5.9–9.3%
6 May–2 June 2019 Novus
SVT
10.0% 9.4–10.7% 9.2–10.9% 9.1–11.0% 8.8–11.3%
29 April–28 May 2019 SCB 13.0% 12.5–13.5% 12.4–13.6% 12.3–13.7% 12.1–13.9%
21–28 May 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
9.0% 8.2–9.8% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.5–10.7%
6–21 May 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
12.0% 11.1–12.9% 10.9–13.2% 10.7–13.4% 10.3–13.9%
6–16 May 2019 Sifo 12.0% 11.6–12.4% 11.5–12.6% 11.4–12.7% 11.2–12.9%
10–15 May 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
11.2% 10.5–12.0% 10.3–12.2% 10.1–12.4% 9.8–12.8%
29 April–7 May 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
11.5% 10.5–12.6% 10.3–12.9% 10.0–13.2% 9.6–13.7%
8 April–5 May 2019 Novus
SVT
10.7% 10.0–11.4% 9.8–11.6% 9.7–11.8% 9.4–12.1%
22–29 April 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
11.4% 10.6–12.4% 10.3–12.6% 10.1–12.8% 9.7–13.3%
9–22 April 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
12.1% 11.1–13.3% 10.8–13.6% 10.5–13.9% 10.1–14.4%
1–11 April 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
12.2% 11.8–12.7% 11.6–12.8% 11.5–12.9% 11.3–13.2%
26 March–3 April 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
11.7% 10.7–12.8% 10.4–13.1% 10.2–13.4% 9.8–13.9%
4–31 March 2019 Novus
SVT
10.6% 10.0–11.3% 9.8–11.5% 9.6–11.6% 9.3–12.0%
23–28 March 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
12.1% 11.4–12.9% 11.2–13.1% 11.0–13.3% 10.6–13.7%
7–27 March 2019 SKOP 10.1% 9.1–11.1% 8.9–11.4% 8.6–11.7% 8.2–12.2%
12–25 March 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.3–11.1%
3–14 March 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
9.4% 9.0–9.8% 8.9–9.9% 8.8–10.0% 8.6–10.2%
26 February–5 March 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
10.6% 9.7–11.7% 9.4–12.0% 9.2–12.2% 8.8–12.7%
4 February–3 March 2019 Novus
SVT
8.6% 8.0–9.2% 7.9–9.4% 7.7–9.6% 7.5–9.9%
7–20 February 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
9.0% 8.1–10.0% 7.8–10.3% 7.6–10.5% 7.2–11.0%
11–18 February 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
9.0% 8.2–9.8% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.5–10.7%
4–14 February 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
8.6% 8.2–9.0% 8.1–9.1% 8.0–9.2% 7.8–9.4%
29 January–5 February 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.3% 5.5–8.8%
14 January–3 February 2019 Novus
SVT
7.4% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.5–8.4% 6.2–8.7%
16–23 January 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
8.3% 7.5–9.1% 7.3–9.3% 7.2–9.6% 6.8–10.0%
10–20 January 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.8%
14–17 January 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
7.5% 7.0–8.0% 6.8–8.2% 6.7–8.3% 6.5–8.6%
3–17 January 2019 SKOP 9.5% 8.5–10.7% 8.2–11.1% 7.9–11.4% 7.4–12.0%
2–13 January 2019 Novus
SVT
6.2% 5.6–6.9% 5.4–7.1% 5.3–7.3% 5.0–7.6%
2–8 January 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
7.7% 6.9–8.6% 6.7–8.9% 6.5–9.1% 6.1–9.6%
19–26 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
8.2% 7.5–9.0% 7.3–9.2% 7.1–9.4% 6.8–9.8%
12 November–16 December 2018 Novus
SVT
6.5% 6.1–7.0% 6.0–7.1% 5.9–7.2% 5.7–7.4%
5–16 December 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
8.0% 7.2–9.0% 6.9–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–10.0%
3–13 December 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.6% 6.3–7.0% 6.2–7.1% 6.1–7.1% 5.9–7.3%
4–12 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
7.7% 7.0–8.5% 6.8–8.7% 6.6–8.9% 6.3–9.3%
27 November–4 December 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
5.8% 5.1–6.6% 4.9–6.9% 4.8–7.1% 4.5–7.5%
29 October–27 November 2018 SCB 5.3% 4.9–5.8% 4.8–5.9% 4.7–6.0% 4.5–6.2%
8–19 November 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.5–6.4% 4.3–6.6% 4.0–7.0%
14–19 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
7.0% 6.4–7.7% 6.2–7.9% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4%
5–15 November 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.7% 6.4–7.0% 6.3–7.1% 6.2–7.2% 6.1–7.4%
15 October–11 November 2018 Novus
SVT
5.9% 5.5–6.4% 5.4–6.5% 5.3–6.6% 5.1–6.8%
26 October–6 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
5.9% 5.3–6.6% 5.1–6.8% 5.0–7.0% 4.7–7.3%
30 October–6 November 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
4.9% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.4%
16–24 October 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
5.1% 4.4–5.9% 4.2–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.8–6.7%
8–18 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.0% 5.7–6.3% 5.6–6.4% 5.5–6.5% 5.3–6.7%
1–8 October 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
6.3% 5.6–7.1% 5.4–7.3% 5.2–7.5% 4.9–7.9%
1–4 October 2018 Novus
SVT
6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.2–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.8–7.4%
24 September–2 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
6.4% 6.1–6.8% 6.0–6.9% 5.9–7.0% 5.7–7.1%
25 September–2 October 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
6.1% 5.4–7.0% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.8%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Kristdemokraterna.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 6% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 37% 94%  
5.5–6.5% 46% 57% Last Result, Median
6.5–7.5% 10% 11%  
7.5–8.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 22 seats (General Election of 9 September 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 20 17–23 16–24 15–25 0–26
6–9 September 2022 SKOP 21 19–23 18–24 18–25 17–26
6–9 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
17 15–20 15–21 0–21 0–22
1–9 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
19 17–21 16–22 16–22 15–23
6–8 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
21 19–24 19–25 18–25 17–26
5–8 September 2022 SKOP 25 22–28 22–29 21–30 20–32
6–8 September 2022 Novus
SVT
21 18–24 17–25 17–25 16–27
5–7 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
4–7 September 2022 SKOP          
5–7 September 2022 Novus
SVT
         
4–6 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 20–24 19–25 19–25 17–27
3–6 September 2022 SKOP 22 19–25 19–26 18–27 17–28
4–6 September 2022 Novus
SVT
21 18–24 18–25 17–26 16–27
1–6 September 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
22 20–25 19–26 18–27 17–28
3–5 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
19 17–22 17–23 16–23 15–24
2–5 September 2022 SKOP 21 18–25 17–26 17–26 15–28
3–5 September 2022 Novus
SVT
22 19–25 18–26 18–27 16–28
2–4 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 19–24 19–25 18–26 17–27
1 August–4 September 2022 SKOP 21 18–24 17–25 16–26 15–28
2–4 September 2022 Novus
SVT
24 21–26 20–27 19–29 18–30
31 August–4 September 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
19 16–21 16–22 16–22 15–24
1–3 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 20–25 19–26 19–26 18–28
31 August–3 September 2022 SKOP          
1–3 September 2022 Novus
SVT
         
31 August–2 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
23 21–26 20–27 20–27 19–29
30 August–2 September 2022 SKOP          
31 August–2 September 2022 Novus
SVT
         
30 August–1 September 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
29 August–1 September 2022 SKOP          
30 August–1 September 2022 Novus
SVT
         
29–31 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
20 18–22 18–24 17–24 16–26
28–31 August 2022 SKOP 22 19–25 18–26 17–27 16–29
29–31 August 2022 Novus
SVT
25 22–28 22–30 21–30 20–32
28–30 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
27–30 August 2022 SKOP          
28–30 August 2022 Novus
SVT
23 21–27 20–28 19–28 18–30
26–30 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
22 19–25 18–26 17–27 16–28
27–29 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
19 17–21 16–22 15–22 14–24
26–29 August 2022 SKOP          
27–29 August 2022 Novus
SVT
         
21–29 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
19 17–21 17–22 16–23 15–24
26–28 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
18 16–20 15–20 15–21 0–23
24–28 August 2022 SKOP 23 21–27 20–27 19–28 18–30
26–28 August 2022 Novus
SVT
23 20–26 19–27 19–28 18–29
25–27 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
23–27 August 2022 SKOP          
25–27 August 2022 Novus
SVT
         
24–26 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
22–26 August 2022 SKOP          
24–26 August 2022 Novus
SVT
         
23–25 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
21 18–23 18–24 17–24 16–26
21–25 August 2022 SKOP 22 19–25 18–26 18–27 17–29
23–25 August 2022 Novus
SVT
22 19–25 18–25 18–26 17–28
22–24 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
20 18–22 17–23 17–24 16–25
20–24 August 2022 SKOP 22 19–26 18–27 18–28 16–30
22–24 August 2022 Novus
SVT
20 17–22 16–23 16–24 15–26
16–24 August 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
20 17–23 17–23 16–24 15–26
21–23 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 20–25 20–26 19–26 18–28
19–23 August 2022 SKOP 18 15–20 0–21 0–22 0–24
21–23 August 2022 Novus
SVT
18 15–21 15–21 14–22 0–23
20–22 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
24 21–26 21–27 20–28 19–29
20–22 August 2022 Novus
SVT
18 16–21 15–21 15–22 0–23
19–21 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
         
18–21 August 2022 SKOP 17 15–20 0–21 0–22 0–24
19–21 August 2022 Novus
SVT
         
16–21 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
23 21–25 20–26 19–27 18–28
18–20 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
21 18–23 17–24 17–25 16–26
17–19 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
21 19–24 18–25 18–26 17–27
16–18 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 19–24 18–25 18–26 17–27
15–17 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
20 18–22 17–23 17–24 16–25
14–16 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
21 19–24 18–24 18–25 17–26
6–16 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
20 18–23 18–24 17–24 16–26
13–15 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 20–25 19–26 19–26 17–27
12–14 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
23 21–26 20–27 19–27 18–29
8–14 August 2022 Novus
SVT
20 18–23 17–23 17–24 16–25
11–13 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
24 22–27 21–28 20–29 19–30
10–12 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
25 21–27 21–28 20–29 19–30
9–11 August 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 19–25 19–25 18–26 17–27
1–7 August 2022 Novus
SVT
22 20–25 19–26 19–26 18–28
24 July–2 August 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
25 22–27 22–27 21–28 20–29
8–11 July 2022 SKOP 21 18–25 17–26 16–27 15–29
22–30 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
22 19–24 19–25 18–26 17–27
6–26 June 2022 Novus
SVT
25 22–27 22–28 21–28 20–29
7–19 June 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
22 19–25 19–26 18–26 17–28
6–16 June 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
23 22–25 22–25 21–25 21–26
31 May–9 June 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
21 18–24 18–24 17–25 16–26
9 May–5 June 2022 Novus
SVT
24 22–26 22–26 21–27 20–28
28 April–25 May 2022 SCB 20 19–21 19–21 18–22 18–22
10–22 May 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
19 17–22 16–23 0–24 0–25
2–12 May 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
21 20–23 20–23 19–24 19–24
4–10 May 2022 Infostat 23 20–26 19–27 19–27 17–29
26 April–4 May 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
26 23–29 23–30 22–30 21–31
4 April–1 May 2022 Novus
SVT
22 20–24 20–25 19–25 18–26
12–26 April 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
22 20–25 19–26 18–27 17–29
11–21 April 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
18 17–20 17–20 17–20 16–21
6–14 April 2022 SKOP 22 19–26 18–27 17–28 16–30
29 March–5 April 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
20 18–23 18–23 17–24 16–25
7 March–3 April 2022 Novus
SVT
21 20–23 19–24 19–24 18–25
15–27 March 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
22 19–25 19–26 18–27 17–29
7–17 March 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
18 17–20 17–20 16–20 16–21
1–9 March 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
25 22–27 21–28 20–28 20–30
31 January–27 February 2022 Novus
SVT
19 17–21 16–22 16–22 15–24
8–20 February 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
19 17–22 16–22 15–23 0–24
7–17 February 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
20 19–21 18–22 18–22 17–23
11–14 February 2022 SKOP 16 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–23
1–8 February 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
21 19–23 18–24 18–25 17–25
3–30 January 2022 Novus
SVT
20 18–22 18–23 18–23 17–24
11–24 January 2022 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
23 20–25 19–26 18–27 17–29
10–20 January 2022 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
17 15–18 0–18 0–19 0–19
28 December 2021–5 January 2022 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
21 18–23 18–24 17–24 16–25
6 December 2021–2 January 2022 Novus
SVT
21 19–24 18–24 17–25 16–26
7–20 December 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
19 16–22 15–22 15–23 0–25
6–16 December 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
20 18–21 18–21 18–22 17–22
30 November–8 December 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
22 20–25 20–25 19–26 18–27
8 November–5 December 2021 Novus
SVT
18 16–19 16–20 15–20 0–21
28 October–25 November 2021 SCB 17 16–18 16–19 15–19 15–19
9–22 November 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
22 20–25 19–26 19–27 17–28
8–18 November 2021 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
17 16–19 16–19 15–20 0–20
5–11 November 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
20 18–22 17–23 17–24 16–25
4–31 October 2021 Novus
SVT
15 0–17 0–17 0–17 0–18
12–25 October 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
16 0–16 0–16 0–19 0–20
15–17 October 2021 SKOP 0 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–20
4–14 October 2021 Sifo          
29 September–6 October 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
         
30 August–3 October 2021 Novus
SVT
         
14–26 September 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
         
6–16 September 2021 Sifo          
3–11 September 2021 SKOP          
31 August–8 September 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
         
2–29 August 2021 Novus
SVT
         
10–23 August 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
         
9–18 August 2021 Sifo          
2–5 August 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
20 17–22 17–23 17–24 16–25
19–26 July 2021 Novus
SVT
17 15–19 0–19 0–20 0–21
19–23 July 2021 SKOP 0 0–16 0–17 0–18 0–20
29 June–7 July 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
23 21–26 20–26 20–27 19–27
23–28 June 2021 Demoskop
Aftonbladet
26 23–28 22–29 22–30 21–31
21–27 June 2021 Novus
SVT
19 17–21 16–21 16–22 0–23
8–20 June 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
23 20–26 19–27 19–27 17–29
7–17 June 2021 Sifo 19 18–20 17–21 17–21 17–22
3 May–6 June 2021 Novus
SVT
19 18–21 18–22 17–22 16–23
26 May–2 June 2021 Demoskop 21 19–23 19–24 18–25 17–26
28 April–27 May 2021 SCB 17 16–18 15–18 15–18 0–19
11–23 May 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
19 16–22 15–22 0–23 0–25
3–13 May 2021 Sifo 19 18–21 18–21 18–21 17–22
28 April–5 May 2021 Demoskop 19 17–22 17–22 16–23 15–24
5 April–2 May 2021 Novus
SVT
20 18–22 18–22 17–23 16–24
13–25 April 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
19 17–21 16–22 15–23 0–24
5–15 April 2021 Sifo 18 16–19 16–19 16–20 15–21
30 March–7 April 2021 Demoskop 20 18–22 17–23 17–24 16–24
1 March–4 April 2021 Novus
SVT
15 0–17 0–17 0–18 0–18
9–21 March 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
0 0–17 0–18 0–19 0–21
1–11 March 2021 Sifo 16 15–17 15–17 15–18 0–19
26 February–3 March 2021 Demoskop 22 20–24 19–25 19–26 18–27
1–28 February 2021 Novus
SVT
15 0–17 0–17 0–18 0–18
19–23 February 2021 SKOP 17 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–24
9–21 February 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
18 16–21 15–22 0–23 0–25
1–11 February 2021 Sifo 16 0–17 0–18 0–18 0–19
26 January–3 February 2021 Demoskop 25 22–27 22–28 21–29 20–30
11–31 January 2021 Novus
SVT
17 16–19 15–20 15–20 0–22
13–25 January 2021 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
19 16–22 16–22 0–24 0–25
11–21 January 2021 Sifo 18 17–20 17–20 17–21 16–21
29 December 2020–11 January 2021 Demoskop 21 19–24 19–25 18–25 17–27
7 December 2020–10 January 2021 Novus
SVT
17 15–19 0–20 0–20 0–21
1–13 December 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
19 15–21 15–21 0–22 0–24
30 November–10 December 2020 Sifo 21 19–22 19–22 18–22 18–23
9 November–6 December 2020 Novus
SVT
20 18–22 18–22 17–23 17–24
30 November–3 December 2020 SKOP 24 21–28 20–29 18–30 17–32
26 November–2 December 2020 Demoskop 21 19–23 19–24 18–25 17–26
2–26 November 2020 SCB 20 18–22 18–22 18–22 17–23
10–22 November 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
18 16–21 15–22 15–23 0–25
2–11 November 2020 Sifo 21 19–24 18–25 17–26 16–27
12 October–8 November 2020 Novus
SVT
19 17–21 17–21 16–22 15–22
27 October–4 November 2020 Demoskop 26 23–29 23–30 22–31 21–32
23–26 October 2020 SKOP 22 19–26 18–27 17–28 16–30
13–25 October 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
21 19–25 18–26 17–26 17–27
5–15 October 2020 Sifo 22 20–23 20–24 20–24 19–25
14 September–11 October 2020 Novus
SVT
21 19–23 19–23 18–23 17–25
1–7 October 2020 Demoskop 25 23–28 22–29 22–29 21–31
8–21 September 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
26 23–29 22–30 21–31 20–33
7–17 September 2020 Sifo 24 22–25 21–26 21–26 20–27
24 August–13 September 2020 Novus
SVT
21 19–23 19–24 18–24 17–26
25 August–1 September 2020 Demoskop 20 18–22 17–23 17–24 16–25
3–23 August 2020 Novus
SVT
22 20–24 20–24 19–25 18–26
11–23 August 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
22 20–26 19–26 18–28 17–29
10–20 August 2020 Sifo 24 22–25 22–26 21–26 21–27
28 July–4 August 2020 Demoskop 22 20–23 19–24 18–25 17–26
23–28 July 2020 SKOP 22 19–26 18–27 17–28 16–31
30 June–7 July 2020 Demoskop 22 19–24 19–25 18–25 17–27
25 May–21 June 2020 Novus
SVT
21 20–23 19–24 19–24 18–25
12–15 June 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
26 23–29 22–30 22–31 20–33
1–11 June 2020 Sifo 26 24–27 24–28 24–28 23–29
26 May–3 June 2020 Demoskop 24 22–27 21–27 21–28 19–29
31 May–2 June 2020 SKOP 22 18–25 17–26 16–27 15–29
29 April–27 May 2020 SCB 24 22–25 22–26 22–26 21–27
27 April–24 May 2020 Novus
SVT
20 19–22 18–23 18–23 17–24
12–24 May 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
22 19–25 19–26 18–27 16–29
4–14 May 2020 Sifo 23 22–25 21–25 21–25 20–26
30 April–8 May 2020 SKOP 19 16–22 15–23 0–24 0–27
28 April–5 May 2020 Demoskop 24 22–27 21–27 21–28 20–30
14–26 April 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
22 19–25 19–26 18–28 17–28
30 March–19 April 2020 Novus
SVT
23 21–25 20–25 20–26 19–27
30 March–8 April 2020 Sifo 22 21–24 20–24 20–24 19–25
25 March–1 April 2020 Demoskop 24 22–27 21–28 21–29 20–30
24 February–22 March 2020 Novus
SVT
24 22–26 21–27 21–27 20–28
10–20 March 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
22 19–23 19–24 18–25 17–28
2–12 March 2020 Sifo 25 23–26 23–26 23–27 22–28
25 February–3 March 2020 Demoskop 27 25–30 24–31 24–32 23–33
11–23 February 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
29 26–32 25–34 24–34 23–36
27 January–16 February 2020 Novus
SVT
21 20–24 19–24 19–25 18–26
3–13 February 2020 Sifo 22 21–23 20–24 20–24 19–25
25 January–5 February 2020 Demoskop 23 21–26 20–27 20–28 19–29
14–27 January 2020 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
26 22–29 21–30 21–31 20–33
7–26 January 2020 Novus
SVT
22 21–24 20–25 20–25 19–26
14–24 January 2020 SKOP 25 21–29 20–30 19–31 18–33
6–16 January 2020 Sifo 24 22–26 22–26 22–26 21–27
30 December 2019–7 January 2020 Demoskop 22 19–24 19–25 18–26 17–27
18 November–15 December 2019 Novus
SVT
23 21–24 21–25 20–25 19–27
3–15 December 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
21 19–24 18–25 17–26 16–27
2–12 December 2019 Sifo 22 20–23 20–24 19–24 19–24
26 November–4 December 2019 Demoskop 21 19–24 18–25 18–26 17–27
28 October–26 November 2019 SCB 24 22–25 22–26 21–27 20–28
11–24 November 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
28 26–32 25–33 25–34 23–36
21 October–17 November 2019 Novus
SVT
26 24–28 24–29 23–29 22–30
4–14 November 2019 Sifo 29 28–31 27–31 27–31 26–32
4–13 November 2019 Demoskop 28 25–31 24–32 23–32 22–34
8–21 October 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
29 26–32 25–33 25–34 23–36
23 September–20 October 2019 Novus
SVT
26 24–28 23–28 23–29 22–30
7–17 October 2019 Sifo 25 23–26 23–27 22–27 22–28
8–14 October 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
25 22–27 21–28 20–28 19–30
24 September–1 October 2019 Demoskop 24 21–27 21–28 20–29 19–30
20–25 September 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
23 20–25 19–26 19–27 18–28
10–23 September 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
25 22–28 21–29 21–30 19–31
26 August–22 September 2019 Novus
SVT
25 23–27 23–28 22–28 21–29
2–12 September 2019 Sifo 26 25–27 24–28 24–28 24–29
27 August–3 September 2019 Demoskop 23 21–26 20–27 19–28 18–29
22–28 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
28 25–31 24–32 24–33 23–35
5–25 August 2019 Novus
SVT
26 24–29 23–30 23–30 22–32
13–25 August 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
25 22–28 21–29 21–30 19–31
6–15 August 2019 Sifo 31 29–32 28–33 28–33 27–34
1–8 August 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
28 25–31 24–31 23–32 22–34
25 June–16 July 2019 SKOP 32 29–36 28–38 27–39 25–41
24 June–1 July 2019 Demoskop 29 26–32 26–33 25–34 23–36
17–24 June 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
26 23–29 22–29 22–30 21–32
3–23 June 2019 Novus
SVT
28 26–31 25–31 24–32 24–33
4–18 June 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
28 26–31 25–32 24–33 23–35
3–13 June 2019 Sifo 35 33–36 33–37 32–37 32–38
27 May–3 June 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
27 24–31 24–32 23–32 21–34
6 May–2 June 2019 Novus
SVT
36 33–38 33–39 32–40 31–41
29 April–28 May 2019 SCB 48 46–50 45–50 44–50 44–51
21–28 May 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
33 30–36 30–37 29–38 28–40
6–21 May 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
44 40–47 39–48 38–49 37–51
6–16 May 2019 Sifo 44 42–46 42–46 41–47 40–47
10–15 May 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
41 38–44 37–45 37–46 35–47
29 April–7 May 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
42 39–46 38–48 37–49 35–51
8 April–5 May 2019 Novus
SVT
39 36–42 36–42 35–43 34–45
22–29 April 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
42 39–46 38–47 37–48 35–49
9–22 April 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
44 40–49 39–50 38–52 36–54
1–11 April 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
45 43–46 43–47 42–47 41–48
26 March–3 April 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
43 39–47 38–48 37–49 35–51
4–31 March 2019 Novus
SVT
40 37–43 37–43 36–44 35–45
23–28 March 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
45 42–47 41–49 40–49 39–51
7–27 March 2019 SKOP 37 33–41 32–42 31–43 30–45
12–25 March 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
33 30–37 29–39 28–39 26–41
3–14 March 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
36 34–37 33–38 33–38 32–39
26 February–5 March 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
39 36–43 35–44 34–45 33–48
4 February–3 March 2019 Novus
SVT
33 30–35 29–35 29–35 28–37
7–20 February 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
33 29–37 28–38 28–39 26–41
11–18 February 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
33 31–36 30–37 29–38 28–40
4–14 February 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
31 30–33 29–34 29–34 28–35
29 January–5 February 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
26 24–30 23–31 22–31 21–33
14 January–3 February 2019 Novus
SVT
28 25–30 25–31 25–32 24–33
16–23 January 2019 Inizio
Aftonbladet
31 28–34 27–35 27–36 25–37
10–20 January 2019 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
25 22–29 21–30 21–30 20–32
14–17 January 2019 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
28 26–30 25–31 25–31 24–32
3–17 January 2019 SKOP 37 33–41 31–42 31–43 28–45
2–13 January 2019 Novus
SVT
23 21–26 20–26 20–27 19–29
2–8 January 2019 Demoskop
Expressen
28 25–32 24–32 24–34 22–35
19–26 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
30 28–33 27–34 26–35 25–36
12 November–16 December 2018 Novus
SVT
24 22–26 22–26 21–27 21–28
5–16 December 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
29 26–33 25–34 24–35 23–37
3–13 December 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
24 22–26 22–26 22–27 21–27
4–12 December 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
29 26–32 26–33 25–34 24–35
27 November–4 December 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
21 19–24 18–25 17–26 16–27
29 October–27 November 2018 SCB 19 18–21 17–21 17–22 16–23
8–19 November 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
20 17–22 16–23 15–24 0–26
14–19 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
26 24–29 23–30 22–30 21–32
5–15 November 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
24 23–25 22–26 22–26 22–27
15 October–11 November 2018 Novus
SVT
22 20–23 20–24 19–24 19–25
26 October–6 November 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
22 20–25 19–26 18–26 17–28
30 October–6 November 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
18 15–21 15–22 0–22 0–24
16–24 October 2018 Ipsos
Dagens Nyheter
18 15–21 15–22 0–23 0–24
8–18 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
22 20–23 20–23 20–23 19–24
1–8 October 2018 Inizio
Aftonbladet
23 20–25 19–26 19–27 18–28
1–4 October 2018 Novus
SVT
21 19–24 18–25 18–25 17–27
24 September–2 October 2018 Sifo
Svenska Dagbladet
23 22–24 21–24 21–25 20–25
25 September–2 October 2018 Demoskop
Expressen
22 20–26 19–26 18–27 17–29

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Kristdemokraterna.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100%  
1 0% 99.3%  
2 0% 99.3%  
3 0% 99.3%  
4 0% 99.3%  
5 0% 99.3%  
6 0% 99.3%  
7 0% 99.3%  
8 0% 99.3%  
9 0% 99.3%  
10 0% 99.3%  
11 0% 99.3%  
12 0% 99.3%  
13 0% 99.3%  
14 0.2% 99.3%  
15 2% 99.1%  
16 5% 97%  
17 8% 92%  
18 11% 84%  
19 14% 73%  
20 16% 58% Median
21 17% 42%  
22 11% 25% Last Result
23 6% 14%  
24 4% 7%  
25 3% 4%  
26 0.7% 1.0%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%