Opinion Poll by SKOP, 3–17 January 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 30.2% 28.5–32.0% 28.0–32.5% 27.6–33.0% 26.8–33.8%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 18.1% 16.7–19.6% 16.3–20.1% 15.9–20.5% 15.3–21.2%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 16.9% 15.6–18.5% 15.2–18.9% 14.8–19.3% 14.2–20.0%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 9.5% 8.5–10.7% 8.2–11.1% 7.9–11.4% 7.4–12.0%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 8.9% 7.9–10.1% 7.6–10.4% 7.3–10.7% 6.9–11.3%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 8.3% 7.4–9.5% 7.1–9.8% 6.8–10.1% 6.4–10.7%
Liberalerna 5.5% 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.8%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 3.1% 2.6–3.9% 2.4–4.1% 2.3–4.3% 2.0–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 115 108–121 106–122 103–124 98–127
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 65 61–70 59–72 57–74 55–77
Sverigedemokraterna 62 63 57–68 56–70 54–71 52–74
Kristdemokraterna 22 37 33–41 31–42 31–43 28–45
Vänsterpartiet 28 33 29–37 28–38 28–39 25–42
Centerpartiet 31 30 26–34 25–35 24–36 23–38
Liberalerna 20 0 0–16 0–17 0–18 0–20
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 0 0 0–14 0–16 0–17

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.2% 99.7%  
98 0.2% 99.6%  
99 0.2% 99.4%  
100 0.3% 99.2% Last Result
101 0.3% 98.9%  
102 0.4% 98.6%  
103 0.9% 98%  
104 0.9% 97%  
105 1.3% 96%  
106 2% 95%  
107 2% 93%  
108 3% 91%  
109 5% 88%  
110 5% 82%  
111 6% 77%  
112 8% 71%  
113 4% 62%  
114 7% 58%  
115 8% 51% Median
116 8% 43%  
117 6% 34%  
118 7% 29%  
119 6% 21%  
120 5% 15%  
121 3% 11%  
122 3% 8%  
123 1.5% 5%  
124 1.4% 3%  
125 1.1% 2%  
126 0.5% 1.0%  
127 0.2% 0.5%  
128 0.1% 0.3%  
129 0.1% 0.2%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.8%  
55 0.4% 99.6%  
56 0.7% 99.2%  
57 1.4% 98.6%  
58 2% 97%  
59 2% 96%  
60 2% 94%  
61 10% 91%  
62 12% 81%  
63 8% 70%  
64 7% 62%  
65 15% 56% Median
66 11% 41%  
67 3% 30%  
68 4% 27%  
69 8% 22%  
70 6% 15% Last Result
71 3% 8%  
72 0.9% 6%  
73 2% 5%  
74 1.3% 3%  
75 0.5% 1.3%  
76 0.2% 0.8%  
77 0.2% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.9%  
52 0.5% 99.7%  
53 0.6% 99.1%  
54 1.3% 98.6%  
55 1.3% 97%  
56 3% 96%  
57 4% 93%  
58 6% 90%  
59 8% 84%  
60 6% 76%  
61 11% 69%  
62 7% 59% Last Result
63 10% 51% Median
64 8% 41%  
65 8% 34%  
66 4% 26%  
67 8% 21%  
68 5% 14%  
69 2% 9%  
70 3% 6%  
71 1.1% 4%  
72 1.0% 2%  
73 0.8% 1.4%  
74 0.3% 0.6%  
75 0.1% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 0.4% 99.8%  
29 0.8% 99.3%  
30 0.9% 98.6%  
31 3% 98%  
32 4% 95%  
33 5% 91%  
34 9% 86%  
35 13% 77%  
36 12% 64%  
37 19% 52% Median
38 9% 34%  
39 7% 25%  
40 8% 19%  
41 3% 11%  
42 4% 7%  
43 2% 3%  
44 0.6% 1.2%  
45 0.4% 0.6%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.4% 99.8%  
26 0.6% 99.4%  
27 1.0% 98.8%  
28 6% 98% Last Result
29 6% 91%  
30 12% 86%  
31 10% 73%  
32 9% 63%  
33 9% 54% Median
34 10% 45%  
35 11% 36%  
36 11% 24%  
37 6% 13%  
38 4% 7%  
39 1.1% 3%  
40 0.7% 2%  
41 0.8% 2%  
42 0.4% 0.8%  
43 0.2% 0.4%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100%  
22 0.2% 99.9%  
23 0.8% 99.7%  
24 2% 99.0%  
25 3% 97%  
26 6% 94%  
27 10% 89%  
28 12% 78%  
29 12% 67%  
30 11% 55% Median
31 18% 44% Last Result
32 8% 26%  
33 6% 18%  
34 6% 12%  
35 3% 6%  
36 2% 3%  
37 0.9% 2%  
38 0.4% 0.8%  
39 0.2% 0.4%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 58% 100% Median
1 0% 42%  
2 0% 42%  
3 0% 42%  
4 0% 42%  
5 0% 42%  
6 0% 42%  
7 0% 42%  
8 0% 42%  
9 0% 42%  
10 0% 42%  
11 0% 42%  
12 0% 42%  
13 0% 42%  
14 0.9% 42%  
15 19% 41%  
16 12% 22%  
17 6% 10%  
18 2% 4%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.5% 0.7% Last Result
21 0.1% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0% 5%  
4 0% 5%  
5 0% 5%  
6 0% 5%  
7 0% 5%  
8 0% 5%  
9 0% 5%  
10 0% 5%  
11 0% 5%  
12 0% 5%  
13 0% 5%  
14 0.3% 5%  
15 2% 5%  
16 2% 3% Last Result
17 0.5% 0.9%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 210 100% 199–219 196–221 195–223 190–226
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna 195 184 94% 176–193 174–195 172–197 169–201
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 180 72% 170–188 169–191 166–193 161–196
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna 154 165 6% 156–173 154–175 152–177 148–180
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna 167 152 0.1% 143–160 141–163 138–165 135–170
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 148 0% 141–156 138–158 136–160 131–164
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 148 0% 140–154 137–157 135–158 129–161
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 143 138 0% 130–146 127–150 125–152 123–157
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet 123 132 0% 124–139 122–141 120–144 116–147
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna 132 128 0% 121–135 118–137 117–139 113–142
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 115 0% 108–122 106–124 104–126 99–131
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 101 0% 95–109 93–110 92–113 90–125
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 95 0% 89–101 87–102 86–104 84–109

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
184 0% 100%  
185 0.1% 99.9%  
186 0% 99.9%  
187 0% 99.9%  
188 0.1% 99.8%  
189 0.2% 99.7%  
190 0.1% 99.5%  
191 0.2% 99.4%  
192 0.4% 99.2%  
193 0.5% 98.8%  
194 0.7% 98%  
195 1.4% 98%  
196 1.5% 96%  
197 1.3% 95%  
198 1.4% 93%  
199 4% 92%  
200 4% 88%  
201 2% 84% Last Result
202 3% 82%  
203 3% 79%  
204 6% 76%  
205 3% 70%  
206 5% 67%  
207 4% 62%  
208 4% 58%  
209 3% 54%  
210 4% 51% Median
211 4% 47%  
212 5% 42%  
213 4% 37%  
214 7% 34%  
215 3% 26%  
216 4% 24%  
217 3% 19%  
218 3% 16%  
219 5% 14%  
220 3% 9%  
221 2% 6%  
222 0.6% 3%  
223 1.2% 3%  
224 0.4% 2%  
225 0.3% 1.1%  
226 0.5% 0.8%  
227 0.1% 0.4%  
228 0.1% 0.3%  
229 0.1% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0.2% 99.9%  
168 0.2% 99.7%  
169 0.3% 99.5%  
170 0.7% 99.2%  
171 0.8% 98.5%  
172 1.2% 98%  
173 1.2% 97%  
174 2% 95%  
175 2% 94% Majority
176 2% 92%  
177 3% 90%  
178 3% 87% Median
179 4% 84%  
180 7% 80%  
181 4% 73%  
182 8% 69%  
183 4% 61%  
184 8% 57%  
185 5% 49%  
186 3% 44%  
187 8% 41%  
188 5% 33%  
189 5% 28%  
190 3% 23%  
191 6% 20%  
192 4% 14%  
193 2% 10%  
194 2% 8%  
195 1.4% 6% Last Result
196 2% 4%  
197 0.5% 3%  
198 0.4% 2%  
199 0.4% 2%  
200 0.3% 1.2%  
201 0.4% 0.9%  
202 0.1% 0.4%  
203 0.2% 0.3%  
204 0% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0.1% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.8%  
160 0.2% 99.7%  
161 0.1% 99.5%  
162 0.3% 99.4%  
163 0.2% 99.1%  
164 0.6% 98.8%  
165 0.5% 98%  
166 0.6% 98%  
167 0.8% 97%  
168 1.4% 96%  
169 2% 95%  
170 4% 93% Last Result
171 2% 89%  
172 4% 87%  
173 6% 82%  
174 5% 77%  
175 4% 72% Majority
176 4% 68%  
177 3% 64%  
178 4% 62%  
179 6% 57%  
180 7% 52% Median
181 4% 45%  
182 4% 41%  
183 7% 36%  
184 5% 29%  
185 6% 24%  
186 4% 19%  
187 4% 15%  
188 3% 11%  
189 1.0% 8%  
190 2% 7%  
191 2% 5%  
192 0.9% 3%  
193 0.5% 3%  
194 1.1% 2%  
195 0.3% 0.9%  
196 0.2% 0.6%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0.2% 99.8%  
147 0.1% 99.7%  
148 0.4% 99.6%  
149 0.3% 99.1%  
150 0.4% 98.8%  
151 0.4% 98%  
152 0.5% 98%  
153 2% 97%  
154 1.4% 96% Last Result
155 2% 94%  
156 2% 92%  
157 4% 90%  
158 6% 86%  
159 3% 80%  
160 5% 77%  
161 5% 72%  
162 8% 67%  
163 3% 59%  
164 5% 56%  
165 8% 51% Median
166 4% 43%  
167 8% 39%  
168 4% 31%  
169 7% 27%  
170 4% 20%  
171 3% 16%  
172 3% 13%  
173 2% 10%  
174 2% 8%  
175 2% 6% Majority
176 1.2% 5%  
177 1.2% 3%  
178 0.8% 2%  
179 0.7% 1.5%  
180 0.3% 0.8%  
181 0.2% 0.5%  
182 0.2% 0.3%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.8%  
134 0.1% 99.7%  
135 0.2% 99.6%  
136 0.5% 99.5%  
137 0.8% 99.0%  
138 0.8% 98%  
139 0.9% 97%  
140 1.1% 96%  
141 1.1% 95%  
142 4% 94%  
143 4% 90%  
144 3% 87%  
145 3% 83% Median
146 3% 81%  
147 3% 78%  
148 7% 75%  
149 7% 68%  
150 4% 61%  
151 5% 57%  
152 5% 52%  
153 8% 47%  
154 7% 40%  
155 4% 32%  
156 3% 28%  
157 5% 25%  
158 5% 20%  
159 4% 15%  
160 1.2% 11%  
161 3% 10%  
162 1.0% 7%  
163 1.5% 6%  
164 0.9% 4%  
165 0.8% 3%  
166 0.7% 2%  
167 0.4% 2% Last Result
168 0.3% 1.3%  
169 0.3% 0.9%  
170 0.1% 0.6%  
171 0.2% 0.5%  
172 0.1% 0.3%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1% Majority
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.8%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.1% 99.7%  
131 0.1% 99.5%  
132 0.2% 99.4%  
133 0.2% 99.2%  
134 0.4% 99.0%  
135 0.6% 98.5%  
136 2% 98%  
137 0.6% 96%  
138 1.1% 96%  
139 2% 95%  
140 2% 92%  
141 1.3% 90%  
142 3% 89%  
143 6% 86%  
144 8% 80% Last Result
145 6% 72%  
146 6% 66%  
147 5% 60%  
148 6% 55% Median
149 8% 49%  
150 7% 41%  
151 5% 34%  
152 7% 29%  
153 5% 21%  
154 3% 16%  
155 2% 13%  
156 3% 10%  
157 2% 8%  
158 2% 6%  
159 0.7% 3%  
160 0.5% 3%  
161 0.6% 2%  
162 0.3% 1.5%  
163 0.5% 1.1%  
164 0.2% 0.6%  
165 0.1% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.1% 99.7% Last Result
129 0.1% 99.6%  
130 0.2% 99.5%  
131 0.2% 99.3%  
132 0.3% 99.1%  
133 0.4% 98.8%  
134 0.6% 98%  
135 0.8% 98%  
136 2% 97%  
137 0.8% 95%  
138 1.4% 94%  
139 3% 93%  
140 2% 90%  
141 1.5% 88%  
142 4% 86%  
143 7% 83%  
144 8% 76%  
145 6% 68%  
146 6% 62%  
147 5% 56%  
148 6% 51% Median
149 8% 44%  
150 7% 37%  
151 5% 30%  
152 7% 25%  
153 5% 18%  
154 3% 13%  
155 2% 10%  
156 3% 8%  
157 2% 5%  
158 2% 3%  
159 0.5% 2%  
160 0.4% 1.2%  
161 0.4% 0.8%  
162 0.2% 0.4%  
163 0.2% 0.3%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0.1% 100%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.8%  
123 0.4% 99.6%  
124 0.5% 99.3%  
125 1.4% 98.7%  
126 0.8% 97%  
127 2% 96%  
128 1.4% 94%  
129 2% 93%  
130 2% 91%  
131 2% 88%  
132 4% 86% Median
133 5% 82%  
134 8% 77%  
135 4% 69%  
136 8% 65%  
137 4% 57%  
138 7% 54%  
139 5% 47%  
140 5% 42%  
141 8% 37%  
142 6% 29%  
143 2% 23% Last Result
144 3% 20%  
145 3% 17%  
146 5% 15%  
147 2% 10%  
148 0.9% 8%  
149 1.1% 7%  
150 2% 6%  
151 1.3% 4%  
152 0.9% 3%  
153 0.2% 2%  
154 0.4% 1.4%  
155 0.2% 1.0%  
156 0.2% 0.8%  
157 0.1% 0.6%  
158 0.1% 0.5%  
159 0.1% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.2%  
162 0.1% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.8%  
116 0.4% 99.7%  
117 0.5% 99.3%  
118 0.3% 98.9%  
119 0.5% 98.6%  
120 1.1% 98%  
121 0.8% 97%  
122 2% 96%  
123 3% 94% Last Result
124 3% 92%  
125 4% 89%  
126 8% 85%  
127 6% 76%  
128 4% 70%  
129 3% 66%  
130 7% 63%  
131 3% 56%  
132 5% 53% Median
133 6% 47%  
134 8% 41%  
135 5% 33%  
136 8% 28%  
137 3% 20%  
138 6% 17%  
139 2% 11%  
140 3% 9%  
141 1.5% 6%  
142 1.2% 5%  
143 0.6% 3%  
144 0.8% 3%  
145 1.1% 2%  
146 0.2% 0.8%  
147 0.3% 0.6%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0.1% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0.1%  
152 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0.1% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0.3% 99.7%  
114 0.3% 99.4%  
115 0.5% 99.0%  
116 0.8% 98.6%  
117 0.7% 98%  
118 3% 97%  
119 1.3% 95%  
120 1.4% 93%  
121 6% 92%  
122 4% 86%  
123 4% 82%  
124 8% 78%  
125 7% 70%  
126 6% 63%  
127 7% 57%  
128 5% 50% Median
129 7% 45%  
130 7% 39%  
131 5% 32%  
132 6% 27% Last Result
133 5% 20%  
134 4% 16%  
135 3% 12%  
136 3% 9%  
137 1.4% 6%  
138 2% 5%  
139 1.2% 3%  
140 0.5% 2%  
141 0.4% 1.1%  
142 0.3% 0.7%  
143 0.2% 0.5%  
144 0.2% 0.3%  
145 0.1% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.8%  
98 0.1% 99.7%  
99 0.2% 99.6%  
100 0.3% 99.4%  
101 0.3% 99.2%  
102 0.3% 98.9%  
103 0.6% 98.7%  
104 0.8% 98%  
105 1.1% 97%  
106 2% 96%  
107 1.3% 94%  
108 3% 93%  
109 5% 90%  
110 5% 85%  
111 6% 80%  
112 8% 74%  
113 4% 66%  
114 7% 62%  
115 8% 56% Median
116 8% 47% Last Result
117 6% 39%  
118 7% 33%  
119 6% 26%  
120 5% 20%  
121 3% 15%  
122 4% 12%  
123 2% 8%  
124 2% 7%  
125 2% 5%  
126 0.8% 3%  
127 0.6% 2%  
128 0.4% 2%  
129 0.4% 1.3%  
130 0.3% 0.9%  
131 0.2% 0.6%  
132 0.1% 0.4%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.2% 100%  
89 0.2% 99.7%  
90 0.2% 99.6%  
91 1.2% 99.3%  
92 2% 98%  
93 2% 97%  
94 4% 94%  
95 4% 91% Median
96 11% 87%  
97 7% 75%  
98 5% 68%  
99 8% 64%  
100 6% 56%  
101 4% 50%  
102 4% 46%  
103 2% 42%  
104 4% 40%  
105 10% 36%  
106 5% 26%  
107 2% 21%  
108 3% 19%  
109 8% 15%  
110 4% 7%  
111 0.7% 4%  
112 0.4% 3%  
113 0.5% 3%  
114 0.2% 2%  
115 0% 2%  
116 0% 2%  
117 0.1% 2%  
118 0.1% 2%  
119 0.1% 2%  
120 0.1% 2%  
121 0.2% 2% Last Result
122 0.3% 1.5%  
123 0.3% 1.2%  
124 0.3% 0.9%  
125 0.2% 0.6%  
126 0.2% 0.5%  
127 0.1% 0.2%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.7%  
84 0.4% 99.6%  
85 1.0% 99.2%  
86 0.7% 98%  
87 3% 97%  
88 2% 94%  
89 3% 93%  
90 10% 90%  
91 6% 80%  
92 5% 74%  
93 9% 69%  
94 6% 60%  
95 7% 55% Median
96 12% 48%  
97 7% 36%  
98 5% 29%  
99 7% 24%  
100 6% 17%  
101 4% 11% Last Result
102 3% 7%  
103 1.0% 4%  
104 1.2% 3%  
105 0.6% 2%  
106 0.3% 1.3%  
107 0.3% 0.9%  
108 0.1% 0.6%  
109 0.1% 0.5%  
110 0.1% 0.4%  
111 0% 0.3%  
112 0.1% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations