Opinion Poll by Sifo for Svenska Dagbladet, 4–14 February 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 28.4% | 27.8–29.1% | 27.6–29.2% | 27.4–29.4% | 27.1–29.7% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.2% | 18.6–19.8% | 18.5–19.9% | 18.4–20.1% | 18.1–20.3% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 17.2% | 16.7–17.8% | 16.5–17.9% | 16.4–18.0% | 16.1–18.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2–10.0% | 9.1–10.2% | 9.0–10.3% | 8.8–10.5% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.2–9.0% | 8.1–9.1% | 8.0–9.2% | 7.8–9.4% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3–8.1% | 7.2–8.2% | 7.1–8.3% | 7.0–8.5% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0–4.6% | 3.9–4.7% | 3.9–4.8% | 3.7–4.9% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5–4.1% | 3.5–4.2% | 3.4–4.2% | 3.3–4.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 104 | 100–107 | 99–109 | 98–110 | 97–112 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 70 | 67–73 | 66–74 | 66–75 | 65–76 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 63 | 60–65 | 60–66 | 59–67 | 58–68 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 35 | 33–37 | 33–37 | 32–38 | 32–39 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 31 | 30–33 | 29–34 | 29–34 | 28–35 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 28 | 27–30 | 26–30 | 26–31 | 25–31 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 16 | 14–17 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–18 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0–14 | 0–15 | 0–15 | 0–16 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 98 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 99 | 2% | 96% | |
| 100 | 8% | 94% | Last Result |
| 101 | 4% | 85% | |
| 102 | 17% | 81% | |
| 103 | 7% | 65% | |
| 104 | 24% | 57% | Median |
| 105 | 10% | 34% | |
| 106 | 9% | 24% | |
| 107 | 5% | 14% | |
| 108 | 4% | 9% | |
| 109 | 2% | 5% | |
| 110 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 111 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 67 | 12% | 95% | |
| 68 | 10% | 83% | |
| 69 | 10% | 73% | |
| 70 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 71 | 10% | 46% | |
| 72 | 19% | 36% | |
| 73 | 9% | 17% | |
| 74 | 4% | 8% | |
| 75 | 3% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 60 | 9% | 96% | |
| 61 | 11% | 87% | |
| 62 | 18% | 76% | |
| 63 | 23% | 58% | Median |
| 64 | 17% | 36% | |
| 65 | 9% | 18% | |
| 66 | 6% | 10% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 10% | 97% | |
| 34 | 22% | 87% | |
| 35 | 26% | 65% | Median |
| 36 | 23% | 39% | |
| 37 | 12% | 17% | |
| 38 | 3% | 4% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 30 | 18% | 93% | |
| 31 | 32% | 75% | Median |
| 32 | 23% | 43% | |
| 33 | 13% | 20% | |
| 34 | 5% | 7% | |
| 35 | 2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 6% | 98% | |
| 27 | 24% | 92% | |
| 28 | 33% | 68% | Median |
| 29 | 23% | 35% | |
| 30 | 9% | 12% | |
| 31 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 92% | |
| 2 | 0% | 92% | |
| 3 | 0% | 92% | |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0% | 92% | |
| 6 | 0% | 92% | |
| 7 | 0% | 92% | |
| 8 | 0% | 92% | |
| 9 | 0% | 92% | |
| 10 | 0% | 92% | |
| 11 | 0% | 92% | |
| 12 | 0% | 92% | |
| 13 | 0% | 92% | |
| 14 | 3% | 92% | |
| 15 | 31% | 89% | |
| 16 | 41% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 17 | 14% | 17% | |
| 18 | 3% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 78% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 22% | |
| 2 | 0% | 22% | |
| 3 | 0% | 22% | |
| 4 | 0% | 22% | |
| 5 | 0% | 22% | |
| 6 | 0% | 22% | |
| 7 | 0% | 22% | |
| 8 | 0% | 22% | |
| 9 | 0% | 22% | |
| 10 | 0% | 22% | |
| 11 | 0% | 22% | |
| 12 | 0% | 22% | |
| 13 | 0% | 22% | |
| 14 | 13% | 22% | |
| 15 | 8% | 9% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 195 | 100% | 189–200 | 187–204 | 186–205 | 184–207 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 184 | 98% | 180–191 | 177–192 | 175–192 | 173–194 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 167 | 5% | 161–171 | 160–175 | 158–176 | 157–178 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 165 | 2% | 158–169 | 157–172 | 157–174 | 155–176 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 154 | 0% | 147–158 | 146–158 | 145–159 | 139–160 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 149 | 0% | 145–157 | 140–158 | 139–159 | 136–160 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 139 | 0% | 134–143 | 133–145 | 132–147 | 130–149 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 133 | 0% | 128–137 | 127–139 | 126–141 | 125–143 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 143 | 124 | 0% | 121–133 | 120–134 | 120–135 | 118–139 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet | 123 | 122 | 0% | 118–126 | 117–128 | 116–130 | 114–131 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 119 | 0% | 113–122 | 109–123 | 108–124 | 104–125 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 92 | 0% | 89–103 | 89–104 | 88–105 | 87–108 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 91 | 0% | 88–94 | 87–95 | 86–96 | 84–98 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 182 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 184 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 185 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 186 | 2% | 98% | |
| 187 | 4% | 96% | |
| 188 | 2% | 92% | |
| 189 | 4% | 91% | |
| 190 | 7% | 87% | |
| 191 | 1.4% | 80% | |
| 192 | 3% | 78% | |
| 193 | 6% | 76% | |
| 194 | 19% | 70% | |
| 195 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 196 | 11% | 40% | |
| 197 | 10% | 29% | |
| 198 | 4% | 18% | |
| 199 | 4% | 14% | |
| 200 | 3% | 10% | |
| 201 | 0.8% | 8% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 203 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 204 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 205 | 3% | 4% | |
| 206 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 207 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 209 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 171 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 174 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 175 | 0.9% | 98% | Majority |
| 176 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 177 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 178 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 179 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 180 | 5% | 92% | |
| 181 | 7% | 87% | |
| 182 | 8% | 80% | |
| 183 | 11% | 72% | Median |
| 184 | 18% | 61% | |
| 185 | 7% | 43% | |
| 186 | 10% | 36% | |
| 187 | 4% | 26% | |
| 188 | 3% | 22% | |
| 189 | 5% | 19% | |
| 190 | 2% | 14% | |
| 191 | 4% | 12% | |
| 192 | 6% | 8% | |
| 193 | 2% | 2% | |
| 194 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 196 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 158 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 159 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 160 | 2% | 96% | |
| 161 | 6% | 94% | |
| 162 | 4% | 87% | |
| 163 | 6% | 83% | |
| 164 | 3% | 77% | |
| 165 | 6% | 74% | |
| 166 | 16% | 69% | |
| 167 | 18% | 53% | Median |
| 168 | 9% | 35% | |
| 169 | 8% | 26% | |
| 170 | 5% | 18% | Last Result |
| 171 | 4% | 13% | |
| 172 | 2% | 9% | |
| 173 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 174 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 175 | 2% | 5% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 3% | |
| 177 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 156 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 157 | 6% | 98% | |
| 158 | 4% | 92% | |
| 159 | 2% | 88% | |
| 160 | 5% | 86% | |
| 161 | 3% | 81% | |
| 162 | 4% | 78% | |
| 163 | 10% | 74% | |
| 164 | 7% | 64% | Median |
| 165 | 18% | 57% | |
| 166 | 11% | 39% | |
| 167 | 8% | 28% | |
| 168 | 7% | 20% | |
| 169 | 5% | 13% | |
| 170 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 171 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 172 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 173 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 174 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 175 | 2% | 2% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 177 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 98% | Last Result |
| 145 | 2% | 98% | |
| 146 | 2% | 95% | |
| 147 | 4% | 93% | |
| 148 | 6% | 90% | |
| 149 | 3% | 84% | |
| 150 | 7% | 81% | |
| 151 | 4% | 74% | |
| 152 | 3% | 71% | |
| 153 | 9% | 68% | |
| 154 | 10% | 58% | |
| 155 | 13% | 48% | Median |
| 156 | 12% | 35% | |
| 157 | 13% | 24% | |
| 158 | 6% | 10% | |
| 159 | 3% | 5% | |
| 160 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 137 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 139 | 2% | 98% | |
| 140 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 144 | 2% | 93% | |
| 145 | 2% | 91% | |
| 146 | 10% | 89% | |
| 147 | 11% | 78% | |
| 148 | 14% | 67% | Median |
| 149 | 11% | 53% | |
| 150 | 12% | 42% | |
| 151 | 4% | 30% | |
| 152 | 4% | 26% | |
| 153 | 2% | 22% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 20% | |
| 155 | 2% | 19% | |
| 156 | 4% | 17% | |
| 157 | 5% | 13% | |
| 158 | 5% | 8% | |
| 159 | 2% | 3% | |
| 160 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 131 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 132 | 2% | 98% | |
| 133 | 5% | 96% | |
| 134 | 5% | 91% | |
| 135 | 4% | 86% | |
| 136 | 7% | 82% | |
| 137 | 8% | 76% | |
| 138 | 10% | 68% | |
| 139 | 15% | 58% | Median |
| 140 | 15% | 44% | |
| 141 | 10% | 28% | |
| 142 | 7% | 18% | |
| 143 | 3% | 11% | |
| 144 | 2% | 8% | |
| 145 | 2% | 6% | |
| 146 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 147 | 2% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 126 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 127 | 5% | 95% | |
| 128 | 3% | 91% | |
| 129 | 4% | 88% | |
| 130 | 7% | 85% | |
| 131 | 7% | 77% | |
| 132 | 9% | 71% | Last Result |
| 133 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 134 | 15% | 46% | |
| 135 | 10% | 32% | |
| 136 | 5% | 22% | |
| 137 | 9% | 16% | |
| 138 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 139 | 2% | 6% | |
| 140 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 141 | 2% | 3% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 120 | 5% | 98% | |
| 121 | 12% | 93% | |
| 122 | 15% | 81% | Median |
| 123 | 13% | 66% | |
| 124 | 10% | 53% | |
| 125 | 8% | 44% | |
| 126 | 4% | 35% | |
| 127 | 4% | 31% | |
| 128 | 2% | 27% | |
| 129 | 2% | 25% | |
| 130 | 3% | 24% | |
| 131 | 4% | 21% | |
| 132 | 4% | 17% | |
| 133 | 5% | 13% | |
| 134 | 4% | 8% | |
| 135 | 2% | 4% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 116 | 2% | 98% | |
| 117 | 4% | 97% | |
| 118 | 3% | 93% | |
| 119 | 7% | 90% | |
| 120 | 8% | 82% | |
| 121 | 13% | 75% | |
| 122 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 123 | 13% | 46% | Last Result |
| 124 | 10% | 32% | |
| 125 | 9% | 22% | |
| 126 | 4% | 14% | |
| 127 | 4% | 9% | |
| 128 | 2% | 6% | |
| 129 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 131 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 107 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 108 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 109 | 2% | 97% | |
| 110 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 111 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 113 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 114 | 4% | 90% | |
| 115 | 6% | 86% | |
| 116 | 7% | 80% | Last Result |
| 117 | 6% | 74% | |
| 118 | 10% | 68% | |
| 119 | 11% | 58% | |
| 120 | 17% | 46% | Median |
| 121 | 13% | 29% | |
| 122 | 8% | 16% | |
| 123 | 4% | 8% | |
| 124 | 3% | 3% | |
| 125 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 89 | 7% | 97% | |
| 90 | 13% | 89% | |
| 91 | 17% | 76% | Median |
| 92 | 16% | 59% | |
| 93 | 8% | 44% | |
| 94 | 4% | 36% | |
| 95 | 5% | 31% | |
| 96 | 3% | 26% | |
| 97 | 1.3% | 24% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 22% | |
| 99 | 1.0% | 22% | |
| 100 | 1.5% | 21% | |
| 101 | 3% | 19% | |
| 102 | 5% | 16% | |
| 103 | 3% | 11% | |
| 104 | 4% | 7% | |
| 105 | 2% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 86 | 3% | 98% | |
| 87 | 3% | 96% | |
| 88 | 10% | 92% | |
| 89 | 9% | 83% | |
| 90 | 18% | 74% | |
| 91 | 18% | 57% | Median |
| 92 | 16% | 39% | |
| 93 | 9% | 23% | |
| 94 | 4% | 14% | |
| 95 | 5% | 10% | |
| 96 | 3% | 5% | |
| 97 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): Svenska Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 4–14 February 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 8186
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.76%