Opinion Poll by SKOP, 7–27 March 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 28.7% | 27.2–30.2% | 26.8–30.6% | 26.4–31.0% | 25.8–31.8% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 18.0% | 16.8–19.3% | 16.4–19.7% | 16.2–20.0% | 15.6–20.7% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 16.5% | 15.3–17.8% | 15.0–18.1% | 14.7–18.5% | 14.1–19.1% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 10.1% | 9.1–11.1% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.2–12.2% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6–10.5% | 8.3–10.8% | 8.1–11.1% | 7.7–11.6% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9–9.8% | 7.7–10.1% | 7.5–10.3% | 7.1–10.9% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6–4.9% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.3–5.3% | 3.0–5.7% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6–3.8% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 107 | 100–114 | 98–114 | 97–116 | 94–118 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 66 | 61–71 | 60–72 | 59–73 | 57–76 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 61 | 56–66 | 55–68 | 54–69 | 52–71 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 37 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 31–43 | 30–45 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 36 | 33–39 | 31–40 | 30–41 | 28–42 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 33 | 29–36 | 28–37 | 28–38 | 26–40 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 15 | 0–18 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–20 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–16 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 97 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 98 | 2% | 97% | |
| 99 | 3% | 95% | |
| 100 | 3% | 92% | Last Result |
| 101 | 5% | 89% | |
| 102 | 7% | 84% | |
| 103 | 6% | 76% | |
| 104 | 7% | 71% | |
| 105 | 8% | 64% | |
| 106 | 5% | 56% | |
| 107 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 108 | 7% | 43% | |
| 109 | 5% | 36% | |
| 110 | 7% | 31% | |
| 111 | 7% | 24% | |
| 112 | 4% | 17% | |
| 113 | 3% | 13% | |
| 114 | 5% | 10% | |
| 115 | 2% | 5% | |
| 116 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 118 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 2% | 96% | |
| 61 | 4% | 94% | |
| 62 | 6% | 90% | |
| 63 | 7% | 84% | |
| 64 | 6% | 77% | |
| 65 | 11% | 71% | |
| 66 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 67 | 13% | 49% | |
| 68 | 11% | 36% | |
| 69 | 8% | 25% | |
| 70 | 6% | 17% | Last Result |
| 71 | 4% | 11% | |
| 72 | 3% | 7% | |
| 73 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 3% | 96% | |
| 56 | 4% | 93% | |
| 57 | 7% | 89% | |
| 58 | 8% | 82% | |
| 59 | 7% | 74% | |
| 60 | 10% | 66% | |
| 61 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 62 | 8% | 46% | Last Result |
| 63 | 11% | 37% | |
| 64 | 6% | 27% | |
| 65 | 8% | 21% | |
| 66 | 4% | 13% | |
| 67 | 2% | 9% | |
| 68 | 5% | 8% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 32 | 2% | 97% | |
| 33 | 10% | 95% | |
| 34 | 8% | 85% | |
| 35 | 9% | 77% | |
| 36 | 10% | 67% | |
| 37 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 38 | 14% | 43% | |
| 39 | 9% | 29% | |
| 40 | 9% | 21% | |
| 41 | 4% | 11% | |
| 42 | 3% | 7% | |
| 43 | 3% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 30 | 2% | 98% | |
| 31 | 2% | 96% | Last Result |
| 32 | 3% | 94% | |
| 33 | 6% | 90% | |
| 34 | 11% | 85% | |
| 35 | 13% | 74% | |
| 36 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 37 | 17% | 44% | |
| 38 | 11% | 28% | |
| 39 | 9% | 17% | |
| 40 | 4% | 8% | |
| 41 | 3% | 4% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 28 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 29 | 7% | 94% | |
| 30 | 9% | 87% | |
| 31 | 12% | 79% | |
| 32 | 15% | 66% | |
| 33 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 34 | 11% | 38% | |
| 35 | 9% | 27% | |
| 36 | 10% | 19% | |
| 37 | 4% | 9% | |
| 38 | 3% | 5% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 46% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 54% | |
| 2 | 0% | 54% | |
| 3 | 0% | 54% | |
| 4 | 0% | 54% | |
| 5 | 0% | 54% | |
| 6 | 0% | 54% | |
| 7 | 0% | 54% | |
| 8 | 0% | 54% | |
| 9 | 0% | 54% | |
| 10 | 0% | 54% | |
| 11 | 0% | 54% | |
| 12 | 0% | 54% | |
| 13 | 0% | 54% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 54% | |
| 15 | 22% | 54% | Median |
| 16 | 10% | 32% | |
| 17 | 10% | 22% | |
| 18 | 8% | 12% | |
| 19 | 3% | 4% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 209 | 100% | 200–217 | 198–219 | 196–221 | 192–225 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 185 | 97% | 177–192 | 176–194 | 174–196 | 171–200 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 173 | 41% | 165–181 | 163–183 | 161–185 | 157–188 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 164 | 3% | 157–172 | 155–173 | 153–175 | 149–178 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 152 | 0% | 144–160 | 143–162 | 141–163 | 137–168 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 143 | 148 | 0% | 140–157 | 136–159 | 136–160 | 131–163 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 140 | 0% | 132–148 | 130–150 | 129–151 | 126–156 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 139 | 0% | 132–147 | 130–149 | 128–150 | 125–153 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet | 123 | 140 | 0% | 132–145 | 130–148 | 128–149 | 125–152 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 127 | 0% | 120–134 | 119–136 | 117–137 | 114–141 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 111 | 0% | 101–120 | 99–122 | 97–124 | 94–127 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 107 | 0% | 101–114 | 99–116 | 97–118 | 95–123 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 102 | 0% | 96–108 | 95–110 | 93–111 | 90–114 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 187 | 0% | 100% | |
| 188 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 194 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 195 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 196 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 197 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 198 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 199 | 2% | 94% | |
| 200 | 4% | 93% | |
| 201 | 3% | 88% | Last Result |
| 202 | 5% | 85% | |
| 203 | 3% | 80% | |
| 204 | 5% | 77% | |
| 205 | 6% | 72% | |
| 206 | 4% | 66% | |
| 207 | 4% | 62% | |
| 208 | 4% | 57% | |
| 209 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 210 | 6% | 46% | |
| 211 | 4% | 40% | |
| 212 | 3% | 36% | |
| 213 | 6% | 33% | |
| 214 | 6% | 27% | |
| 215 | 3% | 20% | |
| 216 | 4% | 17% | |
| 217 | 4% | 13% | |
| 218 | 2% | 9% | |
| 219 | 3% | 7% | |
| 220 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 221 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 222 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 223 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 224 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 225 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 227 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 228 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 171 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 173 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 174 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 175 | 1.4% | 97% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 96% | |
| 177 | 5% | 92% | |
| 178 | 5% | 87% | |
| 179 | 4% | 82% | |
| 180 | 4% | 78% | |
| 181 | 6% | 74% | |
| 182 | 4% | 67% | |
| 183 | 5% | 63% | |
| 184 | 5% | 58% | |
| 185 | 5% | 52% | |
| 186 | 6% | 48% | |
| 187 | 9% | 41% | |
| 188 | 5% | 32% | |
| 189 | 7% | 28% | |
| 190 | 4% | 21% | |
| 191 | 4% | 17% | Median |
| 192 | 4% | 12% | |
| 193 | 2% | 9% | |
| 194 | 2% | 7% | |
| 195 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 196 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 197 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 198 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 161 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 162 | 2% | 97% | |
| 163 | 2% | 96% | |
| 164 | 2% | 94% | |
| 165 | 4% | 91% | |
| 166 | 3% | 87% | |
| 167 | 7% | 84% | |
| 168 | 3% | 77% | |
| 169 | 5% | 74% | |
| 170 | 5% | 69% | Last Result |
| 171 | 4% | 64% | |
| 172 | 8% | 59% | |
| 173 | 4% | 51% | Median |
| 174 | 5% | 47% | |
| 175 | 8% | 41% | Majority |
| 176 | 6% | 34% | |
| 177 | 6% | 27% | |
| 178 | 2% | 21% | |
| 179 | 4% | 19% | |
| 180 | 3% | 15% | |
| 181 | 3% | 11% | |
| 182 | 3% | 8% | |
| 183 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 184 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 185 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 186 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 151 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 152 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 154 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 155 | 2% | 95% | |
| 156 | 2% | 93% | |
| 157 | 4% | 91% | |
| 158 | 4% | 88% | |
| 159 | 4% | 83% | |
| 160 | 7% | 79% | |
| 161 | 5% | 72% | |
| 162 | 9% | 68% | |
| 163 | 6% | 59% | |
| 164 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 165 | 5% | 48% | |
| 166 | 5% | 42% | |
| 167 | 4% | 37% | |
| 168 | 6% | 33% | |
| 169 | 4% | 26% | |
| 170 | 4% | 22% | |
| 171 | 5% | 18% | |
| 172 | 5% | 13% | |
| 173 | 4% | 8% | |
| 174 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 175 | 1.5% | 3% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 177 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 178 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 140 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 141 | 2% | 98% | |
| 142 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 144 | 6% | 94% | |
| 145 | 9% | 89% | |
| 146 | 5% | 80% | |
| 147 | 2% | 75% | |
| 148 | 4% | 74% | |
| 149 | 9% | 69% | |
| 150 | 7% | 61% | |
| 151 | 2% | 54% | |
| 152 | 5% | 52% | |
| 153 | 6% | 46% | |
| 154 | 5% | 40% | |
| 155 | 1.1% | 35% | |
| 156 | 2% | 34% | |
| 157 | 11% | 32% | |
| 158 | 7% | 21% | Median |
| 159 | 3% | 13% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 161 | 2% | 10% | |
| 162 | 4% | 8% | |
| 163 | 2% | 4% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 166 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 136 | 3% | 98% | |
| 137 | 3% | 95% | |
| 138 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 140 | 2% | 91% | |
| 141 | 10% | 89% | |
| 142 | 2% | 78% | |
| 143 | 3% | 76% | Last Result |
| 144 | 7% | 73% | |
| 145 | 8% | 66% | |
| 146 | 2% | 59% | |
| 147 | 2% | 56% | |
| 148 | 4% | 54% | |
| 149 | 10% | 50% | |
| 150 | 4% | 40% | |
| 151 | 2% | 36% | |
| 152 | 5% | 35% | |
| 153 | 6% | 29% | |
| 154 | 6% | 23% | Median |
| 155 | 2% | 18% | |
| 156 | 3% | 16% | |
| 157 | 6% | 13% | |
| 158 | 2% | 7% | |
| 159 | 2% | 5% | |
| 160 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 161 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122 | 0% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 128 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 129 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 130 | 3% | 97% | |
| 131 | 2% | 94% | |
| 132 | 3% | 92% | |
| 133 | 3% | 90% | |
| 134 | 5% | 87% | |
| 135 | 7% | 82% | |
| 136 | 6% | 75% | |
| 137 | 6% | 69% | |
| 138 | 6% | 63% | |
| 139 | 5% | 57% | |
| 140 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 141 | 5% | 44% | |
| 142 | 5% | 39% | |
| 143 | 6% | 34% | |
| 144 | 4% | 27% | Last Result |
| 145 | 4% | 23% | |
| 146 | 6% | 19% | |
| 147 | 2% | 13% | |
| 148 | 4% | 11% | |
| 149 | 2% | 7% | |
| 150 | 2% | 5% | |
| 151 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 152 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 127 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 128 | 1.2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 129 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 130 | 3% | 96% | |
| 131 | 2% | 93% | |
| 132 | 3% | 91% | |
| 133 | 3% | 88% | |
| 134 | 5% | 85% | |
| 135 | 8% | 80% | |
| 136 | 6% | 73% | |
| 137 | 6% | 67% | |
| 138 | 6% | 60% | |
| 139 | 6% | 55% | |
| 140 | 8% | 49% | Median |
| 141 | 5% | 41% | |
| 142 | 5% | 36% | |
| 143 | 6% | 31% | |
| 144 | 4% | 24% | |
| 145 | 4% | 20% | |
| 146 | 6% | 16% | |
| 147 | 2% | 11% | |
| 148 | 3% | 8% | |
| 149 | 2% | 5% | |
| 150 | 2% | 3% | |
| 151 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 126 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 127 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 129 | 2% | 97% | |
| 130 | 2% | 95% | |
| 131 | 2% | 93% | |
| 132 | 2% | 92% | |
| 133 | 6% | 90% | |
| 134 | 6% | 83% | |
| 135 | 2% | 77% | |
| 136 | 8% | 75% | |
| 137 | 9% | 68% | |
| 138 | 6% | 59% | |
| 139 | 2% | 53% | Median |
| 140 | 6% | 51% | |
| 141 | 12% | 45% | |
| 142 | 5% | 33% | |
| 143 | 4% | 28% | |
| 144 | 9% | 25% | |
| 145 | 7% | 16% | |
| 146 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 147 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 148 | 3% | 7% | |
| 149 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 152 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 116 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 117 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 118 | 2% | 97% | |
| 119 | 2% | 95% | |
| 120 | 4% | 93% | |
| 121 | 3% | 90% | |
| 122 | 5% | 87% | |
| 123 | 5% | 82% | |
| 124 | 5% | 77% | |
| 125 | 6% | 72% | |
| 126 | 7% | 65% | |
| 127 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 128 | 7% | 48% | |
| 129 | 8% | 41% | |
| 130 | 7% | 33% | |
| 131 | 3% | 26% | |
| 132 | 6% | 23% | Last Result |
| 133 | 3% | 17% | |
| 134 | 6% | 15% | |
| 135 | 2% | 9% | |
| 136 | 4% | 7% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 138 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 97 | 2% | 98% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 99 | 2% | 96% | |
| 100 | 2% | 94% | |
| 101 | 2% | 92% | |
| 102 | 4% | 90% | |
| 103 | 5% | 86% | |
| 104 | 7% | 81% | |
| 105 | 5% | 74% | |
| 106 | 2% | 70% | |
| 107 | 4% | 68% | |
| 108 | 5% | 64% | |
| 109 | 2% | 59% | |
| 110 | 4% | 57% | |
| 111 | 4% | 53% | |
| 112 | 3% | 49% | |
| 113 | 4% | 47% | |
| 114 | 3% | 42% | |
| 115 | 5% | 39% | |
| 116 | 7% | 34% | |
| 117 | 3% | 27% | Median |
| 118 | 5% | 24% | |
| 119 | 3% | 19% | |
| 120 | 7% | 16% | |
| 121 | 3% | 9% | Last Result |
| 122 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 123 | 2% | 5% | |
| 124 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 125 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 97 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 98 | 2% | 97% | |
| 99 | 3% | 95% | |
| 100 | 3% | 93% | |
| 101 | 5% | 90% | |
| 102 | 7% | 86% | |
| 103 | 6% | 78% | |
| 104 | 6% | 73% | |
| 105 | 7% | 66% | |
| 106 | 5% | 59% | |
| 107 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 108 | 7% | 46% | |
| 109 | 5% | 39% | |
| 110 | 7% | 34% | |
| 111 | 7% | 27% | |
| 112 | 5% | 20% | |
| 113 | 3% | 16% | |
| 114 | 6% | 13% | |
| 115 | 2% | 7% | |
| 116 | 2% | 6% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 118 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 122 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 94 | 2% | 97% | |
| 95 | 3% | 95% | |
| 96 | 4% | 92% | |
| 97 | 7% | 88% | |
| 98 | 4% | 81% | |
| 99 | 5% | 78% | |
| 100 | 7% | 73% | |
| 101 | 9% | 65% | Last Result |
| 102 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 103 | 8% | 50% | |
| 104 | 10% | 41% | |
| 105 | 10% | 32% | |
| 106 | 4% | 21% | |
| 107 | 5% | 18% | |
| 108 | 5% | 13% | |
| 109 | 2% | 8% | |
| 110 | 2% | 6% | |
| 111 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 112 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 113 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKOP
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 7–27 March 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1510
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.98%