Opinion Poll by Novus for SVT, 6 May–2 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 25.9% | 25.0–26.9% | 24.7–27.1% | 24.5–27.4% | 24.1–27.8% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 17.7% | 16.9–18.5% | 16.7–18.8% | 16.5–19.0% | 16.1–19.4% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 17.6% | 16.8–18.4% | 16.6–18.7% | 16.4–18.9% | 16.0–19.3% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 10.0% | 9.4–10.7% | 9.2–10.9% | 9.1–11.0% | 8.8–11.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.4–9.6% | 8.2–9.8% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.8–10.3% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1–9.3% | 8.0–9.5% | 7.8–9.7% | 7.6–10.0% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0–6.0% | 4.9–6.2% | 4.8–6.3% | 4.6–6.5% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7–4.5% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.3–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 93 | 89–97 | 88–98 | 87–99 | 85–102 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 63 | 60–67 | 59–68 | 59–69 | 57–71 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 63 | 60–67 | 59–68 | 58–69 | 57–70 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 36 | 33–38 | 33–39 | 32–40 | 31–41 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 32 | 30–35 | 29–35 | 29–36 | 28–38 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 31 | 29–34 | 28–34 | 28–35 | 27–36 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 20 | 18–22 | 18–22 | 17–23 | 16–24 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 15 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–18 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 87 | 3% | 98% | |
| 88 | 4% | 95% | |
| 89 | 4% | 91% | |
| 90 | 6% | 87% | |
| 91 | 8% | 81% | |
| 92 | 21% | 73% | |
| 93 | 16% | 52% | Median |
| 94 | 9% | 37% | |
| 95 | 5% | 28% | |
| 96 | 8% | 23% | |
| 97 | 6% | 15% | |
| 98 | 5% | 9% | |
| 99 | 2% | 4% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 2% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 3% | 98% | |
| 60 | 5% | 95% | |
| 61 | 15% | 89% | |
| 62 | 13% | 75% | |
| 63 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 64 | 10% | 45% | |
| 65 | 11% | 34% | |
| 66 | 9% | 23% | |
| 67 | 6% | 14% | |
| 68 | 5% | 8% | |
| 69 | 2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 6% | 97% | |
| 60 | 9% | 91% | |
| 61 | 9% | 83% | |
| 62 | 16% | 73% | Last Result |
| 63 | 16% | 57% | Median |
| 64 | 16% | 42% | |
| 65 | 9% | 26% | |
| 66 | 6% | 17% | |
| 67 | 5% | 11% | |
| 68 | 3% | 6% | |
| 69 | 2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 33 | 12% | 97% | |
| 34 | 12% | 85% | |
| 35 | 14% | 73% | |
| 36 | 21% | 59% | Median |
| 37 | 17% | 38% | |
| 38 | 11% | 20% | |
| 39 | 6% | 10% | |
| 40 | 2% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 29 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 30 | 12% | 95% | |
| 31 | 16% | 83% | |
| 32 | 22% | 67% | Median |
| 33 | 21% | 45% | |
| 34 | 11% | 24% | |
| 35 | 8% | 12% | |
| 36 | 3% | 5% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 6% | 98% | |
| 29 | 8% | 92% | |
| 30 | 14% | 84% | |
| 31 | 26% | 70% | Last Result, Median |
| 32 | 20% | 44% | |
| 33 | 13% | 24% | |
| 34 | 7% | 11% | |
| 35 | 3% | 4% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 1.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 17 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 18 | 12% | 95% | |
| 19 | 23% | 83% | |
| 20 | 33% | 60% | Median |
| 21 | 15% | 28% | |
| 22 | 9% | 13% | |
| 23 | 3% | 4% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 33% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 67% | |
| 2 | 0% | 67% | |
| 3 | 0% | 67% | |
| 4 | 0% | 67% | |
| 5 | 0% | 67% | |
| 6 | 0% | 67% | |
| 7 | 0% | 67% | |
| 8 | 0% | 67% | |
| 9 | 0% | 67% | |
| 10 | 0% | 67% | |
| 11 | 0% | 67% | |
| 12 | 0% | 67% | |
| 13 | 0% | 67% | |
| 14 | 9% | 67% | |
| 15 | 34% | 58% | Median |
| 16 | 19% | 24% | |
| 17 | 4% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 187 | 100% | 182–195 | 181–197 | 180–198 | 178–199 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 188 | 99.7% | 180–192 | 178–193 | 177–194 | 175–196 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 161 | 0.3% | 157–169 | 156–171 | 155–172 | 153–174 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 156 | 0% | 151–163 | 150–164 | 149–166 | 147–168 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 156 | 0% | 146–160 | 145–161 | 144–162 | 142–164 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 145 | 0% | 140–151 | 138–152 | 138–154 | 136–156 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 143 | 142 | 0% | 133–147 | 132–148 | 131–149 | 128–151 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet | 123 | 130 | 0% | 126–136 | 125–138 | 124–139 | 122–141 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 126 | 0% | 122–132 | 121–134 | 120–135 | 118–137 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 125 | 0% | 121–130 | 119–132 | 118–133 | 117–135 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 113 | 0% | 108–118 | 107–119 | 106–120 | 104–123 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 107 | 0% | 97–111 | 95–112 | 94–113 | 92–115 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 94 | 0% | 91–99 | 90–101 | 89–102 | 87–104 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 176 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 178 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 179 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 180 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 181 | 2% | 95% | |
| 182 | 5% | 93% | |
| 183 | 7% | 88% | |
| 184 | 12% | 81% | |
| 185 | 6% | 69% | |
| 186 | 12% | 63% | |
| 187 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 188 | 10% | 45% | |
| 189 | 4% | 36% | |
| 190 | 3% | 32% | |
| 191 | 5% | 29% | |
| 192 | 3% | 24% | |
| 193 | 4% | 22% | |
| 194 | 5% | 17% | |
| 195 | 4% | 13% | |
| 196 | 4% | 9% | |
| 197 | 2% | 5% | |
| 198 | 2% | 4% | |
| 199 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 200 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 173 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 177 | 2% | 98% | |
| 178 | 2% | 96% | |
| 179 | 4% | 94% | |
| 180 | 4% | 90% | |
| 181 | 5% | 86% | |
| 182 | 4% | 82% | |
| 183 | 5% | 77% | |
| 184 | 4% | 72% | |
| 185 | 5% | 68% | |
| 186 | 5% | 63% | |
| 187 | 6% | 58% | |
| 188 | 7% | 52% | |
| 189 | 13% | 44% | |
| 190 | 10% | 32% | |
| 191 | 10% | 22% | Median |
| 192 | 6% | 12% | |
| 193 | 2% | 6% | |
| 194 | 2% | 4% | |
| 195 | 1.4% | 2% | Last Result |
| 196 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 197 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 151 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 154 | 1.4% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 155 | 2% | 98% | |
| 156 | 2% | 96% | |
| 157 | 6% | 94% | |
| 158 | 10% | 88% | |
| 159 | 10% | 78% | |
| 160 | 13% | 68% | |
| 161 | 7% | 56% | |
| 162 | 6% | 48% | Median |
| 163 | 5% | 42% | |
| 164 | 5% | 37% | |
| 165 | 4% | 32% | |
| 166 | 5% | 28% | |
| 167 | 4% | 23% | |
| 168 | 5% | 18% | |
| 169 | 4% | 14% | |
| 170 | 4% | 10% | |
| 171 | 2% | 6% | |
| 172 | 2% | 4% | |
| 173 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 174 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 145 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 148 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 149 | 2% | 98% | |
| 150 | 2% | 97% | |
| 151 | 6% | 95% | |
| 152 | 6% | 89% | |
| 153 | 11% | 82% | |
| 154 | 7% | 71% | |
| 155 | 13% | 65% | |
| 156 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 157 | 4% | 40% | |
| 158 | 4% | 35% | |
| 159 | 6% | 31% | |
| 160 | 6% | 26% | |
| 161 | 4% | 20% | |
| 162 | 4% | 15% | |
| 163 | 4% | 11% | |
| 164 | 3% | 8% | |
| 165 | 2% | 5% | |
| 166 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 167 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 143 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 144 | 2% | 98% | |
| 145 | 4% | 96% | |
| 146 | 3% | 92% | |
| 147 | 2% | 89% | |
| 148 | 5% | 87% | |
| 149 | 4% | 81% | |
| 150 | 3% | 78% | |
| 151 | 6% | 75% | |
| 152 | 4% | 69% | |
| 153 | 3% | 65% | |
| 154 | 5% | 62% | |
| 155 | 7% | 57% | |
| 156 | 6% | 50% | |
| 157 | 7% | 44% | |
| 158 | 12% | 36% | |
| 159 | 8% | 24% | Median |
| 160 | 9% | 16% | |
| 161 | 3% | 7% | |
| 162 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 163 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 138 | 3% | 98% | |
| 139 | 2% | 95% | |
| 140 | 3% | 93% | |
| 141 | 8% | 90% | |
| 142 | 7% | 82% | |
| 143 | 13% | 75% | |
| 144 | 10% | 62% | Last Result |
| 145 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 146 | 11% | 43% | |
| 147 | 5% | 31% | |
| 148 | 5% | 26% | |
| 149 | 5% | 21% | |
| 150 | 5% | 16% | |
| 151 | 6% | 12% | |
| 152 | 2% | 6% | |
| 153 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 154 | 2% | 3% | |
| 155 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 129 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 130 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 131 | 2% | 98% | |
| 132 | 4% | 96% | |
| 133 | 3% | 92% | |
| 134 | 4% | 89% | |
| 135 | 4% | 85% | |
| 136 | 4% | 81% | |
| 137 | 3% | 76% | |
| 138 | 5% | 74% | |
| 139 | 4% | 68% | |
| 140 | 4% | 64% | |
| 141 | 8% | 60% | |
| 142 | 6% | 52% | |
| 143 | 8% | 46% | Last Result |
| 144 | 15% | 38% | |
| 145 | 4% | 23% | Median |
| 146 | 8% | 19% | |
| 147 | 4% | 11% | |
| 148 | 3% | 7% | |
| 149 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 150 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 123 | 1.1% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 124 | 2% | 98% | |
| 125 | 4% | 96% | |
| 126 | 10% | 92% | |
| 127 | 5% | 82% | |
| 128 | 10% | 76% | |
| 129 | 13% | 67% | |
| 130 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 131 | 9% | 48% | |
| 132 | 9% | 39% | |
| 133 | 5% | 30% | |
| 134 | 5% | 25% | |
| 135 | 5% | 20% | |
| 136 | 5% | 15% | |
| 137 | 3% | 10% | |
| 138 | 4% | 7% | |
| 139 | 2% | 3% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 119 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 120 | 2% | 98% | |
| 121 | 4% | 96% | |
| 122 | 5% | 92% | |
| 123 | 15% | 88% | |
| 124 | 10% | 72% | |
| 125 | 9% | 63% | |
| 126 | 9% | 53% | Median |
| 127 | 7% | 44% | |
| 128 | 6% | 37% | |
| 129 | 6% | 31% | |
| 130 | 6% | 25% | |
| 131 | 6% | 19% | |
| 132 | 4% | 13% | Last Result |
| 133 | 4% | 10% | |
| 134 | 2% | 6% | |
| 135 | 2% | 4% | |
| 136 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 118 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 119 | 2% | 97% | |
| 120 | 3% | 94% | |
| 121 | 4% | 91% | |
| 122 | 7% | 87% | |
| 123 | 16% | 80% | |
| 124 | 8% | 64% | |
| 125 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 126 | 9% | 43% | |
| 127 | 6% | 34% | |
| 128 | 7% | 28% | Last Result |
| 129 | 9% | 21% | |
| 130 | 3% | 12% | |
| 131 | 3% | 10% | |
| 132 | 3% | 7% | |
| 133 | 2% | 4% | |
| 134 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 106 | 1.5% | 98.7% | |
| 107 | 3% | 97% | |
| 108 | 6% | 94% | |
| 109 | 6% | 88% | |
| 110 | 6% | 82% | |
| 111 | 10% | 76% | |
| 112 | 14% | 66% | |
| 113 | 16% | 52% | Median |
| 114 | 8% | 36% | |
| 115 | 7% | 28% | |
| 116 | 6% | 21% | Last Result |
| 117 | 3% | 15% | |
| 118 | 4% | 12% | |
| 119 | 5% | 7% | |
| 120 | 2% | 3% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 94 | 2% | 98% | |
| 95 | 2% | 96% | |
| 96 | 3% | 94% | |
| 97 | 5% | 91% | |
| 98 | 6% | 86% | |
| 99 | 6% | 80% | |
| 100 | 2% | 75% | |
| 101 | 2% | 72% | |
| 102 | 2% | 70% | |
| 103 | 2% | 68% | |
| 104 | 2% | 66% | |
| 105 | 3% | 64% | |
| 106 | 8% | 61% | |
| 107 | 12% | 53% | |
| 108 | 10% | 41% | |
| 109 | 9% | 32% | Median |
| 110 | 10% | 22% | |
| 111 | 4% | 12% | |
| 112 | 4% | 9% | |
| 113 | 3% | 5% | |
| 114 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 89 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 90 | 6% | 97% | |
| 91 | 7% | 91% | |
| 92 | 13% | 84% | |
| 93 | 13% | 71% | |
| 94 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 95 | 10% | 49% | |
| 96 | 9% | 39% | |
| 97 | 8% | 30% | |
| 98 | 7% | 23% | |
| 99 | 7% | 15% | |
| 100 | 3% | 8% | |
| 101 | 2% | 6% | Last Result |
| 102 | 2% | 4% | |
| 103 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Novus
- Commissioner(s): SVT
- Fieldwork period: 6 May–2 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 3644
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.58%