Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 4–18 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 25.0% | 23.7–26.4% | 23.3–26.9% | 23.0–27.2% | 22.3–27.9% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.0% | 17.8–20.3% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.2–21.0% | 16.6–21.6% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 17.0% | 15.8–18.2% | 15.5–18.6% | 15.2–18.9% | 14.7–19.5% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.1–11.0% | 8.8–11.3% | 8.6–11.6% | 8.2–12.1% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2–10.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–11.0% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.4–9.9% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.8–6.6% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.8–6.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 89 | 84–94 | 83–95 | 82–97 | 79–100 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 68 | 63–72 | 62–73 | 61–75 | 59–77 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 60 | 56–65 | 55–66 | 54–67 | 52–69 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 35 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 31–41 | 29–43 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 32 | 29–36 | 28–36 | 27–37 | 26–39 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 28 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 24–33 | 23–35 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 18 | 16–21 | 15–21 | 14–21 | 0–23 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 18 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 15–22 | 0–23 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98% | |
| 83 | 3% | 96% | |
| 84 | 4% | 93% | |
| 85 | 4% | 88% | |
| 86 | 9% | 84% | |
| 87 | 8% | 75% | |
| 88 | 12% | 66% | |
| 89 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 90 | 12% | 45% | |
| 91 | 10% | 34% | |
| 92 | 6% | 24% | |
| 93 | 6% | 18% | |
| 94 | 5% | 12% | |
| 95 | 2% | 7% | |
| 96 | 2% | 5% | |
| 97 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 4% | 96% | Last Result |
| 63 | 4% | 92% | |
| 64 | 7% | 88% | |
| 65 | 6% | 81% | |
| 66 | 15% | 75% | |
| 67 | 6% | 60% | |
| 68 | 15% | 54% | Median |
| 69 | 8% | 39% | |
| 70 | 13% | 30% | |
| 71 | 4% | 17% | |
| 72 | 6% | 13% | |
| 73 | 2% | 7% | |
| 74 | 2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 4% | 96% | |
| 56 | 3% | 92% | |
| 57 | 3% | 89% | |
| 58 | 5% | 86% | |
| 59 | 15% | 81% | |
| 60 | 20% | 66% | Median |
| 61 | 15% | 46% | |
| 62 | 11% | 30% | |
| 63 | 4% | 19% | |
| 64 | 3% | 15% | |
| 65 | 3% | 12% | |
| 66 | 5% | 9% | |
| 67 | 3% | 4% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 3% | 98% | |
| 32 | 5% | 95% | |
| 33 | 9% | 90% | |
| 34 | 16% | 81% | |
| 35 | 19% | 65% | Median |
| 36 | 17% | 46% | |
| 37 | 7% | 29% | |
| 38 | 5% | 22% | |
| 39 | 8% | 17% | |
| 40 | 5% | 9% | |
| 41 | 3% | 4% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 28 | 4% | 97% | |
| 29 | 5% | 93% | |
| 30 | 13% | 87% | |
| 31 | 11% | 74% | Last Result |
| 32 | 21% | 63% | Median |
| 33 | 11% | 42% | |
| 34 | 12% | 31% | |
| 35 | 8% | 19% | |
| 36 | 7% | 11% | |
| 37 | 3% | 4% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 23 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 25 | 6% | 96% | |
| 26 | 10% | 91% | |
| 27 | 13% | 81% | |
| 28 | 19% | 67% | Median |
| 29 | 18% | 48% | |
| 30 | 12% | 30% | |
| 31 | 9% | 18% | |
| 32 | 5% | 9% | |
| 33 | 2% | 5% | |
| 34 | 2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 14 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 16 | 25% | 95% | |
| 17 | 2% | 70% | |
| 18 | 31% | 67% | Median |
| 19 | 14% | 37% | |
| 20 | 10% | 22% | Last Result |
| 21 | 10% | 12% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 23 | 2% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 15 | 7% | 98% | |
| 16 | 8% | 90% | Last Result |
| 17 | 17% | 82% | |
| 18 | 31% | 65% | Median |
| 19 | 15% | 34% | |
| 20 | 8% | 18% | |
| 21 | 5% | 10% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 193 | 99.9% | 187–198 | 185–200 | 183–202 | 179–204 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 182 | 93% | 176–187 | 174–189 | 172–191 | 170–198 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 157 | 0% | 151–163 | 149–164 | 147–166 | 141–169 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 156 | 0.1% | 151–162 | 149–164 | 147–166 | 145–170 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 149 | 0% | 144–155 | 142–157 | 141–159 | 138–163 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 142 | 0% | 138–148 | 135–150 | 133–151 | 128–154 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 139 | 0% | 134–145 | 132–146 | 130–148 | 126–151 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 128 | 0% | 123–133 | 121–135 | 120–137 | 117–141 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 124 | 0% | 120–130 | 118–132 | 116–133 | 114–137 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 121 | 0% | 116–126 | 115–128 | 113–130 | 110–134 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 111 | 0% | 105–116 | 103–118 | 102–119 | 97–122 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 107 | 0% | 102–112 | 100–113 | 98–115 | 91–118 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 92 | 0% | 88–98 | 86–99 | 84–100 | 83–104 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 175 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 181 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 182 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 183 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 184 | 2% | 97% | |
| 185 | 2% | 95% | |
| 186 | 2% | 94% | |
| 187 | 3% | 92% | |
| 188 | 4% | 89% | |
| 189 | 7% | 86% | |
| 190 | 7% | 78% | |
| 191 | 9% | 71% | |
| 192 | 12% | 63% | Median |
| 193 | 8% | 51% | |
| 194 | 15% | 42% | |
| 195 | 6% | 27% | Last Result |
| 196 | 5% | 20% | |
| 197 | 4% | 15% | |
| 198 | 3% | 12% | |
| 199 | 3% | 9% | |
| 200 | 2% | 5% | |
| 201 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 202 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 203 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 204 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 170 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 171 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 172 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 173 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 174 | 3% | 96% | |
| 175 | 1.5% | 93% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 92% | |
| 177 | 4% | 87% | |
| 178 | 6% | 84% | |
| 179 | 4% | 78% | |
| 180 | 7% | 74% | |
| 181 | 12% | 66% | Median |
| 182 | 15% | 55% | |
| 183 | 10% | 40% | |
| 184 | 8% | 30% | |
| 185 | 6% | 22% | |
| 186 | 4% | 16% | |
| 187 | 4% | 12% | |
| 188 | 3% | 8% | |
| 189 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 190 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 191 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 192 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 193 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 147 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 149 | 2% | 96% | |
| 150 | 2% | 94% | |
| 151 | 4% | 92% | |
| 152 | 3% | 88% | |
| 153 | 4% | 85% | |
| 154 | 10% | 81% | |
| 155 | 5% | 71% | |
| 156 | 12% | 66% | |
| 157 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 158 | 13% | 49% | |
| 159 | 6% | 36% | |
| 160 | 9% | 29% | |
| 161 | 6% | 20% | |
| 162 | 4% | 15% | |
| 163 | 3% | 10% | |
| 164 | 3% | 7% | |
| 165 | 2% | 4% | |
| 166 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 167 | 0.8% | 2% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 146 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 147 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 149 | 2% | 96% | |
| 150 | 3% | 95% | |
| 151 | 3% | 91% | |
| 152 | 4% | 88% | |
| 153 | 5% | 85% | |
| 154 | 6% | 80% | Last Result |
| 155 | 15% | 73% | |
| 156 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 157 | 12% | 49% | |
| 158 | 9% | 37% | |
| 159 | 7% | 29% | |
| 160 | 7% | 22% | |
| 161 | 4% | 14% | |
| 162 | 3% | 11% | |
| 163 | 2% | 8% | |
| 164 | 2% | 6% | |
| 165 | 2% | 5% | |
| 166 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 167 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 168 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 140 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 141 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 142 | 2% | 96% | |
| 143 | 3% | 95% | |
| 144 | 5% | 92% | |
| 145 | 8% | 87% | |
| 146 | 3% | 79% | |
| 147 | 4% | 76% | |
| 148 | 15% | 72% | |
| 149 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 150 | 4% | 47% | |
| 151 | 12% | 44% | |
| 152 | 12% | 32% | |
| 153 | 3% | 19% | |
| 154 | 3% | 16% | |
| 155 | 4% | 13% | |
| 156 | 4% | 9% | |
| 157 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 158 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 159 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 131 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 132 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 134 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 135 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 136 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 137 | 3% | 93% | |
| 138 | 3% | 90% | |
| 139 | 5% | 87% | |
| 140 | 12% | 82% | |
| 141 | 10% | 70% | |
| 142 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 143 | 16% | 49% | |
| 144 | 7% | 33% | Last Result |
| 145 | 6% | 26% | |
| 146 | 5% | 19% | |
| 147 | 3% | 15% | |
| 148 | 3% | 12% | |
| 149 | 2% | 9% | |
| 150 | 2% | 7% | |
| 151 | 2% | 4% | |
| 152 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 128 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 98.5% | |
| 130 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 131 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 132 | 2% | 96% | |
| 133 | 3% | 93% | |
| 134 | 3% | 91% | |
| 135 | 5% | 87% | |
| 136 | 9% | 82% | |
| 137 | 8% | 74% | |
| 138 | 10% | 66% | Median |
| 139 | 10% | 55% | |
| 140 | 10% | 45% | |
| 141 | 12% | 35% | |
| 142 | 4% | 23% | |
| 143 | 5% | 19% | Last Result |
| 144 | 4% | 14% | |
| 145 | 4% | 10% | |
| 146 | 2% | 7% | |
| 147 | 2% | 5% | |
| 148 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 149 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 119 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 120 | 2% | 98% | |
| 121 | 2% | 96% | |
| 122 | 3% | 94% | |
| 123 | 4% | 91% | |
| 124 | 6% | 86% | |
| 125 | 8% | 80% | |
| 126 | 11% | 72% | |
| 127 | 8% | 61% | |
| 128 | 9% | 53% | Median |
| 129 | 6% | 44% | |
| 130 | 9% | 38% | |
| 131 | 7% | 29% | |
| 132 | 8% | 22% | Last Result |
| 133 | 5% | 14% | |
| 134 | 3% | 9% | |
| 135 | 2% | 6% | |
| 136 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 137 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 114 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 116 | 1.4% | 98.5% | |
| 117 | 2% | 97% | |
| 118 | 2% | 96% | |
| 119 | 3% | 93% | |
| 120 | 4% | 90% | |
| 121 | 6% | 87% | |
| 122 | 8% | 81% | |
| 123 | 13% | 73% | |
| 124 | 11% | 61% | Median |
| 125 | 16% | 50% | |
| 126 | 6% | 34% | |
| 127 | 6% | 28% | |
| 128 | 7% | 22% | Last Result |
| 129 | 4% | 15% | |
| 130 | 3% | 11% | |
| 131 | 3% | 8% | |
| 132 | 2% | 6% | |
| 133 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 134 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 112 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 113 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 114 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 115 | 2% | 95% | |
| 116 | 5% | 93% | |
| 117 | 5% | 88% | |
| 118 | 6% | 83% | |
| 119 | 8% | 77% | |
| 120 | 13% | 69% | Median |
| 121 | 12% | 56% | |
| 122 | 9% | 44% | |
| 123 | 11% | 35% | Last Result |
| 124 | 6% | 24% | |
| 125 | 4% | 18% | |
| 126 | 3% | 13% | |
| 127 | 3% | 10% | |
| 128 | 2% | 7% | |
| 129 | 2% | 5% | |
| 130 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 131 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 132 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 102 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 103 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 104 | 4% | 95% | |
| 105 | 2% | 91% | |
| 106 | 3% | 90% | |
| 107 | 4% | 86% | |
| 108 | 10% | 82% | |
| 109 | 8% | 73% | |
| 110 | 12% | 65% | Median |
| 111 | 18% | 53% | |
| 112 | 6% | 35% | |
| 113 | 11% | 29% | |
| 114 | 3% | 18% | |
| 115 | 3% | 15% | |
| 116 | 3% | 12% | |
| 117 | 2% | 8% | |
| 118 | 3% | 6% | |
| 119 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 120 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 99 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 100 | 2% | 96% | |
| 101 | 3% | 94% | |
| 102 | 4% | 91% | |
| 103 | 5% | 87% | |
| 104 | 9% | 82% | |
| 105 | 7% | 73% | |
| 106 | 12% | 66% | |
| 107 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 108 | 11% | 45% | |
| 109 | 11% | 34% | |
| 110 | 6% | 23% | |
| 111 | 5% | 18% | |
| 112 | 4% | 12% | |
| 113 | 3% | 8% | |
| 114 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 115 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.7% | 2% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 85 | 2% | 97% | |
| 86 | 3% | 96% | |
| 87 | 2% | 93% | |
| 88 | 2% | 90% | |
| 89 | 2% | 88% | |
| 90 | 5% | 86% | |
| 91 | 10% | 81% | |
| 92 | 23% | 71% | Median |
| 93 | 14% | 48% | |
| 94 | 10% | 34% | |
| 95 | 8% | 24% | |
| 96 | 2% | 17% | |
| 97 | 3% | 15% | |
| 98 | 4% | 12% | |
| 99 | 4% | 8% | |
| 100 | 2% | 4% | |
| 101 | 1.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 4–18 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1630
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.08%