Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 13–25 August 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 26.0% | 24.6–27.5% | 24.2–27.9% | 23.9–28.3% | 23.2–29.0% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.0% | 17.8–20.4% | 17.4–20.7% | 17.1–21.1% | 16.5–21.7% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 17.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.5–18.7% | 15.2–19.0% | 14.7–19.6% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.1–11.1% | 8.8–11.4% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.2–12.2% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.3–10.0% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2–7.9% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.9% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.8% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 93 | 87–98 | 86–99 | 85–101 | 82–103 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 68 | 63–72 | 62–73 | 61–74 | 59–77 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 60 | 56–65 | 55–66 | 54–67 | 52–70 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 36 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 31–41 | 29–43 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 29 | 25–32 | 25–33 | 24–33 | 22–35 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 25 | 22–28 | 21–29 | 21–30 | 19–31 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 16–27 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 18 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 14–22 | 0–24 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 85 | 2% | 98% | |
| 86 | 2% | 96% | |
| 87 | 4% | 94% | |
| 88 | 4% | 90% | |
| 89 | 7% | 86% | |
| 90 | 9% | 79% | |
| 91 | 10% | 70% | |
| 92 | 7% | 60% | |
| 93 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 94 | 9% | 41% | |
| 95 | 11% | 33% | |
| 96 | 5% | 21% | |
| 97 | 6% | 17% | |
| 98 | 4% | 10% | |
| 99 | 2% | 7% | |
| 100 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 101 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 1.5% | 99.1% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 2% | 96% | Last Result |
| 63 | 6% | 93% | |
| 64 | 8% | 87% | |
| 65 | 9% | 80% | |
| 66 | 10% | 71% | |
| 67 | 7% | 61% | |
| 68 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 69 | 12% | 41% | |
| 70 | 9% | 29% | |
| 71 | 6% | 20% | |
| 72 | 5% | 14% | |
| 73 | 5% | 10% | |
| 74 | 2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 3% | 96% | |
| 56 | 5% | 93% | |
| 57 | 5% | 88% | |
| 58 | 12% | 83% | |
| 59 | 15% | 71% | |
| 60 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 61 | 12% | 43% | |
| 62 | 7% | 32% | |
| 63 | 7% | 24% | |
| 64 | 5% | 17% | |
| 65 | 5% | 12% | |
| 66 | 2% | 7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 31 | 4% | 98% | |
| 32 | 6% | 94% | |
| 33 | 8% | 88% | |
| 34 | 13% | 80% | |
| 35 | 14% | 67% | |
| 36 | 13% | 53% | Median |
| 37 | 15% | 40% | |
| 38 | 11% | 25% | |
| 39 | 5% | 15% | |
| 40 | 5% | 9% | |
| 41 | 2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 24 | 3% | 98% | |
| 25 | 5% | 95% | |
| 26 | 13% | 90% | |
| 27 | 11% | 77% | |
| 28 | 16% | 66% | |
| 29 | 15% | 51% | Median |
| 30 | 14% | 36% | |
| 31 | 10% | 22% | Last Result |
| 32 | 5% | 11% | |
| 33 | 4% | 6% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 21 | 5% | 98% | |
| 22 | 9% | 94% | Last Result |
| 23 | 9% | 85% | |
| 24 | 18% | 76% | |
| 25 | 20% | 58% | Median |
| 26 | 13% | 38% | |
| 27 | 11% | 26% | |
| 28 | 9% | 15% | |
| 29 | 3% | 6% | |
| 30 | 2% | 3% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 17 | 1.5% | 99.3% | |
| 18 | 7% | 98% | |
| 19 | 12% | 90% | |
| 20 | 13% | 78% | |
| 21 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 22 | 17% | 46% | |
| 23 | 14% | 30% | |
| 24 | 9% | 16% | |
| 25 | 3% | 7% | |
| 26 | 3% | 4% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 15 | 6% | 97% | |
| 16 | 15% | 91% | |
| 17 | 17% | 76% | |
| 18 | 19% | 60% | Median |
| 19 | 19% | 41% | |
| 20 | 10% | 21% | Last Result |
| 21 | 6% | 11% | |
| 22 | 3% | 5% | |
| 23 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 196 | 100% | 190–202 | 188–203 | 186–205 | 183–207 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 181 | 93% | 176–187 | 174–189 | 172–191 | 170–196 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 160 | 0.1% | 155–166 | 152–168 | 151–169 | 147–172 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 153 | 0% | 147–159 | 146–161 | 144–163 | 142–166 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 153 | 0% | 147–159 | 145–161 | 144–162 | 141–167 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 150 | 0% | 144–156 | 143–158 | 141–159 | 138–163 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 132 | 0% | 126–137 | 124–139 | 122–141 | 117–143 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 128 | 0% | 122–134 | 121–135 | 119–137 | 117–140 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 129 | 0% | 123–134 | 121–136 | 119–137 | 117–140 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 114 | 0% | 108–119 | 107–121 | 106–123 | 103–126 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 114 | 0% | 109–120 | 107–121 | 106–122 | 103–125 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 107 | 0% | 101–112 | 100–114 | 97–115 | 92–118 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 89 | 0% | 84–94 | 82–96 | 81–97 | 79–99 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 178 | 0% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 180 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 184 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 185 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 186 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 187 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 188 | 2% | 97% | |
| 189 | 2% | 94% | |
| 190 | 3% | 92% | |
| 191 | 4% | 89% | |
| 192 | 6% | 85% | |
| 193 | 6% | 79% | |
| 194 | 7% | 73% | |
| 195 | 10% | 66% | Last Result |
| 196 | 8% | 56% | |
| 197 | 10% | 48% | Median |
| 198 | 9% | 39% | |
| 199 | 6% | 29% | |
| 200 | 8% | 23% | |
| 201 | 3% | 15% | |
| 202 | 3% | 12% | |
| 203 | 4% | 8% | |
| 204 | 2% | 5% | |
| 205 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 206 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 207 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 170 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 171 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 172 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 173 | 2% | 97% | |
| 174 | 3% | 96% | |
| 175 | 3% | 93% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 90% | |
| 177 | 5% | 86% | |
| 178 | 5% | 80% | |
| 179 | 7% | 76% | |
| 180 | 11% | 69% | |
| 181 | 11% | 58% | |
| 182 | 5% | 46% | Median |
| 183 | 9% | 41% | |
| 184 | 6% | 32% | |
| 185 | 8% | 26% | |
| 186 | 6% | 18% | |
| 187 | 5% | 13% | |
| 188 | 2% | 8% | |
| 189 | 2% | 6% | |
| 190 | 2% | 4% | |
| 191 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 192 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 193 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 195 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 196 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 151 | 2% | 98% | |
| 152 | 2% | 96% | |
| 153 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 154 | 2% | 93% | |
| 155 | 5% | 90% | |
| 156 | 4% | 85% | |
| 157 | 6% | 81% | |
| 158 | 10% | 75% | |
| 159 | 6% | 65% | |
| 160 | 10% | 59% | |
| 161 | 8% | 48% | Median |
| 162 | 8% | 41% | |
| 163 | 8% | 32% | |
| 164 | 5% | 24% | |
| 165 | 6% | 20% | |
| 166 | 5% | 13% | |
| 167 | 3% | 9% | Last Result |
| 168 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 169 | 2% | 4% | |
| 170 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 171 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 172 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 174 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 144 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 145 | 2% | 97% | |
| 146 | 4% | 95% | |
| 147 | 3% | 92% | |
| 148 | 3% | 88% | |
| 149 | 8% | 85% | |
| 150 | 6% | 77% | |
| 151 | 9% | 71% | |
| 152 | 10% | 61% | |
| 153 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 154 | 10% | 44% | Last Result |
| 155 | 7% | 34% | |
| 156 | 6% | 27% | |
| 157 | 6% | 21% | |
| 158 | 4% | 15% | |
| 159 | 3% | 11% | |
| 160 | 2% | 8% | |
| 161 | 2% | 6% | |
| 162 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 163 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 165 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 142 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 144 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 145 | 2% | 97% | |
| 146 | 2% | 95% | |
| 147 | 4% | 93% | |
| 148 | 4% | 89% | |
| 149 | 7% | 85% | |
| 150 | 8% | 78% | |
| 151 | 10% | 70% | |
| 152 | 7% | 61% | |
| 153 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 154 | 10% | 45% | |
| 155 | 8% | 34% | |
| 156 | 5% | 26% | |
| 157 | 7% | 21% | |
| 158 | 3% | 14% | |
| 159 | 3% | 11% | |
| 160 | 3% | 8% | |
| 161 | 2% | 5% | |
| 162 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 167 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 141 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 142 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 143 | 4% | 95% | |
| 144 | 3% | 92% | Last Result |
| 145 | 6% | 88% | |
| 146 | 5% | 82% | |
| 147 | 8% | 77% | |
| 148 | 8% | 69% | |
| 149 | 7% | 60% | |
| 150 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 151 | 10% | 43% | |
| 152 | 4% | 33% | |
| 153 | 11% | 29% | |
| 154 | 4% | 18% | |
| 155 | 3% | 13% | |
| 156 | 3% | 11% | |
| 157 | 2% | 8% | |
| 158 | 2% | 5% | |
| 159 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 123 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 124 | 2% | 96% | |
| 125 | 3% | 94% | |
| 126 | 4% | 91% | |
| 127 | 3% | 87% | |
| 128 | 7% | 85% | |
| 129 | 11% | 78% | |
| 130 | 7% | 67% | |
| 131 | 9% | 60% | |
| 132 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 133 | 10% | 44% | |
| 134 | 7% | 34% | |
| 135 | 7% | 27% | |
| 136 | 6% | 19% | |
| 137 | 4% | 13% | |
| 138 | 3% | 9% | |
| 139 | 2% | 6% | |
| 140 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 141 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 142 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 118 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 119 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 120 | 2% | 97% | |
| 121 | 2% | 96% | |
| 122 | 5% | 94% | |
| 123 | 4% | 89% | |
| 124 | 5% | 84% | |
| 125 | 8% | 79% | |
| 126 | 8% | 71% | |
| 127 | 12% | 64% | |
| 128 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 129 | 10% | 44% | |
| 130 | 8% | 33% | |
| 131 | 6% | 26% | |
| 132 | 5% | 20% | Last Result |
| 133 | 3% | 14% | |
| 134 | 5% | 12% | |
| 135 | 2% | 7% | |
| 136 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 118 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 119 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 120 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 121 | 2% | 96% | |
| 122 | 3% | 94% | |
| 123 | 4% | 91% | |
| 124 | 7% | 88% | |
| 125 | 7% | 81% | |
| 126 | 8% | 74% | |
| 127 | 8% | 66% | |
| 128 | 8% | 58% | Last Result |
| 129 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 130 | 12% | 43% | |
| 131 | 9% | 31% | |
| 132 | 5% | 22% | |
| 133 | 6% | 17% | |
| 134 | 4% | 12% | |
| 135 | 3% | 8% | |
| 136 | 2% | 5% | |
| 137 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 138 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 104 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 106 | 2% | 98% | |
| 107 | 3% | 96% | |
| 108 | 4% | 94% | |
| 109 | 5% | 90% | |
| 110 | 7% | 85% | |
| 111 | 7% | 78% | |
| 112 | 8% | 71% | |
| 113 | 10% | 63% | |
| 114 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 115 | 10% | 42% | |
| 116 | 6% | 32% | |
| 117 | 7% | 26% | |
| 118 | 6% | 19% | |
| 119 | 4% | 13% | |
| 120 | 3% | 9% | |
| 121 | 2% | 7% | |
| 122 | 2% | 4% | |
| 123 | 1.1% | 3% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 106 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 107 | 2% | 96% | |
| 108 | 3% | 95% | |
| 109 | 7% | 92% | |
| 110 | 8% | 84% | |
| 111 | 6% | 77% | |
| 112 | 7% | 71% | |
| 113 | 7% | 65% | |
| 114 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 115 | 10% | 46% | |
| 116 | 10% | 36% | Last Result |
| 117 | 8% | 26% | |
| 118 | 4% | 18% | |
| 119 | 3% | 14% | |
| 120 | 2% | 10% | |
| 121 | 4% | 8% | |
| 122 | 2% | 5% | |
| 123 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 124 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 100 | 2% | 96% | |
| 101 | 4% | 93% | |
| 102 | 6% | 89% | |
| 103 | 8% | 84% | |
| 104 | 10% | 76% | |
| 105 | 4% | 65% | |
| 106 | 8% | 62% | |
| 107 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 108 | 15% | 48% | |
| 109 | 8% | 33% | |
| 110 | 8% | 25% | |
| 111 | 5% | 17% | |
| 112 | 3% | 12% | |
| 113 | 2% | 8% | |
| 114 | 3% | 6% | |
| 115 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 116 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 82 | 3% | 97% | |
| 83 | 3% | 95% | |
| 84 | 5% | 91% | |
| 85 | 7% | 86% | |
| 86 | 9% | 80% | |
| 87 | 7% | 71% | |
| 88 | 9% | 64% | |
| 89 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 90 | 11% | 42% | |
| 91 | 6% | 31% | |
| 92 | 7% | 25% | |
| 93 | 7% | 18% | |
| 94 | 3% | 11% | |
| 95 | 3% | 8% | |
| 96 | 2% | 5% | |
| 97 | 2% | 4% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 13–25 August 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1515
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.98%