Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 8–21 October 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 24.0% | 22.7–25.5% | 22.3–25.9% | 22.0–26.2% | 21.3–26.9% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 23.0% | 21.7–24.4% | 21.3–24.8% | 21.0–25.2% | 20.4–25.8% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 16.0% | 14.9–17.2% | 14.5–17.6% | 14.3–17.9% | 13.7–18.5% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.1–11.1% | 8.8–11.3% | 8.6–11.6% | 8.2–12.1% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2–9.0% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.8–9.5% | 6.4–10.0% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2–9.0% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.8–9.5% | 6.4–10.0% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.1–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 88 | 81–92 | 80–94 | 78–96 | 76–99 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 83 | 78–89 | 76–91 | 75–92 | 73–95 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 58 | 54–62 | 52–64 | 51–65 | 49–67 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 36 | 33–40 | 32–41 | 31–42 | 29–44 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 29 | 26–32 | 25–34 | 24–35 | 23–36 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 29 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 25–34 | 23–36 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 18 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 0–22 | 0–24 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 14 | 0–17 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–19 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 97% | |
| 80 | 3% | 95% | |
| 81 | 3% | 93% | |
| 82 | 5% | 90% | |
| 83 | 5% | 84% | |
| 84 | 5% | 80% | |
| 85 | 8% | 75% | |
| 86 | 8% | 66% | |
| 87 | 7% | 59% | |
| 88 | 14% | 52% | Median |
| 89 | 9% | 38% | |
| 90 | 6% | 28% | |
| 91 | 8% | 22% | |
| 92 | 4% | 14% | |
| 93 | 4% | 10% | |
| 94 | 2% | 6% | |
| 95 | 2% | 4% | |
| 96 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 76 | 2% | 97% | |
| 77 | 2% | 95% | |
| 78 | 7% | 93% | |
| 79 | 10% | 86% | |
| 80 | 3% | 76% | |
| 81 | 11% | 73% | |
| 82 | 6% | 63% | |
| 83 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 84 | 7% | 46% | |
| 85 | 4% | 40% | |
| 86 | 12% | 35% | |
| 87 | 11% | 24% | |
| 88 | 2% | 12% | |
| 89 | 2% | 10% | |
| 90 | 2% | 8% | |
| 91 | 3% | 6% | |
| 92 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 4% | 95% | |
| 54 | 7% | 90% | |
| 55 | 7% | 83% | |
| 56 | 12% | 76% | |
| 57 | 9% | 63% | |
| 58 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 59 | 12% | 43% | |
| 60 | 9% | 31% | |
| 61 | 6% | 22% | |
| 62 | 7% | 15% | |
| 63 | 3% | 9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 6% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 3% | 98% | |
| 32 | 5% | 96% | |
| 33 | 8% | 91% | |
| 34 | 8% | 83% | |
| 35 | 11% | 75% | |
| 36 | 19% | 64% | Median |
| 37 | 11% | 45% | |
| 38 | 14% | 34% | |
| 39 | 5% | 20% | |
| 40 | 7% | 15% | |
| 41 | 4% | 8% | |
| 42 | 2% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 25 | 4% | 97% | |
| 26 | 7% | 94% | |
| 27 | 14% | 86% | |
| 28 | 14% | 72% | |
| 29 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 30 | 12% | 45% | |
| 31 | 13% | 33% | Last Result |
| 32 | 10% | 19% | |
| 33 | 4% | 10% | |
| 34 | 3% | 6% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 25 | 4% | 98% | |
| 26 | 8% | 93% | |
| 27 | 10% | 85% | |
| 28 | 15% | 76% | |
| 29 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 30 | 15% | 47% | |
| 31 | 14% | 32% | |
| 32 | 8% | 18% | |
| 33 | 5% | 10% | |
| 34 | 2% | 5% | |
| 35 | 2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0% | 97% | |
| 8 | 0% | 97% | |
| 9 | 0% | 97% | |
| 10 | 0% | 97% | |
| 11 | 0% | 97% | |
| 12 | 0% | 97% | |
| 13 | 0% | 97% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 15 | 7% | 97% | |
| 16 | 9% | 90% | Last Result |
| 17 | 19% | 81% | |
| 18 | 22% | 62% | Median |
| 19 | 18% | 40% | |
| 20 | 11% | 23% | |
| 21 | 6% | 11% | |
| 22 | 3% | 5% | |
| 23 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 49% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 51% | |
| 2 | 0% | 51% | |
| 3 | 0% | 51% | |
| 4 | 0% | 51% | |
| 5 | 0% | 51% | |
| 6 | 0% | 51% | |
| 7 | 0% | 51% | |
| 8 | 0% | 51% | |
| 9 | 0% | 51% | |
| 10 | 0% | 51% | |
| 11 | 0% | 51% | |
| 12 | 0% | 51% | |
| 13 | 0% | 51% | |
| 14 | 6% | 51% | Median |
| 15 | 18% | 45% | |
| 16 | 15% | 27% | |
| 17 | 7% | 12% | |
| 18 | 3% | 5% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 179 | 72% | 171–186 | 169–188 | 167–189 | 163–193 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 174 | 49% | 167–182 | 165–184 | 163–186 | 160–190 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 170 | 28% | 163–178 | 161–180 | 160–182 | 156–186 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 145 | 0% | 138–152 | 136–155 | 135–156 | 132–159 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 142 | 0% | 134–151 | 132–153 | 129–154 | 124–157 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 141 | 0% | 134–148 | 132–150 | 131–153 | 128–156 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 142 | 0% | 134–148 | 132–150 | 130–152 | 125–155 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 124 | 0% | 115–134 | 114–135 | 112–137 | 110–140 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 124 | 0% | 117–130 | 115–132 | 113–133 | 111–138 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 116 | 0% | 110–123 | 108–124 | 107–126 | 104–130 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 105 | 0% | 98–111 | 96–113 | 94–115 | 88–117 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 95 | 0% | 86–104 | 84–106 | 83–108 | 80–111 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 87 | 0% | 82–93 | 80–94 | 79–96 | 76–99 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 165 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 166 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 167 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 168 | 2% | 97% | |
| 169 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 170 | 3% | 94% | |
| 171 | 3% | 91% | |
| 172 | 2% | 88% | |
| 173 | 4% | 86% | |
| 174 | 10% | 82% | |
| 175 | 4% | 72% | Majority |
| 176 | 6% | 68% | |
| 177 | 7% | 61% | |
| 178 | 4% | 54% | |
| 179 | 5% | 51% | |
| 180 | 6% | 46% | |
| 181 | 7% | 39% | |
| 182 | 5% | 33% | |
| 183 | 6% | 28% | |
| 184 | 4% | 22% | |
| 185 | 2% | 18% | Median |
| 186 | 7% | 17% | |
| 187 | 3% | 9% | |
| 188 | 2% | 6% | |
| 189 | 2% | 5% | |
| 190 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 192 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 193 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 161 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 163 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 164 | 2% | 97% | |
| 165 | 2% | 95% | |
| 166 | 3% | 94% | |
| 167 | 4% | 90% | |
| 168 | 4% | 86% | |
| 169 | 6% | 82% | |
| 170 | 4% | 76% | |
| 171 | 7% | 72% | |
| 172 | 4% | 65% | |
| 173 | 5% | 61% | |
| 174 | 7% | 56% | |
| 175 | 7% | 49% | Median, Majority |
| 176 | 5% | 42% | |
| 177 | 7% | 37% | |
| 178 | 4% | 30% | |
| 179 | 4% | 26% | |
| 180 | 6% | 22% | |
| 181 | 5% | 16% | |
| 182 | 4% | 11% | |
| 183 | 2% | 7% | |
| 184 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 185 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 186 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 187 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 189 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 158 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 159 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 160 | 2% | 98% | |
| 161 | 2% | 95% | |
| 162 | 3% | 94% | |
| 163 | 7% | 91% | |
| 164 | 2% | 83% | |
| 165 | 4% | 82% | |
| 166 | 6% | 78% | |
| 167 | 5% | 72% | |
| 168 | 7% | 67% | |
| 169 | 6% | 61% | |
| 170 | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 171 | 4% | 49% | |
| 172 | 7% | 46% | |
| 173 | 6% | 39% | |
| 174 | 4% | 32% | |
| 175 | 10% | 28% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 18% | |
| 177 | 2% | 14% | |
| 178 | 3% | 12% | |
| 179 | 3% | 9% | |
| 180 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 181 | 2% | 5% | |
| 182 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 183 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 134 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 135 | 2% | 98% | |
| 136 | 2% | 96% | |
| 137 | 2% | 94% | |
| 138 | 5% | 92% | |
| 139 | 4% | 87% | |
| 140 | 4% | 83% | |
| 141 | 7% | 79% | |
| 142 | 5% | 73% | |
| 143 | 8% | 68% | |
| 144 | 7% | 60% | |
| 145 | 6% | 53% | |
| 146 | 7% | 47% | Median |
| 147 | 4% | 40% | |
| 148 | 11% | 36% | |
| 149 | 4% | 26% | |
| 150 | 6% | 22% | |
| 151 | 5% | 16% | |
| 152 | 2% | 10% | |
| 153 | 2% | 9% | |
| 154 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 155 | 2% | 5% | |
| 156 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 128 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 129 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 130 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 131 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 132 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 133 | 2% | 94% | |
| 134 | 3% | 92% | |
| 135 | 3% | 89% | |
| 136 | 8% | 86% | |
| 137 | 5% | 78% | |
| 138 | 6% | 73% | |
| 139 | 5% | 66% | |
| 140 | 2% | 62% | |
| 141 | 8% | 60% | |
| 142 | 4% | 52% | |
| 143 | 3% | 48% | |
| 144 | 4% | 45% | |
| 145 | 4% | 41% | |
| 146 | 8% | 36% | |
| 147 | 5% | 28% | |
| 148 | 5% | 23% | |
| 149 | 3% | 18% | Median |
| 150 | 5% | 15% | |
| 151 | 2% | 10% | |
| 152 | 3% | 9% | |
| 153 | 3% | 6% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 155 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 130 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 131 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 132 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 133 | 2% | 95% | |
| 134 | 4% | 93% | |
| 135 | 7% | 89% | |
| 136 | 4% | 83% | |
| 137 | 8% | 79% | |
| 138 | 5% | 71% | |
| 139 | 5% | 66% | |
| 140 | 5% | 61% | |
| 141 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 142 | 7% | 47% | |
| 143 | 5% | 40% | |
| 144 | 4% | 35% | |
| 145 | 8% | 31% | |
| 146 | 7% | 22% | |
| 147 | 4% | 15% | |
| 148 | 3% | 11% | |
| 149 | 2% | 8% | |
| 150 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 151 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 152 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 153 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 154 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 155 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 129 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 130 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 131 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 132 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 133 | 3% | 94% | |
| 134 | 3% | 91% | |
| 135 | 2% | 88% | |
| 136 | 6% | 85% | |
| 137 | 4% | 80% | |
| 138 | 5% | 76% | |
| 139 | 8% | 70% | |
| 140 | 5% | 63% | |
| 141 | 4% | 58% | |
| 142 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 143 | 9% | 43% | |
| 144 | 5% | 34% | Last Result |
| 145 | 5% | 29% | |
| 146 | 6% | 24% | |
| 147 | 6% | 18% | |
| 148 | 2% | 12% | |
| 149 | 2% | 10% | |
| 150 | 3% | 8% | |
| 151 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 152 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 153 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 110 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 111 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 112 | 2% | 98% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 114 | 2% | 95% | |
| 115 | 5% | 93% | |
| 116 | 5% | 88% | |
| 117 | 3% | 84% | |
| 118 | 4% | 81% | |
| 119 | 4% | 77% | |
| 120 | 4% | 74% | |
| 121 | 6% | 69% | |
| 122 | 6% | 63% | |
| 123 | 3% | 57% | |
| 124 | 6% | 54% | |
| 125 | 2% | 48% | |
| 126 | 4% | 46% | |
| 127 | 6% | 42% | |
| 128 | 4% | 36% | |
| 129 | 5% | 32% | |
| 130 | 5% | 27% | Median |
| 131 | 4% | 23% | |
| 132 | 4% | 19% | |
| 133 | 4% | 14% | |
| 134 | 4% | 11% | |
| 135 | 2% | 7% | |
| 136 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 137 | 2% | 3% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 112 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 113 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 114 | 2% | 97% | |
| 115 | 3% | 95% | |
| 116 | 2% | 92% | |
| 117 | 5% | 90% | |
| 118 | 3% | 86% | |
| 119 | 6% | 83% | |
| 120 | 5% | 77% | |
| 121 | 6% | 72% | |
| 122 | 6% | 66% | |
| 123 | 6% | 60% | |
| 124 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 125 | 9% | 46% | |
| 126 | 10% | 37% | |
| 127 | 6% | 28% | |
| 128 | 5% | 21% | Last Result |
| 129 | 7% | 17% | |
| 130 | 2% | 10% | |
| 131 | 2% | 8% | |
| 132 | 2% | 6% | |
| 133 | 2% | 4% | |
| 134 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 106 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 108 | 4% | 97% | |
| 109 | 2% | 93% | |
| 110 | 2% | 91% | |
| 111 | 8% | 89% | |
| 112 | 5% | 82% | |
| 113 | 4% | 77% | |
| 114 | 10% | 73% | |
| 115 | 8% | 63% | |
| 116 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 117 | 8% | 48% | |
| 118 | 6% | 40% | |
| 119 | 6% | 35% | |
| 120 | 7% | 29% | |
| 121 | 6% | 22% | |
| 122 | 4% | 16% | |
| 123 | 3% | 12% | Last Result |
| 124 | 5% | 9% | |
| 125 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 126 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 127 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 97 | 2% | 95% | |
| 98 | 4% | 93% | |
| 99 | 2% | 89% | |
| 100 | 5% | 87% | |
| 101 | 4% | 82% | |
| 102 | 6% | 78% | |
| 103 | 8% | 73% | |
| 104 | 7% | 65% | |
| 105 | 8% | 58% | |
| 106 | 11% | 50% | Median |
| 107 | 10% | 38% | |
| 108 | 4% | 28% | |
| 109 | 5% | 24% | |
| 110 | 7% | 18% | |
| 111 | 3% | 11% | |
| 112 | 2% | 9% | |
| 113 | 3% | 7% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 115 | 2% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 83 | 2% | 98% | |
| 84 | 2% | 96% | |
| 85 | 4% | 94% | |
| 86 | 5% | 90% | |
| 87 | 3% | 85% | |
| 88 | 4% | 83% | |
| 89 | 6% | 79% | |
| 90 | 4% | 73% | |
| 91 | 7% | 69% | |
| 92 | 2% | 62% | |
| 93 | 6% | 60% | |
| 94 | 2% | 55% | |
| 95 | 4% | 53% | |
| 96 | 4% | 49% | |
| 97 | 3% | 46% | |
| 98 | 4% | 43% | |
| 99 | 6% | 39% | |
| 100 | 5% | 33% | |
| 101 | 5% | 28% | Median |
| 102 | 4% | 23% | |
| 103 | 4% | 19% | |
| 104 | 5% | 15% | |
| 105 | 3% | 10% | |
| 106 | 2% | 6% | |
| 107 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 108 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 109 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 98% | |
| 80 | 2% | 96% | |
| 81 | 2% | 94% | |
| 82 | 5% | 92% | |
| 83 | 8% | 87% | |
| 84 | 9% | 79% | |
| 85 | 7% | 70% | |
| 86 | 9% | 63% | |
| 87 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 88 | 8% | 46% | |
| 89 | 9% | 38% | |
| 90 | 6% | 29% | |
| 91 | 8% | 23% | |
| 92 | 3% | 15% | |
| 93 | 5% | 12% | |
| 94 | 2% | 7% | |
| 95 | 2% | 5% | |
| 96 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 8–21 October 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1569
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.82%