Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 11–24 November 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 24.8% | 23.4–26.2% | 23.0–26.6% | 22.7–27.0% | 22.0–27.7% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 24.8% | 23.4–26.2% | 23.0–26.6% | 22.7–27.0% | 22.0–27.7% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 16.8% | 15.7–18.1% | 15.3–18.5% | 15.0–18.8% | 14.5–19.4% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1–8.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.3–9.9% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1–8.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.3–9.9% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1–8.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.3–9.9% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.1–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 92 | 86–97 | 84–98 | 83–100 | 81–103 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 90 | 85–96 | 84–97 | 83–99 | 80–102 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 63 | 58–67 | 56–68 | 55–69 | 53–71 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 29 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 24–34 | 23–36 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 29 | 27–31 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 23–37 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 28 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 25–34 | 23–36 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 18 | 15–21 | 15–21 | 0–22 | 0–24 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 83 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 84 | 2% | 97% | |
| 85 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 86 | 5% | 93% | |
| 87 | 6% | 88% | |
| 88 | 5% | 82% | |
| 89 | 5% | 77% | |
| 90 | 9% | 72% | |
| 91 | 12% | 63% | |
| 92 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 93 | 8% | 44% | |
| 94 | 12% | 36% | |
| 95 | 3% | 23% | |
| 96 | 9% | 20% | |
| 97 | 3% | 11% | |
| 98 | 4% | 8% | |
| 99 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 100 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 83 | 2% | 98% | |
| 84 | 3% | 96% | |
| 85 | 3% | 92% | |
| 86 | 5% | 89% | |
| 87 | 9% | 84% | |
| 88 | 5% | 75% | |
| 89 | 15% | 71% | |
| 90 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 91 | 8% | 47% | |
| 92 | 7% | 39% | |
| 93 | 12% | 32% | |
| 94 | 3% | 21% | |
| 95 | 7% | 17% | |
| 96 | 4% | 10% | |
| 97 | 2% | 6% | |
| 98 | 2% | 5% | |
| 99 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 55 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 4% | 95% | |
| 58 | 5% | 90% | |
| 59 | 4% | 86% | |
| 60 | 8% | 81% | |
| 61 | 10% | 73% | |
| 62 | 11% | 63% | |
| 63 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 64 | 10% | 43% | |
| 65 | 12% | 32% | |
| 66 | 7% | 20% | |
| 67 | 5% | 13% | |
| 68 | 4% | 8% | |
| 69 | 3% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 2% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 25 | 3% | 97% | |
| 26 | 9% | 93% | |
| 27 | 13% | 84% | |
| 28 | 10% | 72% | |
| 29 | 20% | 61% | Median |
| 30 | 17% | 41% | |
| 31 | 8% | 24% | Last Result |
| 32 | 8% | 16% | |
| 33 | 5% | 8% | |
| 34 | 2% | 4% | |
| 35 | 2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 25 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 26 | 4% | 97% | |
| 27 | 16% | 93% | |
| 28 | 21% | 76% | Last Result |
| 29 | 24% | 55% | Median |
| 30 | 15% | 31% | |
| 31 | 7% | 16% | |
| 32 | 3% | 9% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 35 | 2% | 4% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 25 | 4% | 98% | |
| 26 | 11% | 94% | |
| 27 | 20% | 83% | |
| 28 | 19% | 63% | Median |
| 29 | 11% | 43% | |
| 30 | 14% | 33% | |
| 31 | 8% | 19% | |
| 32 | 4% | 11% | |
| 33 | 3% | 7% | |
| 34 | 2% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0% | 97% | |
| 8 | 0% | 97% | |
| 9 | 0% | 97% | |
| 10 | 0% | 97% | |
| 11 | 0% | 97% | |
| 12 | 0% | 97% | |
| 13 | 0% | 97% | |
| 14 | 0% | 97% | |
| 15 | 10% | 97% | |
| 16 | 12% | 87% | Last Result |
| 17 | 13% | 75% | |
| 18 | 27% | 62% | Median |
| 19 | 12% | 35% | |
| 20 | 9% | 23% | |
| 21 | 10% | 14% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.7% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 181 | 93% | 176–188 | 174–189 | 173–192 | 169–198 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 184 | 95% | 176–189 | 174–190 | 172–192 | 168–197 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 168 | 7% | 161–173 | 160–175 | 157–176 | 151–180 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 153 | 0% | 147–159 | 145–161 | 144–162 | 141–167 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 155 | 0% | 148–160 | 145–161 | 143–162 | 139–167 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 139 | 0% | 132–144 | 130–146 | 128–147 | 121–151 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 139 | 0% | 132–144 | 131–146 | 128–147 | 121–150 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 120 | 0% | 115–126 | 114–127 | 112–130 | 109–134 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 121 | 0% | 115–126 | 114–128 | 112–129 | 109–134 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 120 | 0% | 115–126 | 114–127 | 112–128 | 109–132 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 110 | 0% | 103–115 | 101–117 | 99–118 | 90–120 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 92 | 0% | 86–97 | 85–99 | 84–100 | 81–105 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 91 | 0% | 86–97 | 85–99 | 84–100 | 81–102 |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 170 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 171 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 172 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 173 | 3% | 98% | |
| 174 | 2% | 95% | |
| 175 | 1.0% | 93% | Majority |
| 176 | 6% | 92% | |
| 177 | 9% | 86% | |
| 178 | 6% | 77% | |
| 179 | 4% | 71% | |
| 180 | 8% | 67% | |
| 181 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 182 | 9% | 50% | |
| 183 | 6% | 41% | |
| 184 | 13% | 35% | |
| 185 | 4% | 22% | |
| 186 | 1.5% | 18% | |
| 187 | 3% | 16% | |
| 188 | 7% | 13% | |
| 189 | 2% | 6% | |
| 190 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 191 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 192 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 194 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 195 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 170 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 171 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 172 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 173 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 174 | 2% | 96% | |
| 175 | 2% | 95% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 93% | |
| 177 | 3% | 90% | |
| 178 | 5% | 87% | |
| 179 | 2% | 82% | |
| 180 | 6% | 80% | |
| 181 | 5% | 74% | |
| 182 | 5% | 69% | |
| 183 | 12% | 64% | |
| 184 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 185 | 9% | 44% | |
| 186 | 8% | 34% | |
| 187 | 9% | 26% | |
| 188 | 5% | 17% | |
| 189 | 4% | 12% | |
| 190 | 4% | 8% | |
| 191 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 192 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 193 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 194 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 196 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 147 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 154 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 155 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 157 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 158 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 159 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 160 | 2% | 95% | |
| 161 | 7% | 94% | |
| 162 | 3% | 87% | |
| 163 | 1.5% | 84% | |
| 164 | 4% | 82% | |
| 165 | 13% | 78% | |
| 166 | 6% | 65% | |
| 167 | 9% | 59% | |
| 168 | 10% | 50% | Median |
| 169 | 8% | 41% | |
| 170 | 4% | 33% | |
| 171 | 6% | 29% | |
| 172 | 9% | 23% | |
| 173 | 6% | 14% | |
| 174 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 175 | 2% | 7% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 5% | |
| 177 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 180 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 144 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 145 | 3% | 97% | |
| 146 | 2% | 94% | |
| 147 | 3% | 92% | |
| 148 | 7% | 89% | |
| 149 | 6% | 82% | |
| 150 | 5% | 75% | |
| 151 | 7% | 70% | |
| 152 | 8% | 63% | |
| 153 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 154 | 12% | 48% | |
| 155 | 8% | 36% | |
| 156 | 7% | 28% | |
| 157 | 5% | 21% | |
| 158 | 3% | 17% | |
| 159 | 5% | 13% | |
| 160 | 3% | 9% | |
| 161 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 162 | 2% | 4% | |
| 163 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 143 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 144 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 145 | 2% | 95% | |
| 146 | 2% | 94% | |
| 147 | 2% | 92% | |
| 148 | 4% | 90% | |
| 149 | 4% | 87% | |
| 150 | 3% | 83% | |
| 151 | 4% | 80% | |
| 152 | 5% | 76% | |
| 153 | 9% | 71% | |
| 154 | 10% | 62% | |
| 155 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 156 | 8% | 43% | |
| 157 | 8% | 35% | |
| 158 | 11% | 28% | |
| 159 | 6% | 16% | |
| 160 | 4% | 11% | |
| 161 | 3% | 7% | |
| 162 | 2% | 4% | |
| 163 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 124 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 129 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 130 | 2% | 96% | |
| 131 | 2% | 94% | |
| 132 | 5% | 92% | |
| 133 | 4% | 88% | |
| 134 | 3% | 83% | |
| 135 | 6% | 81% | |
| 136 | 6% | 74% | |
| 137 | 6% | 68% | |
| 138 | 9% | 62% | |
| 139 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 140 | 10% | 48% | |
| 141 | 12% | 38% | |
| 142 | 4% | 26% | |
| 143 | 4% | 22% | |
| 144 | 10% | 18% | |
| 145 | 2% | 8% | |
| 146 | 2% | 6% | |
| 147 | 2% | 4% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 129 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 130 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 131 | 3% | 95% | |
| 132 | 3% | 92% | |
| 133 | 4% | 89% | |
| 134 | 5% | 85% | |
| 135 | 8% | 80% | |
| 136 | 6% | 73% | |
| 137 | 8% | 67% | |
| 138 | 9% | 59% | |
| 139 | 8% | 50% | Median |
| 140 | 10% | 43% | |
| 141 | 8% | 32% | |
| 142 | 6% | 24% | |
| 143 | 6% | 18% | |
| 144 | 4% | 12% | Last Result |
| 145 | 3% | 8% | |
| 146 | 2% | 5% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 110 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 111 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 113 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 114 | 2% | 96% | |
| 115 | 7% | 94% | |
| 116 | 6% | 87% | |
| 117 | 11% | 81% | |
| 118 | 8% | 70% | |
| 119 | 8% | 62% | |
| 120 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 121 | 5% | 44% | |
| 122 | 7% | 38% | |
| 123 | 5% | 31% | |
| 124 | 7% | 27% | |
| 125 | 8% | 19% | |
| 126 | 3% | 12% | |
| 127 | 5% | 9% | |
| 128 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 130 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 131 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 132 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 110 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 112 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 113 | 2% | 97% | |
| 114 | 3% | 95% | |
| 115 | 5% | 92% | |
| 116 | 5% | 87% | |
| 117 | 6% | 83% | |
| 118 | 7% | 77% | |
| 119 | 8% | 70% | |
| 120 | 10% | 62% | |
| 121 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 122 | 10% | 41% | |
| 123 | 7% | 31% | |
| 124 | 5% | 24% | |
| 125 | 7% | 19% | |
| 126 | 3% | 12% | |
| 127 | 4% | 9% | |
| 128 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 129 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 111 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 112 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 113 | 2% | 97% | |
| 114 | 2% | 96% | |
| 115 | 7% | 94% | |
| 116 | 6% | 86% | |
| 117 | 11% | 80% | |
| 118 | 9% | 70% | |
| 119 | 8% | 61% | |
| 120 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 121 | 5% | 42% | |
| 122 | 7% | 37% | |
| 123 | 5% | 30% | Last Result |
| 124 | 7% | 25% | |
| 125 | 8% | 18% | |
| 126 | 3% | 11% | |
| 127 | 5% | 8% | |
| 128 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 100 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 101 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 102 | 4% | 95% | |
| 103 | 4% | 91% | |
| 104 | 3% | 88% | |
| 105 | 7% | 85% | |
| 106 | 7% | 78% | |
| 107 | 3% | 71% | |
| 108 | 8% | 69% | |
| 109 | 9% | 61% | |
| 110 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 111 | 11% | 47% | |
| 112 | 11% | 36% | |
| 113 | 4% | 25% | |
| 114 | 7% | 21% | |
| 115 | 7% | 14% | |
| 116 | 2% | 7% | Last Result |
| 117 | 2% | 5% | |
| 118 | 2% | 3% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 120 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 96% | |
| 86 | 4% | 94% | |
| 87 | 7% | 90% | |
| 88 | 5% | 83% | |
| 89 | 8% | 77% | |
| 90 | 9% | 69% | |
| 91 | 10% | 60% | |
| 92 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 93 | 9% | 44% | |
| 94 | 9% | 34% | |
| 95 | 5% | 25% | |
| 96 | 6% | 20% | |
| 97 | 5% | 14% | |
| 98 | 3% | 9% | |
| 99 | 3% | 6% | |
| 100 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 96% | |
| 86 | 4% | 93% | |
| 87 | 7% | 89% | |
| 88 | 5% | 82% | |
| 89 | 8% | 77% | |
| 90 | 9% | 68% | |
| 91 | 10% | 60% | |
| 92 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 93 | 9% | 42% | |
| 94 | 9% | 33% | |
| 95 | 5% | 24% | |
| 96 | 6% | 18% | |
| 97 | 5% | 13% | |
| 98 | 3% | 8% | |
| 99 | 2% | 5% | |
| 100 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 11–24 November 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1551
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.25%