Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 3–15 December 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 25.0% | 23.6–26.4% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.9–27.2% | 22.3–27.9% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 24.0% | 22.6–25.4% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.2% | 21.3–26.9% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 16.0% | 14.9–17.3% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.3–17.9% | 13.8–18.5% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.1–11.0% | 8.8–11.3% | 8.6–11.6% | 8.2–12.1% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2–9.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.8–9.5% | 6.4–9.9% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.7% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.6% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 88 | 83–93 | 82–95 | 81–96 | 78–99 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 84 | 80–90 | 78–91 | 77–92 | 75–95 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 56 | 52–61 | 51–63 | 50–63 | 48–65 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 35 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 30–41 | 28–43 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 29 | 25–32 | 24–32 | 24–33 | 23–35 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 16–27 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 18 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 14–22 | 0–23 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 18 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 0–23 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 81 | 2% | 98% | |
| 82 | 4% | 96% | |
| 83 | 4% | 92% | |
| 84 | 5% | 88% | |
| 85 | 7% | 83% | |
| 86 | 13% | 76% | |
| 87 | 9% | 63% | |
| 88 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 89 | 6% | 45% | |
| 90 | 15% | 39% | |
| 91 | 6% | 24% | |
| 92 | 5% | 18% | |
| 93 | 5% | 13% | |
| 94 | 2% | 8% | |
| 95 | 2% | 6% | |
| 96 | 2% | 4% | |
| 97 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 78 | 4% | 97% | |
| 79 | 2% | 93% | |
| 80 | 8% | 91% | |
| 81 | 11% | 83% | |
| 82 | 7% | 72% | |
| 83 | 14% | 65% | |
| 84 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 85 | 12% | 46% | |
| 86 | 4% | 33% | |
| 87 | 7% | 29% | |
| 88 | 4% | 22% | |
| 89 | 6% | 18% | |
| 90 | 6% | 12% | |
| 91 | 2% | 7% | |
| 92 | 3% | 5% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 1.5% | 98.6% | |
| 51 | 4% | 97% | |
| 52 | 4% | 93% | |
| 53 | 10% | 89% | |
| 54 | 7% | 79% | |
| 55 | 9% | 72% | |
| 56 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 57 | 8% | 49% | |
| 58 | 15% | 42% | |
| 59 | 6% | 26% | |
| 60 | 7% | 20% | |
| 61 | 6% | 14% | |
| 62 | 3% | 8% | |
| 63 | 3% | 5% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 31 | 3% | 96% | |
| 32 | 6% | 93% | |
| 33 | 9% | 87% | |
| 34 | 9% | 77% | |
| 35 | 22% | 68% | Median |
| 36 | 13% | 46% | |
| 37 | 15% | 33% | |
| 38 | 8% | 18% | |
| 39 | 5% | 10% | |
| 40 | 3% | 6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 3% | 98% | |
| 25 | 9% | 94% | |
| 26 | 10% | 86% | |
| 27 | 11% | 76% | |
| 28 | 14% | 65% | |
| 29 | 15% | 51% | Median |
| 30 | 15% | 36% | |
| 31 | 10% | 21% | Last Result |
| 32 | 6% | 11% | |
| 33 | 2% | 5% | |
| 34 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 18 | 6% | 97% | |
| 19 | 11% | 91% | |
| 20 | 16% | 79% | |
| 21 | 21% | 63% | Median |
| 22 | 18% | 42% | Last Result |
| 23 | 10% | 23% | |
| 24 | 6% | 13% | |
| 25 | 4% | 7% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 14 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 15 | 8% | 95% | |
| 16 | 14% | 86% | |
| 17 | 22% | 72% | |
| 18 | 18% | 50% | Median |
| 19 | 14% | 32% | |
| 20 | 10% | 18% | Last Result |
| 21 | 5% | 8% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98% | |
| 14 | 2% | 98% | |
| 15 | 8% | 96% | |
| 16 | 14% | 88% | Last Result |
| 17 | 16% | 74% | |
| 18 | 25% | 58% | Median |
| 19 | 13% | 33% | |
| 20 | 13% | 21% | |
| 21 | 4% | 8% | |
| 22 | 2% | 4% | |
| 23 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 188 | 99.1% | 181–192 | 179–195 | 177–196 | 173–199 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 173 | 42% | 167–179 | 164–181 | 164–182 | 162–187 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 161 | 0.9% | 157–168 | 154–170 | 153–172 | 150–176 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 152 | 0% | 145–157 | 143–159 | 141–161 | 137–163 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 144 | 0% | 138–151 | 137–153 | 136–154 | 133–158 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 141 | 0% | 135–147 | 133–149 | 132–150 | 129–154 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 141 | 0% | 135–146 | 133–148 | 132–149 | 126–153 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 124 | 0% | 118–129 | 116–131 | 115–132 | 110–136 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 124 | 0% | 118–129 | 116–130 | 115–132 | 112–136 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 106 | 0% | 101–112 | 99–113 | 98–115 | 95–118 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 106 | 0% | 100–111 | 98–113 | 97–114 | 89–117 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 103 | 0% | 97–108 | 95–110 | 94–111 | 87–113 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 85 | 0% | 80–90 | 79–92 | 77–93 | 75–95 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 168 | 0% | 100% | |
| 169 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 174 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 175 | 0.5% | 99.1% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 177 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 178 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 179 | 2% | 96% | |
| 180 | 3% | 94% | |
| 181 | 4% | 91% | |
| 182 | 5% | 87% | |
| 183 | 3% | 82% | |
| 184 | 5% | 78% | |
| 185 | 9% | 73% | |
| 186 | 6% | 65% | |
| 187 | 8% | 59% | |
| 188 | 12% | 50% | Median |
| 189 | 5% | 38% | |
| 190 | 16% | 33% | |
| 191 | 3% | 17% | |
| 192 | 4% | 14% | |
| 193 | 3% | 10% | |
| 194 | 2% | 7% | |
| 195 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 196 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 197 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 198 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 163 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 164 | 3% | 98% | |
| 165 | 2% | 95% | |
| 166 | 2% | 93% | |
| 167 | 4% | 91% | |
| 168 | 8% | 87% | |
| 169 | 5% | 79% | |
| 170 | 6% | 74% | |
| 171 | 7% | 68% | |
| 172 | 3% | 61% | |
| 173 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 174 | 7% | 49% | |
| 175 | 9% | 42% | Majority |
| 176 | 9% | 34% | |
| 177 | 5% | 24% | |
| 178 | 4% | 19% | |
| 179 | 6% | 16% | |
| 180 | 3% | 9% | |
| 181 | 2% | 6% | |
| 182 | 2% | 4% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 152 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 153 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 154 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 155 | 2% | 95% | |
| 156 | 3% | 93% | |
| 157 | 4% | 90% | |
| 158 | 3% | 86% | |
| 159 | 16% | 83% | |
| 160 | 5% | 67% | |
| 161 | 12% | 62% | Median |
| 162 | 8% | 50% | |
| 163 | 6% | 41% | |
| 164 | 9% | 35% | |
| 165 | 5% | 27% | |
| 166 | 3% | 22% | |
| 167 | 5% | 18% | |
| 168 | 4% | 13% | |
| 169 | 3% | 9% | |
| 170 | 2% | 6% | |
| 171 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 172 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 173 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 174 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 141 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 143 | 2% | 96% | |
| 144 | 2% | 94% | |
| 145 | 3% | 92% | |
| 146 | 5% | 89% | |
| 147 | 3% | 84% | |
| 148 | 5% | 81% | |
| 149 | 4% | 76% | |
| 150 | 9% | 71% | |
| 151 | 8% | 63% | |
| 152 | 9% | 54% | |
| 153 | 11% | 45% | Median |
| 154 | 6% | 34% | |
| 155 | 10% | 28% | |
| 156 | 4% | 17% | |
| 157 | 4% | 13% | |
| 158 | 3% | 10% | |
| 159 | 3% | 7% | |
| 160 | 2% | 4% | |
| 161 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 136 | 2% | 98% | |
| 137 | 3% | 96% | |
| 138 | 3% | 93% | |
| 139 | 3% | 89% | |
| 140 | 8% | 86% | |
| 141 | 4% | 78% | |
| 142 | 6% | 74% | |
| 143 | 6% | 68% | |
| 144 | 12% | 62% | Median |
| 145 | 8% | 50% | |
| 146 | 10% | 42% | |
| 147 | 6% | 32% | |
| 148 | 5% | 27% | |
| 149 | 4% | 22% | |
| 150 | 5% | 17% | |
| 151 | 5% | 12% | |
| 152 | 2% | 8% | |
| 153 | 2% | 6% | |
| 154 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 155 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 131 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 132 | 0.8% | 98% | Last Result |
| 133 | 2% | 97% | |
| 134 | 2% | 95% | |
| 135 | 4% | 93% | |
| 136 | 5% | 89% | |
| 137 | 9% | 84% | |
| 138 | 9% | 75% | |
| 139 | 6% | 66% | |
| 140 | 7% | 60% | Median |
| 141 | 11% | 53% | |
| 142 | 6% | 41% | |
| 143 | 6% | 35% | |
| 144 | 9% | 29% | |
| 145 | 3% | 20% | |
| 146 | 6% | 17% | |
| 147 | 3% | 11% | |
| 148 | 3% | 9% | |
| 149 | 2% | 6% | |
| 150 | 2% | 4% | |
| 151 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 130 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 131 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 132 | 2% | 98% | |
| 133 | 2% | 96% | |
| 134 | 2% | 94% | |
| 135 | 3% | 92% | |
| 136 | 3% | 89% | |
| 137 | 6% | 86% | |
| 138 | 7% | 80% | |
| 139 | 7% | 73% | |
| 140 | 8% | 66% | |
| 141 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 142 | 8% | 48% | |
| 143 | 13% | 40% | |
| 144 | 7% | 27% | Last Result |
| 145 | 4% | 19% | |
| 146 | 6% | 16% | |
| 147 | 3% | 10% | |
| 148 | 3% | 7% | |
| 149 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 150 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 113 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 115 | 2% | 98% | |
| 116 | 2% | 96% | |
| 117 | 2% | 93% | |
| 118 | 6% | 92% | |
| 119 | 5% | 86% | |
| 120 | 4% | 81% | |
| 121 | 8% | 77% | |
| 122 | 6% | 69% | |
| 123 | 7% | 63% | |
| 124 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 125 | 11% | 46% | |
| 126 | 5% | 34% | |
| 127 | 9% | 29% | |
| 128 | 8% | 20% | |
| 129 | 3% | 13% | |
| 130 | 3% | 10% | |
| 131 | 3% | 7% | |
| 132 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 133 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 114 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 115 | 2% | 98% | |
| 116 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 117 | 4% | 95% | |
| 118 | 3% | 91% | |
| 119 | 5% | 88% | |
| 120 | 5% | 83% | |
| 121 | 9% | 77% | |
| 122 | 7% | 69% | |
| 123 | 10% | 61% | Median |
| 124 | 11% | 52% | |
| 125 | 12% | 41% | |
| 126 | 6% | 29% | |
| 127 | 7% | 23% | |
| 128 | 5% | 16% | Last Result |
| 129 | 3% | 10% | |
| 130 | 3% | 7% | |
| 131 | 2% | 5% | |
| 132 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 98 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 99 | 3% | 97% | |
| 100 | 2% | 94% | |
| 101 | 5% | 92% | |
| 102 | 6% | 86% | |
| 103 | 8% | 81% | |
| 104 | 7% | 73% | |
| 105 | 8% | 66% | |
| 106 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 107 | 8% | 48% | |
| 108 | 11% | 40% | |
| 109 | 6% | 29% | |
| 110 | 8% | 23% | |
| 111 | 4% | 15% | |
| 112 | 4% | 11% | |
| 113 | 2% | 7% | |
| 114 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 115 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 98 | 2% | 97% | |
| 99 | 2% | 95% | |
| 100 | 4% | 93% | |
| 101 | 3% | 89% | |
| 102 | 8% | 86% | |
| 103 | 8% | 78% | |
| 104 | 7% | 70% | |
| 105 | 10% | 63% | |
| 106 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 107 | 6% | 40% | |
| 108 | 12% | 34% | |
| 109 | 5% | 22% | |
| 110 | 4% | 17% | |
| 111 | 4% | 13% | |
| 112 | 3% | 8% | |
| 113 | 2% | 6% | |
| 114 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 116 | 0.6% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 117 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 94 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 95 | 2% | 96% | |
| 96 | 4% | 95% | |
| 97 | 6% | 91% | |
| 98 | 4% | 85% | |
| 99 | 5% | 81% | |
| 100 | 8% | 75% | |
| 101 | 8% | 68% | |
| 102 | 6% | 60% | |
| 103 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 104 | 7% | 42% | |
| 105 | 7% | 35% | |
| 106 | 6% | 28% | |
| 107 | 10% | 22% | |
| 108 | 4% | 12% | |
| 109 | 3% | 8% | |
| 110 | 2% | 5% | |
| 111 | 2% | 3% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 113 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 78 | 2% | 97% | |
| 79 | 4% | 95% | |
| 80 | 4% | 91% | |
| 81 | 9% | 87% | |
| 82 | 7% | 79% | |
| 83 | 8% | 72% | |
| 84 | 9% | 64% | |
| 85 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 86 | 12% | 48% | |
| 87 | 9% | 36% | |
| 88 | 5% | 27% | |
| 89 | 7% | 22% | |
| 90 | 5% | 14% | |
| 91 | 4% | 9% | |
| 92 | 2% | 5% | |
| 93 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 3–15 December 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1572
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.04%