Opinion Poll by Sentio for Nyheter Idag, 13–18 December 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 29.1% 27.1–31.3% 26.6–31.9% 26.1–32.4% 25.1–33.4%
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 21.1% 19.3–23.0% 18.8–23.6% 18.4–24.0% 17.5–25.0%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 16.5% 14.9–18.3% 14.5–18.8% 14.1–19.3% 13.4–20.2%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 10.1% 8.8–11.6% 8.5–12.0% 8.2–12.4% 7.6–13.1%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 6.8% 5.8–8.1% 5.5–8.5% 5.3–8.8% 4.8–9.4%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 6.3% 5.3–7.6% 5.0–7.9% 4.8–8.2% 4.4–8.9%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 4.5% 3.7–5.6% 3.5–5.9% 3.3–6.2% 2.9–6.8%
Liberalerna 5.5% 3.2% 2.5–4.1% 2.3–4.4% 2.1–4.6% 1.9–5.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sverigedemokraterna 62 107 99–116 97–118 95–120 91–125
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 78 71–85 69–87 67–89 64–93
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 61 54–68 53–70 51–72 49–75
Vänsterpartiet 28 37 32–43 31–44 30–46 28–49
Centerpartiet 31 25 21–30 20–31 19–33 18–35
Kristdemokraterna 22 23 20–28 18–29 18–30 16–33
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 17 0–21 0–22 0–23 0–25
Liberalerna 20 0 0 0–16 0–16 0–18

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.3% 99.7%  
92 0.3% 99.4%  
93 0.4% 99.1%  
94 0.7% 98.7%  
95 0.8% 98%  
96 1.4% 97%  
97 1.2% 96%  
98 2% 95%  
99 4% 92%  
100 3% 89%  
101 4% 85%  
102 3% 81%  
103 5% 78%  
104 5% 73%  
105 4% 68%  
106 8% 64%  
107 7% 56% Median
108 6% 49%  
109 6% 43%  
110 5% 37%  
111 6% 32%  
112 4% 25%  
113 4% 21%  
114 4% 17%  
115 3% 13%  
116 2% 10%  
117 2% 8%  
118 2% 6%  
119 1.0% 4%  
120 0.8% 3%  
121 0.5% 2%  
122 0.4% 2%  
123 0.6% 2%  
124 0.4% 1.0%  
125 0.2% 0.5%  
126 0.1% 0.4%  
127 0.1% 0.3%  
128 0.1% 0.2%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.8%  
64 0.3% 99.6%  
65 0.4% 99.3%  
66 0.8% 98.8%  
67 0.6% 98%  
68 1.3% 97%  
69 2% 96%  
70 3% 94%  
71 4% 91%  
72 4% 87%  
73 4% 83%  
74 7% 79%  
75 6% 71%  
76 6% 65%  
77 8% 59%  
78 8% 51% Median
79 5% 43%  
80 6% 38%  
81 6% 32%  
82 6% 26%  
83 4% 20%  
84 4% 16%  
85 3% 12%  
86 3% 10%  
87 3% 7%  
88 1.4% 4%  
89 1.0% 3%  
90 0.6% 2%  
91 0.4% 1.4%  
92 0.3% 0.9%  
93 0.3% 0.6%  
94 0.1% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.8%  
49 0.4% 99.5%  
50 0.5% 99.1%  
51 1.1% 98.6%  
52 2% 97%  
53 2% 95%  
54 3% 93%  
55 4% 90%  
56 5% 86%  
57 5% 81%  
58 7% 76%  
59 6% 69%  
60 6% 63%  
61 10% 57% Median
62 7% 47%  
63 5% 40%  
64 7% 35%  
65 9% 28%  
66 4% 19%  
67 4% 16%  
68 3% 12%  
69 3% 9%  
70 2% 6% Last Result
71 1.3% 4%  
72 0.7% 3%  
73 0.8% 2%  
74 0.5% 1.2%  
75 0.2% 0.7%  
76 0.2% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 99.9%  
27 0.2% 99.9%  
28 0.4% 99.6% Last Result
29 1.1% 99.2%  
30 2% 98%  
31 2% 96%  
32 4% 94%  
33 6% 90%  
34 7% 84%  
35 6% 77%  
36 15% 71%  
37 9% 56% Median
38 7% 48%  
39 10% 41%  
40 7% 31%  
41 9% 24%  
42 4% 16%  
43 3% 11%  
44 4% 8%  
45 1.3% 4%  
46 1.3% 3%  
47 0.6% 2%  
48 0.5% 1.0%  
49 0.2% 0.5%  
50 0.1% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.3% 99.9%  
18 0.9% 99.6%  
19 2% 98.7%  
20 3% 97%  
21 5% 94%  
22 7% 89%  
23 12% 82%  
24 9% 70%  
25 13% 61% Median
26 12% 48%  
27 8% 36%  
28 9% 28%  
29 6% 18%  
30 5% 12%  
31 3% 8% Last Result
32 2% 5%  
33 1.5% 3%  
34 0.7% 1.3%  
35 0.3% 0.6%  
36 0.1% 0.3%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0.2% 99.9%  
16 0.4% 99.7%  
17 2% 99.3%  
18 3% 98%  
19 2% 95%  
20 9% 92%  
21 9% 84%  
22 9% 74% Last Result
23 17% 65% Median
24 10% 49%  
25 9% 38%  
26 12% 29%  
27 5% 17%  
28 4% 12%  
29 4% 8%  
30 2% 4%  
31 0.9% 2%  
32 0.8% 1.3%  
33 0.2% 0.5%  
34 0.2% 0.3%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 0% 78%  
2 0% 78%  
3 0% 78%  
4 0% 78%  
5 0% 78%  
6 0% 78%  
7 0% 78%  
8 0% 78%  
9 0% 78%  
10 0% 78%  
11 0% 78%  
12 0% 78%  
13 0% 78%  
14 0.1% 78%  
15 9% 78%  
16 13% 69% Last Result
17 13% 55% Median
18 15% 43%  
19 9% 27%  
20 8% 18%  
21 4% 10%  
22 3% 6%  
23 1.4% 3%  
24 1.0% 2%  
25 0.3% 0.6%  
26 0.2% 0.3%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 0% 9%  
5 0% 9%  
6 0% 9%  
7 0% 9%  
8 0% 9%  
9 0% 9%  
10 0% 9%  
11 0% 9%  
12 0% 9%  
13 0% 9%  
14 0.9% 9%  
15 2% 8%  
16 4% 6%  
17 0.9% 2%  
18 0.9% 1.3%  
19 0.2% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna 154 193 98.9% 182–202 179–206 177–209 172–213
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet 132 169 21% 159–179 156–182 154–185 149–189
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 165 10% 155–175 152–178 151–180 146–185
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 195 156 1.0% 146–167 143–170 140–172 136–177
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 139 0% 129–149 127–152 126–154 121–158
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 130 0% 119–140 115–142 113–143 107–148
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 167 119 0% 109–129 105–134 102–136 97–141
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 115 0% 107–124 105–126 103–129 99–132
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 111 0% 103–121 101–124 99–127 95–132
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 111 0% 102–119 100–122 97–123 94–129
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 93 0% 81–101 77–103 74–106 70–109
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 88 0% 80–97 78–100 76–103 73–108
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 87 0% 79–95 77–96 75–98 72–103

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100% Last Result
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 100%  
158 0% 100%  
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 100%  
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 100%  
167 0.1% 100%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0% 99.8%  
170 0.1% 99.8%  
171 0.1% 99.7%  
172 0.2% 99.6%  
173 0.3% 99.4%  
174 0.2% 99.1%  
175 0.6% 98.9% Majority
176 0.6% 98%  
177 0.8% 98%  
178 1.1% 97%  
179 1.1% 96%  
180 1.3% 95%  
181 2% 93%  
182 3% 92%  
183 3% 88%  
184 3% 85%  
185 3% 82%  
186 3% 79%  
187 3% 76%  
188 4% 73%  
189 4% 69%  
190 4% 65%  
191 4% 61% Median
192 4% 57%  
193 6% 53%  
194 8% 47%  
195 6% 39%  
196 3% 33%  
197 3% 29%  
198 4% 27%  
199 4% 22%  
200 4% 18%  
201 2% 14%  
202 2% 12%  
203 2% 10%  
204 2% 8%  
205 1.0% 6%  
206 1.0% 5%  
207 0.7% 4%  
208 0.7% 3%  
209 0.6% 3%  
210 0.3% 2%  
211 0.6% 2%  
212 0.5% 1.2%  
213 0.2% 0.6%  
214 0.1% 0.4%  
215 0.1% 0.3%  
216 0.1% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0.1% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100% Last Result
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0.1% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.7%  
149 0.2% 99.6%  
150 0.2% 99.4%  
151 0.3% 99.2%  
152 0.7% 98.9%  
153 0.6% 98%  
154 1.0% 98%  
155 1.1% 97%  
156 1.2% 96%  
157 1.1% 94%  
158 2% 93%  
159 4% 92%  
160 2% 88%  
161 3% 86%  
162 4% 83%  
163 2% 79%  
164 5% 77%  
165 7% 72%  
166 5% 65%  
167 3% 60%  
168 6% 56% Median
169 4% 51%  
170 4% 47%  
171 7% 43%  
172 7% 36%  
173 5% 29%  
174 3% 24%  
175 3% 21% Majority
176 2% 19%  
177 2% 16%  
178 2% 14%  
179 4% 11%  
180 1.0% 7%  
181 1.1% 6%  
182 1.0% 5%  
183 0.7% 4%  
184 0.6% 3%  
185 0.3% 3%  
186 1.4% 2%  
187 0.3% 1.1%  
188 0.2% 0.8%  
189 0.1% 0.6%  
190 0.1% 0.5%  
191 0% 0.3%  
192 0.2% 0.3%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.1% 99.8%  
145 0.1% 99.7%  
146 0.2% 99.5%  
147 0.3% 99.3%  
148 0.5% 99.0%  
149 0.4% 98%  
150 0.6% 98%  
151 2% 98%  
152 0.9% 95%  
153 0.6% 94%  
154 2% 94%  
155 4% 92%  
156 3% 87%  
157 2% 85%  
158 5% 83%  
159 6% 79%  
160 3% 72%  
161 2% 70%  
162 6% 67%  
163 7% 61%  
164 2% 54% Median
165 5% 52%  
166 11% 46%  
167 3% 35%  
168 2% 33%  
169 5% 30%  
170 4% 25%  
171 4% 21%  
172 1.3% 18%  
173 3% 16%  
174 3% 13%  
175 0.9% 10% Majority
176 1.1% 10%  
177 3% 8%  
178 0.8% 5%  
179 0.3% 4%  
180 2% 4%  
181 0.5% 2%  
182 0.7% 2%  
183 0.2% 1.0%  
184 0.1% 0.8%  
185 0.3% 0.7%  
186 0.1% 0.4%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0% Last Result

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
130 0% 100%  
131 0.1% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.8%  
134 0.1% 99.7%  
135 0.1% 99.7%  
136 0.2% 99.5%  
137 0.5% 99.3%  
138 0.6% 98.8%  
139 0.3% 98%  
140 0.7% 98%  
141 0.7% 97%  
142 0.8% 96%  
143 1.0% 96%  
144 1.0% 95%  
145 2% 94%  
146 2% 92%  
147 2% 90%  
148 2% 87%  
149 4% 85%  
150 4% 81%  
151 4% 77%  
152 3% 73%  
153 3% 70%  
154 6% 67%  
155 8% 61%  
156 6% 52%  
157 4% 46% Median
158 4% 42%  
159 4% 38%  
160 4% 34%  
161 4% 30%  
162 3% 26%  
163 3% 23%  
164 3% 20%  
165 3% 18%  
166 3% 15%  
167 3% 11%  
168 2% 8%  
169 1.3% 6%  
170 1.1% 5%  
171 1.1% 4%  
172 0.8% 3%  
173 0.5% 2%  
174 0.6% 2%  
175 0.2% 1.0% Majority
176 0.3% 0.8%  
177 0.2% 0.6%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0% Last Result

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.8%  
120 0.1% 99.7%  
121 0.3% 99.6%  
122 0.2% 99.4%  
123 0.4% 99.2%  
124 0.7% 98.8%  
125 0.5% 98%  
126 1.5% 98%  
127 2% 96%  
128 1.3% 95%  
129 3% 93%  
130 2% 90%  
131 2% 88%  
132 7% 86%  
133 3% 79%  
134 5% 76%  
135 5% 72%  
136 3% 66%  
137 3% 63%  
138 8% 60%  
139 3% 51% Median
140 7% 48%  
141 4% 41%  
142 4% 37%  
143 7% 33%  
144 3% 26%  
145 3% 24%  
146 5% 20%  
147 2% 15%  
148 3% 14%  
149 2% 10%  
150 1.1% 8%  
151 0.9% 7%  
152 2% 6%  
153 0.5% 4%  
154 2% 4%  
155 0.3% 2%  
156 0.3% 1.2%  
157 0.3% 0.9%  
158 0.1% 0.6%  
159 0.2% 0.4%  
160 0.1% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0% Last Result

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.2% 99.8%  
107 0.1% 99.6%  
108 0.2% 99.5%  
109 0.1% 99.3%  
110 0.2% 99.1%  
111 0.3% 98.9%  
112 1.0% 98.6%  
113 0.8% 98%  
114 1.2% 97%  
115 0.9% 96%  
116 1.1% 95%  
117 1.4% 94%  
118 1.0% 92%  
119 2% 91%  
120 2% 90%  
121 3% 88%  
122 3% 85%  
123 6% 82%  
124 3% 77%  
125 6% 74%  
126 3% 69%  
127 3% 66%  
128 4% 63%  
129 3% 59%  
130 8% 55%  
131 5% 48%  
132 8% 43% Median
133 6% 35%  
134 4% 29%  
135 4% 25%  
136 2% 21%  
137 4% 19%  
138 3% 15%  
139 3% 13%  
140 3% 10%  
141 1.3% 7%  
142 2% 6%  
143 1.1% 3%  
144 0.7% 2% Last Result
145 0.4% 2%  
146 0.3% 1.2%  
147 0.4% 1.0%  
148 0.2% 0.6%  
149 0.2% 0.4%  
150 0.1% 0.3%  
151 0.1% 0.1%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.8%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.6% 99.7%  
98 0.8% 99.1%  
99 0.2% 98%  
100 0.1% 98%  
101 0.3% 98%  
102 0.7% 98%  
103 1.1% 97%  
104 0.8% 96%  
105 1.0% 95%  
106 1.0% 94%  
107 0.7% 93%  
108 1.0% 92%  
109 2% 91%  
110 5% 89%  
111 3% 84%  
112 3% 82%  
113 2% 78%  
114 3% 76%  
115 5% 73%  
116 5% 68%  
117 6% 63%  
118 4% 57%  
119 10% 53%  
120 3% 43% Median
121 3% 40%  
122 4% 37%  
123 4% 32%  
124 3% 28%  
125 6% 25%  
126 4% 20%  
127 2% 16%  
128 3% 14%  
129 2% 11%  
130 1.1% 10%  
131 1.2% 8%  
132 0.9% 7%  
133 1.1% 6%  
134 1.0% 5%  
135 0.8% 4%  
136 0.9% 3%  
137 1.1% 2%  
138 0.4% 1.4%  
139 0.2% 1.0%  
140 0.2% 0.8%  
141 0.2% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.3%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0% Last Result

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.2% 99.8%  
99 0.3% 99.6%  
100 0.4% 99.2%  
101 0.3% 98.8%  
102 0.7% 98.6%  
103 0.9% 98%  
104 0.9% 97%  
105 3% 96%  
106 2% 93%  
107 2% 91%  
108 4% 89%  
109 4% 85%  
110 4% 81%  
111 4% 77%  
112 4% 73%  
113 8% 69%  
114 9% 61%  
115 6% 51% Median
116 6% 45%  
117 4% 40%  
118 4% 36%  
119 4% 32%  
120 3% 28%  
121 6% 25%  
122 5% 19%  
123 3% 14%  
124 2% 11%  
125 2% 9%  
126 2% 7%  
127 1.1% 5%  
128 0.5% 4% Last Result
129 0.9% 3%  
130 0.5% 2%  
131 1.3% 2%  
132 0.2% 0.7%  
133 0.1% 0.5%  
134 0.1% 0.4%  
135 0.1% 0.3%  
136 0% 0.2%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0.1% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.2% 99.8%  
95 0.3% 99.6%  
96 0.4% 99.3%  
97 0.5% 99.0%  
98 0.5% 98%  
99 1.0% 98%  
100 1.3% 97%  
101 1.1% 96%  
102 4% 95%  
103 2% 91%  
104 4% 89%  
105 5% 85%  
106 4% 81%  
107 4% 77%  
108 7% 73%  
109 4% 67% Median
110 6% 63%  
111 9% 57%  
112 5% 48%  
113 4% 43%  
114 5% 39%  
115 4% 34%  
116 3% 30%  
117 5% 27%  
118 4% 22%  
119 4% 18%  
120 2% 14%  
121 2% 12%  
122 3% 10%  
123 2% 7%  
124 1.2% 6%  
125 0.8% 4%  
126 0.6% 4%  
127 0.9% 3%  
128 0.3% 2%  
129 0.5% 2%  
130 0.3% 1.2%  
131 0.2% 0.9%  
132 0.2% 0.7%  
133 0.2% 0.5%  
134 0.1% 0.3%  
135 0.1% 0.3%  
136 0.1% 0.2%  
137 0.1% 0.2%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.1% 99.7%  
94 0.3% 99.6%  
95 0.6% 99.3%  
96 0.5% 98.7%  
97 0.7% 98%  
98 0.7% 97%  
99 1.3% 97%  
100 2% 95%  
101 1.4% 94%  
102 4% 92%  
103 2% 88%  
104 5% 86%  
105 5% 81%  
106 4% 76%  
107 4% 72%  
108 7% 68%  
109 4% 61% Median
110 6% 56%  
111 10% 50%  
112 5% 41%  
113 4% 35%  
114 5% 31%  
115 4% 27%  
116 3% 23%  
117 5% 20%  
118 3% 15%  
119 3% 12%  
120 2% 9%  
121 2% 7%  
122 2% 5%  
123 1.0% 3% Last Result
124 0.6% 2%  
125 0.6% 2%  
126 0.2% 1.1%  
127 0.2% 0.9%  
128 0.1% 0.7%  
129 0.3% 0.5%  
130 0.1% 0.3%  
131 0.1% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.7%  
71 0.3% 99.3%  
72 0.8% 99.0%  
73 0.7% 98%  
74 0.8% 98%  
75 0.6% 97%  
76 0.7% 96%  
77 0.9% 96%  
78 1.2% 95%  
79 0.9% 93%  
80 1.2% 92%  
81 2% 91%  
82 2% 89%  
83 2% 88%  
84 3% 85%  
85 2% 83%  
86 3% 81%  
87 5% 78%  
88 3% 73%  
89 4% 70%  
90 4% 65%  
91 4% 61%  
92 5% 57%  
93 5% 52%  
94 6% 48%  
95 4% 41% Median
96 9% 37%  
97 5% 28%  
98 3% 23%  
99 3% 20%  
100 5% 16%  
101 3% 11%  
102 2% 8%  
103 2% 6%  
104 1.0% 5%  
105 1.0% 4%  
106 1.0% 3%  
107 0.6% 2%  
108 0.3% 1.0%  
109 0.2% 0.7%  
110 0.2% 0.4%  
111 0.1% 0.3%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  
116 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.4% 99.6%  
74 0.5% 99.3%  
75 0.7% 98.7%  
76 0.8% 98%  
77 0.7% 97%  
78 2% 97%  
79 4% 95%  
80 4% 91%  
81 5% 88%  
82 4% 83%  
83 5% 79%  
84 4% 74%  
85 3% 70%  
86 8% 67% Median
87 6% 59%  
88 9% 53%  
89 5% 44%  
90 6% 39%  
91 5% 33%  
92 3% 28%  
93 4% 26%  
94 4% 21%  
95 3% 17%  
96 4% 15%  
97 1.3% 11%  
98 3% 10%  
99 1.3% 7%  
100 0.7% 6%  
101 1.3% 5%  
102 0.4% 4%  
103 0.9% 3%  
104 0.3% 2%  
105 0.5% 2%  
106 0.4% 1.4%  
107 0.4% 1.0%  
108 0.1% 0.6%  
109 0.1% 0.5%  
110 0.1% 0.4%  
111 0.1% 0.3%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.3% 99.7%  
73 0.5% 99.4%  
74 0.7% 98.9%  
75 1.0% 98%  
76 1.0% 97%  
77 1.3% 96%  
78 2% 95%  
79 4% 93%  
80 4% 89%  
81 6% 85%  
82 5% 79%  
83 5% 74%  
84 4% 69%  
85 4% 65%  
86 8% 61% Median
87 6% 53%  
88 9% 46%  
89 6% 37%  
90 6% 31%  
91 5% 25%  
92 2% 21%  
93 4% 18%  
94 4% 14%  
95 2% 11%  
96 4% 9%  
97 0.7% 5%  
98 2% 4%  
99 0.6% 2%  
100 0.2% 1.5%  
101 0.4% 1.3% Last Result
102 0.2% 0.9%  
103 0.4% 0.7%  
104 0.2% 0.3%  
105 0% 0.2%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations