Opinion Poll by Sifo, 6–16 January 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 23.8% | 23.2–24.4% | 23.0–24.6% | 22.9–24.8% | 22.6–25.1% |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 23.5% | 22.9–24.1% | 22.7–24.3% | 22.6–24.5% | 22.3–24.8% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 17.5% | 16.9–18.1% | 16.8–18.2% | 16.7–18.4% | 16.4–18.6% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.8–10.7% | 9.6–10.8% | 9.5–10.9% | 9.3–11.1% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1–8.9% | 8.0–9.0% | 7.9–9.1% | 7.7–9.3% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2–7.0% | 6.1–7.1% | 6.1–7.2% | 5.9–7.4% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2–4.8% | 4.1–4.9% | 4.1–5.0% | 3.9–5.2% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6–4.2% | 3.6–4.3% | 3.5–4.4% | 3.4–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 86 | 83–89 | 82–90 | 82–91 | 80–94 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 86 | 82–89 | 81–90 | 81–90 | 80–91 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 64 | 61–66 | 60–67 | 60–68 | 59–68 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 37 | 35–39 | 35–40 | 34–40 | 33–41 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 31 | 29–33 | 29–33 | 28–34 | 28–34 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 24 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 21–27 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 16 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 0–19 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–15 | 0–15 | 0–16 |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 82 | 5% | 98% | |
| 83 | 4% | 93% | |
| 84 | 7% | 89% | |
| 85 | 15% | 82% | |
| 86 | 19% | 67% | Median |
| 87 | 12% | 48% | |
| 88 | 20% | 36% | |
| 89 | 8% | 16% | |
| 90 | 5% | 8% | |
| 91 | 2% | 4% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 81 | 4% | 98% | |
| 82 | 5% | 94% | |
| 83 | 9% | 89% | |
| 84 | 12% | 80% | |
| 85 | 15% | 68% | |
| 86 | 13% | 53% | Median |
| 87 | 16% | 40% | |
| 88 | 11% | 24% | |
| 89 | 6% | 12% | |
| 90 | 5% | 6% | |
| 91 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 4% | 98% | |
| 61 | 9% | 94% | |
| 62 | 11% | 86% | |
| 63 | 20% | 75% | |
| 64 | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 65 | 22% | 40% | |
| 66 | 11% | 18% | |
| 67 | 5% | 8% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 10% | 96% | |
| 36 | 17% | 87% | |
| 37 | 26% | 69% | Median |
| 38 | 22% | 44% | |
| 39 | 16% | 22% | |
| 40 | 5% | 6% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 28 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 11% | 97% | |
| 30 | 17% | 86% | |
| 31 | 30% | 69% | Last Result, Median |
| 32 | 26% | 38% | |
| 33 | 9% | 12% | |
| 34 | 2% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 9% | 98% | Last Result |
| 23 | 17% | 89% | |
| 24 | 26% | 72% | Median |
| 25 | 33% | 46% | |
| 26 | 11% | 13% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 15 | 12% | 98% | |
| 16 | 37% | 86% | Last Result, Median |
| 17 | 37% | 48% | |
| 18 | 10% | 11% | |
| 19 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 70% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 30% | |
| 2 | 0% | 30% | |
| 3 | 0% | 30% | |
| 4 | 0% | 30% | |
| 5 | 0% | 30% | |
| 6 | 0% | 30% | |
| 7 | 0% | 30% | |
| 8 | 0% | 30% | |
| 9 | 0% | 30% | |
| 10 | 0% | 30% | |
| 11 | 0% | 30% | |
| 12 | 0% | 30% | |
| 13 | 0% | 30% | |
| 14 | 11% | 30% | |
| 15 | 17% | 19% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 181 | 86% | 174–185 | 173–186 | 172–187 | 171–191 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 174 | 39% | 170–181 | 169–181 | 169–183 | 162–184 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 175 | 61% | 168–179 | 168–180 | 166–180 | 165–187 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 151 | 0% | 145–154 | 144–155 | 143–156 | 142–161 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 150 | 0% | 144–153 | 143–154 | 142–155 | 141–158 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 136 | 0% | 132–145 | 132–146 | 131–146 | 123–148 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 140 | 0% | 134–143 | 132–144 | 132–144 | 127–146 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 121 | 0% | 119–131 | 118–133 | 117–133 | 115–135 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 123 | 0% | 118–127 | 117–128 | 117–128 | 115–130 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 120 | 0% | 114–122 | 113–123 | 112–124 | 111–126 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 97 | 0% | 94–108 | 94–109 | 93–110 | 91–111 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 102 | 0% | 98–105 | 96–106 | 95–106 | 88–108 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 95 | 0% | 91–98 | 90–99 | 89–99 | 88–101 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 169 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 171 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 172 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 173 | 2% | 97% | |
| 174 | 9% | 95% | |
| 175 | 5% | 86% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 81% | |
| 177 | 2% | 78% | |
| 178 | 4% | 75% | |
| 179 | 4% | 71% | |
| 180 | 4% | 67% | |
| 181 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 182 | 6% | 47% | |
| 183 | 17% | 41% | |
| 184 | 12% | 24% | |
| 185 | 6% | 12% | |
| 186 | 3% | 6% | |
| 187 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 188 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 189 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 168 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 169 | 4% | 98% | |
| 170 | 9% | 94% | Median |
| 171 | 12% | 85% | |
| 172 | 4% | 73% | |
| 173 | 14% | 69% | |
| 174 | 16% | 55% | |
| 175 | 6% | 39% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 33% | |
| 177 | 2% | 29% | |
| 178 | 2% | 27% | |
| 179 | 6% | 25% | |
| 180 | 7% | 18% | |
| 181 | 7% | 12% | |
| 182 | 2% | 5% | |
| 183 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 184 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 185 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 165 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 166 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 167 | 2% | 97% | |
| 168 | 7% | 95% | |
| 169 | 7% | 88% | |
| 170 | 6% | 82% | |
| 171 | 2% | 75% | |
| 172 | 2% | 73% | |
| 173 | 4% | 71% | |
| 174 | 6% | 67% | Median |
| 175 | 16% | 61% | Majority |
| 176 | 14% | 45% | |
| 177 | 4% | 31% | |
| 178 | 12% | 27% | |
| 179 | 9% | 15% | |
| 180 | 4% | 6% | |
| 181 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 187 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 143 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 144 | 4% | 97% | |
| 145 | 4% | 93% | |
| 146 | 9% | 89% | |
| 147 | 5% | 80% | |
| 148 | 5% | 76% | |
| 149 | 5% | 71% | |
| 150 | 15% | 66% | Median |
| 151 | 14% | 52% | |
| 152 | 10% | 37% | |
| 153 | 12% | 27% | |
| 154 | 6% | 15% | |
| 155 | 6% | 9% | |
| 156 | 2% | 4% | |
| 157 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 139 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 142 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 143 | 5% | 97% | |
| 144 | 5% | 93% | |
| 145 | 7% | 87% | |
| 146 | 3% | 81% | |
| 147 | 7% | 77% | |
| 148 | 6% | 71% | |
| 149 | 6% | 64% | |
| 150 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 151 | 15% | 46% | |
| 152 | 13% | 31% | |
| 153 | 9% | 18% | |
| 154 | 5% | 10% | |
| 155 | 2% | 4% | |
| 156 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 130 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 131 | 2% | 98% | |
| 132 | 7% | 96% | |
| 133 | 10% | 89% | Median |
| 134 | 13% | 79% | |
| 135 | 10% | 67% | |
| 136 | 15% | 56% | |
| 137 | 6% | 41% | |
| 138 | 4% | 36% | |
| 139 | 2% | 31% | |
| 140 | 1.5% | 30% | |
| 141 | 2% | 28% | |
| 142 | 2% | 26% | |
| 143 | 7% | 24% | |
| 144 | 6% | 17% | |
| 145 | 3% | 11% | |
| 146 | 5% | 7% | |
| 147 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 130 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 131 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 132 | 3% | 98% | |
| 133 | 3% | 94% | |
| 134 | 4% | 91% | |
| 135 | 5% | 87% | |
| 136 | 6% | 82% | |
| 137 | 6% | 77% | |
| 138 | 9% | 71% | |
| 139 | 7% | 62% | Median |
| 140 | 12% | 55% | |
| 141 | 9% | 43% | |
| 142 | 19% | 33% | |
| 143 | 9% | 14% | |
| 144 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 145 | 2% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 116 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 117 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 118 | 4% | 97% | |
| 119 | 11% | 92% | Median |
| 120 | 9% | 81% | |
| 121 | 23% | 73% | |
| 122 | 10% | 50% | |
| 123 | 6% | 40% | |
| 124 | 2% | 34% | |
| 125 | 1.1% | 32% | |
| 126 | 3% | 31% | |
| 127 | 4% | 27% | |
| 128 | 3% | 24% | |
| 129 | 4% | 20% | |
| 130 | 4% | 17% | |
| 131 | 3% | 13% | |
| 132 | 4% | 10% | |
| 133 | 4% | 6% | |
| 134 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 116 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 117 | 5% | 98% | |
| 118 | 6% | 93% | |
| 119 | 6% | 88% | |
| 120 | 5% | 82% | |
| 121 | 11% | 77% | |
| 122 | 7% | 66% | |
| 123 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 124 | 10% | 49% | |
| 125 | 15% | 38% | |
| 126 | 13% | 23% | |
| 127 | 5% | 10% | |
| 128 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 112 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 113 | 4% | 95% | |
| 114 | 4% | 91% | |
| 115 | 3% | 87% | |
| 116 | 4% | 83% | |
| 117 | 6% | 79% | |
| 118 | 8% | 73% | |
| 119 | 13% | 65% | Median |
| 120 | 9% | 52% | |
| 121 | 23% | 43% | |
| 122 | 10% | 19% | |
| 123 | 6% | 10% | Last Result |
| 124 | 2% | 4% | |
| 125 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 93 | 2% | 98% | |
| 94 | 12% | 96% | |
| 95 | 9% | 84% | Median |
| 96 | 19% | 75% | |
| 97 | 12% | 56% | |
| 98 | 8% | 44% | |
| 99 | 4% | 36% | |
| 100 | 1.3% | 32% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 31% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 31% | |
| 103 | 2% | 30% | |
| 104 | 4% | 29% | |
| 105 | 5% | 25% | |
| 106 | 5% | 20% | |
| 107 | 3% | 15% | |
| 108 | 4% | 12% | |
| 109 | 5% | 8% | |
| 110 | 2% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 98.5% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 96 | 3% | 97% | |
| 97 | 2% | 95% | |
| 98 | 5% | 93% | |
| 99 | 6% | 88% | |
| 100 | 9% | 82% | |
| 101 | 15% | 73% | |
| 102 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 103 | 17% | 48% | |
| 104 | 14% | 31% | |
| 105 | 8% | 17% | |
| 106 | 7% | 10% | |
| 107 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 90 | 5% | 97% | |
| 91 | 7% | 92% | |
| 92 | 5% | 85% | |
| 93 | 6% | 80% | |
| 94 | 18% | 75% | |
| 95 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 96 | 20% | 46% | |
| 97 | 12% | 26% | |
| 98 | 8% | 14% | |
| 99 | 4% | 6% | |
| 100 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 6–16 January 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 7747
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.43%