Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 14–27 January 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 23.8% | 22.4–25.2% | 22.0–25.6% | 21.7–26.0% | 21.0–26.7% |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 22.8% | 21.4–24.2% | 21.1–24.6% | 20.7–25.0% | 20.1–25.7% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 16.8% | 15.6–18.1% | 15.3–18.5% | 15.0–18.8% | 14.5–19.4% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.9–11.9% | 9.6–12.3% | 9.4–12.5% | 8.9–13.1% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0–9.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.6–10.4% | 7.2–10.9% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2–7.8% | 5.9–8.1% | 5.8–8.3% | 5.4–8.8% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 87 | 81–94 | 79–96 | 78–97 | 75–100 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 83 | 77–90 | 75–92 | 75–94 | 72–97 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 61 | 57–67 | 55–69 | 54–70 | 52–73 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 40 | 36–45 | 35–46 | 34–47 | 33–49 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 33 | 29–37 | 28–38 | 28–39 | 26–41 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 26 | 22–29 | 21–30 | 21–31 | 20–33 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 14 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–18 | 0–20 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 14 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–18 | 0–20 |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 78 | 2% | 98% | |
| 79 | 2% | 97% | |
| 80 | 3% | 95% | |
| 81 | 3% | 92% | |
| 82 | 4% | 88% | |
| 83 | 9% | 84% | |
| 84 | 6% | 75% | |
| 85 | 6% | 69% | |
| 86 | 7% | 62% | |
| 87 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 88 | 9% | 48% | |
| 89 | 6% | 40% | |
| 90 | 5% | 34% | |
| 91 | 9% | 28% | |
| 92 | 5% | 20% | |
| 93 | 3% | 15% | |
| 94 | 4% | 12% | |
| 95 | 3% | 8% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 97 | 2% | 4% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 98.5% | |
| 75 | 3% | 98% | |
| 76 | 2% | 95% | |
| 77 | 4% | 93% | |
| 78 | 2% | 88% | |
| 79 | 5% | 86% | |
| 80 | 8% | 82% | |
| 81 | 9% | 73% | |
| 82 | 7% | 64% | |
| 83 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 84 | 9% | 50% | |
| 85 | 12% | 40% | |
| 86 | 4% | 29% | |
| 87 | 5% | 25% | |
| 88 | 2% | 20% | |
| 89 | 6% | 18% | |
| 90 | 3% | 12% | |
| 91 | 2% | 9% | |
| 92 | 3% | 7% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 55 | 2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 2% | 94% | |
| 57 | 4% | 91% | |
| 58 | 6% | 88% | |
| 59 | 13% | 81% | |
| 60 | 4% | 68% | |
| 61 | 14% | 64% | Median |
| 62 | 9% | 50% | |
| 63 | 7% | 40% | |
| 64 | 9% | 33% | |
| 65 | 7% | 24% | |
| 66 | 4% | 16% | |
| 67 | 3% | 12% | |
| 68 | 3% | 9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 2% | 98% | |
| 35 | 3% | 96% | |
| 36 | 6% | 93% | |
| 37 | 11% | 87% | |
| 38 | 10% | 76% | |
| 39 | 13% | 66% | |
| 40 | 9% | 53% | Median |
| 41 | 8% | 43% | |
| 42 | 11% | 35% | |
| 43 | 11% | 24% | |
| 44 | 4% | 14% | |
| 45 | 5% | 10% | |
| 46 | 2% | 6% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 48 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 28 | 4% | 98% | |
| 29 | 6% | 93% | |
| 30 | 6% | 87% | |
| 31 | 11% | 81% | Last Result |
| 32 | 16% | 70% | |
| 33 | 19% | 54% | Median |
| 34 | 10% | 35% | |
| 35 | 7% | 25% | |
| 36 | 5% | 17% | |
| 37 | 5% | 12% | |
| 38 | 3% | 7% | |
| 39 | 3% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 22 | 7% | 94% | Last Result |
| 23 | 8% | 88% | |
| 24 | 11% | 79% | |
| 25 | 16% | 68% | |
| 26 | 17% | 52% | Median |
| 27 | 12% | 35% | |
| 28 | 11% | 23% | |
| 29 | 6% | 12% | |
| 30 | 3% | 6% | |
| 31 | 2% | 4% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 41% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 59% | |
| 2 | 0% | 59% | |
| 3 | 0% | 59% | |
| 4 | 0% | 59% | |
| 5 | 0% | 59% | |
| 6 | 0% | 59% | |
| 7 | 0% | 59% | |
| 8 | 0% | 59% | |
| 9 | 0% | 59% | |
| 10 | 0% | 59% | |
| 11 | 0% | 59% | |
| 12 | 0% | 59% | |
| 13 | 0% | 59% | |
| 14 | 17% | 59% | Median |
| 15 | 11% | 42% | |
| 16 | 18% | 31% | |
| 17 | 5% | 13% | |
| 18 | 7% | 8% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 46% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 54% | |
| 2 | 0% | 54% | |
| 3 | 0% | 54% | |
| 4 | 0% | 54% | |
| 5 | 0% | 54% | |
| 6 | 0% | 54% | |
| 7 | 0% | 54% | |
| 8 | 0% | 54% | |
| 9 | 0% | 54% | |
| 10 | 0% | 54% | |
| 11 | 0% | 54% | |
| 12 | 0% | 54% | |
| 13 | 0% | 54% | |
| 14 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 15 | 18% | 47% | |
| 16 | 15% | 29% | Last Result |
| 17 | 7% | 14% | |
| 18 | 4% | 6% | |
| 19 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 177 | 66% | 169–188 | 167–192 | 165–194 | 162–198 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 175 | 51% | 164–185 | 163–188 | 162–189 | 158–193 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 174 | 49% | 164–185 | 161–186 | 160–187 | 156–191 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 149 | 0% | 141–158 | 138–161 | 137–163 | 134–166 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 145 | 0% | 138–155 | 135–158 | 133–160 | 130–163 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 135 | 0% | 122–146 | 119–147 | 117–149 | 114–153 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 132 | 0% | 123–141 | 121–143 | 120–145 | 116–149 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 130 | 0% | 120–138 | 118–141 | 116–142 | 112–146 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 124 | 0% | 116–132 | 113–135 | 112–137 | 110–140 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 120 | 0% | 113–128 | 111–131 | 109–133 | 107–136 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 105 | 0% | 94–112 | 92–116 | 90–118 | 87–120 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 94 | 0% | 89–102 | 86–104 | 85–106 | 83–109 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 93 | 0% | 83–101 | 81–103 | 80–105 | 77–108 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 163 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 164 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 165 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 166 | 2% | 97% | |
| 167 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 168 | 2% | 94% | |
| 169 | 4% | 92% | |
| 170 | 1.4% | 88% | |
| 171 | 6% | 87% | |
| 172 | 5% | 81% | |
| 173 | 2% | 76% | |
| 174 | 9% | 74% | |
| 175 | 9% | 66% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 57% | |
| 177 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 178 | 4% | 47% | |
| 179 | 3% | 42% | |
| 180 | 4% | 39% | |
| 181 | 3% | 35% | |
| 182 | 3% | 32% | |
| 183 | 3% | 30% | |
| 184 | 4% | 27% | |
| 185 | 3% | 23% | |
| 186 | 2% | 19% | |
| 187 | 6% | 17% | |
| 188 | 2% | 11% | |
| 189 | 2% | 9% | |
| 190 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 191 | 2% | 7% | |
| 192 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 193 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 194 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 195 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 197 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 199 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 159 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 161 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 162 | 2% | 98% | |
| 163 | 2% | 95% | |
| 164 | 3% | 93% | |
| 165 | 2% | 90% | |
| 166 | 3% | 88% | |
| 167 | 2% | 85% | |
| 168 | 3% | 83% | |
| 169 | 3% | 80% | |
| 170 | 7% | 77% | |
| 171 | 4% | 70% | |
| 172 | 4% | 66% | |
| 173 | 5% | 62% | |
| 174 | 6% | 57% | Median |
| 175 | 8% | 51% | Majority |
| 176 | 5% | 43% | |
| 177 | 3% | 38% | |
| 178 | 3% | 35% | |
| 179 | 6% | 31% | |
| 180 | 3% | 25% | |
| 181 | 4% | 22% | |
| 182 | 2% | 18% | |
| 183 | 2% | 16% | |
| 184 | 4% | 14% | |
| 185 | 3% | 11% | |
| 186 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 187 | 2% | 7% | |
| 188 | 2% | 6% | |
| 189 | 2% | 4% | |
| 190 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 192 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 157 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 158 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 160 | 2% | 98% | |
| 161 | 2% | 96% | |
| 162 | 2% | 94% | |
| 163 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 164 | 3% | 92% | |
| 165 | 4% | 89% | |
| 166 | 2% | 86% | |
| 167 | 2% | 84% | |
| 168 | 4% | 82% | |
| 169 | 3% | 78% | |
| 170 | 6% | 75% | |
| 171 | 3% | 69% | |
| 172 | 3% | 65% | |
| 173 | 5% | 62% | |
| 174 | 8% | 57% | |
| 175 | 6% | 49% | Majority |
| 176 | 5% | 43% | |
| 177 | 4% | 38% | |
| 178 | 4% | 34% | |
| 179 | 7% | 30% | |
| 180 | 3% | 23% | |
| 181 | 3% | 20% | |
| 182 | 2% | 17% | |
| 183 | 3% | 15% | |
| 184 | 2% | 12% | Median |
| 185 | 3% | 10% | |
| 186 | 2% | 7% | |
| 187 | 2% | 5% | |
| 188 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 189 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 191 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 136 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 137 | 2% | 98% | |
| 138 | 2% | 96% | |
| 139 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 140 | 2% | 93% | |
| 141 | 3% | 90% | |
| 142 | 4% | 87% | |
| 143 | 3% | 83% | |
| 144 | 8% | 80% | |
| 145 | 3% | 72% | |
| 146 | 6% | 70% | |
| 147 | 4% | 63% | |
| 148 | 6% | 59% | Median |
| 149 | 4% | 53% | |
| 150 | 9% | 50% | |
| 151 | 5% | 41% | |
| 152 | 7% | 36% | |
| 153 | 5% | 29% | |
| 154 | 5% | 24% | |
| 155 | 3% | 20% | |
| 156 | 2% | 17% | |
| 157 | 3% | 15% | |
| 158 | 3% | 12% | |
| 159 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 160 | 2% | 8% | |
| 161 | 2% | 5% | |
| 162 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 164 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 165 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 132 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 133 | 2% | 98% | |
| 134 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 135 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 136 | 2% | 95% | |
| 137 | 1.5% | 93% | |
| 138 | 4% | 91% | |
| 139 | 7% | 87% | |
| 140 | 5% | 80% | |
| 141 | 8% | 76% | |
| 142 | 8% | 68% | |
| 143 | 6% | 60% | |
| 144 | 3% | 54% | Median |
| 145 | 3% | 51% | |
| 146 | 6% | 48% | |
| 147 | 6% | 42% | |
| 148 | 7% | 36% | |
| 149 | 4% | 29% | |
| 150 | 3% | 25% | |
| 151 | 4% | 22% | |
| 152 | 3% | 18% | |
| 153 | 3% | 15% | |
| 154 | 2% | 12% | |
| 155 | 2% | 11% | |
| 156 | 2% | 9% | |
| 157 | 2% | 7% | |
| 158 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 160 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 161 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 117 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 118 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 119 | 2% | 96% | |
| 120 | 2% | 94% | |
| 121 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 122 | 2% | 91% | |
| 123 | 3% | 89% | |
| 124 | 2% | 86% | |
| 125 | 3% | 85% | |
| 126 | 3% | 82% | |
| 127 | 2% | 79% | |
| 128 | 3% | 77% | |
| 129 | 3% | 75% | |
| 130 | 3% | 72% | |
| 131 | 8% | 69% | |
| 132 | 4% | 61% | |
| 133 | 6% | 58% | |
| 134 | 2% | 52% | |
| 135 | 6% | 50% | |
| 136 | 3% | 44% | |
| 137 | 4% | 41% | |
| 138 | 3% | 36% | |
| 139 | 3% | 34% | |
| 140 | 3% | 31% | |
| 141 | 4% | 28% | |
| 142 | 7% | 24% | |
| 143 | 2% | 18% | |
| 144 | 3% | 16% | Median |
| 145 | 3% | 13% | |
| 146 | 3% | 10% | |
| 147 | 3% | 8% | |
| 148 | 2% | 5% | |
| 149 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 150 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 119 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 120 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 121 | 2% | 96% | |
| 122 | 2% | 94% | |
| 123 | 2% | 92% | |
| 124 | 3% | 89% | |
| 125 | 3% | 86% | |
| 126 | 7% | 84% | |
| 127 | 5% | 77% | |
| 128 | 4% | 71% | |
| 129 | 5% | 68% | |
| 130 | 4% | 63% | |
| 131 | 3% | 59% | |
| 132 | 8% | 56% | |
| 133 | 3% | 48% | |
| 134 | 8% | 45% | |
| 135 | 5% | 37% | |
| 136 | 4% | 33% | |
| 137 | 6% | 29% | Median |
| 138 | 3% | 23% | |
| 139 | 6% | 19% | |
| 140 | 2% | 14% | |
| 141 | 2% | 11% | |
| 142 | 3% | 9% | |
| 143 | 2% | 6% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 4% | Last Result |
| 145 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 149 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 115 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 116 | 2% | 98% | |
| 117 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 118 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 119 | 2% | 94% | |
| 120 | 3% | 91% | |
| 121 | 2% | 89% | |
| 122 | 4% | 87% | |
| 123 | 3% | 83% | |
| 124 | 3% | 80% | |
| 125 | 4% | 77% | |
| 126 | 5% | 72% | |
| 127 | 5% | 68% | |
| 128 | 4% | 63% | |
| 129 | 7% | 59% | |
| 130 | 3% | 52% | |
| 131 | 4% | 49% | |
| 132 | 10% | 44% | |
| 133 | 3% | 35% | |
| 134 | 11% | 32% | Median |
| 135 | 4% | 21% | |
| 136 | 3% | 17% | |
| 137 | 3% | 14% | |
| 138 | 2% | 11% | |
| 139 | 2% | 9% | |
| 140 | 2% | 7% | |
| 141 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 142 | 2% | 4% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 2% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 112 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 113 | 3% | 97% | |
| 114 | 2% | 94% | |
| 115 | 2% | 93% | |
| 116 | 3% | 91% | |
| 117 | 7% | 88% | |
| 118 | 4% | 81% | |
| 119 | 4% | 77% | |
| 120 | 5% | 73% | |
| 121 | 6% | 68% | |
| 122 | 6% | 62% | |
| 123 | 5% | 56% | Median |
| 124 | 7% | 51% | |
| 125 | 5% | 43% | |
| 126 | 9% | 38% | |
| 127 | 6% | 30% | |
| 128 | 3% | 23% | Last Result |
| 129 | 3% | 20% | |
| 130 | 3% | 18% | |
| 131 | 2% | 14% | |
| 132 | 3% | 12% | |
| 133 | 2% | 10% | |
| 134 | 3% | 8% | |
| 135 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 136 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 137 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 108 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 109 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 110 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 111 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 112 | 2% | 95% | |
| 113 | 4% | 92% | |
| 114 | 3% | 88% | |
| 115 | 6% | 86% | |
| 116 | 6% | 79% | |
| 117 | 8% | 73% | |
| 118 | 7% | 65% | |
| 119 | 5% | 58% | |
| 120 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 121 | 5% | 43% | |
| 122 | 5% | 38% | |
| 123 | 5% | 33% | Last Result |
| 124 | 4% | 29% | |
| 125 | 4% | 24% | |
| 126 | 5% | 20% | |
| 127 | 3% | 15% | |
| 128 | 3% | 12% | |
| 129 | 2% | 9% | |
| 130 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 131 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 132 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 98% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 93 | 2% | 94% | |
| 94 | 3% | 92% | |
| 95 | 3% | 89% | |
| 96 | 3% | 86% | |
| 97 | 4% | 82% | |
| 98 | 4% | 79% | |
| 99 | 4% | 75% | |
| 100 | 6% | 72% | |
| 101 | 3% | 66% | |
| 102 | 3% | 63% | |
| 103 | 4% | 60% | |
| 104 | 4% | 56% | |
| 105 | 2% | 52% | |
| 106 | 7% | 50% | |
| 107 | 7% | 43% | |
| 108 | 10% | 35% | Median |
| 109 | 4% | 26% | |
| 110 | 6% | 21% | |
| 111 | 4% | 15% | |
| 112 | 3% | 11% | |
| 113 | 2% | 9% | |
| 114 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 116 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 117 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 118 | 2% | 3% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 86 | 2% | 97% | |
| 87 | 2% | 95% | |
| 88 | 3% | 93% | |
| 89 | 4% | 90% | |
| 90 | 6% | 86% | |
| 91 | 5% | 80% | |
| 92 | 11% | 75% | |
| 93 | 7% | 64% | |
| 94 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 95 | 6% | 46% | |
| 96 | 7% | 40% | |
| 97 | 6% | 33% | |
| 98 | 4% | 27% | |
| 99 | 4% | 22% | |
| 100 | 5% | 18% | |
| 101 | 3% | 13% | Last Result |
| 102 | 3% | 10% | |
| 103 | 2% | 7% | |
| 104 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 105 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 106 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 108 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 81 | 3% | 97% | |
| 82 | 3% | 94% | |
| 83 | 5% | 90% | |
| 84 | 5% | 85% | |
| 85 | 3% | 79% | |
| 86 | 3% | 76% | |
| 87 | 4% | 74% | |
| 88 | 2% | 70% | |
| 89 | 6% | 68% | |
| 90 | 4% | 62% | |
| 91 | 3% | 57% | |
| 92 | 4% | 55% | |
| 93 | 5% | 51% | |
| 94 | 2% | 45% | |
| 95 | 8% | 43% | |
| 96 | 4% | 35% | |
| 97 | 3% | 31% | Median |
| 98 | 6% | 28% | |
| 99 | 5% | 22% | |
| 100 | 6% | 17% | |
| 101 | 4% | 11% | |
| 102 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 104 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 105 | 2% | 4% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 14–27 January 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1528
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.31%