Opinion Poll by Sifo, 3–13 February 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 23.6% | 23.0–24.2% | 22.8–24.4% | 22.7–24.5% | 22.4–24.8% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 23.3% | 22.7–23.9% | 22.5–24.1% | 22.4–24.2% | 22.1–24.5% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 17.5% | 16.9–18.0% | 16.8–18.2% | 16.7–18.3% | 16.4–18.6% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 11.4% | 10.9–11.8% | 10.8–12.0% | 10.7–12.1% | 10.5–12.3% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7–8.5% | 7.6–8.6% | 7.5–8.7% | 7.3–8.9% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8–6.5% | 5.7–6.6% | 5.6–6.6% | 5.4–6.8% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1–4.7% | 4.0–4.8% | 4.0–4.9% | 3.8–5.0% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9–4.5% | 3.8–4.6% | 3.8–4.6% | 3.6–4.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 84 | 81–87 | 81–88 | 80–89 | 79–91 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 83 | 80–86 | 80–87 | 79–88 | 78–91 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 62 | 60–65 | 60–66 | 59–67 | 58–68 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 40 | 39–42 | 38–43 | 38–44 | 37–45 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 29 | 27–30 | 27–31 | 27–31 | 26–32 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 22 | 21–23 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 19–25 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 16 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 0–17 | 0–18 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 15 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–17 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 81 | 10% | 97% | |
| 82 | 11% | 87% | |
| 83 | 25% | 76% | |
| 84 | 17% | 51% | Median |
| 85 | 14% | 35% | |
| 86 | 7% | 21% | |
| 87 | 6% | 13% | |
| 88 | 3% | 8% | |
| 89 | 2% | 5% | |
| 90 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 80 | 7% | 97% | |
| 81 | 16% | 89% | |
| 82 | 20% | 73% | |
| 83 | 21% | 54% | Median |
| 84 | 11% | 33% | |
| 85 | 10% | 22% | |
| 86 | 4% | 12% | |
| 87 | 4% | 7% | |
| 88 | 2% | 4% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 60 | 9% | 95% | |
| 61 | 15% | 86% | |
| 62 | 29% | 71% | Median |
| 63 | 19% | 42% | |
| 64 | 12% | 23% | |
| 65 | 6% | 12% | |
| 66 | 2% | 5% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 38 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 16% | 94% | |
| 40 | 33% | 78% | Median |
| 41 | 17% | 45% | |
| 42 | 19% | 28% | |
| 43 | 6% | 9% | |
| 44 | 3% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 12% | 99.0% | |
| 28 | 21% | 87% | |
| 29 | 31% | 66% | Median |
| 30 | 29% | 36% | |
| 31 | 5% | 7% | Last Result |
| 32 | 2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 20 | 9% | 99.2% | |
| 21 | 37% | 91% | |
| 22 | 31% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 23 | 16% | 23% | |
| 24 | 6% | 6% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0% | 97% | |
| 8 | 0% | 97% | |
| 9 | 0% | 97% | |
| 10 | 0% | 97% | |
| 11 | 0% | 97% | |
| 12 | 0% | 97% | |
| 13 | 0% | 97% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 15 | 29% | 97% | |
| 16 | 54% | 67% | Median |
| 17 | 12% | 13% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 86% | |
| 2 | 0% | 86% | |
| 3 | 0% | 86% | |
| 4 | 0% | 86% | |
| 5 | 0% | 86% | |
| 6 | 0% | 86% | |
| 7 | 0% | 86% | |
| 8 | 0% | 86% | |
| 9 | 0% | 86% | |
| 10 | 0% | 86% | |
| 11 | 0% | 86% | |
| 12 | 0% | 86% | |
| 13 | 0% | 86% | |
| 14 | 12% | 86% | |
| 15 | 49% | 74% | Median |
| 16 | 23% | 24% | Last Result |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 183 | 95% | 176–185 | 175–186 | 174–187 | 166–188 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 175 | 54% | 172–181 | 171–183 | 170–184 | 169–191 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 166 | 5% | 164–173 | 163–174 | 162–175 | 161–183 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 146 | 0% | 143–151 | 142–153 | 142–154 | 141–160 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 144 | 0% | 142–150 | 141–152 | 141–153 | 139–159 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 143 | 0% | 134–145 | 132–146 | 131–146 | 123–148 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 138 | 0% | 131–141 | 129–142 | 127–143 | 126–146 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 128 | 0% | 125–133 | 125–134 | 123–136 | 116–138 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 124 | 0% | 121–129 | 121–131 | 120–132 | 119–135 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 113 | 0% | 110–117 | 110–118 | 109–119 | 107–123 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 107 | 0% | 104–110 | 103–112 | 100–113 | 93–115 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 98 | 0% | 89–101 | 86–102 | 85–102 | 84–104 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 91 | 0% | 89–94 | 88–95 | 87–97 | 86–99 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 172 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 173 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 174 | 2% | 98% | |
| 175 | 3% | 95% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 93% | |
| 177 | 3% | 89% | |
| 178 | 2% | 87% | |
| 179 | 2% | 85% | |
| 180 | 7% | 83% | |
| 181 | 10% | 77% | |
| 182 | 8% | 66% | |
| 183 | 20% | 59% | |
| 184 | 19% | 38% | Median |
| 185 | 9% | 19% | |
| 186 | 7% | 10% | |
| 187 | 2% | 3% | |
| 188 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 170 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 171 | 6% | 97% | |
| 172 | 10% | 91% | |
| 173 | 16% | 81% | |
| 174 | 11% | 65% | |
| 175 | 20% | 54% | Median, Majority |
| 176 | 10% | 34% | |
| 177 | 5% | 24% | |
| 178 | 3% | 19% | |
| 179 | 3% | 16% | |
| 180 | 2% | 13% | |
| 181 | 2% | 11% | |
| 182 | 3% | 9% | |
| 183 | 4% | 6% | |
| 184 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 185 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 192 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 162 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 163 | 7% | 97% | |
| 164 | 9% | 90% | |
| 165 | 19% | 81% | |
| 166 | 20% | 62% | |
| 167 | 8% | 41% | Median |
| 168 | 10% | 34% | |
| 169 | 7% | 23% | |
| 170 | 2% | 17% | |
| 171 | 2% | 15% | |
| 172 | 3% | 13% | |
| 173 | 3% | 11% | |
| 174 | 3% | 7% | |
| 175 | 2% | 5% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 177 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 139 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 142 | 6% | 98% | |
| 143 | 7% | 92% | |
| 144 | 14% | 85% | |
| 145 | 21% | 71% | |
| 146 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 147 | 9% | 36% | |
| 148 | 9% | 28% | |
| 149 | 6% | 19% | |
| 150 | 2% | 14% | |
| 151 | 3% | 12% | |
| 152 | 3% | 9% | |
| 153 | 4% | 7% | |
| 154 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 155 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 141 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 142 | 10% | 94% | |
| 143 | 8% | 83% | |
| 144 | 26% | 76% | |
| 145 | 15% | 49% | Median |
| 146 | 7% | 34% | |
| 147 | 8% | 27% | |
| 148 | 5% | 19% | |
| 149 | 2% | 14% | |
| 150 | 4% | 12% | |
| 151 | 3% | 8% | |
| 152 | 2% | 5% | |
| 153 | 2% | 3% | |
| 154 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 131 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 132 | 3% | 97% | |
| 133 | 3% | 94% | |
| 134 | 2% | 92% | |
| 135 | 3% | 90% | |
| 136 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 137 | 0.7% | 85% | |
| 138 | 0.8% | 85% | |
| 139 | 1.4% | 84% | |
| 140 | 7% | 83% | |
| 141 | 9% | 76% | |
| 142 | 16% | 67% | |
| 143 | 17% | 51% | |
| 144 | 19% | 35% | Median |
| 145 | 10% | 16% | |
| 146 | 4% | 6% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 127 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 128 | 2% | 97% | |
| 129 | 3% | 95% | |
| 130 | 3% | 93% | |
| 131 | 2% | 90% | |
| 132 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 133 | 0.9% | 88% | |
| 134 | 1.4% | 87% | |
| 135 | 3% | 86% | |
| 136 | 6% | 83% | |
| 137 | 8% | 76% | |
| 138 | 25% | 68% | |
| 139 | 13% | 44% | Median |
| 140 | 14% | 30% | |
| 141 | 9% | 17% | |
| 142 | 4% | 8% | |
| 143 | 2% | 4% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 2% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 123 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 124 | 2% | 97% | |
| 125 | 6% | 95% | |
| 126 | 9% | 89% | |
| 127 | 16% | 80% | |
| 128 | 18% | 64% | |
| 129 | 19% | 46% | Median |
| 130 | 8% | 27% | |
| 131 | 4% | 19% | |
| 132 | 4% | 15% | |
| 133 | 3% | 10% | |
| 134 | 2% | 7% | |
| 135 | 2% | 5% | |
| 136 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 137 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 121 | 6% | 96% | |
| 122 | 10% | 90% | |
| 123 | 22% | 79% | |
| 124 | 19% | 57% | Median |
| 125 | 10% | 38% | |
| 126 | 8% | 28% | |
| 127 | 5% | 19% | |
| 128 | 3% | 14% | Last Result |
| 129 | 3% | 11% | |
| 130 | 3% | 8% | |
| 131 | 2% | 5% | |
| 132 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 133 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 109 | 3% | 98% | |
| 110 | 9% | 95% | |
| 111 | 16% | 86% | |
| 112 | 15% | 71% | |
| 113 | 22% | 56% | Median |
| 114 | 11% | 33% | |
| 115 | 6% | 22% | |
| 116 | 6% | 17% | |
| 117 | 3% | 11% | |
| 118 | 3% | 7% | |
| 119 | 2% | 4% | |
| 120 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 121 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 102 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 103 | 3% | 96% | |
| 104 | 7% | 93% | |
| 105 | 16% | 86% | |
| 106 | 15% | 70% | |
| 107 | 17% | 55% | Median |
| 108 | 19% | 38% | |
| 109 | 6% | 20% | |
| 110 | 4% | 13% | |
| 111 | 3% | 9% | |
| 112 | 3% | 6% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 114 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 86 | 2% | 97% | |
| 87 | 3% | 95% | |
| 88 | 2% | 92% | |
| 89 | 2% | 90% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 88% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 87% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 86% | |
| 95 | 3% | 86% | |
| 96 | 7% | 82% | |
| 97 | 13% | 75% | |
| 98 | 21% | 62% | |
| 99 | 17% | 42% | Median |
| 100 | 14% | 25% | |
| 101 | 5% | 11% | |
| 102 | 4% | 7% | |
| 103 | 2% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 88 | 4% | 96% | |
| 89 | 16% | 93% | |
| 90 | 12% | 77% | |
| 91 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 92 | 24% | 47% | |
| 93 | 8% | 23% | |
| 94 | 6% | 15% | |
| 95 | 5% | 9% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 97 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 3–13 February 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 8328
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.34%