Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 11–23 February 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 23.0% | 21.7–24.4% | 21.3–24.8% | 21.0–25.2% | 20.3–25.9% |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 22.0% | 20.7–23.4% | 20.3–23.8% | 20.0–24.2% | 19.4–24.9% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 18.0% | 16.8–19.3% | 16.4–19.7% | 16.1–20.0% | 15.6–20.6% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.1–13.2% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2–9.0% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.8–9.5% | 6.4–10.0% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2–9.0% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.8–9.5% | 6.4–10.0% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 82 | 77–88 | 76–90 | 74–91 | 71–94 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 79 | 74–84 | 73–86 | 71–87 | 69–90 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 64 | 59–70 | 58–71 | 57–72 | 55–75 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 39 | 36–44 | 35–44 | 34–46 | 32–47 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 29 | 25–32 | 25–33 | 24–35 | 23–36 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 29 | 26–32 | 25–34 | 24–34 | 23–36 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 18 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 14–22 | 0–24 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–19 |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 76 | 3% | 96% | |
| 77 | 3% | 93% | |
| 78 | 6% | 89% | |
| 79 | 9% | 84% | |
| 80 | 8% | 74% | |
| 81 | 7% | 67% | |
| 82 | 19% | 60% | Median |
| 83 | 7% | 41% | |
| 84 | 5% | 34% | |
| 85 | 7% | 29% | |
| 86 | 8% | 22% | |
| 87 | 4% | 14% | |
| 88 | 3% | 10% | |
| 89 | 2% | 7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 5% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 2% | 97% | |
| 73 | 3% | 96% | |
| 74 | 5% | 93% | |
| 75 | 3% | 88% | |
| 76 | 8% | 84% | |
| 77 | 6% | 77% | |
| 78 | 14% | 71% | |
| 79 | 13% | 57% | Median |
| 80 | 9% | 44% | |
| 81 | 13% | 35% | |
| 82 | 7% | 22% | |
| 83 | 6% | 16% | |
| 84 | 3% | 10% | |
| 85 | 2% | 7% | |
| 86 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 5% | 94% | |
| 60 | 7% | 89% | |
| 61 | 7% | 83% | |
| 62 | 6% | 76% | |
| 63 | 11% | 69% | |
| 64 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 65 | 7% | 48% | |
| 66 | 8% | 41% | |
| 67 | 12% | 33% | |
| 68 | 4% | 21% | |
| 69 | 7% | 17% | |
| 70 | 4% | 11% | Last Result |
| 71 | 3% | 7% | |
| 72 | 2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 2% | 98% | |
| 35 | 5% | 96% | |
| 36 | 7% | 91% | |
| 37 | 11% | 84% | |
| 38 | 10% | 73% | |
| 39 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 40 | 11% | 49% | |
| 41 | 13% | 38% | |
| 42 | 8% | 25% | |
| 43 | 6% | 17% | |
| 44 | 6% | 10% | |
| 45 | 2% | 4% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 25 | 5% | 95% | |
| 26 | 7% | 90% | |
| 27 | 6% | 83% | |
| 28 | 14% | 77% | |
| 29 | 19% | 62% | Median |
| 30 | 13% | 43% | |
| 31 | 17% | 30% | Last Result |
| 32 | 5% | 12% | |
| 33 | 3% | 8% | |
| 34 | 2% | 5% | |
| 35 | 2% | 3% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 23 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 25 | 6% | 97% | |
| 26 | 10% | 91% | |
| 27 | 11% | 80% | |
| 28 | 8% | 69% | |
| 29 | 20% | 62% | Median |
| 30 | 9% | 42% | |
| 31 | 15% | 33% | |
| 32 | 8% | 18% | |
| 33 | 4% | 10% | |
| 34 | 4% | 6% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 15 | 6% | 97% | |
| 16 | 15% | 91% | Last Result |
| 17 | 15% | 76% | |
| 18 | 22% | 61% | Median |
| 19 | 11% | 38% | |
| 20 | 14% | 27% | |
| 21 | 6% | 12% | |
| 22 | 5% | 7% | |
| 23 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 50% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 50% | |
| 2 | 0% | 50% | |
| 3 | 0% | 50% | |
| 4 | 0% | 50% | |
| 5 | 0% | 50% | |
| 6 | 0% | 50% | |
| 7 | 0% | 50% | |
| 8 | 0% | 50% | |
| 9 | 0% | 50% | |
| 10 | 0% | 50% | |
| 11 | 0% | 50% | |
| 12 | 0% | 50% | |
| 13 | 0% | 50% | |
| 14 | 10% | 50% | |
| 15 | 16% | 39% | |
| 16 | 14% | 23% | |
| 17 | 5% | 9% | |
| 18 | 3% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 176 | 59% | 168–184 | 166–186 | 164–189 | 162–192 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 173 | 37% | 165–180 | 163–183 | 161–185 | 159–188 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 173 | 41% | 165–181 | 163–183 | 160–185 | 157–187 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 146 | 0% | 139–155 | 137–156 | 137–158 | 133–162 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 143 | 0% | 137–150 | 135–153 | 133–154 | 130–157 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 136 | 0% | 129–143 | 127–146 | 126–147 | 122–150 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 133 | 0% | 125–143 | 123–144 | 120–146 | 115–148 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 130 | 0% | 123–139 | 120–140 | 118–142 | 115–146 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 123 | 0% | 116–130 | 113–132 | 112–134 | 110–136 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 119 | 0% | 113–125 | 111–127 | 109–128 | 106–132 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 102 | 0% | 93–110 | 91–111 | 89–113 | 86–117 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 97 | 0% | 90–102 | 89–104 | 86–106 | 81–109 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 94 | 0% | 88–99 | 86–102 | 84–103 | 83–106 |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 164 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 165 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 166 | 3% | 96% | |
| 167 | 3% | 93% | |
| 168 | 4% | 90% | |
| 169 | 4% | 86% | |
| 170 | 5% | 82% | |
| 171 | 6% | 77% | |
| 172 | 6% | 71% | |
| 173 | 4% | 66% | |
| 174 | 3% | 62% | |
| 175 | 6% | 59% | Median, Majority |
| 176 | 6% | 53% | |
| 177 | 7% | 47% | |
| 178 | 4% | 40% | |
| 179 | 4% | 36% | |
| 180 | 9% | 33% | |
| 181 | 5% | 24% | |
| 182 | 4% | 19% | |
| 183 | 3% | 16% | |
| 184 | 5% | 13% | |
| 185 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 186 | 2% | 7% | |
| 187 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 188 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 189 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 190 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 192 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 160 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 161 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 162 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 163 | 3% | 96% | |
| 164 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 165 | 3% | 91% | |
| 166 | 2% | 89% | |
| 167 | 4% | 87% | |
| 168 | 4% | 83% | |
| 169 | 6% | 79% | |
| 170 | 10% | 73% | |
| 171 | 8% | 63% | |
| 172 | 5% | 56% | Median |
| 173 | 5% | 51% | |
| 174 | 9% | 47% | |
| 175 | 7% | 37% | Majority |
| 176 | 7% | 31% | |
| 177 | 8% | 24% | |
| 178 | 2% | 16% | |
| 179 | 3% | 14% | |
| 180 | 3% | 11% | |
| 181 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 182 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 183 | 2% | 5% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 185 | 2% | 3% | |
| 186 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 152 | 0% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 159 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 160 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 162 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 163 | 2% | 95% | |
| 164 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 165 | 5% | 92% | Median |
| 166 | 3% | 87% | |
| 167 | 4% | 84% | |
| 168 | 5% | 81% | |
| 169 | 9% | 76% | |
| 170 | 4% | 67% | |
| 171 | 4% | 64% | |
| 172 | 7% | 60% | |
| 173 | 6% | 53% | |
| 174 | 6% | 47% | |
| 175 | 3% | 41% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 38% | |
| 177 | 6% | 34% | |
| 178 | 6% | 29% | |
| 179 | 5% | 23% | |
| 180 | 4% | 18% | |
| 181 | 4% | 14% | |
| 182 | 3% | 10% | |
| 183 | 3% | 7% | |
| 184 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 185 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 186 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 137 | 3% | 98% | |
| 138 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 139 | 6% | 93% | |
| 140 | 2% | 88% | |
| 141 | 5% | 86% | |
| 142 | 4% | 81% | |
| 143 | 7% | 77% | |
| 144 | 3% | 69% | |
| 145 | 7% | 66% | |
| 146 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 147 | 5% | 48% | |
| 148 | 5% | 43% | |
| 149 | 7% | 38% | |
| 150 | 4% | 31% | |
| 151 | 5% | 26% | |
| 152 | 5% | 22% | |
| 153 | 2% | 16% | |
| 154 | 2% | 14% | |
| 155 | 5% | 12% | |
| 156 | 2% | 7% | |
| 157 | 2% | 5% | |
| 158 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 130 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 132 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 133 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 134 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 135 | 3% | 96% | |
| 136 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 137 | 2% | 92% | |
| 138 | 2% | 89% | |
| 139 | 4% | 87% | |
| 140 | 10% | 83% | |
| 141 | 9% | 73% | |
| 142 | 6% | 64% | |
| 143 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 144 | 5% | 50% | |
| 145 | 12% | 45% | |
| 146 | 8% | 33% | |
| 147 | 6% | 25% | |
| 148 | 4% | 19% | |
| 149 | 3% | 15% | |
| 150 | 2% | 12% | |
| 151 | 2% | 10% | |
| 152 | 2% | 8% | |
| 153 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 154 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 155 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 124 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 125 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 126 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 127 | 2% | 96% | |
| 128 | 3% | 95% | |
| 129 | 5% | 92% | |
| 130 | 3% | 87% | |
| 131 | 3% | 84% | |
| 132 | 6% | 81% | |
| 133 | 5% | 75% | |
| 134 | 3% | 70% | |
| 135 | 9% | 68% | |
| 136 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 137 | 5% | 49% | |
| 138 | 8% | 44% | |
| 139 | 9% | 36% | |
| 140 | 5% | 27% | |
| 141 | 6% | 21% | |
| 142 | 3% | 16% | |
| 143 | 3% | 12% | |
| 144 | 3% | 10% | Last Result |
| 145 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 146 | 2% | 5% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 121 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 122 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 123 | 2% | 95% | |
| 124 | 2% | 94% | |
| 125 | 2% | 91% | |
| 126 | 5% | 89% | Median |
| 127 | 5% | 84% | |
| 128 | 9% | 79% | |
| 129 | 4% | 70% | |
| 130 | 6% | 66% | |
| 131 | 3% | 59% | |
| 132 | 3% | 56% | |
| 133 | 3% | 53% | |
| 134 | 6% | 49% | |
| 135 | 2% | 43% | |
| 136 | 3% | 41% | |
| 137 | 4% | 38% | |
| 138 | 3% | 34% | |
| 139 | 3% | 30% | |
| 140 | 2% | 27% | |
| 141 | 5% | 25% | |
| 142 | 7% | 20% | |
| 143 | 6% | 13% | |
| 144 | 3% | 8% | |
| 145 | 2% | 5% | |
| 146 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 117 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 119 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 120 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 121 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 122 | 3% | 93% | Median |
| 123 | 3% | 90% | |
| 124 | 3% | 87% | |
| 125 | 6% | 84% | |
| 126 | 5% | 78% | |
| 127 | 6% | 73% | |
| 128 | 5% | 66% | |
| 129 | 7% | 61% | |
| 130 | 5% | 54% | |
| 131 | 5% | 49% | |
| 132 | 9% | 43% | |
| 133 | 3% | 35% | |
| 134 | 8% | 32% | |
| 135 | 4% | 24% | |
| 136 | 2% | 20% | |
| 137 | 2% | 18% | |
| 138 | 4% | 16% | |
| 139 | 3% | 11% | |
| 140 | 4% | 8% | |
| 141 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 142 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.8% | 2% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 111 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 113 | 3% | 97% | |
| 114 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 115 | 3% | 93% | |
| 116 | 5% | 90% | |
| 117 | 5% | 85% | |
| 118 | 10% | 80% | |
| 119 | 3% | 70% | |
| 120 | 6% | 67% | |
| 121 | 3% | 61% | |
| 122 | 5% | 58% | Median |
| 123 | 7% | 53% | Last Result |
| 124 | 4% | 45% | |
| 125 | 7% | 42% | |
| 126 | 7% | 35% | |
| 127 | 6% | 27% | |
| 128 | 5% | 22% | |
| 129 | 6% | 16% | |
| 130 | 3% | 11% | |
| 131 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 132 | 3% | 6% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 134 | 2% | 3% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 109 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 110 | 2% | 97% | |
| 111 | 2% | 95% | |
| 112 | 3% | 93% | |
| 113 | 6% | 90% | |
| 114 | 6% | 84% | |
| 115 | 6% | 79% | |
| 116 | 8% | 72% | |
| 117 | 6% | 64% | |
| 118 | 7% | 58% | Median |
| 119 | 9% | 51% | |
| 120 | 8% | 42% | |
| 121 | 5% | 34% | |
| 122 | 6% | 28% | |
| 123 | 6% | 22% | |
| 124 | 6% | 16% | |
| 125 | 2% | 11% | |
| 126 | 3% | 9% | |
| 127 | 2% | 6% | |
| 128 | 1.5% | 4% | Last Result |
| 129 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 130 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 90 | 2% | 97% | |
| 91 | 3% | 96% | |
| 92 | 2% | 93% | |
| 93 | 5% | 91% | Median |
| 94 | 2% | 86% | |
| 95 | 5% | 84% | |
| 96 | 6% | 79% | |
| 97 | 4% | 73% | |
| 98 | 9% | 69% | |
| 99 | 5% | 60% | |
| 100 | 2% | 55% | |
| 101 | 3% | 54% | |
| 102 | 4% | 50% | |
| 103 | 6% | 47% | |
| 104 | 5% | 41% | |
| 105 | 7% | 36% | |
| 106 | 5% | 29% | |
| 107 | 4% | 24% | |
| 108 | 2% | 20% | |
| 109 | 5% | 17% | |
| 110 | 5% | 12% | |
| 111 | 2% | 7% | |
| 112 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 113 | 2% | 4% | |
| 114 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 89 | 2% | 96% | |
| 90 | 4% | 94% | |
| 91 | 3% | 90% | |
| 92 | 3% | 87% | |
| 93 | 3% | 84% | |
| 94 | 5% | 81% | |
| 95 | 7% | 76% | |
| 96 | 9% | 69% | |
| 97 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 98 | 10% | 48% | |
| 99 | 14% | 38% | |
| 100 | 9% | 24% | |
| 101 | 4% | 15% | |
| 102 | 3% | 11% | |
| 103 | 2% | 8% | |
| 104 | 2% | 6% | |
| 105 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 106 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 85 | 2% | 97% | |
| 86 | 2% | 96% | |
| 87 | 2% | 94% | |
| 88 | 5% | 92% | |
| 89 | 8% | 87% | |
| 90 | 6% | 79% | |
| 91 | 10% | 73% | |
| 92 | 6% | 63% | |
| 93 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 94 | 6% | 50% | |
| 95 | 7% | 44% | |
| 96 | 10% | 37% | |
| 97 | 5% | 27% | |
| 98 | 9% | 22% | |
| 99 | 4% | 13% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 101 | 2% | 8% | Last Result |
| 102 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 103 | 2% | 4% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 11–23 February 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1535
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.55%