Opinion Poll by Demoskop, 25 February–3 March 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 22.6% | 21.5–23.8% | 21.2–24.1% | 21.0–24.4% | 20.4–24.9% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 22.1% | 21.0–23.2% | 20.7–23.6% | 20.5–23.8% | 20.0–24.4% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 19.5% | 18.5–20.6% | 18.2–20.9% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.5–21.7% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.6–11.3% | 9.4–11.5% | 9.2–11.7% | 8.9–12.1% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7–10.2% | 8.5–10.5% | 8.3–10.7% | 7.9–11.1% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8–8.2% | 6.6–8.4% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.2–9.0% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.1–5.3% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7–3.6% | 2.6–3.8% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 83 | 79–89 | 78–91 | 77–91 | 75–93 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 82 | 77–87 | 76–88 | 75–89 | 73–92 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 72 | 68–77 | 67–78 | 66–80 | 64–81 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 38 | 35–42 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 33–45 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 35 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 31–40 | 29–42 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 27 | 25–30 | 24–31 | 24–32 | 23–33 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 15 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–18 | 0–19 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 77 | 2% | 98% | |
| 78 | 4% | 96% | |
| 79 | 5% | 92% | |
| 80 | 7% | 87% | |
| 81 | 8% | 80% | |
| 82 | 12% | 72% | |
| 83 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 84 | 11% | 49% | |
| 85 | 11% | 38% | |
| 86 | 7% | 27% | |
| 87 | 6% | 21% | |
| 88 | 3% | 14% | |
| 89 | 4% | 11% | |
| 90 | 2% | 7% | |
| 91 | 4% | 6% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98% | |
| 76 | 4% | 96% | |
| 77 | 6% | 92% | |
| 78 | 7% | 87% | |
| 79 | 9% | 80% | |
| 80 | 9% | 71% | |
| 81 | 8% | 62% | |
| 82 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 83 | 9% | 42% | |
| 84 | 10% | 33% | |
| 85 | 7% | 23% | |
| 86 | 5% | 16% | |
| 87 | 4% | 11% | |
| 88 | 3% | 7% | |
| 89 | 2% | 4% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 96% | |
| 68 | 5% | 93% | |
| 69 | 6% | 88% | |
| 70 | 14% | 82% | Last Result |
| 71 | 14% | 68% | |
| 72 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 73 | 12% | 44% | |
| 74 | 6% | 32% | |
| 75 | 11% | 26% | |
| 76 | 5% | 16% | |
| 77 | 4% | 11% | |
| 78 | 2% | 7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 2% | 98% | |
| 35 | 7% | 96% | |
| 36 | 9% | 89% | |
| 37 | 14% | 81% | |
| 38 | 17% | 66% | Median |
| 39 | 14% | 49% | |
| 40 | 12% | 36% | |
| 41 | 10% | 23% | |
| 42 | 7% | 13% | |
| 43 | 3% | 5% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 31 | 3% | 98% | Last Result |
| 32 | 8% | 95% | |
| 33 | 16% | 86% | |
| 34 | 17% | 70% | |
| 35 | 17% | 53% | Median |
| 36 | 15% | 36% | |
| 37 | 8% | 22% | |
| 38 | 8% | 14% | |
| 39 | 3% | 6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 24 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 25 | 8% | 94% | |
| 26 | 14% | 86% | |
| 27 | 22% | 72% | Median |
| 28 | 13% | 49% | |
| 29 | 15% | 36% | |
| 30 | 12% | 21% | |
| 31 | 5% | 9% | |
| 32 | 3% | 4% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 37% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 63% | |
| 2 | 0% | 63% | |
| 3 | 0% | 63% | |
| 4 | 0% | 63% | |
| 5 | 0% | 63% | |
| 6 | 0% | 63% | |
| 7 | 0% | 63% | |
| 8 | 0% | 63% | |
| 9 | 0% | 63% | |
| 10 | 0% | 63% | |
| 11 | 0% | 63% | |
| 12 | 0% | 63% | |
| 13 | 0% | 63% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 63% | |
| 15 | 26% | 62% | Median |
| 16 | 21% | 37% | |
| 17 | 10% | 16% | |
| 18 | 4% | 5% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.8% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 190 | 100% | 184–199 | 182–200 | 181–202 | 178–205 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 180 | 92% | 175–190 | 173–192 | 172–194 | 169–195 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 169 | 8% | 159–174 | 157–176 | 155–177 | 154–180 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 155 | 0% | 150–163 | 148–165 | 147–166 | 144–169 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 154 | 0% | 147–161 | 146–163 | 144–164 | 142–167 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 145 | 0% | 137–152 | 135–154 | 133–155 | 131–157 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 135 | 0% | 129–141 | 127–143 | 126–144 | 124–147 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 130 | 0% | 119–136 | 117–138 | 116–139 | 114–142 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 122 | 0% | 117–129 | 115–131 | 114–132 | 112–135 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 122 | 0% | 117–129 | 115–131 | 114–131 | 112–133 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 119 | 0% | 108–124 | 106–126 | 104–127 | 102–129 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 107 | 0% | 102–112 | 101–114 | 100–115 | 97–118 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 83 | 0% | 79–89 | 78–91 | 77–92 | 75–96 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 175 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 178 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 179 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 180 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 181 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 182 | 3% | 97% | |
| 183 | 3% | 94% | |
| 184 | 3% | 92% | |
| 185 | 7% | 89% | |
| 186 | 7% | 82% | |
| 187 | 7% | 75% | |
| 188 | 9% | 68% | |
| 189 | 8% | 58% | |
| 190 | 4% | 51% | Median |
| 191 | 5% | 46% | |
| 192 | 6% | 42% | |
| 193 | 6% | 36% | |
| 194 | 4% | 29% | |
| 195 | 3% | 26% | |
| 196 | 5% | 23% | |
| 197 | 3% | 18% | |
| 198 | 4% | 15% | |
| 199 | 4% | 11% | |
| 200 | 2% | 6% | |
| 201 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 203 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 204 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 205 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 207 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 170 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 171 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 172 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 173 | 3% | 97% | |
| 174 | 2% | 95% | |
| 175 | 3% | 92% | Majority |
| 176 | 7% | 90% | |
| 177 | 9% | 83% | |
| 178 | 6% | 74% | |
| 179 | 8% | 69% | |
| 180 | 11% | 61% | |
| 181 | 3% | 50% | Median |
| 182 | 7% | 47% | |
| 183 | 5% | 40% | |
| 184 | 6% | 35% | |
| 185 | 5% | 30% | |
| 186 | 3% | 25% | |
| 187 | 3% | 22% | |
| 188 | 4% | 19% | |
| 189 | 4% | 15% | |
| 190 | 4% | 11% | |
| 191 | 2% | 7% | |
| 192 | 2% | 6% | |
| 193 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 194 | 2% | 3% | |
| 195 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 154 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 155 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 156 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 157 | 2% | 96% | |
| 158 | 2% | 94% | |
| 159 | 4% | 93% | |
| 160 | 4% | 89% | |
| 161 | 4% | 85% | |
| 162 | 3% | 81% | |
| 163 | 3% | 78% | |
| 164 | 5% | 75% | |
| 165 | 6% | 70% | |
| 166 | 5% | 65% | |
| 167 | 7% | 60% | |
| 168 | 3% | 53% | |
| 169 | 11% | 50% | |
| 170 | 8% | 39% | |
| 171 | 6% | 31% | Median |
| 172 | 9% | 26% | |
| 173 | 7% | 17% | |
| 174 | 3% | 10% | |
| 175 | 2% | 8% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 5% | |
| 177 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 178 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 179 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 183 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 146 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 148 | 3% | 97% | |
| 149 | 2% | 93% | |
| 150 | 5% | 91% | |
| 151 | 5% | 86% | |
| 152 | 9% | 81% | |
| 153 | 11% | 73% | |
| 154 | 5% | 62% | |
| 155 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 156 | 6% | 48% | |
| 157 | 6% | 42% | |
| 158 | 7% | 35% | |
| 159 | 5% | 28% | |
| 160 | 4% | 23% | |
| 161 | 3% | 20% | |
| 162 | 4% | 16% | |
| 163 | 4% | 12% | |
| 164 | 3% | 9% | |
| 165 | 2% | 6% | |
| 166 | 2% | 4% | |
| 167 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 144 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 145 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 146 | 2% | 96% | |
| 147 | 5% | 94% | |
| 148 | 3% | 89% | |
| 149 | 5% | 85% | |
| 150 | 7% | 81% | |
| 151 | 9% | 74% | |
| 152 | 7% | 65% | |
| 153 | 6% | 59% | |
| 154 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 155 | 5% | 42% | |
| 156 | 6% | 37% | |
| 157 | 4% | 31% | |
| 158 | 5% | 27% | |
| 159 | 7% | 22% | |
| 160 | 5% | 15% | |
| 161 | 2% | 11% | |
| 162 | 2% | 9% | |
| 163 | 2% | 7% | |
| 164 | 3% | 5% | |
| 165 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 168 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 132 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 133 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 134 | 2% | 97% | |
| 135 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 136 | 4% | 94% | |
| 137 | 4% | 90% | |
| 138 | 5% | 86% | |
| 139 | 4% | 81% | |
| 140 | 6% | 78% | |
| 141 | 3% | 71% | |
| 142 | 4% | 69% | |
| 143 | 3% | 65% | Last Result |
| 144 | 4% | 62% | |
| 145 | 8% | 58% | |
| 146 | 5% | 50% | |
| 147 | 5% | 45% | |
| 148 | 10% | 40% | |
| 149 | 6% | 30% | Median |
| 150 | 7% | 24% | |
| 151 | 4% | 17% | |
| 152 | 5% | 13% | |
| 153 | 3% | 8% | |
| 154 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 155 | 2% | 4% | |
| 156 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 158 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 125 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 126 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 127 | 2% | 97% | |
| 128 | 2% | 95% | |
| 129 | 6% | 93% | |
| 130 | 7% | 87% | |
| 131 | 5% | 80% | |
| 132 | 9% | 75% | |
| 133 | 6% | 65% | |
| 134 | 9% | 60% | Median |
| 135 | 6% | 51% | |
| 136 | 10% | 44% | |
| 137 | 6% | 34% | |
| 138 | 6% | 28% | |
| 139 | 5% | 22% | |
| 140 | 7% | 17% | |
| 141 | 2% | 10% | |
| 142 | 3% | 8% | |
| 143 | 2% | 5% | |
| 144 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 145 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 115 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 116 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 117 | 2% | 97% | |
| 118 | 3% | 95% | |
| 119 | 3% | 92% | |
| 120 | 3% | 90% | |
| 121 | 3% | 87% | |
| 122 | 3% | 84% | |
| 123 | 6% | 81% | |
| 124 | 2% | 75% | |
| 125 | 4% | 73% | |
| 126 | 1.4% | 69% | |
| 127 | 7% | 68% | |
| 128 | 5% | 61% | |
| 129 | 2% | 56% | |
| 130 | 5% | 54% | |
| 131 | 9% | 48% | |
| 132 | 10% | 39% | |
| 133 | 3% | 29% | Median |
| 134 | 12% | 27% | |
| 135 | 5% | 15% | |
| 136 | 3% | 10% | |
| 137 | 2% | 7% | |
| 138 | 2% | 5% | |
| 139 | 2% | 3% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 142 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 113 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 114 | 2% | 98% | |
| 115 | 4% | 97% | |
| 116 | 2% | 93% | |
| 117 | 5% | 91% | |
| 118 | 5% | 86% | |
| 119 | 6% | 81% | |
| 120 | 10% | 75% | |
| 121 | 10% | 64% | Median |
| 122 | 10% | 54% | |
| 123 | 10% | 44% | |
| 124 | 4% | 34% | |
| 125 | 6% | 30% | |
| 126 | 4% | 24% | |
| 127 | 4% | 20% | |
| 128 | 4% | 16% | |
| 129 | 3% | 12% | |
| 130 | 2% | 9% | |
| 131 | 4% | 7% | |
| 132 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 133 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 113 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 114 | 2% | 98% | |
| 115 | 4% | 96% | |
| 116 | 3% | 93% | |
| 117 | 5% | 90% | |
| 118 | 5% | 85% | |
| 119 | 6% | 80% | |
| 120 | 11% | 74% | |
| 121 | 10% | 63% | Median |
| 122 | 10% | 53% | |
| 123 | 10% | 43% | |
| 124 | 4% | 33% | |
| 125 | 6% | 29% | |
| 126 | 4% | 23% | |
| 127 | 4% | 19% | |
| 128 | 4% | 15% | Last Result |
| 129 | 3% | 11% | |
| 130 | 2% | 8% | |
| 131 | 4% | 6% | |
| 132 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 133 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 104 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 105 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 106 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 107 | 2% | 95% | |
| 108 | 7% | 93% | |
| 109 | 4% | 86% | |
| 110 | 2% | 82% | |
| 111 | 6% | 80% | |
| 112 | 5% | 75% | |
| 113 | 2% | 70% | |
| 114 | 2% | 68% | |
| 115 | 4% | 66% | |
| 116 | 2% | 62% | |
| 117 | 4% | 60% | |
| 118 | 7% | 57% | |
| 119 | 7% | 50% | |
| 120 | 3% | 43% | |
| 121 | 9% | 39% | Last Result |
| 122 | 9% | 30% | Median |
| 123 | 7% | 21% | |
| 124 | 4% | 14% | |
| 125 | 3% | 10% | |
| 126 | 3% | 7% | |
| 127 | 2% | 3% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 129 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 99 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 100 | 2% | 98% | |
| 101 | 3% | 96% | Last Result |
| 102 | 5% | 93% | |
| 103 | 9% | 88% | |
| 104 | 6% | 79% | |
| 105 | 8% | 73% | |
| 106 | 9% | 64% | |
| 107 | 13% | 55% | Median |
| 108 | 9% | 43% | |
| 109 | 7% | 34% | |
| 110 | 6% | 26% | |
| 111 | 8% | 21% | |
| 112 | 5% | 13% | |
| 113 | 2% | 8% | |
| 114 | 2% | 6% | |
| 115 | 2% | 5% | |
| 116 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 77 | 2% | 98% | |
| 78 | 4% | 96% | |
| 79 | 5% | 92% | |
| 80 | 7% | 87% | |
| 81 | 8% | 80% | |
| 82 | 12% | 72% | |
| 83 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 84 | 11% | 50% | |
| 85 | 11% | 39% | |
| 86 | 7% | 28% | |
| 87 | 6% | 22% | |
| 88 | 3% | 15% | |
| 89 | 4% | 13% | |
| 90 | 2% | 9% | |
| 91 | 4% | 7% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demoskop
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 25 February–3 March 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 2326
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.80%