Opinion Poll by Sifo, 2–12 March 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 23.8% | 23.2–24.4% | 23.0–24.6% | 22.8–24.7% | 22.6–25.0% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 22.2% | 21.6–22.8% | 21.4–23.0% | 21.3–23.1% | 21.0–23.4% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 18.0% | 17.4–18.6% | 17.3–18.7% | 17.1–18.9% | 16.9–19.1% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.7–11.7% | 10.6–11.8% | 10.5–11.9% | 10.3–12.1% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0–8.8% | 7.9–8.9% | 7.8–9.0% | 7.6–9.2% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4–7.2% | 6.3–7.3% | 6.2–7.4% | 6.1–7.6% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8–4.4% | 3.7–4.5% | 3.7–4.6% | 3.6–4.7% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7–4.3% | 3.6–4.4% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 87 | 83–91 | 82–92 | 82–94 | 80–95 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 81 | 78–84 | 77–86 | 76–87 | 75–89 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 66 | 63–69 | 62–69 | 61–71 | 60–72 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 41 | 39–43 | 38–44 | 38–44 | 37–45 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 31 | 29–32 | 29–33 | 28–34 | 28–34 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 25 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 23–27 | 22–28 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 15 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–17 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 14 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–17 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 82 | 4% | 98% | |
| 83 | 10% | 94% | |
| 84 | 4% | 84% | |
| 85 | 11% | 80% | |
| 86 | 11% | 69% | |
| 87 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 88 | 19% | 46% | |
| 89 | 10% | 27% | |
| 90 | 5% | 16% | |
| 91 | 4% | 11% | |
| 92 | 3% | 7% | |
| 93 | 2% | 5% | |
| 94 | 2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 77 | 4% | 97% | |
| 78 | 10% | 94% | |
| 79 | 18% | 84% | |
| 80 | 6% | 66% | |
| 81 | 17% | 60% | Median |
| 82 | 14% | 43% | |
| 83 | 14% | 29% | |
| 84 | 5% | 15% | |
| 85 | 3% | 10% | |
| 86 | 3% | 7% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 4% | 97% | |
| 63 | 9% | 94% | |
| 64 | 14% | 84% | |
| 65 | 18% | 71% | |
| 66 | 21% | 53% | Median |
| 67 | 12% | 32% | |
| 68 | 10% | 21% | |
| 69 | 6% | 11% | |
| 70 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 39 | 15% | 94% | |
| 40 | 19% | 79% | |
| 41 | 26% | 59% | Median |
| 42 | 16% | 34% | |
| 43 | 11% | 17% | |
| 44 | 4% | 6% | |
| 45 | 2% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 28 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 9% | 96% | |
| 30 | 36% | 87% | |
| 31 | 25% | 51% | Last Result, Median |
| 32 | 17% | 26% | |
| 33 | 6% | 10% | |
| 34 | 3% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 1.4% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 23 | 10% | 98% | |
| 24 | 35% | 88% | |
| 25 | 27% | 54% | Median |
| 26 | 21% | 26% | |
| 27 | 3% | 5% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 30% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 70% | |
| 2 | 0% | 70% | |
| 3 | 0% | 70% | |
| 4 | 0% | 70% | |
| 5 | 0% | 70% | |
| 6 | 0% | 70% | |
| 7 | 0% | 70% | |
| 8 | 0% | 70% | |
| 9 | 0% | 70% | |
| 10 | 0% | 70% | |
| 11 | 0% | 70% | |
| 12 | 0% | 70% | |
| 13 | 0% | 70% | |
| 14 | 12% | 70% | |
| 15 | 34% | 58% | Median |
| 16 | 19% | 24% | |
| 17 | 4% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 45% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 55% | |
| 2 | 0% | 55% | |
| 3 | 0% | 55% | |
| 4 | 0% | 55% | |
| 5 | 0% | 55% | |
| 6 | 0% | 55% | |
| 7 | 0% | 55% | |
| 8 | 0% | 55% | |
| 9 | 0% | 55% | |
| 10 | 0% | 55% | |
| 11 | 0% | 55% | |
| 12 | 0% | 55% | |
| 13 | 0% | 55% | |
| 14 | 21% | 55% | Median |
| 15 | 26% | 34% | |
| 16 | 7% | 8% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 184 | 98.6% | 177–190 | 176–194 | 175–196 | 173–197 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 177 | 78% | 171–184 | 168–185 | 166–186 | 164–187 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 172 | 22% | 165–178 | 164–181 | 163–183 | 162–185 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 153 | 0% | 147–159 | 146–162 | 145–162 | 143–164 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 147 | 0% | 141–152 | 140–154 | 139–157 | 138–159 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 137 | 0% | 129–145 | 127–145 | 126–146 | 125–149 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 136 | 0% | 130–145 | 125–145 | 123–146 | 121–147 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 133 | 0% | 123–138 | 122–140 | 121–141 | 119–142 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 129 | 0% | 123–133 | 122–136 | 121–137 | 119–138 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 121 | 0% | 118–126 | 116–128 | 114–129 | 113–132 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 109 | 0% | 97–114 | 96–115 | 95–116 | 94–117 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 97 | 0% | 87–103 | 86–104 | 86–105 | 84–107 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 96 | 0% | 93–100 | 92–102 | 91–103 | 90–105 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 171 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 174 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 175 | 3% | 98.6% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 95% | |
| 177 | 11% | 93% | |
| 178 | 3% | 82% | |
| 179 | 3% | 79% | |
| 180 | 11% | 76% | |
| 181 | 2% | 65% | |
| 182 | 4% | 63% | |
| 183 | 4% | 60% | |
| 184 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 185 | 16% | 45% | |
| 186 | 6% | 29% | |
| 187 | 7% | 23% | |
| 188 | 4% | 17% | |
| 189 | 2% | 13% | |
| 190 | 1.2% | 11% | |
| 191 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 192 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 193 | 2% | 7% | |
| 194 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 195 | 2% | 4% | |
| 196 | 2% | 3% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 162 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 165 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 166 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 167 | 2% | 97% | |
| 168 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 169 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 170 | 2% | 93% | |
| 171 | 2% | 91% | |
| 172 | 1.4% | 89% | |
| 173 | 3% | 88% | |
| 174 | 6% | 85% | |
| 175 | 12% | 78% | Majority |
| 176 | 14% | 66% | |
| 177 | 8% | 52% | |
| 178 | 6% | 44% | |
| 179 | 3% | 38% | |
| 180 | 2% | 36% | |
| 181 | 4% | 33% | |
| 182 | 15% | 30% | |
| 183 | 2% | 15% | |
| 184 | 6% | 13% | |
| 185 | 3% | 6% | |
| 186 | 2% | 3% | |
| 187 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Median |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 163 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 164 | 3% | 97% | |
| 165 | 6% | 94% | |
| 166 | 2% | 87% | |
| 167 | 15% | 85% | |
| 168 | 4% | 70% | |
| 169 | 2% | 67% | |
| 170 | 3% | 64% | |
| 171 | 6% | 62% | |
| 172 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 173 | 14% | 48% | |
| 174 | 12% | 34% | |
| 175 | 6% | 22% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 15% | |
| 177 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 178 | 2% | 11% | |
| 179 | 2% | 9% | |
| 180 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 181 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 182 | 2% | 4% | |
| 183 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 184 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 186 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 145 | 2% | 98% | |
| 146 | 3% | 97% | |
| 147 | 10% | 94% | |
| 148 | 4% | 83% | |
| 149 | 7% | 79% | |
| 150 | 7% | 72% | |
| 151 | 3% | 65% | |
| 152 | 6% | 61% | |
| 153 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 154 | 16% | 49% | |
| 155 | 13% | 33% | |
| 156 | 5% | 20% | |
| 157 | 3% | 15% | |
| 158 | 2% | 12% | |
| 159 | 2% | 10% | |
| 160 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 161 | 2% | 8% | |
| 162 | 4% | 6% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 140 | 2% | 96% | |
| 141 | 7% | 94% | |
| 142 | 2% | 87% | |
| 143 | 10% | 85% | |
| 144 | 9% | 75% | |
| 145 | 6% | 67% | |
| 146 | 5% | 60% | |
| 147 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 148 | 10% | 46% | |
| 149 | 17% | 37% | |
| 150 | 4% | 20% | |
| 151 | 4% | 16% | |
| 152 | 2% | 12% | |
| 153 | 2% | 9% | |
| 154 | 3% | 8% | |
| 155 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 156 | 2% | 4% | |
| 157 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 158 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 125 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 126 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 127 | 2% | 97% | |
| 128 | 5% | 95% | |
| 129 | 8% | 90% | |
| 130 | 12% | 82% | |
| 131 | 3% | 70% | |
| 132 | 2% | 66% | |
| 133 | 2% | 64% | |
| 134 | 2% | 63% | |
| 135 | 2% | 60% | |
| 136 | 3% | 59% | |
| 137 | 16% | 56% | |
| 138 | 8% | 40% | |
| 139 | 7% | 32% | |
| 140 | 1.5% | 25% | |
| 141 | 2% | 24% | |
| 142 | 2% | 21% | Median |
| 143 | 3% | 19% | |
| 144 | 3% | 16% | Last Result |
| 145 | 9% | 12% | |
| 146 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 148 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 149 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 122 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 123 | 2% | 98% | |
| 124 | 2% | 97% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 127 | 3% | 93% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 130 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 131 | 2% | 89% | |
| 132 | 3% | 87% | |
| 133 | 12% | 84% | |
| 134 | 13% | 72% | |
| 135 | 8% | 59% | |
| 136 | 8% | 51% | |
| 137 | 5% | 43% | |
| 138 | 2% | 38% | |
| 139 | 1.0% | 36% | |
| 140 | 1.0% | 35% | |
| 141 | 3% | 34% | |
| 142 | 9% | 31% | |
| 143 | 7% | 22% | |
| 144 | 5% | 15% | |
| 145 | 7% | 10% | |
| 146 | 2% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.8% | 1.2% | Median |
| 148 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 120 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 121 | 2% | 98% | |
| 122 | 5% | 96% | |
| 123 | 7% | 92% | |
| 124 | 4% | 85% | |
| 125 | 1.5% | 81% | |
| 126 | 3% | 80% | |
| 127 | 1.0% | 77% | |
| 128 | 2% | 76% | |
| 129 | 3% | 74% | |
| 130 | 2% | 70% | |
| 131 | 3% | 68% | |
| 132 | 12% | 65% | |
| 133 | 12% | 54% | |
| 134 | 4% | 41% | |
| 135 | 2% | 37% | |
| 136 | 7% | 35% | |
| 137 | 12% | 28% | Median |
| 138 | 7% | 16% | |
| 139 | 3% | 9% | |
| 140 | 4% | 6% | |
| 141 | 2% | 3% | |
| 142 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 121 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 122 | 5% | 97% | |
| 123 | 10% | 92% | |
| 124 | 7% | 82% | |
| 125 | 8% | 75% | |
| 126 | 4% | 67% | |
| 127 | 5% | 63% | |
| 128 | 7% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 129 | 11% | 50% | |
| 130 | 21% | 39% | |
| 131 | 5% | 18% | |
| 132 | 3% | 13% | |
| 133 | 2% | 11% | |
| 134 | 2% | 8% | |
| 135 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 136 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 137 | 4% | 4% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 115 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 116 | 2% | 97% | |
| 117 | 2% | 94% | |
| 118 | 22% | 92% | |
| 119 | 4% | 70% | |
| 120 | 5% | 66% | |
| 121 | 14% | 60% | |
| 122 | 15% | 46% | Median |
| 123 | 10% | 31% | Last Result |
| 124 | 7% | 21% | |
| 125 | 3% | 14% | |
| 126 | 4% | 11% | |
| 127 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 128 | 2% | 6% | |
| 129 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 130 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 96 | 4% | 97% | |
| 97 | 3% | 93% | |
| 98 | 5% | 90% | |
| 99 | 2% | 84% | |
| 100 | 4% | 83% | |
| 101 | 3% | 79% | |
| 102 | 2% | 76% | |
| 103 | 2% | 74% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 72% | |
| 105 | 2% | 71% | |
| 106 | 1.4% | 69% | |
| 107 | 3% | 68% | |
| 108 | 9% | 65% | |
| 109 | 15% | 56% | |
| 110 | 6% | 41% | |
| 111 | 5% | 35% | |
| 112 | 12% | 30% | Median |
| 113 | 6% | 17% | |
| 114 | 6% | 11% | |
| 115 | 3% | 5% | |
| 116 | 2% | 3% | |
| 117 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 86 | 4% | 98% | |
| 87 | 9% | 94% | |
| 88 | 11% | 85% | |
| 89 | 5% | 74% | |
| 90 | 4% | 69% | |
| 91 | 3% | 65% | |
| 92 | 2% | 62% | |
| 93 | 2% | 60% | |
| 94 | 2% | 58% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 55% | |
| 96 | 2% | 54% | |
| 97 | 11% | 52% | |
| 98 | 2% | 42% | |
| 99 | 10% | 39% | |
| 100 | 8% | 30% | |
| 101 | 3% | 22% | Median |
| 102 | 3% | 19% | |
| 103 | 8% | 16% | |
| 104 | 4% | 8% | |
| 105 | 2% | 4% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 92 | 3% | 97% | |
| 93 | 6% | 94% | |
| 94 | 15% | 89% | |
| 95 | 15% | 74% | |
| 96 | 16% | 59% | |
| 97 | 10% | 44% | Median |
| 98 | 14% | 34% | |
| 99 | 5% | 20% | |
| 100 | 5% | 15% | |
| 101 | 4% | 10% | Last Result |
| 102 | 2% | 6% | |
| 103 | 2% | 4% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 2–12 March 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 7839
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.38%