Opinion Poll by Demoskop, 25 March–1 April 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 27.9% | 26.7–29.1% | 26.4–29.4% | 26.1–29.7% | 25.6–30.3% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 20.8% | 19.8–21.9% | 19.5–22.2% | 19.2–22.5% | 18.7–23.0% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 19.2% | 18.2–20.3% | 17.9–20.6% | 17.7–20.8% | 17.2–21.3% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.8% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0–8.4% | 6.9–8.7% | 6.7–8.8% | 6.4–9.2% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1–7.4% | 5.9–7.6% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.1% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 104 | 97–109 | 96–110 | 94–111 | 93–113 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 76 | 71–81 | 70–83 | 69–84 | 68–86 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 70 | 66–74 | 65–76 | 64–77 | 63–80 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 37 | 34–40 | 33–41 | 33–42 | 31–44 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 29 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 25–33 | 23–34 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 24 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 21–29 | 20–30 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 15 | 0–17 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–19 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–14 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 94 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 95 | 2% | 97% | |
| 96 | 3% | 96% | |
| 97 | 5% | 93% | |
| 98 | 4% | 88% | |
| 99 | 5% | 84% | |
| 100 | 8% | 79% | Last Result |
| 101 | 4% | 71% | |
| 102 | 8% | 67% | |
| 103 | 8% | 60% | |
| 104 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 105 | 6% | 42% | |
| 106 | 7% | 35% | |
| 107 | 6% | 29% | |
| 108 | 6% | 23% | |
| 109 | 9% | 17% | |
| 110 | 4% | 8% | |
| 111 | 3% | 4% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 4% | 94% | |
| 72 | 10% | 90% | |
| 73 | 5% | 80% | |
| 74 | 13% | 75% | |
| 75 | 8% | 62% | |
| 76 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 77 | 7% | 39% | |
| 78 | 9% | 32% | |
| 79 | 4% | 23% | |
| 80 | 6% | 18% | |
| 81 | 6% | 12% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 83 | 2% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 6% | 95% | |
| 67 | 7% | 88% | |
| 68 | 8% | 82% | |
| 69 | 9% | 73% | |
| 70 | 16% | 65% | Last Result, Median |
| 71 | 12% | 49% | |
| 72 | 7% | 37% | |
| 73 | 14% | 30% | |
| 74 | 7% | 17% | |
| 75 | 3% | 10% | |
| 76 | 2% | 7% | |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 32 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 33 | 4% | 98% | |
| 34 | 7% | 94% | |
| 35 | 9% | 87% | |
| 36 | 15% | 78% | |
| 37 | 16% | 63% | Median |
| 38 | 14% | 47% | |
| 39 | 14% | 32% | |
| 40 | 8% | 18% | |
| 41 | 6% | 10% | |
| 42 | 2% | 4% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 25 | 5% | 98% | |
| 26 | 9% | 92% | |
| 27 | 15% | 83% | |
| 28 | 17% | 68% | Last Result |
| 29 | 24% | 51% | Median |
| 30 | 12% | 27% | |
| 31 | 7% | 15% | |
| 32 | 4% | 8% | |
| 33 | 2% | 4% | |
| 34 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 5% | 98% | |
| 22 | 9% | 94% | Last Result |
| 23 | 21% | 85% | |
| 24 | 17% | 64% | Median |
| 25 | 14% | 47% | |
| 26 | 17% | 33% | |
| 27 | 7% | 15% | |
| 28 | 4% | 8% | |
| 29 | 2% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 44% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 56% | |
| 2 | 0% | 56% | |
| 3 | 0% | 56% | |
| 4 | 0% | 56% | |
| 5 | 0% | 56% | |
| 6 | 0% | 56% | |
| 7 | 0% | 56% | |
| 8 | 0% | 56% | |
| 9 | 0% | 56% | |
| 10 | 0% | 56% | |
| 11 | 0% | 56% | |
| 12 | 0% | 56% | |
| 13 | 0% | 56% | |
| 14 | 5% | 56% | |
| 15 | 24% | 51% | Median |
| 16 | 16% | 27% | Last Result |
| 17 | 8% | 11% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.3% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 211 | 100% | 202–220 | 200–221 | 200–222 | 197–224 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 178 | 76% | 172–185 | 167–186 | 165–187 | 163–189 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 174 | 44% | 166–182 | 165–183 | 164–184 | 160–187 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 171 | 24% | 164–177 | 163–182 | 162–184 | 160–186 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 149 | 0% | 142–157 | 138–158 | 136–159 | 134–161 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 146 | 0% | 141–153 | 138–155 | 137–158 | 136–160 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 141 | 0% | 133–148 | 130–150 | 128–151 | 126–153 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 132 | 0% | 127–139 | 125–140 | 124–142 | 121–145 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 132 | 0% | 126–139 | 125–140 | 124–142 | 121–144 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 132 | 0% | 125–138 | 123–140 | 122–141 | 120–143 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 112 | 0% | 104–120 | 102–122 | 100–123 | 97–125 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 108 | 0% | 103–114 | 101–115 | 100–117 | 98–120 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 108 | 0% | 102–114 | 101–115 | 100–116 | 98–119 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 193 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 198 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 199 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 200 | 4% | 98% | |
| 201 | 2% | 94% | Last Result |
| 202 | 2% | 92% | |
| 203 | 3% | 89% | |
| 204 | 2% | 87% | |
| 205 | 4% | 84% | |
| 206 | 6% | 81% | |
| 207 | 5% | 75% | |
| 208 | 2% | 70% | |
| 209 | 6% | 67% | |
| 210 | 6% | 61% | |
| 211 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 212 | 5% | 45% | |
| 213 | 3% | 39% | |
| 214 | 3% | 37% | |
| 215 | 2% | 34% | |
| 216 | 5% | 31% | |
| 217 | 3% | 27% | |
| 218 | 6% | 23% | |
| 219 | 5% | 18% | |
| 220 | 6% | 13% | |
| 221 | 3% | 7% | |
| 222 | 2% | 4% | |
| 223 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 224 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 227 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 162 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 164 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 165 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 166 | 2% | 97% | |
| 167 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 168 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 169 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 170 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 171 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 172 | 2% | 90% | |
| 173 | 4% | 89% | |
| 174 | 9% | 85% | |
| 175 | 8% | 76% | Majority |
| 176 | 11% | 68% | |
| 177 | 6% | 57% | |
| 178 | 9% | 51% | |
| 179 | 4% | 42% | |
| 180 | 3% | 38% | |
| 181 | 2% | 35% | |
| 182 | 7% | 33% | |
| 183 | 5% | 27% | |
| 184 | 8% | 22% | |
| 185 | 6% | 14% | Median |
| 186 | 4% | 8% | |
| 187 | 3% | 4% | |
| 188 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 189 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 162 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 163 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 164 | 3% | 98% | |
| 165 | 2% | 95% | |
| 166 | 5% | 93% | |
| 167 | 3% | 89% | |
| 168 | 5% | 85% | |
| 169 | 4% | 81% | |
| 170 | 6% | 77% | Last Result |
| 171 | 6% | 71% | |
| 172 | 4% | 65% | |
| 173 | 8% | 61% | |
| 174 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 175 | 6% | 44% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 38% | |
| 177 | 3% | 34% | |
| 178 | 4% | 30% | |
| 179 | 5% | 27% | |
| 180 | 6% | 22% | |
| 181 | 4% | 16% | |
| 182 | 6% | 12% | |
| 183 | 2% | 6% | |
| 184 | 2% | 4% | |
| 185 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 187 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 189 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 161 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 162 | 3% | 98% | |
| 163 | 4% | 96% | |
| 164 | 6% | 92% | |
| 165 | 8% | 86% | |
| 166 | 5% | 78% | |
| 167 | 7% | 73% | |
| 168 | 2% | 67% | |
| 169 | 3% | 65% | |
| 170 | 4% | 62% | Median |
| 171 | 9% | 58% | |
| 172 | 6% | 49% | |
| 173 | 11% | 43% | |
| 174 | 8% | 32% | |
| 175 | 9% | 24% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 15% | |
| 177 | 2% | 11% | |
| 178 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 179 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 180 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 181 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 182 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 183 | 2% | 4% | |
| 184 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 185 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 135 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 136 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 137 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 138 | 2% | 96% | |
| 139 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 141 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 142 | 2% | 92% | |
| 143 | 2% | 89% | |
| 144 | 3% | 88% | |
| 145 | 7% | 85% | |
| 146 | 8% | 77% | |
| 147 | 10% | 70% | |
| 148 | 7% | 60% | |
| 149 | 8% | 53% | |
| 150 | 4% | 46% | |
| 151 | 3% | 41% | |
| 152 | 3% | 38% | |
| 153 | 1.4% | 35% | |
| 154 | 6% | 34% | |
| 155 | 7% | 27% | |
| 156 | 6% | 20% | Median |
| 157 | 6% | 14% | |
| 158 | 4% | 8% | |
| 159 | 2% | 4% | |
| 160 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 138 | 5% | 97% | |
| 139 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 141 | 4% | 91% | |
| 142 | 6% | 87% | |
| 143 | 12% | 81% | |
| 144 | 10% | 69% | |
| 145 | 9% | 59% | |
| 146 | 3% | 51% | Median |
| 147 | 4% | 48% | |
| 148 | 4% | 44% | |
| 149 | 7% | 39% | |
| 150 | 13% | 32% | |
| 151 | 5% | 19% | |
| 152 | 3% | 15% | |
| 153 | 3% | 11% | |
| 154 | 3% | 8% | |
| 155 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 158 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 159 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 126 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 128 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 129 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 130 | 2% | 96% | |
| 131 | 2% | 95% | |
| 132 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 133 | 3% | 91% | |
| 134 | 3% | 88% | |
| 135 | 6% | 86% | |
| 136 | 4% | 80% | |
| 137 | 5% | 76% | |
| 138 | 9% | 71% | |
| 139 | 5% | 61% | |
| 140 | 6% | 56% | |
| 141 | 5% | 51% | |
| 142 | 6% | 46% | |
| 143 | 4% | 39% | |
| 144 | 6% | 36% | Last Result |
| 145 | 9% | 30% | |
| 146 | 2% | 21% | |
| 147 | 8% | 19% | |
| 148 | 2% | 12% | Median |
| 149 | 4% | 10% | |
| 150 | 3% | 6% | |
| 151 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 152 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 124 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 125 | 2% | 97% | |
| 126 | 5% | 95% | |
| 127 | 4% | 90% | |
| 128 | 4% | 86% | |
| 129 | 7% | 82% | |
| 130 | 10% | 75% | |
| 131 | 8% | 65% | Median |
| 132 | 7% | 57% | |
| 133 | 11% | 49% | |
| 134 | 9% | 38% | |
| 135 | 8% | 29% | |
| 136 | 5% | 22% | |
| 137 | 2% | 17% | |
| 138 | 4% | 15% | |
| 139 | 3% | 11% | |
| 140 | 4% | 9% | |
| 141 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 142 | 2% | 4% | |
| 143 | 1.0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 124 | 2% | 98% | |
| 125 | 2% | 97% | |
| 126 | 5% | 94% | |
| 127 | 4% | 90% | |
| 128 | 4% | 86% | |
| 129 | 7% | 81% | |
| 130 | 10% | 74% | |
| 131 | 8% | 64% | Median |
| 132 | 7% | 56% | |
| 133 | 11% | 49% | |
| 134 | 9% | 38% | |
| 135 | 8% | 29% | |
| 136 | 5% | 21% | |
| 137 | 2% | 17% | |
| 138 | 4% | 15% | |
| 139 | 3% | 11% | |
| 140 | 4% | 8% | |
| 141 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 142 | 2% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 121 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 122 | 2% | 98% | |
| 123 | 2% | 96% | |
| 124 | 2% | 94% | |
| 125 | 3% | 92% | |
| 126 | 5% | 89% | |
| 127 | 5% | 84% | |
| 128 | 3% | 79% | Last Result |
| 129 | 9% | 75% | |
| 130 | 4% | 66% | |
| 131 | 11% | 63% | |
| 132 | 7% | 52% | |
| 133 | 6% | 45% | Median |
| 134 | 5% | 39% | |
| 135 | 7% | 34% | |
| 136 | 5% | 27% | |
| 137 | 5% | 22% | |
| 138 | 7% | 17% | |
| 139 | 4% | 10% | |
| 140 | 3% | 6% | |
| 141 | 2% | 3% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 98 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 100 | 2% | 98% | |
| 101 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 102 | 2% | 95% | |
| 103 | 2% | 93% | |
| 104 | 2% | 91% | |
| 105 | 3% | 89% | |
| 106 | 5% | 86% | |
| 107 | 4% | 81% | |
| 108 | 6% | 77% | |
| 109 | 9% | 71% | |
| 110 | 5% | 62% | |
| 111 | 5% | 57% | |
| 112 | 3% | 52% | |
| 113 | 5% | 49% | |
| 114 | 4% | 44% | |
| 115 | 6% | 40% | |
| 116 | 4% | 34% | Last Result |
| 117 | 5% | 30% | |
| 118 | 9% | 26% | |
| 119 | 5% | 17% | Median |
| 120 | 4% | 12% | |
| 121 | 2% | 8% | |
| 122 | 3% | 6% | |
| 123 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 124 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 99 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 100 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 101 | 2% | 97% | |
| 102 | 5% | 95% | |
| 103 | 4% | 90% | |
| 104 | 6% | 86% | |
| 105 | 7% | 80% | |
| 106 | 7% | 73% | |
| 107 | 11% | 65% | Median |
| 108 | 8% | 54% | |
| 109 | 13% | 46% | |
| 110 | 8% | 33% | |
| 111 | 8% | 25% | |
| 112 | 4% | 17% | |
| 113 | 2% | 13% | |
| 114 | 3% | 11% | |
| 115 | 3% | 7% | |
| 116 | 2% | 4% | |
| 117 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 118 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 99 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 100 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 101 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 102 | 5% | 94% | |
| 103 | 4% | 90% | |
| 104 | 6% | 85% | |
| 105 | 7% | 79% | |
| 106 | 7% | 72% | |
| 107 | 11% | 65% | Median |
| 108 | 8% | 54% | |
| 109 | 13% | 45% | |
| 110 | 8% | 32% | |
| 111 | 8% | 24% | |
| 112 | 4% | 16% | |
| 113 | 2% | 12% | |
| 114 | 3% | 10% | |
| 115 | 3% | 7% | |
| 116 | 2% | 4% | |
| 117 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demoskop
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 25 March–1 April 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 2453
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.73%