Opinion Poll by Novus for SVT, 30 March–19 April 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 30.4% | 29.5–31.4% | 29.2–31.7% | 29.0–31.9% | 28.5–32.4% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.7% | 18.9–20.5% | 18.7–20.8% | 18.5–21.0% | 18.1–21.4% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 18.7% | 17.9–19.5% | 17.7–19.8% | 17.5–20.0% | 17.1–20.4% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.9–10.2% | 8.8–10.3% | 8.6–10.5% | 8.3–10.8% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2–8.3% | 7.0–8.5% | 6.9–8.6% | 6.7–8.9% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6–6.6% | 5.5–6.8% | 5.4–6.9% | 5.2–7.2% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4–4.2% | 3.3–4.4% | 3.2–4.5% | 3.1–4.7% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.5–3.2% | 2.4–3.3% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 114 | 109–118 | 108–119 | 106–120 | 105–122 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 74 | 70–77 | 69–78 | 68–79 | 66–81 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 70 | 67–73 | 66–74 | 64–75 | 63–77 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 35 | 33–38 | 32–39 | 32–40 | 31–41 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 29 | 27–31 | 26–32 | 26–32 | 25–34 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 23 | 21–25 | 20–25 | 20–26 | 19–27 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–17 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 105 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 106 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 108 | 3% | 96% | |
| 109 | 6% | 94% | |
| 110 | 5% | 87% | |
| 111 | 7% | 82% | |
| 112 | 7% | 75% | |
| 113 | 10% | 68% | |
| 114 | 16% | 58% | Median |
| 115 | 6% | 42% | |
| 116 | 16% | 36% | |
| 117 | 7% | 20% | |
| 118 | 5% | 13% | |
| 119 | 3% | 7% | |
| 120 | 3% | 5% | |
| 121 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 122 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 3% | 97% | |
| 70 | 7% | 94% | |
| 71 | 8% | 88% | |
| 72 | 10% | 80% | |
| 73 | 12% | 70% | |
| 74 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 75 | 11% | 45% | |
| 76 | 14% | 33% | |
| 77 | 10% | 19% | |
| 78 | 4% | 9% | |
| 79 | 3% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 4% | 95% | |
| 67 | 9% | 91% | |
| 68 | 10% | 82% | |
| 69 | 18% | 72% | |
| 70 | 12% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 71 | 17% | 42% | |
| 72 | 7% | 25% | |
| 73 | 9% | 18% | |
| 74 | 4% | 9% | |
| 75 | 3% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 4% | 98% | |
| 33 | 7% | 94% | |
| 34 | 16% | 87% | |
| 35 | 21% | 71% | Median |
| 36 | 22% | 50% | |
| 37 | 14% | 27% | |
| 38 | 7% | 13% | |
| 39 | 4% | 6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 25 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 26 | 4% | 98% | |
| 27 | 14% | 93% | |
| 28 | 21% | 80% | |
| 29 | 23% | 58% | Median |
| 30 | 18% | 36% | |
| 31 | 11% | 18% | Last Result |
| 32 | 4% | 6% | |
| 33 | 2% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 7% | 99.2% | |
| 21 | 9% | 92% | |
| 22 | 19% | 83% | Last Result |
| 23 | 27% | 64% | Median |
| 24 | 17% | 37% | |
| 25 | 16% | 19% | |
| 26 | 3% | 4% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 75% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 25% | |
| 2 | 0% | 25% | |
| 3 | 0% | 25% | |
| 4 | 0% | 25% | |
| 5 | 0% | 25% | |
| 6 | 0% | 25% | |
| 7 | 0% | 25% | |
| 8 | 0% | 25% | |
| 9 | 0% | 25% | |
| 10 | 0% | 25% | |
| 11 | 0% | 25% | |
| 12 | 0% | 25% | |
| 13 | 0% | 25% | |
| 14 | 0% | 25% | |
| 15 | 18% | 25% | |
| 16 | 6% | 8% | Last Result |
| 17 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 213 | 100% | 206–218 | 204–219 | 202–220 | 200–222 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 181 | 98% | 177–189 | 176–191 | 175–192 | 173–194 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 185 | 97% | 178–189 | 176–191 | 174–191 | 172–193 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 168 | 2% | 160–172 | 158–173 | 157–174 | 155–176 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 152 | 0% | 148–161 | 147–162 | 146–164 | 144–166 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 145 | 0% | 141–154 | 140–156 | 139–157 | 137–159 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 150 | 0% | 144–154 | 142–155 | 141–156 | 139–158 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 144 | 0% | 138–148 | 136–150 | 135–151 | 133–152 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 122 | 0% | 117–126 | 116–128 | 114–129 | 112–130 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 122 | 0% | 117–126 | 116–128 | 114–129 | 112–130 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 116 | 0% | 112–126 | 111–128 | 110–129 | 108–131 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 99 | 0% | 95–103 | 94–104 | 92–105 | 90–106 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 99 | 0% | 95–103 | 94–104 | 92–105 | 90–106 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 198 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 199 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 200 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 201 | 1.1% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 203 | 2% | 97% | |
| 204 | 2% | 96% | |
| 205 | 3% | 94% | |
| 206 | 5% | 91% | |
| 207 | 6% | 86% | |
| 208 | 3% | 80% | |
| 209 | 2% | 76% | |
| 210 | 2% | 75% | |
| 211 | 4% | 72% | |
| 212 | 6% | 69% | |
| 213 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 214 | 14% | 50% | |
| 215 | 9% | 35% | |
| 216 | 6% | 26% | |
| 217 | 5% | 21% | |
| 218 | 6% | 16% | |
| 219 | 5% | 10% | |
| 220 | 2% | 5% | |
| 221 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 222 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 223 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 225 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 171 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 174 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 175 | 2% | 98% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 96% | |
| 177 | 9% | 94% | |
| 178 | 6% | 85% | Median |
| 179 | 13% | 79% | |
| 180 | 5% | 66% | |
| 181 | 16% | 61% | |
| 182 | 5% | 45% | |
| 183 | 8% | 41% | |
| 184 | 3% | 33% | |
| 185 | 6% | 30% | |
| 186 | 5% | 23% | |
| 187 | 5% | 19% | |
| 188 | 3% | 14% | |
| 189 | 3% | 11% | |
| 190 | 2% | 8% | |
| 191 | 3% | 5% | |
| 192 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 193 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 194 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 172 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 173 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 174 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 175 | 1.2% | 97% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 95% | |
| 177 | 2% | 92% | |
| 178 | 3% | 90% | |
| 179 | 7% | 87% | |
| 180 | 5% | 80% | |
| 181 | 3% | 75% | |
| 182 | 4% | 73% | |
| 183 | 9% | 69% | |
| 184 | 7% | 60% | Median |
| 185 | 22% | 53% | |
| 186 | 6% | 31% | |
| 187 | 6% | 24% | |
| 188 | 5% | 19% | |
| 189 | 5% | 14% | |
| 190 | 3% | 9% | |
| 191 | 4% | 6% | |
| 192 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 193 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 156 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 157 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 158 | 3% | 97% | |
| 159 | 2% | 95% | |
| 160 | 3% | 92% | |
| 161 | 3% | 89% | |
| 162 | 5% | 86% | |
| 163 | 5% | 81% | |
| 164 | 6% | 77% | |
| 165 | 3% | 70% | |
| 166 | 8% | 67% | |
| 167 | 5% | 59% | Median |
| 168 | 16% | 55% | |
| 169 | 5% | 39% | |
| 170 | 13% | 34% | |
| 171 | 6% | 21% | |
| 172 | 9% | 15% | |
| 173 | 2% | 6% | |
| 174 | 2% | 4% | |
| 175 | 0.8% | 2% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.6% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 145 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 146 | 2% | 98% | |
| 147 | 3% | 96% | |
| 148 | 5% | 93% | |
| 149 | 11% | 88% | Median |
| 150 | 10% | 77% | |
| 151 | 11% | 67% | |
| 152 | 11% | 56% | |
| 153 | 6% | 45% | |
| 154 | 7% | 39% | |
| 155 | 3% | 32% | |
| 156 | 4% | 29% | |
| 157 | 4% | 25% | |
| 158 | 2% | 21% | |
| 159 | 5% | 19% | |
| 160 | 3% | 14% | |
| 161 | 5% | 11% | |
| 162 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 163 | 2% | 4% | |
| 164 | 2% | 3% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 166 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 138 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 139 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 140 | 5% | 97% | |
| 141 | 4% | 92% | |
| 142 | 9% | 88% | |
| 143 | 10% | 79% | Median |
| 144 | 6% | 69% | |
| 145 | 13% | 63% | |
| 146 | 7% | 50% | |
| 147 | 6% | 42% | |
| 148 | 7% | 36% | |
| 149 | 3% | 29% | |
| 150 | 2% | 26% | |
| 151 | 3% | 24% | |
| 152 | 4% | 21% | |
| 153 | 4% | 17% | |
| 154 | 6% | 13% | |
| 155 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 156 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 157 | 2% | 4% | |
| 158 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 141 | 2% | 98% | |
| 142 | 3% | 96% | |
| 143 | 2% | 94% | |
| 144 | 7% | 92% | |
| 145 | 3% | 85% | |
| 146 | 7% | 83% | |
| 147 | 5% | 75% | |
| 148 | 6% | 71% | |
| 149 | 12% | 65% | Median |
| 150 | 11% | 53% | |
| 151 | 11% | 42% | |
| 152 | 11% | 31% | |
| 153 | 6% | 20% | |
| 154 | 7% | 14% | |
| 155 | 2% | 7% | |
| 156 | 3% | 5% | |
| 157 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 134 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 135 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 136 | 2% | 97% | |
| 137 | 3% | 95% | |
| 138 | 3% | 92% | |
| 139 | 4% | 90% | |
| 140 | 9% | 86% | |
| 141 | 4% | 78% | |
| 142 | 5% | 74% | |
| 143 | 13% | 68% | |
| 144 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 145 | 10% | 47% | |
| 146 | 6% | 38% | |
| 147 | 12% | 31% | |
| 148 | 10% | 19% | |
| 149 | 4% | 9% | |
| 150 | 2% | 5% | |
| 151 | 2% | 3% | |
| 152 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 113 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 114 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 115 | 2% | 97% | |
| 116 | 4% | 95% | |
| 117 | 4% | 91% | |
| 118 | 4% | 87% | |
| 119 | 8% | 82% | |
| 120 | 7% | 74% | |
| 121 | 11% | 68% | |
| 122 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 123 | 15% | 47% | |
| 124 | 11% | 32% | |
| 125 | 7% | 21% | |
| 126 | 5% | 14% | |
| 127 | 3% | 9% | |
| 128 | 3% | 6% | |
| 129 | 2% | 3% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 113 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 114 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 115 | 2% | 97% | |
| 116 | 4% | 95% | |
| 117 | 4% | 91% | |
| 118 | 4% | 87% | |
| 119 | 8% | 82% | |
| 120 | 7% | 74% | |
| 121 | 11% | 68% | |
| 122 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 123 | 15% | 47% | Last Result |
| 124 | 11% | 32% | |
| 125 | 7% | 21% | |
| 126 | 5% | 14% | |
| 127 | 3% | 9% | |
| 128 | 3% | 6% | |
| 129 | 2% | 3% | |
| 130 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 109 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 110 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 111 | 4% | 97% | |
| 112 | 4% | 93% | |
| 113 | 8% | 89% | |
| 114 | 14% | 81% | Median |
| 115 | 6% | 66% | |
| 116 | 15% | 61% | Last Result |
| 117 | 7% | 45% | |
| 118 | 5% | 38% | |
| 119 | 3% | 33% | |
| 120 | 3% | 30% | |
| 121 | 2% | 27% | |
| 122 | 2% | 24% | |
| 123 | 2% | 23% | |
| 124 | 6% | 20% | |
| 125 | 2% | 15% | |
| 126 | 5% | 13% | |
| 127 | 3% | 8% | |
| 128 | 2% | 5% | |
| 129 | 2% | 4% | |
| 130 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 92 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 93 | 2% | 97% | |
| 94 | 3% | 95% | |
| 95 | 4% | 92% | |
| 96 | 10% | 88% | |
| 97 | 8% | 78% | |
| 98 | 15% | 69% | |
| 99 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 100 | 17% | 41% | |
| 101 | 8% | 24% | |
| 102 | 3% | 16% | |
| 103 | 3% | 13% | |
| 104 | 5% | 9% | |
| 105 | 2% | 4% | |
| 106 | 2% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 92 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 93 | 2% | 97% | |
| 94 | 3% | 95% | |
| 95 | 4% | 92% | |
| 96 | 10% | 88% | |
| 97 | 8% | 78% | |
| 98 | 15% | 69% | |
| 99 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 100 | 17% | 41% | |
| 101 | 8% | 24% | Last Result |
| 102 | 3% | 16% | |
| 103 | 3% | 13% | |
| 104 | 5% | 9% | |
| 105 | 2% | 4% | |
| 106 | 2% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Novus
- Commissioner(s): SVT
- Fieldwork period: 30 March–19 April 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 3838
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.81%