Opinion Poll by Demoskop, 28 April–5 May 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 30.1% | 28.9–31.3% | 28.5–31.7% | 28.2–32.0% | 27.7–32.6% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 20.7% | 19.6–21.8% | 19.3–22.1% | 19.1–22.4% | 18.6–22.9% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 18.8% | 17.8–19.9% | 17.5–20.2% | 17.3–20.5% | 16.8–21.0% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.3–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.8–11.3% | 8.5–11.7% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5–7.9% | 6.3–8.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.7% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9–7.2% | 5.7–7.4% | 5.5–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.2% | 2.2–3.3% | 2.1–3.5% | 1.9–3.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 112 | 108–117 | 106–118 | 105–119 | 102–121 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 78 | 73–81 | 72–81 | 71–83 | 69–85 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 70 | 66–74 | 65–75 | 64–76 | 62–78 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 37 | 35–40 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 31–43 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 27 | 24–30 | 24–30 | 23–31 | 22–32 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 24 | 22–27 | 21–27 | 21–28 | 20–30 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–16 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 105 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 106 | 2% | 97% | |
| 107 | 4% | 95% | |
| 108 | 7% | 91% | |
| 109 | 6% | 84% | |
| 110 | 10% | 78% | |
| 111 | 12% | 67% | |
| 112 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 113 | 10% | 46% | |
| 114 | 11% | 36% | |
| 115 | 6% | 26% | |
| 116 | 8% | 20% | |
| 117 | 4% | 12% | |
| 118 | 4% | 7% | |
| 119 | 2% | 3% | |
| 120 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 121 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 71 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 72 | 2% | 96% | |
| 73 | 6% | 94% | |
| 74 | 6% | 88% | |
| 75 | 2% | 81% | |
| 76 | 20% | 80% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 59% | |
| 78 | 21% | 58% | Median |
| 79 | 10% | 37% | |
| 80 | 3% | 27% | |
| 81 | 19% | 24% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 3% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 3% | 97% | |
| 66 | 5% | 94% | |
| 67 | 9% | 89% | |
| 68 | 11% | 79% | |
| 69 | 12% | 68% | |
| 70 | 14% | 56% | Median |
| 71 | 11% | 43% | |
| 72 | 10% | 32% | |
| 73 | 7% | 21% | |
| 74 | 6% | 14% | |
| 75 | 4% | 8% | |
| 76 | 2% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 32 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 3% | 98% | |
| 34 | 4% | 95% | |
| 35 | 8% | 91% | |
| 36 | 19% | 83% | |
| 37 | 20% | 64% | Median |
| 38 | 17% | 44% | |
| 39 | 10% | 27% | |
| 40 | 8% | 17% | |
| 41 | 5% | 9% | |
| 42 | 2% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 24 | 6% | 95% | |
| 25 | 14% | 90% | |
| 26 | 14% | 76% | |
| 27 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 28 | 23% | 45% | Last Result |
| 29 | 12% | 22% | |
| 30 | 7% | 11% | |
| 31 | 2% | 4% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 4% | 98% | |
| 22 | 15% | 93% | Last Result |
| 23 | 17% | 78% | |
| 24 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 25 | 23% | 48% | |
| 26 | 12% | 25% | |
| 27 | 8% | 12% | |
| 28 | 3% | 4% | |
| 29 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 15 | 3% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 227 | 100% | 222–232 | 220–233 | 217–234 | 213–237 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 190 | 99.9% | 185–194 | 183–196 | 181–197 | 177–199 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 177 | 74% | 172–182 | 171–184 | 170–186 | 167–189 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 172 | 26% | 167–177 | 165–178 | 163–179 | 160–182 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 150 | 0% | 145–156 | 144–157 | 143–159 | 141–162 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 148 | 0% | 143–153 | 141–154 | 140–155 | 136–158 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 140 | 0% | 135–145 | 134–147 | 132–149 | 130–153 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 139 | 0% | 134–144 | 133–145 | 131–147 | 128–149 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 139 | 0% | 134–144 | 133–145 | 132–146 | 128–149 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 139 | 0% | 134–144 | 133–145 | 131–146 | 128–149 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 113 | 0% | 108–118 | 107–120 | 106–123 | 104–126 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 115 | 0% | 111–119 | 109–121 | 108–122 | 105–124 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 115 | 0% | 111–119 | 109–121 | 108–122 | 105–124 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 212 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 213 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 214 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 215 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 216 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 217 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 218 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 219 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 220 | 2% | 95% | |
| 221 | 2% | 94% | |
| 222 | 4% | 92% | |
| 223 | 5% | 88% | |
| 224 | 6% | 83% | |
| 225 | 7% | 77% | |
| 226 | 8% | 70% | |
| 227 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 228 | 11% | 49% | |
| 229 | 13% | 38% | |
| 230 | 11% | 26% | |
| 231 | 4% | 15% | |
| 232 | 5% | 11% | |
| 233 | 2% | 6% | |
| 234 | 3% | 5% | |
| 235 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 236 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 237 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 238 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 177 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 178 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 179 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 180 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 181 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 182 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 183 | 2% | 95% | |
| 184 | 2% | 93% | |
| 185 | 4% | 91% | |
| 186 | 4% | 87% | |
| 187 | 10% | 83% | |
| 188 | 7% | 73% | |
| 189 | 10% | 66% | |
| 190 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 191 | 11% | 43% | |
| 192 | 9% | 32% | |
| 193 | 7% | 24% | |
| 194 | 8% | 17% | |
| 195 | 4% | 10% | |
| 196 | 2% | 6% | |
| 197 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 198 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 199 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 200 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 201 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 168 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 169 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 170 | 2% | 98% | |
| 171 | 5% | 96% | |
| 172 | 4% | 91% | |
| 173 | 5% | 87% | |
| 174 | 8% | 82% | |
| 175 | 11% | 74% | Majority |
| 176 | 7% | 63% | Median |
| 177 | 8% | 56% | |
| 178 | 8% | 48% | |
| 179 | 10% | 40% | |
| 180 | 10% | 30% | |
| 181 | 7% | 19% | |
| 182 | 4% | 13% | |
| 183 | 2% | 9% | |
| 184 | 3% | 7% | |
| 185 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 186 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 187 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 189 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 161 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 162 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 163 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 164 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 165 | 3% | 96% | |
| 166 | 2% | 93% | |
| 167 | 4% | 91% | |
| 168 | 7% | 87% | |
| 169 | 10% | 81% | |
| 170 | 10% | 70% | |
| 171 | 8% | 60% | |
| 172 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 173 | 7% | 44% | |
| 174 | 11% | 37% | |
| 175 | 8% | 26% | Majority |
| 176 | 5% | 18% | |
| 177 | 4% | 13% | |
| 178 | 5% | 9% | |
| 179 | 2% | 4% | |
| 180 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 181 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 142 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 143 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 144 | 5% | 97% | |
| 145 | 6% | 92% | |
| 146 | 7% | 85% | |
| 147 | 8% | 79% | |
| 148 | 6% | 70% | |
| 149 | 8% | 64% | Median |
| 150 | 7% | 56% | |
| 151 | 14% | 50% | |
| 152 | 10% | 36% | |
| 153 | 6% | 26% | |
| 154 | 6% | 20% | |
| 155 | 4% | 14% | |
| 156 | 4% | 10% | |
| 157 | 2% | 6% | |
| 158 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 159 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 139 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 140 | 2% | 98% | |
| 141 | 2% | 96% | |
| 142 | 2% | 94% | |
| 143 | 8% | 92% | |
| 144 | 5% | 84% | |
| 145 | 11% | 79% | |
| 146 | 7% | 68% | |
| 147 | 9% | 61% | |
| 148 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 149 | 10% | 42% | |
| 150 | 8% | 32% | |
| 151 | 6% | 24% | |
| 152 | 7% | 17% | |
| 153 | 4% | 10% | |
| 154 | 2% | 6% | |
| 155 | 2% | 4% | |
| 156 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 131 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 132 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 133 | 2% | 97% | |
| 134 | 4% | 95% | |
| 135 | 6% | 91% | |
| 136 | 5% | 86% | |
| 137 | 7% | 81% | |
| 138 | 12% | 74% | |
| 139 | 9% | 62% | Median |
| 140 | 11% | 53% | |
| 141 | 8% | 42% | |
| 142 | 11% | 34% | |
| 143 | 7% | 23% | |
| 144 | 5% | 16% | Last Result |
| 145 | 3% | 10% | |
| 146 | 2% | 7% | |
| 147 | 2% | 6% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 150 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 152 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 130 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 131 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 132 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 133 | 2% | 95% | |
| 134 | 4% | 94% | |
| 135 | 6% | 90% | |
| 136 | 9% | 84% | |
| 137 | 8% | 74% | |
| 138 | 9% | 66% | |
| 139 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 140 | 7% | 43% | |
| 141 | 10% | 37% | |
| 142 | 7% | 27% | |
| 143 | 8% | 20% | Last Result |
| 144 | 4% | 11% | |
| 145 | 4% | 7% | |
| 146 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 130 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 131 | 0.9% | 98.5% | |
| 132 | 2% | 98% | |
| 133 | 2% | 95% | |
| 134 | 4% | 93% | |
| 135 | 6% | 89% | |
| 136 | 5% | 83% | |
| 137 | 7% | 77% | |
| 138 | 12% | 70% | |
| 139 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 140 | 11% | 49% | |
| 141 | 8% | 38% | |
| 142 | 11% | 30% | |
| 143 | 7% | 19% | |
| 144 | 5% | 12% | |
| 145 | 3% | 7% | |
| 146 | 2% | 4% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 130 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 131 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 132 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 133 | 2% | 95% | |
| 134 | 4% | 94% | |
| 135 | 6% | 90% | |
| 136 | 9% | 84% | |
| 137 | 8% | 74% | |
| 138 | 9% | 66% | |
| 139 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 140 | 7% | 43% | |
| 141 | 10% | 37% | |
| 142 | 7% | 27% | |
| 143 | 8% | 20% | |
| 144 | 4% | 11% | |
| 145 | 4% | 7% | |
| 146 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 106 | 2% | 98% | |
| 107 | 3% | 96% | |
| 108 | 7% | 93% | |
| 109 | 5% | 86% | |
| 110 | 10% | 81% | |
| 111 | 11% | 71% | |
| 112 | 10% | 60% | Median |
| 113 | 10% | 50% | |
| 114 | 11% | 41% | |
| 115 | 6% | 30% | |
| 116 | 8% | 24% | Last Result |
| 117 | 4% | 16% | |
| 118 | 4% | 11% | |
| 119 | 2% | 7% | |
| 120 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 121 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 122 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 123 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 124 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 108 | 2% | 98% | |
| 109 | 3% | 96% | |
| 110 | 3% | 94% | |
| 111 | 7% | 91% | |
| 112 | 8% | 84% | |
| 113 | 10% | 76% | |
| 114 | 11% | 65% | |
| 115 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 116 | 12% | 43% | |
| 117 | 8% | 31% | |
| 118 | 9% | 23% | |
| 119 | 6% | 14% | |
| 120 | 3% | 8% | |
| 121 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 122 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 123 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 124 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 108 | 2% | 98% | |
| 109 | 3% | 96% | |
| 110 | 3% | 94% | |
| 111 | 7% | 91% | |
| 112 | 8% | 84% | |
| 113 | 10% | 76% | |
| 114 | 11% | 65% | |
| 115 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 116 | 12% | 43% | |
| 117 | 8% | 31% | |
| 118 | 9% | 23% | |
| 119 | 6% | 14% | |
| 120 | 3% | 8% | |
| 121 | 3% | 5% | |
| 122 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 123 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 124 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demoskop
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 28 April–5 May 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 2297
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.57%