Opinion Poll by SKOP, 30 April–8 May 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 32.6% 30.7–34.5% 30.2–35.1% 29.8–35.5% 28.9–36.5%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 20.4% 18.9–22.1% 18.4–22.6% 18.0–23.0% 17.3–23.8%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 16.3% 14.9–17.9% 14.5–18.3% 14.1–18.7% 13.5–19.5%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.3–11.4% 8.0–11.7% 7.5–12.3%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.6–7.3%
Liberalerna 5.5% 4.4% 3.7–5.4% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 2.6% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 120 112–128 110–131 109–132 105–137
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 75 69–82 67–83 66–85 63–89
Sverigedemokraterna 62 61 55–66 53–68 52–69 50–72
Vänsterpartiet 28 36 32–41 30–42 30–43 28–45
Centerpartiet 31 26 22–29 21–31 21–32 19–34
Kristdemokraterna 22 19 16–22 15–23 0–24 0–27
Liberalerna 20 16 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–23
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 0 0 0 0 0–14

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100% Last Result
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.2% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.7%  
106 0.4% 99.5%  
107 0.5% 99.1%  
108 0.7% 98.5%  
109 1.3% 98%  
110 2% 97%  
111 2% 95%  
112 3% 93%  
113 3% 89%  
114 6% 87%  
115 3% 81%  
116 8% 77%  
117 4% 70%  
118 7% 66%  
119 6% 60%  
120 9% 54% Median
121 8% 45%  
122 6% 38%  
123 6% 31%  
124 3% 25%  
125 3% 22%  
126 3% 19%  
127 3% 16%  
128 3% 13%  
129 1.3% 10%  
130 3% 8%  
131 2% 6%  
132 1.2% 3%  
133 0.6% 2%  
134 0.4% 2%  
135 0.3% 1.2%  
136 0.2% 0.9%  
137 0.3% 0.7%  
138 0.1% 0.4%  
139 0% 0.2%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.8%  
63 0.2% 99.6%  
64 0.7% 99.4%  
65 1.0% 98.7%  
66 2% 98%  
67 2% 96%  
68 3% 94%  
69 4% 91%  
70 5% 87% Last Result
71 8% 82%  
72 8% 75%  
73 8% 67%  
74 6% 59%  
75 6% 53% Median
76 9% 47%  
77 8% 38%  
78 9% 31%  
79 5% 22%  
80 3% 16%  
81 3% 13%  
82 2% 10%  
83 3% 8%  
84 2% 5%  
85 1.1% 3%  
86 1.0% 2%  
87 0.3% 1.1%  
88 0.3% 0.9%  
89 0.2% 0.5%  
90 0.2% 0.4%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.2% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.7%  
50 0.6% 99.5%  
51 0.7% 98.9%  
52 2% 98%  
53 2% 97%  
54 2% 95%  
55 4% 92%  
56 4% 88%  
57 6% 84%  
58 11% 79%  
59 6% 68%  
60 10% 62%  
61 8% 52% Median
62 11% 43% Last Result
63 7% 32%  
64 5% 25%  
65 5% 20%  
66 5% 15%  
67 4% 9%  
68 2% 6%  
69 2% 4%  
70 1.0% 2%  
71 0.3% 1.1%  
72 0.5% 0.8%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.3% 99.9%  
28 0.8% 99.6% Last Result
29 0.9% 98.8%  
30 3% 98%  
31 4% 95%  
32 5% 91%  
33 8% 85%  
34 10% 77%  
35 11% 68%  
36 12% 57% Median
37 13% 45%  
38 8% 32%  
39 7% 24%  
40 6% 17%  
41 5% 11%  
42 3% 6%  
43 1.4% 4%  
44 1.1% 2%  
45 0.5% 1.0%  
46 0.2% 0.4%  
47 0.1% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.2% 99.9%  
19 1.0% 99.7%  
20 1.2% 98.7%  
21 5% 98%  
22 4% 92%  
23 11% 88%  
24 10% 77%  
25 17% 68%  
26 13% 50% Median
27 10% 37%  
28 11% 27%  
29 6% 16%  
30 4% 9%  
31 3% 6% Last Result
32 2% 3%  
33 0.7% 1.5%  
34 0.5% 0.8%  
35 0.2% 0.4%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0% 97%  
9 0% 97%  
10 0% 97%  
11 0% 97%  
12 0% 97%  
13 0% 97%  
14 0% 97%  
15 3% 97%  
16 7% 94%  
17 9% 87%  
18 21% 78%  
19 16% 57% Median
20 15% 41%  
21 12% 26%  
22 5% 14% Last Result
23 4% 9%  
24 3% 5%  
25 1.3% 2%  
26 0.5% 1.0%  
27 0.3% 0.5%  
28 0.2% 0.2%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100%  
1 0% 74%  
2 0% 74%  
3 0% 74%  
4 0% 74%  
5 0% 74%  
6 0% 74%  
7 0% 74%  
8 0% 74%  
9 0% 74%  
10 0% 74%  
11 0% 74%  
12 0% 74%  
13 0% 74%  
14 0.1% 74%  
15 16% 73%  
16 19% 57% Median
17 16% 38%  
18 9% 23%  
19 6% 14%  
20 3% 8% Last Result
21 2% 5%  
22 1.2% 2%  
23 0.9% 1.2%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0% 0.6%  
5 0% 0.6%  
6 0% 0.6%  
7 0% 0.6%  
8 0% 0.6%  
9 0% 0.6%  
10 0% 0.6%  
11 0% 0.6%  
12 0% 0.6%  
13 0% 0.6%  
14 0.1% 0.6%  
15 0.3% 0.5%  
16 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 219 100% 212–232 209–235 207–237 204–242
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 194 99.9% 186–205 184–209 182–210 178–215
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna 195 195 99.9% 185–203 184–205 180–208 177–213
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna 167 159 0.8% 149–167 146–170 144–172 139–176
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 156 0.6% 148–165 145–168 144–169 141–175
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 156 0.5% 148–165 145–168 144–169 140–175
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna 154 154 0.1% 146–164 144–165 141–169 136–172
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna 132 135 0% 127–145 126–146 124–149 120–153
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 133 0% 122–141 119–144 117–146 113–149
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 120 0% 112–128 111–131 109–132 106–137
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 119 0% 112–127 110–130 107–131 101–136
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 114 0% 103–123 100–124 98–127 94–130
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 101 0% 94–108 91–110 90–112 87–116

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100%  
201 0% 99.9% Last Result
202 0.1% 99.9%  
203 0.2% 99.8%  
204 0.3% 99.6%  
205 0.5% 99.4%  
206 0.7% 98.9%  
207 0.9% 98%  
208 1.4% 97%  
209 1.2% 96%  
210 1.0% 95%  
211 2% 94%  
212 3% 91%  
213 3% 88%  
214 5% 85%  
215 4% 80%  
216 7% 76%  
217 9% 69%  
218 5% 60%  
219 6% 55%  
220 5% 49%  
221 4% 44% Median
222 3% 40%  
223 4% 37%  
224 3% 33%  
225 5% 31%  
226 3% 26%  
227 4% 23%  
228 2% 19%  
229 2% 17%  
230 3% 15%  
231 1.3% 12%  
232 1.5% 11%  
233 1.1% 9%  
234 3% 8%  
235 1.1% 5%  
236 0.7% 4%  
237 2% 4%  
238 0.6% 2%  
239 0.6% 1.5%  
240 0.3% 0.9%  
241 0.1% 0.6%  
242 0.1% 0.5%  
243 0.1% 0.4%  
244 0% 0.3%  
245 0% 0.2%  
246 0.1% 0.2%  
247 0% 0.1%  
248 0% 0.1%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
170 0% 100% Last Result
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 100%  
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 100%  
175 0.1% 99.9% Majority
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.1% 99.8%  
178 0.2% 99.7%  
179 0.2% 99.5%  
180 0.6% 99.3%  
181 0.6% 98.7%  
182 1.2% 98%  
183 1.1% 97%  
184 1.3% 96%  
185 3% 94%  
186 3% 92%  
187 3% 89%  
188 3% 86%  
189 6% 82%  
190 3% 76%  
191 6% 73%  
192 8% 66%  
193 5% 58%  
194 6% 53%  
195 4% 47% Median
196 3% 43%  
197 5% 40%  
198 5% 35%  
199 3% 29%  
200 3% 26%  
201 2% 23%  
202 5% 21%  
203 4% 17%  
204 2% 13%  
205 2% 12%  
206 2% 10%  
207 0.6% 8%  
208 2% 8%  
209 3% 6%  
210 1.0% 3%  
211 0.5% 2%  
212 0.5% 2%  
213 0.3% 1.4%  
214 0.3% 1.1%  
215 0.4% 0.8%  
216 0.1% 0.4%  
217 0.1% 0.3%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.2%  
220 0% 0.2%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0.2% 99.9% Majority
176 0.1% 99.6%  
177 0.2% 99.5%  
178 0.6% 99.4%  
179 0.5% 98.8%  
180 0.8% 98%  
181 0.6% 97%  
182 0.5% 97%  
183 1.0% 96%  
184 4% 95%  
185 2% 92%  
186 2% 90%  
187 3% 88%  
188 3% 85%  
189 3% 82%  
190 8% 78%  
191 4% 71%  
192 2% 67%  
193 8% 65%  
194 6% 57%  
195 7% 51% Last Result
196 4% 44%  
197 6% 40%  
198 6% 34% Median
199 8% 28%  
200 2% 20%  
201 2% 18%  
202 4% 16%  
203 3% 12%  
204 3% 9%  
205 1.4% 6%  
206 0.6% 5%  
207 1.4% 4%  
208 0.8% 3%  
209 0.4% 2%  
210 0.3% 1.5%  
211 0.5% 1.2%  
212 0.1% 0.7%  
213 0.2% 0.6%  
214 0.2% 0.4%  
215 0.1% 0.3%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0.1% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.2% 99.8%  
139 0.1% 99.5%  
140 0.2% 99.5%  
141 0.3% 99.3%  
142 0.4% 99.0%  
143 0.2% 98.6%  
144 0.9% 98%  
145 1.1% 97%  
146 3% 96%  
147 0.7% 93%  
148 3% 93%  
149 2% 90%  
150 1.0% 88%  
151 3% 87%  
152 3% 84%  
153 5% 82%  
154 8% 77%  
155 3% 69%  
156 5% 66%  
157 5% 61%  
158 4% 56%  
159 4% 52%  
160 5% 48%  
161 10% 43%  
162 6% 33% Median
163 3% 27%  
164 8% 24%  
165 2% 16%  
166 2% 14%  
167 3% 12% Last Result
168 2% 10%  
169 2% 8%  
170 2% 6%  
171 1.5% 4%  
172 1.0% 3%  
173 0.4% 2%  
174 0.4% 1.2%  
175 0.1% 0.8% Majority
176 0.2% 0.7%  
177 0.1% 0.4%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0.1% 100%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.2% 99.8%  
140 0.2% 99.7%  
141 0.6% 99.5%  
142 0.4% 98.9%  
143 0.5% 98%  
144 2% 98% Last Result
145 1.4% 96%  
146 1.4% 95%  
147 2% 93%  
148 2% 92%  
149 5% 89%  
150 6% 85%  
151 2% 79%  
152 8% 77%  
153 5% 68%  
154 6% 63%  
155 4% 58%  
156 6% 54% Median
157 9% 48%  
158 3% 39%  
159 5% 36%  
160 5% 30%  
161 5% 26%  
162 2% 21%  
163 3% 19%  
164 3% 16%  
165 3% 13%  
166 2% 9%  
167 1.3% 8%  
168 3% 6%  
169 1.0% 3%  
170 0.5% 2%  
171 0.5% 2%  
172 0.5% 1.5%  
173 0.3% 1.0%  
174 0.1% 0.7%  
175 0.2% 0.6% Majority
176 0.2% 0.4%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100% Last Result
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.2% 99.8%  
140 0.2% 99.6%  
141 0.6% 99.5%  
142 0.5% 98.9%  
143 0.5% 98%  
144 2% 98%  
145 1.4% 96%  
146 1.5% 95%  
147 2% 93%  
148 2% 91%  
149 5% 89%  
150 6% 84%  
151 2% 78%  
152 8% 76%  
153 5% 68%  
154 6% 63%  
155 4% 57%  
156 6% 54% Median
157 9% 48%  
158 3% 38%  
159 5% 35%  
160 5% 30%  
161 5% 25%  
162 2% 20%  
163 3% 18%  
164 3% 16%  
165 3% 12%  
166 2% 9%  
167 1.3% 7%  
168 3% 6%  
169 0.9% 3%  
170 0.5% 2%  
171 0.5% 2%  
172 0.4% 1.4%  
173 0.3% 0.9%  
174 0.1% 0.6%  
175 0.1% 0.5% Majority
176 0.2% 0.4%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.2% 99.7%  
136 0.2% 99.6%  
137 0.1% 99.4%  
138 0.5% 99.3%  
139 0.3% 98.8%  
140 0.4% 98.5%  
141 0.8% 98%  
142 1.4% 97%  
143 0.6% 96%  
144 1.4% 95%  
145 3% 94%  
146 3% 91%  
147 4% 88%  
148 2% 84%  
149 2% 82%  
150 8% 80%  
151 6% 72%  
152 6% 66%  
153 4% 60%  
154 7% 56% Last Result
155 6% 49% Median
156 8% 43%  
157 2% 35%  
158 4% 33%  
159 8% 29%  
160 3% 22%  
161 3% 18%  
162 3% 15%  
163 2% 12%  
164 2% 10%  
165 4% 8%  
166 1.0% 5%  
167 0.5% 4%  
168 0.6% 3%  
169 0.8% 3%  
170 0.5% 2%  
171 0.6% 1.2%  
172 0.2% 0.6%  
173 0.1% 0.5%  
174 0.2% 0.4%  
175 0% 0.1% Majority
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.9%  
119 0.2% 99.8%  
120 0.2% 99.7%  
121 0.5% 99.5%  
122 0.6% 99.0%  
123 0.8% 98%  
124 0.9% 98%  
125 1.4% 97%  
126 2% 95%  
127 3% 93%  
128 3% 90%  
129 3% 87%  
130 7% 84%  
131 4% 77%  
132 5% 74% Last Result
133 5% 69%  
134 8% 64%  
135 8% 56%  
136 6% 48% Median
137 4% 42%  
138 6% 38%  
139 4% 33%  
140 6% 28%  
141 6% 22%  
142 1.3% 16%  
143 2% 15%  
144 3% 13%  
145 4% 10%  
146 2% 7%  
147 1.0% 5%  
148 1.1% 4%  
149 0.4% 3%  
150 1.1% 2%  
151 0.4% 1.2%  
152 0.1% 0.7%  
153 0.2% 0.6%  
154 0.2% 0.4%  
155 0.1% 0.3%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0.1% 99.8%  
111 0.1% 99.7%  
112 0.1% 99.7%  
113 0.2% 99.5%  
114 0.2% 99.4%  
115 0.6% 99.2%  
116 0.3% 98.6%  
117 2% 98%  
118 0.5% 97%  
119 2% 96%  
120 0.6% 94%  
121 2% 94%  
122 4% 91%  
123 2% 88%  
124 2% 85%  
125 4% 83%  
126 3% 80%  
127 3% 77%  
128 3% 74%  
129 5% 71%  
130 6% 66%  
131 5% 59%  
132 5% 55%  
133 4% 50%  
134 6% 47%  
135 6% 40%  
136 7% 34% Median
137 7% 27%  
138 2% 20%  
139 3% 18%  
140 2% 15%  
141 3% 12%  
142 2% 9%  
143 2% 7% Last Result
144 2% 5%  
145 1.0% 4%  
146 0.7% 3%  
147 0.6% 2%  
148 0.7% 1.5%  
149 0.3% 0.8%  
150 0.2% 0.5%  
151 0.1% 0.3%  
152 0.1% 0.2%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.7%  
106 0.4% 99.5%  
107 0.5% 99.1%  
108 0.6% 98.6%  
109 1.3% 98%  
110 2% 97%  
111 2% 95%  
112 3% 93%  
113 3% 90%  
114 6% 87%  
115 3% 81%  
116 8% 78% Last Result
117 4% 70%  
118 7% 66%  
119 6% 60%  
120 9% 54% Median
121 8% 46%  
122 6% 38%  
123 6% 32%  
124 3% 26%  
125 4% 22%  
126 3% 19%  
127 3% 16%  
128 3% 13%  
129 1.3% 10%  
130 3% 9%  
131 2% 6%  
132 1.2% 4%  
133 0.7% 2%  
134 0.4% 2%  
135 0.3% 1.3%  
136 0.2% 1.0%  
137 0.3% 0.8%  
138 0.1% 0.5%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0.3% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.5%  
101 0.1% 99.5%  
102 0.1% 99.4%  
103 0.1% 99.3%  
104 0.2% 99.2%  
105 0.3% 98.9%  
106 0.6% 98.6%  
107 0.8% 98%  
108 0.7% 97%  
109 1.1% 97%  
110 2% 95%  
111 2% 93%  
112 3% 92%  
113 3% 89%  
114 5% 86%  
115 7% 81%  
116 4% 74%  
117 8% 70%  
118 3% 61%  
119 9% 58%  
120 7% 50% Median
121 8% 43%  
122 6% 35%  
123 5% 29% Last Result
124 3% 24%  
125 5% 21%  
126 3% 16%  
127 3% 13%  
128 2% 10%  
129 3% 8%  
130 2% 5%  
131 1.2% 3%  
132 0.7% 2%  
133 0.5% 2%  
134 0.3% 1.1%  
135 0.3% 0.8%  
136 0.2% 0.5%  
137 0.1% 0.3%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.3% 99.9%  
94 0.1% 99.6%  
95 0.1% 99.5%  
96 0.6% 99.3%  
97 1.0% 98.7%  
98 1.1% 98%  
99 0.8% 97%  
100 1.1% 96%  
101 0.9% 95%  
102 3% 94%  
103 3% 91%  
104 3% 88%  
105 2% 85%  
106 2% 83%  
107 3% 81%  
108 4% 78%  
109 3% 75%  
110 4% 71%  
111 2% 67%  
112 9% 65%  
113 3% 55%  
114 8% 52%  
115 2% 44%  
116 4% 42%  
117 8% 39% Median
118 9% 31%  
119 4% 22%  
120 2% 18%  
121 3% 16% Last Result
122 2% 13%  
123 4% 11%  
124 2% 6%  
125 0.8% 4%  
126 0.7% 3%  
127 0.5% 3%  
128 1.2% 2%  
129 0.3% 1.0%  
130 0.2% 0.7%  
131 0.1% 0.5%  
132 0.2% 0.4%  
133 0.1% 0.2%  
134 0.1% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.2% 99.8%  
87 0.3% 99.6%  
88 0.3% 99.4%  
89 0.6% 99.1%  
90 1.2% 98%  
91 2% 97%  
92 2% 95%  
93 2% 93%  
94 2% 91%  
95 5% 89%  
96 6% 83%  
97 9% 78%  
98 5% 68%  
99 6% 63%  
100 5% 58%  
101 7% 52% Last Result, Median
102 10% 45%  
103 5% 35%  
104 7% 30%  
105 4% 23%  
106 3% 19%  
107 3% 16%  
108 4% 12%  
109 3% 9%  
110 1.4% 6%  
111 2% 5%  
112 0.7% 3%  
113 0.5% 2%  
114 0.9% 2%  
115 0.3% 0.9%  
116 0.2% 0.7%  
117 0.1% 0.5%  
118 0.1% 0.4%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0.1% 0.1%  
121 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations