Opinion Poll by Sifo, 4–14 May 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 31.6% | 30.9–32.3% | 30.7–32.5% | 30.5–32.7% | 30.2–33.0% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 18.8% | 18.3–19.4% | 18.1–19.6% | 18.0–19.8% | 17.7–20.0% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 18.5% | 18.0–19.1% | 17.8–19.3% | 17.7–19.5% | 17.4–19.8% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6–9.4% | 8.4–9.5% | 8.3–9.7% | 8.1–9.9% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8–7.6% | 6.7–7.7% | 6.6–7.8% | 6.4–8.0% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7–6.5% | 5.6–6.6% | 5.5–6.7% | 5.4–6.8% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6–4.2% | 3.5–4.3% | 3.5–4.4% | 3.3–4.5% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.1–3.7% | 3.1–3.8% | 3.0–3.8% | 2.9–4.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 121 | 114–123 | 113–124 | 113–125 | 111–125 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 71 | 68–74 | 68–74 | 67–75 | 66–76 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 70 | 67–73 | 66–73 | 65–74 | 64–75 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 34 | 32–36 | 32–36 | 31–37 | 30–37 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 27 | 26–29 | 25–29 | 25–29 | 24–30 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 23 | 22–25 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 20–26 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–17 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0% | 100% | |
| 108 | 0% | 100% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 112 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 113 | 3% | 98% | |
| 114 | 5% | 94% | |
| 115 | 3% | 89% | |
| 116 | 5% | 86% | |
| 117 | 3% | 82% | |
| 118 | 3% | 78% | |
| 119 | 15% | 75% | |
| 120 | 9% | 60% | |
| 121 | 21% | 50% | Median |
| 122 | 17% | 29% | |
| 123 | 5% | 12% | |
| 124 | 5% | 7% | |
| 125 | 2% | 3% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 5% | 95% | |
| 69 | 10% | 90% | |
| 70 | 14% | 80% | |
| 71 | 24% | 66% | Median |
| 72 | 11% | 42% | |
| 73 | 20% | 31% | |
| 74 | 6% | 11% | |
| 75 | 3% | 5% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 66 | 3% | 97% | |
| 67 | 6% | 94% | |
| 68 | 11% | 88% | |
| 69 | 15% | 77% | |
| 70 | 18% | 62% | Last Result, Median |
| 71 | 13% | 44% | |
| 72 | 19% | 31% | |
| 73 | 8% | 12% | |
| 74 | 3% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 9% | 96% | |
| 33 | 22% | 87% | |
| 34 | 23% | 65% | Median |
| 35 | 28% | 42% | |
| 36 | 10% | 14% | |
| 37 | 4% | 4% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 7% | 98% | |
| 26 | 22% | 91% | |
| 27 | 25% | 70% | Median |
| 28 | 27% | 45% | |
| 29 | 15% | 18% | |
| 30 | 2% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 22 | 21% | 92% | Last Result |
| 23 | 30% | 71% | Median |
| 24 | 29% | 41% | |
| 25 | 10% | 11% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 77% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 23% | |
| 2 | 0% | 23% | |
| 3 | 0% | 23% | |
| 4 | 0% | 23% | |
| 5 | 0% | 23% | |
| 6 | 0% | 23% | |
| 7 | 0% | 23% | |
| 8 | 0% | 23% | |
| 9 | 0% | 23% | |
| 10 | 0% | 23% | |
| 11 | 0% | 23% | |
| 12 | 0% | 23% | |
| 13 | 0% | 23% | |
| 14 | 0% | 23% | |
| 15 | 15% | 23% | |
| 16 | 8% | 9% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 219 | 100% | 209–222 | 208–223 | 207–223 | 205–224 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 191 | 100% | 182–194 | 181–196 | 181–196 | 178–197 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 184 | 100% | 181–190 | 179–192 | 179–193 | 178–195 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 165 | 0% | 159–168 | 157–170 | 156–170 | 154–171 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 156 | 0% | 153–164 | 152–165 | 152–167 | 150–168 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 149 | 0% | 146–157 | 145–159 | 145–160 | 143–162 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 155 | 0% | 147–157 | 146–158 | 145–159 | 144–160 |
| Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet | 132 | 142 | 0% | 136–145 | 135–146 | 134–147 | 132–148 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 122 | 0% | 119–131 | 119–133 | 117–134 | 116–136 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 121 | 0% | 116–124 | 114–125 | 113–125 | 112–127 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 121 | 0% | 116–124 | 114–125 | 113–125 | 112–127 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 98 | 0% | 94–100 | 92–101 | 91–102 | 90–104 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 98 | 0% | 94–100 | 92–101 | 91–101 | 90–103 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 205 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 206 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 207 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 208 | 5% | 97% | |
| 209 | 6% | 92% | |
| 210 | 3% | 86% | |
| 211 | 2% | 82% | |
| 212 | 2% | 80% | |
| 213 | 0.7% | 78% | |
| 214 | 0.9% | 77% | |
| 215 | 1.1% | 76% | |
| 216 | 2% | 75% | |
| 217 | 7% | 73% | |
| 218 | 14% | 66% | Median |
| 219 | 24% | 51% | |
| 220 | 11% | 27% | |
| 221 | 5% | 16% | |
| 222 | 5% | 12% | |
| 223 | 6% | 7% | |
| 224 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 225 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 227 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 178 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 180 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 181 | 4% | 98% | |
| 182 | 7% | 94% | |
| 183 | 3% | 87% | |
| 184 | 3% | 84% | |
| 185 | 2% | 81% | |
| 186 | 2% | 80% | |
| 187 | 2% | 77% | |
| 188 | 1.2% | 76% | |
| 189 | 3% | 75% | |
| 190 | 16% | 72% | |
| 191 | 21% | 56% | Median |
| 192 | 8% | 34% | |
| 193 | 12% | 27% | |
| 194 | 7% | 15% | |
| 195 | 3% | 8% | |
| 196 | 3% | 5% | |
| 197 | 2% | 2% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 176 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 178 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 179 | 4% | 98% | |
| 180 | 3% | 94% | |
| 181 | 8% | 91% | |
| 182 | 17% | 83% | Median |
| 183 | 9% | 65% | |
| 184 | 16% | 57% | |
| 185 | 10% | 40% | |
| 186 | 6% | 30% | |
| 187 | 3% | 24% | |
| 188 | 4% | 21% | |
| 189 | 4% | 18% | |
| 190 | 4% | 14% | |
| 191 | 4% | 10% | |
| 192 | 3% | 6% | |
| 193 | 2% | 4% | |
| 194 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 195 | 0.8% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 152 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 154 | 0.8% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 156 | 2% | 98% | |
| 157 | 3% | 96% | |
| 158 | 4% | 94% | |
| 159 | 4% | 90% | |
| 160 | 4% | 86% | |
| 161 | 4% | 82% | |
| 162 | 3% | 79% | |
| 163 | 6% | 76% | |
| 164 | 10% | 70% | Median |
| 165 | 16% | 60% | |
| 166 | 9% | 43% | |
| 167 | 17% | 35% | |
| 168 | 8% | 17% | |
| 169 | 3% | 9% | |
| 170 | 4% | 6% | |
| 171 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 151 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 152 | 4% | 98% | |
| 153 | 7% | 94% | |
| 154 | 10% | 87% | |
| 155 | 14% | 77% | Median |
| 156 | 19% | 63% | |
| 157 | 12% | 44% | |
| 158 | 5% | 32% | |
| 159 | 4% | 27% | |
| 160 | 2% | 23% | |
| 161 | 2% | 21% | |
| 162 | 4% | 19% | |
| 163 | 4% | 16% | |
| 164 | 3% | 12% | |
| 165 | 4% | 8% | |
| 166 | 2% | 5% | |
| 167 | 2% | 3% | |
| 168 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 144 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 145 | 3% | 98% | |
| 146 | 5% | 95% | |
| 147 | 16% | 90% | |
| 148 | 15% | 74% | Median |
| 149 | 13% | 59% | |
| 150 | 8% | 46% | |
| 151 | 9% | 38% | |
| 152 | 3% | 28% | |
| 153 | 3% | 25% | |
| 154 | 2% | 22% | |
| 155 | 2% | 21% | |
| 156 | 5% | 18% | |
| 157 | 4% | 14% | |
| 158 | 4% | 10% | |
| 159 | 3% | 6% | |
| 160 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 161 | 2% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 145 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 146 | 2% | 97% | |
| 147 | 5% | 95% | |
| 148 | 3% | 90% | |
| 149 | 3% | 86% | |
| 150 | 4% | 83% | |
| 151 | 2% | 79% | |
| 152 | 5% | 77% | |
| 153 | 8% | 72% | |
| 154 | 10% | 64% | |
| 155 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 156 | 19% | 40% | |
| 157 | 12% | 21% | |
| 158 | 5% | 9% | |
| 159 | 3% | 4% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.9% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 133 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 134 | 2% | 98% | |
| 135 | 3% | 95% | |
| 136 | 4% | 93% | |
| 137 | 4% | 89% | |
| 138 | 5% | 85% | |
| 139 | 4% | 80% | |
| 140 | 9% | 76% | |
| 141 | 12% | 66% | Median |
| 142 | 13% | 55% | |
| 143 | 18% | 42% | |
| 144 | 10% | 24% | |
| 145 | 7% | 14% | |
| 146 | 3% | 7% | |
| 147 | 2% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 0% | 100% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 117 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 118 | 2% | 97% | |
| 119 | 13% | 95% | |
| 120 | 9% | 82% | |
| 121 | 21% | 73% | Median |
| 122 | 17% | 52% | |
| 123 | 5% | 35% | |
| 124 | 5% | 30% | |
| 125 | 2% | 26% | |
| 126 | 1.1% | 24% | |
| 127 | 1.2% | 22% | |
| 128 | 1.5% | 21% | |
| 129 | 5% | 20% | |
| 130 | 3% | 15% | |
| 131 | 4% | 11% | |
| 132 | 2% | 8% | |
| 133 | 2% | 5% | |
| 134 | 3% | 4% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 113 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 114 | 2% | 97% | |
| 115 | 3% | 95% | |
| 116 | 4% | 92% | |
| 117 | 6% | 88% | |
| 118 | 5% | 82% | |
| 119 | 7% | 77% | |
| 120 | 11% | 69% | Median |
| 121 | 12% | 58% | |
| 122 | 22% | 46% | |
| 123 | 10% | 24% | |
| 124 | 6% | 14% | |
| 125 | 6% | 7% | |
| 126 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 131 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 109 | 0% | 100% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 112 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 113 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 114 | 2% | 97% | |
| 115 | 3% | 95% | |
| 116 | 4% | 92% | |
| 117 | 6% | 88% | |
| 118 | 5% | 82% | |
| 119 | 7% | 76% | |
| 120 | 11% | 69% | Median |
| 121 | 12% | 58% | |
| 122 | 22% | 46% | |
| 123 | 10% | 23% | Last Result |
| 124 | 6% | 13% | |
| 125 | 6% | 7% | |
| 126 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 127 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 92 | 3% | 97% | |
| 93 | 2% | 94% | |
| 94 | 6% | 91% | |
| 95 | 7% | 86% | |
| 96 | 11% | 79% | |
| 97 | 10% | 68% | Median |
| 98 | 26% | 58% | |
| 99 | 11% | 31% | |
| 100 | 12% | 20% | |
| 101 | 6% | 9% | |
| 102 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 92 | 3% | 97% | |
| 93 | 2% | 93% | |
| 94 | 6% | 91% | |
| 95 | 7% | 85% | |
| 96 | 11% | 78% | |
| 97 | 10% | 67% | Median |
| 98 | 26% | 57% | |
| 99 | 11% | 31% | |
| 100 | 12% | 20% | |
| 101 | 6% | 8% | Last Result |
| 102 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 4–14 May 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 7310
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.49%