Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 12–24 May 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 30.7% | 29.2–32.3% | 28.8–32.7% | 28.5–33.1% | 27.8–33.8% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 19.8% | 18.5–21.2% | 18.2–21.6% | 17.9–21.9% | 17.3–22.5% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.8% | 18.5–21.2% | 18.2–21.6% | 17.9–21.9% | 17.3–22.5% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0–9.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.6–10.4% | 7.2–10.9% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2–7.8% | 5.9–8.1% | 5.8–8.3% | 5.4–8.8% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2–6.8% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.5–7.7% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 114 | 107–120 | 105–121 | 103–123 | 101–126 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 73 | 68–78 | 66–80 | 66–82 | 63–84 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 72 | 69–79 | 66–80 | 65–81 | 63–84 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 33 | 29–37 | 28–38 | 28–39 | 26–41 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 26 | 23–29 | 22–30 | 21–31 | 20–33 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 22 | 19–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 16–29 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 15 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–18 | 0–20 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 104 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 105 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 106 | 2% | 95% | |
| 107 | 3% | 93% | |
| 108 | 7% | 90% | |
| 109 | 6% | 83% | |
| 110 | 6% | 76% | |
| 111 | 7% | 70% | |
| 112 | 6% | 63% | |
| 113 | 8% | 58% | |
| 114 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 115 | 10% | 41% | |
| 116 | 5% | 31% | |
| 117 | 4% | 26% | |
| 118 | 3% | 21% | |
| 119 | 4% | 18% | |
| 120 | 6% | 14% | |
| 121 | 4% | 8% | |
| 122 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 123 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 124 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 125 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 130 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 95% | |
| 68 | 5% | 92% | |
| 69 | 11% | 87% | |
| 70 | 5% | 76% | Last Result |
| 71 | 10% | 71% | |
| 72 | 7% | 61% | |
| 73 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 74 | 9% | 46% | |
| 75 | 9% | 37% | |
| 76 | 8% | 27% | |
| 77 | 7% | 20% | |
| 78 | 4% | 13% | |
| 79 | 2% | 8% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 81 | 2% | 5% | |
| 82 | 2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 2% | 95% | |
| 68 | 3% | 93% | |
| 69 | 10% | 90% | |
| 70 | 8% | 80% | |
| 71 | 9% | 72% | |
| 72 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 73 | 7% | 46% | |
| 74 | 7% | 38% | |
| 75 | 3% | 32% | |
| 76 | 4% | 28% | |
| 77 | 7% | 25% | |
| 78 | 4% | 17% | |
| 79 | 7% | 13% | |
| 80 | 3% | 6% | |
| 81 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 3% | 98% | Last Result |
| 29 | 6% | 94% | |
| 30 | 6% | 88% | |
| 31 | 8% | 82% | |
| 32 | 15% | 74% | |
| 33 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 34 | 15% | 48% | |
| 35 | 14% | 33% | |
| 36 | 8% | 19% | |
| 37 | 4% | 11% | |
| 38 | 3% | 6% | |
| 39 | 2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 22 | 4% | 96% | |
| 23 | 10% | 92% | |
| 24 | 17% | 82% | |
| 25 | 15% | 66% | |
| 26 | 15% | 50% | Median |
| 27 | 14% | 35% | |
| 28 | 8% | 21% | |
| 29 | 5% | 13% | |
| 30 | 5% | 8% | |
| 31 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 18 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 19 | 10% | 96% | |
| 20 | 8% | 86% | |
| 21 | 25% | 78% | |
| 22 | 15% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 23 | 13% | 38% | |
| 24 | 13% | 24% | |
| 25 | 4% | 11% | |
| 26 | 3% | 7% | |
| 27 | 3% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 46% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 54% | |
| 2 | 0% | 54% | |
| 3 | 0% | 54% | |
| 4 | 0% | 54% | |
| 5 | 0% | 54% | |
| 6 | 0% | 54% | |
| 7 | 0% | 54% | |
| 8 | 0% | 54% | |
| 9 | 0% | 54% | |
| 10 | 0% | 54% | |
| 11 | 0% | 54% | |
| 12 | 0% | 54% | |
| 13 | 0% | 54% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 54% | |
| 15 | 24% | 53% | Median |
| 16 | 15% | 29% | Last Result |
| 17 | 8% | 15% | |
| 18 | 4% | 7% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 211 | 100% | 203–221 | 202–223 | 200–225 | 196–228 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 186 | 98% | 179–195 | 177–197 | 175–198 | 171–202 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 181 | 85% | 173–188 | 171–191 | 169–192 | 165–195 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 168 | 15% | 161–176 | 158–178 | 157–180 | 154–184 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 155 | 0% | 146–163 | 144–165 | 142–167 | 139–169 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 148 | 0% | 139–156 | 138–158 | 135–160 | 132–163 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 146 | 0% | 138–154 | 137–156 | 136–157 | 133–160 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 147 | 0% | 139–154 | 137–156 | 136–157 | 133–161 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 123 | 0% | 113–130 | 111–132 | 109–134 | 106–137 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 121 | 0% | 114–128 | 113–130 | 111–132 | 108–136 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 120 | 0% | 114–128 | 113–130 | 111–131 | 108–134 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 99 | 0% | 93–105 | 92–108 | 90–109 | 87–114 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 99 | 0% | 93–105 | 92–107 | 90–108 | 87–111 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 192 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 193 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 196 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 197 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 198 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 199 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 200 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 201 | 1.4% | 97% | Last Result |
| 202 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 203 | 4% | 94% | |
| 204 | 2% | 90% | |
| 205 | 4% | 88% | |
| 206 | 4% | 84% | |
| 207 | 6% | 80% | |
| 208 | 3% | 74% | |
| 209 | 13% | 71% | |
| 210 | 4% | 57% | |
| 211 | 5% | 53% | |
| 212 | 4% | 48% | |
| 213 | 6% | 44% | Median |
| 214 | 4% | 39% | |
| 215 | 3% | 35% | |
| 216 | 3% | 32% | |
| 217 | 4% | 29% | |
| 218 | 3% | 25% | |
| 219 | 2% | 22% | |
| 220 | 6% | 19% | |
| 221 | 6% | 13% | |
| 222 | 2% | 8% | |
| 223 | 2% | 6% | |
| 224 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 225 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 226 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 227 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 228 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 230 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 231 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 232 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167 | 0% | 100% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 172 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 173 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 174 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 175 | 1.1% | 98% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 97% | |
| 177 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 178 | 3% | 94% | |
| 179 | 5% | 91% | |
| 180 | 3% | 86% | |
| 181 | 6% | 83% | |
| 182 | 6% | 77% | |
| 183 | 4% | 71% | |
| 184 | 9% | 67% | |
| 185 | 7% | 58% | |
| 186 | 6% | 51% | |
| 187 | 6% | 45% | Median |
| 188 | 5% | 40% | |
| 189 | 3% | 35% | |
| 190 | 6% | 32% | |
| 191 | 4% | 26% | |
| 192 | 3% | 22% | |
| 193 | 3% | 19% | |
| 194 | 3% | 16% | |
| 195 | 4% | 13% | |
| 196 | 2% | 9% | |
| 197 | 2% | 7% | |
| 198 | 3% | 5% | |
| 199 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 201 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 202 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 206 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 167 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 168 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 170 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 171 | 2% | 96% | |
| 172 | 3% | 94% | |
| 173 | 2% | 91% | |
| 174 | 4% | 89% | |
| 175 | 7% | 85% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 79% | |
| 177 | 3% | 77% | |
| 178 | 6% | 74% | |
| 179 | 7% | 68% | |
| 180 | 7% | 61% | |
| 181 | 7% | 54% | |
| 182 | 8% | 47% | |
| 183 | 5% | 39% | |
| 184 | 4% | 34% | |
| 185 | 5% | 30% | |
| 186 | 4% | 25% | |
| 187 | 1.4% | 21% | |
| 188 | 10% | 19% | Median |
| 189 | 2% | 10% | |
| 190 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 191 | 4% | 7% | |
| 192 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 193 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 194 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 195 | 0.5% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 154 | 0.5% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 156 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 157 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 158 | 4% | 97% | |
| 159 | 1.5% | 93% | |
| 160 | 2% | 92% | |
| 161 | 10% | 90% | |
| 162 | 1.4% | 81% | |
| 163 | 4% | 79% | |
| 164 | 5% | 75% | |
| 165 | 4% | 70% | |
| 166 | 5% | 66% | |
| 167 | 8% | 61% | Median |
| 168 | 7% | 53% | |
| 169 | 7% | 46% | |
| 170 | 7% | 39% | |
| 171 | 6% | 32% | |
| 172 | 3% | 26% | |
| 173 | 2% | 23% | |
| 174 | 7% | 21% | |
| 175 | 4% | 15% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 11% | |
| 177 | 3% | 9% | |
| 178 | 2% | 6% | |
| 179 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 180 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 181 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 182 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 143 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 144 | 2% | 95% | Last Result |
| 145 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 146 | 3% | 93% | |
| 147 | 3% | 90% | |
| 148 | 4% | 87% | |
| 149 | 4% | 83% | |
| 150 | 3% | 79% | |
| 151 | 5% | 76% | |
| 152 | 3% | 70% | |
| 153 | 4% | 68% | |
| 154 | 8% | 63% | |
| 155 | 7% | 56% | |
| 156 | 6% | 48% | |
| 157 | 5% | 42% | |
| 158 | 6% | 38% | |
| 159 | 3% | 31% | |
| 160 | 5% | 28% | |
| 161 | 5% | 23% | |
| 162 | 4% | 18% | Median |
| 163 | 6% | 15% | |
| 164 | 2% | 8% | |
| 165 | 2% | 6% | |
| 166 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 167 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 168 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 133 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 135 | 2% | 98% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 137 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 138 | 5% | 95% | |
| 139 | 2% | 90% | |
| 140 | 4% | 88% | |
| 141 | 3% | 84% | |
| 142 | 1.2% | 81% | |
| 143 | 7% | 80% | |
| 144 | 5% | 73% | |
| 145 | 2% | 68% | |
| 146 | 8% | 66% | |
| 147 | 5% | 57% | |
| 148 | 4% | 52% | |
| 149 | 5% | 48% | |
| 150 | 6% | 43% | |
| 151 | 4% | 37% | |
| 152 | 3% | 32% | |
| 153 | 7% | 29% | |
| 154 | 5% | 22% | |
| 155 | 6% | 17% | Median |
| 156 | 2% | 11% | |
| 157 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 158 | 2% | 7% | |
| 159 | 2% | 5% | |
| 160 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 136 | 2% | 98% | |
| 137 | 4% | 96% | |
| 138 | 6% | 92% | |
| 139 | 2% | 86% | |
| 140 | 3% | 84% | |
| 141 | 7% | 82% | |
| 142 | 4% | 75% | |
| 143 | 3% | 71% | |
| 144 | 7% | 68% | |
| 145 | 7% | 61% | Median |
| 146 | 7% | 54% | |
| 147 | 6% | 47% | |
| 148 | 8% | 40% | |
| 149 | 7% | 33% | |
| 150 | 5% | 25% | |
| 151 | 3% | 21% | |
| 152 | 4% | 18% | |
| 153 | 2% | 13% | |
| 154 | 1.2% | 11% | |
| 155 | 4% | 10% | |
| 156 | 2% | 5% | |
| 157 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 158 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 135 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 137 | 2% | 97% | |
| 138 | 2% | 95% | |
| 139 | 3% | 93% | |
| 140 | 7% | 90% | |
| 141 | 3% | 83% | |
| 142 | 8% | 80% | |
| 143 | 5% | 72% | |
| 144 | 4% | 67% | |
| 145 | 6% | 63% | |
| 146 | 6% | 58% | |
| 147 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 148 | 11% | 46% | |
| 149 | 6% | 36% | |
| 150 | 4% | 30% | |
| 151 | 5% | 26% | |
| 152 | 2% | 20% | |
| 153 | 3% | 18% | |
| 154 | 6% | 15% | |
| 155 | 3% | 9% | |
| 156 | 2% | 5% | |
| 157 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 158 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 109 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 110 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 111 | 2% | 96% | |
| 112 | 3% | 94% | |
| 113 | 3% | 91% | |
| 114 | 7% | 88% | |
| 115 | 3% | 81% | |
| 116 | 2% | 77% | Last Result |
| 117 | 3% | 76% | |
| 118 | 4% | 72% | |
| 119 | 4% | 69% | |
| 120 | 7% | 65% | |
| 121 | 5% | 58% | |
| 122 | 3% | 53% | |
| 123 | 5% | 50% | |
| 124 | 4% | 45% | |
| 125 | 8% | 42% | |
| 126 | 6% | 34% | |
| 127 | 3% | 28% | |
| 128 | 5% | 25% | |
| 129 | 3% | 20% | Median |
| 130 | 8% | 17% | |
| 131 | 2% | 9% | |
| 132 | 3% | 7% | |
| 133 | 2% | 4% | |
| 134 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 110 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 111 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 112 | 2% | 97% | |
| 113 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 114 | 5% | 94% | |
| 115 | 6% | 89% | |
| 116 | 2% | 83% | |
| 117 | 9% | 81% | |
| 118 | 7% | 72% | |
| 119 | 6% | 65% | |
| 120 | 9% | 59% | |
| 121 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 122 | 10% | 45% | |
| 123 | 6% | 35% | |
| 124 | 4% | 29% | |
| 125 | 7% | 24% | |
| 126 | 3% | 18% | |
| 127 | 2% | 15% | |
| 128 | 4% | 12% | |
| 129 | 2% | 8% | |
| 130 | 2% | 6% | |
| 131 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 132 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 111 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 112 | 2% | 97% | |
| 113 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 114 | 5% | 94% | |
| 115 | 6% | 89% | |
| 116 | 2% | 83% | |
| 117 | 9% | 80% | |
| 118 | 7% | 71% | |
| 119 | 6% | 64% | |
| 120 | 9% | 58% | |
| 121 | 5% | 49% | Median |
| 122 | 10% | 44% | |
| 123 | 6% | 34% | Last Result |
| 124 | 4% | 27% | |
| 125 | 7% | 23% | |
| 126 | 3% | 16% | |
| 127 | 2% | 13% | |
| 128 | 4% | 11% | |
| 129 | 2% | 7% | |
| 130 | 2% | 6% | |
| 131 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 132 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 90 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 91 | 2% | 97% | |
| 92 | 2% | 95% | |
| 93 | 6% | 93% | |
| 94 | 8% | 88% | |
| 95 | 4% | 79% | |
| 96 | 10% | 75% | |
| 97 | 4% | 64% | |
| 98 | 8% | 61% | |
| 99 | 9% | 53% | Median |
| 100 | 5% | 44% | |
| 101 | 13% | 38% | |
| 102 | 4% | 26% | |
| 103 | 5% | 21% | |
| 104 | 4% | 17% | |
| 105 | 3% | 12% | |
| 106 | 2% | 9% | |
| 107 | 2% | 7% | |
| 108 | 3% | 6% | |
| 109 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 90 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 91 | 2% | 97% | |
| 92 | 2% | 95% | |
| 93 | 6% | 93% | |
| 94 | 9% | 87% | |
| 95 | 5% | 78% | |
| 96 | 10% | 74% | |
| 97 | 4% | 63% | |
| 98 | 8% | 59% | |
| 99 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 100 | 6% | 43% | |
| 101 | 13% | 37% | Last Result |
| 102 | 4% | 24% | |
| 103 | 5% | 20% | |
| 104 | 4% | 15% | |
| 105 | 3% | 11% | |
| 106 | 2% | 8% | |
| 107 | 2% | 6% | |
| 108 | 2% | 5% | |
| 109 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 12–24 May 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1530
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.23%