Opinion Poll by Novus for SVT, 27 April–24 May 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 31.5% | 30.5–32.4% | 30.3–32.7% | 30.1–33.0% | 29.6–33.4% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 19.2% | 18.4–20.0% | 18.2–20.3% | 18.0–20.5% | 17.6–20.9% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 18.0% | 17.2–18.8% | 17.0–19.0% | 16.8–19.2% | 16.5–19.6% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8–10.0% | 8.7–10.2% | 8.5–10.4% | 8.3–10.7% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6–8.7% | 7.4–8.9% | 7.3–9.0% | 7.0–9.3% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1–6.0% | 4.9–6.1% | 4.8–6.3% | 4.6–6.5% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7–4.5% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.4–5.0% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.7–3.4% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 116 | 111–122 | 111–123 | 110–124 | 108–126 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 71 | 68–75 | 67–75 | 66–76 | 64–79 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 67 | 63–70 | 62–72 | 61–72 | 60–73 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 35 | 32–37 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 30–40 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 30 | 28–32 | 27–33 | 27–33 | 26–35 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 20 | 19–22 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–24 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 15 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–17 | 0–18 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 109 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 110 | 3% | 98% | |
| 111 | 6% | 95% | |
| 112 | 5% | 89% | |
| 113 | 7% | 84% | |
| 114 | 14% | 78% | |
| 115 | 10% | 64% | |
| 116 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 117 | 8% | 44% | |
| 118 | 5% | 36% | |
| 119 | 7% | 31% | |
| 120 | 4% | 24% | |
| 121 | 7% | 20% | |
| 122 | 4% | 13% | |
| 123 | 6% | 9% | |
| 124 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 125 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98% | |
| 67 | 5% | 95% | |
| 68 | 16% | 90% | |
| 69 | 7% | 74% | |
| 70 | 8% | 68% | Last Result |
| 71 | 16% | 60% | Median |
| 72 | 18% | 44% | |
| 73 | 10% | 26% | |
| 74 | 5% | 16% | |
| 75 | 7% | 11% | |
| 76 | 2% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 3% | 97% | Last Result |
| 63 | 5% | 93% | |
| 64 | 11% | 89% | |
| 65 | 11% | 78% | |
| 66 | 16% | 67% | |
| 67 | 16% | 51% | Median |
| 68 | 11% | 35% | |
| 69 | 10% | 23% | |
| 70 | 5% | 14% | |
| 71 | 2% | 9% | |
| 72 | 5% | 6% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 10% | 97% | |
| 33 | 11% | 87% | |
| 34 | 17% | 76% | |
| 35 | 23% | 59% | Median |
| 36 | 21% | 36% | |
| 37 | 8% | 15% | |
| 38 | 4% | 7% | |
| 39 | 2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 6% | 98% | |
| 28 | 14% | 92% | |
| 29 | 21% | 78% | |
| 30 | 21% | 57% | Median |
| 31 | 19% | 36% | Last Result |
| 32 | 9% | 17% | |
| 33 | 6% | 8% | |
| 34 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 7% | 98.6% | |
| 19 | 16% | 91% | |
| 20 | 29% | 76% | Median |
| 21 | 27% | 46% | |
| 22 | 12% | 19% | Last Result |
| 23 | 6% | 8% | |
| 24 | 2% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 37% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 63% | |
| 2 | 0% | 63% | |
| 3 | 0% | 63% | |
| 4 | 0% | 63% | |
| 5 | 0% | 63% | |
| 6 | 0% | 63% | |
| 7 | 0% | 63% | |
| 8 | 0% | 63% | |
| 9 | 0% | 63% | |
| 10 | 0% | 63% | |
| 11 | 0% | 63% | |
| 12 | 0% | 63% | |
| 13 | 0% | 63% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 63% | |
| 15 | 32% | 63% | Median |
| 16 | 21% | 31% | Last Result |
| 17 | 8% | 10% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 216 | 100% | 210–225 | 209–227 | 208–228 | 207–230 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 191 | 100% | 185–197 | 184–198 | 182–199 | 180–201 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 186 | 100% | 181–196 | 180–196 | 179–197 | 177–199 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 162 | 0% | 155–167 | 152–168 | 152–169 | 149–171 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 158 | 0% | 152–164 | 151–165 | 150–167 | 148–169 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 157 | 0% | 149–163 | 147–163 | 147–164 | 144–166 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 150 | 0% | 146–158 | 144–158 | 144–159 | 142–162 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 138 | 0% | 132–143 | 131–144 | 130–146 | 129–148 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 128 | 0% | 119–132 | 117–134 | 116–135 | 114–137 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 121 | 0% | 117–127 | 116–128 | 114–129 | 113–131 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 121 | 0% | 117–127 | 116–128 | 114–129 | 113–131 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 101 | 0% | 96–105 | 95–106 | 95–108 | 93–110 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 101 | 0% | 96–105 | 95–106 | 95–108 | 93–110 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0% | 100% | |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 207 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 208 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 209 | 2% | 97% | |
| 210 | 6% | 95% | |
| 211 | 4% | 89% | |
| 212 | 8% | 85% | |
| 213 | 9% | 77% | |
| 214 | 4% | 68% | |
| 215 | 13% | 63% | |
| 216 | 7% | 51% | |
| 217 | 3% | 44% | Median |
| 218 | 3% | 40% | |
| 219 | 2% | 38% | |
| 220 | 3% | 36% | |
| 221 | 4% | 33% | |
| 222 | 4% | 29% | |
| 223 | 5% | 25% | |
| 224 | 5% | 21% | |
| 225 | 7% | 16% | |
| 226 | 2% | 8% | |
| 227 | 3% | 6% | |
| 228 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 229 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 230 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 231 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 232 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 181 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 182 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 183 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 184 | 4% | 96% | |
| 185 | 3% | 93% | |
| 186 | 6% | 89% | |
| 187 | 9% | 83% | |
| 188 | 6% | 74% | |
| 189 | 5% | 68% | |
| 190 | 8% | 63% | |
| 191 | 7% | 55% | |
| 192 | 7% | 48% | |
| 193 | 6% | 41% | |
| 194 | 9% | 34% | |
| 195 | 7% | 26% | Last Result |
| 196 | 8% | 19% | Median |
| 197 | 5% | 11% | |
| 198 | 3% | 6% | |
| 199 | 2% | 3% | |
| 200 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 201 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 177 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 178 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 179 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 180 | 3% | 96% | |
| 181 | 4% | 93% | |
| 182 | 9% | 89% | |
| 183 | 7% | 80% | |
| 184 | 8% | 73% | |
| 185 | 11% | 65% | |
| 186 | 6% | 54% | |
| 187 | 8% | 48% | Median |
| 188 | 3% | 40% | |
| 189 | 4% | 37% | |
| 190 | 3% | 34% | |
| 191 | 3% | 30% | |
| 192 | 6% | 27% | |
| 193 | 4% | 21% | |
| 194 | 4% | 17% | |
| 195 | 1.3% | 12% | |
| 196 | 7% | 11% | |
| 197 | 2% | 4% | |
| 198 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 199 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0% | 100% | |
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0% | 100% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 149 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 151 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 152 | 3% | 98% | |
| 153 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 154 | 2% | 93% | |
| 155 | 10% | 91% | |
| 156 | 3% | 81% | |
| 157 | 3% | 79% | |
| 158 | 9% | 76% | |
| 159 | 3% | 67% | |
| 160 | 7% | 64% | |
| 161 | 3% | 57% | |
| 162 | 6% | 54% | |
| 163 | 10% | 47% | |
| 164 | 9% | 37% | |
| 165 | 7% | 29% | |
| 166 | 10% | 22% | Median |
| 167 | 3% | 12% | |
| 168 | 4% | 8% | |
| 169 | 3% | 5% | |
| 170 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 171 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 172 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 146 | 0% | 100% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 149 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 150 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 151 | 3% | 97% | |
| 152 | 5% | 94% | |
| 153 | 8% | 89% | |
| 154 | 7% | 81% | Last Result |
| 155 | 9% | 74% | |
| 156 | 6% | 66% | |
| 157 | 7% | 59% | |
| 158 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 159 | 8% | 45% | |
| 160 | 5% | 37% | |
| 161 | 6% | 32% | |
| 162 | 9% | 26% | |
| 163 | 6% | 17% | |
| 164 | 3% | 11% | |
| 165 | 4% | 7% | |
| 166 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 167 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 168 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 169 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 146 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 147 | 3% | 98% | |
| 148 | 2% | 95% | |
| 149 | 5% | 93% | |
| 150 | 3% | 89% | |
| 151 | 4% | 86% | |
| 152 | 12% | 82% | |
| 153 | 3% | 70% | |
| 154 | 3% | 67% | |
| 155 | 4% | 63% | |
| 156 | 5% | 60% | |
| 157 | 9% | 55% | |
| 158 | 8% | 46% | |
| 159 | 8% | 38% | |
| 160 | 10% | 30% | |
| 161 | 5% | 20% | Median |
| 162 | 4% | 16% | |
| 163 | 8% | 12% | |
| 164 | 2% | 4% | |
| 165 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 168 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 144 | 4% | 98% | |
| 145 | 4% | 94% | |
| 146 | 4% | 90% | |
| 147 | 9% | 86% | |
| 148 | 10% | 78% | |
| 149 | 7% | 67% | |
| 150 | 11% | 60% | |
| 151 | 6% | 49% | Median |
| 152 | 6% | 43% | |
| 153 | 5% | 38% | |
| 154 | 4% | 33% | |
| 155 | 10% | 29% | |
| 156 | 3% | 19% | |
| 157 | 2% | 16% | |
| 158 | 9% | 14% | |
| 159 | 3% | 5% | |
| 160 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 161 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 129 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 130 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 131 | 3% | 97% | |
| 132 | 6% | 94% | Last Result |
| 133 | 7% | 88% | |
| 134 | 7% | 81% | |
| 135 | 7% | 73% | |
| 136 | 11% | 67% | |
| 137 | 5% | 56% | |
| 138 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 139 | 9% | 42% | |
| 140 | 8% | 33% | |
| 141 | 6% | 25% | |
| 142 | 8% | 20% | |
| 143 | 4% | 11% | |
| 144 | 3% | 7% | |
| 145 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 147 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 115 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 116 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 117 | 3% | 96% | |
| 118 | 3% | 93% | |
| 119 | 4% | 90% | |
| 120 | 3% | 86% | |
| 121 | 6% | 83% | |
| 122 | 4% | 76% | |
| 123 | 6% | 72% | |
| 124 | 2% | 66% | |
| 125 | 2% | 63% | |
| 126 | 3% | 61% | |
| 127 | 6% | 58% | |
| 128 | 6% | 52% | |
| 129 | 11% | 46% | |
| 130 | 12% | 35% | |
| 131 | 6% | 23% | Median |
| 132 | 8% | 18% | |
| 133 | 4% | 10% | |
| 134 | 3% | 6% | |
| 135 | 2% | 3% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 137 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 114 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 115 | 2% | 97% | |
| 116 | 5% | 95% | |
| 117 | 8% | 91% | |
| 118 | 8% | 82% | |
| 119 | 7% | 74% | |
| 120 | 12% | 68% | |
| 121 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 122 | 11% | 44% | |
| 123 | 6% | 33% | |
| 124 | 9% | 28% | |
| 125 | 5% | 19% | |
| 126 | 2% | 14% | |
| 127 | 5% | 11% | |
| 128 | 3% | 6% | |
| 129 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 130 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 135 | 0% | 0% | |
| 136 | 0% | 0% | |
| 137 | 0% | 0% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 114 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 115 | 2% | 97% | |
| 116 | 5% | 95% | |
| 117 | 8% | 91% | |
| 118 | 8% | 82% | |
| 119 | 7% | 74% | |
| 120 | 12% | 68% | |
| 121 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 122 | 11% | 44% | |
| 123 | 6% | 33% | Last Result |
| 124 | 9% | 28% | |
| 125 | 5% | 19% | |
| 126 | 2% | 13% | |
| 127 | 5% | 11% | |
| 128 | 3% | 6% | |
| 129 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 130 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 131 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 95 | 4% | 98% | |
| 96 | 7% | 94% | |
| 97 | 4% | 87% | |
| 98 | 8% | 83% | |
| 99 | 12% | 75% | |
| 100 | 7% | 63% | |
| 101 | 13% | 56% | Median |
| 102 | 15% | 43% | |
| 103 | 7% | 28% | |
| 104 | 6% | 21% | |
| 105 | 6% | 14% | |
| 106 | 4% | 8% | |
| 107 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 108 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 109 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 95 | 4% | 98% | |
| 96 | 7% | 94% | |
| 97 | 4% | 87% | |
| 98 | 8% | 83% | |
| 99 | 12% | 75% | |
| 100 | 7% | 63% | |
| 101 | 13% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 102 | 15% | 43% | |
| 103 | 7% | 28% | |
| 104 | 6% | 21% | |
| 105 | 6% | 14% | |
| 106 | 4% | 8% | |
| 107 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 108 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 109 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Novus
- Commissioner(s): SVT
- Fieldwork period: 27 April–24 May 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 3976
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.08%