Opinion Poll by SKOP, 31 May–2 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 31.3% 29.5–33.2% 29.0–33.8% 28.5–34.2% 27.6–35.2%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 20.3% 18.7–22.0% 18.3–22.5% 17.9–22.9% 17.2–23.7%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 17.0% 15.5–18.6% 15.2–19.1% 14.8–19.4% 14.1–20.2%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 10.5% 9.4–11.9% 9.1–12.3% 8.8–12.6% 8.3–13.3%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.8%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 5.8% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.8–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%
Liberalerna 5.5% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.7–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 116 108–123 106–126 104–128 100–132
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 75 69–81 67–83 66–85 62–88
Sverigedemokraterna 62 63 57–70 55–71 54–73 52–76
Vänsterpartiet 28 40 34–44 33–46 32–47 30–50
Centerpartiet 31 25 21–29 20–30 19–31 18–33
Kristdemokraterna 22 22 18–25 17–26 16–27 15–29
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 0 0–17 0–17 0–18 0–20
Liberalerna 20 0 0–16 0–17 0–18 0–19

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0.1% 100%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
101 0.6% 99.3%  
102 0.4% 98.7%  
103 0.7% 98%  
104 1.4% 98%  
105 1.2% 96%  
106 3% 95%  
107 2% 92%  
108 3% 90%  
109 4% 88%  
110 4% 84%  
111 5% 79%  
112 6% 75%  
113 5% 68%  
114 3% 63%  
115 9% 60%  
116 6% 51% Median
117 6% 45%  
118 6% 38%  
119 4% 33%  
120 9% 29%  
121 3% 20%  
122 4% 17%  
123 3% 13%  
124 1.5% 9%  
125 2% 8%  
126 2% 6%  
127 2% 4%  
128 0.6% 3%  
129 1.0% 2%  
130 0.2% 1.0%  
131 0.2% 0.8%  
132 0.2% 0.6%  
133 0.1% 0.3%  
134 0.1% 0.2%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.7%  
63 0.4% 99.5%  
64 0.7% 99.0%  
65 0.8% 98%  
66 2% 98%  
67 2% 96%  
68 3% 93%  
69 3% 90%  
70 6% 87% Last Result
71 6% 82%  
72 7% 75%  
73 4% 68%  
74 7% 64%  
75 9% 57% Median
76 8% 47%  
77 9% 39%  
78 8% 30%  
79 6% 22%  
80 4% 16%  
81 2% 12%  
82 2% 9%  
83 2% 7%  
84 1.2% 5%  
85 1.5% 4%  
86 1.0% 2%  
87 0.5% 1.2%  
88 0.3% 0.7%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.8%  
52 0.5% 99.6%  
53 1.0% 99.1%  
54 1.1% 98%  
55 2% 97%  
56 3% 95%  
57 4% 92%  
58 4% 87%  
59 4% 83%  
60 8% 79%  
61 7% 70%  
62 8% 63% Last Result
63 8% 55% Median
64 4% 47%  
65 9% 43%  
66 11% 34%  
67 6% 23%  
68 5% 17%  
69 2% 12%  
70 3% 10%  
71 4% 7%  
72 1.1% 4%  
73 1.2% 3%  
74 0.4% 2%  
75 0.6% 1.1%  
76 0.3% 0.5%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 0.4% 99.8%  
31 0.9% 99.4%  
32 1.3% 98.5%  
33 2% 97%  
34 6% 95%  
35 4% 89%  
36 7% 85%  
37 9% 78%  
38 11% 69%  
39 6% 58%  
40 12% 52% Median
41 12% 39%  
42 10% 28%  
43 5% 18%  
44 4% 13%  
45 3% 9%  
46 3% 6%  
47 1.3% 3%  
48 0.9% 2%  
49 0.4% 0.9%  
50 0.3% 0.5%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.2% 99.9%  
18 1.1% 99.7%  
19 2% 98.5%  
20 4% 97%  
21 8% 93%  
22 8% 85%  
23 14% 77%  
24 10% 63%  
25 16% 53% Median
26 10% 37%  
27 7% 26%  
28 7% 19%  
29 6% 12%  
30 2% 6%  
31 2% 4% Last Result
32 0.5% 1.2%  
33 0.4% 0.7%  
34 0.2% 0.3%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0% 99.7%  
9 0% 99.7%  
10 0% 99.7%  
11 0% 99.7%  
12 0% 99.7%  
13 0% 99.7%  
14 0% 99.7%  
15 0.7% 99.7%  
16 2% 99.0%  
17 3% 97%  
18 7% 94%  
19 8% 87%  
20 15% 79%  
21 11% 64%  
22 20% 53% Last Result, Median
23 12% 32%  
24 7% 21%  
25 5% 14%  
26 4% 8%  
27 3% 5%  
28 1.3% 2%  
29 0.5% 0.9%  
30 0.2% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 67% 100% Median
1 0% 33%  
2 0% 33%  
3 0% 33%  
4 0% 33%  
5 0% 33%  
6 0% 33%  
7 0% 33%  
8 0% 33%  
9 0% 33%  
10 0% 33%  
11 0% 33%  
12 0% 33%  
13 0% 33%  
14 3% 33%  
15 13% 31%  
16 8% 18% Last Result
17 6% 10%  
18 3% 4%  
19 1.0% 2%  
20 0.6% 0.8%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Median
1 0% 26%  
2 0% 26%  
3 0% 26%  
4 0% 26%  
5 0% 26%  
6 0% 26%  
7 0% 26%  
8 0% 26%  
9 0% 26%  
10 0% 26%  
11 0% 26%  
12 0% 26%  
13 0% 26%  
14 2% 26%  
15 10% 24%  
16 8% 14%  
17 4% 6%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.6% 0.9%  
20 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 216 100% 204–225 201–228 198–230 194–234
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 191 98% 180–200 178–203 175–205 171–210
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 195 188 98% 180–199 178–201 175–204 172–208
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 160 4% 150–170 148–173 146–176 142–179
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna 154 161 2% 150–169 148–171 145–174 141–177
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 155 0.2% 145–164 143–167 140–169 136–173
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 167 149 0.1% 140–161 138–164 135–166 130–171
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna 132 139 0% 129–147 127–149 125–151 120–155
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 124 0% 116–136 114–138 112–141 107–145
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 120 0% 111–131 109–134 107–136 104–140
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 121 0% 113–130 111–132 109–135 105–137
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 103 0% 95–114 92–118 91–119 88–124
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 100 0% 92–107 90–109 88–112 84–115

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
190 0% 100%  
191 0% 99.9%  
192 0.1% 99.9%  
193 0.1% 99.8%  
194 0.3% 99.7%  
195 0.4% 99.4%  
196 0.3% 99.0%  
197 0.7% 98.7%  
198 0.6% 98%  
199 0.6% 97%  
200 1.2% 97%  
201 0.7% 96% Last Result
202 1.1% 95%  
203 2% 94%  
204 3% 92%  
205 2% 90%  
206 4% 88%  
207 2% 83%  
208 2% 81%  
209 3% 79%  
210 4% 76%  
211 2% 72%  
212 4% 70%  
213 4% 66%  
214 8% 62%  
215 2% 53%  
216 4% 52% Median
217 3% 48%  
218 8% 45%  
219 5% 37%  
220 7% 32%  
221 3% 25%  
222 0.9% 22%  
223 1.1% 21%  
224 6% 20%  
225 5% 14%  
226 2% 8%  
227 1.2% 6%  
228 0.4% 5%  
229 0.5% 5%  
230 2% 4%  
231 1.0% 2%  
232 0.4% 1.2%  
233 0.3% 0.8%  
234 0.1% 0.5%  
235 0.1% 0.4%  
236 0.1% 0.3%  
237 0% 0.2%  
238 0.1% 0.2%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
165 0% 100%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0.1% 99.7% Last Result
171 0.1% 99.6%  
172 0.2% 99.5%  
173 0.9% 99.3%  
174 0.5% 98%  
175 0.6% 98% Majority
176 0.6% 97%  
177 0.7% 97%  
178 2% 96%  
179 2% 94%  
180 2% 92%  
181 3% 90%  
182 1.3% 87%  
183 3% 85%  
184 3% 82%  
185 3% 79%  
186 6% 76%  
187 3% 70%  
188 3% 67%  
189 5% 65%  
190 6% 60%  
191 8% 54% Median
192 6% 47%  
193 4% 41%  
194 3% 37%  
195 11% 34%  
196 3% 23%  
197 4% 20%  
198 3% 17%  
199 2% 13%  
200 1.5% 11%  
201 2% 10%  
202 2% 8%  
203 2% 6%  
204 1.3% 4%  
205 0.7% 3%  
206 0.4% 2%  
207 0.3% 2%  
208 0.5% 1.3%  
209 0.2% 0.7%  
210 0.2% 0.6%  
211 0.1% 0.4%  
212 0.1% 0.2%  
213 0.1% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0% 100%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.8%  
171 0.1% 99.8%  
172 0.3% 99.6%  
173 1.0% 99.3%  
174 0.7% 98%  
175 0.6% 98% Majority
176 0.5% 97%  
177 0.3% 97%  
178 2% 96%  
179 3% 95%  
180 3% 92%  
181 6% 89% Median
182 3% 84%  
183 2% 81%  
184 2% 79%  
185 3% 77%  
186 10% 74%  
187 8% 64%  
188 7% 56%  
189 3% 48%  
190 4% 45%  
191 6% 42%  
192 4% 36%  
193 4% 32%  
194 4% 28%  
195 3% 23% Last Result
196 3% 20%  
197 3% 18%  
198 3% 15%  
199 3% 12%  
200 1.3% 8%  
201 3% 7%  
202 0.7% 4%  
203 1.1% 4%  
204 0.6% 3%  
205 0.5% 2%  
206 0.7% 1.4%  
207 0.2% 0.7%  
208 0.2% 0.6%  
209 0.1% 0.4%  
210 0.1% 0.3%  
211 0.1% 0.2%  
212 0.1% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.2% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.7%  
141 0.1% 99.6%  
142 0.3% 99.5%  
143 0.2% 99.3%  
144 0.4% 99.0% Last Result
145 0.4% 98.6%  
146 2% 98%  
147 1.1% 96%  
148 2% 95%  
149 3% 93%  
150 2% 90%  
151 2% 88%  
152 2% 87%  
153 4% 85%  
154 2% 81%  
155 4% 78%  
156 4% 74% Median
157 5% 70%  
158 4% 65%  
159 6% 62%  
160 6% 56%  
161 9% 50%  
162 3% 41%  
163 6% 38%  
164 3% 32%  
165 3% 28%  
166 3% 25%  
167 3% 22%  
168 6% 19%  
169 3% 14%  
170 1.5% 11%  
171 1.1% 9%  
172 2% 8%  
173 2% 6%  
174 0.5% 4%  
175 0.4% 4% Majority
176 1.2% 3%  
177 0.6% 2%  
178 0.4% 2%  
179 0.8% 1.1%  
180 0.1% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.3%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.8%  
140 0.1% 99.7%  
141 0.2% 99.6%  
142 0.2% 99.4%  
143 0.7% 99.3%  
144 0.5% 98.6%  
145 0.6% 98%  
146 1.1% 97%  
147 0.7% 96%  
148 3% 96%  
149 1.3% 93%  
150 3% 92%  
151 3% 88%  
152 3% 85%  
153 3% 82%  
154 3% 80% Last Result
155 4% 77%  
156 4% 72%  
157 4% 68%  
158 6% 64%  
159 4% 58%  
160 3% 55% Median
161 7% 52%  
162 8% 44%  
163 10% 36%  
164 3% 26%  
165 2% 23%  
166 2% 21%  
167 3% 19%  
168 6% 16%  
169 3% 11%  
170 3% 8%  
171 2% 5%  
172 0.3% 4%  
173 0.5% 3%  
174 0.6% 3%  
175 0.7% 2% Majority
176 1.0% 2%  
177 0.3% 0.7%  
178 0.1% 0.4%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0.1% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
128 0% 100% Last Result
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 100%  
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0.2% 99.9%  
135 0.1% 99.7%  
136 0.2% 99.6%  
137 0.4% 99.5%  
138 0.3% 99.0%  
139 0.4% 98.7%  
140 1.0% 98%  
141 0.8% 97%  
142 0.7% 97%  
143 1.3% 96%  
144 1.2% 95%  
145 4% 93%  
146 2% 90%  
147 4% 87%  
148 4% 84%  
149 5% 80%  
150 3% 75%  
151 3% 72%  
152 4% 69%  
153 8% 65%  
154 2% 57%  
155 6% 54%  
156 5% 48% Median
157 5% 43%  
158 4% 39%  
159 5% 35%  
160 4% 30%  
161 9% 26%  
162 2% 17%  
163 4% 15%  
164 2% 11%  
165 2% 9%  
166 2% 7%  
167 2% 5%  
168 1.0% 4%  
169 1.1% 3%  
170 0.4% 2%  
171 0.2% 1.2%  
172 0.5% 1.0%  
173 0.2% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.2% Majority
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
127 0% 100%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.9%  
130 0.4% 99.8%  
131 0.1% 99.4%  
132 0.4% 99.3%  
133 0.3% 98.9%  
134 0.8% 98.6%  
135 0.8% 98%  
136 0.9% 97%  
137 0.7% 96%  
138 1.5% 95%  
139 2% 94%  
140 4% 91%  
141 5% 88% Median
142 2% 83%  
143 2% 81%  
144 3% 79%  
145 8% 76%  
146 6% 68%  
147 5% 62%  
148 4% 57%  
149 4% 53%  
150 4% 49%  
151 5% 46%  
152 4% 40%  
153 6% 36%  
154 2% 30%  
155 2% 27%  
156 3% 25%  
157 5% 22%  
158 2% 17%  
159 2% 16%  
160 2% 14%  
161 3% 12%  
162 2% 9%  
163 2% 7%  
164 1.2% 6%  
165 0.6% 4%  
166 2% 4%  
167 0.5% 2% Last Result
168 0.2% 2%  
169 0.3% 1.5%  
170 0.5% 1.2%  
171 0.3% 0.7%  
172 0.1% 0.4%  
173 0.2% 0.3%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1% Majority
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0.1% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.3% 99.7%  
121 0.2% 99.5%  
122 0.5% 99.3%  
123 0.4% 98.9%  
124 0.4% 98%  
125 1.5% 98%  
126 1.2% 97%  
127 2% 95%  
128 2% 93%  
129 3% 92%  
130 3% 89%  
131 3% 86%  
132 3% 83% Last Result
133 6% 80%  
134 3% 74%  
135 4% 71%  
136 6% 68%  
137 7% 62%  
138 4% 55% Median
139 2% 51%  
140 10% 49%  
141 9% 39%  
142 5% 30%  
143 4% 25%  
144 5% 21%  
145 2% 16%  
146 3% 14%  
147 2% 11%  
148 3% 9%  
149 1.2% 6%  
150 0.6% 5%  
151 2% 4%  
152 0.4% 2%  
153 1.2% 2%  
154 0.2% 0.9%  
155 0.2% 0.6%  
156 0.1% 0.5%  
157 0.2% 0.3%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0.1% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0.1% 99.8%  
107 0.2% 99.7%  
108 0.2% 99.5%  
109 0.7% 99.3%  
110 0.3% 98.6%  
111 0.5% 98%  
112 1.4% 98%  
113 0.9% 96%  
114 3% 96%  
115 2% 93%  
116 2% 91%  
117 4% 90%  
118 3% 86%  
119 3% 83%  
120 4% 80%  
121 9% 76%  
122 7% 67% Median
123 6% 60%  
124 4% 54%  
125 6% 50%  
126 4% 44%  
127 5% 41%  
128 2% 35%  
129 3% 33%  
130 3% 30%  
131 5% 27%  
132 3% 22%  
133 3% 20%  
134 3% 17%  
135 3% 14%  
136 2% 11%  
137 2% 9%  
138 2% 7%  
139 0.9% 5%  
140 0.9% 4%  
141 1.2% 3%  
142 0.3% 2%  
143 0.4% 1.4% Last Result
144 0.4% 1.1%  
145 0.2% 0.7%  
146 0.2% 0.5%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0.2% 99.7%  
104 0.3% 99.6%  
105 0.3% 99.3%  
106 0.7% 99.0%  
107 1.0% 98%  
108 2% 97%  
109 1.0% 96%  
110 3% 95%  
111 3% 92%  
112 3% 89%  
113 3% 86%  
114 2% 83%  
115 5% 80%  
116 4% 76% Last Result, Median
117 6% 71%  
118 4% 66%  
119 4% 61%  
120 10% 58%  
121 4% 48%  
122 6% 44%  
123 4% 39%  
124 4% 35%  
125 3% 30%  
126 3% 28%  
127 3% 25%  
128 2% 21%  
129 4% 19%  
130 5% 15%  
131 1.1% 10%  
132 2% 9%  
133 2% 7%  
134 0.6% 5%  
135 1.1% 5%  
136 1.4% 4%  
137 0.6% 2%  
138 0.3% 2%  
139 0.6% 1.3%  
140 0.2% 0.7%  
141 0.2% 0.5%  
142 0.2% 0.3%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.1% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.8%  
104 0.2% 99.7%  
105 0.3% 99.6%  
106 0.5% 99.2%  
107 0.6% 98.7%  
108 0.5% 98%  
109 2% 98%  
110 0.7% 96%  
111 2% 95%  
112 2% 93%  
113 3% 91%  
114 3% 89%  
115 3% 85%  
116 3% 82%  
117 6% 79%  
118 4% 73%  
119 5% 69%  
120 4% 64%  
121 12% 60%  
122 8% 48% Median
123 7% 40% Last Result
124 4% 33%  
125 6% 29%  
126 4% 23%  
127 5% 19%  
128 1.5% 14%  
129 2% 13%  
130 2% 10%  
131 3% 8%  
132 1.3% 5%  
133 0.9% 4%  
134 0.7% 3%  
135 1.4% 3%  
136 0.3% 1.2%  
137 0.5% 0.9%  
138 0.1% 0.4%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0.1% 99.7%  
88 0.5% 99.6%  
89 0.7% 99.1%  
90 0.4% 98%  
91 0.7% 98%  
92 3% 97%  
93 2% 95%  
94 2% 93%  
95 3% 91%  
96 2% 88%  
97 5% 86%  
98 3% 81%  
99 8% 78%  
100 8% 70% Median
101 6% 61%  
102 3% 55%  
103 5% 52%  
104 5% 47%  
105 4% 42%  
106 3% 38%  
107 5% 36%  
108 5% 31%  
109 2% 26%  
110 2% 23%  
111 3% 21%  
112 3% 18%  
113 4% 16%  
114 2% 12%  
115 1.1% 9%  
116 2% 8%  
117 2% 7%  
118 1.1% 5%  
119 2% 4%  
120 0.5% 2%  
121 0.5% 2% Last Result
122 0.4% 1.2%  
123 0.2% 0.8%  
124 0.1% 0.6%  
125 0.2% 0.4%  
126 0.1% 0.2%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.3% 99.7%  
85 0.1% 99.4%  
86 0.4% 99.3%  
87 0.9% 98.9%  
88 1.1% 98%  
89 1.3% 97%  
90 1.0% 96%  
91 2% 95%  
92 4% 92%  
93 3% 88%  
94 4% 85%  
95 4% 82%  
96 4% 77%  
97 7% 73%  
98 5% 66%  
99 10% 61%  
100 10% 52% Median
101 7% 42% Last Result
102 4% 34%  
103 7% 31%  
104 4% 24%  
105 3% 19%  
106 2% 16%  
107 5% 14%  
108 3% 9%  
109 2% 6%  
110 0.8% 5%  
111 1.3% 4%  
112 0.6% 3%  
113 1.1% 2%  
114 0.3% 0.9%  
115 0.2% 0.6%  
116 0.2% 0.4%  
117 0.1% 0.2%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations