Opinion Poll by Demoskop, 26 May–3 June 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 27.8% | 26.6–29.0% | 26.3–29.3% | 26.0–29.6% | 25.5–30.2% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 20.9% | 19.9–22.0% | 19.6–22.3% | 19.3–22.6% | 18.8–23.1% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.3% | 18.3–20.3% | 18.0–20.7% | 17.8–20.9% | 17.3–21.4% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.9–10.5% | 8.7–10.7% | 8.6–10.9% | 8.2–11.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5–9.0% | 7.3–9.2% | 7.2–9.4% | 6.9–9.7% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9–7.2% | 5.7–7.4% | 5.6–7.5% | 5.3–7.9% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.2% | 2.2–3.3% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 103 | 98–108 | 96–110 | 95–111 | 93–113 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 78 | 73–82 | 72–82 | 70–84 | 69–86 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 72 | 67–76 | 66–77 | 65–79 | 63–80 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 36 | 33–39 | 32–40 | 32–41 | 30–42 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 30 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 25–36 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 24 | 22–27 | 21–27 | 21–28 | 19–29 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–17 | 0–18 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 95 | 2% | 98% | |
| 96 | 3% | 96% | |
| 97 | 2% | 93% | |
| 98 | 4% | 91% | |
| 99 | 7% | 87% | |
| 100 | 7% | 80% | Last Result |
| 101 | 10% | 73% | |
| 102 | 9% | 63% | |
| 103 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 104 | 10% | 44% | |
| 105 | 7% | 33% | |
| 106 | 6% | 26% | |
| 107 | 7% | 21% | |
| 108 | 4% | 14% | |
| 109 | 3% | 10% | |
| 110 | 3% | 6% | |
| 111 | 2% | 3% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 98% | Last Result |
| 71 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 3% | 96% | |
| 73 | 4% | 93% | |
| 74 | 6% | 89% | |
| 75 | 9% | 83% | |
| 76 | 10% | 73% | |
| 77 | 12% | 63% | |
| 78 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 79 | 8% | 40% | |
| 80 | 13% | 32% | |
| 81 | 7% | 20% | |
| 82 | 7% | 12% | |
| 83 | 2% | 5% | |
| 84 | 2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 66 | 5% | 96% | |
| 67 | 5% | 91% | |
| 68 | 5% | 86% | |
| 69 | 8% | 81% | |
| 70 | 10% | 74% | |
| 71 | 10% | 64% | |
| 72 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 73 | 9% | 45% | |
| 74 | 11% | 35% | |
| 75 | 11% | 25% | |
| 76 | 7% | 14% | |
| 77 | 3% | 7% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 1.4% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 32 | 5% | 98% | |
| 33 | 8% | 93% | |
| 34 | 12% | 85% | |
| 35 | 19% | 73% | |
| 36 | 15% | 54% | Median |
| 37 | 13% | 39% | |
| 38 | 11% | 26% | |
| 39 | 8% | 15% | |
| 40 | 3% | 7% | |
| 41 | 3% | 4% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 27 | 4% | 97% | |
| 28 | 10% | 93% | Last Result |
| 29 | 17% | 83% | |
| 30 | 19% | 66% | Median |
| 31 | 16% | 47% | |
| 32 | 15% | 31% | |
| 33 | 8% | 17% | |
| 34 | 5% | 9% | |
| 35 | 2% | 3% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 21 | 5% | 98% | |
| 22 | 13% | 93% | Last Result |
| 23 | 13% | 80% | |
| 24 | 24% | 66% | Median |
| 25 | 17% | 42% | |
| 26 | 13% | 25% | |
| 27 | 8% | 11% | |
| 28 | 3% | 4% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 61% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 39% | |
| 2 | 0% | 39% | |
| 3 | 0% | 39% | |
| 4 | 0% | 39% | |
| 5 | 0% | 39% | |
| 6 | 0% | 39% | |
| 7 | 0% | 39% | |
| 8 | 0% | 39% | |
| 9 | 0% | 39% | |
| 10 | 0% | 39% | |
| 11 | 0% | 39% | |
| 12 | 0% | 39% | |
| 13 | 0% | 39% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 39% | |
| 15 | 18% | 38% | |
| 16 | 15% | 20% | Last Result |
| 17 | 4% | 6% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 217 | 100% | 208–224 | 207–225 | 205–226 | 203–228 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 181 | 86% | 174–187 | 172–190 | 170–190 | 168–193 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 175 | 54% | 169–183 | 167–185 | 167–186 | 164–189 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 174 | 46% | 166–180 | 164–182 | 163–182 | 160–185 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 150 | 0% | 142–155 | 141–157 | 139–158 | 137–160 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 144 | 0% | 138–153 | 137–155 | 135–156 | 133–159 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 139 | 0% | 132–148 | 131–150 | 130–151 | 128–153 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 138 | 0% | 132–143 | 130–145 | 129–147 | 126–149 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 138 | 0% | 132–143 | 130–145 | 129–147 | 126–148 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 134 | 0% | 128–139 | 126–141 | 125–143 | 122–145 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 114 | 0% | 108–119 | 107–120 | 105–121 | 103–123 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 114 | 0% | 108–119 | 107–120 | 105–121 | 103–123 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 108 | 0% | 102–118 | 100–120 | 99–121 | 97–123 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 200 | 0% | 100% | |
| 201 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 203 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 204 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 205 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 206 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 207 | 3% | 96% | |
| 208 | 4% | 93% | |
| 209 | 5% | 89% | |
| 210 | 4% | 84% | |
| 211 | 6% | 80% | |
| 212 | 5% | 75% | |
| 213 | 2% | 70% | |
| 214 | 4% | 67% | |
| 215 | 3% | 63% | |
| 216 | 6% | 60% | |
| 217 | 5% | 55% | Median |
| 218 | 9% | 50% | |
| 219 | 8% | 41% | |
| 220 | 5% | 33% | |
| 221 | 5% | 27% | |
| 222 | 4% | 22% | |
| 223 | 4% | 18% | |
| 224 | 6% | 14% | |
| 225 | 3% | 8% | |
| 226 | 3% | 5% | |
| 227 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 228 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 229 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 230 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 231 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 232 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 168 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 169 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 170 | 1.0% | 98% | Last Result |
| 171 | 2% | 97% | |
| 172 | 4% | 96% | |
| 173 | 2% | 92% | |
| 174 | 4% | 90% | |
| 175 | 6% | 86% | Majority |
| 176 | 5% | 80% | |
| 177 | 7% | 75% | |
| 178 | 5% | 68% | |
| 179 | 4% | 63% | |
| 180 | 4% | 59% | |
| 181 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 182 | 8% | 45% | |
| 183 | 8% | 38% | |
| 184 | 5% | 30% | |
| 185 | 6% | 25% | |
| 186 | 5% | 19% | |
| 187 | 4% | 14% | |
| 188 | 4% | 10% | |
| 189 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 190 | 3% | 5% | |
| 191 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 192 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 194 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 165 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 166 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 167 | 4% | 98% | |
| 168 | 2% | 94% | |
| 169 | 4% | 92% | Median |
| 170 | 11% | 88% | |
| 171 | 4% | 77% | |
| 172 | 5% | 72% | |
| 173 | 5% | 67% | |
| 174 | 8% | 62% | |
| 175 | 6% | 54% | Majority |
| 176 | 7% | 48% | |
| 177 | 4% | 41% | |
| 178 | 7% | 37% | |
| 179 | 6% | 30% | |
| 180 | 4% | 23% | |
| 181 | 5% | 19% | |
| 182 | 2% | 14% | |
| 183 | 3% | 12% | |
| 184 | 3% | 9% | |
| 185 | 3% | 6% | |
| 186 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 187 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 189 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 162 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 163 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 164 | 3% | 97% | |
| 165 | 3% | 94% | |
| 166 | 3% | 91% | |
| 167 | 2% | 88% | |
| 168 | 5% | 86% | |
| 169 | 4% | 81% | |
| 170 | 6% | 77% | |
| 171 | 7% | 70% | |
| 172 | 4% | 63% | |
| 173 | 7% | 59% | |
| 174 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 175 | 8% | 46% | Majority |
| 176 | 5% | 38% | |
| 177 | 5% | 33% | |
| 178 | 4% | 28% | |
| 179 | 11% | 23% | |
| 180 | 4% | 12% | |
| 181 | 2% | 8% | |
| 182 | 4% | 6% | |
| 183 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 138 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 139 | 2% | 98% | |
| 140 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 141 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 142 | 5% | 94% | |
| 143 | 4% | 89% | |
| 144 | 4% | 85% | |
| 145 | 3% | 81% | |
| 146 | 7% | 78% | |
| 147 | 9% | 71% | |
| 148 | 6% | 62% | |
| 149 | 5% | 56% | |
| 150 | 6% | 51% | Median |
| 151 | 8% | 45% | |
| 152 | 5% | 37% | |
| 153 | 4% | 32% | |
| 154 | 13% | 28% | |
| 155 | 7% | 15% | |
| 156 | 3% | 8% | |
| 157 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 158 | 2% | 4% | |
| 159 | 2% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 135 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 136 | 2% | 97% | |
| 137 | 2% | 95% | |
| 138 | 6% | 93% | |
| 139 | 8% | 87% | Median |
| 140 | 2% | 79% | |
| 141 | 10% | 77% | |
| 142 | 6% | 67% | |
| 143 | 6% | 61% | |
| 144 | 6% | 55% | |
| 145 | 4% | 49% | |
| 146 | 7% | 45% | |
| 147 | 5% | 39% | |
| 148 | 5% | 34% | |
| 149 | 5% | 29% | |
| 150 | 3% | 24% | |
| 151 | 4% | 20% | |
| 152 | 5% | 16% | |
| 153 | 2% | 11% | |
| 154 | 3% | 9% | |
| 155 | 2% | 6% | |
| 156 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 157 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 129 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 130 | 2% | 98% | |
| 131 | 3% | 97% | |
| 132 | 4% | 94% | |
| 133 | 6% | 89% | Median |
| 134 | 5% | 83% | |
| 135 | 10% | 78% | |
| 136 | 7% | 67% | |
| 137 | 3% | 60% | |
| 138 | 4% | 57% | |
| 139 | 7% | 53% | |
| 140 | 4% | 46% | |
| 141 | 4% | 42% | |
| 142 | 4% | 38% | |
| 143 | 7% | 34% | |
| 144 | 4% | 27% | Last Result |
| 145 | 5% | 23% | |
| 146 | 3% | 18% | |
| 147 | 4% | 15% | |
| 148 | 3% | 11% | |
| 149 | 3% | 8% | |
| 150 | 2% | 5% | |
| 151 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 152 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 127 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 128 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 129 | 2% | 98% | |
| 130 | 3% | 96% | |
| 131 | 2% | 93% | |
| 132 | 4% | 91% | |
| 133 | 3% | 87% | |
| 134 | 7% | 84% | |
| 135 | 5% | 77% | |
| 136 | 9% | 71% | |
| 137 | 11% | 63% | |
| 138 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 139 | 10% | 46% | |
| 140 | 10% | 36% | |
| 141 | 5% | 26% | |
| 142 | 9% | 21% | |
| 143 | 3% | 12% | Last Result |
| 144 | 3% | 9% | |
| 145 | 3% | 7% | |
| 146 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 147 | 2% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 127 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 128 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 129 | 2% | 98% | |
| 130 | 3% | 96% | |
| 131 | 2% | 93% | |
| 132 | 4% | 91% | |
| 133 | 3% | 87% | |
| 134 | 7% | 84% | |
| 135 | 5% | 77% | |
| 136 | 9% | 71% | |
| 137 | 11% | 63% | |
| 138 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 139 | 10% | 46% | |
| 140 | 10% | 36% | |
| 141 | 5% | 26% | |
| 142 | 9% | 21% | |
| 143 | 3% | 12% | |
| 144 | 3% | 9% | |
| 145 | 3% | 6% | |
| 146 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 147 | 2% | 3% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 123 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 124 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 125 | 2% | 98% | |
| 126 | 3% | 96% | |
| 127 | 3% | 93% | |
| 128 | 5% | 90% | Last Result |
| 129 | 6% | 85% | |
| 130 | 7% | 79% | |
| 131 | 6% | 72% | |
| 132 | 6% | 65% | |
| 133 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 134 | 8% | 50% | |
| 135 | 11% | 42% | |
| 136 | 8% | 31% | |
| 137 | 4% | 23% | |
| 138 | 4% | 19% | |
| 139 | 6% | 15% | |
| 140 | 3% | 9% | |
| 141 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 142 | 2% | 5% | |
| 143 | 2% | 3% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 104 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 106 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 107 | 3% | 96% | |
| 108 | 4% | 93% | |
| 109 | 6% | 89% | |
| 110 | 8% | 83% | |
| 111 | 7% | 75% | |
| 112 | 8% | 68% | |
| 113 | 7% | 60% | |
| 114 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 115 | 13% | 45% | |
| 116 | 10% | 32% | |
| 117 | 4% | 22% | |
| 118 | 6% | 18% | |
| 119 | 4% | 12% | |
| 120 | 3% | 7% | |
| 121 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 123 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 104 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 106 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 107 | 3% | 96% | |
| 108 | 4% | 93% | |
| 109 | 6% | 89% | |
| 110 | 8% | 83% | |
| 111 | 7% | 75% | |
| 112 | 8% | 68% | |
| 113 | 7% | 60% | |
| 114 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 115 | 13% | 45% | |
| 116 | 10% | 32% | |
| 117 | 4% | 22% | |
| 118 | 6% | 18% | |
| 119 | 4% | 12% | |
| 120 | 3% | 7% | |
| 121 | 3% | 5% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 123 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 99 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 100 | 3% | 97% | |
| 101 | 3% | 94% | |
| 102 | 6% | 92% | |
| 103 | 9% | 86% | Median |
| 104 | 9% | 77% | |
| 105 | 6% | 68% | |
| 106 | 5% | 63% | |
| 107 | 6% | 58% | |
| 108 | 4% | 52% | |
| 109 | 4% | 48% | |
| 110 | 5% | 44% | |
| 111 | 3% | 39% | |
| 112 | 3% | 36% | |
| 113 | 4% | 32% | |
| 114 | 4% | 29% | |
| 115 | 4% | 25% | |
| 116 | 4% | 20% | Last Result |
| 117 | 6% | 16% | |
| 118 | 3% | 10% | |
| 119 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 120 | 3% | 6% | |
| 121 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 122 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 123 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demoskop
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 26 May–3 June 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 2437
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.98%