Opinion Poll by Sifo, 1–11 June 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 30.0% | 29.3–30.7% | 29.1–30.9% | 29.0–31.0% | 28.7–31.4% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 19.5% | 18.9–20.1% | 18.8–20.3% | 18.6–20.4% | 18.4–20.7% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 18.9% | 18.3–19.5% | 18.2–19.7% | 18.0–19.8% | 17.8–20.1% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2–10.0% | 9.1–10.2% | 8.9–10.3% | 8.7–10.5% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6–7.4% | 6.5–7.5% | 6.4–7.6% | 6.3–7.8% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4–7.2% | 6.3–7.3% | 6.2–7.4% | 6.1–7.6% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2–3.8% | 3.2–3.9% | 3.1–3.9% | 3.0–4.1% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.1–3.7% | 3.1–3.8% | 3.0–3.8% | 2.9–4.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 114 | 111–116 | 111–117 | 110–118 | 108–119 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 75 | 72–76 | 71–77 | 71–78 | 69–79 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 72 | 70–74 | 69–75 | 68–75 | 67–76 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 36 | 35–38 | 34–39 | 34–39 | 33–40 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 27 | 25–28 | 25–28 | 25–29 | 24–30 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 26 | 24–27 | 24–28 | 24–28 | 23–29 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0% | 100% | |
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 100% | |
| 105 | 0% | 100% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 109 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 110 | 2% | 98% | |
| 111 | 7% | 96% | |
| 112 | 13% | 89% | |
| 113 | 19% | 76% | |
| 114 | 23% | 57% | Median |
| 115 | 14% | 33% | |
| 116 | 10% | 19% | |
| 117 | 5% | 9% | |
| 118 | 2% | 4% | |
| 119 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 71 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 72 | 18% | 94% | |
| 73 | 13% | 77% | |
| 74 | 10% | 64% | |
| 75 | 30% | 54% | Median |
| 76 | 18% | 24% | |
| 77 | 3% | 6% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 6% | 97% | |
| 70 | 12% | 92% | |
| 71 | 21% | 80% | |
| 72 | 26% | 59% | Median |
| 73 | 14% | 34% | |
| 74 | 12% | 19% | |
| 75 | 5% | 7% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 6% | 99.2% | |
| 35 | 11% | 94% | |
| 36 | 38% | 83% | Median |
| 37 | 22% | 44% | |
| 38 | 16% | 22% | |
| 39 | 5% | 6% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 17% | 98% | |
| 26 | 27% | 81% | |
| 27 | 37% | 54% | Median |
| 28 | 13% | 17% | |
| 29 | 3% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 9% | 98.6% | |
| 25 | 30% | 90% | |
| 26 | 33% | 60% | Median |
| 27 | 21% | 27% | |
| 28 | 5% | 6% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.8% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.5% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 215 | 100% | 212–217 | 211–218 | 210–219 | 204–220 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 188 | 100% | 185–191 | 184–192 | 183–193 | 179–194 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 177 | 90% | 174–180 | 174–181 | 173–182 | 172–185 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 172 | 10% | 169–175 | 168–175 | 167–176 | 164–177 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 150 | 0% | 148–153 | 147–154 | 146–155 | 144–159 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 150 | 0% | 148–153 | 147–154 | 146–155 | 143–156 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 146 | 0% | 143–149 | 142–150 | 141–150 | 139–151 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 140 | 0% | 138–143 | 138–144 | 137–146 | 136–150 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 127 | 0% | 124–129 | 123–130 | 122–131 | 121–133 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 127 | 0% | 124–129 | 123–130 | 122–131 | 120–132 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 114 | 0% | 111–117 | 111–117 | 110–119 | 109–124 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 101 | 0% | 98–103 | 97–104 | 97–105 | 95–108 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 101 | 0% | 98–103 | 97–104 | 97–104 | 95–106 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 202 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 204 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 205 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 206 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 209 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 210 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 211 | 3% | 97% | |
| 212 | 9% | 94% | |
| 213 | 15% | 85% | |
| 214 | 16% | 70% | |
| 215 | 21% | 54% | |
| 216 | 17% | 33% | Median |
| 217 | 8% | 16% | |
| 218 | 4% | 8% | |
| 219 | 3% | 4% | |
| 220 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 221 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 223 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0% | 100% | |
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 181 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 182 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 183 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 184 | 2% | 97% | |
| 185 | 6% | 95% | |
| 186 | 13% | 89% | |
| 187 | 14% | 76% | |
| 188 | 18% | 62% | |
| 189 | 23% | 44% | Median |
| 190 | 9% | 21% | |
| 191 | 7% | 13% | |
| 192 | 3% | 6% | |
| 193 | 2% | 3% | |
| 194 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 172 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 173 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 174 | 7% | 96% | |
| 175 | 11% | 90% | Majority |
| 176 | 19% | 78% | |
| 177 | 24% | 59% | Median |
| 178 | 11% | 36% | |
| 179 | 14% | 25% | |
| 180 | 5% | 12% | |
| 181 | 2% | 6% | |
| 182 | 2% | 4% | |
| 183 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 185 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 164 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 166 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 167 | 2% | 98% | |
| 168 | 2% | 96% | |
| 169 | 5% | 94% | |
| 170 | 14% | 88% | |
| 171 | 11% | 75% | |
| 172 | 24% | 64% | |
| 173 | 19% | 41% | Median |
| 174 | 11% | 22% | |
| 175 | 7% | 10% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 4% | |
| 177 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 145 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 146 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 147 | 4% | 96% | |
| 148 | 8% | 93% | |
| 149 | 18% | 85% | |
| 150 | 20% | 66% | Median |
| 151 | 16% | 47% | |
| 152 | 15% | 30% | |
| 153 | 8% | 16% | |
| 154 | 3% | 8% | |
| 155 | 2% | 4% | |
| 156 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 159 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 100% | |
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 145 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 146 | 3% | 98% | |
| 147 | 4% | 95% | |
| 148 | 8% | 92% | |
| 149 | 18% | 84% | |
| 150 | 20% | 65% | Median |
| 151 | 16% | 45% | |
| 152 | 15% | 29% | |
| 153 | 8% | 14% | |
| 154 | 3% | 6% | |
| 155 | 2% | 3% | |
| 156 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 141 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 142 | 3% | 97% | |
| 143 | 7% | 94% | |
| 144 | 11% | 87% | |
| 145 | 12% | 76% | |
| 146 | 15% | 64% | |
| 147 | 26% | 49% | Median |
| 148 | 11% | 23% | |
| 149 | 7% | 12% | |
| 150 | 4% | 5% | |
| 151 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 137 | 3% | 98% | |
| 138 | 10% | 95% | |
| 139 | 19% | 86% | |
| 140 | 17% | 66% | |
| 141 | 21% | 49% | Median |
| 142 | 12% | 28% | |
| 143 | 7% | 15% | |
| 144 | 4% | 9% | |
| 145 | 2% | 5% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 122 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 123 | 7% | 97% | |
| 124 | 7% | 91% | |
| 125 | 10% | 84% | |
| 126 | 17% | 74% | |
| 127 | 23% | 57% | |
| 128 | 19% | 33% | Median |
| 129 | 6% | 14% | |
| 130 | 4% | 8% | |
| 131 | 2% | 4% | |
| 132 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 121 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 122 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 123 | 7% | 97% | Last Result |
| 124 | 7% | 90% | |
| 125 | 10% | 84% | |
| 126 | 17% | 73% | |
| 127 | 23% | 56% | |
| 128 | 19% | 33% | Median |
| 129 | 6% | 14% | |
| 130 | 4% | 8% | |
| 131 | 2% | 3% | |
| 132 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 134 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 0% | 100% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 109 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 110 | 2% | 98% | |
| 111 | 6% | 96% | |
| 112 | 13% | 90% | |
| 113 | 19% | 77% | |
| 114 | 23% | 58% | Median |
| 115 | 14% | 34% | |
| 116 | 10% | 21% | Last Result |
| 117 | 5% | 10% | |
| 118 | 2% | 5% | |
| 119 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 124 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 97 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 98 | 9% | 94% | |
| 99 | 13% | 85% | |
| 100 | 11% | 72% | |
| 101 | 17% | 60% | |
| 102 | 27% | 43% | Median |
| 103 | 10% | 16% | |
| 104 | 3% | 6% | |
| 105 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 97 | 4% | 98% | |
| 98 | 9% | 94% | |
| 99 | 13% | 85% | |
| 100 | 11% | 71% | |
| 101 | 17% | 60% | Last Result |
| 102 | 27% | 42% | Median |
| 103 | 10% | 15% | |
| 104 | 3% | 5% | |
| 105 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1–11 June 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 7578
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.47%