Opinion Poll by Sifo, 7–17 September 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 27.5% | 26.7–28.3% | 26.5–28.6% | 26.3–28.8% | 25.9–29.2% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 20.6% | 19.9–21.4% | 19.7–21.6% | 19.5–21.7% | 19.2–22.1% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 19.8% | 19.1–20.5% | 18.9–20.8% | 18.7–20.9% | 18.4–21.3% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.4–9.4% | 8.3–9.6% | 8.1–9.7% | 7.9–10.0% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7–8.7% | 7.6–8.9% | 7.5–9.0% | 7.2–9.2% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8–6.7% | 5.7–6.8% | 5.6–6.9% | 5.4–7.1% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5–4.2% | 3.4–4.3% | 3.3–4.4% | 3.2–4.6% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.2–3.9% | 3.1–4.0% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.9–4.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 104 | 99–108 | 99–109 | 97–109 | 95–111 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 78 | 74–81 | 73–82 | 73–83 | 70–84 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 75 | 71–78 | 70–79 | 69–80 | 68–81 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 34 | 31–36 | 31–37 | 30–37 | 29–38 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 31 | 29–33 | 28–34 | 28–34 | 27–35 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 24 | 22–25 | 21–26 | 21–26 | 20–27 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–16 | 0–17 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 | 0–16 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 97 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 98 | 2% | 97% | |
| 99 | 7% | 95% | |
| 100 | 5% | 88% | Last Result |
| 101 | 6% | 83% | |
| 102 | 11% | 78% | |
| 103 | 10% | 67% | |
| 104 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 105 | 8% | 45% | |
| 106 | 15% | 37% | |
| 107 | 10% | 22% | |
| 108 | 7% | 12% | |
| 109 | 3% | 5% | |
| 110 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 73 | 3% | 98% | |
| 74 | 6% | 95% | |
| 75 | 8% | 89% | |
| 76 | 14% | 81% | |
| 77 | 12% | 67% | |
| 78 | 18% | 55% | Median |
| 79 | 11% | 37% | |
| 80 | 10% | 26% | |
| 81 | 7% | 16% | |
| 82 | 4% | 8% | |
| 83 | 4% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | |
| 71 | 5% | 94% | |
| 72 | 9% | 89% | |
| 73 | 11% | 80% | |
| 74 | 16% | 69% | |
| 75 | 13% | 53% | Median |
| 76 | 13% | 40% | |
| 77 | 11% | 27% | |
| 78 | 10% | 16% | |
| 79 | 3% | 6% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 31 | 9% | 97% | |
| 32 | 11% | 88% | |
| 33 | 20% | 77% | |
| 34 | 27% | 57% | Median |
| 35 | 15% | 30% | |
| 36 | 8% | 15% | |
| 37 | 6% | 7% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 5% | 98% | |
| 29 | 10% | 93% | |
| 30 | 25% | 83% | |
| 31 | 26% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 32 | 16% | 32% | |
| 33 | 9% | 16% | |
| 34 | 6% | 7% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 22 | 23% | 93% | Last Result |
| 23 | 19% | 70% | |
| 24 | 26% | 50% | Median |
| 25 | 18% | 25% | |
| 26 | 6% | 7% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 74% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 26% | |
| 2 | 0% | 26% | |
| 3 | 0% | 26% | |
| 4 | 0% | 26% | |
| 5 | 0% | 26% | |
| 6 | 0% | 26% | |
| 7 | 0% | 26% | |
| 8 | 0% | 26% | |
| 9 | 0% | 26% | |
| 10 | 0% | 26% | |
| 11 | 0% | 26% | |
| 12 | 0% | 26% | |
| 13 | 0% | 26% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 26% | |
| 15 | 18% | 26% | |
| 16 | 7% | 7% | Last Result |
| 17 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 15 | 3% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 214 | 100% | 205–218 | 204–219 | 202–220 | 198–221 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 183 | 91% | 175–187 | 174–188 | 172–189 | 168–190 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 177 | 69% | 170–181 | 168–182 | 167–183 | 164–185 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 172 | 31% | 168–179 | 167–181 | 166–182 | 164–185 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 153 | 0% | 147–157 | 145–159 | 144–159 | 142–161 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 141 | 0% | 136–149 | 135–151 | 134–151 | 131–153 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 138 | 0% | 134–147 | 133–148 | 132–149 | 130–153 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 138 | 0% | 132–142 | 131–143 | 129–144 | 127–146 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 133 | 0% | 127–138 | 127–139 | 126–141 | 123–145 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 132 | 0% | 127–137 | 127–138 | 125–139 | 122–140 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 106 | 0% | 102–117 | 101–117 | 100–119 | 98–120 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 109 | 0% | 105–113 | 104–115 | 103–118 | 101–123 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 109 | 0% | 105–113 | 103–114 | 102–115 | 100–116 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 194 | 0% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 200 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 201 | 0.7% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 202 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 203 | 2% | 97% | |
| 204 | 5% | 96% | |
| 205 | 5% | 91% | |
| 206 | 4% | 86% | |
| 207 | 5% | 83% | |
| 208 | 2% | 78% | |
| 209 | 3% | 76% | |
| 210 | 3% | 72% | |
| 211 | 3% | 70% | |
| 212 | 6% | 67% | |
| 213 | 7% | 61% | Median |
| 214 | 12% | 54% | |
| 215 | 10% | 42% | |
| 216 | 10% | 33% | |
| 217 | 9% | 23% | |
| 218 | 7% | 14% | |
| 219 | 3% | 7% | |
| 220 | 3% | 4% | |
| 221 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 222 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 224 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 170 | 0.2% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 171 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 172 | 2% | 98% | |
| 173 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 174 | 5% | 95% | |
| 175 | 3% | 91% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 88% | |
| 177 | 5% | 84% | |
| 178 | 4% | 78% | |
| 179 | 4% | 74% | |
| 180 | 4% | 70% | |
| 181 | 6% | 66% | |
| 182 | 7% | 60% | Median |
| 183 | 16% | 53% | |
| 184 | 8% | 36% | |
| 185 | 6% | 28% | |
| 186 | 11% | 22% | |
| 187 | 4% | 11% | |
| 188 | 3% | 7% | |
| 189 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 190 | 2% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 165 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 166 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 167 | 3% | 98% | |
| 168 | 2% | 95% | |
| 169 | 2% | 93% | |
| 170 | 5% | 91% | |
| 171 | 8% | 86% | |
| 172 | 4% | 78% | |
| 173 | 3% | 74% | |
| 174 | 2% | 71% | |
| 175 | 4% | 69% | Majority |
| 176 | 11% | 65% | |
| 177 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 178 | 11% | 41% | |
| 179 | 9% | 30% | |
| 180 | 5% | 21% | |
| 181 | 7% | 16% | |
| 182 | 6% | 10% | |
| 183 | 2% | 3% | |
| 184 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 165 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 166 | 2% | 98% | |
| 167 | 6% | 97% | |
| 168 | 7% | 90% | |
| 169 | 5% | 84% | Median |
| 170 | 9% | 79% | |
| 171 | 11% | 70% | |
| 172 | 13% | 59% | |
| 173 | 11% | 46% | |
| 174 | 4% | 35% | |
| 175 | 2% | 31% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 29% | |
| 177 | 4% | 26% | |
| 178 | 8% | 22% | |
| 179 | 5% | 14% | |
| 180 | 2% | 9% | |
| 181 | 2% | 7% | |
| 182 | 3% | 5% | |
| 183 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 142 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 144 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 145 | 3% | 97% | |
| 146 | 4% | 94% | |
| 147 | 2% | 90% | |
| 148 | 7% | 88% | |
| 149 | 7% | 82% | |
| 150 | 3% | 75% | |
| 151 | 4% | 71% | |
| 152 | 14% | 67% | |
| 153 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 154 | 5% | 42% | |
| 155 | 13% | 37% | |
| 156 | 9% | 24% | |
| 157 | 7% | 16% | |
| 158 | 2% | 8% | |
| 159 | 4% | 6% | |
| 160 | 2% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 132 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 133 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 134 | 2% | 98% | |
| 135 | 3% | 96% | |
| 136 | 5% | 93% | |
| 137 | 6% | 88% | |
| 138 | 10% | 82% | Median |
| 139 | 11% | 72% | |
| 140 | 9% | 61% | |
| 141 | 10% | 52% | |
| 142 | 9% | 42% | |
| 143 | 4% | 32% | |
| 144 | 3% | 28% | Last Result |
| 145 | 2% | 25% | |
| 146 | 2% | 23% | |
| 147 | 3% | 22% | |
| 148 | 7% | 19% | |
| 149 | 3% | 12% | |
| 150 | 4% | 9% | |
| 151 | 3% | 5% | |
| 152 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 132 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 133 | 5% | 96% | |
| 134 | 8% | 91% | |
| 135 | 5% | 83% | Median |
| 136 | 8% | 78% | |
| 137 | 12% | 69% | |
| 138 | 16% | 57% | |
| 139 | 5% | 41% | |
| 140 | 3% | 36% | |
| 141 | 2% | 32% | |
| 142 | 3% | 30% | |
| 143 | 4% | 28% | |
| 144 | 5% | 24% | |
| 145 | 3% | 19% | |
| 146 | 4% | 16% | |
| 147 | 3% | 12% | |
| 148 | 5% | 10% | |
| 149 | 2% | 4% | |
| 150 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 129 | 1.5% | 98.7% | |
| 130 | 2% | 97% | |
| 131 | 2% | 96% | |
| 132 | 4% | 94% | |
| 133 | 7% | 90% | |
| 134 | 6% | 83% | |
| 135 | 6% | 77% | |
| 136 | 8% | 71% | |
| 137 | 7% | 63% | |
| 138 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 139 | 11% | 46% | |
| 140 | 9% | 35% | |
| 141 | 10% | 26% | |
| 142 | 9% | 16% | |
| 143 | 4% | 7% | |
| 144 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 145 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 146 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 125 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 126 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 127 | 9% | 97% | |
| 128 | 3% | 88% | |
| 129 | 7% | 84% | |
| 130 | 5% | 78% | |
| 131 | 6% | 72% | |
| 132 | 13% | 66% | |
| 133 | 17% | 53% | Median |
| 134 | 9% | 36% | |
| 135 | 5% | 27% | |
| 136 | 6% | 22% | |
| 137 | 5% | 15% | |
| 138 | 4% | 11% | |
| 139 | 3% | 7% | |
| 140 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 141 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 142 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 1.5% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 123 | 0.7% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 124 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 125 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 126 | 2% | 97% | |
| 127 | 10% | 95% | |
| 128 | 4% | 85% | |
| 129 | 7% | 82% | |
| 130 | 5% | 74% | |
| 131 | 6% | 69% | |
| 132 | 14% | 63% | |
| 133 | 17% | 49% | Median |
| 134 | 9% | 32% | |
| 135 | 5% | 23% | |
| 136 | 6% | 18% | |
| 137 | 4% | 12% | |
| 138 | 3% | 7% | |
| 139 | 3% | 4% | |
| 140 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 100 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 101 | 3% | 97% | |
| 102 | 5% | 94% | |
| 103 | 7% | 89% | |
| 104 | 11% | 81% | Median |
| 105 | 8% | 70% | |
| 106 | 14% | 62% | |
| 107 | 10% | 48% | |
| 108 | 7% | 38% | |
| 109 | 3% | 31% | |
| 110 | 2% | 28% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 26% | |
| 112 | 2% | 26% | |
| 113 | 2% | 24% | |
| 114 | 4% | 22% | |
| 115 | 4% | 18% | |
| 116 | 2% | 14% | Last Result |
| 117 | 7% | 12% | |
| 118 | 2% | 5% | |
| 119 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 120 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 123 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 103 | 2% | 98% | |
| 104 | 3% | 96% | |
| 105 | 9% | 93% | |
| 106 | 7% | 84% | |
| 107 | 13% | 78% | |
| 108 | 8% | 65% | |
| 109 | 15% | 57% | Median |
| 110 | 9% | 42% | |
| 111 | 7% | 33% | |
| 112 | 10% | 26% | |
| 113 | 7% | 16% | |
| 114 | 3% | 9% | |
| 115 | 2% | 6% | |
| 116 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 119 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 126 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 101 | 0.9% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 102 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 103 | 2% | 97% | |
| 104 | 4% | 95% | |
| 105 | 9% | 91% | |
| 106 | 7% | 82% | |
| 107 | 14% | 75% | |
| 108 | 8% | 61% | |
| 109 | 15% | 53% | Median |
| 110 | 9% | 38% | |
| 111 | 7% | 29% | |
| 112 | 10% | 22% | |
| 113 | 7% | 12% | |
| 114 | 2% | 5% | |
| 115 | 2% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 7–17 September 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 5029
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.72%