Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 8–21 September 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 26.0% | 24.6–27.5% | 24.2–27.9% | 23.8–28.2% | 23.2–29.0% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 20.0% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.5–22.7% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 20.0% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.5–22.7% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.3–11.1% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2–9.0% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.8–9.5% | 6.4–10.0% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2–7.9% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.4–8.8% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 96 | 90–102 | 88–105 | 87–106 | 84–110 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 74 | 68–80 | 67–81 | 66–82 | 64–85 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 74 | 69–80 | 67–81 | 66–83 | 64–86 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 34 | 30–37 | 29–38 | 28–40 | 27–41 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 30 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 25–36 | 24–37 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 26 | 23–29 | 22–30 | 21–31 | 20–33 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0–17 | 0–19 | 0–19 | 0–19 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 0 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–20 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 4% | 97% | |
| 89 | 2% | 93% | |
| 90 | 3% | 91% | |
| 91 | 5% | 88% | |
| 92 | 7% | 83% | |
| 93 | 7% | 76% | |
| 94 | 3% | 69% | |
| 95 | 8% | 66% | |
| 96 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 97 | 9% | 44% | |
| 98 | 4% | 35% | |
| 99 | 5% | 31% | |
| 100 | 5% | 27% | Last Result |
| 101 | 7% | 22% | |
| 102 | 7% | 15% | |
| 103 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 104 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 105 | 2% | 6% | |
| 106 | 2% | 4% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 95% | |
| 68 | 5% | 93% | |
| 69 | 4% | 88% | |
| 70 | 8% | 83% | Last Result |
| 71 | 5% | 76% | |
| 72 | 8% | 70% | |
| 73 | 4% | 63% | |
| 74 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 75 | 13% | 48% | |
| 76 | 12% | 35% | |
| 77 | 5% | 23% | |
| 78 | 4% | 18% | |
| 79 | 3% | 14% | |
| 80 | 5% | 11% | |
| 81 | 2% | 6% | |
| 82 | 2% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 4% | 95% | |
| 69 | 4% | 91% | |
| 70 | 4% | 87% | |
| 71 | 7% | 83% | |
| 72 | 8% | 75% | |
| 73 | 11% | 67% | |
| 74 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 75 | 7% | 49% | |
| 76 | 14% | 42% | |
| 77 | 7% | 29% | |
| 78 | 7% | 21% | |
| 79 | 4% | 15% | |
| 80 | 3% | 10% | |
| 81 | 4% | 8% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 84 | 2% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 2% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 29 | 3% | 97% | |
| 30 | 4% | 94% | |
| 31 | 19% | 89% | |
| 32 | 10% | 70% | |
| 33 | 9% | 60% | |
| 34 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 35 | 12% | 38% | |
| 36 | 9% | 26% | |
| 37 | 9% | 17% | |
| 38 | 4% | 8% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 40 | 2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 25 | 2% | 98% | |
| 26 | 5% | 96% | |
| 27 | 8% | 91% | |
| 28 | 14% | 83% | |
| 29 | 8% | 69% | |
| 30 | 18% | 61% | Median |
| 31 | 14% | 43% | Last Result |
| 32 | 14% | 29% | |
| 33 | 7% | 16% | |
| 34 | 4% | 9% | |
| 35 | 2% | 5% | |
| 36 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 22 | 6% | 97% | Last Result |
| 23 | 9% | 91% | |
| 24 | 10% | 82% | |
| 25 | 19% | 72% | |
| 26 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 27 | 16% | 42% | |
| 28 | 11% | 27% | |
| 29 | 8% | 16% | |
| 30 | 5% | 8% | |
| 31 | 2% | 3% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 56% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 44% | |
| 2 | 0% | 44% | |
| 3 | 0% | 44% | |
| 4 | 0% | 44% | |
| 5 | 0% | 44% | |
| 6 | 0% | 44% | |
| 7 | 0% | 44% | |
| 8 | 0% | 44% | |
| 9 | 0% | 44% | |
| 10 | 0% | 44% | |
| 11 | 0% | 44% | |
| 12 | 0% | 44% | |
| 13 | 0% | 44% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 44% | |
| 15 | 0% | 43% | |
| 16 | 32% | 43% | |
| 17 | 6% | 11% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 19 | 5% | 5% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 51% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 49% | |
| 2 | 0% | 49% | |
| 3 | 0% | 49% | |
| 4 | 0% | 49% | |
| 5 | 0% | 49% | |
| 6 | 0% | 49% | |
| 7 | 0% | 49% | |
| 8 | 0% | 49% | |
| 9 | 0% | 49% | |
| 10 | 0% | 49% | |
| 11 | 0% | 49% | |
| 12 | 0% | 49% | |
| 13 | 0% | 49% | |
| 14 | 3% | 49% | |
| 15 | 20% | 46% | |
| 16 | 14% | 26% | Last Result |
| 17 | 6% | 12% | |
| 18 | 3% | 6% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 201 | 100% | 190–209 | 186–213 | 186–215 | 182–218 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 195 | 175 | 51% | 167–184 | 163–187 | 161–189 | 158–191 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 174 | 49% | 165–182 | 162–186 | 160–188 | 158–191 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 170 | 24% | 161–178 | 158–182 | 156–185 | 154–187 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 148 | 0% | 139–156 | 137–159 | 136–160 | 133–164 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 167 | 142 | 0% | 131–152 | 128–155 | 126–156 | 123–159 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 138 | 0% | 127–147 | 125–149 | 123–152 | 121–154 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 136 | 0% | 127–148 | 125–150 | 123–151 | 120–155 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 130 | 0% | 123–138 | 121–139 | 119–142 | 115–145 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 130 | 0% | 122–137 | 120–140 | 118–141 | 115–145 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 111 | 0% | 101–122 | 99–123 | 98–126 | 95–129 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 104 | 0% | 95–114 | 92–116 | 91–117 | 87–121 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 104 | 0% | 97–111 | 96–113 | 94–114 | 91–117 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 181 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 183 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 184 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 185 | 0.8% | 98.5% | |
| 186 | 3% | 98% | |
| 187 | 2% | 95% | |
| 188 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 189 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 190 | 2% | 91% | |
| 191 | 1.3% | 89% | |
| 192 | 2% | 88% | |
| 193 | 6% | 86% | |
| 194 | 4% | 80% | |
| 195 | 2% | 76% | |
| 196 | 4% | 74% | |
| 197 | 5% | 70% | |
| 198 | 3% | 65% | |
| 199 | 4% | 62% | |
| 200 | 4% | 58% | Median |
| 201 | 12% | 54% | Last Result |
| 202 | 7% | 42% | |
| 203 | 4% | 36% | |
| 204 | 6% | 31% | |
| 205 | 2% | 25% | |
| 206 | 2% | 23% | |
| 207 | 6% | 20% | |
| 208 | 4% | 14% | |
| 209 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 210 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 211 | 2% | 8% | |
| 212 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 213 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 214 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 215 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 216 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 217 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 218 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 219 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 159 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 160 | 0.5% | 98% | Median |
| 161 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 162 | 2% | 97% | |
| 163 | 2% | 95% | |
| 164 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 165 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 166 | 2% | 92% | |
| 167 | 3% | 90% | |
| 168 | 5% | 87% | |
| 169 | 6% | 82% | |
| 170 | 4% | 76% | |
| 171 | 7% | 73% | |
| 172 | 3% | 66% | |
| 173 | 3% | 62% | |
| 174 | 9% | 60% | |
| 175 | 6% | 51% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 45% | |
| 177 | 3% | 42% | |
| 178 | 8% | 39% | |
| 179 | 7% | 31% | |
| 180 | 5% | 24% | |
| 181 | 2% | 19% | |
| 182 | 4% | 17% | |
| 183 | 2% | 13% | |
| 184 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 185 | 2% | 9% | |
| 186 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 187 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 189 | 3% | 5% | |
| 190 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 192 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 157 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 159 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 160 | 3% | 98% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 162 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 163 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 164 | 2% | 93% | |
| 165 | 1.5% | 91% | |
| 166 | 2% | 89% | |
| 167 | 4% | 87% | |
| 168 | 2% | 83% | |
| 169 | 5% | 81% | |
| 170 | 7% | 76% | |
| 171 | 8% | 69% | |
| 172 | 3% | 61% | |
| 173 | 3% | 58% | |
| 174 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 175 | 9% | 49% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 40% | |
| 177 | 3% | 38% | |
| 178 | 7% | 34% | |
| 179 | 4% | 27% | |
| 180 | 6% | 24% | |
| 181 | 5% | 18% | |
| 182 | 3% | 13% | |
| 183 | 2% | 10% | |
| 184 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 185 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 186 | 2% | 7% | |
| 187 | 2% | 5% | |
| 188 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 189 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 190 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 156 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 157 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 158 | 3% | 96% | |
| 159 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 160 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 161 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 162 | 2% | 90% | |
| 163 | 5% | 88% | |
| 164 | 5% | 83% | |
| 165 | 4% | 78% | |
| 166 | 3% | 73% | |
| 167 | 4% | 70% | |
| 168 | 4% | 67% | |
| 169 | 3% | 63% | |
| 170 | 11% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 171 | 7% | 48% | |
| 172 | 6% | 41% | |
| 173 | 7% | 35% | |
| 174 | 3% | 27% | |
| 175 | 1.0% | 24% | Majority |
| 176 | 4% | 23% | |
| 177 | 8% | 20% | |
| 178 | 4% | 12% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 180 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 181 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 182 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 183 | 2% | 4% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 185 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 186 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129 | 0% | 100% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 136 | 2% | 98% | |
| 137 | 2% | 96% | |
| 138 | 2% | 95% | |
| 139 | 3% | 93% | |
| 140 | 2% | 90% | |
| 141 | 2% | 88% | |
| 142 | 4% | 86% | |
| 143 | 5% | 81% | |
| 144 | 5% | 77% | |
| 145 | 5% | 72% | |
| 146 | 5% | 67% | |
| 147 | 6% | 61% | |
| 148 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 149 | 5% | 48% | |
| 150 | 6% | 43% | |
| 151 | 4% | 37% | |
| 152 | 6% | 34% | |
| 153 | 9% | 27% | |
| 154 | 3% | 18% | |
| 155 | 3% | 16% | |
| 156 | 4% | 12% | |
| 157 | 2% | 8% | |
| 158 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 159 | 2% | 5% | |
| 160 | 2% | 4% | |
| 161 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 123 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 124 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 126 | 0.9% | 98% | Median |
| 127 | 2% | 97% | |
| 128 | 2% | 95% | |
| 129 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 130 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 131 | 2% | 91% | |
| 132 | 6% | 89% | |
| 133 | 2% | 84% | |
| 134 | 3% | 82% | |
| 135 | 2% | 79% | |
| 136 | 3% | 77% | |
| 137 | 3% | 74% | |
| 138 | 3% | 71% | |
| 139 | 4% | 68% | |
| 140 | 7% | 64% | |
| 141 | 6% | 57% | |
| 142 | 5% | 52% | |
| 143 | 9% | 47% | |
| 144 | 7% | 38% | |
| 145 | 4% | 32% | |
| 146 | 4% | 28% | |
| 147 | 6% | 24% | |
| 148 | 2% | 18% | |
| 149 | 2% | 16% | |
| 150 | 2% | 14% | |
| 151 | 2% | 12% | |
| 152 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 153 | 2% | 9% | |
| 154 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 155 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 156 | 3% | 5% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 159 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 121 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 122 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 123 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 124 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 125 | 2% | 96% | |
| 126 | 3% | 94% | |
| 127 | 6% | 91% | |
| 128 | 2% | 86% | |
| 129 | 2% | 84% | |
| 130 | 4% | 82% | Median |
| 131 | 5% | 78% | |
| 132 | 3% | 73% | |
| 133 | 4% | 71% | |
| 134 | 3% | 67% | |
| 135 | 2% | 64% | |
| 136 | 3% | 62% | |
| 137 | 4% | 59% | |
| 138 | 7% | 56% | |
| 139 | 6% | 48% | |
| 140 | 3% | 42% | |
| 141 | 4% | 39% | |
| 142 | 4% | 35% | |
| 143 | 7% | 31% | |
| 144 | 3% | 24% | Last Result |
| 145 | 3% | 21% | |
| 146 | 5% | 18% | |
| 147 | 2% | 12% | |
| 148 | 2% | 10% | |
| 149 | 3% | 8% | |
| 150 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 151 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 152 | 2% | 3% | |
| 153 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 154 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 122 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 123 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 124 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 125 | 3% | 96% | |
| 126 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 127 | 3% | 92% | |
| 128 | 3% | 89% | |
| 129 | 5% | 86% | |
| 130 | 2% | 81% | Median |
| 131 | 5% | 79% | |
| 132 | 7% | 74% | |
| 133 | 3% | 67% | |
| 134 | 5% | 64% | |
| 135 | 4% | 59% | |
| 136 | 5% | 55% | |
| 137 | 3% | 50% | |
| 138 | 4% | 47% | |
| 139 | 5% | 42% | |
| 140 | 2% | 37% | |
| 141 | 4% | 35% | |
| 142 | 3% | 31% | |
| 143 | 5% | 28% | Last Result |
| 144 | 1.4% | 22% | |
| 145 | 4% | 21% | |
| 146 | 5% | 17% | |
| 147 | 1.4% | 13% | |
| 148 | 3% | 11% | |
| 149 | 2% | 9% | |
| 150 | 3% | 7% | |
| 151 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 152 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 154 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 157 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | 0% | 100% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 116 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 117 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 118 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 119 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 120 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 121 | 2% | 96% | |
| 122 | 3% | 94% | |
| 123 | 3% | 91% | |
| 124 | 7% | 88% | |
| 125 | 5% | 81% | |
| 126 | 6% | 77% | |
| 127 | 8% | 71% | |
| 128 | 7% | 63% | Last Result |
| 129 | 6% | 56% | |
| 130 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 131 | 9% | 43% | |
| 132 | 4% | 34% | |
| 133 | 6% | 29% | |
| 134 | 3% | 23% | |
| 135 | 2% | 20% | |
| 136 | 4% | 18% | |
| 137 | 2% | 14% | |
| 138 | 3% | 12% | |
| 139 | 4% | 9% | |
| 140 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 141 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 142 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 144 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 115 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 117 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 118 | 2% | 98% | |
| 119 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 120 | 2% | 96% | |
| 121 | 2% | 94% | |
| 122 | 5% | 93% | |
| 123 | 3% | 88% | Last Result |
| 124 | 3% | 84% | |
| 125 | 5% | 82% | |
| 126 | 7% | 77% | |
| 127 | 4% | 70% | |
| 128 | 4% | 65% | |
| 129 | 9% | 61% | |
| 130 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 131 | 6% | 46% | |
| 132 | 8% | 40% | |
| 133 | 4% | 32% | |
| 134 | 7% | 28% | |
| 135 | 4% | 21% | |
| 136 | 4% | 16% | |
| 137 | 3% | 12% | |
| 138 | 2% | 10% | |
| 139 | 2% | 8% | |
| 140 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 141 | 2% | 5% | |
| 142 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 143 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 98 | 2% | 98% | |
| 99 | 2% | 96% | |
| 100 | 3% | 94% | |
| 101 | 3% | 91% | |
| 102 | 2% | 89% | |
| 103 | 3% | 87% | |
| 104 | 5% | 84% | Median |
| 105 | 6% | 78% | |
| 106 | 8% | 73% | |
| 107 | 4% | 65% | |
| 108 | 6% | 62% | |
| 109 | 2% | 56% | |
| 110 | 3% | 54% | |
| 111 | 4% | 51% | |
| 112 | 4% | 48% | |
| 113 | 4% | 44% | |
| 114 | 7% | 40% | |
| 115 | 3% | 33% | |
| 116 | 4% | 30% | |
| 117 | 2% | 26% | |
| 118 | 2% | 24% | |
| 119 | 2% | 22% | |
| 120 | 3% | 20% | |
| 121 | 6% | 17% | Last Result |
| 122 | 3% | 11% | |
| 123 | 3% | 8% | |
| 124 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 125 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 126 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 129 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 132 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 133 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 91 | 2% | 98% | |
| 92 | 3% | 96% | |
| 93 | 2% | 93% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 95 | 4% | 90% | |
| 96 | 8% | 86% | Median |
| 97 | 3% | 78% | |
| 98 | 2% | 75% | |
| 99 | 4% | 72% | |
| 100 | 3% | 69% | |
| 101 | 4% | 66% | |
| 102 | 9% | 62% | |
| 103 | 2% | 53% | |
| 104 | 3% | 51% | |
| 105 | 2% | 48% | |
| 106 | 5% | 46% | |
| 107 | 3% | 41% | |
| 108 | 7% | 38% | |
| 109 | 3% | 31% | |
| 110 | 4% | 28% | |
| 111 | 4% | 25% | |
| 112 | 6% | 20% | |
| 113 | 3% | 15% | |
| 114 | 2% | 11% | |
| 115 | 3% | 9% | |
| 116 | 1.4% | 6% | Last Result |
| 117 | 2% | 5% | |
| 118 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 120 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 94 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 95 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 96 | 2% | 96% | |
| 97 | 4% | 93% | |
| 98 | 7% | 89% | |
| 99 | 6% | 83% | |
| 100 | 5% | 77% | |
| 101 | 5% | 72% | Last Result |
| 102 | 4% | 67% | |
| 103 | 5% | 63% | |
| 104 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 105 | 10% | 49% | |
| 106 | 10% | 39% | |
| 107 | 6% | 29% | |
| 108 | 6% | 22% | |
| 109 | 2% | 16% | |
| 110 | 3% | 14% | |
| 111 | 3% | 11% | |
| 112 | 2% | 8% | |
| 113 | 2% | 6% | |
| 114 | 2% | 4% | |
| 115 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 8–21 September 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1521
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.19%