Opinion Poll by Sifo, 5–15 October 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 26.4% | 25.7–27.1% | 25.6–27.3% | 25.4–27.4% | 25.1–27.8% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 20.6% | 20.0–21.2% | 19.8–21.4% | 19.7–21.6% | 19.4–21.9% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 20.2% | 19.6–20.8% | 19.4–21.0% | 19.3–21.1% | 19.0–21.4% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.6–10.5% | 9.4–10.6% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.9% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3–8.1% | 7.2–8.2% | 7.1–8.3% | 6.9–8.6% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6–6.3% | 5.5–6.4% | 5.4–6.5% | 5.2–6.7% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0–4.6% | 3.9–4.7% | 3.9–4.8% | 3.7–5.0% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.0–3.5% | 2.9–3.6% | 2.8–3.6% | 2.7–3.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 97 | 94–100 | 94–102 | 93–103 | 92–105 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 76 | 74–78 | 73–80 | 72–80 | 71–82 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 74 | 72–77 | 71–78 | 71–79 | 70–81 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 37 | 35–39 | 35–39 | 34–40 | 33–41 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 28 | 27–30 | 27–30 | 26–31 | 25–32 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 22 | 20–23 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 19–25 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 16 | 15–17 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–18 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 93 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 94 | 8% | 96% | |
| 95 | 13% | 88% | |
| 96 | 19% | 75% | |
| 97 | 19% | 57% | Median |
| 98 | 16% | 38% | |
| 99 | 9% | 23% | |
| 100 | 4% | 14% | Last Result |
| 101 | 3% | 9% | |
| 102 | 3% | 6% | |
| 103 | 2% | 4% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 71 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 73 | 7% | 97% | |
| 74 | 15% | 90% | |
| 75 | 17% | 75% | |
| 76 | 20% | 58% | Median |
| 77 | 21% | 37% | |
| 78 | 7% | 16% | |
| 79 | 4% | 9% | |
| 80 | 4% | 5% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 70 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 6% | 98% | |
| 72 | 9% | 92% | |
| 73 | 15% | 83% | |
| 74 | 20% | 68% | Median |
| 75 | 17% | 48% | |
| 76 | 18% | 31% | |
| 77 | 6% | 13% | |
| 78 | 4% | 7% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 34 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 8% | 97% | |
| 36 | 29% | 89% | |
| 37 | 36% | 60% | Median |
| 38 | 13% | 24% | |
| 39 | 7% | 11% | |
| 40 | 3% | 4% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 26 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 27 | 21% | 95% | |
| 28 | 32% | 75% | Median |
| 29 | 23% | 43% | |
| 30 | 16% | 20% | |
| 31 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 2% | 100% | |
| 20 | 9% | 98% | |
| 21 | 31% | 89% | |
| 22 | 35% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 23 | 18% | 24% | |
| 24 | 6% | 6% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 91% | |
| 2 | 0% | 91% | |
| 3 | 0% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 91% | |
| 5 | 0% | 91% | |
| 6 | 0% | 91% | |
| 7 | 0% | 91% | |
| 8 | 0% | 91% | |
| 9 | 0% | 91% | |
| 10 | 0% | 91% | |
| 11 | 0% | 91% | |
| 12 | 0% | 91% | |
| 13 | 0% | 91% | |
| 14 | 0% | 91% | |
| 15 | 27% | 91% | |
| 16 | 42% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
| 17 | 20% | 23% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 201 | 100% | 198–205 | 197–210 | 197–212 | 195–214 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 173 | 20% | 170–177 | 169–181 | 168–183 | 167–184 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 177 | 83% | 173–180 | 170–181 | 168–182 | 166–183 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 172 | 17% | 169–176 | 168–179 | 167–181 | 166–183 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 150 | 0% | 147–154 | 146–156 | 146–158 | 144–160 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 149 | 0% | 145–152 | 141–153 | 139–153 | 137–155 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 140 | 0% | 136–144 | 131–144 | 130–145 | 128–146 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 134 | 0% | 131–138 | 130–140 | 130–142 | 128–144 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 126 | 0% | 123–129 | 122–131 | 122–133 | 120–135 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 126 | 0% | 123–129 | 122–131 | 122–133 | 120–135 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 112 | 0% | 108–115 | 102–116 | 101–117 | 99–118 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 104 | 0% | 102–107 | 101–108 | 100–110 | 99–112 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 104 | 0% | 102–107 | 101–108 | 100–110 | 99–112 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 194 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 195 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 196 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 197 | 5% | 98% | |
| 198 | 9% | 92% | |
| 199 | 16% | 84% | |
| 200 | 17% | 68% | |
| 201 | 11% | 51% | Last Result, Median |
| 202 | 15% | 40% | |
| 203 | 9% | 25% | |
| 204 | 5% | 16% | |
| 205 | 2% | 11% | |
| 206 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 207 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 208 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 209 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 210 | 2% | 7% | |
| 211 | 2% | 5% | |
| 212 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 213 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 214 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 215 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 216 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | 0% | 100% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 168 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 169 | 4% | 97% | |
| 170 | 13% | 92% | Last Result |
| 171 | 13% | 79% | |
| 172 | 14% | 66% | |
| 173 | 18% | 52% | Median |
| 174 | 14% | 34% | |
| 175 | 6% | 20% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 14% | |
| 177 | 2% | 11% | |
| 178 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 179 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 180 | 2% | 7% | |
| 181 | 2% | 5% | |
| 182 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 183 | 2% | 3% | |
| 184 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 167 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 168 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 169 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 170 | 2% | 96% | |
| 171 | 2% | 94% | |
| 172 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 173 | 2% | 91% | |
| 174 | 6% | 89% | |
| 175 | 6% | 83% | Majority |
| 176 | 15% | 77% | |
| 177 | 18% | 62% | |
| 178 | 11% | 44% | Median |
| 179 | 15% | 33% | |
| 180 | 8% | 18% | |
| 181 | 6% | 10% | |
| 182 | 3% | 4% | |
| 183 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0% | 100% | |
| 156 | 0% | 100% | |
| 157 | 0% | 100% | |
| 158 | 0% | 100% | |
| 159 | 0% | 100% | |
| 160 | 0% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0% | 100% | |
| 164 | 0% | 100% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 167 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 168 | 6% | 96% | |
| 169 | 8% | 90% | |
| 170 | 15% | 82% | |
| 171 | 11% | 67% | |
| 172 | 18% | 56% | Median |
| 173 | 15% | 38% | |
| 174 | 6% | 23% | |
| 175 | 6% | 17% | Majority |
| 176 | 2% | 11% | |
| 177 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 178 | 2% | 8% | |
| 179 | 2% | 6% | |
| 180 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 181 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 182 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 183 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 100% | |
| 139 | 0% | 100% | |
| 140 | 0% | 100% | |
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0% | 100% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 145 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 146 | 4% | 98% | |
| 147 | 9% | 93% | |
| 148 | 11% | 84% | |
| 149 | 15% | 73% | |
| 150 | 15% | 58% | Median |
| 151 | 13% | 43% | |
| 152 | 12% | 30% | |
| 153 | 8% | 18% | |
| 154 | 2% | 11% | |
| 155 | 2% | 9% | |
| 156 | 2% | 7% | |
| 157 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 158 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 159 | 2% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 138 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 139 | 2% | 98% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 141 | 2% | 95% | |
| 142 | 2% | 93% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 144 | 0.9% | 91% | Last Result |
| 145 | 2% | 90% | |
| 146 | 5% | 88% | |
| 147 | 9% | 83% | |
| 148 | 15% | 74% | |
| 149 | 18% | 59% | |
| 150 | 15% | 42% | Median |
| 151 | 12% | 26% | |
| 152 | 9% | 15% | |
| 153 | 4% | 6% | |
| 154 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 155 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 156 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 130 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 131 | 2% | 97% | |
| 132 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 133 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 134 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 136 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 137 | 3% | 89% | |
| 138 | 8% | 87% | |
| 139 | 13% | 78% | |
| 140 | 16% | 65% | |
| 141 | 14% | 50% | Median |
| 142 | 14% | 36% | |
| 143 | 11% | 21% | |
| 144 | 6% | 10% | |
| 145 | 3% | 4% | |
| 146 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 147 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 129 | 1.5% | 99.2% | |
| 130 | 6% | 98% | |
| 131 | 8% | 92% | |
| 132 | 13% | 84% | |
| 133 | 19% | 70% | |
| 134 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 135 | 17% | 37% | |
| 136 | 6% | 20% | |
| 137 | 4% | 14% | |
| 138 | 2% | 10% | |
| 139 | 2% | 8% | |
| 140 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 141 | 2% | 4% | |
| 142 | 2% | 3% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 122 | 4% | 98% | |
| 123 | 11% | 94% | |
| 124 | 10% | 83% | |
| 125 | 17% | 74% | |
| 126 | 20% | 57% | Median |
| 127 | 15% | 37% | |
| 128 | 7% | 22% | |
| 129 | 6% | 15% | |
| 130 | 3% | 9% | |
| 131 | 3% | 6% | |
| 132 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 133 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0% | |
| 141 | 0% | 0% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0% | |
| 143 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 120 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 121 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 122 | 4% | 98% | |
| 123 | 11% | 94% | Last Result |
| 124 | 10% | 83% | |
| 125 | 17% | 74% | |
| 126 | 20% | 57% | Median |
| 127 | 15% | 37% | |
| 128 | 7% | 22% | |
| 129 | 6% | 15% | |
| 130 | 3% | 9% | |
| 131 | 3% | 6% | |
| 132 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 133 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 134 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 135 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 138 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 100 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 101 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 102 | 2% | 97% | |
| 103 | 2% | 95% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 108 | 2% | 91% | |
| 109 | 2% | 89% | |
| 110 | 9% | 87% | |
| 111 | 12% | 79% | |
| 112 | 20% | 67% | |
| 113 | 19% | 47% | Median |
| 114 | 13% | 28% | |
| 115 | 9% | 15% | |
| 116 | 3% | 6% | Last Result |
| 117 | 2% | 3% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 100 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 101 | 6% | 97% | |
| 102 | 11% | 91% | |
| 103 | 22% | 79% | |
| 104 | 17% | 57% | Median |
| 105 | 14% | 41% | |
| 106 | 11% | 27% | |
| 107 | 7% | 16% | |
| 108 | 5% | 9% | |
| 109 | 2% | 5% | |
| 110 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 100 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 101 | 6% | 97% | Last Result |
| 102 | 11% | 91% | |
| 103 | 22% | 79% | |
| 104 | 17% | 57% | Median |
| 105 | 14% | 41% | |
| 106 | 11% | 27% | |
| 107 | 7% | 16% | |
| 108 | 5% | 9% | |
| 109 | 2% | 5% | |
| 110 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sifo
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 5–15 October 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 7299
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.78%