Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 13–25 October 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 28.3% | 25.0% | 23.6–26.5% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.9–27.3% | 22.2–28.0% |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 19.8% | 21.0% | 19.7–22.4% | 19.3–22.8% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.4–23.8% |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 17.5% | 20.0% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.3–21.8% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.4–22.8% |
| Vänsterpartiet | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.7–12.4% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.0–13.2% |
| Centerpartiet | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.3–11.1% |
| Kristdemokraterna | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.8% |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.1–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| Liberalerna | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.0–4.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti | 100 | 91 | 85–95 | 83–97 | 82–99 | 80–101 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet | 70 | 75 | 71–81 | 70–83 | 68–83 | 66–86 |
| Sverigedemokraterna | 62 | 71 | 66–78 | 65–78 | 64–79 | 61–82 |
| Vänsterpartiet | 28 | 40 | 36–43 | 34–44 | 34–45 | 33–47 |
| Centerpartiet | 31 | 32 | 29–36 | 29–37 | 28–38 | 25–39 |
| Kristdemokraterna | 22 | 21 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–26 | 17–27 |
| Miljöpartiet de gröna | 16 | 18 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 0–24 |
| Liberalerna | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–15 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 82 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 83 | 2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 4% | 95% | |
| 85 | 6% | 90% | |
| 86 | 5% | 85% | |
| 87 | 6% | 79% | |
| 88 | 3% | 73% | |
| 89 | 9% | 70% | |
| 90 | 10% | 62% | |
| 91 | 3% | 51% | Median |
| 92 | 19% | 48% | |
| 93 | 6% | 30% | |
| 94 | 10% | 24% | |
| 95 | 6% | 14% | |
| 96 | 2% | 8% | |
| 97 | 4% | 7% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 99 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 70 | 2% | 96% | Last Result |
| 71 | 8% | 94% | |
| 72 | 18% | 86% | |
| 73 | 4% | 68% | |
| 74 | 13% | 64% | |
| 75 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 76 | 4% | 44% | |
| 77 | 15% | 40% | |
| 78 | 5% | 25% | |
| 79 | 3% | 20% | |
| 80 | 6% | 17% | |
| 81 | 3% | 11% | |
| 82 | 2% | 7% | |
| 83 | 4% | 6% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 86 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Sverigedemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 65 | 7% | 97% | |
| 66 | 1.5% | 90% | |
| 67 | 3% | 89% | |
| 68 | 4% | 85% | |
| 69 | 5% | 81% | |
| 70 | 17% | 76% | |
| 71 | 13% | 60% | Median |
| 72 | 6% | 47% | |
| 73 | 6% | 42% | |
| 74 | 2% | 35% | |
| 75 | 13% | 33% | |
| 76 | 4% | 20% | |
| 77 | 6% | 16% | |
| 78 | 7% | 10% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Vänsterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 3% | 98% | |
| 35 | 3% | 95% | |
| 36 | 12% | 92% | |
| 37 | 9% | 81% | |
| 38 | 6% | 72% | |
| 39 | 3% | 65% | |
| 40 | 25% | 63% | Median |
| 41 | 20% | 38% | |
| 42 | 4% | 18% | |
| 43 | 7% | 14% | |
| 44 | 3% | 6% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Centerpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 28 | 2% | 98% | |
| 29 | 7% | 96% | |
| 30 | 12% | 89% | |
| 31 | 13% | 77% | Last Result |
| 32 | 24% | 64% | Median |
| 33 | 10% | 40% | |
| 34 | 12% | 29% | |
| 35 | 5% | 17% | |
| 36 | 7% | 12% | |
| 37 | 2% | 6% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 39 | 2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Kristdemokraterna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 5% | 97% | |
| 19 | 10% | 92% | |
| 20 | 11% | 82% | |
| 21 | 23% | 71% | Median |
| 22 | 10% | 49% | Last Result |
| 23 | 10% | 38% | |
| 24 | 15% | 28% | |
| 25 | 7% | 13% | |
| 26 | 5% | 6% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Miljöpartiet de gröna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 0% | 98% | |
| 10 | 0% | 98% | |
| 11 | 0% | 98% | |
| 12 | 0% | 98% | |
| 13 | 0% | 98% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 15 | 5% | 97% | |
| 16 | 16% | 93% | Last Result |
| 17 | 18% | 77% | |
| 18 | 24% | 59% | Median |
| 19 | 19% | 34% | |
| 20 | 6% | 15% | |
| 21 | 5% | 10% | |
| 22 | 3% | 5% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalerna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 201 | 197 | 100% | 193–206 | 191–207 | 188–208 | 184–211 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 195 | 181 | 88% | 173–186 | 172–188 | 171–189 | 165–192 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna | 154 | 168 | 12% | 163–176 | 161–177 | 160–178 | 157–184 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet | 170 | 166 | 6% | 161–173 | 158–175 | 156–175 | 152–178 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna | 132 | 147 | 0% | 142–154 | 140–155 | 140–156 | 136–160 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 144 | 148 | 0% | 141–154 | 138–155 | 137–156 | 133–159 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna | 167 | 141 | 0% | 134–148 | 132–149 | 131–149 | 125–153 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna | 143 | 129 | 0% | 123–136 | 122–138 | 120–139 | 118–145 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet | 128 | 130 | 0% | 123–135 | 122–137 | 120–139 | 118–143 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna | 123 | 129 | 0% | 123–136 | 122–137 | 120–138 | 118–142 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna | 121 | 107 | 0% | 103–113 | 102–115 | 101–119 | 96–121 |
| Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet | 101 | 107 | 0% | 103–113 | 102–114 | 100–117 | 96–119 |
| Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna | 116 | 109 | 0% | 102–114 | 100–116 | 98–117 | 91–120 |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 181 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 186 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 187 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 189 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 190 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 191 | 2% | 96% | |
| 192 | 2% | 94% | |
| 193 | 3% | 92% | |
| 194 | 6% | 89% | |
| 195 | 8% | 84% | |
| 196 | 18% | 76% | |
| 197 | 17% | 58% | |
| 198 | 5% | 40% | Median |
| 199 | 7% | 35% | |
| 200 | 3% | 28% | |
| 201 | 5% | 25% | Last Result |
| 202 | 1.4% | 20% | |
| 203 | 2% | 19% | |
| 204 | 5% | 17% | |
| 205 | 1.3% | 12% | |
| 206 | 3% | 11% | |
| 207 | 3% | 7% | |
| 208 | 3% | 5% | |
| 209 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 210 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 211 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 215 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 162 | 0% | 100% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 168 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 169 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 170 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 171 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 172 | 5% | 97% | |
| 173 | 3% | 92% | |
| 174 | 1.4% | 89% | |
| 175 | 3% | 88% | Majority |
| 176 | 9% | 85% | |
| 177 | 8% | 76% | |
| 178 | 7% | 69% | |
| 179 | 8% | 62% | |
| 180 | 3% | 54% | |
| 181 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 182 | 7% | 43% | |
| 183 | 15% | 36% | |
| 184 | 5% | 21% | |
| 185 | 4% | 16% | |
| 186 | 2% | 11% | |
| 187 | 2% | 9% | |
| 188 | 4% | 8% | |
| 189 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 190 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 191 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 192 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 193 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153 | 0% | 100% | |
| 154 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 156 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 159 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 160 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 161 | 4% | 97% | |
| 162 | 2% | 92% | |
| 163 | 2% | 91% | |
| 164 | 4% | 89% | |
| 165 | 5% | 84% | |
| 166 | 15% | 79% | |
| 167 | 7% | 64% | Median |
| 168 | 8% | 57% | |
| 169 | 3% | 49% | |
| 170 | 8% | 46% | |
| 171 | 7% | 38% | |
| 172 | 8% | 31% | |
| 173 | 9% | 24% | |
| 174 | 3% | 15% | |
| 175 | 1.4% | 12% | Majority |
| 176 | 3% | 11% | |
| 177 | 5% | 8% | |
| 178 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 180 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 181 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 149 | 0% | 100% | |
| 150 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 153 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 154 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 156 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 157 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 158 | 2% | 96% | |
| 159 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 160 | 3% | 93% | |
| 161 | 8% | 90% | |
| 162 | 4% | 82% | |
| 163 | 8% | 78% | |
| 164 | 15% | 71% | |
| 165 | 5% | 56% | |
| 166 | 11% | 50% | Median |
| 167 | 12% | 40% | |
| 168 | 5% | 27% | |
| 169 | 2% | 22% | |
| 170 | 5% | 20% | Last Result |
| 171 | 3% | 15% | |
| 172 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 173 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 174 | 4% | 9% | |
| 175 | 3% | 6% | Majority |
| 176 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 177 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 178 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 137 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 140 | 4% | 98% | |
| 141 | 3% | 93% | |
| 142 | 16% | 91% | |
| 143 | 7% | 75% | |
| 144 | 4% | 68% | |
| 145 | 10% | 64% | |
| 146 | 3% | 54% | Median |
| 147 | 3% | 51% | |
| 148 | 2% | 48% | |
| 149 | 9% | 46% | |
| 150 | 8% | 37% | |
| 151 | 3% | 29% | |
| 152 | 13% | 26% | |
| 153 | 2% | 13% | |
| 154 | 5% | 11% | |
| 155 | 4% | 7% | |
| 156 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 158 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 138 | 3% | 97% | |
| 139 | 2% | 95% | |
| 140 | 2% | 93% | |
| 141 | 6% | 91% | |
| 142 | 4% | 85% | |
| 143 | 3% | 80% | |
| 144 | 5% | 77% | Last Result |
| 145 | 7% | 72% | |
| 146 | 3% | 65% | |
| 147 | 8% | 62% | |
| 148 | 6% | 54% | |
| 149 | 6% | 48% | Median |
| 150 | 9% | 43% | |
| 151 | 15% | 33% | |
| 152 | 5% | 19% | |
| 153 | 3% | 13% | |
| 154 | 5% | 10% | |
| 155 | 2% | 5% | |
| 156 | 2% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 124 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 127 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 130 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 131 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 132 | 4% | 97% | |
| 133 | 2% | 93% | |
| 134 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 135 | 0.8% | 89% | |
| 136 | 11% | 89% | |
| 137 | 7% | 77% | |
| 138 | 3% | 70% | |
| 139 | 3% | 68% | |
| 140 | 3% | 64% | |
| 141 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 142 | 18% | 45% | |
| 143 | 5% | 27% | |
| 144 | 4% | 23% | |
| 145 | 3% | 19% | |
| 146 | 3% | 16% | |
| 147 | 2% | 12% | |
| 148 | 4% | 10% | |
| 149 | 3% | 6% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116 | 0% | 100% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 120 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 121 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 122 | 5% | 96% | |
| 123 | 2% | 91% | |
| 124 | 1.4% | 89% | |
| 125 | 4% | 88% | |
| 126 | 5% | 83% | |
| 127 | 8% | 78% | |
| 128 | 15% | 70% | Median |
| 129 | 6% | 55% | |
| 130 | 10% | 49% | |
| 131 | 7% | 39% | |
| 132 | 5% | 31% | |
| 133 | 4% | 27% | |
| 134 | 7% | 23% | |
| 135 | 3% | 16% | |
| 136 | 6% | 13% | |
| 137 | 2% | 8% | |
| 138 | 2% | 5% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 144 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 118 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 120 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 122 | 3% | 96% | |
| 123 | 6% | 92% | |
| 124 | 3% | 87% | |
| 125 | 6% | 84% | |
| 126 | 4% | 78% | |
| 127 | 3% | 74% | |
| 128 | 7% | 71% | Last Result |
| 129 | 2% | 64% | |
| 130 | 13% | 62% | |
| 131 | 5% | 49% | Median |
| 132 | 8% | 44% | |
| 133 | 15% | 36% | |
| 134 | 7% | 20% | |
| 135 | 7% | 14% | |
| 136 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 137 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 138 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 139 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 0% | 100% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 119 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 120 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 121 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 122 | 5% | 95% | |
| 123 | 2% | 90% | Last Result |
| 124 | 2% | 88% | |
| 125 | 4% | 87% | |
| 126 | 5% | 82% | |
| 127 | 8% | 77% | |
| 128 | 15% | 69% | Median |
| 129 | 7% | 54% | |
| 130 | 10% | 47% | |
| 131 | 7% | 37% | |
| 132 | 5% | 30% | |
| 133 | 4% | 25% | |
| 134 | 7% | 22% | |
| 135 | 3% | 15% | |
| 136 | 6% | 12% | |
| 137 | 2% | 6% | |
| 138 | 2% | 4% | |
| 139 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 101 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 102 | 3% | 97% | |
| 103 | 10% | 94% | |
| 104 | 18% | 84% | |
| 105 | 2% | 66% | |
| 106 | 12% | 64% | |
| 107 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 108 | 3% | 49% | |
| 109 | 5% | 46% | |
| 110 | 12% | 41% | |
| 111 | 4% | 29% | |
| 112 | 8% | 25% | |
| 113 | 8% | 17% | |
| 114 | 3% | 9% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 116 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 117 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 118 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 119 | 2% | 3% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 127 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 128 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 129 | 0% | 0% |
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 100 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 101 | 0.9% | 97% | Last Result |
| 102 | 3% | 97% | |
| 103 | 11% | 94% | |
| 104 | 18% | 83% | |
| 105 | 2% | 65% | |
| 106 | 12% | 63% | |
| 107 | 3% | 50% | Median |
| 108 | 3% | 47% | |
| 109 | 5% | 44% | |
| 110 | 12% | 39% | |
| 111 | 4% | 27% | |
| 112 | 7% | 23% | |
| 113 | 8% | 15% | |
| 114 | 3% | 7% | |
| 115 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 117 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 119 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 121 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 122 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% |
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 97 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 100 | 2% | 97% | |
| 101 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 102 | 7% | 93% | |
| 103 | 4% | 85% | |
| 104 | 5% | 81% | |
| 105 | 8% | 76% | |
| 106 | 4% | 68% | |
| 107 | 10% | 65% | |
| 108 | 2% | 55% | |
| 109 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 110 | 19% | 48% | |
| 111 | 8% | 28% | |
| 112 | 7% | 21% | |
| 113 | 2% | 14% | |
| 114 | 5% | 12% | |
| 115 | 2% | 7% | |
| 116 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 117 | 2% | 3% | |
| 118 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 122 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 123 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Nyheter
- Fieldwork period: 13–25 October 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1486
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.28%