Opinion Poll by SKOP, 23–26 October 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 26.0% 24.3–27.8% 23.8–28.4% 23.4–28.8% 22.6–29.7%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 21.1% 19.5–22.8% 19.1–23.3% 18.7–23.7% 17.9–24.6%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 17.8% 16.3–19.4% 15.9–19.9% 15.5–20.3% 14.9–21.1%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 12.1% 10.9–13.5% 10.5–13.9% 10.2–14.3% 9.6–15.0%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 9.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.7–10.7% 7.5–11.1% 7.0–11.7%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
Liberalerna 5.5% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 98 91–105 89–107 87–109 84–112
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 78 73–85 71–87 69–89 67–92
Sverigedemokraterna 62 67 61–72 60–75 58–77 55–79
Vänsterpartiet 28 45 41–51 39–52 38–53 36–56
Centerpartiet 31 35 30–39 29–40 28–41 26–43
Kristdemokraterna 22 22 19–26 18–27 17–28 16–30
Liberalerna 20 0 0–15 0–16 0–16 0–18
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 0 0 0–15 0–16 0–17

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.6%  
85 0.6% 99.3%  
86 0.6% 98.7%  
87 0.9% 98%  
88 1.4% 97%  
89 3% 96%  
90 2% 93%  
91 3% 91%  
92 3% 87%  
93 5% 84%  
94 7% 80%  
95 7% 73%  
96 9% 66%  
97 4% 57%  
98 7% 52% Median
99 4% 46%  
100 11% 42% Last Result
101 4% 31%  
102 5% 27%  
103 8% 22%  
104 4% 14%  
105 3% 10%  
106 2% 7%  
107 2% 5%  
108 0.5% 3%  
109 1.4% 3%  
110 0.4% 1.3%  
111 0.2% 0.9%  
112 0.3% 0.7%  
113 0.2% 0.4%  
114 0.2% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.3% 99.6%  
68 0.7% 99.2%  
69 1.3% 98.5%  
70 2% 97% Last Result
71 2% 95%  
72 3% 93%  
73 2% 91%  
74 4% 88%  
75 7% 84%  
76 9% 77%  
77 10% 68%  
78 10% 58% Median
79 5% 48%  
80 5% 43%  
81 6% 38%  
82 7% 32%  
83 7% 25%  
84 6% 17%  
85 3% 11%  
86 2% 8%  
87 2% 6%  
88 1.3% 5%  
89 1.2% 3%  
90 0.7% 2%  
91 0.7% 1.5%  
92 0.4% 0.8%  
93 0.1% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.3% 99.7%  
56 0.6% 99.4%  
57 0.8% 98.9%  
58 1.2% 98%  
59 1.3% 97%  
60 3% 96%  
61 4% 93%  
62 6% 89% Last Result
63 4% 84%  
64 5% 80%  
65 7% 74%  
66 11% 68%  
67 12% 57% Median
68 9% 45%  
69 3% 36%  
70 6% 33%  
71 9% 27%  
72 8% 18%  
73 3% 10%  
74 1.4% 7%  
75 2% 6%  
76 1.4% 4%  
77 1.1% 3%  
78 0.7% 1.5%  
79 0.3% 0.7%  
80 0.1% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.8%  
36 0.7% 99.7%  
37 0.5% 99.0%  
38 2% 98%  
39 3% 96%  
40 2% 93%  
41 9% 91%  
42 5% 82%  
43 11% 77%  
44 11% 66%  
45 7% 56% Median
46 13% 49%  
47 6% 37%  
48 7% 30%  
49 8% 23%  
50 4% 15%  
51 5% 11%  
52 1.4% 6%  
53 2% 4%  
54 0.9% 2%  
55 0.7% 1.5%  
56 0.4% 0.8%  
57 0.1% 0.4%  
58 0.2% 0.3%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.2% 99.9%  
26 0.6% 99.7%  
27 1.2% 99.1%  
28 2% 98%  
29 2% 96%  
30 4% 94%  
31 7% 89% Last Result
32 10% 82%  
33 11% 73%  
34 8% 62%  
35 14% 54% Median
36 11% 40%  
37 10% 30%  
38 7% 19%  
39 4% 12%  
40 4% 8%  
41 2% 4%  
42 1.2% 2%  
43 0.5% 0.9%  
44 0.2% 0.5%  
45 0.1% 0.2%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0% 99.8%  
10 0% 99.8%  
11 0% 99.8%  
12 0% 99.8%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0% 99.8%  
15 0.2% 99.8%  
16 0.8% 99.6%  
17 2% 98.9%  
18 5% 97%  
19 9% 92%  
20 10% 82%  
21 15% 72%  
22 15% 57% Last Result, Median
23 11% 42%  
24 9% 31%  
25 8% 22%  
26 5% 14%  
27 4% 9%  
28 3% 5%  
29 1.2% 2%  
30 0.6% 1.1%  
31 0.3% 0.4%  
32 0.1% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Median
1 0% 11%  
2 0% 11%  
3 0% 11%  
4 0% 11%  
5 0% 11%  
6 0% 11%  
7 0% 11%  
8 0% 11%  
9 0% 11%  
10 0% 11%  
11 0% 11%  
12 0% 11%  
13 0% 11%  
14 0.1% 11%  
15 5% 11%  
16 3% 6%  
17 1.4% 2%  
18 0.8% 1.1%  
19 0.2% 0.3%  
20 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
21 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0% 6%  
4 0% 6%  
5 0% 6%  
6 0% 6%  
7 0% 6%  
8 0% 6%  
9 0% 6%  
10 0% 6%  
11 0% 6%  
12 0% 6%  
13 0% 6%  
14 0.1% 6%  
15 3% 6%  
16 2% 3% Last Result
17 0.9% 1.3%  
18 0.3% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 212 100% 203–220 199–222 197–223 192–227
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna 195 180 83% 172–189 170–191 169–194 165–198
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 177 64% 168–185 166–187 163–189 159–193
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna 154 169 17% 160–177 158–179 155–180 151–184
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna 132 147 0% 138–154 136–156 134–158 130–162
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 144 0% 136–153 134–155 132–157 128–162
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 143 0% 135–151 133–153 131–155 126–159
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 137 0% 130–146 127–149 125–152 121–157
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna 167 135 0% 127–144 125–146 123–149 120–155
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 136 0% 128–144 125–146 123–147 119–152
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 115 0% 108–124 105–127 104–129 100–135
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 114 0% 106–120 104–123 102–125 99–129
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 99 0% 91–106 89–109 88–112 85–117

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
186 0% 100%  
187 0.1% 99.9%  
188 0% 99.8%  
189 0.1% 99.8%  
190 0.1% 99.7%  
191 0.1% 99.7%  
192 0.3% 99.5%  
193 0.2% 99.3%  
194 0.3% 99.1%  
195 0.3% 98.8%  
196 0.5% 98%  
197 0.6% 98%  
198 2% 97%  
199 1.0% 96%  
200 1.3% 95%  
201 2% 94% Last Result
202 2% 92%  
203 3% 90%  
204 3% 88%  
205 4% 85%  
206 5% 81%  
207 3% 76%  
208 4% 73%  
209 5% 69%  
210 6% 64%  
211 6% 58% Median
212 5% 53%  
213 6% 48%  
214 11% 42%  
215 4% 31%  
216 7% 27%  
217 4% 20%  
218 2% 17%  
219 4% 14%  
220 3% 11%  
221 1.4% 8%  
222 3% 6%  
223 1.0% 3%  
224 0.8% 2%  
225 0.6% 2%  
226 0.4% 1.0%  
227 0.3% 0.7%  
228 0.1% 0.4%  
229 0.1% 0.3%  
230 0.1% 0.2%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
161 0% 100%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.2% 99.8%  
164 0.2% 99.7%  
165 0.3% 99.5%  
166 0.2% 99.2%  
167 0.4% 99.0%  
168 1.0% 98.6%  
169 1.3% 98%  
170 1.4% 96%  
171 2% 95%  
172 4% 93%  
173 3% 88%  
174 3% 85%  
175 4% 83% Majority
176 3% 78%  
177 5% 75%  
178 8% 70% Median
179 6% 62%  
180 8% 57%  
181 6% 49%  
182 7% 43%  
183 4% 36%  
184 5% 32%  
185 6% 27%  
186 5% 22%  
187 3% 17%  
188 3% 14%  
189 3% 12%  
190 3% 9%  
191 1.1% 6%  
192 1.4% 5%  
193 0.8% 3%  
194 0.7% 3%  
195 0.3% 2% Last Result
196 0.4% 2%  
197 0.3% 1.1%  
198 0.4% 0.9%  
199 0.1% 0.5%  
200 0.2% 0.4%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0.1% 99.8%  
158 0.1% 99.7%  
159 0.2% 99.6%  
160 0.3% 99.4%  
161 0.3% 99.1%  
162 0.8% 98.7%  
163 0.8% 98%  
164 0.7% 97%  
165 1.4% 96%  
166 2% 95%  
167 2% 94%  
168 3% 92%  
169 2% 88%  
170 3% 86% Last Result
171 4% 83%  
172 3% 79%  
173 7% 76%  
174 5% 69%  
175 4% 64% Majority
176 7% 60% Median
177 5% 53%  
178 7% 48%  
179 8% 42%  
180 8% 34%  
181 3% 26%  
182 4% 23%  
183 5% 19%  
184 2% 15%  
185 4% 12%  
186 2% 8%  
187 2% 6%  
188 1.2% 4%  
189 0.7% 3%  
190 0.8% 2%  
191 0.6% 2%  
192 0.2% 0.9%  
193 0.3% 0.6%  
194 0.1% 0.4%  
195 0.1% 0.2%  
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.2% 99.8%  
150 0.1% 99.6%  
151 0.4% 99.5%  
152 0.3% 99.1%  
153 0.4% 98.9%  
154 0.3% 98% Last Result
155 0.7% 98%  
156 0.8% 97%  
157 1.4% 97%  
158 1.1% 95%  
159 3% 94%  
160 3% 91%  
161 3% 88%  
162 3% 86%  
163 5% 83%  
164 6% 78%  
165 5% 73%  
166 4% 68%  
167 7% 64% Median
168 6% 57%  
169 8% 51%  
170 6% 43%  
171 8% 38%  
172 5% 30%  
173 3% 25%  
174 4% 22%  
175 3% 17% Majority
176 3% 15%  
177 4% 12%  
178 2% 7%  
179 1.4% 5%  
180 1.3% 4%  
181 1.0% 2%  
182 0.4% 1.4%  
183 0.2% 1.0%  
184 0.3% 0.8%  
185 0.2% 0.5%  
186 0.2% 0.3%  
187 0.1% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.8%  
129 0.2% 99.7%  
130 0.4% 99.5%  
131 0.5% 99.1%  
132 0.4% 98.6% Last Result
133 0.7% 98%  
134 0.8% 98%  
135 1.3% 97%  
136 2% 95%  
137 2% 94%  
138 2% 92%  
139 2% 89%  
140 3% 87%  
141 5% 84%  
142 7% 79%  
143 8% 72%  
144 6% 65%  
145 4% 59% Median
146 5% 55%  
147 5% 50%  
148 7% 45%  
149 7% 37%  
150 7% 31%  
151 7% 24%  
152 4% 17%  
153 2% 12%  
154 1.4% 11%  
155 3% 9%  
156 3% 7%  
157 1.0% 4%  
158 0.9% 3%  
159 0.7% 2%  
160 0.8% 2%  
161 0.2% 0.7%  
162 0.1% 0.5%  
163 0.1% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.3%  
165 0.1% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0.2% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.7%  
128 0.7% 99.6%  
129 0.2% 98.9%  
130 0.5% 98.7%  
131 0.5% 98%  
132 0.9% 98%  
133 1.2% 97%  
134 2% 96%  
135 2% 94%  
136 3% 92%  
137 4% 89%  
138 4% 85%  
139 4% 81%  
140 5% 77%  
141 4% 72%  
142 6% 69%  
143 7% 62% Median
144 9% 55% Last Result
145 5% 46%  
146 7% 41%  
147 6% 34%  
148 4% 28%  
149 4% 24%  
150 3% 20%  
151 4% 17%  
152 2% 13%  
153 3% 11%  
154 2% 7%  
155 1.3% 6%  
156 1.4% 4%  
157 0.4% 3%  
158 0.8% 2%  
159 0.3% 2%  
160 0.5% 1.3%  
161 0.3% 0.8%  
162 0.2% 0.5%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.3%  
165 0.1% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0.1% 99.9%  
125 0.1% 99.8%  
126 0.2% 99.7%  
127 0.2% 99.5%  
128 0.8% 99.3% Last Result
129 0.3% 98.5%  
130 0.7% 98%  
131 1.0% 98%  
132 1.2% 97%  
133 2% 95%  
134 2% 94%  
135 3% 92%  
136 3% 89%  
137 4% 86%  
138 4% 82%  
139 4% 77%  
140 5% 73%  
141 4% 68%  
142 7% 64%  
143 7% 57% Median
144 9% 50%  
145 5% 41%  
146 7% 36%  
147 6% 29%  
148 4% 23%  
149 3% 19%  
150 2% 16%  
151 4% 14%  
152 2% 10%  
153 3% 7%  
154 1.5% 4%  
155 0.9% 3%  
156 0.9% 2%  
157 0.2% 1.2%  
158 0.4% 1.0%  
159 0.2% 0.6%  
160 0.2% 0.4%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0.1% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0.2% 99.6%  
122 0.3% 99.5%  
123 0.6% 99.2%  
124 0.8% 98.6%  
125 0.6% 98%  
126 0.7% 97%  
127 2% 96%  
128 1.4% 94%  
129 2% 93%  
130 5% 91%  
131 2% 86%  
132 5% 83%  
133 8% 79%  
134 2% 70%  
135 7% 69% Median
136 9% 61%  
137 5% 53%  
138 6% 48%  
139 9% 42%  
140 3% 34%  
141 5% 30%  
142 5% 25%  
143 2% 20% Last Result
144 3% 18%  
145 4% 15%  
146 2% 12%  
147 3% 10%  
148 1.4% 7%  
149 0.7% 5%  
150 1.0% 5%  
151 0.9% 4%  
152 0.7% 3%  
153 0.8% 2%  
154 0.4% 1.4%  
155 0.2% 1.0%  
156 0.2% 0.8%  
157 0.2% 0.5%  
158 0.2% 0.3%  
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.8%  
119 0.2% 99.7%  
120 0.2% 99.5%  
121 0.5% 99.3%  
122 0.9% 98.8%  
123 0.9% 98%  
124 1.2% 97%  
125 2% 96%  
126 1.5% 94%  
127 3% 93%  
128 5% 89%  
129 6% 85%  
130 4% 79%  
131 4% 75%  
132 6% 70%  
133 6% 64% Median
134 4% 58%  
135 8% 54%  
136 5% 46%  
137 6% 41%  
138 7% 35%  
139 5% 28%  
140 3% 23%  
141 5% 20%  
142 1.2% 15%  
143 3% 14%  
144 2% 11%  
145 2% 9%  
146 2% 7%  
147 1.2% 5%  
148 0.7% 4%  
149 0.7% 3%  
150 0.5% 2%  
151 0.3% 2%  
152 0.5% 2%  
153 0.2% 1.1%  
154 0.2% 0.8%  
155 0.2% 0.6%  
156 0.1% 0.4%  
157 0.2% 0.4%  
158 0.1% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0% Last Result

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0.2% 99.8%  
119 0.2% 99.6%  
120 0.2% 99.4%  
121 0.5% 99.2%  
122 0.5% 98.7%  
123 0.9% 98% Last Result
124 1.3% 97%  
125 1.2% 96%  
126 1.1% 95%  
127 3% 94%  
128 2% 91%  
129 3% 89%  
130 5% 86%  
131 3% 81%  
132 6% 78%  
133 9% 72%  
134 2% 63%  
135 8% 61% Median
136 9% 53%  
137 5% 44%  
138 6% 39%  
139 9% 33%  
140 3% 25%  
141 5% 22%  
142 4% 17%  
143 2% 12%  
144 3% 10%  
145 3% 8%  
146 1.2% 5%  
147 1.5% 4%  
148 0.7% 2%  
149 0.3% 2%  
150 0.4% 1.3%  
151 0.4% 0.9%  
152 0.1% 0.5%  
153 0.2% 0.4%  
154 0.1% 0.2%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.9%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0.2% 99.7%  
101 0.4% 99.4%  
102 0.7% 99.1%  
103 0.9% 98%  
104 1.3% 98%  
105 1.4% 96%  
106 2% 95%  
107 3% 93%  
108 3% 91%  
109 3% 87%  
110 6% 84%  
111 9% 78%  
112 4% 70%  
113 6% 66% Median
114 8% 59%  
115 7% 52%  
116 5% 45%  
117 9% 40%  
118 4% 32%  
119 3% 27%  
120 6% 24%  
121 3% 18% Last Result
122 2% 16%  
123 3% 13%  
124 2% 11%  
125 1.4% 9%  
126 2% 7%  
127 0.9% 5%  
128 0.7% 4%  
129 1.1% 4%  
130 0.5% 2%  
131 0.6% 2%  
132 0.5% 1.4%  
133 0.3% 0.9%  
134 0.1% 0.6%  
135 0.2% 0.5%  
136 0.2% 0.3%  
137 0% 0.2%  
138 0.1% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.2% 99.8%  
99 0.2% 99.6%  
100 0.6% 99.3%  
101 0.6% 98.8% Last Result
102 1.0% 98%  
103 1.3% 97%  
104 2% 96%  
105 2% 94%  
106 2% 92%  
107 3% 90%  
108 4% 86%  
109 4% 82%  
110 6% 78%  
111 10% 72%  
112 5% 62%  
113 7% 58% Median
114 8% 51%  
115 7% 43%  
116 5% 36%  
117 9% 31%  
118 4% 22%  
119 3% 18%  
120 6% 15%  
121 2% 9%  
122 2% 8%  
123 2% 6%  
124 1.2% 4%  
125 0.7% 3%  
126 0.6% 2%  
127 0.4% 1.2%  
128 0.2% 0.8%  
129 0.3% 0.5%  
130 0.1% 0.3%  
131 0.1% 0.2%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.7%  
85 0.5% 99.5%  
86 0.5% 99.0%  
87 0.6% 98.5%  
88 0.9% 98%  
89 3% 97%  
90 2% 94%  
91 3% 92%  
92 2% 90%  
93 4% 87%  
94 7% 83%  
95 6% 77%  
96 9% 70%  
97 4% 61%  
98 6% 57% Median
99 4% 51%  
100 11% 47%  
101 4% 36%  
102 5% 32%  
103 8% 27%  
104 4% 19%  
105 4% 15%  
106 2% 12%  
107 3% 10%  
108 1.2% 7%  
109 2% 6%  
110 0.8% 4%  
111 0.4% 3%  
112 0.6% 3%  
113 0.5% 2%  
114 0.4% 2%  
115 0.2% 1.2%  
116 0.2% 1.0% Last Result
117 0.3% 0.7%  
118 0.2% 0.4%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.2%  
121 0.1% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations