Opinion Poll by Sifo, 2–11 November 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 28.3% 27.0% 25.6–28.5% 25.2–28.9% 24.8–29.3% 24.2–30.0%
Moderata samlingspartiet 19.8% 20.8% 19.5–22.2% 19.2–22.6% 18.9–22.9% 18.3–23.6%
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 19.9% 18.6–21.3% 18.3–21.7% 18.0–22.0% 17.4–22.6%
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 10.2% 9.3–11.3% 9.0–11.6% 8.8–11.8% 8.4–12.4%
Centerpartiet 8.6% 7.6% 6.8–8.6% 6.6–8.8% 6.4–9.1% 6.0–9.5%
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 5.7% 5.0–6.6% 4.8–6.8% 4.7–7.0% 4.4–7.4%
Miljöpartiet de gröna 4.4% 4.2% 3.6–5.0% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.7%
Liberalerna 5.5% 3.2% 2.7–3.8% 2.5–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 100 101 92–108 90–109 89–111 87–112
Moderata samlingspartiet 70 77 71–82 70–84 69–85 66–88
Sverigedemokraterna 62 74 68–79 67–80 66–81 64–84
Vänsterpartiet 28 38 34–41 33–43 32–44 31–46
Centerpartiet 31 28 25–32 24–33 23–33 22–35
Kristdemokraterna 22 21 19–24 18–25 17–26 16–27
Miljöpartiet de gröna 16 15 0–19 0–19 0–20 0–21
Liberalerna 20 0 0 0–14 0–15 0–16

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.3% 99.7%  
88 0.8% 99.5%  
89 2% 98.7%  
90 2% 97%  
91 3% 95%  
92 4% 91%  
93 7% 87%  
94 6% 80%  
95 7% 74%  
96 6% 67%  
97 4% 62%  
98 2% 58%  
99 2% 55%  
100 2% 53% Last Result
101 3% 51% Median
102 3% 48%  
103 6% 45%  
104 6% 39%  
105 8% 33%  
106 6% 25%  
107 8% 19%  
108 4% 10%  
109 2% 6%  
110 1.4% 4%  
111 2% 3%  
112 0.2% 0.6%  
113 0.2% 0.3%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.8%  
67 0.4% 99.5%  
68 0.9% 99.1%  
69 2% 98%  
70 2% 97% Last Result
71 5% 95%  
72 4% 90%  
73 6% 85%  
74 7% 79%  
75 11% 72%  
76 8% 61%  
77 11% 53% Median
78 5% 42%  
79 7% 36%  
80 10% 30%  
81 6% 20%  
82 5% 14%  
83 3% 9%  
84 2% 6%  
85 2% 4%  
86 0.8% 2%  
87 0.3% 1.0%  
88 0.3% 0.7%  
89 0.3% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
63 0.2% 99.7%  
64 0.6% 99.5%  
65 0.8% 98.9%  
66 2% 98%  
67 2% 96%  
68 4% 94%  
69 4% 90%  
70 9% 86%  
71 7% 76%  
72 10% 69%  
73 6% 60%  
74 10% 54% Median
75 9% 43%  
76 9% 34%  
77 9% 25%  
78 5% 16%  
79 5% 12%  
80 3% 7%  
81 1.4% 4%  
82 1.1% 2%  
83 0.4% 1.2%  
84 0.4% 0.7%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.3% 99.8%  
31 1.1% 99.5%  
32 1.2% 98%  
33 5% 97%  
34 5% 93%  
35 10% 88%  
36 14% 77%  
37 8% 63%  
38 14% 55% Median
39 9% 40%  
40 13% 31%  
41 9% 19%  
42 4% 10%  
43 4% 6%  
44 0.7% 3%  
45 1.2% 2%  
46 0.4% 0.6%  
47 0.2% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.2% 99.9%  
22 0.7% 99.7%  
23 2% 99.0%  
24 4% 97%  
25 7% 93%  
26 9% 85%  
27 16% 77%  
28 15% 61% Median
29 15% 46%  
30 11% 31%  
31 8% 20% Last Result
32 6% 12%  
33 4% 6%  
34 1.2% 2%  
35 0.6% 1.0%  
36 0.3% 0.5%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100%  
16 0.9% 99.8%  
17 2% 98.8%  
18 6% 97%  
19 12% 90%  
20 13% 79%  
21 19% 66% Median
22 17% 47% Last Result
23 12% 30%  
24 8% 18%  
25 6% 10%  
26 2% 4%  
27 1.1% 2%  
28 0.3% 0.5%  
29 0.1% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 41% 100%  
1 0% 59%  
2 0% 59%  
3 0% 59%  
4 0% 59%  
5 0% 59%  
6 0% 59%  
7 0% 59%  
8 0% 59%  
9 0% 59%  
10 0% 59%  
11 0% 59%  
12 0% 59%  
13 0% 59%  
14 0.2% 59%  
15 12% 59% Median
16 14% 47% Last Result
17 11% 33%  
18 11% 22%  
19 7% 11%  
20 4% 5%  
21 0.9% 1.0%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  

Liberalerna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0% 5%  
4 0% 5%  
5 0% 5%  
6 0% 5%  
7 0% 5%  
8 0% 5%  
9 0% 5%  
10 0% 5%  
11 0% 5%  
12 0% 5%  
13 0% 5%  
14 1.5% 5%  
15 3% 4%  
16 0.9% 1.2%  
17 0.3% 0.3%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 201 205 100% 196–215 194–217 192–219 187–223
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet 170 177 57% 167–187 165–189 163–191 160–193
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 195 177 63% 169–185 168–187 167–188 163–192
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna 154 172 37% 164–180 162–181 161–182 157–186
Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna 132 150 0% 143–158 142–160 140–161 136–164
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna 144 147 0% 141–156 139–159 136–161 132–163
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna 167 139 0% 130–148 129–150 127–152 123–156
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet 128 138 0% 129–146 127–148 125–151 123–153
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna 143 127 0% 120–134 119–136 116–139 114–144
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna 123 127 0% 119–133 118–135 116–136 113–139
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna 116 110 0% 103–120 101–121 98–123 93–126
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna 121 106 0% 99–113 98–115 96–117 93–122
Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet 101 105 0% 99–111 97–113 96–114 93–117

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
183 0% 100%  
184 0.1% 99.9%  
185 0.1% 99.8%  
186 0.2% 99.7%  
187 0.1% 99.5%  
188 0.3% 99.4%  
189 0.4% 99.1%  
190 0.4% 98.7%  
191 0.5% 98%  
192 1.4% 98%  
193 0.9% 96%  
194 2% 95%  
195 2% 93%  
196 2% 91%  
197 4% 89%  
198 4% 85%  
199 7% 81%  
200 3% 74%  
201 7% 72% Last Result
202 4% 65%  
203 4% 61%  
204 6% 56%  
205 3% 51%  
206 4% 48% Median
207 3% 44%  
208 5% 40%  
209 4% 36%  
210 7% 32%  
211 2% 25%  
212 6% 23%  
213 2% 17%  
214 3% 16%  
215 4% 12%  
216 2% 8%  
217 1.0% 6%  
218 1.4% 5%  
219 1.2% 3%  
220 0.8% 2%  
221 0.4% 1.4%  
222 0.5% 1.0%  
223 0.3% 0.5%  
224 0.1% 0.2%  
225 0.1% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Moderata samlingspartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0.2% 99.9%  
159 0.1% 99.7%  
160 0.3% 99.6%  
161 0.4% 99.3%  
162 0.3% 98.9%  
163 1.2% 98.6%  
164 2% 97%  
165 1.0% 96%  
166 3% 95%  
167 3% 92%  
168 6% 89%  
169 2% 83%  
170 6% 81% Last Result
171 3% 75%  
172 6% 73%  
173 5% 66%  
174 4% 61%  
175 3% 57% Majority
176 4% 54%  
177 3% 50%  
178 3% 47% Median
179 3% 44%  
180 5% 41%  
181 3% 36%  
182 3% 33%  
183 4% 30%  
184 8% 26%  
185 4% 18%  
186 3% 14%  
187 2% 11%  
188 4% 9%  
189 2% 5%  
190 0.7% 4%  
191 1.2% 3%  
192 0.9% 2%  
193 0.4% 0.8%  
194 0.2% 0.4%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
159 0% 100%  
160 0.1% 99.9%  
161 0.1% 99.8%  
162 0.1% 99.7%  
163 0.3% 99.6%  
164 0.3% 99.3%  
165 0.8% 99.0%  
166 0.7% 98%  
167 2% 98%  
168 2% 96%  
169 6% 94%  
170 5% 88%  
171 3% 83%  
172 7% 80%  
173 7% 74%  
174 5% 67%  
175 5% 63% Majority
176 4% 58%  
177 8% 54%  
178 5% 46%  
179 6% 41%  
180 4% 35%  
181 4% 31%  
182 6% 27% Median
183 6% 21%  
184 4% 15%  
185 3% 11%  
186 2% 8%  
187 2% 6%  
188 1.1% 3%  
189 0.6% 2%  
190 0.4% 2%  
191 0.4% 1.2%  
192 0.4% 0.8%  
193 0.1% 0.4%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna – Kristdemokraterna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
155 0.1% 99.8%  
156 0.1% 99.7%  
157 0.4% 99.6%  
158 0.4% 99.2%  
159 0.4% 98.8%  
160 0.6% 98%  
161 1.1% 98%  
162 2% 97%  
163 2% 94%  
164 3% 92%  
165 4% 89%  
166 6% 85%  
167 6% 79%  
168 4% 73%  
169 4% 69%  
170 6% 65%  
171 5% 59%  
172 8% 54% Median
173 4% 46%  
174 5% 42%  
175 5% 37% Majority
176 7% 33%  
177 7% 26%  
178 3% 20%  
179 5% 17%  
180 6% 12%  
181 2% 6%  
182 2% 4%  
183 0.7% 2%  
184 0.8% 2%  
185 0.3% 1.0%  
186 0.3% 0.7%  
187 0.1% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Sverigedemokraterna

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100% Last Result
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.1% 99.8%  
136 0.2% 99.6%  
137 0.3% 99.4%  
138 0.5% 99.1%  
139 0.8% 98.6%  
140 1.1% 98%  
141 2% 97%  
142 2% 95%  
143 4% 93%  
144 3% 89%  
145 4% 86%  
146 8% 82%  
147 6% 74%  
148 4% 69%  
149 6% 65%  
150 11% 59%  
151 5% 48% Median
152 4% 43%  
153 7% 39%  
154 9% 33%  
155 2% 23%  
156 5% 21%  
157 6% 17%  
158 2% 10%  
159 3% 9%  
160 2% 6%  
161 2% 4%  
162 0.4% 2%  
163 0.4% 1.3%  
164 0.5% 0.9%  
165 0.1% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0.2% 99.8%  
132 0.1% 99.6%  
133 0.2% 99.5%  
134 0.2% 99.3%  
135 0.5% 99.1%  
136 2% 98.6%  
137 0.8% 97%  
138 0.6% 96%  
139 2% 96%  
140 2% 94%  
141 3% 91%  
142 5% 89%  
143 9% 83%  
144 6% 75% Last Result
145 8% 69%  
146 7% 61%  
147 5% 53%  
148 6% 48%  
149 4% 42%  
150 7% 38%  
151 4% 31%  
152 4% 27%  
153 4% 23%  
154 3% 19% Median
155 3% 16%  
156 4% 13%  
157 2% 9%  
158 2% 7%  
159 1.0% 5%  
160 1.2% 4%  
161 1.1% 3%  
162 0.7% 2%  
163 0.6% 1.1%  
164 0.3% 0.5%  
165 0.1% 0.2%  
166 0.1% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Centerpartiet – Miljöpartiet de gröna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.8%  
123 0.2% 99.7%  
124 0.2% 99.5%  
125 0.8% 99.3%  
126 0.6% 98%  
127 0.5% 98%  
128 2% 97%  
129 3% 96%  
130 4% 93%  
131 2% 89%  
132 3% 87%  
133 5% 83%  
134 4% 78%  
135 7% 74%  
136 3% 67%  
137 5% 64%  
138 4% 59%  
139 7% 55%  
140 5% 49%  
141 6% 43%  
142 5% 38%  
143 6% 33%  
144 4% 27% Median
145 4% 23%  
146 4% 19%  
147 4% 15%  
148 3% 11%  
149 2% 8%  
150 2% 5%  
151 1.2% 4%  
152 0.8% 3%  
153 0.7% 2%  
154 0.4% 1.1%  
155 0.2% 0.7%  
156 0.1% 0.5%  
157 0.1% 0.4%  
158 0.1% 0.3%  
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0% Last Result

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Vänsterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.2% 99.9%  
122 0.2% 99.7%  
123 0.2% 99.5%  
124 1.1% 99.3%  
125 0.9% 98%  
126 1.2% 97%  
127 3% 96%  
128 3% 93% Last Result
129 4% 90%  
130 6% 87%  
131 4% 81%  
132 6% 77%  
133 4% 71%  
134 4% 67%  
135 3% 63%  
136 4% 60%  
137 5% 56%  
138 2% 51%  
139 4% 49% Median
140 3% 45%  
141 4% 42%  
142 5% 38%  
143 9% 33%  
144 4% 24%  
145 7% 20%  
146 4% 13%  
147 2% 9%  
148 2% 7%  
149 0.8% 5%  
150 1.1% 4%  
151 2% 3%  
152 0.2% 1.0%  
153 0.4% 0.8%  
154 0.2% 0.3%  
155 0.1% 0.1%  
156 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.2% 99.9%  
113 0.2% 99.7%  
114 0.3% 99.6%  
115 0.6% 99.3%  
116 1.3% 98.7%  
117 0.7% 97%  
118 2% 97%  
119 4% 95%  
120 2% 91%  
121 2% 90%  
122 7% 87%  
123 6% 81%  
124 4% 75%  
125 7% 71%  
126 6% 64% Median
127 11% 58%  
128 6% 48%  
129 7% 42%  
130 6% 35%  
131 3% 29%  
132 11% 27%  
133 3% 16%  
134 4% 13%  
135 3% 9%  
136 1.1% 6%  
137 1.1% 5%  
138 1.2% 4%  
139 0.9% 3%  
140 0.4% 2%  
141 0.4% 1.2%  
142 0.3% 0.9%  
143 0.1% 0.6% Last Result
144 0.1% 0.5%  
145 0.2% 0.4%  
146 0.1% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.1%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Kristdemokraterna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0.2% 99.8%  
113 0.3% 99.6%  
114 0.4% 99.3%  
115 0.7% 98.8%  
116 1.4% 98%  
117 0.9% 97%  
118 2% 96%  
119 4% 94%  
120 2% 90%  
121 3% 88%  
122 7% 85%  
123 6% 78% Last Result
124 5% 72%  
125 7% 66%  
126 6% 60% Median
127 11% 54%  
128 6% 43%  
129 7% 37%  
130 6% 30%  
131 2% 24%  
132 10% 22%  
133 3% 11%  
134 3% 9%  
135 3% 5%  
136 0.8% 3%  
137 0.8% 2%  
138 0.2% 1.0%  
139 0.3% 0.8%  
140 0.2% 0.4%  
141 0.1% 0.3%  
142 0.1% 0.2%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0.1%  
145 0% 0%  

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti – Miljöpartiet de gröna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 0.1% 99.7%  
93 0.3% 99.6%  
94 0.3% 99.3%  
95 0.1% 99.0%  
96 1.2% 98.9%  
97 0.1% 98%  
98 0.3% 98%  
99 0.4% 97%  
100 1.2% 97%  
101 2% 96%  
102 2% 94%  
103 6% 92%  
104 3% 86%  
105 7% 83%  
106 7% 76%  
107 9% 69%  
108 6% 60%  
109 4% 54%  
110 9% 50%  
111 6% 42%  
112 3% 36%  
113 4% 33%  
114 6% 29%  
115 2% 23%  
116 2% 21% Last Result, Median
117 4% 19%  
118 1.1% 15%  
119 3% 13%  
120 4% 10%  
121 2% 6%  
122 0.7% 4%  
123 2% 4%  
124 1.0% 2%  
125 0.2% 0.9%  
126 0.3% 0.7%  
127 0.3% 0.4%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet – Liberalerna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0.1% 100%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.3% 99.8%  
94 0.3% 99.4%  
95 0.7% 99.1%  
96 1.1% 98%  
97 1.2% 97%  
98 2% 96%  
99 4% 94%  
100 3% 90%  
101 6% 87%  
102 4% 81%  
103 9% 76%  
104 5% 67%  
105 10% 63% Median
106 8% 53%  
107 9% 45%  
108 5% 36%  
109 9% 31%  
110 4% 22%  
111 4% 18%  
112 2% 13%  
113 4% 11%  
114 2% 7%  
115 1.1% 6%  
116 1.2% 5%  
117 1.0% 3%  
118 0.8% 2%  
119 0.4% 2%  
120 0.3% 1.2%  
121 0.2% 0.9% Last Result
122 0.2% 0.7%  
123 0.2% 0.5%  
124 0.1% 0.3%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet – Centerpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.5% 99.6%  
94 0.4% 99.2%  
95 1.0% 98.8%  
96 1.2% 98%  
97 2% 97%  
98 2% 95%  
99 4% 93%  
100 3% 88%  
101 7% 85% Last Result
102 5% 78%  
103 10% 73%  
104 5% 63%  
105 10% 58% Median
106 8% 48%  
107 9% 40%  
108 5% 31%  
109 9% 26%  
110 4% 17%  
111 4% 13%  
112 2% 9%  
113 4% 7%  
114 1.3% 3%  
115 0.8% 2%  
116 0.5% 1.2%  
117 0.3% 0.7%  
118 0.2% 0.4%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0.1% 0.2%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations